1. SOPs FOR FLOOD FORECASTING/
EARLY WARNINGS
AND
DESSIMINATIONS
M.AKRAM ANJUM
Director
PAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT
FLOOD FORECASTING DIVISION
LAHORE-PAKISTAN

2. Monsoon Season in Pakistan
(15th
June to 15th
October )
• Pre Monsoon 15th
June to 15th
July
• Monsoon 16th
July to 15th
Sept
• Post Monsoon 16th
Sept to 15th
Oct
Monsoon Season

3. Stakeholders
Provincial Irrigation and Drainage Authority (PIDA)
National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA)
Water And Power Development Authority (WAPDA)
Provincial Relief Organization
Pakistan Army
Pakistan Commissioner for Indus Waters (PCIW)
Emergency Relief Cell (ERC)
Federal Flood Commission (FFC)

4. WAPDA TELEMETRIC STATIONS NETWORK
(Data Received through Meteoroburst System)

5. Specialized Early Warning Centres of
PAKISTAN
National Weather
Forecasting Centre
Islamabad
(NWFC)
National Drought
Monitoring & Early
Warning Centre
Islamabad
(NDMC)
National Seismic Monitoring &
Tsunami Early Warning Centre
Karachi
(NTWC)
Marine Meteorology &
Tropical Cyclone Early
Warning Centre
Karachi
(TCWC)
Flood Forecasting Division
Lahore (FFD)
Flood Forecasting &
Warning Centre
For Lai Nullah Basin
Islamabad

6. Processing at FFD Lahore
Mnaual
Computer Models
National Data
PMD
WAPDA
Irrigitaion Dept
International
Data
PCIW
WMO
Product
Flood Forecast & Warnings
Dessimination

8. FFD provides qualitative forecast minimum
24-36 hours in advance of actual
precipitation indicating the intensity of rain
bearing system (Bulletin A & B daily basis)
FFD provides quantitative forecast about
12-hours in advance of actual peak
describing range of peak and minimum &
maximum volume of flood hydrograph
(Significant flood forecast/ warning) when
it is required
SOP FOR ISSUANCE OF FLOOD FORECAST FOR STAKEHOLDERS

9. According to SOP Data available on PMD
Website for users
http://www.pakmet.com.pk/ (Click Flood Update)
•Qualitative Forecast (Bulletin-A)
•Quantitative Forecast (Bulletin-B)
•Significant Flood Forecast (Warning)
•Dams Flow
•Hydrological Data /Hydrographs
•Rainfall
•Historical Peaks
•Other Relevant Information

10. CONTENTSCONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B AS PER SOPsCONTENTSCONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B AS PER SOPsCONTENTSCONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B AS PER SOPsCONTENTSCONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B AS PER SOPs
CONTENTS OF
BULLITEN A&B
AS PER SOPs

11. GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN
PAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT
FLOOD FORECASTING DIVISION
46-JAIL ROAD LAHORE-54000
BULLETIN No. A-078
1. Federal Minister, Water & Power, Islamabad.
2. Governor (All Provinces).
3. Chairman NDMA., Islamabad.
4. Chief Minister (All Provinces).
5. Secretary, Ministry of Defence, Rawalpindi.
6. Secretary, Ministry of Water & Power, Islamabad.
7. Secretary, Ministry of Information, Islamabad.
8. Chairman NHA, Islamabad.
9. Chief Secretary (All Provinces & AJK).
10. PDMA’S( D.G’S, All Provinces & AJK).
11. Administrator & Chief Secretary, Gilgit-Baltistan
12. Chairman, Indus River System Authority, Islamabad.
13. Chairman, Federal Flood Commission, Islamabad.
14. Commissioner for Indus Waters, Lahore.
15. Relief Commissioner, (All Provinces & A.J.K).
16. The Secretary General, Pakistan Red Crescent
Society, Islamabad.
17. Secretary, Irrigation Department, (All Provinces).
18. D.G. Relief, (All Provinces).
19. D.G. Emergency Relief Cell, Cabinet Division, Islamabad.
20. Chief Engineer, Mangla/Tarbela/Chashma.
21. Chief Engineer, Irrigation (All Provinces).
22. Chief Engineer, (All Barrages).
23. Chief Engineer, C.D.O. (Muzaffarabad).
24. All concerned D. C. Os.
SUBJECT:- FLOOD SITUATION AND WEATHER FORECAST FOR NEXT 24 HOURS:
I. FLOOD SITUATION:
River Indus at Kotri is in Exceptionally High Flood and falling. River Indus at
Guddu & Sukkur is in High Flood. River Kabul at Nowshera & River Chenab at
Punjnad are in Low Flood.
II. HYDRO METEOROLOGICAL FEATURES:
(a) Seasonal low lies over Balochistan with its trough extends Southeast Sindh.
(b) Moist current from Bay of Bengal is penetrating into Punjab and Kashmir upto 3000
feet.
(c)
III. FORECAST:
Scattered thundershowers is expected over sub-mountainous areas of Punjab, Southeast Sindh
and Kashmir.
IV. RAINFALL RECORDED(MM) DURING PAST 24 HRS (UPTO 0800 PST):
NIL.
V. WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NEXT 48-HOURS:
Scattered thundershowers is expected over Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan and
Kashmir.
Web Site Address:-
www.pakmet.com.pk (Flood Update)
Duty Officer 24 hrs. Phone: LHR 99200139, 99201238
99201244, 99205159,
99205160
(M. AKRAM ANJUM)
Chief Meteorologist
Ph. Office : 042-99200208
Fax: 042-99200209
Dated:- 31st Aug, 2010
Time:- 09: 45 hours (PST)

12. GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN
PAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT
FLOOD FORECASTING DIVISION
46-JAIL ROAD LAHORE-54000
BULLETIN No. B-078
WEATHER/RAINFALL FORECAST FOR NEXT 24 HRS:
RIVERS Upper Catchments
(Above Rim Stations)
Lower Catchments
(Below Rim Stations)
INDUS Mainly Dry Scattered thundershowers
(Rawalpindi Division)
JHELUM Scattered thundershowers Mainly Dry
(Sargodha Division)
CHENAB -do- Scattered thundershowers
(Gujranwala Division)
RAVI -do- Mainly Dry
(Lahore Division)
SUTLEJ -do- -do-
(B. Pur Divisions)
FLOOD FORECAST OF GAUGING STATIONS (IN THOUSANDS OF CUSECS)
RIVERS Stations Design Capacity
Actual Observations at 0600 PST Computerized
Forecast for Next
24 hrs. ( Inflow )
Forecasted Flood
Level
( Inflow )
Danger Level
(Very High Flood)
Inflow Outflow
INDUS Tarbela 1500 169.0 178.2 170-185 Below Low 650
Kalabagh 950 219.9 214.9 No significant change -do- 650
Chashma 950 179.1 177.7 -do- -do- 650
Taunsa 1000 241.0 237.0 200-230 -do- 650
Guddu 1200 565.6 550.8 565 F 510 High 700
Sukkur 900 541.7 496.8 530-540 -do- 700
Kotri 850 832.6 820.7 830 F 790 Exceptionally High
to Very High
650
Kabul Nowshera - 46.4 46.4 40-45 Below Low 200
JHELUM Mangla 1060 42.8 43.0 35-45 -do- 225
Rasul 850 32.5 31.2 No significant change -do- 225
CHENAB Marala 1100 66.5 53.4 50-80 -do- 400
Khanki 800 48.7 42.2 No significant change -do- 400
Qadirabad 807 44.7 37.7 -do- -do- 400
Trimmu 645 118.4 113.2 -do- -do- 450
Punjnad 700 159.6 146.9 160-175 Low 450
RAVI Jassar 275 4.1 4.1 No significant change Below Low 150
Shahdara 250 8.2 8.2 -do- -do- 135
Balloki 225 26.5 0.0 -do- -do- 135
Sidhnai 150 26.7 13.7 -do- -do- 90
SUTLEJ G.S.Wala -- 11.0(feet) (Gauge only) -do- -do- 25.3 (Feet)
Sulemanki 325 35.9 22.9 -do- -do- 175
Islam 300 18.4 15.9 18-25 -do- 175
Isolated=20 to 30% of area
Scattered= 30 to 50% of area
Widespread= 90 to 100% of area
R= Rising
F= Falling
www.pakmet.com.pk (Flood Update)
Duty Officer 24 hrs. Phone: LHR 99200139, 99201238
99201244, 99205159
99205160
Dated:- 31st Aug, 2010
Time:- 09 :50 hours (PST)
(M. AKRAM ANJUM)
Chief Meteorologist
Ph. Office : 042-99200208
Fax: 042-99200209
DAMS POSITION (0600 PST)
TARBELA Level:- 1550.00 Feet
Max. Conservation Level: 1550.00 Feet
MANGLA Level:- 1206.00 Feet
Max Conservation Level: 1210.00 Feet

13. SOP FOR ISSUANCE OF FLOOD FORECAST FOR STAKEHOLDERS
CAT – I
3 - 5 LAC
Cusecs
FLOODS DUE TO THE INTENSITY OF THE SW
& SE MONSOON CURRENTS
CAT – II
5 - 7 LAC
Cusecs
FLOODS DUE TO THE INDIRECT EFFECT OF
MONSOON DEPRESSION
CAT – III
ABOVE 7
LAC Cusecs
FLOODS DUE TO THE DIRECT EFFECT OF
MONSOON DEPRESSION

14. BLUE ALERT
YELLOW ALERT
RED ALERT
Depression at Rajhastan
Turning towards the catchment
Arrives in the catchments of
Eastern Rivers
SOPs Between PMD& Stakeholders for Mangla Dam

15. DBLUE ALERT

16. D
BLUE ALERT
YELLOW ALERT

17. D
BLUE ALERT
YELLOW ALERT
RED ALERT

18. Category – I
Floods (3-5 Lac cusecs)

20. Category – II
Floods (5-7 Lac cusecs)

22. Category – III
Floods(Above 7 Lac cusecs)

24. Dissemination of Flood Forecast as per SOPs
 Fax Machines ( More than 200 Agencies)
 Web service
 SMS Service
 Telephone Service
 Electronic Media
(i) Tickers & Beepers on TV
(ii) Live & in Camera interviews
(iii) Live briefing about Disaster on TV in a Special
Transmission for disasters.
 Print Media( daily Press Conference is conducted in the evening during Flood
disaster and others)

25. SMS Messenger
Duty Forecasting
Officer
Data Dissemination
Fax to National
Agencies
Fax to Provincial
Authorities
Fax to Media
Disaster Management Authorities
Federal & Provincial Relief Agencies
Print and Electronic Media
Internet & E-mail realtime transmission

26. Dissemination of Flood Forecast as per SOPs
 Radio Pakistan and FM channels
 E-mails to concerned with disasters
 Coastal Radio (ASK)

29. Flood Forecast By Fax/Phone
S.No. Agency
1 Federal Minister, Water & Power, Islamabad
2 Chairman NDMA, P.M. House.
3 The Secretary Ministry of Defence
4 The Chairman/Chief Engineering Adviser,Federal Flood Commission, Islamabad.
5 The Secretary, Ministry of Information, Islamabad.
6 The Secretary, Ministry of Water & Power Islambad.
7 The Sectretary, Planning Islamabad.
8 Emergency Relief Cell, Cabinet Division, Islamabad.
9 NPCC, WAPDA, Islamabad.
10 D.G.Met. S., Islamabad
11 Indus River System Authority, Islamabad.
12 Radio Pakistan, Islamabad.
13 PTV Director, Islamabad.
Region-Federal (Islamabad)
WEATHER / FLOOD FORECAST
TO

30. Region - Punjab
S.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.
1 Chief Minister, House 99203131-33 99203224, 99203229
2 (GHQ) Engineers , Pakistan Army, Rawalpindi. 051/56133405,56133527 051/56133024,56131768
3 Chief Secretary, Punjab, Lahore. Off:99212121/Res:9200886 37324489
4 Secretary Irrigation, Punjab, Lahore. 99212117-18 99212116- 37324489
5 Army Flood Relief Centre, Rawalpindi 051/56133527
6 Secretary, Comm. & Works. Deptt., Lahore. 99210454 99210454, 99210453
7 Director General (Relief), 99210782, 99204406 99204405
8 Relief Commissioner Flood Punjab 99210780-81 99204439
9 Administrator LMC Lahore 99211022, 99211029 99211050-99211590
10 Commissioner, Lahore. 99211003-04, 99214332 99214334
11 Pakistan Commissioner for Indus Water, Lahore 99212789-790 99212783,4,5
12 DCO, Lahore. 99210910 99211006
13 D.C.Office, Kasur. 0499250162,152 9250162
14 D.C.Gujranwala. 0431/9200022-23 0431/9200021
15 H.Q. Engineers 4-Corps, Lahore Cantt. 366992360 366992370-60
16 H.Q.Engineer CORPS, Gujranwala. 0431/269/2232 0431/269/3310
17 Member, WAPDA (Water), Lahore. 99202226 99202485
18 Chief Eng. Pak. Railway Lahore 99201699/9201660 99201760
19 Chief Eng. D&F (Ferozepur Road) Lahore 35862671 35862081 (Res) 35421537
20 Chief Eng. Irrigation Deptt. LHR 99212085-86 99212084
21 Director Flood Punjab, LHR 5862081

31. 22 Director Hydrology Flood Drainage, LHR 5169430 5169727
23 Xen Design Railway HQ LHR 9201760
24 Xen Narowal 0542412374 0542 / 411684
25 Xen Marala 0523-502102 0523/ 502120
26 Divisional Sup. Railway LHR 9201961
27 Supt. Eng. Upper Chenab Canal, LHR 6826804 6867198
28 Supt. Eng. Dipalpur Canal Circle, LHR 6825510
29 Supt. Eng. Drainage Circle, LHR 6823627 6864205
30 Supt. Eng. Link Canal Bank Dharampura , LHR 6864205
31 Director Press & Information LHR 9201371 9201374
32 Xen Pasroor 052-9250088 052-9250089
33 Consultant Irrigation & Power Deptt. 9212134 9211554, 9212116
34 Flood Warning Centre, Lahore. 7572091 7572091-93
35 WASA, Lahore. 5756739- 5712219 5752960
36 NESPAK, Lahore - 99231940
37 W.R.M.D. WAPDA, Lahore. 99202483,99202598 99204031
38 APP, Lahore. 9201566-67 9201563
39 PTV., Lahore. 9200617-19 9200620/9200612
40 PPI, Lahore. 7562226-27 7562225
41 Radio Pakistan, Lahore. 9200674 9200685
42 Daily Nawa-I-Waqt, Lahore (Mr. ShoaibudDin) 6367551 6367583
43 Daily DAWN, Lahore (Mr. Intikhab Hanif). 5758120-25 5711879
44 Daily Awaz ( Mr. Javed Farooqi) 6367480-84 6361026
45 Daily Jang ( Mr. Zahid Ali Khan) 6362316, 6309762
46 Daily Nation ( Mr. Latif Ather Rana) 6367551-4 6367583, 6367005
47 H.Q. 15 Div. Sialkot (only significant forecast) 052-5713231
48 AGRICULTURE DEPTT. 9211796

32. WEATHER / FLOOD FORECAST TO
DISTRICT COORDINATION OFFICERS BY FAX
S.No. DISTRICT CODE PHONE FAX
1 BHAKKAR 04653 412688 413161
2 BHAWALNAGAR 0631 74547-48 71773
3 BHAWALPUR 0621 9250061-62 9250064
4 D.G.KHAN 0641 462119-462121 463288
5 FAISALABAD 041 9200205-06 9200301-9200212
6 GUJRANWALA 0431 9200051-52 9200043
7 GUJRAT 0433 9260010 9260016
8 HAFIZABAD 0438 521784 521075
9 JHANG 0471 625881 613000
10 JHELUM 0541 623733 623834
11 KASUR 0492 9250143 9250162
12 KHANEWAL 0692 52600 53961
13 KHUSHAB 0454 720626-721421 720469
14 LAHORE 042 9211003-04 9200286
15 LAYYAH 0694 43703-04 413702
16 LODHRAN 06517 62710-61074 62460
17 MANDI BAHAUDDIN 0546 504220 504100
18 MULTAN 061 9200042 9200043
19 MUZAFFARGARH 0661 423699 423959
20 NAROWAL 0542 9200027 9200032
21 OKARA 044 521925 528411
22 PAKPATTAN 0443 74198 71035-71023
23 R.Y.KHAN 0731 9230266-(9230277Res) 9230267
24 RAJANPUR 06516 689131 688492
25 SAHIWAL 0441 62482 221058
26 SARGODHA 0451 9230025-26 9230024
27 SHEIKHUPURA 04931 52236, 52018 52323
28 SIALKOT 0432 269624, 268590 262751

33. Flood Forecast By Fax/Phone
S.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.
40 Governor House, Sindh, Karachi 021/9201201-5,9201211 021/9201222,9201226
41 Chief Minister,Karachi 021/9202051-9202044 021/9202000
42 Chief Engineer Irrigation,Guddu 07057/76926 071/9310181-82
43 Chief Engineer Irrigation,Sakhar 07161/3912 071/9310181-82
44 Chief Engineer Irrigation, Kotri 0221/877426 0221-877426
45 Secretary Irrigation, Sindh, Karachi. 021/9211445-451 021/9211447
46 Relief Commissioner Sindh, Karachi 021/9203407 021/9202630
47 Add. Relief Commissioner Sindh, Hyderabad 022/9200573 022/9200569,9200479
48 5-CORPS, Karachi 021/5602360,5602362 021/5602360
49 Chief Secretary, Sindh 021/9212949-50 021/9212941
50 Pakistan State Oil
021/9203792,9203870,90
,9203801
021/9203767
51 Geo TV, Karachi 021/111436111 021/32636937
52 Met.HQ,Karachi 021/9261407 021/9261405
53 Local Government, katchi abadis,Karachi 021/9211537 021/9211537,9213080
54 Headquartors Corps Rescrve 5 Corps Karachi 021/34952525 021/34952542
55 D.C.O. Baddin 0227-62362,61001 0227-61471
Region - Sindh

34. Flood Forecast By Fax/Phone
S.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.
56 Governor House, Peshawar 091/9210651-6,9210702 091/9210751,9210899
57 Chief Minister, Peshawar 091/9210712,14.9211705 091/9210707,9210409
58 Chief Secretary, Peshawar. 091/9210666 091/9210447,9210970
59 Secretary Irrigation, Peshawar. 091/9210845-601303 091/9210874-9213099
60 Secretary TA Dept. Peshawar 091/9210071 091/9210201
61 Relief Commissioner , Peshawar 091/9210338 091/9210975
62 11 Corp Peshawar 091/2012010-2012362 091/2012011,2012360
63 Flood Warning Centre, Peshawar 091/9212114 091/9211907
64 UARS, Peshawar 091/9210184 091/9210223-9210190
65 Chief Engineer, Mangla 0541/639161 0541/639162
66 Chief Engineer, Tarbela. 0995/660198 0995/660003
67 Chief Engineer, (I & P) Irrigation, Peshawar 091/9212116 091/9212116-8
68 Chief Engineer, (Dev.) Irrigation, Peshawar 091/9212123 091/9212112
69 Civil Defence Office, Peshawar 091/263158 091/263159
Region - Khyber Pakhtoonkhawa

35. Flood Forecast By Fax/Phone
S.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.
70 Governor House, Baluchistan, Quetta 081/9202170,73,74 081/920178,9202992
71 Chief Minister Baluchistan, Quetta 081/9202061,9202281 081/9202280
72 G.C.Quetta 081-853032,4 081-853032
73 Secretary Irrigation, Baluchistan, Quetta. 081/9201074 081/9202157,9201745
74 C.E,Irrigation (South) 081/9211605 081/9211721
75 C.E,Irrigation (North) 081/9211190-9211600 081/9211601
76 Deputy Relief Commissioner Balochistan, Quetta 081-9202778 081-9202778
77 12 corps, Quetta. 081-92092362 081/92092360
78 Board of Revenue, Quetta 081-9201774 081/9201774
79 Relief Commissioner, Baluchistan 081/9201045 081/9201720
Region - Baluchistan

36. Flood Forecast By Fax/Phone
S.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.
80 Relief Commissioner, AJK, Muzaffarabad 05822921537 921536
81 Director,C.D.O,AJK, Muzaffarabad 05822-920917 920917
82 Secretary, Works & Communication 05822-92141 921925
83 Chief Secretary 05822-921242 921982
S.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.
84 Administrator c/o 05811/50200, 50212 05811/50201,50422
Relief Commissioner/Chief Secretary
Gilgit
85 Deputy Chief Executive 05811-50210 05811-521593
Region - Azad Kashmir
Region - Gilgit Baltistan