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Hewlett Packard (HPQ, Buy) Enterprise Infrastructure: Storage Mark Kelleher March 2010
HPQ – Key Facts Location : Palo Alto, CA Market Cap : $125.8 Billion FY 2009 Revenue(A):  $114.4B FY 2010 Revenue(E):  $123.4B FY 2011Revenue(E):  $131.2B FY 2009 EPS(A):  $3.83 FY 2010 EPS(E):  $4.43 FY 2011 EPS(E):  $4.91 Net Cash per share:  ($0.93) Year end:  Oct Next Q report : Apr Q2 Products : ESS, EVA, HP printer & computers, EDS Competitors : ORCL, IBM, DELL, APPL, CSCO, EMC, LXK, NTAP Customers :45% Enterprise, 56% intl HP is a leading supplier of IT solutions to both the enterprise and consumer markets. HP sells storage, servers, services and software to enterprise customers, and personal computers, imaging and printing services to both the enterprise and consumer. Through the use of partners such as Microsoft (MSFT, NR, $32.00) and others, HP is able to differentiate its products by leveraging its vast global distribution, large R&D budget, and large balance sheet by acquiring cutting edge services and products.  Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com
What They Do ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mark Kelleher   (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com
What They Do Mark Kelleher   (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com
What They Do Mark Kelleher   (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com
Investment Thesis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com
Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Acquisitions Source: Company Reports
Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Acquisitions – 3com ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Market Data Source: Company Reports
Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Market Data - Servers Source: IDC
Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Market Data – W/ 3Com acquisition Source: IDC, 2009
Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Market Data - Printers Source: Company Reports
Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Market Data – PC’s Source: IDC
Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Products – Q1 2010 Source: Company Reports
Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com HP Services (includes EDS) Source: Company Reports
Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Enterprise Storage and Servers (ESS) Source: Company Reports
Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com HP Software Source: Company Reports
Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Personal Systems Group (PSG)  Source: Company Reports
Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Imaging and Printing Group (IPG) Source: Company Reports
Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Segments driving EPS Source: Company Reports -Services and printers are the key to HP EPS upside. Keep an eye on storage. -Enterprise accounts for 60% of operating income (storage and servers, services and software)
Income Statement Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com
Income Statement Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com
HPQ Chart Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Reports Q1 results and guides above the street
Valuation Mark Kelleher   (508) 655-8193  [email_address] We believe the company can maintain at least 10% revenue and earnings growth over the next several years. Using a P/E/G ratio of 1.2 (a P/E multiple of 12x) on our F2011 EPS estimate of $4.91, we calculate a 12-month price target of $59.00.  We believe the company can maintain at least 10% revenue and earnings growth over the next several years. Using a P/E/G ratio of 1.2 (a P/E multiple of 12x) on our F2011 EPS estimate of $4.91, we calculate a 12-month price target of $59.00.
Investment Summary Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Coverage Mark Kelleher  (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com
Disclosures

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Hpq teach in

  • 1. Hewlett Packard (HPQ, Buy) Enterprise Infrastructure: Storage Mark Kelleher March 2010
  • 2. HPQ – Key Facts Location : Palo Alto, CA Market Cap : $125.8 Billion FY 2009 Revenue(A): $114.4B FY 2010 Revenue(E): $123.4B FY 2011Revenue(E): $131.2B FY 2009 EPS(A): $3.83 FY 2010 EPS(E): $4.43 FY 2011 EPS(E): $4.91 Net Cash per share: ($0.93) Year end: Oct Next Q report : Apr Q2 Products : ESS, EVA, HP printer & computers, EDS Competitors : ORCL, IBM, DELL, APPL, CSCO, EMC, LXK, NTAP Customers :45% Enterprise, 56% intl HP is a leading supplier of IT solutions to both the enterprise and consumer markets. HP sells storage, servers, services and software to enterprise customers, and personal computers, imaging and printing services to both the enterprise and consumer. Through the use of partners such as Microsoft (MSFT, NR, $32.00) and others, HP is able to differentiate its products by leveraging its vast global distribution, large R&D budget, and large balance sheet by acquiring cutting edge services and products. Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com
  • 3.
  • 4. What They Do Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com
  • 5. What They Do Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com
  • 6.
  • 7. Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Acquisitions Source: Company Reports
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  • 9. Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Market Data Source: Company Reports
  • 10. Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Market Data - Servers Source: IDC
  • 11. Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Market Data – W/ 3Com acquisition Source: IDC, 2009
  • 12. Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Market Data - Printers Source: Company Reports
  • 13. Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Market Data – PC’s Source: IDC
  • 14. Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Products – Q1 2010 Source: Company Reports
  • 15. Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com HP Services (includes EDS) Source: Company Reports
  • 16. Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Enterprise Storage and Servers (ESS) Source: Company Reports
  • 17. Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com HP Software Source: Company Reports
  • 18. Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Personal Systems Group (PSG) Source: Company Reports
  • 19. Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Imaging and Printing Group (IPG) Source: Company Reports
  • 20. Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Segments driving EPS Source: Company Reports -Services and printers are the key to HP EPS upside. Keep an eye on storage. -Enterprise accounts for 60% of operating income (storage and servers, services and software)
  • 21. Income Statement Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com
  • 22. Income Statement Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com
  • 23. HPQ Chart Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com Reports Q1 results and guides above the street
  • 24. Valuation Mark Kelleher (508) 655-8193 [email_address] We believe the company can maintain at least 10% revenue and earnings growth over the next several years. Using a P/E/G ratio of 1.2 (a P/E multiple of 12x) on our F2011 EPS estimate of $4.91, we calculate a 12-month price target of $59.00. We believe the company can maintain at least 10% revenue and earnings growth over the next several years. Using a P/E/G ratio of 1.2 (a P/E multiple of 12x) on our F2011 EPS estimate of $4.91, we calculate a 12-month price target of $59.00.
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  • 26. Coverage Mark Kelleher (617) 752-1745 mark.kelleher@brigantineadvisors.com