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Traditional Rural Buildings as
Instruments of Rural Development

                           Chris Bell
            Countryside and Community Research Institute

     ESRC CASE Studentship in collaboration with the National Trust
Outline
• Research context
• Methodology
• Findings (including use)
Research Context
Heritage values:

• Intrinsic value e.g. historical significance

• Instrumental value – how heritage assets can be used
  to achieve a goal e.g. aid rural development

“The historic environment is an important asset in the
economic development and regeneration of rural areas
and has the potential to make an even greater
contribution in the future.” HELM
Traditional Rural Buildings
Traditional farm/working buildings
• Ubiquitous in British countryside
• Functionally redundant
• Sense of place and local distinctiveness
• Planning policy
Research Context
Sustainable rural economic development
• What is this?
  - maintaining income generation and job creation
• How to foster this?
  - Exogenous processes (external)? Endogenous
  processes (internal)? Both?
  - Local economic growth i.e. theories of export
  base, net income, growth poles, and immobile
  resources.
Research Context
- ‘The Leaky Bucket’ – fill it faster or plug the
holes

                   “Pouring money into an area has minimum
                   long-term impact if the wealth flows
                   straight out again because there is nothing
                   to hold it in the area” NEF (New
                   Economics Foundation)




Source: NEF
Research Context
Key research question
- How well does the initial investment from the
   adaptive re-use of traditional rural buildings
   generate benefits for the local economy, in other
   words how well is it linked to local businesses and
   local people?

                             Initial
•Conversion works            investment into       Re-spent locally?
•New use                     local economy



                    Need local economic linkages
Methodology
6 stage process:

1. Literature review and conceptualisation
2. Methodological design
3. Primary data collection
4. Data analysis, LM3 model development and
   computation of multipliers
5. Stakeholder consultation (National Trust)
6. Toolkit development (use of findings)
Methodology
Measuring local economic linkages:

• Adapted LM3 model incorporating elements
  of a simple Keynesian Multiplier analysis
   - focuses on first 3 rounds of expenditure
   - LM3 score (the multiplier) falls between 1
   and 3
LM3 Example
1.£1 enters local economy
2. 80% spent in local businesses = 80p left in
  local economy.
3. 60% of that 80p then spent in local businesses
  = 48p left in local economy

        (£1 + £0.80 + £0.48) / £1 = 2.28
LM3
Round     Activity                             Effect
1         Grant income plus contribution       Direct
          from National Trust or tenant

2         Expenditure on contractors and       Indirect
          materials

3         Expenditure made by contractors      Indirect
          and suppliers

3         Household expenditure                Induced

        Conversion works
Round     Activity                             Effect

1         Attributable turnover from           Direct
          building use


2         Expenditure on goods, services and   Indirect
          labour


3         Expenditure by suppliers             Indirect

3         Household expenditure                Induced


             Building use
Methodology
Primary data collection
•   30 buildings in England

•   Model local economic impact of 1) conversion works,
    2) building use, or both

•   Defining the boundary of ‘local’ - drivetime

•   Structured field interviews and telephone interviews
Methodology
Building locations
Methodology
Primary data collection
•   30 buildings in England

•   Model local economic impact of conversion works,
    building use or both

•   Defining the boundary of ‘local’ - drivetime

•   Structured field interviews and telephone interviews
Methodology
30minute Drivetime Map for Sheringham in Norfolk
Methodology
Primary data collection

•   30 buildings in England

•   Model local economic impact of conversion
    works, building use or both

•   Defining the boundary of ‘local’ - drivetime

•   Structured field interviews and telephone interviews
Data
Conversion works:
• 22 buildings
• 14 Listed, 8 unlisted
• 14 in-hand, 8 let
Building use
• 25 buildings
• 15 Listed, 10 unlisted
• 12 in-hand, 13 let
Data
Contractors:
• 11 firms (24% response)

Suppliers:
• 11 firms (25% response)

Householders:
• 75 (13% response)
Methodology
Improving LM3
• Estimating local expenditure beyond third
  round
• Additionality
• Displacement
• Attribution
• Sensitivity analysis
Conversion Works Income
Model (30min drivetime)
Conversion Works Employment Model
LM3 – Conversion Works
Model category   Number of models   Models within category



Building type           3            Animal housing, crop
                                     storage & processing,
                                             other

Building size           2             < 464m2, > 464m2
Designation             2               Listed, Unlisted
SIC class               3            Accommodation and
                                        food services,
                                     manufacturing, other

Tenure                  2                 In-hand, let
Total                  12
LM3 – Building Use
Model category      Number of models   Models within category

Building type              3            Animal housing, crop
                                        storage & processing,
                                                other
Business age               2             < 5 years, > 5 years

Business size (by          2            < £75,000, > £75,000
turnover)
Indigenous                 2              Indigenous, non-
                                             indigenous
SIC class                  3            Accommodation and
                                           food services,
                                        manufacturing, other
Tenure                     2                In-hand, let

Total                     14
Findings - Summary
Conversion Works
    Variable        Highest Income Highest
                    Multipliers    Employment
                                   Multipliers
    Building type   Animal housing Other
    Building size   < 464m2        < 464m2
    Designation     Listed         Listed
    SIC class       Manufacturing   Other
    Tenure          Let             In-hand
Findings - Summary
Building Use
     Variable         Highest income         Highest employment
                      multipliers            multipliers
     Building type    Animal housing         Crop storage and
                                             processing
     Business age     < 5 years              < 5 years
     Business size    > £75k                 > £75k
     (turnover)
     Indigeneity      Non-indigenous         Indigenous
     SIC class        Accommodation and      Manufacturing
                      food services
     Tenure           Let (30min), In-hand   Let
                      (county)
Findings – Conversion Works
                       Building type
                        30 minute drivetime
               n    Income        Employment Total income Total jobs
                    multiplier    multiplier   generated    created
                                               (£m)         (FTEs)
Animal         7     1.75 - 2.34   1.74 - 1.90  12.4 - 18.4    6.9 - 8.3
housing
Crop storage   5     1.49 - 1.67   1.56 - 1.61    1.5 - 1.8      3.3 - 4.2
and
processing
Other          10    1.22 - 1.34    1.75 - 2.06  16.3 - 19.9    4.2 - 5.4
                               County
                    Income        Employment Total income Total jobs
                    multiplier    multiplier    generated    created
                                                (£m)         (FTEs)
Animal         7     1.82 - 2.63    1.91 - 2.15  12.8 - 20.6    7.5 - 9.5
housing
Crop storage   5     1.60 - 2.26   1.56 - 1.61    1.6 - 2.5      3.3 - 4.2
and
processing
Other          10    1.37 - 1.60   2.03 - 2.46   18.3 - 23.8     4.8 - 6.5
Findings – Conversion Works
                   Designation
                   30 minute drivetime
           n    Income        Employment Total income   Total jobs
                multiplier    multiplier generated      created
                                         (£m)           (FTEs)
Listed     14    1.38 – 1.55 1.98 – 2.39 26.2 – 32.7     10.9 – 14.6
Unlisted    8    1.29 – 1.36 1.26 – 1.29   3.3 – 3.8      5.0 – 5.6
                           County
                Income        Employment Total income   Total jobs
                multiplier    multiplier generated      created
                                         (£m)           (FTEs)
Listed     14    1.47 – 1.76 2.21 – 2.73 27.9 – 37.0     12.2 – 16.8
Unlisted    8    1.43 – 1.68 1.26 – 1.29   3.6 – 4.7      5.0 – 5.6
Findings – Building Use
                  Indigeneity
                         30 minute drivetime
             n        Income        Employment Total income Total jobs
                      multiplier    multiplier generated    created
                                               (£m)         (FTEs)
Indigenous   11        1.33 – 1.56 1.11 – 1.12   1.1 – 1.5   60.5 – 67.4
Non-         12        1.47 – 1.67 1.10 – 1.11   0.9 – 1.1     138.7 –
indigenous                                                      154.2
                                 County
                      Income        Employment Total income Total jobs
                      multiplier    multiplier generated    created
                                               (£m)         (FTEs)
Indigenous   11        1.37 – 1.62 1.12 – 1.12   1.2 – 1.5   60.6 – 67.5
Non-         12        1.52 – 1.78 1.11 – 1.11   0.9 – 1.2     138.7 –
indigenous                                                      154.3
Findings – Building Use
                                SIC Class
                                30 minute drivetime
                    n   Income          Employment      Total income     Total jobs
                        multiplier      multiplier      generated (£m)   created (FTEs)
Accommodation       7     1.49 – 2.09     1.11 – 1.11       0.9 – 1.4      88.2 – 98.2
and food services
Manufacturing       9    1.49 – 1.69      1.17 – 1.18      1.0 – 1.3      27.8 – 31.2
Other               9    1.38 – 1.53      1.10 – 1.10      0.8 – 0.9      99.0 – 110.0
                                      County
                        Income          Employment      Total income     Total jobs
                        multiplier      multiplier      generated (£m)   created (FTEs)
Accommodation       7     1.75 – 2.82     1.11 – 1.11       1.1 – 1.9      88.6 – 98.6
and food services
Manufacturing       9    1.49 – 1.71      1.17 – 1.18      1.0 – 1.3      27.8 – 31.2
Other               9    1.41 – 1.63      1.10 – 1.10      0.8 – 1.0      99.0 – 110.0
Using the Findings
• Workshop with senior National Trust policy
  staff
• Produce a set of principles/guidelines
  summarising the importance of considering
  local economic impact in strategic planning
  and when planning individual adaptive reuse
  projects.
Thank You
christopherbell@connect.glos.ac.uk

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Traditional Rural Buildings Drive Rural Development

  • 1. Traditional Rural Buildings as Instruments of Rural Development Chris Bell Countryside and Community Research Institute ESRC CASE Studentship in collaboration with the National Trust
  • 2. Outline • Research context • Methodology • Findings (including use)
  • 3. Research Context Heritage values: • Intrinsic value e.g. historical significance • Instrumental value – how heritage assets can be used to achieve a goal e.g. aid rural development “The historic environment is an important asset in the economic development and regeneration of rural areas and has the potential to make an even greater contribution in the future.” HELM
  • 4. Traditional Rural Buildings Traditional farm/working buildings • Ubiquitous in British countryside • Functionally redundant • Sense of place and local distinctiveness • Planning policy
  • 5. Research Context Sustainable rural economic development • What is this? - maintaining income generation and job creation • How to foster this? - Exogenous processes (external)? Endogenous processes (internal)? Both? - Local economic growth i.e. theories of export base, net income, growth poles, and immobile resources.
  • 6. Research Context - ‘The Leaky Bucket’ – fill it faster or plug the holes “Pouring money into an area has minimum long-term impact if the wealth flows straight out again because there is nothing to hold it in the area” NEF (New Economics Foundation) Source: NEF
  • 7. Research Context Key research question - How well does the initial investment from the adaptive re-use of traditional rural buildings generate benefits for the local economy, in other words how well is it linked to local businesses and local people? Initial •Conversion works investment into Re-spent locally? •New use local economy Need local economic linkages
  • 8. Methodology 6 stage process: 1. Literature review and conceptualisation 2. Methodological design 3. Primary data collection 4. Data analysis, LM3 model development and computation of multipliers 5. Stakeholder consultation (National Trust) 6. Toolkit development (use of findings)
  • 9. Methodology Measuring local economic linkages: • Adapted LM3 model incorporating elements of a simple Keynesian Multiplier analysis - focuses on first 3 rounds of expenditure - LM3 score (the multiplier) falls between 1 and 3
  • 10. LM3 Example 1.£1 enters local economy 2. 80% spent in local businesses = 80p left in local economy. 3. 60% of that 80p then spent in local businesses = 48p left in local economy (£1 + £0.80 + £0.48) / £1 = 2.28
  • 11. LM3 Round Activity Effect 1 Grant income plus contribution Direct from National Trust or tenant 2 Expenditure on contractors and Indirect materials 3 Expenditure made by contractors Indirect and suppliers 3 Household expenditure Induced Conversion works Round Activity Effect 1 Attributable turnover from Direct building use 2 Expenditure on goods, services and Indirect labour 3 Expenditure by suppliers Indirect 3 Household expenditure Induced Building use
  • 12. Methodology Primary data collection • 30 buildings in England • Model local economic impact of 1) conversion works, 2) building use, or both • Defining the boundary of ‘local’ - drivetime • Structured field interviews and telephone interviews
  • 14. Methodology Primary data collection • 30 buildings in England • Model local economic impact of conversion works, building use or both • Defining the boundary of ‘local’ - drivetime • Structured field interviews and telephone interviews
  • 15. Methodology 30minute Drivetime Map for Sheringham in Norfolk
  • 16. Methodology Primary data collection • 30 buildings in England • Model local economic impact of conversion works, building use or both • Defining the boundary of ‘local’ - drivetime • Structured field interviews and telephone interviews
  • 17. Data Conversion works: • 22 buildings • 14 Listed, 8 unlisted • 14 in-hand, 8 let Building use • 25 buildings • 15 Listed, 10 unlisted • 12 in-hand, 13 let
  • 18. Data Contractors: • 11 firms (24% response) Suppliers: • 11 firms (25% response) Householders: • 75 (13% response)
  • 19. Methodology Improving LM3 • Estimating local expenditure beyond third round • Additionality • Displacement • Attribution • Sensitivity analysis
  • 20. Conversion Works Income Model (30min drivetime)
  • 22. LM3 – Conversion Works Model category Number of models Models within category Building type 3 Animal housing, crop storage & processing, other Building size 2 < 464m2, > 464m2 Designation 2 Listed, Unlisted SIC class 3 Accommodation and food services, manufacturing, other Tenure 2 In-hand, let Total 12
  • 23. LM3 – Building Use Model category Number of models Models within category Building type 3 Animal housing, crop storage & processing, other Business age 2 < 5 years, > 5 years Business size (by 2 < £75,000, > £75,000 turnover) Indigenous 2 Indigenous, non- indigenous SIC class 3 Accommodation and food services, manufacturing, other Tenure 2 In-hand, let Total 14
  • 24. Findings - Summary Conversion Works Variable Highest Income Highest Multipliers Employment Multipliers Building type Animal housing Other Building size < 464m2 < 464m2 Designation Listed Listed SIC class Manufacturing Other Tenure Let In-hand
  • 25. Findings - Summary Building Use Variable Highest income Highest employment multipliers multipliers Building type Animal housing Crop storage and processing Business age < 5 years < 5 years Business size > £75k > £75k (turnover) Indigeneity Non-indigenous Indigenous SIC class Accommodation and Manufacturing food services Tenure Let (30min), In-hand Let (county)
  • 26. Findings – Conversion Works Building type 30 minute drivetime n Income Employment Total income Total jobs multiplier multiplier generated created (£m) (FTEs) Animal 7 1.75 - 2.34 1.74 - 1.90 12.4 - 18.4 6.9 - 8.3 housing Crop storage 5 1.49 - 1.67 1.56 - 1.61 1.5 - 1.8 3.3 - 4.2 and processing Other 10 1.22 - 1.34 1.75 - 2.06 16.3 - 19.9 4.2 - 5.4 County Income Employment Total income Total jobs multiplier multiplier generated created (£m) (FTEs) Animal 7 1.82 - 2.63 1.91 - 2.15 12.8 - 20.6 7.5 - 9.5 housing Crop storage 5 1.60 - 2.26 1.56 - 1.61 1.6 - 2.5 3.3 - 4.2 and processing Other 10 1.37 - 1.60 2.03 - 2.46 18.3 - 23.8 4.8 - 6.5
  • 27. Findings – Conversion Works Designation 30 minute drivetime n Income Employment Total income Total jobs multiplier multiplier generated created (£m) (FTEs) Listed 14 1.38 – 1.55 1.98 – 2.39 26.2 – 32.7 10.9 – 14.6 Unlisted 8 1.29 – 1.36 1.26 – 1.29 3.3 – 3.8 5.0 – 5.6 County Income Employment Total income Total jobs multiplier multiplier generated created (£m) (FTEs) Listed 14 1.47 – 1.76 2.21 – 2.73 27.9 – 37.0 12.2 – 16.8 Unlisted 8 1.43 – 1.68 1.26 – 1.29 3.6 – 4.7 5.0 – 5.6
  • 28. Findings – Building Use Indigeneity 30 minute drivetime n Income Employment Total income Total jobs multiplier multiplier generated created (£m) (FTEs) Indigenous 11 1.33 – 1.56 1.11 – 1.12 1.1 – 1.5 60.5 – 67.4 Non- 12 1.47 – 1.67 1.10 – 1.11 0.9 – 1.1 138.7 – indigenous 154.2 County Income Employment Total income Total jobs multiplier multiplier generated created (£m) (FTEs) Indigenous 11 1.37 – 1.62 1.12 – 1.12 1.2 – 1.5 60.6 – 67.5 Non- 12 1.52 – 1.78 1.11 – 1.11 0.9 – 1.2 138.7 – indigenous 154.3
  • 29. Findings – Building Use SIC Class 30 minute drivetime n Income Employment Total income Total jobs multiplier multiplier generated (£m) created (FTEs) Accommodation 7 1.49 – 2.09 1.11 – 1.11 0.9 – 1.4 88.2 – 98.2 and food services Manufacturing 9 1.49 – 1.69 1.17 – 1.18 1.0 – 1.3 27.8 – 31.2 Other 9 1.38 – 1.53 1.10 – 1.10 0.8 – 0.9 99.0 – 110.0 County Income Employment Total income Total jobs multiplier multiplier generated (£m) created (FTEs) Accommodation 7 1.75 – 2.82 1.11 – 1.11 1.1 – 1.9 88.6 – 98.6 and food services Manufacturing 9 1.49 – 1.71 1.17 – 1.18 1.0 – 1.3 27.8 – 31.2 Other 9 1.41 – 1.63 1.10 – 1.10 0.8 – 1.0 99.0 – 110.0
  • 30. Using the Findings • Workshop with senior National Trust policy staff • Produce a set of principles/guidelines summarising the importance of considering local economic impact in strategic planning and when planning individual adaptive reuse projects.