ARO Break Out Group 2 / Modelling & Forecasting - East of England Forecasting Model and West Midlands IPM. These presentations were given on Wednesday 27th January 2010.

1. ‘ The Environmental Limits on Returning to Economic Growth’ Break-Out Session Two: Examples of Modelling and Forecasting With Andrew Jamieson, Andrew Hermann and Oliver Nicholls

2. East of England Economic Forecasting Andrew Jamieson (EEDA Insight East) at ARO, 27 th Jan 2010

8. Insight East Front Page Click on ‘Forecast Model’

9. EEFM first page Technical Report

10. Spring 2009 Results page Scenarios

12. Spring 2009 Economic Forecasts Baseline and scenarios, and two different spreadsheet formats for each

13. Economic Forecasts – local area (1) Here is the document to click on

14. Economic Forecasts – local area (2) Geographic area tabs Use top line to check location

15. Economic Forecasts – variables (1) 28 industry sectors

16. Economic Forecasts – variables (2)

17. Spring 2009 RSS Scenarios

18. Integrated Policy Model Andrew Hermann West Midlands Regional Observatory West Midlands Regional Observatory 2009

23. How the IPM works What are the key relationships in the model? West Midlands Regional Observatory 2009 Jobs (by LAD and sector) Resident workers (by LAD and occupation) Occupied floorspace (by LAD and property type) Occupied dwellings(by LAD) Population (by LAD) Retired population (by LAD Dwellings(by LAD) Floorspace (by LAD and property type) Transport costs between each pair of LADs Utility of Environment indicator (by LAD) Availability of land for housing (by LAD) Availability of land for offices, retail, industry

26. Modelling Environmental Impact West Midlands Regional Observatory 2009

27. Modelling Environmental Impact West Midlands Regional Observatory 2009 2015

28. Modelling Environmental Impact West Midlands Regional Observatory 2009 2020