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Investing For Your Future 1:
     Basic Concepts and
    Investment Products



 Barbara O’Neill, Ph.D., CFP®, AFC, CHC
     Rutgers Cooperative Extension
       oneill@aesop.rutgers.edu
Webinar Objectives
• Discuss basic investing concepts and
  terminology
• Discuss characteristics of stocks and bonds
• Discuss common investment frauds
• Discuss investor education and investor
  protection resources
Investing is an Important Part of
 the Financial Planning Process
The Difference Between
 Saving and Investing


Saving
         Both

                Investing
The Difference Between Saving
            and Investing
  • Saving:
      – Money held in a short-term cash assets
      – Money used for emergencies and specific purchases
      – Low risk, low reward


  • Investing:
      – Money used to increase net worth and achieve long-
        term financial goals
      – High risk, high POTENTIAL reward
Resource: http://www.finweb.com/financial-planning/saving-vs-investing.html
Investing Videos

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UaPfs1WY9QM
(commoncraft®)


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2DBdWeTxXeU&feat
ure=related (ING)
Why People Invest
• To achieve financial goals, such as purchase of a
  new car, down payment on a home, or a child’s
  education

• To increase current income (e.g., retirees)

• To build wealth over time

• For financial security and peace of mind

• To have funds available during retirement years
Invest for Long-Term Goals

http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/pdfs/goalsettingworksheet.pdf



   Source: Garman/Forgue, PERSONAL FINANCE, Fifth Edition




                                                            9
Taxable vs. Tax-Deferred Investing
         $250,000




                                                                                                                  244,700
         $200,000

         $150,000




                                                                                                        160,300
                                                                                              157,900
         $100,000




                                                                                    112,200
                                                                           98,800
                          27,600

                                   31,300




                                                                  75,800
          $50,000
                                                         58,600
                                                48,300


                $0
                     10yrs                      15yrs             20yrs             25yrs               30yrs
  Taxable Returns (at 28%)                  Garman/Forgue, PERSONAL FINANCE, Fifth Edition, Tax-
                                            Sheltered Returns are Greater than Taxable Returns
   Tax-Deferred Returns                     (Illustration: 8% Annual Return and $2,000 Annual Contribution)


Calculator: http://www.calcxml.com/do/inv07
Tax-Exempt and
      Tax-Deferred Investing
    Tax-exempt                    Tax-Deferred
– No taxes owed on            – Taxes postponed until an
  money earned on               investment is sold or
  investment                    earnings are withdrawn
– Examples - U.S. savings     – Examples - many
  bonds are exempt from         retirement accounts such
  state tax and municipal       as Traditional IRAs and
  bonds and Roth IRAs
                                401(k)s and 403(b)s
  (with qualifications) are
  exempt from federal tax
Categories of Investments
• Ownership (Equity): Own something
  – Stocks and stock funds
  – Real estate and REITS (real estate investment trusts)
  – Collectibles
  – Commodities


• Loanership (Fixed-Income): Lend money
  – Bonds and bond funds
  – Certificates of Deposit (CDs)
Investment Pre-requisites
• Adequate emergency fund

• Adequate insurance

• No or low consumer debt balance

• Written financial SMART goals

• An “investor’s mindset”
Know Your Net Worth
• What do you own? ASSETS

• What do you owe? LIABILITIES

• Net Worth = Assets – Liabilities
  Example: $250,000 assets - $125,000 debts
            = $125,000 net worth

http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/pdfs/networthcalcworksheet.pdf (Print)

http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/default.asp#resources (Excel)
Sample Net Worth Worksheet
ASSETS                                                                 VALUE
 Cash, savings account, money market funds, CDs
 Investments
 Personal Property, Cars, Motorcycle, Home Furnishings
 Life Insurance Cash Value
 Retirement Accounts, IRA, SEP
 Real estate, Personal Property, Money Owed to You
LIABILITIES                                                            VALUE
 Loans – car, education, personal
 Mortgage
 Other Loans
 Taxes Owed
                                    Net Worth = Assets – Liabilities
Where to “Find” Money to Invest
• Develop a spending plan                  • Collect loose change
• Reduce spending on                       • Continue loan repayments
  “lattes”                                   to yourself
• Pay yourself first (PYF)                 • “Moonlight” for extra income
  automatically
                                           • Sell items you don’t need
• Employer matching (“free
                                           • Search for unclaimed
  money”)
                                             money
• Save bonus/tax
  refund/windfall money


Resource: www.investing.rutgers.edu (Unit 3, Investing For Your Future)
What $20 a Week in Investment
    Deposits Adds Up To
   5% Return:             10% Return:

– 20 Years: $36,100    – 20 Years: $65,500

– 30 Years: $72,600    – 30 Years: $188,200

– 40 Years: $131,900   – 40 Years: $506,300
The Rule of 72
• Calculates the number of years it takes for principal to
  double
   – Number of Years = 72 divided by interest rate
   – Example: 72 ÷ 6% = 12 years


• Calculates the interest rate it takes for principal to
  double
   – Interest rate = 72 divided by number of years

  http://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/04/040104.asp#axz
  z1rH9rDBUo

  http://www.moneychimp.com/features/rule72.htm (calculator)
The Rule of 72
Source: Garman/Forgue, PERSONAL FINANCE, Fifth Edition
The Risk-Reward Trade-Off




Source: Garman/Forgue, PERSONAL FINANCE, Fifth Edition
Risk (Chance of Loss)
• There is no such thing as a “perfect” investment
  (risk-free, tax-free, high return)
• All investments have some type of risk
• Risk can be caused by:
  –   Inflation
  –   Changes in the economy
  –   Political uncertainty (home and/or abroad)
  –   Business failure
  –   Interest rate changes

  http://www.finra.org/Investors/SmartInvesting/Advanced
  Investing/ManagingInvestmentRisk/
Investment Risks
• Business (Failure) Risk  affects individual company
  stocks and corporate bonds (when business is not profitable)
• Market Risk  the risk of being in the market versus in a
  risk-free asset (stock prices follow market cycles)
• Interest Rate Risk  the value of bonds or preferred stock
  may increase or decrease with changes in interest rates
• Inflation Risk  your investment return may not keep pace
  with inflation and you lose purchasing power
• Currency Risk  changes in investment value related to the
  value of the U.S. dollar
• Political Risk  the risk of political instability in an
  interconnected global economy
Techniques to Offset Risk
• Diversification
  – Putting your money, “your eggs,” into several “baskets” (e.g.,
    stocks, bonds, cash, real estate)

  – http://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/assetallocation.htm
  – http://www.investopedia.com/articles/02/111502.asp#axzz1rH9rDBUo



• Dollar-Cost Averaging
  – Investing regular amounts at regular intervals regardless of price
  – Examples: $50 on the 1st of every month or 6% of your gross
    income every payday
  – Lowers average share price cost over time
  – https://www.americancentury.com/calculator/dollar_cost_averaging_calc
    ulator.jsp
Dollar-Cost Averaging
                     Example
               January         February   March     April
               (Market High)                        (Market Low)

Amount         $200            $200       $200      $200
Invested

Share Price    $35             $28        $24       $20


Number of      5.7             7.15       8.3       10
Shares
Purchased




  Total Number of Shares: 31.15 shares
  Average Share Cost: $25.68/share ($800 ÷ 31.15)
Asset Allocation
• Percentage of portfolio in different asset classes
• Important factor in overall investment success
• The more stock in portfolio, the more aggressive the asset
  allocation
      • One guideline: 110 – age = % of portfolio in stock
      • Conservative portfolio: less stock in portfolio

     Conservative              Moderate          Aggressive

                                                          C
                                          C
      S             C
                                                              B

                           S



                                          B       S
           B
Asset Allocation: A Weighted
             Average




Source: Garman/Forgue, PERSONAL FINANCE, Fifth Edition
Asset Allocation Models
Asset Allocation Calculators
• http://cgi.money.cnn.com/tools/assetallocwizard/as
  setallocwizard.html (CNN Money calculator)

• http://www.bankrate.com/calculators/retirement/ass
  et-allocation.aspx (Bankrate.com calculator)

• http://www.smartmoney.com/calculator/investing/as
  set-allocation-in-retirement-1304478691597/
  (Smart Money)
Portfolio Rebalancing
• Get back to original asset class weights
  (percentages) to maintain same risk level

• Asset classes grow at different rates

• Two ways to do:

   – Sell assets in over-weighted asset class

   – Put new money in under-weighted asset class
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/pf/05/051105.asp#axzz1rH9rDBUo
Best-Performing Assets Change
What is Your Risk Tolerance?
Take the Rutgers Cooperative Extension Investment Risk
Tolerance Quiz: http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/riskquiz/
Basic Investment Principles
• Even small amounts invested regularly grow
  impressively over time
   – Time + Money = MAGIC!

• Volatility “comes with the territory” but not all
  investments are equally volatile
   – Volatility = “peaks and valleys” of investment value

   – Need an “investor’s mindset” to handle

• The higher the potential rate of return, the greater the
  investment risk
Time + Money = “Magic”

       Source: TIAA-CREF




Illustration assumes an 8% average annual return; actual investment results will vary
Investment Volatility
• Tendency of investment values to fluctuate
  – Stock (stock funds) generally more volatile than
    bonds
  – Small company stocks generally more volatile
    than established “blue chip” company stocks
• Measured by beta (overall market = 1)
  – 1.5 = 50% more volatile than average stocks
  – 0.5 = 50% less volatile than average stocks
Common Stock
• Share of ownership in a company
• Elect directors
• Voting rights on other matters
   – Proxy – written authorization given by shareholder to someone else to
      represent him or her and vote his or her shares at a stockholder’s meeting.

• Two ways to earn money
   – value of stock increases (capital gain)

   – stock pays dividends

http://www.finra.org/Investors/SmartInvesting/ChoosingInvestments/Stocks/
Diversify Among Industry Sectors
                        • Capital goods
• Building/forestry
                          (e.g., machinery)
• Financial services
                        • Energy (e.g., oil)
• Consumer growth
                        • Materials (e.g.,
  (e.g., soft drinks)
                          paper)
• Consumer staples
                        • Transportation
  (e.g., food)
                        • Utilities
• Consumer cyclicals
  (e.g., cars)          • Health care
• Technology            • Conglomerates
Historical Perspective
Historically, common stocks have
out-performed all other types of investments,
over longtime periods BUT…it has not been a
smooth ride!
Historical Perspective:
 The 2000s       Year   S&P 500 Return
                                      2001   -11.90%
                                      2002   -22.1%
                                      2003   28.7%
                                      2004   10.9%
                                      2005   4.9%
                                      2006   15.9%
                                      2007   5.5%
http://moneyover55.about.com/od/ho
                                      2008   -37.0%
wtoinvest/a/marketreturns.htm
                                      2009   26.5%

http://www.extension.org/pages/1093   2010   15.1%
4/investing-unit-4:-common-stocks
Analyzing Stock Performance
 Earnings per share (EPS)
    – Formula: Corporation’s after-tax income
     divided by number of outstanding shares
     of common stock

    – Example: $5,000,000/10,000,000 = $0.50

    – EPS increase = generally a healthy sign

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/eps.asp#axzz1rXubLb9B
Analyzing Stock Performance
 Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E Multiple)

      – Price per share of stock ÷ firm’s earnings per share (EPS)
           • Example: $10 price/0.50 EPS = a PE ratio of 20

      – How much investors are paying for company’s earning
         power

      – Based on historical data; cannot make predictions

      – P/E of 15  long-term average P/E

      – Need to compare P/E of stock to firms in same industry
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/price-earningsratio.asp#axzz2345s7vD2
Time-Tested Stock Strategies
• Buy what you know or get to know (research)
• Buy and hold quality stocks
• Diversify among industry sectors
• Dollar-cost average
• Reinvest dividends and capital gains
• Don’t invest > 10% of total portfolio in your
  own employer’s stock
Bonds
• Debts (IOUs) of government and corporations

• Investors “loan” money and receive interest

• Major bond investment risks:

  – Credit risk

  – Interest rate risk

  – Inflation risk

  – Call risk
Bond Investor Decisions
• Decide on risk level
    – Investment grade bonds: top 4 grades (BBB, A, AA, AAA)

    – Junk bonds (high-yield bonds): lower rated and higher risk

• Decide on maturity
    – Match to financial goals

• Determine the after-tax return
    – Taxable versus tax-exempt
Federal Marginal Tax Brackets: http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/taxinfo/
Bond Ratings Measure Default Risk




http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bondrating.asp#axzz1rXubLb9B
U.S. Treasury Securities
• Considered safest fixed-income investment
• Sold at periodic auctions; secondary market
• Earnings exempt from state and local tax
  (principle of “reciprocal immunity”)
• $100 minimum with $100 increments
  – Bills: Maturities up to 12 months; buy at discount
  – Notes: 2-, 3-, 5-, 7-, and 10-year maturities
  – Bonds: 30-year maturities (“long bonds”)
 http://www.treasurydirect.gov
Corporate Bonds
• Corporation’s pledge to repay principal and periodic interest

• Considered safer than company stocks
• Face Value
    – Dollar amount bondholder receives at bond’s maturity date
    – Usually $1,000

• Coupon rate
    – Stated interest rate
    – Interest payments made every six months
    – Example: $1,000 x 5.8% = $58 (in two $29 payments)

• Maturity Date = Date that face value is repaid; generally 1 to 30 years

http://www.investinginbonds.com/learnmore.asp?catid=5&subcatid=18&id=173
Investment Characteristics




Source: Focus on Personal Finance, Third Edition, McGraw-Hill
Investment Returns
• Rent – payment received in return for use of your
  real estate, such as a building

• Interest – “rent” for the use of your money

• Dividend – portion of a company’s earnings that the
  firm pays out to its shareholders

• Capital Gain – occurs only when investment is sold;
  results from increase in value of initial investment.

http://www.aarp.org/money/investing/investment_return_calculator/
Total Return
Measure of profit before taxes and fees

• Formula:
  Gain or loss in value + investment earnings

• Examples:
  – $1 per share dividend + $5 increase in share
   value = $6 per share TR before expenses
  – $1 per share dividend + $5 loss in share value =
   <$4> share TR before expenses
  – http://www.ehow.com/how_6500173_calculate-total-returns.html
Protect Your Money
• Learn how to spot investment fraud
    – “Cold calls” with “limited time offers”

    – E-mail spam promising high “guaranteed” returns

• Ask questions before investing

• Get written information on companies/investments

• Ask yourself: Why is a complete stranger giving me a
  “hot tip”?

http://www.finra.org/Investors/ProtectYourself/AvoidInvestmentFraud/
“Pump and Dump” Scams
• Promoter urges you to “buy                 30


  now or lose out”                           25



• Price rises sharply                        20



                                             15

• Fraudsters sell at peak
                                             10



• Price drops when the hype                   5


  stops                                       0
                                                  Day 1   Day 2   Day 3     Day 4   Day 5


• Investors lose money                                            Stock Price



   http://www.sec.gov/answers/pumpdump.htm
Pyramid Schemes
Levels   Number of Participants
 1                6
 2               36
 3              216
 4             1,296
 5             7,776
 6             46,656
 7            279,936
 8           1,679,616
 9          10,077,696
 10         60,466,176
 11       362,797,056 - more than U.S. Population
 12       2,176,782,336
 13      13,060,694,016 - more than double World Population
Affinity Frauds
• Target members of a group

   - Race              - Profession

   - Religion          - Age

• Recruit group leader to spread the word

• Keys to scheme = trust

How to avoid: Ask questions! (about product, sponsor, salesperson, etc.)
Is It Too Good to Be True?
• High yield often means high risk
• Watch out for buzz-words: “guaranteed,” “limited
  offer,” “safe as a CD,” or “risk-free”
• Beware of exotic, unusual products
Warning:
   If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is!
  Get the facts in writing OR hang up/delete

http://www.usa.gov/topics/consumer/scams-fraud/investment.shtml
In Summary
• Investments are designed to achieve long-term goals

• Two investment categories are ownership and loanership

• Net Worth = Assets – Debts

• Use the “Rule of 72” to estimate how money doubles

•   A relationship exists between investment risk and reward

• All investments have some type(s) of risk

• Volatility is part of investing and should be expected

• If an investment sounds too good to be true, it probably is
Action Steps

• Write down financial goals with a date and cost

• Watch one or more investment videos or Web sites

• Calculate your net worth

• Take the Rutgers Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz

• Start a dollar-cost averaging investment habit

• Determine your current asset allocation
Investor Education Resources
• eXtension Ask an Expert and FAQs
   – http://www.extension.org/personal_finance
• Better Investing
   – http://www.betterinvesting.org
• American Association of Individual Investors
   – http://www.aaii.com/
• Personal finance monthly publications
   – Kiplinger’s Personal Finance, Money
• MyMoney.gov (federal government agencies)
   – http://www.mymoney.gov/
Investor Protection Resources
• U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
  www.sec.gov
• State securities regulators: www.nasaa.org

• Central Registration Depository (CRD):
  http://www.finra.org/Industry/Compliance/Registration/CRD/

• FINRA BrokerCheck®:
  http://www.finra.org/Investors/ToolsCalculators/BrokerCheck/
• Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC)
  www.sipc.org
Investing For Your Future Home Study
   Course (Cooperative Extension)
• Free of charge and downloadable

• Updated annually

• 11 units; do at your own pace

• Designed for beginning investors

• Monthly investment messages

• www.investing.rutgers.edu
FINRA Investor Education
      Foundation Content Modules
• Free of charge and downloadable

• 11 content modules

• Designed for beginning investors

• Used for library investor education programs

• http://www.finrafoundation.org/resources/education/modules/
Questions? Comments
       Experiences?
Part 2 Webinar:
Investing For Your Future 2:
Mutual funds and Tax-Deferred Investments

Please complete the webinar evaluation form

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Investing for Your Future 1 Basic Concepts and Investment Products

  • 1. Investing For Your Future 1: Basic Concepts and Investment Products Barbara O’Neill, Ph.D., CFP®, AFC, CHC Rutgers Cooperative Extension oneill@aesop.rutgers.edu
  • 2. Webinar Objectives • Discuss basic investing concepts and terminology • Discuss characteristics of stocks and bonds • Discuss common investment frauds • Discuss investor education and investor protection resources
  • 3. Investing is an Important Part of the Financial Planning Process
  • 4. The Difference Between Saving and Investing Saving Both Investing
  • 5. The Difference Between Saving and Investing • Saving: – Money held in a short-term cash assets – Money used for emergencies and specific purchases – Low risk, low reward • Investing: – Money used to increase net worth and achieve long- term financial goals – High risk, high POTENTIAL reward Resource: http://www.finweb.com/financial-planning/saving-vs-investing.html
  • 7. Why People Invest • To achieve financial goals, such as purchase of a new car, down payment on a home, or a child’s education • To increase current income (e.g., retirees) • To build wealth over time • For financial security and peace of mind • To have funds available during retirement years
  • 8. Invest for Long-Term Goals http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/pdfs/goalsettingworksheet.pdf Source: Garman/Forgue, PERSONAL FINANCE, Fifth Edition 9
  • 9. Taxable vs. Tax-Deferred Investing $250,000 244,700 $200,000 $150,000 160,300 157,900 $100,000 112,200 98,800 27,600 31,300 75,800 $50,000 58,600 48,300 $0 10yrs 15yrs 20yrs 25yrs 30yrs Taxable Returns (at 28%) Garman/Forgue, PERSONAL FINANCE, Fifth Edition, Tax- Sheltered Returns are Greater than Taxable Returns Tax-Deferred Returns (Illustration: 8% Annual Return and $2,000 Annual Contribution) Calculator: http://www.calcxml.com/do/inv07
  • 10. Tax-Exempt and Tax-Deferred Investing Tax-exempt Tax-Deferred – No taxes owed on – Taxes postponed until an money earned on investment is sold or investment earnings are withdrawn – Examples - U.S. savings – Examples - many bonds are exempt from retirement accounts such state tax and municipal as Traditional IRAs and bonds and Roth IRAs 401(k)s and 403(b)s (with qualifications) are exempt from federal tax
  • 11. Categories of Investments • Ownership (Equity): Own something – Stocks and stock funds – Real estate and REITS (real estate investment trusts) – Collectibles – Commodities • Loanership (Fixed-Income): Lend money – Bonds and bond funds – Certificates of Deposit (CDs)
  • 12. Investment Pre-requisites • Adequate emergency fund • Adequate insurance • No or low consumer debt balance • Written financial SMART goals • An “investor’s mindset”
  • 13. Know Your Net Worth • What do you own? ASSETS • What do you owe? LIABILITIES • Net Worth = Assets – Liabilities Example: $250,000 assets - $125,000 debts = $125,000 net worth http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/pdfs/networthcalcworksheet.pdf (Print) http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/default.asp#resources (Excel)
  • 14. Sample Net Worth Worksheet ASSETS VALUE Cash, savings account, money market funds, CDs Investments Personal Property, Cars, Motorcycle, Home Furnishings Life Insurance Cash Value Retirement Accounts, IRA, SEP Real estate, Personal Property, Money Owed to You LIABILITIES VALUE Loans – car, education, personal Mortgage Other Loans Taxes Owed Net Worth = Assets – Liabilities
  • 15. Where to “Find” Money to Invest • Develop a spending plan • Collect loose change • Reduce spending on • Continue loan repayments “lattes” to yourself • Pay yourself first (PYF) • “Moonlight” for extra income automatically • Sell items you don’t need • Employer matching (“free • Search for unclaimed money”) money • Save bonus/tax refund/windfall money Resource: www.investing.rutgers.edu (Unit 3, Investing For Your Future)
  • 16. What $20 a Week in Investment Deposits Adds Up To 5% Return: 10% Return: – 20 Years: $36,100 – 20 Years: $65,500 – 30 Years: $72,600 – 30 Years: $188,200 – 40 Years: $131,900 – 40 Years: $506,300
  • 17. The Rule of 72 • Calculates the number of years it takes for principal to double – Number of Years = 72 divided by interest rate – Example: 72 ÷ 6% = 12 years • Calculates the interest rate it takes for principal to double – Interest rate = 72 divided by number of years http://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/04/040104.asp#axz z1rH9rDBUo http://www.moneychimp.com/features/rule72.htm (calculator)
  • 18. The Rule of 72 Source: Garman/Forgue, PERSONAL FINANCE, Fifth Edition
  • 19. The Risk-Reward Trade-Off Source: Garman/Forgue, PERSONAL FINANCE, Fifth Edition
  • 20. Risk (Chance of Loss) • There is no such thing as a “perfect” investment (risk-free, tax-free, high return) • All investments have some type of risk • Risk can be caused by: – Inflation – Changes in the economy – Political uncertainty (home and/or abroad) – Business failure – Interest rate changes http://www.finra.org/Investors/SmartInvesting/Advanced Investing/ManagingInvestmentRisk/
  • 21. Investment Risks • Business (Failure) Risk  affects individual company stocks and corporate bonds (when business is not profitable) • Market Risk  the risk of being in the market versus in a risk-free asset (stock prices follow market cycles) • Interest Rate Risk  the value of bonds or preferred stock may increase or decrease with changes in interest rates • Inflation Risk  your investment return may not keep pace with inflation and you lose purchasing power • Currency Risk  changes in investment value related to the value of the U.S. dollar • Political Risk  the risk of political instability in an interconnected global economy
  • 22. Techniques to Offset Risk • Diversification – Putting your money, “your eggs,” into several “baskets” (e.g., stocks, bonds, cash, real estate) – http://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/assetallocation.htm – http://www.investopedia.com/articles/02/111502.asp#axzz1rH9rDBUo • Dollar-Cost Averaging – Investing regular amounts at regular intervals regardless of price – Examples: $50 on the 1st of every month or 6% of your gross income every payday – Lowers average share price cost over time – https://www.americancentury.com/calculator/dollar_cost_averaging_calc ulator.jsp
  • 23. Dollar-Cost Averaging Example January February March April (Market High) (Market Low) Amount $200 $200 $200 $200 Invested Share Price $35 $28 $24 $20 Number of 5.7 7.15 8.3 10 Shares Purchased Total Number of Shares: 31.15 shares Average Share Cost: $25.68/share ($800 ÷ 31.15)
  • 24. Asset Allocation • Percentage of portfolio in different asset classes • Important factor in overall investment success • The more stock in portfolio, the more aggressive the asset allocation • One guideline: 110 – age = % of portfolio in stock • Conservative portfolio: less stock in portfolio Conservative Moderate Aggressive C C S C B S B S B
  • 25. Asset Allocation: A Weighted Average Source: Garman/Forgue, PERSONAL FINANCE, Fifth Edition
  • 27. Asset Allocation Calculators • http://cgi.money.cnn.com/tools/assetallocwizard/as setallocwizard.html (CNN Money calculator) • http://www.bankrate.com/calculators/retirement/ass et-allocation.aspx (Bankrate.com calculator) • http://www.smartmoney.com/calculator/investing/as set-allocation-in-retirement-1304478691597/ (Smart Money)
  • 28. Portfolio Rebalancing • Get back to original asset class weights (percentages) to maintain same risk level • Asset classes grow at different rates • Two ways to do: – Sell assets in over-weighted asset class – Put new money in under-weighted asset class http://www.investopedia.com/articles/pf/05/051105.asp#axzz1rH9rDBUo
  • 30. What is Your Risk Tolerance? Take the Rutgers Cooperative Extension Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz: http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/riskquiz/
  • 31. Basic Investment Principles • Even small amounts invested regularly grow impressively over time – Time + Money = MAGIC! • Volatility “comes with the territory” but not all investments are equally volatile – Volatility = “peaks and valleys” of investment value – Need an “investor’s mindset” to handle • The higher the potential rate of return, the greater the investment risk
  • 32. Time + Money = “Magic” Source: TIAA-CREF Illustration assumes an 8% average annual return; actual investment results will vary
  • 33. Investment Volatility • Tendency of investment values to fluctuate – Stock (stock funds) generally more volatile than bonds – Small company stocks generally more volatile than established “blue chip” company stocks • Measured by beta (overall market = 1) – 1.5 = 50% more volatile than average stocks – 0.5 = 50% less volatile than average stocks
  • 34. Common Stock • Share of ownership in a company • Elect directors • Voting rights on other matters – Proxy – written authorization given by shareholder to someone else to represent him or her and vote his or her shares at a stockholder’s meeting. • Two ways to earn money – value of stock increases (capital gain) – stock pays dividends http://www.finra.org/Investors/SmartInvesting/ChoosingInvestments/Stocks/
  • 35. Diversify Among Industry Sectors • Capital goods • Building/forestry (e.g., machinery) • Financial services • Energy (e.g., oil) • Consumer growth • Materials (e.g., (e.g., soft drinks) paper) • Consumer staples • Transportation (e.g., food) • Utilities • Consumer cyclicals (e.g., cars) • Health care • Technology • Conglomerates
  • 36. Historical Perspective Historically, common stocks have out-performed all other types of investments, over longtime periods BUT…it has not been a smooth ride!
  • 37. Historical Perspective: The 2000s Year S&P 500 Return 2001 -11.90% 2002 -22.1% 2003 28.7% 2004 10.9% 2005 4.9% 2006 15.9% 2007 5.5% http://moneyover55.about.com/od/ho 2008 -37.0% wtoinvest/a/marketreturns.htm 2009 26.5% http://www.extension.org/pages/1093 2010 15.1% 4/investing-unit-4:-common-stocks
  • 38. Analyzing Stock Performance Earnings per share (EPS) – Formula: Corporation’s after-tax income divided by number of outstanding shares of common stock – Example: $5,000,000/10,000,000 = $0.50 – EPS increase = generally a healthy sign http://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/eps.asp#axzz1rXubLb9B
  • 39. Analyzing Stock Performance Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E Multiple) – Price per share of stock ÷ firm’s earnings per share (EPS) • Example: $10 price/0.50 EPS = a PE ratio of 20 – How much investors are paying for company’s earning power – Based on historical data; cannot make predictions – P/E of 15  long-term average P/E – Need to compare P/E of stock to firms in same industry http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/price-earningsratio.asp#axzz2345s7vD2
  • 40. Time-Tested Stock Strategies • Buy what you know or get to know (research) • Buy and hold quality stocks • Diversify among industry sectors • Dollar-cost average • Reinvest dividends and capital gains • Don’t invest > 10% of total portfolio in your own employer’s stock
  • 41. Bonds • Debts (IOUs) of government and corporations • Investors “loan” money and receive interest • Major bond investment risks: – Credit risk – Interest rate risk – Inflation risk – Call risk
  • 42. Bond Investor Decisions • Decide on risk level – Investment grade bonds: top 4 grades (BBB, A, AA, AAA) – Junk bonds (high-yield bonds): lower rated and higher risk • Decide on maturity – Match to financial goals • Determine the after-tax return – Taxable versus tax-exempt Federal Marginal Tax Brackets: http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/taxinfo/
  • 43. Bond Ratings Measure Default Risk http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bondrating.asp#axzz1rXubLb9B
  • 44. U.S. Treasury Securities • Considered safest fixed-income investment • Sold at periodic auctions; secondary market • Earnings exempt from state and local tax (principle of “reciprocal immunity”) • $100 minimum with $100 increments – Bills: Maturities up to 12 months; buy at discount – Notes: 2-, 3-, 5-, 7-, and 10-year maturities – Bonds: 30-year maturities (“long bonds”) http://www.treasurydirect.gov
  • 45. Corporate Bonds • Corporation’s pledge to repay principal and periodic interest • Considered safer than company stocks • Face Value – Dollar amount bondholder receives at bond’s maturity date – Usually $1,000 • Coupon rate – Stated interest rate – Interest payments made every six months – Example: $1,000 x 5.8% = $58 (in two $29 payments) • Maturity Date = Date that face value is repaid; generally 1 to 30 years http://www.investinginbonds.com/learnmore.asp?catid=5&subcatid=18&id=173
  • 46. Investment Characteristics Source: Focus on Personal Finance, Third Edition, McGraw-Hill
  • 47. Investment Returns • Rent – payment received in return for use of your real estate, such as a building • Interest – “rent” for the use of your money • Dividend – portion of a company’s earnings that the firm pays out to its shareholders • Capital Gain – occurs only when investment is sold; results from increase in value of initial investment. http://www.aarp.org/money/investing/investment_return_calculator/
  • 48. Total Return Measure of profit before taxes and fees • Formula: Gain or loss in value + investment earnings • Examples: – $1 per share dividend + $5 increase in share value = $6 per share TR before expenses – $1 per share dividend + $5 loss in share value = <$4> share TR before expenses – http://www.ehow.com/how_6500173_calculate-total-returns.html
  • 49. Protect Your Money • Learn how to spot investment fraud – “Cold calls” with “limited time offers” – E-mail spam promising high “guaranteed” returns • Ask questions before investing • Get written information on companies/investments • Ask yourself: Why is a complete stranger giving me a “hot tip”? http://www.finra.org/Investors/ProtectYourself/AvoidInvestmentFraud/
  • 50. “Pump and Dump” Scams • Promoter urges you to “buy 30 now or lose out” 25 • Price rises sharply 20 15 • Fraudsters sell at peak 10 • Price drops when the hype 5 stops 0 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5 • Investors lose money Stock Price http://www.sec.gov/answers/pumpdump.htm
  • 51. Pyramid Schemes Levels Number of Participants 1 6 2 36 3 216 4 1,296 5 7,776 6 46,656 7 279,936 8 1,679,616 9 10,077,696 10 60,466,176 11 362,797,056 - more than U.S. Population 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 - more than double World Population
  • 52. Affinity Frauds • Target members of a group - Race - Profession - Religion - Age • Recruit group leader to spread the word • Keys to scheme = trust How to avoid: Ask questions! (about product, sponsor, salesperson, etc.)
  • 53. Is It Too Good to Be True? • High yield often means high risk • Watch out for buzz-words: “guaranteed,” “limited offer,” “safe as a CD,” or “risk-free” • Beware of exotic, unusual products Warning: If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is! Get the facts in writing OR hang up/delete http://www.usa.gov/topics/consumer/scams-fraud/investment.shtml
  • 54. In Summary • Investments are designed to achieve long-term goals • Two investment categories are ownership and loanership • Net Worth = Assets – Debts • Use the “Rule of 72” to estimate how money doubles • A relationship exists between investment risk and reward • All investments have some type(s) of risk • Volatility is part of investing and should be expected • If an investment sounds too good to be true, it probably is
  • 55. Action Steps • Write down financial goals with a date and cost • Watch one or more investment videos or Web sites • Calculate your net worth • Take the Rutgers Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz • Start a dollar-cost averaging investment habit • Determine your current asset allocation
  • 56. Investor Education Resources • eXtension Ask an Expert and FAQs – http://www.extension.org/personal_finance • Better Investing – http://www.betterinvesting.org • American Association of Individual Investors – http://www.aaii.com/ • Personal finance monthly publications – Kiplinger’s Personal Finance, Money • MyMoney.gov (federal government agencies) – http://www.mymoney.gov/
  • 57. Investor Protection Resources • U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission www.sec.gov • State securities regulators: www.nasaa.org • Central Registration Depository (CRD): http://www.finra.org/Industry/Compliance/Registration/CRD/ • FINRA BrokerCheck®: http://www.finra.org/Investors/ToolsCalculators/BrokerCheck/ • Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC) www.sipc.org
  • 58. Investing For Your Future Home Study Course (Cooperative Extension) • Free of charge and downloadable • Updated annually • 11 units; do at your own pace • Designed for beginning investors • Monthly investment messages • www.investing.rutgers.edu
  • 59. FINRA Investor Education Foundation Content Modules • Free of charge and downloadable • 11 content modules • Designed for beginning investors • Used for library investor education programs • http://www.finrafoundation.org/resources/education/modules/
  • 60. Questions? Comments Experiences? Part 2 Webinar: Investing For Your Future 2: Mutual funds and Tax-Deferred Investments Please complete the webinar evaluation form