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INTERIM REPORT
JANUARY-MARCH 2011




Per Lindberg, President and CEO
Bertil Carlsén, CFO
20 April, 2011                    1
AGENDA

• Highlights
• Development by Business Area
• Financials
• Outlook




                           2
HIGHLIGHTS IN Q1 2011

• Strong Q1 results
  » Operating profit of MSEK 332, margin 13%
  » Top line growth of 12% vs. Q4
• Sales volume record – 369 ktonnes
• Continued strong results for
  packaging paper
  » Strong order situation
• Good results in Market Pulp
  » Pulp market balance remained stable




                                          3
CONTINUED INCREASE IN NET SALES & EBIT
                    Net sales                                             EBIT
       3 000                                              400

                                                          350
       2 500                                                                +2%
                      +12%
                                                          300
       2 000
                                                          250
MSEK




                                                   MSEK
       1 500                                              200
                                   2 547                                              332
                                                                    326
                  2 279                                   150
       1 000

                                                          100
        500
                                                           50

          0                                                 0
               Oct-Dec 2010     Jan-Mar 2011   4                Oct-Dec 2010      Jan-Mar 2011
BUSINESS AREAS & SEGMENTS

PACKAGING &                                 PACKAGING BOARDS
SPECIALITY PAPER                             S/C Fluting, Liner, Liquid Board
Kraft & Sack Paper




                                                   MARKET PULP
                                                   Nordic Bleached
                                                   Softwood Kraft Pulp




Note: Graph shows sales breakdown per
business area for Jan-Mar 2011.         5
PACKAGING & SPECIALITY PAPER
Market situation in Q1 2011


• Continued very good order
  situation for the season for sack
  paper and slightly below Q1 2010
                                        Consumer
  level for kraft paper                            Building &
                                                   construction
• Increased price level in local
  currency for most products vs. Q4
                                        Food
• Additional price increases have
  been announced




                                    6
PACKAGING & SPECIALITY PAPER
Financials – Q1 2011 vs. Q4 2010
                                                   160
• Operating profit up by MSEK 9                    140
                                                   120
• +24% increase in sales volume




                                           EBIT, MSEK
                                                   100

• Price improvements and higher
                                                        80
                                                        60
  sales compensated for a stronger                      40
  SEK and higher variable costs                         20
                                                        0
                                                               Q1    Q2          Q3    Q4        Q1
                                                                          2010                  2011



                               Q1 2011                   Q4 2010     Q1 2010          FY 2010

    Net sales, MSEK                1,217                     1,020    1,052            4,166

    Operating profit, MSEK         140                       131           96          417

    Operating margin, %             12                        13           9            10

                                     7
PACKAGING BOARDS
Market situation in Q1 2011


• Continued stable order situation
  throughout the quarter
• Increased price level in local
  currency for most products vs. Q4
• Additional price increases have
  been announced




                                    8
PACKAGING BOARDS
Financials – Q1 2011 vs. Q4 2010
                                                      140

• Operating profit down by MSEK 25
                                                      120
                                                      100




                                         EBIT, MSEK
• +12% increase in sales volume                       80
                                                      60

• Price improvements and higher                       40
                                                      20
  sales compensated partly for a
                                                       0
  stronger SEK and higher variable                    -20
                                                             Q1   Q2          Q3     Q4       Q1
  costs
                                                                       2010                  2011


                               Q1 2011                  Q4 2010   Q1 2010          FY 2010

    Net sales, MSEK                728                      648        613          2,428

    Operating profit, MSEK         97                       122        56           271

    Operating margin, %            13                       19          9            11


                                    9
MARKET PULP
Market situation in Q1 2011


• Pulp market balance remained
  stable
• Price level in Europe increased
  during Q1
    » 980 USD/ton end of Q1 vs. 950
       USD/ton end of Q4

• An additional price increase has
  been announced
    » 1 010 USD/ton as of April 1, 2011



                                          10
MARKET PULP
Financials – Q1 2011 vs. Q4 2010
                                                      120
                                                      100
• Operating profit down by MSEK 15                    80




                                         EBIT, MSEK
                                                      60
• Stronger SEK and increased                          40
  variable costs                                      20
                                                       0
                                                      -20
                                                      -40
                                                             Q1   Q2          Q3    Q4       Q1
                                                                       2010                 2011


                               Q1 2011                  Q4 2010   Q1 2010          FY 2010

   Net sales, MSEK                 436                      450        384          1,731

   Operating profit, MSEK          38                       53          31          276

   Operating margin, %              9                       12          8            16


                                    11
Q1 IN SUM


• Strong Q1 results
    » Both in terms of margin and net sales
      growth
    » Sales volume record – 369 ktonnes
• Continued strong results for
  packaging paper
• Product and business development
  continues




                                       12
FINANCIALS




             13
QUARTERLY KEY FIGURES

                                                       vs. Q4    vs. Q1
                         Q1 2011   Q4 2010   Q1 2010
                                                        2010      2010

Sales volume (ktonnes)    369       323       343      +14%       +8%


Net sales, MSEK           2,547     2,279     2,190    +12%      +16%


Operating profit, MSEK    332       326       234      +2%       +42%


Operating margin          13%       14%       11%      -1 p.p.   +2 p.p.


Profit/share, SEK         2.28      2.19      1.52     +4%       +50%


Net debt/equity ratio     0.05      0.03      0.24     -0.02     +0.19


                                    14
EBIT BRIDGE Q1 2011 vs. Q4 2010
       450
                                            +46

       400
                              +51

       350
                                                           -75                                          +13         332
                326                                                                      +49
       300

                                                                           -78
       250
MSEK




       200


       150


       100


        50


         0
              EBIT           Sales &    Selling prices     Effects of  Change in      Change in      Change in      EBIT
             Q4 2010       production   (in respective exchange rate variable costs   fixed costs   depreciation   Q1 2011
                            volumes*         sales       fluctuations,
                                           currency)    incl. hedging
 * Includes product mix.
                                                                 15
CONTINUED STRONG MARGIN TREND
                                     14%
                                     13%
                                     12%
EBIT margin, rolling 12 months (%)




                                     11%
                                     10%                                         Financial
                                                                                 target
                                     9%
                                     8%
                                     7%
                                     6%
                                     5%
                                     4%
                                     3%
                                     2%
                                     1%
                                     0%
                                     -1% FY 06   FY 07   FY 08   FY 09   FY 10
                                     -2%
                                                         16
CASH FLOW

     MSEK
                                                 Q1 2011   Q1 2010
     Operating surplus, etc                          481       379
     Change in working capital, etc.                -301       -88
     Net financial items, taxes, etc.               -181       -30
     Cash flow from operating activities              -1      261
     Current net investments                         -82       -50
     Business combinations                             -         -
     Operating cash flow                             -83      211
     Dividend                                          -         -
     Other items, not affecting cash flow             -6       -35
     Change in net debt 1)                           -89      176



1)   Minus equals increase in net debt

                                            17
DSO days
     09
       01




                0
                       10
                               20
                                            30
                                                        40
                                                                50
                                                                          60
                                                                                  70
     09 31
       04
     09 30
       07
     09 31
       10
     10 31
       01
     10 31
       04
     10 30
                                                                                         DSO


       07
     10 31
       10
     11 31
       01
         31


                                      % of total receivables
     09
       01




                0,0
                         1,0
                                      2,0
                                                  3,0
                                                              4,0
                                                                          5,0
                                                                                  6,0




     09 31
       04
     09 30
       07
     09 31
       10
     10 31
       01
     10 31




18
       04
     10 30
       07
                                                                                         Overdue




     10 31
       10
     11 31
       01
         31
                                                                                                                      WORKING CAPITAL KEY RATIOS




                      Working capital (excl. IAS)/quartely net turnover
                0%
                       10%
                                20%
                                            30%
                                                        40%
                                                                    50%
                                                                            60%
                                                                                   70%




      09
           03
      09
           06
      09
           09
      09
           12
      10
           03
      10
           06
      10
           09
      10
           12
      11
           03
                                                                                         WC as % of quarterly sales
MARKET PRICES AFFECTING RESULT
         Electricity index (Sweden*)                                                Wood price index
                                                                             160
 280                                                                         150
 240                                                                         140
                                                                             130
 200                                                                         120
 160                                                                         110
                                                                             100
 120                                                                          90
  80                                                                          80
        2004    Q3     Q2      Q1     Q4     Q3     Q2     Q1     Q4               2004    Q3     Q2     Q1     Q4     Q3      Q2     Q1     Q4
               2005   2006    2007   2007   2008   2009   2010   2010                     2005   2006   2007   2007   2008    2009   2010   2010

                             Source: Nordpool. *Price area Sweden                                                               Source: Billerud

         Market Pulp (USD/t)                                                        TCW index
1 000                                                                        118
  950                                                                        115
  900                                                                        112
  850                                                                        109
  800                                                                        106
  750
                                                                             103
  700
  650                                                                        100
  600                                                                         97
  550                                                                         94
        2004    Q3     Q2   Q1        Q4     Q3     Q2     Q1     Q4               2004    Q3     Q2     Q1     Q4     Q3      Q2     Q1     Q4
               2005   2006 2007      2007   2008   2009   2010   2010                     2005   2006   2007   2007   2008    2009   2010   2010

                                Note: Average price for the quarter                                                          Source: Riksbanken
                                                                        19
CURRENCY EFFECT OF A STRONGER SEK

         Average rate   Average rate    Spot rate      vs.         vs.
           Q1 2011        Q4 2010      17 Apr 2011   Q4 2010   17 Apr 2011
  EUR        8.87            9.22           8.96      -4%         -1%
  USD        6.48            6.78           6.26      -4%         +4%
  GBP       10.39          10.72            10.21     -3%         +2%


How do we manage?
• Price increases
• Hedging in the short-run
• Customer and market mix to some extent




                                       20
CURRENCY SITUATION

• Profit effect of net flow hedging
  MSEK 99 for Q1 2011 (117)                             Apr-Jun       Jul-Sep Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Total 12
                                                         2011          2011    2011    2012   months
• Market value of outstanding
                                                         Average       Average       Average     Average     Average
  contracts not relating to                              hedged        hedged        hedged      hedged      hedged
  accounts receivables was                               currency      currency      currency    currency    currency
                                                           rates         rates         rates       rates       rates
  MSEK 132 (as of 31/3-11)                              (hedged net   (hedged net   (hedged net (hedged net (hedged net

• Hedge level 12 months
                                                           flows)        flows)        flows)      flows)      flows)


  forward:
                                                          9.23          9.19          9.41        9.48         9.31
EUR             58%
                                                          (85%)         (51%)         (49%)       (47%)       (58%)

                                                          7.12          7.50          6.82        6.60         7.14
USD           50%
                                                          (88%)         (61%)         (35%)       (16%)       (50%)

                                                         10.79         10.77         10.74        10.64       10.76
GBP           51%
                                                          (86%)         (54%)         (42%)       (20%)       (51%)

Note: Data in table and graph are as of 31 March 2011
                                                          21
OUTLOOK




          22
OUTLOOK FY 2011
• The order situation remains good or
  very good in most of Billerud’s
  packaging paper areas. This provides
  conditions for a stable development
  within Billerud’s packaging paper and
  packaging paper solutions segments.
• Price increases announced in the first
  quarter of 2011 are expected to have
  an impact in the coming quarters.
• The effects of a stronger SEK will be
  largely compensated by currency
  hedges.


                                  23
Q&A




      24

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Billerud Interim Report Q1 2011 presentation

  • 1. INTERIM REPORT JANUARY-MARCH 2011 Per Lindberg, President and CEO Bertil Carlsén, CFO 20 April, 2011 1
  • 2. AGENDA • Highlights • Development by Business Area • Financials • Outlook 2
  • 3. HIGHLIGHTS IN Q1 2011 • Strong Q1 results » Operating profit of MSEK 332, margin 13% » Top line growth of 12% vs. Q4 • Sales volume record – 369 ktonnes • Continued strong results for packaging paper » Strong order situation • Good results in Market Pulp » Pulp market balance remained stable 3
  • 4. CONTINUED INCREASE IN NET SALES & EBIT Net sales EBIT 3 000 400 350 2 500 +2% +12% 300 2 000 250 MSEK MSEK 1 500 200 2 547 332 326 2 279 150 1 000 100 500 50 0 0 Oct-Dec 2010 Jan-Mar 2011 4 Oct-Dec 2010 Jan-Mar 2011
  • 5. BUSINESS AREAS & SEGMENTS PACKAGING & PACKAGING BOARDS SPECIALITY PAPER S/C Fluting, Liner, Liquid Board Kraft & Sack Paper MARKET PULP Nordic Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp Note: Graph shows sales breakdown per business area for Jan-Mar 2011. 5
  • 6. PACKAGING & SPECIALITY PAPER Market situation in Q1 2011 • Continued very good order situation for the season for sack paper and slightly below Q1 2010 Consumer level for kraft paper Building & construction • Increased price level in local currency for most products vs. Q4 Food • Additional price increases have been announced 6
  • 7. PACKAGING & SPECIALITY PAPER Financials – Q1 2011 vs. Q4 2010 160 • Operating profit up by MSEK 9 140 120 • +24% increase in sales volume EBIT, MSEK 100 • Price improvements and higher 80 60 sales compensated for a stronger 40 SEK and higher variable costs 20 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2010 2011 Q1 2011 Q4 2010 Q1 2010 FY 2010 Net sales, MSEK 1,217 1,020 1,052 4,166 Operating profit, MSEK 140 131 96 417 Operating margin, % 12 13 9 10 7
  • 8. PACKAGING BOARDS Market situation in Q1 2011 • Continued stable order situation throughout the quarter • Increased price level in local currency for most products vs. Q4 • Additional price increases have been announced 8
  • 9. PACKAGING BOARDS Financials – Q1 2011 vs. Q4 2010 140 • Operating profit down by MSEK 25 120 100 EBIT, MSEK • +12% increase in sales volume 80 60 • Price improvements and higher 40 20 sales compensated partly for a 0 stronger SEK and higher variable -20 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 costs 2010 2011 Q1 2011 Q4 2010 Q1 2010 FY 2010 Net sales, MSEK 728 648 613 2,428 Operating profit, MSEK 97 122 56 271 Operating margin, % 13 19 9 11 9
  • 10. MARKET PULP Market situation in Q1 2011 • Pulp market balance remained stable • Price level in Europe increased during Q1 » 980 USD/ton end of Q1 vs. 950 USD/ton end of Q4 • An additional price increase has been announced » 1 010 USD/ton as of April 1, 2011 10
  • 11. MARKET PULP Financials – Q1 2011 vs. Q4 2010 120 100 • Operating profit down by MSEK 15 80 EBIT, MSEK 60 • Stronger SEK and increased 40 variable costs 20 0 -20 -40 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2010 2011 Q1 2011 Q4 2010 Q1 2010 FY 2010 Net sales, MSEK 436 450 384 1,731 Operating profit, MSEK 38 53 31 276 Operating margin, % 9 12 8 16 11
  • 12. Q1 IN SUM • Strong Q1 results » Both in terms of margin and net sales growth » Sales volume record – 369 ktonnes • Continued strong results for packaging paper • Product and business development continues 12
  • 14. QUARTERLY KEY FIGURES vs. Q4 vs. Q1 Q1 2011 Q4 2010 Q1 2010 2010 2010 Sales volume (ktonnes) 369 323 343 +14% +8% Net sales, MSEK 2,547 2,279 2,190 +12% +16% Operating profit, MSEK 332 326 234 +2% +42% Operating margin 13% 14% 11% -1 p.p. +2 p.p. Profit/share, SEK 2.28 2.19 1.52 +4% +50% Net debt/equity ratio 0.05 0.03 0.24 -0.02 +0.19 14
  • 15. EBIT BRIDGE Q1 2011 vs. Q4 2010 450 +46 400 +51 350 -75 +13 332 326 +49 300 -78 250 MSEK 200 150 100 50 0 EBIT Sales & Selling prices Effects of Change in Change in Change in EBIT Q4 2010 production (in respective exchange rate variable costs fixed costs depreciation Q1 2011 volumes* sales fluctuations, currency) incl. hedging * Includes product mix. 15
  • 16. CONTINUED STRONG MARGIN TREND 14% 13% 12% EBIT margin, rolling 12 months (%) 11% 10% Financial target 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 -2% 16
  • 17. CASH FLOW MSEK Q1 2011 Q1 2010 Operating surplus, etc 481 379 Change in working capital, etc. -301 -88 Net financial items, taxes, etc. -181 -30 Cash flow from operating activities -1 261 Current net investments -82 -50 Business combinations - - Operating cash flow -83 211 Dividend - - Other items, not affecting cash flow -6 -35 Change in net debt 1) -89 176 1) Minus equals increase in net debt 17
  • 18. DSO days 09 01 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 09 31 04 09 30 07 09 31 10 10 31 01 10 31 04 10 30 DSO 07 10 31 10 11 31 01 31 % of total receivables 09 01 0,0 1,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0 09 31 04 09 30 07 09 31 10 10 31 01 10 31 18 04 10 30 07 Overdue 10 31 10 11 31 01 31 WORKING CAPITAL KEY RATIOS Working capital (excl. IAS)/quartely net turnover 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 09 03 09 06 09 09 09 12 10 03 10 06 10 09 10 12 11 03 WC as % of quarterly sales
  • 19. MARKET PRICES AFFECTING RESULT Electricity index (Sweden*) Wood price index 160 280 150 240 140 130 200 120 160 110 100 120 90 80 80 2004 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 2004 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 2005 2006 2007 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010 2005 2006 2007 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010 Source: Nordpool. *Price area Sweden Source: Billerud Market Pulp (USD/t) TCW index 1 000 118 950 115 900 112 850 109 800 106 750 103 700 650 100 600 97 550 94 2004 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 2004 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 2005 2006 2007 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010 2005 2006 2007 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010 Note: Average price for the quarter Source: Riksbanken 19
  • 20. CURRENCY EFFECT OF A STRONGER SEK Average rate Average rate Spot rate vs. vs. Q1 2011 Q4 2010 17 Apr 2011 Q4 2010 17 Apr 2011 EUR 8.87 9.22 8.96 -4% -1% USD 6.48 6.78 6.26 -4% +4% GBP 10.39 10.72 10.21 -3% +2% How do we manage? • Price increases • Hedging in the short-run • Customer and market mix to some extent 20
  • 21. CURRENCY SITUATION • Profit effect of net flow hedging MSEK 99 for Q1 2011 (117) Apr-Jun Jul-Sep Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Total 12 2011 2011 2011 2012 months • Market value of outstanding Average Average Average Average Average contracts not relating to hedged hedged hedged hedged hedged accounts receivables was currency currency currency currency currency rates rates rates rates rates MSEK 132 (as of 31/3-11) (hedged net (hedged net (hedged net (hedged net (hedged net • Hedge level 12 months flows) flows) flows) flows) flows) forward: 9.23 9.19 9.41 9.48 9.31 EUR 58% (85%) (51%) (49%) (47%) (58%) 7.12 7.50 6.82 6.60 7.14 USD 50% (88%) (61%) (35%) (16%) (50%) 10.79 10.77 10.74 10.64 10.76 GBP 51% (86%) (54%) (42%) (20%) (51%) Note: Data in table and graph are as of 31 March 2011 21
  • 22. OUTLOOK 22
  • 23. OUTLOOK FY 2011 • The order situation remains good or very good in most of Billerud’s packaging paper areas. This provides conditions for a stable development within Billerud’s packaging paper and packaging paper solutions segments. • Price increases announced in the first quarter of 2011 are expected to have an impact in the coming quarters. • The effects of a stronger SEK will be largely compensated by currency hedges. 23
  • 24. Q&A 24