Overview of the hybrid truck market's growth and upcoming technologies to transition to a cleaner transportation future. Presented at NTEA Hybrid Truck and Alt Fuels Summit
Atlanta, GA 2008 by CALSTART Senior VP Bill Van Amburg.
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CALSTART Hybrid Truck Momentum And Opportunities
1. Growing Momentum & Opportunities in Medium and Heavy-Duty Hybrids Clean Transportation Solutions SM Advanced Transportation Technologies Bill Van Amburg Senior Vice President NTEA Hybrid Truck and Alt Fuels Summit Atlanta, GA February 25, 2008
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4. WestStart: A Strategic Broker for Advanced Transportation Regional in Name National and International in Targeted Areas CALSTART is WestStart’s California Operating Division 2008 155+ Worldwide Participant Network 4 Offices in US Four focus areas: Efficient vehicles New fuels Mobility/transit Industry support
6. WestStart-CALSTART Focus Areas (current programs) Vehicles and Technologies Innovative Mobility Bus Rapid Transit First Mile MyGo-Pasadena Bikestation Seattle CA E85 Network Biomethane Task Force Hydrogen Biofuels Hybrid Truck Users Forum National Fuel Cell Bus Tech Program LNG and Hybrid Electric Yard Hostlers Construction Equipment Forum California Secure Transportation Energy Partnership HTUF Incentives WG Industry Services Participant Services Technical Advisory Committee Conferences Publications 5-Year Goal: To Develop Vehicles, Fuels and Systems that Can Reduce Petroleum Use 20% by 2020 Policy Consulting Services Fleet Assistance: Ports, “ Green Fleets” Roadmapping Market Analysis New Fuels
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11. The New “Strike Zone” in Transportation Air Quality Climate Change Energy Security Balances all three competing needs Integrated Solutions Needed
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19. Recent Introductions Azure/Ford gasoline-electric hybrid IC/Enova hybrid shuttle bus Peterbilt Class 7 hybrid utility truck EPA/Eaton series hydraulic hybrid prototype Freightliner Class 6/7 hybrid utility truck Kenworth Class 7 hybrid truck Odyne/Dueco plug-in hybrid prototype E-One hybrid command center
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29. Availability of HEV System: All Units Courtesy Eaton Majority of trucks show high availability!
30. Vehicle Issues Per Truck One issue per field test truck every two years!
31. Timeline to Commercialization: Hybrid Tech Now Starting in Trucks Test prototypes and systems Field pilot assessments (10-50 vehicles) Assembly line builds up to 100+ Initial commercial volumes – still high incremental cost TOOLS: R&D Support Pre-Production Deployment Support (HTUF) Purchase Incentives Driving Up Early Sales Volume is Critical Development Pre-Production Production Intent Early Production
32. What’s Target for Volumes, Price? 100,000 10 100 1000 2,000-3,000 5,000 10,000 Increase Volumes in Markets With Similar Drivelines to Lower Costs Driveline Incremental Cost in $ 75,000 50,000 25,000 15,000 Yearly Similar Driveline Volumes Target Price Points Driveline Volumes Needed for Price Points
33. Hybrid Incremental Cost – The “Wedges” Fuel savings, Maintenance savings, Increased productivity – use $3.50/gal fuel prices Rewards high fuel economy Gains: 30-50% Must work together to get these two
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39. Deployment, Testing & Production Ramp-up HTUF: “Expanding the Funnel” From Hybrids to More Efficient Trucks 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Early Production: 500+ Truck Deploy Launches Commercial Phase Testing Evaluation Validation Biofuel hybrids GTL/BTL Synthetics Energy storage Plug in modes Power generation Electrified components First Commercial Volumes Capabilities Enhancement 4+ hybrid system suppliers each at min. 2500 system/year volumes 6 truck/ chassis OEMs active Industry volume 20k hybrids/year Technology Enhancement Increased Truck Volume Industrial Hybrid Segment Commercial Hybrids Outcomes: 40-50% fuel use reductions per vehicle Increased capabilities of silent watch, power gen Increased Truck Volume Shuttle Hybrid Segment Class 8 OTR and Drayage Hybrid Increased Truck Volume Delivery Hybrid Segments Increased Truck Volume Utility 5-7 Hybrid Segment Increased Truck Volume Refuse Hybrid Segment
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42. Clean Transportation Solutions SM www.weststart.org For info contact: Bill Van Amburg (626) 744-5600 [email_address] www.htuf.org Advanced Transportation Technologies SM