The document provides a summary of derivative market activity in India for June 28, 2010. It notes that open interest for Nifty futures decreased by 29.67% due to contract expiry, while the Nifty closed at 5269.05 levels. Put-call ratios decreased and implied volatility was 18%. Some individual stocks saw increases or decreases in open interest. Analysts provide comments on expected market movements and strategies such as bull-call spreads and bear-put spreads.
Building pressure? Rising rents, and what to expect in the future
Nifty Futures OI Decreases 29.67
1. Derivative Report
India Research
June 28, 2010
Comments
Nifty Vs OI
The Nifty futures’ open interest decreased by 29.67%,
while, Minifty futures open interest decreased by
31.44%, due to expiry. Market closed at 5269.05
levels.
The Nifty July future closed at a premium of 14.65
points, against a discount of 3.75 points in the last
trading session, while the Aug future also closed at a
premium of 16.35 points.
The PCR-OI decreased from 1.87 to 1.29 points.
The Implied volatility of At-the-money options is 18%.
The total OI of the market is Rs.1,05286cr and the
stock futures OI is Rs31,158cr.
Some liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are
RELMEDIA, RCOM, NOIDATOLL, ISPATIND and TTML.
OI Gainers
View
OI PRICE
SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE A blend of short formations and long unwinding
(%) (%) was visible in the Index futures from FIIs side. They
formed some short positions in the Stock futures. As
BPCL 3544000 37.23 620.70 12.70
suggested by SGX Nifty we may see a flattish
IOC 4192000 36.33 377.95 10.71 opening. Day traders can trade with negative bias
today.
HINDPETRO 8256000 19.40 402.20 14.41
APIL 351500 13.28 662.75 5.13 In the last trading session, most of the Put options
added significant open interest. However, there was
CHENNPETRO 885000 13.14 250.45 2.62 no significant change on the Call side.
OI Losers NTPC is showing a positive move from its support
levels. We expect a positive move up to Rs202.
OI PRICE Traders can form long positions around Rs196, with
SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE the stop loss of Rs 194.
(%) (%)
Some profit booking was visible in PNB in the last
ABB 603500 -43.36 873.35 -1.09
trading session and most of the banking counters
BGRENERGY 269500 -42.18 700.45 -2.61 are weak. We may see a negative move in the
ASIANPAINT 23875 -38.94 2399.45 -2.46
stock. Traders can trade with negative bias for the
target of Rs 1010, with the stop loss of Rs1058.
UNIONBANK 1257000 -38.73 303.75 -2.68
ROLTA 2084000 -34.93 168.50 -1.61
Put-Call Ratio Historical Volatility
SCRIP PCR-OI PCR-VOL SCRIP HV
NIFTY 1.29 1.21 HINDPETRO 78.57
RELIANCE 0.17 0.13 BPCL 72.38
BANKNIFTY 8.49 3.22 IOC 65.50
TATASTEEL 0.40 0.33 ONGC 45.62
ONGC 1.04 0.79 ESSAROIL 51.89
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2. Derivative Report | India Research
FII Statistics for 25-June-2010 Turnover on 25-June-2010
Open Interest
No. of Turnover Change
Detail Buy Sell Net Instrument
Contracts (Rs. in cr.) (%)
Contracts Value Change
(Rs. in cr.) (%)
INDEX Index Futures 679154 16600.82 -39.84
1251.28 2855.00 (1,603.71) 661310 17348.79 1.37
FUTURES
INDEX Stock Futures 631332 18255.94 -47.21
6007.26 4330.67 1,676.59 1458760 38394.77 8.19
OPTIONS
STOCK Index Options 1506232 39874.25 -55.22
1044.75 1280.68 (235.94) 1039211 27037.06 1.04
FUTURES
STOCK Stock Options 90732 2691.44 -25.52
89.90 71.50 18.40 14869 408.21 59.74
OPTIONS
TOTAL 8393.19 8537.85 (144.66) 3174150 83188.84 4.46 Total 2907450 77422.45 -50.00
Nifty Spot = 5269.05 Lot Size = 50
Bull-Call Spreads Bear-Put Spreads
Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP
Buy 5400 71.95 Buy 5300 113.90
36.00 64.00 5436.00 31.80 68.20 5268.20
Sell 5500 35.95 Sell 5200 82.10
Buy 5400 71.95 Buy 5300 113.90
54.95 145.05 5454.95 54.80 145.20 5245.20
Sell 5600 17.00 Sell 5100 59.10
Buy 5500 35.95 Buy 5200 82.10
18.95 81.05 5518.95 23.00 77.00 5177.00
Sell 5600 17.00 Sell 5100 59.10
Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (July Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation
Nifty Put-Call Analysis
For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 2
3. Derivative Report | India Research
Strategy Date Scrip Strategy Status
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