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Public Lecture
Value of Actuary for Management:
Effective Communication &
Investment Know-how
                                by Mr. C.F. YAM, B.Sc. M.Sc. FSA CFPCM
                                       Regional General Manager, Insurance
                                       Commonwealth Bank Group, IFS North Asia



                                                  October 21, 2010 (Thursday)
                                                  7:00 p.m. - 8:00 p.m.
                                                  Rayson Huang Theatre(黃麗松講堂), HKU
                                                  Tea Reception at 6:30 p.m.

About the speaker
C.F. Yam is Regional General Manager, Insurance of CommBank Management Consulting, a member of
the Commonwealth Bank of Australia Group (CBA). C.F. is a qualified actuary with extensive experience in
life, health and general insurance, as well as investment and pension practices. C.F. has held positions as
chief financial officer and appointed actuary for both traditional life insurer and bancassurers; and has
structured asset strategies for life and pension funds. Apart from financial and actuarial roles, C.F. has also
run operations, group insurance and pension businesses, including third party pension administration
business for major financial institutions in Hong Kong.
C.F. was President of the Actuarial Society of Hong Kong in 1997 and has spoken in various actuarial confer-
ences organized by the world professional bodies.
Graduated with a First Class Honour degree in Bachelor of Science from the University of Hong Kong, C.F.
was awarded a Master of Science degree with Distinction by the University of Lancaster in England. He is
also a Fellow of the Society of Actuaries of the U.S., as well as a Certified Financial Planner.



Abstract
In this talk, C.F. Yam will give a brief summary on the financial management regime for the life insurance
industry. He will share his views on how actuaries may add value in this operating environment. With the
effects of ageing population and customer needs for financial guarantees, actuaries may need to further
their practical skills to serve the potentially huge annuity market. Use of influential power will become
critical for the success of actuaries.


 For online registration, please go to http://www.hku.hk/statistics/seminar/20101021.html
        Attendance certificates available to registered participants upon request
            for the Continuing Professional Development (CPD) Requirements.

                Visitors please note that the University has limited parking space.
      If you are driving, please call the Department at 2859 2466 for parking arrangement.

       Department of Statistics & Actuarial Science
                                                                          All interested are welcome
       The University of Hong Kong 統 計 及 精 算 學 系
                                                                      ENQUIRY: 2857 8312, saas@hku.hk
Value of Actuary for Management :
Effective Communication  Investment Know-how




                    University of Hong Kong
                         21 October 2010


C. F. Yam
Regional General Manager, Insurance
Commonwealth Bank Group, IFS North Asia
Discussions
   Actuarial Education

   Developments in Life Insurance

   Business Value Added

   Financial Markets

   Delivery of End Products

   Art of Communication

   Actuarial Leadership

   Implications on Professional Development

   Closing Remarks

                                               2
Actuarial Education

                 Life
                Life                                      Principles ;
              Insurance                   Pricing
                                         Pricing
             Insurance
                           Commutation                Laws  Regulations ;
                          Commutation
                              Factor
                             Factor
                                                              Tax

              Annuities                   Financial
                                         Financial
             Annuities
                                          Reporting
                                         Reporting
                               Life
 Actuarial
Actuarial                    Life
                           Contingency
                          Contingency

              Pensions
             Pensions                                       Investment
                                                           Investment


                              Survival
                             Survival
                               Model
                              Model
               General
              General                                         Risk
                                                             Risk
              Insurance
             Insurance                                     Management
                                                          Management




                                                                         3
Developments in Life Insurance
                         Traditional    Current Trend
                       Term Insurance       Annuities
      Products          Whole of Life   Variable Annuities


    Distribution          Agency         Bancassurance


                        Local GAAPs     IFRS4 (Phase 2)
                       Formulae-based      Solvency II
 Financial Reporting
                         Traditional    Market Consistent
                       Embedded Value   Embedded Value


 Modeling Approach      Deterministic      Stochastic

                                                             4
Business Value Added
 Actuarial Challenge : Management often regards

                Actuaries as Theoretical  not Practical

 For Actuaries, what the word “Practical” could easily mean:-
       Actuarial Pricing;
       Sophisticated Financial Modeling;
       Producing financial figures  reconciling financial reports to
        comply with Laws  Standards;
       Risk Management (or/ Risk avoidance  in what form?)

 For Management, “Practical” has the connotation of Business Value
  Added

 Business Value Added : Delivery of End Products by Actuaries ??

                                                                         5
Financial Markets
         Insurance                     Bank/Investment Bank
        Whole of Life                              Bonds
      Variable Annuities                      Put/Call Options


         Solvency I/II                           Basel II/III


       Dollar Averaging                          Hedging


Risk Management Focus :
               Financial Risks (ALM, Asset Risks)
                           Reputation Risk
                           Operational Risk
       Insurance Risks
                                                                 6
Delivery of End Products (e.g. Variable Annuity)
    Typical Financial Risk Management for the product, if VA management
     not outsourced :-
                                          Asset             Liability

              Security Investment                                       Risk Management
                  Static Hedging       Trading                          Pricing
                                                            Financial
                                      Desks / Asset   ALM
                Dynamic Hedging                             Models      Valuation
                                      Management
        Static  Dynamic Hedging         Arm                           Financial Reporting
      Capital Management (Naked)                                        Capital Planning

    Writing a VA is equivalent to a Short Put. Short Put creates Negative
     Gamma for the non-linear exposure of the underlying security.
    Dynamic hedging for a Negative Gamma position leads to Gamma
     Loss.
    The sum of Gamma Losses, till Expiration, is the actual cost of the
     option (before transaction costs).
    Volatility, however, is not constant (per Black-Scholes). Delta hedging
     will be off without incorporating the effect of Volatility Surface.

                                                                                                7
Delivery of End Products (e.g. Variable Annuity)

   Technically, we can use (e.g.)
     •   Jump-Diffusion Models
     •   Regime-Switching Models
     •   Stochastic Volatility Models
         for modeling purposes to value the implications.

   If Delta-Gamma hedging, plus Vega hedging, what are the product price
    implications!
   Continuous dynamic hedging (including use of static or higher degree
    hedges) will incur transaction costs.
   Presence of transaction costs and market being incomplete (as
    relevant hedge vehicles may not be available even we can model them
    out), which leads to many possible views for proper product
    management.
   What is the role of actuaries in VA products!
   Where Actuarial leadership lies!

                                                                            8
Art of Communication
          Actuarial                    Communication
           Science                                Art
            Logical                    No Right or Wrong
         Mathematical                   Wordy or Pictorial
           Complex                             Simple
Conditional (Assumptions based)           Direct  Clear
      Deal with Numbers                  Deal with People
           Objective                         Subjective
                                    (depending on Communicator’s
                                  background, position, thinking, etc)
         Professional                         Layman
                                  (maybe with different background)
          Analytical                   May involve Feeling
     Brain Quadrant : Blue            Brain Quadrant : Red
                                                                         9
Art of Communication


(1)                    Business Value
                              
                              =
 Max (  Different Skills  Covariance of Skill Interactions)


                             

(2)               Effective Communication
                             
         Max (  Covariance of Skill Interactions)


                                                                10
Actuarial Leadership

          Traditional                     Current Trend
    Rule Based Environment          Principle Based Environment
         Modeling Skills                  Influential Skills
           Calculator                        Informative
      Conservative Margins           Dealing with Uncertainties
    Commoditizing Processes             Managing Abstracts
        Unique Expertise          Work with other Financial Experts
  Static Risk Management Skills   Dynamic Risk Management Skills

      Work on Blue Skills             Develop with Red Skills

   Move from Number Crunching to Effective Communication
      Move from Financial Reporting to Selling /Convincing
                                                                      11
Actuarial Leadership

   Today’s environment (the margins are pretty thin) often
    provides only a tiny space for feasible business solutions.
    How to provide real Business Value Added by Actuaries in
    today’s complex and competitive environment?
   Business Value Added = Effective Communication

   Financial Risk (Concentrated)  Insurance Risk
    (Diversified), thus Risk Management naturally leans
    towards financial risk management

   How to stay as an expert on Risk Management (The answer
    lies on Ownership!)

   Risk Management (by Actuary) with no in-depth knowledge
    on investment practices (???) may no longer be relevant in
    a dynamic risk management environment

                                                                  12
Implications on Professional Development
   Actuarial Training on investment management driven ALM is likely
    become crucial for actuaries to maintain the state of the art in Risk
    Management
   ALM may mean Liability Driven Asset Strategy (if passive) or
    Option management (if active)
   Option management (rho, delta, gamma  vega) versus Traditional dollar
    averaging or constant proportion concepts (for rho  delta management)
   Stochastic (on Stochastic) simulations would reflect that financial risks
    are naturally non-linear. So choice of using capital (passive) or hedging
    techniques (active) to address Volatility (ALM)?
   Gamma  Vega management are key in option management, how to link
    them into actuarial work
   Capital markets using Risk Neutral Models (pricing with a risk adjusted
    rate) versus Insurers using Real World Models (using empirical data to
    simulate). What implications ?
   With further integration between insurance and capital markets, what
    implications to actuaries on product pricing and delivery?
                                                                                13
Closing Remarks
   What are the Effects of
        Ageing Population (Higher Annuity Needs versus Life Protection) 

        Customer Needs (Product Delivery = providing Financial Guarantee/Peace
         of Mind)

     on the Insurance Industry (where most actuaries housed) (?)

   What Role of “Actuary” should take in Product Cycle/Risk
    Management (?)
   Who should be responsible for the proper delivery of the on-going
    Product Promises – Product Marketing/Product Actuarial; Appointed
    Actuary; CFO; Asset Manager; ALM Risk Manager; Hedging Desk; or
    by CEO/Board via Risk Management Framework(?)
   Who has the authority with regards to Ownership/Choices/Delivery of
    Risk Parameters (Financial Risks versus Business Risks) in the whole
    Risk Management Framework (?)

   The likely answer may fall in the Use of Influential Power by Actuaries
                                                                                  14
Closing Remarks
Use of Influential Power by Actuaries:-
   Appreciate real life problems are getting much complex than text book
    cases
   Critical thinking to tackle ill-defined situations and problems
   Ability to understand wider financial market practices for easy
    communication
   Able to communicate using recipient's language
   Listen to feedback and appreciate recipients having different
    experiences, thus views  beliefs
   Appreciate that Risk is abstract and is in the eyes of beholders
   Leadership skills against odds
   At the end of the day, Influencing is soft selling, so you must need to
    know what you sell, why you sell it, what line you will stand for, what
    objections you would face, how you would handle them and get the
    buy-in

                                                                              15
Thank You




            16

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Presentation For Hku 21.10.2010

  • 1. FOR FAVOUR OF POSTING Public Lecture Value of Actuary for Management: Effective Communication & Investment Know-how by Mr. C.F. YAM, B.Sc. M.Sc. FSA CFPCM Regional General Manager, Insurance Commonwealth Bank Group, IFS North Asia October 21, 2010 (Thursday) 7:00 p.m. - 8:00 p.m. Rayson Huang Theatre(黃麗松講堂), HKU Tea Reception at 6:30 p.m. About the speaker C.F. Yam is Regional General Manager, Insurance of CommBank Management Consulting, a member of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia Group (CBA). C.F. is a qualified actuary with extensive experience in life, health and general insurance, as well as investment and pension practices. C.F. has held positions as chief financial officer and appointed actuary for both traditional life insurer and bancassurers; and has structured asset strategies for life and pension funds. Apart from financial and actuarial roles, C.F. has also run operations, group insurance and pension businesses, including third party pension administration business for major financial institutions in Hong Kong. C.F. was President of the Actuarial Society of Hong Kong in 1997 and has spoken in various actuarial confer- ences organized by the world professional bodies. Graduated with a First Class Honour degree in Bachelor of Science from the University of Hong Kong, C.F. was awarded a Master of Science degree with Distinction by the University of Lancaster in England. He is also a Fellow of the Society of Actuaries of the U.S., as well as a Certified Financial Planner. Abstract In this talk, C.F. Yam will give a brief summary on the financial management regime for the life insurance industry. He will share his views on how actuaries may add value in this operating environment. With the effects of ageing population and customer needs for financial guarantees, actuaries may need to further their practical skills to serve the potentially huge annuity market. Use of influential power will become critical for the success of actuaries. For online registration, please go to http://www.hku.hk/statistics/seminar/20101021.html Attendance certificates available to registered participants upon request for the Continuing Professional Development (CPD) Requirements. Visitors please note that the University has limited parking space. If you are driving, please call the Department at 2859 2466 for parking arrangement. Department of Statistics & Actuarial Science All interested are welcome The University of Hong Kong 統 計 及 精 算 學 系 ENQUIRY: 2857 8312, saas@hku.hk
  • 2. Value of Actuary for Management : Effective Communication Investment Know-how University of Hong Kong 21 October 2010 C. F. Yam Regional General Manager, Insurance Commonwealth Bank Group, IFS North Asia
  • 3. Discussions  Actuarial Education  Developments in Life Insurance  Business Value Added  Financial Markets  Delivery of End Products  Art of Communication  Actuarial Leadership  Implications on Professional Development  Closing Remarks 2
  • 4. Actuarial Education Life Life Principles ; Insurance Pricing Pricing Insurance Commutation Laws Regulations ; Commutation Factor Factor Tax Annuities Financial Financial Annuities Reporting Reporting Life Actuarial Actuarial Life Contingency Contingency Pensions Pensions Investment Investment Survival Survival Model Model General General Risk Risk Insurance Insurance Management Management 3
  • 5. Developments in Life Insurance Traditional Current Trend Term Insurance Annuities Products Whole of Life Variable Annuities Distribution Agency Bancassurance Local GAAPs IFRS4 (Phase 2) Formulae-based Solvency II Financial Reporting Traditional Market Consistent Embedded Value Embedded Value Modeling Approach Deterministic Stochastic 4
  • 6. Business Value Added  Actuarial Challenge : Management often regards Actuaries as Theoretical not Practical  For Actuaries, what the word “Practical” could easily mean:-  Actuarial Pricing;  Sophisticated Financial Modeling;  Producing financial figures reconciling financial reports to comply with Laws Standards;  Risk Management (or/ Risk avoidance in what form?)  For Management, “Practical” has the connotation of Business Value Added  Business Value Added : Delivery of End Products by Actuaries ?? 5
  • 7. Financial Markets Insurance Bank/Investment Bank Whole of Life Bonds Variable Annuities Put/Call Options Solvency I/II Basel II/III Dollar Averaging Hedging Risk Management Focus : Financial Risks (ALM, Asset Risks) Reputation Risk Operational Risk Insurance Risks 6
  • 8. Delivery of End Products (e.g. Variable Annuity)  Typical Financial Risk Management for the product, if VA management not outsourced :- Asset Liability Security Investment   Risk Management Static Hedging  Trading  Pricing Financial Desks / Asset ALM Dynamic Hedging  Models  Valuation Management Static Dynamic Hedging  Arm   Financial Reporting Capital Management (Naked)   Capital Planning  Writing a VA is equivalent to a Short Put. Short Put creates Negative Gamma for the non-linear exposure of the underlying security.  Dynamic hedging for a Negative Gamma position leads to Gamma Loss.  The sum of Gamma Losses, till Expiration, is the actual cost of the option (before transaction costs).  Volatility, however, is not constant (per Black-Scholes). Delta hedging will be off without incorporating the effect of Volatility Surface. 7
  • 9. Delivery of End Products (e.g. Variable Annuity)  Technically, we can use (e.g.) • Jump-Diffusion Models • Regime-Switching Models • Stochastic Volatility Models for modeling purposes to value the implications.  If Delta-Gamma hedging, plus Vega hedging, what are the product price implications!  Continuous dynamic hedging (including use of static or higher degree hedges) will incur transaction costs.  Presence of transaction costs and market being incomplete (as relevant hedge vehicles may not be available even we can model them out), which leads to many possible views for proper product management.  What is the role of actuaries in VA products!  Where Actuarial leadership lies! 8
  • 10. Art of Communication Actuarial Communication Science Art Logical No Right or Wrong Mathematical Wordy or Pictorial Complex Simple Conditional (Assumptions based) Direct Clear Deal with Numbers Deal with People Objective Subjective (depending on Communicator’s background, position, thinking, etc) Professional Layman (maybe with different background) Analytical May involve Feeling Brain Quadrant : Blue Brain Quadrant : Red 9
  • 11. Art of Communication (1) Business Value = Max (  Different Skills Covariance of Skill Interactions) (2) Effective Communication  Max (  Covariance of Skill Interactions) 10
  • 12. Actuarial Leadership Traditional Current Trend Rule Based Environment Principle Based Environment Modeling Skills Influential Skills Calculator Informative Conservative Margins Dealing with Uncertainties Commoditizing Processes Managing Abstracts Unique Expertise Work with other Financial Experts Static Risk Management Skills Dynamic Risk Management Skills Work on Blue Skills Develop with Red Skills Move from Number Crunching to Effective Communication Move from Financial Reporting to Selling /Convincing 11
  • 13. Actuarial Leadership  Today’s environment (the margins are pretty thin) often provides only a tiny space for feasible business solutions. How to provide real Business Value Added by Actuaries in today’s complex and competitive environment?  Business Value Added = Effective Communication  Financial Risk (Concentrated) Insurance Risk (Diversified), thus Risk Management naturally leans towards financial risk management  How to stay as an expert on Risk Management (The answer lies on Ownership!)  Risk Management (by Actuary) with no in-depth knowledge on investment practices (???) may no longer be relevant in a dynamic risk management environment 12
  • 14. Implications on Professional Development  Actuarial Training on investment management driven ALM is likely become crucial for actuaries to maintain the state of the art in Risk Management  ALM may mean Liability Driven Asset Strategy (if passive) or Option management (if active)  Option management (rho, delta, gamma vega) versus Traditional dollar averaging or constant proportion concepts (for rho delta management)  Stochastic (on Stochastic) simulations would reflect that financial risks are naturally non-linear. So choice of using capital (passive) or hedging techniques (active) to address Volatility (ALM)?  Gamma Vega management are key in option management, how to link them into actuarial work  Capital markets using Risk Neutral Models (pricing with a risk adjusted rate) versus Insurers using Real World Models (using empirical data to simulate). What implications ?  With further integration between insurance and capital markets, what implications to actuaries on product pricing and delivery? 13
  • 15. Closing Remarks  What are the Effects of  Ageing Population (Higher Annuity Needs versus Life Protection)  Customer Needs (Product Delivery = providing Financial Guarantee/Peace of Mind) on the Insurance Industry (where most actuaries housed) (?)  What Role of “Actuary” should take in Product Cycle/Risk Management (?)  Who should be responsible for the proper delivery of the on-going Product Promises – Product Marketing/Product Actuarial; Appointed Actuary; CFO; Asset Manager; ALM Risk Manager; Hedging Desk; or by CEO/Board via Risk Management Framework(?)  Who has the authority with regards to Ownership/Choices/Delivery of Risk Parameters (Financial Risks versus Business Risks) in the whole Risk Management Framework (?)  The likely answer may fall in the Use of Influential Power by Actuaries 14
  • 16. Closing Remarks Use of Influential Power by Actuaries:-  Appreciate real life problems are getting much complex than text book cases  Critical thinking to tackle ill-defined situations and problems  Ability to understand wider financial market practices for easy communication  Able to communicate using recipient's language  Listen to feedback and appreciate recipients having different experiences, thus views beliefs  Appreciate that Risk is abstract and is in the eyes of beholders  Leadership skills against odds  At the end of the day, Influencing is soft selling, so you must need to know what you sell, why you sell it, what line you will stand for, what objections you would face, how you would handle them and get the buy-in 15
  • 17. Thank You 16