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CONCEPTUALIZING,  MEASURING AND PROFILING  ECONOMIC VULNERABILITY AND RESILIENCE   Lino Briguglio,  University of Malta   Commonwealth Secretariat London Wednesday 28 July, 2010
Layout ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
INTRODUCTION
Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Introduction  (cont)
JUXTAPOSING ECONOMIC VULNERABILITY AND ECONOMIC RESILIENCE
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Meaning of Economic Vulnerability
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Studies on Economic Vulnerability
Economic smallness is associated with a relatively high reliance on international trade:    high reliance on imports due to limited natural resource    endowments and limited diversification possibilities;    high reliance on exports due to the limited size of the    market and to meet import expenditure.   What causes Economic Vulnerability?
What causes Economic Vulnerability?  (cont) Economic vulnerability is also associated with:    high export concentration (i.e. reliance on a few items of    exports of goods and services) and     high industrial concentration (i.e. reliance on a few items    of manufactured products). In addition, many small states are:    prone to natural disasters, especially islands that are  exposed to sea-borne hazards, with lead to heavy  economic losses; and  prone to sea-level rise as a result of global warming,  thereby facing the prospects of heavy economic losses  due to their very high dependence on coastal activities.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Success In Spite of and Not because of Economic Vulnerability
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Meaning of Economic Resilience
[object Object],[object Object],Economic Resilience Index
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What helps to Build Economic Resilience?
Juxtaposing Vulnerability and Resilience ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Juxtaposing Vulnerability and Resilience  (cont) Risk of being harmed by external shocks
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],FOUR COUNTRY SCENARIOS
[object Object],[object Object],FOUR COUNTRY SCENARIOS  (cont)
[object Object],[object Object],FOUR COUNTRY SCENARIOS  (cont)
Resilience Index Vulnerability Index FOUR COUNTRY SCENARIOS  (cont)
RESULTS OF THE RESILIENCE INDEX AND COUNTRY CATEGORISATION
Resilience Results produced by Briguglio et al (2006) Results of the  V&R Juxtaposition
Vulnerability Resilience ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Results of the V&R Juxtaposition  (cont)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Results of the  V&R Juxtaposition  (cont)
COUNTRY PROFILING
[object Object],[object Object],Country Profiling
[object Object],[object Object],Country Profiling  (cont)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Country Profiling  (cont)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Country Profiling  (cont)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Country Profiling  (cont)
CONCLUDING  CONSIDERATIONS
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Concluding Considerations
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Concluding Considerations  (cont)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Concluding Considerations  (cont)
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Vulnerability And Resilience London 28jul10

  • 1. CONCEPTUALIZING, MEASURING AND PROFILING ECONOMIC VULNERABILITY AND RESILIENCE Lino Briguglio, University of Malta Commonwealth Secretariat London Wednesday 28 July, 2010
  • 2.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. JUXTAPOSING ECONOMIC VULNERABILITY AND ECONOMIC RESILIENCE
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Economic smallness is associated with a relatively high reliance on international trade:  high reliance on imports due to limited natural resource endowments and limited diversification possibilities;  high reliance on exports due to the limited size of the market and to meet import expenditure. What causes Economic Vulnerability?
  • 10. What causes Economic Vulnerability? (cont) Economic vulnerability is also associated with:  high export concentration (i.e. reliance on a few items of exports of goods and services) and  high industrial concentration (i.e. reliance on a few items of manufactured products). In addition, many small states are:  prone to natural disasters, especially islands that are exposed to sea-borne hazards, with lead to heavy economic losses; and  prone to sea-level rise as a result of global warming, thereby facing the prospects of heavy economic losses due to their very high dependence on coastal activities.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Juxtaposing Vulnerability and Resilience (cont) Risk of being harmed by external shocks
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. Resilience Index Vulnerability Index FOUR COUNTRY SCENARIOS (cont)
  • 21. RESULTS OF THE RESILIENCE INDEX AND COUNTRY CATEGORISATION
  • 22. Resilience Results produced by Briguglio et al (2006) Results of the V&R Juxtaposition
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.