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communication,	
  strategy	
  &	
  leadership	
  architects	
  	
  

  	
  	
  	
                                                                                 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  




                                                                                                                                                                 Mitt	
  Romney	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    	
  




 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            	
  
                                                                     	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Source:	
  www.mittromney.com	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                      	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                      	
  




                            	
   	
                                       	
                                          	
                                                                                                                                                                                     	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   	
  
  #newCommunication	
  #newLeadership	
  #newPolitics	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1	
  


                                                            www.ingenia-­‐pro.com	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  @ingenia_pro	
  
	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             	
  
communication,	
  strategy	
  &	
  leadership	
  architects	
  	
  

  	
  	
  	
                           	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  


                 5	
  key	
  points	
  about	
  the	
  republican	
  options	
  to	
  win	
  the	
  White	
  Hose	
  	
  
  	
  
  	
  
  Former	
  Massachusetts	
  Governor	
  Mitt	
  Romney's	
  campaign	
  has	
  secured	
  a	
  majority	
  of	
  delegates,	
  elected	
  
  in	
  the	
  primary	
  elections,	
  who,	
  at	
  the	
  August	
  GOP	
  Tampa	
  Convention	
  -­‐	
  (FL)	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  swing	
  states	
  -­‐,	
  will	
  
  nominate	
  him	
  as	
  the	
  Republican	
  candidate	
  on	
  the	
  November	
  6th	
  Presidential	
  Election.	
  
  	
  
  A	
  year	
  after	
  the	
  New	
  Hampshire's	
  announcement	
  of	
  his	
  second	
  presidential	
  bid;	
  leading	
  the	
  race	
  from	
  
  the	
  very	
  beginning	
  stages;	
  having	
  exceeded	
  8	
  contenders	
  and	
  26	
  public	
  debates,	
  the	
  time	
  has	
  come	
  for	
  
  Romney	
  to	
  build	
  the	
  final	
  narrative	
  and	
  credible	
  alternative	
  to	
  President	
  Obama	
  he	
  wants	
  to	
  represent.	
  
  	
  
  The	
  axes	
  on	
  which	
  to	
  build	
  Romney's	
  essence	
  are:	
  
  	
  
  	
  

                                                                                      1.	
  Center	
  vs	
  Extrem	
  
                                                                                                      	
  
  	
  
  Will	
  Romney	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  dispute	
  the	
  political	
  and	
  electoral	
  center	
  to	
  president	
  Obama?	
  
  Will	
  Romney	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  convince	
  the	
  most	
  mythologized	
  republican,	
  conservative,	
  tea	
  partier	
  voter?	
  
  	
  
  Karl	
   Rove	
  would	
  answer	
  yes	
  to	
  both	
  questions.	
  It's	
  not	
  a	
  matter	
  of	
  choice,	
  or	
  one	
  or	
  the	
  other,	
  but	
  a	
  	
  
  win-­‐win	
  answer:	
   Yes	
   it's	
   possible	
   dispute	
   the	
   centrist	
   voters	
   to	
   Obama	
   and	
   ensure	
   more	
   emotional	
   and	
  
  traditional	
  Republican	
  voter	
  for	
  Romney.	
  	
  
  	
  
  Really?	
  Is	
  it	
  possible	
  to	
  square	
  this	
  circle?	
  
  	
  	
  
  It	
  seems	
  this	
  is	
  the	
  most	
  favorite	
  option	
  on	
  the	
  Republican	
  presidential	
  team.	
  
  	
  
  Dismissed	
  the	
  option	
  of	
  burying	
  the	
  hatchet	
  and	
  a	
  staggering	
  a	
  big	
  hug	
  with	
  Sarah	
  Palin	
  -­‐the	
  emotional	
  
  distance,	
  wounds	
  and	
  the	
  allegations	
   untrue	
   Conservative	
  have	
  led	
  the	
   relationship	
   between	
   the	
   two	
  
  leaders	
  to	
  a	
  point	
  of	
  no	
  return-­‐,	
  especially	
  after	
  the	
  former	
  Alaska	
  Governor	
  had	
  publicly	
  endorsed	
  Newt	
  
  Gingrich,	
   and	
   praised	
   Rick	
   Santorum	
   and	
   Ron	
   Paul,	
   Romney	
   keeps	
   flirting	
   with	
   acting	
   roles	
   like	
   Ted	
  
  Nugent	
  who	
  rises	
  the	
  hate	
  speech	
  and	
  radical	
  patriotism	
  flag;	
  or	
  Donald	
   Trump	
  who	
  is	
  reinforcing	
  the	
  
  birther	
   cause:	
   denying	
   legitimacy	
   and	
   rights	
   of	
   citizenship	
   to	
   president	
   Obama,	
   accusing	
   him	
   of	
   not	
  
  being	
  born	
  in	
  the	
  US.	
  
  	
  
  Currently	
   Romney	
   is	
   distancing	
   himself	
   from	
   these	
   individuals	
   but	
   the	
   final	
   picture	
   with	
   them	
   aims	
   to	
  
  bring	
   on	
   the	
   candidate	
   on	
   sectors	
   with	
   great	
   organization,	
   noise	
   making	
   and	
   influence	
   skills.	
   Is	
   it	
  
  enough?	
  
  	
  
  -­‐	
  On	
  Foreign	
   Policy:	
  Romney's	
  positioning	
  shows	
  the	
  traditional	
  GOP	
  muscle	
  and	
  rigidity:	
  a	
  hawkish	
  hard	
  
  line	
  against	
  Iran	
  and	
  North	
  Korea;	
  enlisting	
  Russian	
  megalomania	
  and	
  president	
  Putin's	
  anxiety	
  of	
  power	
  
  enemies;	
  opposing	
  the	
  White	
  House	
  "indulgency"	
  with	
  the	
  Arabs	
  and	
  turned	
  back	
  point	
  on	
  traditional	
  
  Israel	
  ally,	
  even	
  encouraged	
  Prime	
  Minister	
  Netanyahu	
  to	
  adopt	
  more	
  hostile	
  attitudes.	
  "Cutting	
  federal	
  
  spending	
  yes,	
  but	
  not	
  on	
  National	
  Security	
  and	
  Defense	
  matters"	
  appealing	
  to	
  patriotism.	
  
  	
  


  #newCommunication	
  #newLeadership	
  #newPolitics	
                                                                                                                   2	
  


                    www.ingenia-­‐pro.com	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  @ingenia_pro	
  
	
  
                                                                                                                                                                   	
  
communication,	
  strategy	
  &	
  leadership	
  architects	
  	
  

  	
  	
  	
                                                                                        	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  


  -­‐	
   On	
   Economics:	
   it	
   will	
   be	
   the	
   main	
   issue	
   of	
   this	
   election.	
   The	
   Candidates	
   efforts	
   will	
   be	
   focused	
   on	
   -­‐
  decreasingly-­‐	
  Middle	
  Class.	
  Romney's	
  team	
  attacks:	
  "Obama	
  is	
  not	
  ready,	
   he	
  has	
  no	
  experience	
  in	
  the	
  
  private	
   sector	
   and	
   points	
   out	
   the	
   failure	
   of	
   the	
   president	
   decisions	
   as	
   responsible	
   for	
   the	
   citizens	
  
  staggering	
   economic	
   fragility.	
   Instead	
   Mitt	
   Romney	
   has	
   created	
   jobs,	
   has	
   created	
   wealth	
   and	
   knows	
   the	
  
  course	
  the	
  economy	
  needs:	
  freer	
  markets	
  access	
  and	
  lower	
  taxes.	
  
  	
  
  Is	
  this	
  the	
  direction	
  that	
  the	
  Romney	
  campaign	
  needs	
  to	
  win?	
  Probably	
  not	
  only.	
  
  	
  
  Who	
  is	
  the	
  real	
  Mitt	
  Romney	
  and	
  what	
  their	
  cores	
  values?	
  There	
  is	
  no	
  building	
  of	
  leadership	
  -­‐still-­‐	
  able	
  
  to	
  answer	
  these	
  questions.	
  
  	
  
  Is	
   it	
   enough	
   to	
   wannabe	
   the	
   antithesis	
   of	
   president	
   Obama?	
   It's	
   enough	
   for	
   building	
   the	
   Romney's	
  
  essence	
  and	
  soul?	
  Why	
  going	
  negative?	
  
  	
  
  Romney's	
  team	
  has	
  not	
  yet	
  found	
  the	
   motto	
  of	
  this	
  campaign.	
  He	
  is	
  a	
  non-­‐charismatic	
  leader,	
  with	
  little	
  
  passion.	
  Flirting	
  with	
  populist	
  Republican	
  base	
  does	
  not	
  give	
  you	
  the	
  presidential	
  credibility	
  you	
  need	
  to	
  
  win	
  an	
  election.	
  
  	
  
  	
  


                                                                                                 2.	
  Completing	
  the	
  ticket:	
  the	
  vice-­‐presidency	
  

  	
  
  	
  
  One	
  of	
  the	
  tools	
  with	
  greater	
  capacity	
  to	
  help	
  the	
  Romney	
  campaign	
  to	
  build	
  their	
  leadership	
  style	
  is	
  the	
  
  person	
  who	
  will	
  join	
  the	
  Governor	
  on	
  the	
  Republican	
  ticket.	
  This	
  is	
  what	
  happened	
  in	
  2008.	
  The	
  same	
  
  expected	
   this	
   year.	
   Sarah	
   Palin's	
   vice	
   presidential	
   candidate	
   appointment	
   aroused	
   the	
   dormant	
  
  Republican	
   base	
   and	
   excited	
   it.	
   She	
   attracted	
   crowds	
   wherever	
   she	
   went.	
   Today	
   she	
   still	
   feds	
   her	
   public	
  
  lecturing	
  in	
  a	
  full	
  populist	
  mode	
  and	
  connecting	
  very	
  well	
  with	
  the	
  audience.	
  
  	
  




  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
                                                                                               	
  
  	
  
  	
  


  #newCommunication	
  #newLeadership	
  #newPolitics	
                                                                                                                                                  3	
  


                                                                      www.ingenia-­‐pro.com	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  @ingenia_pro	
  
	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                  	
  
communication,	
  strategy	
  &	
  leadership	
  architects	
  	
  

  	
  	
  	
                        	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  


  Four	
   years	
   later	
   the	
   Republican	
   campaign	
   is	
   looking	
   for	
   a	
   similar	
   momentum.	
   Romney	
   is	
   from	
  
  Massachusetts.	
   For	
   many	
   Republicans,	
   the	
   cradle	
   of	
   liberal	
   elitists.	
   Romney	
   is	
   disconnected	
   to	
   the	
  
  party's	
  traditional	
  religious	
  base.	
  Eve	
  his	
  Governor	
  term	
  inspired	
  Obamacare:	
  the	
  health	
  care	
  reform	
  of	
  
  President	
  Obama.	
  
  	
  
  A	
  shock	
  is	
  being	
  waited	
  and	
  hoped	
  for	
  the	
  Republican	
  campaign	
  to	
  take	
  off,	
  to	
  provide	
  consistency	
  to	
  
  the	
  leader	
  and	
  also	
  put	
  the	
  Democrats	
  on	
  the	
  defensive.	
  
  	
  
  Today	
   the	
   choice	
   of	
   the	
   young	
   latino	
   Senator	
   Marco	
   Rubio	
   (FL)	
   seems	
   aborted	
   with	
   the	
   last	
   move	
   of	
  
  President	
   Obama's	
   order	
   to	
   the	
   Department	
   of	
   Homeland	
   Security	
   to	
   stop	
   the	
   deportation	
   of	
   young	
  
  latino	
   illegal	
   immigrants.	
   If	
   the	
   Democrats	
   were	
   very	
   comfortable	
   with	
   the	
   proximity	
   of	
   the	
   latino	
  
  community,	
  this	
  tactical	
  move	
  is	
  like	
  a	
  torpedo	
  for	
  the	
  Republican	
  electoral	
  hopes.	
  
  	
  	
  
  But	
  still	
  sounds	
  hard	
  names	
  on	
  the	
  vp's	
  short-­‐list:	
  for	
  example	
  New	
  Jersey	
  Governor	
  Chris	
   Christie;	
  his	
  
  reputation	
   is	
   solid	
   and	
   strong,	
   has	
   a	
   popular	
   oratory	
   and	
   results	
   achiever	
   and	
   leadership	
   skills	
   crisis	
  
  tested	
  and	
  well	
  regarded	
  by	
  the	
  Republican	
  establishment.	
  
  	
  
  Not	
  dismissing	
  the	
  	
  names	
  that	
  could	
  be	
  a	
  key	
  confidence	
  and	
  important	
  moral	
  boost	
  for	
  the	
  religious	
  
  traditional	
   base	
   of	
   the	
   GOP	
   as	
   Rick	
   Santorum	
   -­‐with	
   a	
   $2	
   milions	
   debt	
   campaign-­‐,	
   one	
   of	
   the	
   few	
  
  references	
   able	
   of	
   unifying	
   the	
   tea	
   party	
   vote,	
   with	
   a	
   huge	
   strength	
   among	
   religious	
   voters	
   and	
   with	
  
  high	
   moral	
   values	
   that	
   at	
   the	
   same	
   time	
   will	
   alienate	
   the	
   Republican	
   Party's	
   political	
   center;	
   or	
   failed	
  
  presidential	
   candidate	
   Tim	
   Pawlenty,	
   one	
   of	
   the	
   highest	
   rated	
   conservative	
   icons	
   who	
   left	
   the	
  
  presidential	
  race	
  in	
  August	
  last	
  year.	
  
  	
  
  On	
  the	
  other	
  hand	
  we	
  have	
  the	
  case	
  of	
  Texas	
  Congressman	
  Ron	
  Paul,	
  who	
  has	
  been	
  able	
  to	
  spread	
  the	
  
  excitement	
  and	
  hope	
  among	
  younger	
  voters,	
  with	
  his	
  libertarian	
  ideas	
  and	
  speeches.	
  Let's	
  pay	
  attention	
  
  to	
  the	
  movements	
  of	
  Dr.	
  Paul's	
  campaign,	
  who	
  want	
  to	
  amplify	
  their	
  influence,	
  not	
  only	
  with	
  regard	
  to	
  
  the	
  Republican	
  convention,	
  but	
  looking	
  ahead	
  in	
  the	
  future.	
  Despite	
  its	
  age,	
  the	
  future	
  of	
  the	
  party	
  will	
  
  pass	
  through	
  the	
  hands	
  of	
  the	
  Congressman	
  paulites	
  and	
  his	
  son	
  Rand,	
  Senator	
  from	
  Kentucky.	
  
  	
  
  There's	
  always	
  room	
  for	
  a	
  surprise	
  and	
  non-­‐consolidated	
  names	
  at	
  national	
  level	
  like	
  the	
  Ohio	
  Senator	
  
  Robert	
  Portman.	
  
  	
  
  Completing	
   the	
   presidential	
   ticket	
   is	
   a	
   clear	
   and	
   bold	
   gesture	
   to	
   determine	
   the	
   strategy	
   behind	
   this	
  
  movement.	
  
  	
  
  	
  

                                                                                   3.	
  Ideas	
  vs	
  attacking	
  
                                                                                                    	
  
  	
  
  Positive	
  or	
  negative	
  Campaigning?	
  Poetry	
  or	
  prose?	
  
  	
  
  Depending	
   the	
   option	
   each	
   team	
   chooses	
   each	
   we'll	
   know	
   the	
   emotional	
   state	
   of	
   mind	
   of	
   the	
  
  candidates:	
  who	
  feels	
  himself	
  as	
  a	
  leader/front-­‐runner/winner	
  and	
  who	
  is	
  able	
  to	
  set	
  the	
  campaign	
  pace	
  
  and	
  who	
  will	
  tow	
  and	
  go	
  defensive.	
  
  	
  

  #newCommunication	
  #newLeadership	
  #newPolitics	
                                                                                                                     4	
  


                 www.ingenia-­‐pro.com	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  @ingenia_pro	
  
	
  
                                                                                                                                                                     	
  
communication,	
  strategy	
  &	
  leadership	
  architects	
  	
  

  	
  	
  	
                                                                                                                                                 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  


  Understanding	
  the	
  nuances	
  and	
  electoral	
  dynamics	
  favors	
  the	
  ideal	
  context	
  for	
  combat,	
  as	
  evidenced	
  by	
  
  the	
   election	
   ads	
   and	
   video-­‐politics	
   of	
   both	
   campaigns.	
   Beyond	
   that	
   noise	
   we	
   can	
   distinguishing	
   features	
  
  about	
  the	
  position	
  and	
  where	
  the	
  teams	
  put	
  different	
  accents.	
  
  	
  
  In	
   the	
   case	
   of	
   President	
   Obama,	
   the	
   first	
   announcement	
   of	
   moving	
   towards	
   the	
   recognition	
   of	
   gay	
  
  marriage,	
   plus	
   the	
   more	
   powerful	
   gesture	
   to	
   the	
   Latino	
   community	
   stopping	
   deportation	
   of	
   young	
  
  latinos	
  put	
  on	
  the	
  table	
  a	
  campaign	
  of	
  ideas	
  and	
  values.	
  More	
  movements	
  like	
  this	
  ones	
  are	
  to	
  come.	
  
  	
  
  	
  




  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
                                                                                     	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Newsweek	
  cover.	
  
  	
  
  Romney's	
  campaign	
  is	
  building	
  the	
  candidate's	
  frame	
  through	
  a	
  belligerent	
  tone,	
  accusing	
  attitude	
  and	
  
  little	
  positive	
  active	
  proposal	
  ideas.	
  Today	
  the	
  Republican	
  campaign	
  has	
  not	
  yet	
  unveil	
  the	
  "expected"	
  
  economic,	
   education,	
   immigration	
   and	
   energy	
   plans.	
   The	
   goal	
   is	
   to	
   destroy	
   and	
   bring	
   down	
   the	
  
  opponent.	
  All	
  efforts	
  are	
  focused	
  on	
  this	
  goal:	
  not	
  defining	
  candidate	
  Romney	
  on	
  the	
  major	
  issues.	
  
  	
  
  The	
   Obama	
   campaign	
   leads,	
   only	
   leaves	
   space	
   for	
   the	
   Republican	
   campaign	
   to	
   react,	
   usually	
   on	
   the	
  
  defensive	
  -­‐	
  and	
  shuns	
  personal	
  hunting	
  away	
  from	
  exploiting	
  the	
  religious	
  Mormon	
  Romney.	
  While	
  the	
  
  Republican	
   campaign	
   is	
   entertained	
   with	
   the	
   fireworks	
   on	
   legitimacy	
   of	
   the	
   president	
   or	
   whether	
   or	
   not	
  
  born	
  on	
  U.S.	
  soil.	
  In	
  the	
  end	
  it's	
  all	
  about	
  style.	
  

  #newCommunication	
  #newLeadership	
  #newPolitics	
                                                                                                                                                                                                          5	
  


                                                                      www.ingenia-­‐pro.com	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  @ingenia_pro	
  
	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          	
  
communication,	
  strategy	
  &	
  leadership	
  architects	
  	
  

  	
  	
  	
                         	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  


  	
  

                                   4.	
  Demographic	
  targets	
  and	
  swing	
  states	
  
                                                            	
  
  	
  
  Looking	
  at	
  detail	
  the	
  key	
  demographic	
  groups	
  who	
  will	
  decide	
  this	
  election:	
  
  	
  
  	
         -­‐	
  Women:	
  in	
  2008	
  56%	
  voted	
  for	
  Obama,	
  43%	
  form	
  McCain;	
  Women	
  out-­‐voted	
  Men	
  more	
  than	
  
  	
         10	
   Milion	
   votes.	
   66%	
   of	
   the	
   157	
   million	
   US	
   women	
   are	
   registered	
   to	
   vote,	
   according	
   to	
   the	
   U.S.	
  
  	
         Census.	
  	
  
  	
  
  	
         Birth	
   control,	
   reproductive	
   rights	
   and	
   especially	
   the	
   family	
   model,	
   in	
   which	
   Ann	
   Romney	
   or	
  
  	
         Karen	
   Santorum	
   are	
   becoming	
   an	
   icon	
   of	
   this	
   policy	
   	
   -­‐they	
   stayed	
   home	
   to	
   care	
   &	
   rise	
   their	
  
  	
         families-­‐	
  and	
  equal	
  pay	
  will	
  be	
  the	
  focus	
  of	
  the	
  election	
  battle.	
  
  	
  
  	
         The	
   religious	
   bias	
   of	
   these	
   issues	
   enhances	
   both	
   campaigns	
   to	
   become	
   entrenched	
   in	
  
  	
         traditional	
  positions	
  and	
  to	
  use	
  common	
  myths.	
  An	
  approach	
  for	
  fairer	
  treatment	
  for	
  women	
  
  	
         and	
  appeal	
  to	
  their	
  freedom	
  and	
  economic	
  independence	
  is	
  in	
  favor	
  of	
  the	
  Democrats.	
  
  	
  
  	
  
  	
         -­‐	
   White	
   men:	
   the	
   large	
   pool	
   of	
   traditional	
   Republican	
   votes.	
   This	
   is	
   where	
   the	
   Republican	
  
  	
         campaign	
   plays	
   on	
   more	
   favorable	
   terms.	
   But	
   this	
   social	
   group	
   is	
   becoming	
   smaller	
   and	
   the	
  
  	
         future	
  trend	
  is	
  to	
  become	
  less	
  decisive	
  and	
  influent.	
  This	
  is	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  black	
  holes	
  of	
  the	
  Obama	
  
  	
         campaign.	
  	
  
  	
  
  	
  
  	
         -­‐	
   Latino:	
   Marco	
   Rubio	
   was	
   one	
   of	
   the	
   Republican	
   icons	
   for	
   a	
   generation	
   that	
   exemplified	
   the	
  
  	
         social	
  upcoming	
  lift	
  that	
  works	
  and	
  that	
  the	
  GOP	
  is	
  not	
  hostile	
  to	
  the	
  latino	
  community,	
  despite	
  
  	
         some	
  voices	
  and	
  initiatives	
  of	
  the	
  party	
  meaning	
  to	
  punish	
  anything	
  related	
  to	
  immigration.	
  
  	
  
  	
         However,	
   among	
   other	
   important	
   positions	
   in	
   government,	
   Sonia	
   Sotomayor	
   was	
   the	
   first	
  
  	
         Latina	
   appointed	
   to	
   the	
   Supreme	
   Court	
   by	
   President	
   Obama.	
   The	
   pressure	
   of	
   the	
   Latino	
  
  	
         community	
   organized	
   around	
   the	
   National	
   Council	
   of	
   La	
   Raza,	
   has	
   some	
   results	
   with	
   the	
  
  	
         announcement	
   of	
   the	
   president	
   to	
   stop	
   deportations	
   of	
   undocumented	
   Latino	
   youth.	
   This	
  
  	
         gesture	
  is	
  a	
  #GameChanger	
  making	
  the	
  Latino	
  community	
  even	
  closer	
  to	
  Democrats.	
  
  	
  
  	
  
  	
         -­‐	
  Suburbans:	
  a	
  demographic	
  increasingly	
  important	
  group	
  in	
  the	
  US	
  social	
  geography	
  since	
  the	
  
  	
         80s;	
   more	
   and	
   more	
   articulate	
   and	
   very	
   heterogeneous.	
   They	
   run	
   away	
   from	
   the	
   extremes.	
  
  	
         They	
  feel	
  comfortable	
  in	
  the	
  center	
  and	
  on	
  social	
  moderation:	
  the	
  favor	
  on	
  family	
  new	
  forms,	
  
  	
         the	
  extent	
  of	
  freedoms	
  and	
  civil	
  rights,	
  like	
  cultural	
  diversity	
  is	
  most	
  welcome.	
  
  	
  
  	
         In	
  this	
  scenario	
  the	
  Republican	
  campaign	
  suffers	
  a	
  lot	
  to	
  connect	
  with	
  voters.	
  
  	
  
  	
  
  	
         -­‐	
  Milennials:	
  despite	
  the	
  frame	
  of	
  change	
  and	
  hope	
  Obama's	
  campaign	
  in	
  2008,	
  this	
  group	
  went	
  
  	
         basically	
   to	
   Democrats,	
   the	
   reality	
   of	
   Government	
   and	
   the	
   fragile	
   economic	
   time	
   make	
   them	
  
  	
         today	
  as	
  less	
  favorable	
  to	
  the	
  President	
  .	
  

  #newCommunication	
  #newLeadership	
  #newPolitics	
                                                                                                                          6	
  


                  www.ingenia-­‐pro.com	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  @ingenia_pro	
  
	
  
                                                                                                                                                                          	
  
communication,	
  strategy	
  &	
  leadership	
  architects	
  	
  

  	
  	
  	
                        	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  


  	
  
  	
              But	
   a	
   too	
   conservative	
   Republican	
   Party	
   campaign	
   would	
   place	
   this	
   demographic	
   back	
   again	
   on	
  
  	
              Democrats.	
  The	
  last	
  months	
  of	
  this	
  campaign,	
  especially	
  in	
  economic	
  terms	
  and	
  concepts	
  such	
  
  	
              as	
  effort,	
  meritocracy	
  and	
  entrepreneurship	
  will	
  be	
  key	
  to	
  approach	
  milennials	
  preferences.	
  
  	
  
  	
  
  	
              -­‐	
   Religious:	
   despite	
   the	
   fact	
   that	
   Romney	
   does	
   not	
   inspire	
   or	
   mobilize	
   these	
   voters,	
   Obama's	
  
  	
              ideas	
   are	
   perceived	
   as	
   aggression.	
   Based	
   on	
   the	
   commitments	
   and	
   the	
   person	
   accompanying	
  
  	
              Romney	
   on	
   the	
   presidential	
   ticket,	
   will	
   make	
   this	
   well-­‐organized	
   and	
   active	
   minority	
   getting	
  
  	
              involved	
  in	
  the	
  campaign	
  or	
  staying	
  home.	
  
  	
  
  	
  
  	
              -­‐	
  The	
  Middle	
  Class:	
  No	
  one	
  can	
  consider	
  winning	
  an	
  election	
  without	
  their	
  support.	
  Again	
  it	
  will	
  
  	
              be	
  decisive	
  and	
  a	
  key	
  player.	
  Messages	
  on	
  economic	
  plans	
  and	
  recovery	
  of	
  confidence	
  will	
  be	
  
  	
              essential	
  to	
  approach	
  these	
  voters.	
  
  	
  
  	
              However	
   this	
   demographic	
   and	
   economic	
   group	
   is	
   declining.	
  Every	
   time	
  more	
  and	
  more	
  people	
  
  	
              are	
   falling	
   outside.	
   Soon	
   someone	
   will	
   be	
   asked	
   not	
   to	
   leave	
   orphans	
   these	
   voices	
   and	
   avoiding	
  
  	
              a	
   huge	
   mistake	
   of	
   important	
   consequences.	
   Who	
   will	
   lead	
   and	
   who	
   give	
   credibility	
   to	
   these	
  
  	
              people?	
  
  	
  
  	
  
  Given	
   these	
   social	
   cleavages,	
   and	
   their	
   distribution	
   on	
   the	
   different	
   electoral	
   districts	
   and	
   states,	
   we	
  
  have	
  the	
  clues	
  about	
  who	
  will	
  end	
  up	
  winning	
  on	
  November	
  6.	
  
  	
  
  There	
   is	
   no	
   poll	
   today	
   stating	
   a	
   Republican	
   victory.	
   There's	
   only	
   disagreement	
   on	
   seizing	
   the	
   distance	
  
  between	
  Obama	
  and	
  Romney.	
  
  	
  
  	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                 	
  
                                                                                   Source:	
  www.nytimes.com	
  
  	
  
  	
  


  #newCommunication	
  #newLeadership	
  #newPolitics	
                                                                                                                       7	
  


                 www.ingenia-­‐pro.com	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  @ingenia_pro	
  
	
  
                                                                                                                                                                       	
  
communication,	
  strategy	
  &	
  leadership	
  architects	
  	
  

  	
  	
  	
                                                                                                                                              	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  


  Related	
   to	
   the	
   swing	
   states:	
   all	
   surveys	
   show	
   that	
   states	
   where	
   the	
   presidency	
   will	
   be	
   decided	
   are	
  
  Colorado,	
  Florida,	
  Iowa	
  and	
  Ohio.	
  The	
  ideas,	
  the	
  proposals,	
  the	
  speeches,	
  the	
  tone,	
  the	
  approach	
  and	
  
  the	
  attitude	
  of	
  each	
  candidate	
  will	
  be	
  decisive	
  in	
  the	
  final	
  outcome.	
  
  	
  
  	
  
  	
  
  	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                         5.	
  The	
  Digital	
  campaign	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           	
  
  	
  
  	
  
  Fundraising	
   is	
   the	
   cornerstone's	
   architecture	
   of	
   any	
   campaign.	
   No	
   money	
   means	
   no	
   team,	
   no	
  
  research/polls/surveys,	
  no	
  ads,	
  no	
  TV	
  airtime,	
  neither	
  digital	
  campaign	
  or	
  consultants.	
  Political	
  Parties	
  
  and	
  candidates	
  make	
  donations	
  and	
  fund	
  their	
  essential	
  leit	
  motive.	
  
  	
  
  PACs	
  and	
  SuperPACS	
  (less	
  transparency,	
  accountability,	
  limits	
  to	
  the	
  amounts	
  donated,	
  not	
  identifying	
  
  donors...	
  requirements)	
  are	
  the	
  blood	
  heart	
  engine	
  of	
  campaigns.	
  During	
  the	
  first	
  quarter	
  of	
  2012,	
  the	
  
  Romney	
   campaign	
   and	
   the	
   RNC	
   raised	
   $107	
   million	
   USD.	
   While	
   President	
   Obama	
   and	
   the	
   DNC	
   have	
  
  collected	
  during	
  the	
  same	
  period	
  $127	
   million.	
  In	
  May	
  the	
  Romeny-­‐GOP	
  campaign	
  raised	
  $77	
   milions	
  
  while	
  the	
  Obama-­‐DNC	
  $61	
  milions.	
  
  	
  
  This	
  week	
  the	
  Federal	
   Election	
   Commission	
   (FEC)	
  has	
  authorized	
  to	
  extend	
  the	
  campaigns	
  fundraising	
  
  through	
  text	
  messaging	
  apps	
  on	
  mobile	
  devices.	
  40%	
  of	
  US	
  Americans	
  have	
  already	
  smartphones.	
  
  	
  
  Ethical	
  considerations	
  aside,	
  this	
  money	
  raised	
  is	
  used,	
  for	
  example,	
  to	
  give	
  the	
  campaign	
  the	
  state	
  of	
  
  the	
   art	
   technological	
   tools	
   to	
   easing	
   the	
   listening,	
   contact	
   and	
   engage	
   with	
   voters.	
   A	
   good	
   test	
   of	
   the	
  
  campaigns	
  commitment	
  to	
  innovation	
  is	
  the	
  digital	
  campaign.	
  
  	
  
  While	
  Romney's	
  campaign	
  will	
  based	
  on	
  TV	
  -­‐$1.2	
  Billion	
  Dolars	
  (€	
  950	
  millions)	
  are	
  stimated	
  on	
  TV	
  ads-­‐	
  
  which	
   remains	
   the	
   most	
   powerful	
   tool	
   to	
   amplify	
   the	
   message	
   and	
   election	
   ads,	
   we	
   see	
   a	
   Republican	
  
  digital	
  campaign	
  very	
  similar	
  to	
  2008,	
  the	
  same	
  use	
  and	
  very	
  little	
  new.	
  
  	
  
  	
  




  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
                                                                            	
  

  #newCommunication	
  #newLeadership	
  #newPolitics	
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8	
  


                                                                      www.ingenia-­‐pro.com	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  @ingenia_pro	
  
	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       	
  
communication,	
  strategy	
  &	
  leadership	
  architects	
  	
  

  	
  	
  	
                                                                                                         	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  


  	
  
  While	
   the	
   Obama	
   campaign	
   has	
   mastered	
   the	
   digital	
   campaign	
   and	
   don't	
   just	
   think	
   digital	
   campaign	
   is	
   a	
  
  one	
   more	
   seat	
   in	
   the	
   war-­‐room,	
   but	
   the	
   whole	
   campaign	
   is	
   already	
   digital,	
   it	
   is	
   thought	
   in	
   digital,	
   is	
  
  designed	
  in	
  digital	
  and	
  is	
  lived	
  in	
  digital:	
  
  	
  
  	
             -­‐	
  Research	
  tools	
  micro	
  and	
  nano	
  targeting	
  to	
  adapt	
  e-­‐mail	
  &	
  digital	
  messages	
  and	
  make	
  them	
  
  	
             effective	
  and	
  decisive	
  on	
  voters	
  as	
  the	
  result	
  of	
  the	
  power	
  of	
  information	
  and	
  statistics;	
  
  	
  
  	
             -­‐	
  Development	
  of	
  online	
  donors	
  strategy	
  and	
  easing	
  the	
  whole	
  procedure;	
  
  	
  
  	
             -­‐	
  Smart	
  digital	
  ads;	
  
  	
  
  	
             -­‐	
   Regional	
   Digital	
   Directors	
   campaign	
   in	
   all	
   states,	
   counties	
   and	
   districts:	
   the	
   campaign	
   is	
  	
  
  	
             becoming	
  the	
  	
  adding	
  of	
  self-­‐micro-­‐campaigns	
  that	
  make	
  a	
  huge	
  noise	
  	
  digital	
  movements.	
  
  	
  
  	
  
  The	
  difference	
  between	
  the	
  two	
  campaigns	
  is	
  significant,	
  the	
  results	
  surely	
  will	
  be	
  the	
  same.	
  Not	
  only	
  
  for	
  the	
  purpose	
  of	
  the	
  campaign	
  on	
  November	
  6,	
  but	
  for	
  the	
  future.	
  The	
  databases	
  are	
  real	
  treasures	
  
  and	
  paths	
  to	
  victory	
  in	
  the	
  future.	
  
  	
  
  	
  
  	
  

                                                                                                                                                                           Conclusion	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                	
  
  	
  




  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
                                                                                         	
  
                                                                                                                                                                    Source:	
  www.mittromney.com	
  
  	
  
  	
  
  Mitt	
   Romney:	
  a	
  leader	
  who	
  has	
  not	
  yet	
  been	
  defined	
  yet;	
  which	
  leadership	
  is	
  built	
  by	
  opposition;	
  non	
  
  charismatic,	
   not	
   exciting	
   neither	
   motivating	
   his	
   own	
   party	
   base;	
   going	
   negative;	
   without	
   taking	
   the	
  
  initiative;	
  on	
  the	
  defensive.	
  Yet	
  to	
  find	
  his	
  history	
  and	
  to	
  show	
  who	
  really	
  he	
  is	
  and	
  believes	
  ...	
  
  	
  

  #newCommunication	
  #newLeadership	
  #newPolitics	
                                                                                                                                                                  9	
  


                                                                      www.ingenia-­‐pro.com	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  @ingenia_pro	
  
	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  	
  
communication,	
  strategy	
  &	
  leadership	
  architects	
  	
  

  	
  	
  	
                        	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  


  This	
  does	
  not	
  mean	
  the	
  election	
  is	
  decided	
  and	
  that	
  the	
  result	
  will	
  be	
  presumed.	
  NO.	
  The	
  result	
  will	
  be	
  
  tighter	
   than	
   we	
   can	
   imagine.	
   But	
   the	
   Republican	
   candidate	
   could	
   win	
   if	
   he	
   takes	
   action	
   and	
   not	
   be	
  
  limited	
  only	
  to	
  collect	
  and	
  promote	
  disenchantment	
  with	
  President	
  Obama.	
  
  	
  
  If	
  the	
  conditions	
  do	
  not	
  change	
  Obama	
  can	
  lose	
  the	
  election,	
  by	
  the	
  now	
  time	
  Romney	
  seems	
  not	
  to	
  
  want	
  to	
  win.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                  	
  
                                                                                            @aleixcuberes	
  is	
  partner	
  &	
  consulant	
  at	
  @ingenia_pro	
  
  	
  




  #newCommunication	
  #newLeadership	
  #newPolitics	
                                                                                                                  10	
  


                 www.ingenia-­‐pro.com	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  @ingenia_pro	
  
	
  
                                                                                                                                                                  	
  

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Mitt Romney's xrayed 2012 Presidential Campaign

  • 1. communication,  strategy  &  leadership  architects                                 Mitt  Romney                                                                                                                                    Source:  www.mittromney.com                                                                                             #newCommunication  #newLeadership  #newPolitics   1   www.ingenia-­‐pro.com                            @ingenia_pro      
  • 2. communication,  strategy  &  leadership  architects                                 5  key  points  about  the  republican  options  to  win  the  White  Hose         Former  Massachusetts  Governor  Mitt  Romney's  campaign  has  secured  a  majority  of  delegates,  elected   in  the  primary  elections,  who,  at  the  August  GOP  Tampa  Convention  -­‐  (FL)  one  of  the  swing  states  -­‐,  will   nominate  him  as  the  Republican  candidate  on  the  November  6th  Presidential  Election.     A  year  after  the  New  Hampshire's  announcement  of  his  second  presidential  bid;  leading  the  race  from   the  very  beginning  stages;  having  exceeded  8  contenders  and  26  public  debates,  the  time  has  come  for   Romney  to  build  the  final  narrative  and  credible  alternative  to  President  Obama  he  wants  to  represent.     The  axes  on  which  to  build  Romney's  essence  are:       1.  Center  vs  Extrem       Will  Romney  be  able  to  dispute  the  political  and  electoral  center  to  president  Obama?   Will  Romney  be  able  to  convince  the  most  mythologized  republican,  conservative,  tea  partier  voter?     Karl   Rove  would  answer  yes  to  both  questions.  It's  not  a  matter  of  choice,  or  one  or  the  other,  but  a     win-­‐win  answer:   Yes   it's   possible   dispute   the   centrist   voters   to   Obama   and   ensure   more   emotional   and   traditional  Republican  voter  for  Romney.       Really?  Is  it  possible  to  square  this  circle?       It  seems  this  is  the  most  favorite  option  on  the  Republican  presidential  team.     Dismissed  the  option  of  burying  the  hatchet  and  a  staggering  a  big  hug  with  Sarah  Palin  -­‐the  emotional   distance,  wounds  and  the  allegations   untrue   Conservative  have  led  the   relationship   between   the   two   leaders  to  a  point  of  no  return-­‐,  especially  after  the  former  Alaska  Governor  had  publicly  endorsed  Newt   Gingrich,   and   praised   Rick   Santorum   and   Ron   Paul,   Romney   keeps   flirting   with   acting   roles   like   Ted   Nugent  who  rises  the  hate  speech  and  radical  patriotism  flag;  or  Donald   Trump  who  is  reinforcing  the   birther   cause:   denying   legitimacy   and   rights   of   citizenship   to   president   Obama,   accusing   him   of   not   being  born  in  the  US.     Currently   Romney   is   distancing   himself   from   these   individuals   but   the   final   picture   with   them   aims   to   bring   on   the   candidate   on   sectors   with   great   organization,   noise   making   and   influence   skills.   Is   it   enough?     -­‐  On  Foreign   Policy:  Romney's  positioning  shows  the  traditional  GOP  muscle  and  rigidity:  a  hawkish  hard   line  against  Iran  and  North  Korea;  enlisting  Russian  megalomania  and  president  Putin's  anxiety  of  power   enemies;  opposing  the  White  House  "indulgency"  with  the  Arabs  and  turned  back  point  on  traditional   Israel  ally,  even  encouraged  Prime  Minister  Netanyahu  to  adopt  more  hostile  attitudes.  "Cutting  federal   spending  yes,  but  not  on  National  Security  and  Defense  matters"  appealing  to  patriotism.     #newCommunication  #newLeadership  #newPolitics   2   www.ingenia-­‐pro.com                            @ingenia_pro      
  • 3. communication,  strategy  &  leadership  architects                                 -­‐   On   Economics:   it   will   be   the   main   issue   of   this   election.   The   Candidates   efforts   will   be   focused   on   -­‐ decreasingly-­‐  Middle  Class.  Romney's  team  attacks:  "Obama  is  not  ready,   he  has  no  experience  in  the   private   sector   and   points   out   the   failure   of   the   president   decisions   as   responsible   for   the   citizens   staggering   economic   fragility.   Instead   Mitt   Romney   has   created   jobs,   has   created   wealth   and   knows   the   course  the  economy  needs:  freer  markets  access  and  lower  taxes.     Is  this  the  direction  that  the  Romney  campaign  needs  to  win?  Probably  not  only.     Who  is  the  real  Mitt  Romney  and  what  their  cores  values?  There  is  no  building  of  leadership  -­‐still-­‐  able   to  answer  these  questions.     Is   it   enough   to   wannabe   the   antithesis   of   president   Obama?   It's   enough   for   building   the   Romney's   essence  and  soul?  Why  going  negative?     Romney's  team  has  not  yet  found  the   motto  of  this  campaign.  He  is  a  non-­‐charismatic  leader,  with  little   passion.  Flirting  with  populist  Republican  base  does  not  give  you  the  presidential  credibility  you  need  to   win  an  election.       2.  Completing  the  ticket:  the  vice-­‐presidency       One  of  the  tools  with  greater  capacity  to  help  the  Romney  campaign  to  build  their  leadership  style  is  the   person  who  will  join  the  Governor  on  the  Republican  ticket.  This  is  what  happened  in  2008.  The  same   expected   this   year.   Sarah   Palin's   vice   presidential   candidate   appointment   aroused   the   dormant   Republican   base   and   excited   it.   She   attracted   crowds   wherever   she   went.   Today   she   still   feds   her   public   lecturing  in  a  full  populist  mode  and  connecting  very  well  with  the  audience.                                                         #newCommunication  #newLeadership  #newPolitics   3   www.ingenia-­‐pro.com                            @ingenia_pro      
  • 4. communication,  strategy  &  leadership  architects                                 Four   years   later   the   Republican   campaign   is   looking   for   a   similar   momentum.   Romney   is   from   Massachusetts.   For   many   Republicans,   the   cradle   of   liberal   elitists.   Romney   is   disconnected   to   the   party's  traditional  religious  base.  Eve  his  Governor  term  inspired  Obamacare:  the  health  care  reform  of   President  Obama.     A  shock  is  being  waited  and  hoped  for  the  Republican  campaign  to  take  off,  to  provide  consistency  to   the  leader  and  also  put  the  Democrats  on  the  defensive.     Today   the   choice   of   the   young   latino   Senator   Marco   Rubio   (FL)   seems   aborted   with   the   last   move   of   President   Obama's   order   to   the   Department   of   Homeland   Security   to   stop   the   deportation   of   young   latino   illegal   immigrants.   If   the   Democrats   were   very   comfortable   with   the   proximity   of   the   latino   community,  this  tactical  move  is  like  a  torpedo  for  the  Republican  electoral  hopes.       But  still  sounds  hard  names  on  the  vp's  short-­‐list:  for  example  New  Jersey  Governor  Chris   Christie;  his   reputation   is   solid   and   strong,   has   a   popular   oratory   and   results   achiever   and   leadership   skills   crisis   tested  and  well  regarded  by  the  Republican  establishment.     Not  dismissing  the    names  that  could  be  a  key  confidence  and  important  moral  boost  for  the  religious   traditional   base   of   the   GOP   as   Rick   Santorum   -­‐with   a   $2   milions   debt   campaign-­‐,   one   of   the   few   references   able   of   unifying   the   tea   party   vote,   with   a   huge   strength   among   religious   voters   and   with   high   moral   values   that   at   the   same   time   will   alienate   the   Republican   Party's   political   center;   or   failed   presidential   candidate   Tim   Pawlenty,   one   of   the   highest   rated   conservative   icons   who   left   the   presidential  race  in  August  last  year.     On  the  other  hand  we  have  the  case  of  Texas  Congressman  Ron  Paul,  who  has  been  able  to  spread  the   excitement  and  hope  among  younger  voters,  with  his  libertarian  ideas  and  speeches.  Let's  pay  attention   to  the  movements  of  Dr.  Paul's  campaign,  who  want  to  amplify  their  influence,  not  only  with  regard  to   the  Republican  convention,  but  looking  ahead  in  the  future.  Despite  its  age,  the  future  of  the  party  will   pass  through  the  hands  of  the  Congressman  paulites  and  his  son  Rand,  Senator  from  Kentucky.     There's  always  room  for  a  surprise  and  non-­‐consolidated  names  at  national  level  like  the  Ohio  Senator   Robert  Portman.     Completing   the   presidential   ticket   is   a   clear   and   bold   gesture   to   determine   the   strategy   behind   this   movement.       3.  Ideas  vs  attacking       Positive  or  negative  Campaigning?  Poetry  or  prose?     Depending   the   option   each   team   chooses   each   we'll   know   the   emotional   state   of   mind   of   the   candidates:  who  feels  himself  as  a  leader/front-­‐runner/winner  and  who  is  able  to  set  the  campaign  pace   and  who  will  tow  and  go  defensive.     #newCommunication  #newLeadership  #newPolitics   4   www.ingenia-­‐pro.com                            @ingenia_pro      
  • 5. communication,  strategy  &  leadership  architects                                 Understanding  the  nuances  and  electoral  dynamics  favors  the  ideal  context  for  combat,  as  evidenced  by   the   election   ads   and   video-­‐politics   of   both   campaigns.   Beyond   that   noise   we   can   distinguishing   features   about  the  position  and  where  the  teams  put  different  accents.     In   the   case   of   President   Obama,   the   first   announcement   of   moving   towards   the   recognition   of   gay   marriage,   plus   the   more   powerful   gesture   to   the   Latino   community   stopping   deportation   of   young   latinos  put  on  the  table  a  campaign  of  ideas  and  values.  More  movements  like  this  ones  are  to  come.                                                                                     Newsweek  cover.     Romney's  campaign  is  building  the  candidate's  frame  through  a  belligerent  tone,  accusing  attitude  and   little  positive  active  proposal  ideas.  Today  the  Republican  campaign  has  not  yet  unveil  the  "expected"   economic,   education,   immigration   and   energy   plans.   The   goal   is   to   destroy   and   bring   down   the   opponent.  All  efforts  are  focused  on  this  goal:  not  defining  candidate  Romney  on  the  major  issues.     The   Obama   campaign   leads,   only   leaves   space   for   the   Republican   campaign   to   react,   usually   on   the   defensive  -­‐  and  shuns  personal  hunting  away  from  exploiting  the  religious  Mormon  Romney.  While  the   Republican   campaign   is   entertained   with   the   fireworks   on   legitimacy   of   the   president   or   whether   or   not   born  on  U.S.  soil.  In  the  end  it's  all  about  style.   #newCommunication  #newLeadership  #newPolitics   5   www.ingenia-­‐pro.com                            @ingenia_pro      
  • 6. communication,  strategy  &  leadership  architects                                   4.  Demographic  targets  and  swing  states       Looking  at  detail  the  key  demographic  groups  who  will  decide  this  election:       -­‐  Women:  in  2008  56%  voted  for  Obama,  43%  form  McCain;  Women  out-­‐voted  Men  more  than     10   Milion   votes.   66%   of   the   157   million   US   women   are   registered   to   vote,   according   to   the   U.S.     Census.         Birth   control,   reproductive   rights   and   especially   the   family   model,   in   which   Ann   Romney   or     Karen   Santorum   are   becoming   an   icon   of   this   policy     -­‐they   stayed   home   to   care   &   rise   their     families-­‐  and  equal  pay  will  be  the  focus  of  the  election  battle.       The   religious   bias   of   these   issues   enhances   both   campaigns   to   become   entrenched   in     traditional  positions  and  to  use  common  myths.  An  approach  for  fairer  treatment  for  women     and  appeal  to  their  freedom  and  economic  independence  is  in  favor  of  the  Democrats.         -­‐   White   men:   the   large   pool   of   traditional   Republican   votes.   This   is   where   the   Republican     campaign   plays   on   more   favorable   terms.   But   this   social   group   is   becoming   smaller   and   the     future  trend  is  to  become  less  decisive  and  influent.  This  is  one  of  the  black  holes  of  the  Obama     campaign.           -­‐   Latino:   Marco   Rubio   was   one   of   the   Republican   icons   for   a   generation   that   exemplified   the     social  upcoming  lift  that  works  and  that  the  GOP  is  not  hostile  to  the  latino  community,  despite     some  voices  and  initiatives  of  the  party  meaning  to  punish  anything  related  to  immigration.       However,   among   other   important   positions   in   government,   Sonia   Sotomayor   was   the   first     Latina   appointed   to   the   Supreme   Court   by   President   Obama.   The   pressure   of   the   Latino     community   organized   around   the   National   Council   of   La   Raza,   has   some   results   with   the     announcement   of   the   president   to   stop   deportations   of   undocumented   Latino   youth.   This     gesture  is  a  #GameChanger  making  the  Latino  community  even  closer  to  Democrats.         -­‐  Suburbans:  a  demographic  increasingly  important  group  in  the  US  social  geography  since  the     80s;   more   and   more   articulate   and   very   heterogeneous.   They   run   away   from   the   extremes.     They  feel  comfortable  in  the  center  and  on  social  moderation:  the  favor  on  family  new  forms,     the  extent  of  freedoms  and  civil  rights,  like  cultural  diversity  is  most  welcome.       In  this  scenario  the  Republican  campaign  suffers  a  lot  to  connect  with  voters.         -­‐  Milennials:  despite  the  frame  of  change  and  hope  Obama's  campaign  in  2008,  this  group  went     basically   to   Democrats,   the   reality   of   Government   and   the   fragile   economic   time   make   them     today  as  less  favorable  to  the  President  .   #newCommunication  #newLeadership  #newPolitics   6   www.ingenia-­‐pro.com                            @ingenia_pro      
  • 7. communication,  strategy  &  leadership  architects                                     But   a   too   conservative   Republican   Party   campaign   would   place   this   demographic   back   again   on     Democrats.  The  last  months  of  this  campaign,  especially  in  economic  terms  and  concepts  such     as  effort,  meritocracy  and  entrepreneurship  will  be  key  to  approach  milennials  preferences.         -­‐   Religious:   despite   the   fact   that   Romney   does   not   inspire   or   mobilize   these   voters,   Obama's     ideas   are   perceived   as   aggression.   Based   on   the   commitments   and   the   person   accompanying     Romney   on   the   presidential   ticket,   will   make   this   well-­‐organized   and   active   minority   getting     involved  in  the  campaign  or  staying  home.         -­‐  The  Middle  Class:  No  one  can  consider  winning  an  election  without  their  support.  Again  it  will     be  decisive  and  a  key  player.  Messages  on  economic  plans  and  recovery  of  confidence  will  be     essential  to  approach  these  voters.       However   this   demographic   and   economic   group   is   declining.  Every   time  more  and  more  people     are   falling   outside.   Soon   someone   will   be   asked   not   to   leave   orphans   these   voices   and   avoiding     a   huge   mistake   of   important   consequences.   Who   will   lead   and   who   give   credibility   to   these     people?       Given   these   social   cleavages,   and   their   distribution   on   the   different   electoral   districts   and   states,   we   have  the  clues  about  who  will  end  up  winning  on  November  6.     There   is   no   poll   today   stating   a   Republican   victory.   There's   only   disagreement   on   seizing   the   distance   between  Obama  and  Romney.         Source:  www.nytimes.com       #newCommunication  #newLeadership  #newPolitics   7   www.ingenia-­‐pro.com                            @ingenia_pro      
  • 8. communication,  strategy  &  leadership  architects                                 Related   to   the   swing   states:   all   surveys   show   that   states   where   the   presidency   will   be   decided   are   Colorado,  Florida,  Iowa  and  Ohio.  The  ideas,  the  proposals,  the  speeches,  the  tone,  the  approach  and   the  attitude  of  each  candidate  will  be  decisive  in  the  final  outcome.           5.  The  Digital  campaign         Fundraising   is   the   cornerstone's   architecture   of   any   campaign.   No   money   means   no   team,   no   research/polls/surveys,  no  ads,  no  TV  airtime,  neither  digital  campaign  or  consultants.  Political  Parties   and  candidates  make  donations  and  fund  their  essential  leit  motive.     PACs  and  SuperPACS  (less  transparency,  accountability,  limits  to  the  amounts  donated,  not  identifying   donors...  requirements)  are  the  blood  heart  engine  of  campaigns.  During  the  first  quarter  of  2012,  the   Romney   campaign   and   the   RNC   raised   $107   million   USD.   While   President   Obama   and   the   DNC   have   collected  during  the  same  period  $127   million.  In  May  the  Romeny-­‐GOP  campaign  raised  $77   milions   while  the  Obama-­‐DNC  $61  milions.     This  week  the  Federal   Election   Commission   (FEC)  has  authorized  to  extend  the  campaigns  fundraising   through  text  messaging  apps  on  mobile  devices.  40%  of  US  Americans  have  already  smartphones.     Ethical  considerations  aside,  this  money  raised  is  used,  for  example,  to  give  the  campaign  the  state  of   the   art   technological   tools   to   easing   the   listening,   contact   and   engage   with   voters.   A   good   test   of   the   campaigns  commitment  to  innovation  is  the  digital  campaign.     While  Romney's  campaign  will  based  on  TV  -­‐$1.2  Billion  Dolars  (€  950  millions)  are  stimated  on  TV  ads-­‐   which   remains   the   most   powerful   tool   to   amplify   the   message   and   election   ads,   we   see   a   Republican   digital  campaign  very  similar  to  2008,  the  same  use  and  very  little  new.                                                                                           #newCommunication  #newLeadership  #newPolitics   8   www.ingenia-­‐pro.com                            @ingenia_pro      
  • 9. communication,  strategy  &  leadership  architects                                   While   the   Obama   campaign   has   mastered   the   digital   campaign   and   don't   just   think   digital   campaign   is   a   one   more   seat   in   the   war-­‐room,   but   the   whole   campaign   is   already   digital,   it   is   thought   in   digital,   is   designed  in  digital  and  is  lived  in  digital:       -­‐  Research  tools  micro  and  nano  targeting  to  adapt  e-­‐mail  &  digital  messages  and  make  them     effective  and  decisive  on  voters  as  the  result  of  the  power  of  information  and  statistics;       -­‐  Development  of  online  donors  strategy  and  easing  the  whole  procedure;       -­‐  Smart  digital  ads;       -­‐   Regional   Digital   Directors   campaign   in   all   states,   counties   and   districts:   the   campaign   is       becoming  the    adding  of  self-­‐micro-­‐campaigns  that  make  a  huge  noise    digital  movements.       The  difference  between  the  two  campaigns  is  significant,  the  results  surely  will  be  the  same.  Not  only   for  the  purpose  of  the  campaign  on  November  6,  but  for  the  future.  The  databases  are  real  treasures   and  paths  to  victory  in  the  future.         Conclusion                                                                 Source:  www.mittromney.com       Mitt   Romney:  a  leader  who  has  not  yet  been  defined  yet;  which  leadership  is  built  by  opposition;  non   charismatic,   not   exciting   neither   motivating   his   own   party   base;   going   negative;   without   taking   the   initiative;  on  the  defensive.  Yet  to  find  his  history  and  to  show  who  really  he  is  and  believes  ...     #newCommunication  #newLeadership  #newPolitics   9   www.ingenia-­‐pro.com                            @ingenia_pro      
  • 10. communication,  strategy  &  leadership  architects                                 This  does  not  mean  the  election  is  decided  and  that  the  result  will  be  presumed.  NO.  The  result  will  be   tighter   than   we   can   imagine.   But   the   Republican   candidate   could   win   if   he   takes   action   and   not   be   limited  only  to  collect  and  promote  disenchantment  with  President  Obama.     If  the  conditions  do  not  change  Obama  can  lose  the  election,  by  the  now  time  Romney  seems  not  to   want  to  win.       @aleixcuberes  is  partner  &  consulant  at  @ingenia_pro     #newCommunication  #newLeadership  #newPolitics   10   www.ingenia-­‐pro.com                            @ingenia_pro