Olav maassen risk management

•

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AGILEMinds

Economy & Finance Business

10/17/2011

#LKBE2011 #realoptions
October 3, 2011 When is something a
IT Risk Management commitment?
using Real Options

and Real Liquidity

Olav Maassen (Xebia) Chris Matts(EB)
olav.maassen@xebia.com chris.matts@gmail.com
@olavmaassen @papachrismatts

When is something optional? Do you have a choice?

Option

Commitment

Decision
4
© MacUK

5 6
© foxhusky ©travellinglibrarian

1

10/17/2011

7 8
© theseanster93 © cristiano_betta

9 10
© pagedooley © state-records-nsw

12
© Nick Anderson © Screenpunk

2

10/17/2011

13 14
© Industry is virtue © paulcheek

15 16
© Angelsgate

17

3

10/17/2011

Options Options Never
have expire commit
value early
unless
you
know
why

© luismi1985 © givepeasachance © Tub Gurnard

Getting to Berlin

22
© lollyknit © Monville

Real Liquidity Real Liquidity Exercise
• What are the things that increase this
time?
Time from
making an investment commitment
to
realizing its benefits.

23 24

4

10/17/2011

© Originalwpa

Getting Staff Procuring Equipment

25 26
© Antrophe

Contracts Training staff

27 28
© frank3 © pittsburghkarate

Facilities (Desks) Team Gelling

29 30
© pacdog © chriswaits

5

10/17/2011

Choosing technology and
Architecture
methodology

31 32
© Alisdair © asmythie

Brooks was wrong

33
© Nick Anderson

A Month
© PhilFranklin

6

10/17/2011

A Day

An Hour
http://www.flickr.com/photos/embreyart/422
9109725/sizes/m/in/photostream/ © embreyart

A Minute
© bobgcampbell

7

10/17/2011

A Second
© safaripartners

ROLL BACK!
Its
not
about
probability

© Hufse © kagedfish

It’s If your time it takes to recover is greater
than the time you can survive, you die
about
survival
Which means you need more options.

48
© sheshodesigns

8

10/17/2011

Business Value 101
When is something a
commitment?

© abuziyad © gunthert

Options Options Never
Real Liquidity
have expire commit
value early
unless Time from
you making an investment commitment
know to
realizing its benefits.
why

© luismi1985 52
© givepeasachance © Tub Gurnard

If your time it takes to recover is greater
than the time you can survive, you die

Which means you need more options.

STOP
Guessing!
© topher76
53

9

10/17/2011

Prepare to run fast.

Create Options

© haydnseek
© James Temple

Thank you!

Contact info: Contact info:
Olav Maassen (Xebia) Chris Matts (EB)
olav.maassen@xebia.com Chris.matts@gmail.com
twitter.com/olavmaassen twitter.com/papachrismatts

……and
© lordkirbs
have fun.

10

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Olav maassen risk management

1. 10/17/2011 #LKBE2011 #realoptions October 3, 2011 When is something a IT Risk Management commitment? using Real Options and Real Liquidity Olav Maassen (Xebia) Chris Matts(EB) olav.maassen@xebia.com chris.matts@gmail.com @olavmaassen @papachrismatts When is something optional? Do you have a choice? Option Commitment Decision 4 © MacUK 5 6 © foxhusky ©travellinglibrarian 1

2. 10/17/2011 7 8 © theseanster93 © cristiano_betta 9 10 © pagedooley © state-records-nsw 12 © Nick Anderson © Screenpunk 2

4. 10/17/2011 Options Options Never have expire commit value early unless you know why © luismi1985 © givepeasachance © Tub Gurnard Getting to Berlin 22 © lollyknit © Monville Real Liquidity Real Liquidity Exercise • What are the things that increase this time? Time from making an investment commitment to realizing its benefits. 23 24 4

5. 10/17/2011 © Originalwpa Getting Staff Procuring Equipment 25 26 © Antrophe Contracts Training staff 27 28 © frank3 © pittsburghkarate Facilities (Desks) Team Gelling 29 30 © pacdog © chriswaits 5

6. 10/17/2011 Choosing technology and Architecture methodology 31 32 © Alisdair © asmythie Brooks was wrong 33 © Nick Anderson A Month © PhilFranklin 6

7. 10/17/2011 A Day An Hour http://www.flickr.com/photos/embreyart/422 9109725/sizes/m/in/photostream/ © embreyart A Minute © bobgcampbell 7

8. 10/17/2011 A Second © safaripartners ROLL BACK! Its not about probability © Hufse © kagedfish It’s If your time it takes to recover is greater than the time you can survive, you die about survival Which means you need more options. 48 © sheshodesigns 8

9. 10/17/2011 Business Value 101 When is something a commitment? © abuziyad © gunthert Options Options Never Real Liquidity have expire commit value early unless Time from you making an investment commitment know to realizing its benefits. why © luismi1985 52 © givepeasachance © Tub Gurnard If your time it takes to recover is greater than the time you can survive, you die Which means you need more options. STOP Guessing! © topher76 53 9

10. 10/17/2011 Prepare to run fast. Create Options © haydnseek © James Temple Thank you! Contact info: Contact info: Olav Maassen (Xebia) Chris Matts (EB) olav.maassen@xebia.com Chris.matts@gmail.com twitter.com/olavmaassen twitter.com/papachrismatts ……and © lordkirbs have fun. 10

Olav maassen risk management

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