The 2009 Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) results were released by the Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) on December 7 in Paris, France. During a live webcast on December 7, Andreas Schleicher of the OECD presented the results of the study including performance results and an analysis of the common elements of high-performing education systems.
1. Programme for International Student Assessment
1
1
What students know and can do
PISA 2009
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
Evaluating systems to improve education
The yardstick for success is no longer improvement by national
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
standards alone but the best performing education systems
Andreas Schleicher
Special advisor to the Secretary-General on Education Policy
Head of the Indicators and Analysis Division, EDU
2. 2
2
PISA 2009 in brief
PISA countries in 2001
2003
2000
2009
2006
1998
What students know and can do
Over half a million of world economy 83%
Coverage students… 87%
86%
85%
81%
77%
representing 28 million 15-year-olds in 74* countries/economies
… took an internationally agreed 2-hour test…
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
Goes beyond testing whether students can
reproduce what they were taught…
… to assess students’ capacity to extrapolate from what they
know and creatively apply their knowledge in novel situations
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
… and responded to questions on…
their personal background, their schools
and their engagement with learning and school
Parents, principals and system leaders provided data on…
school policies, practices, resources and institutional factors
that help explain performance differences .
* Data for Costa Rica, Georgia, India, Malaysia, Malta, Mauritius, Venezuela and Vietnam will be published in December 2011
3. 3
3
PISA 2009 in brief
PISA countries in 2001
2003
2000
2009
2006
1998
What students know and can do
PISA seeks to… of world economy 83%
Coverage 87%
86%
85%
81%
77%
… Support governments to prepare students…
… to deal with more rapid change than ever before…
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
… for jobs that have not yet been created…
… using technologies that have not yet been invented…
… to solve problems that we don’t yet know will arise
… Provide a basis for policy dialogue and global
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
collaboration in defining and implementing
educational goals, policies and practices
– Show countries what achievements are possible
– Help governments set policy targets in terms of
measurable goals achieved elsewhere
– Gauge the pace of educational progress
– Facilitate peer-learning on policy and practice .
4. 5
5 How the demand for skills has changed
What students know and can do
Economy-wide measures of routine and non-routine task input (US)
Mean task input as percentiles of the 1960 task distribution
65
Routine manual
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
60
Nonroutine manual
55
Routine cognitive
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
50
Nonroutine analytic
45
Nonroutine interactive
40
1960 1970 1980 The dilemma of 2002
1990 schools:
The skills that are easiest to teach and
test are also the ones that are easiest to
(Levy and Murnane)
digitise, automate and outsource
5. PISA What students know and can do
OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher
International Student Assessment 7 December 2010 11
11
What 15-year-olds can do
6. Shanghai-China
High reading performance
17
17 Average performance
of 15-year-olds in
What students know and can do
Korea
540.000
Finland reading – extrapolate
Hong Kong-China
and apply
Singapore
Canada
New Zealand 520.000
Japan
Australia
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
Belgium Netherlands
Northeast
Poland, Switzerland Norway , Estonia
Midwest
United States Iceland
500.000
Germany, Sweden Liechtenstein
France, Ireland Chinese Taipei
Hungary, United Kingdom Denmark
Portugal
Macao-China Italy
West
Latvia
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
Slovenia Greece
South
Spain
480.000
Slovak Republic, Czech Republic Croatia
Luxembourg, Israel
Austria Lithuania
Turkey
460.000
Dubai (UAE) Russian Federation
Chile
Serbia
440.000
55 45 35 25
… 17 countries perform below this line
Low reading performance
7. High reading performance
28
28 Average performance
Highof 15-year-olds in
What students know and can do
High average performance average performance
Large socio-economic disparities
science – extrapolate
High social equity
and apply
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
Strong socio- Socially equitable
economic impact on distribution of learning
student performance opportunities
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
Low average performance Low average performance
Large socio-economic disparities High social equity
Low reading performance
8. Australia High reading performance
29
29 Belgium
2009 2009
Canada Durchschnittliche
What students know and can do
High average performance High average performance
Chile
Czech Rep Large socio-economic disparities
Schülerleistungen im
High social equity
Denmark Bereich Mathematik
Finland
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
Iceland
Ireland
Israel
Strong socio- Socially equitable
Italy
economic impact on distribution of learning
Japan
student performance opportunities
Korea
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
Luxembourg
Mexico
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Spain
Low average performance Low average performance
Sweden
SwitzerlandLarge socio-economic disparities High social equity
UK 55 45 35 25 1
US Low reading performance
9. Australia High reading performance
30
30 Belgium 2009
Canada Durchschnittliche
What students know and can do
High average performance High average performance
Chile
Czech Rep Large socio-economic disparities
Schülerleistungen im
High social equity
Denmark Bereich Mathematik
Finland
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
Iceland
Ireland
Israel
Strong socio- Socially equitable
Italy
economic impact on distribution of learning
Japan
student performance opportunities
Korea
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
Luxembourg
Mexico
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Spain
Low average performance Low average performance
Sweden
SwitzerlandLarge socio-economic disparities High social equity
UK
US Low reading performance
10. Australia High reading performance
31
31 Belgium 2000
Canada Durchschnittliche
What students know and can do
High average performance High average performance
Chile
Czech Rep Large socio-economic disparities
Schülerleistungen im
High social equity
Denmark Bereich Mathematik
Finland
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
Iceland
Ireland
Israel
Strong socio- Socially equitable
Italy
economic impact on distribution of learning
Japan
student performance opportunities
Korea
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
Luxembourg
Mexico
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Spain
Low average performance Low average performance
Sweden
SwitzerlandLarge socio-economic disparities High social equity
UK
US Low reading performance
11. Australia High reading performance
32
32 Belgium 2000
Canada Durchschnittliche
What students know and can do
High average performance High average performance
Chile
Czech Rep Large socio-economic disparities
Schülerleistungen im
High social equity
Denmark Bereich Mathematik
Finland
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
Iceland
Ireland
Israel
Strong socio- Socially equitable
Italy
economic impact on distribution of learning
Japan
student performance opportunities
Korea
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
Luxembourg
Mexico
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Spain
Low average performance Low average performance
Sweden
SwitzerlandLarge socio-economic disparities High social equity
UK
US Low reading performance
12. PISA What students know and can do
OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher
International Student Assessment 7 December 2010 55
55
Quality differences between schools
13. What students know and can do
PISA Variance
OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher
58
100
100
80
60
20
20
40
60
80
40
0
International Student Assessment 7 December 2010 58
Argentina
Trinidad and Tobago
Italy
Qatar
Turkey
Bulgaria
Israel
Panama
Germany
Peru
Hungary
between schools
Dubai (UAE)
Austria
Belgium
Luxembourg
students within schools
Netherlands
Japan
Performance differences
Performance variation of
Chile
Uruguay
Greece
Brazil
Czech Republic
Slovenia
Romania
Croatia
Serbia
United States
Mexico
Singapore
Jordan
Kyrgyzstan
Colombia
Montenegro
Hong Kong-China
Albania
Tunisia
Slovak Republic
Liechtenstein
Kazakhstan
Macao-China
Ireland
United Kingdom
Chinese Taipei
Korea
Switzerland
Australia
New Zealand
Portugal
Shanghai-China
Azerbaijan
Russian Federation
between and within schools
Canada
Sweden
Lithuania
Indonesia
Spain
Poland
Variability in student performance
Estonia
Latvia
Iceland
Thailand
Denmark
Norway
Finland
14. PISA What students know and can do
OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher
International Student Assessment 7 December 2010 59
59
more inequitable education system ?
Does a more unequal society necessarily imply a
15. 60
60
0
Percentage of explained variance in student performance
Low income equality Macao-China High income equality
What students know and can do
High educational equity High educational equity
Qatar
5 Hong Kong-China
Iceland
Indonesia Estonia Azerbaijan
Japan Finland
Tunisia Jordan Norway
Trinidad and Tobago Montenegro Canada Serbia
10
Andreas Schleicher
Latvia Korea Albania
7 December 2010
Russian Federation Italy Kazakhstan Croatia Slovak Republic
Brazil
Thailand Israel Ireland Greece Czech Republic
Lithuania Australia Netherlands
OECD average United Kingdom Romania Sweden
Spain
15 Poland Switzerland
Mexico Singapore Kyrgyzstan Slovenia Denmark
Colombia Portugal France Austria
United States New Zealand Luxembourg
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
Panama Chile Turkey Germany
20 Argentina
Bulgaria Belgium
Uruguay
OECD average
Low income equality High income equality
25 Low educational equity Low educational equity
Hungary
Peru
30
0.6 0.55 0.5 0.45 0.4 0.35 0.3 0.25 0.2
Income inequality (Gini-coefficient)
16. PISA What students know and can do
OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher
International Student Assessment 7 December 2010 61
61
How do social background
and learning outcomes interact?
17. 73 School performance and socio-economic background
73
United States
What students know and can do
Private school
Public school in rural area
Public school in urban area
School performance and schools’ socio-economic background
Student performance and students’ socio-economic background within schools
700
643
Thousands
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
Student performance
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
350
-2 -1 0 1 2
Disadvantage PISA Index of socio-economic background Advantage
18. PISA What students know and can do
OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher
%
0
10
30
40
50
60
70
80
20
International Student Assessment 7 December 2010 80
80
Shanghai-China
Hong Kong-China
Korea
Macao-China
Singapore
Finland
Japan
Turkey
Canada
Portugal
Chinese Taipei
Poland
New Zealand
Spain
students among
Liechtenstein
Estonia
Netherlands
disadvantaged students
More than 30% resilient
Italy
Switzerland
Latvia
Australia
OECD average
France
Belgium
Ireland
Iceland
Mexico
United States
Greece
Thailand
Croatia
Tunisia
Norway
Hungary
social background)
Sweden
Slovenia
Indonesia
Denmark
Chile
United Kingdom
students among
Israel
Colombia
Resilient student: Comes from the bottom
quarter of the socially most disadvantaged
Germany
students internationally (after accounting for
disadvantaged students
Brazil
students but performs among the top quarter of
Czech Republic
Slovak Republic
Between 15%-30% of resilient
Luxembourg
Lithuania
disadvantaged students
Austria
Russian Federation
Trinidad and Tobago
Uruguay
Serbia
Jordan
Albania
Argentina
Dubai (UAE)
Romania
Percentage of resilient students among
Bulgaria
Panama
Montenegro
Kazakhstan
Peru
students among
Azerbaijan
Less than 15% resilient
Qatar
disadvantaged students
Kyrgyzstan
19. PISA What students know and can do
OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher
International Student Assessment 7 December 2010 95
95
Does it all matter?
20. 96 Increased likelihood of postsec. particip. at age 19/21
96
associated with PISA reading proficiency at age 15 (Canada)
What students know and can do
after accounting for school engagement, gender, mother tongue,
place of residence, parental, education and family income
(reference group PISA Level 1)
Odds ratio
higher
Andreas Schleicher
education
20
7 December 2010
entry
18
16
14
12
10
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
8
6
4
2
0
Age 19
Age 21
Level 5
Age 21 Level 4
Level 3
Level 2
21. PISA What students know and can do
OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher
2
International Student Assessment 7 December 2010 102
10
What does it all mean?
22. PISA What students know and can do
OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher
3
International Student Assessment 7 December 2010 103
10
systems
Some lessons
from successful
23. 10
105 A commitment to education and the belief
that competencies can be learned and
What students know and can do
5 therefore all children can achieve
Universal educational standards and
personalisation as the approach to
heterogeneity in the student body…
Andreas Schleicher
… as opposed to a belief that students have
7 December 2010
different destinations to be met with different
Lessons from PISA
expectations, and selection/stratification as
on successful
the approach to heterogeneity
Clear articulation who is responsible for
education systems
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
ensuring student success and to whom
24. High reading performance
10
107 2009
Durchschnittliche
What students know and can do
High average performance High average performance
7 Schülerleistungen im
Large socio-economic disparities High social equity
Bereich Mathematik
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
Strong socio- Socially equitable
economic impact on distribution of learning
student performance opportunities
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
Early selection and
Low average performance Low average performance
institutional differentiation
Large socio-economic disparities High social equity
High degree of stratification
Low degree of stratification Low reading performance
25. 10
108
Clear ambitious goals that are shared across
What students know and can do
8 the system and aligned with high stakes
gateways and instructional systems
Well established delivery chain through which
curricular goals translate into instructional
systems, instructional practices and student
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
learning (intended, implemented and achieved)
Lessons of metacognitive content of
High level from PISA
instruction
on successful
education systems
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
26. 10
109 School autonomy, standardised exams
and student performance
What students know and can do
9 PISA score in reading
500
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
490
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
School autonomy in resource
allocation
Schools with more autonomy
480 483
Schools with less autonomy
Systems with
standards-based Systems without
exams standards-based
exams
System’s accountability arrangements
27. 11
110
What students know and can do
0
Capacity at the point of delivery
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
Attracting, developing and retaining high quality
Lessons from PISAand a work
teachers and school leaders
organisation in which they can use their
on successful
potential
education systems
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
Instructional leadership and human resource
management in schools
Keeping teaching an attractive profession
System-wide career development
28. 11
111
What students know and can do
1 Incentives, accountability, knowledge management
Aligned incentive structures
For students
How gateways affect the strength, direction, clarity and nature of
the incentives operating on students at each stage of their education
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
Degree to which students have incentives to take tough courses and
study hard
Lessons from PISA
Opportunity costs for staying in school and performing well
For teacherson successful
Make innovations in pedagogy and/or organisation
Improveeducation systems
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
their own performance
and the performance of their colleagues
Pursue professional development opportunities
that lead to stronger pedagogical practices
A balance between vertical and lateral accountability
Effective instruments to manage and share knowledge and
spread innovation – communication within the system and
with stakeholders around it
A capable centre with authority and legitimacy to act
29. School autonomy, accountability
11
116 and student performance
What students know and can do
Impact of school autonomy on performance in systems with and without
6 PISA score in reading
accountability arrangements
500
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
495
490
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
School autonomy in resource
allocation
Schools with more autonomy
480
Schools with less autonomy
Systems with more
accountability Systems with less
accountability
System’s accountability arrangements
30. 12
121
What students know and can do
Public and private schools
Government schools Observed performance difference
Government dependent private
1 Government independent private
Difference after accounting for socio-economic
background of students and schools
0 20 40 60 80 -150
100 -100 -50 0 50 100
%
Australia
Austria Score point difference
Canada
Chile
Czech Republic
Andreas Schleicher
Denmark
7 December 2010
Estonia
Finland
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Iceland
Ireland
Israel
Italy
Japan Private schools
Korea
perform better
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
Luxembourg
Mexico
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway Public schools
Poland perform better
Portugal
Slovak Republic
Slovenia
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
Turkey
United Kingdom
United States
Argentina
Brazil
Hong Kong-China
Indonesia
Jordan
Russian Federation
Shanghai-China
Singapore
Chinese Taipei
31. 12
123
What students know and can do
3
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
Lessons from PISA
on successful
education systems
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
Investing resources where they can make
most of a difference
Alignment of resources with key challenges (e.g.
attracting the most talented teachers to the
most challenging classrooms)
Effective spending choices that prioritise high
quality teachers over smaller classes
32. 12
124
What students know and can do
4
Andreas Schleicher
A learning system
7 December 2010
Lessons from PISA
An outward orientation of the system to keep
the system learning, international benchmarks
as the ‘eyes’ and ‘ears’ onthe system
of successful
education systems
Recognising challenges and potential future
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
threats to current success, learning from them,
designing responses and implementing these
33. 12 Coherence of policies and practices
125
What students know and can do
5 Alignmentaspects of the system
across all
of policies
Coherence of policies
over sustained periods of time
Consistency of implementation
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
Fidelity of implementation
(without excessive control) from
Lessons PISA
on successful
education systems
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
34. 12
126 Education reform trajectories
What students know and can do
6 The old bureaucratic system The modern enabling system Student inclusion
Some students learn at high levels All students need to learn at high levels
Andreas Schleicher
Curriculum, instruction and assessment
7 December 2010
Routine cognitive skills, rote learning Learning to learn, complex ways of
thinking, ways of working
Teacher quality
PISA
International Student Assessment
OECD Programme for
Few years more than secondary High-level professional knowledge workers
Work organisation
‘Tayloristic’, hierarchical Flat, collegial
Accountability
Primarily to authorities Primarily to peers and stakeholders
35. PISA What students know and can do
OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher
7
International Student Assessment 7 December 2010 127
12
Beyond schooling
36. Score pointWhat students know and can do
PISA difference
OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher
8
0
20
40
60
80
100
International Student Assessment 7 December 2010 128 120
12
Israel
Singapore
Belgium
Qatar
Macao-China
Italy
France
Hong Kong-China
Switzerland
Denmark
United Kingdom
Liechtenstein
Dubai (UAE)
Greece
Kyrgyzstan
Uruguay
Argentina
Shanghai-China
Germany
Spain
New Zealand
Australia
Slovak Republic
Sweden
Brazil
Hungary
Performance advantage after
Luxembourg
Observed performance advantage
Mexico
Thailand
Trinidad and Tobago
Canada accounting for socio-economic factors
OECD average
Chinese Taipei
Indonesia
Poland
Iceland
Kazakhstan
Panama
Romania
Czech Republic
Japan
Tunisia
Peru
Austria
Jordan
Bulgaria
Norway
Albania
Azerbaijan
Russian Federation
Colombia
Portugal
Chile
United States
Lithuania
Turkey
Serbia
Montenegro
Netherlands
Ireland
primary school for more than one year and those who did not
Slovenia
Croatia
Performance difference between students who had attended pre-
Finland
Korea
Latvia
Estonia
37. PISA What students know and can do
OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher
9
International Student Assessment 7 December 2010 129
12
Score point difference
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
Lithuania
ong Kong-China
Macao-China
Croatia
Portugal
Italy
Panama
Chile
“read books"
Korea
Parental support
Denmark
Hungary
(weekly or daily) and those who do not:
Qatar
at the beginning of primary school
Germany
New Zealand
Score point difference between students whose parents often do
38. PISA What students know and can do
OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher
0
International Student Assessment 7 December 2010 130
Score point difference
10
30
40
50
60
20
-10
0
Lithuania
Germany
Denmark
Croatia
Hong Kong-China
Korea
Macao-China
Portugal
Hungary
primary school
New Zealand
Chile
(weekly or daily) and those who do not:
"talk about what they had done"
Italy
Panama
13 Parental support at the beginning of
Qatar
Score point difference between students whose parents often do
39. PISA What students know and can do
OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher
1
International Student Assessment 7 December 2010 131
13
Score point difference
15
20
25
30
35
10
0
5
Lithuania
Panama
Korea
Macao-China
Hungary
ong Kong-China
Germany
Croatia
Portugal
Chile
(weekly or daily) and those who do not:
Denmark
Parental support at age 15
New Zealand
Italy
"discuss books, films or televisions programmes"
Score point difference between students whose parents often do
Qatar
40. 13
132
What students know and can do
2
Find out more about PISA at…
OECD www.pisa.oecd.org
– All national and international publications
Andreas Schleicher
7 December 2010
– The complete micro-level database
U.S. White House www.data.gov
Thank you !
Email: Andreas.Schleicher@OECD.org
PISA
International Student Assessment
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… and remember:
Without data, you are just another person with an opinion