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Landscape Game: A model to understand the
       dynamics of land competition, policy measures
             and sustainability of a landscape
                        [Herry Purnomo, Rika Harini Irawati]
                             [MODSIM, December 2011]
THINKINGbeyond the canopy
Background
 Managing landscape involves
    various actors and land covers
   Need better understanding of
     • how each actor rationally
       behaves
     • and how they react to rules
       and regulations set by policy
       makers
   Trade-offs frequently occur
   Landscape Game is a tool for
    understanding this complexity


              THINKING beyond the canopy
Aims
 Providing lessons on what can
    happen to landscape and to
    players‟ income when the players
    apply various strategies.
   It includes how „Nash Equilibrium‟
    is approached, in which all players
    apply optimal strategy.

Nash Equilibrium: solution concept of a game
  involving two or more players, in which each
  player is assumed to know the equilibrium
  strategies of the other players and no player
  has anything to gain by changing his / her
  own strategy unilaterally

                    THINKING beyond the canopy
The Game Theory
 The game‟s realism may take one of several forms
  (Chomitz, 2007):
(a)Explicit reality, where game presents the actors’ real
  situation and their resources
(b)Implicit reality, where game represents a simplified
  version of actors and their resources
(c)Virtual world, where game is based on an issue that
  is not necessarily related to a specific actor or
  resource.
 Romp (1997); Individualism, Rationality,
  Interdependency

                                       THINKING beyond the canopy
The Landscape Game
 Non-computerized game
 Based on issues of competing land use, maximizing benefits for each
  set of actors, and sustainability of forest landscape.
 Comprises players, a set of possible strategies in forest landscape,
  and pay-offs.
 Expected to be played by local communities, policy makers, students
  and academics.

                                                 THINKING beyond the canopy
Inspirations
   Monopoly
   SimCity
   American Farmers
   Snakes and Ladders
   Fish Game




                                THINKING beyond the canopy
Game Development
 Players
  - Ideally six or more people (4 players (may play in
  collaboration e.g. 2 vs. 2), 1 banker, 1 government and
  adviser(s)) OR
  - at least three people (2 players and 1
  banker/government)

 Spatial setting and payoffs
  - Three types of area: forest core, forest edge and
  mosaic lands (Chomitz, 2007)
  - Spatial concepts include land competition, cellular
  automata, forest cover, settlements, rivers, roads

                                          THINKING beyond the canopy
Spatial Setting




             THINKING beyond the canopy
Landscape Concept
  Type of            Features             Poverty and          Environmental         Governance challenge
   area                                   development            challenge
                                           challenge
Mosaic-land   High land value, many     Managing landscapes for production and       Enforcing property rights
              inhabitants, small        environmental services, preventing           over land, trees, and
              fraction of forest        extinctions of threatened species,           environmental services
                                        fostering carbon sequestration
Forest edge   Agricultural expansion,   Fostering more       Avoiding irreversible   Restraining resource
              rapidly increasing land   intensive rural      degradation,            grabs by large actors,
              values, conflicts over    development and      mitigating CO2          averting races for
              forest use                access to off-farm   emissions, avoiding     property rights by
                                        employment           forest fragmentation    smallholders, equitably
                                                                                     adjudicating land claims

Forest core   Mostly forest, contains   Providing services   Maintaining large-      Protecting indigenous
              minority of forest        for dispersed        scale environmental     people’s rights, averting
              inhabitants but many      populations          processes               disorderly frontier
              indigenous people                                                      expansion



                                                                            THINKING beyond the canopy
Investments
       Players can invest in
        plantations, ecotourism,
        timber logging, carbon
        sequestration, mining and
        other industries to
        maximize their benefits on
        a shared landscape,
        dynamically ruled by a
        policy maker.
       The policy maker can
        exercise different policies
        and rules to sustain the
        landscape.
                THINKING beyond the canopy
Pay-offs
Type       of   Possible investment         Cost (Þ)        Return (Þ)        Hypothec       Return/Investment   Note
area                                                                          (Þ)            time

Forest          Ecotourism                                                                   Pass the area
core/
Forest                                                 10                 2              5
edge


                Ecotourism in HCVF                     20                 3          10      Pass the area       HCVF areas

                Logging concession                                                           One cycle           Non HCVF area; Need re-
                                                       13                50              6                       investment after 1 cycle

                Carbon for avoiding                                                          One cycle
                deforestation                           2                 3              1

Mosaic-         Acacia                                                                       One cycle           Need re-investment after 1 cycle
land                                                   22                40          11

                Oil palm plantation                                                          One cycle           Need re-investment after 1 cycle
                                                       21                59          10

                Bio-fuel                                6                 8              3   One cycle

                Community based agro-                                                        One cycle           Need re-investment) after 1 cycle
                forestry (sengon)
                                                       30                74          15


                Carbon for re-forestation                                                    One cycle
                                                        6                 6              3

Specific        Sustainability fund                                                          -                   The fund cards display how much
areas                                                   -    Take a card                                         points you receive

                Fire                                                                         -                   If there are five patches of fast
                                                                                                                 wood plantation and oil palm
                                                       25                 -                                      (together).

                Landslide                                                                    -                   If there are five patches of
                                                                                                                 logging   concession and coal
                                                       15                 -                                      mining (together)

                Risk                                                                         -                   The risk cards display      what
                                                        -    Take a card
                                                                                                                 risk/threat you will get
                Coal mining                            50                75          20      One cycle           Reinvest after two cycle

                Drinking Water                                                               -                   Get Þ5 for every other players
                                                       50                 5          30                          investment



                                                                                                     THINKING beyond the canopy
How to play (1)
 Recommended play time is
    one hour.
   The banker distributes initial
    funds to each player - 100
    points; the government has a
    limited fund (200 points).
   Initially the players are
    located randomly.
   When a player arrives in a
    certain patch, various
    investments can be made.
   Certain patches are
    dedicated to mining, drinking
    water investments, „fire‟,
    „landslide‟ and „sustainability
    fund‟.

                                      THINKING beyond the canopy
How to play (2)
 The player pays investment
    costs to the banker.
   The government can create
    incentive and disincentive
    policies during the game (Nash
    Equilibrium).
   Players can persuade the
    government.
   The players can borrow money
    (the banker determines the
    conditions).
   Players get returns from the
    banks after one or two cycles
    (according to the investment).
                                     THINKING beyond the canopy
At the end of the game
                                    The players count their
                                     cash and total assets.
                                    The government assesses
                                     the landscape; if the
                                     landscape is getting better,
                                     good player(s) can get an
                                     award from the
                                     government.
                                    The player who collected
                                     the most money (including
                                     cash, assets and award)
                                     will win the game.
   The banker counts all players‟ money to find out the
    players‟ productivity and the gap between the „richest‟
    and „poorest‟.
   All players, banker, and government discuss what
    lesson can be learned from the game.
                                            THINKING beyond the canopy
Results
 1st Game by forestry students
Investments,     Player A             Player B                      Player C
cash and loans
                 Landscape    Value   Landscape        Value        Landscape        Value

Assets           Teak         50      Ecotourism (2)   14           Carbon (2)       10

                 Oil palm     16      Logging (2)      14           Bio fuel         5
                 Carbon (2)   10      Albazia          25           Acacia           17
                 Logging      7       Oil palm         16           Teak             50
                 Ecotourism   7                                     Water            40
                 Acacia       17


Cash                          32                       50                            118
Total                         139                      129                           240


                                                               THINKING beyond the canopy
Results (2)
 2nd Game played by forestry students (different players)
 Investments, Player A              Player B             Player C
cash and loans Landscape    Value   Landscape    Value   Landscape         Value
Assets         Water        45      Acacia       17      Ecotourism        23
                                                         non HCVF (3)


              Carbon       11       Ecotourism   7       Carbon (3)        21
              Ecotourism   18       Carbon       5       Oil palm          75
              non HCVF (2)
              Logging       57      Teak         50      Logging           57


              Ecotourism    18.
              HCVF
Cash                        22                   50                        6
Loans                       50                   0                         0
Total                       121                  129                       182


                                                          THINKING beyond the canopy
Results (3)
 3rd game played by RECOFT-University of Wageningen training on
    Governance
Investments, Player A          Player B          Player C                 Player D
cash and     Landscape   Value Landscape Value   Landscape      Value     Landscape         Value
loans
Assets      Albizia      7     Albizia    25     Biofuel (2)    10        Teak (2)          100

            Water        40    Logging    14     Carbon (5)     25        Ecotourism        28
                                                                          (4)

            Ecotourism 15      Carbon     10     Ecotourism     14        Coal mining 30
                                                 HCVF (2)
            Carbon       5     Bio fuel   10     Forest         7
                                                 Logging
                               Ecotourism 21

Cash                     223              223                   99                          237
Penalty                  110              110                   110                         220
Total                    198              193                   75                          175


                                                               THINKING beyond the canopy
Discussions
      All players imagined and
         connected the game‟s spatial
         landscape, social actors and
         rules to reality.
        Background and experiences of
         players influenced the way they
         managed „the landscape‟.
        Play It Safe vs Risk Taker
        "If we were all better people, the
         world would be a better place"
        Policy implements the principles
         of good governance 
         participatory, accountability,
         transparency and effectiveness
         to sustain the landscape.

                    THINKING beyond the canopy
Impacts of Playing the Game

 Best strategy to win
 Understanding reciprocal strategies of the
  “opponents”
 Sense of integration between development
  and conservation activities
 Effective policy for managing a landscape
  (anticipate and develop new policies)


                               THINKING beyond the canopy
Conclusions

 The landscape game is a virtual reality, where
    players can experience development,
    conservation and policy implementation in a
    landscape.
   The game can stimulate conceptual thinking of
    landscape management.
   The game is able to represent the common
    landscape and its management.



                                    THINKING beyond the canopy
www.cifor.org
      CIFOR advances human well-being, environmental conservation, and equity by conducting
      research to inform policies and practices that affect forests in developing countries.


                                                                  THINKINGbeyond the canopy

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Landscape Game: a model to understand the dynamics of land competition, policy measures and sustainability of a landscape

  • 1. Landscape Game: A model to understand the dynamics of land competition, policy measures and sustainability of a landscape [Herry Purnomo, Rika Harini Irawati] [MODSIM, December 2011] THINKINGbeyond the canopy
  • 2. Background  Managing landscape involves various actors and land covers  Need better understanding of • how each actor rationally behaves • and how they react to rules and regulations set by policy makers  Trade-offs frequently occur  Landscape Game is a tool for understanding this complexity THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 3. Aims  Providing lessons on what can happen to landscape and to players‟ income when the players apply various strategies.  It includes how „Nash Equilibrium‟ is approached, in which all players apply optimal strategy. Nash Equilibrium: solution concept of a game involving two or more players, in which each player is assumed to know the equilibrium strategies of the other players and no player has anything to gain by changing his / her own strategy unilaterally THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 4. The Game Theory  The game‟s realism may take one of several forms (Chomitz, 2007): (a)Explicit reality, where game presents the actors’ real situation and their resources (b)Implicit reality, where game represents a simplified version of actors and their resources (c)Virtual world, where game is based on an issue that is not necessarily related to a specific actor or resource.  Romp (1997); Individualism, Rationality, Interdependency THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 5. The Landscape Game  Non-computerized game  Based on issues of competing land use, maximizing benefits for each set of actors, and sustainability of forest landscape.  Comprises players, a set of possible strategies in forest landscape, and pay-offs.  Expected to be played by local communities, policy makers, students and academics. THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 6. Inspirations  Monopoly  SimCity  American Farmers  Snakes and Ladders  Fish Game THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 7. Game Development  Players - Ideally six or more people (4 players (may play in collaboration e.g. 2 vs. 2), 1 banker, 1 government and adviser(s)) OR - at least three people (2 players and 1 banker/government)  Spatial setting and payoffs - Three types of area: forest core, forest edge and mosaic lands (Chomitz, 2007) - Spatial concepts include land competition, cellular automata, forest cover, settlements, rivers, roads THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 8. Spatial Setting THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 9. Landscape Concept Type of Features Poverty and Environmental Governance challenge area development challenge challenge Mosaic-land High land value, many Managing landscapes for production and Enforcing property rights inhabitants, small environmental services, preventing over land, trees, and fraction of forest extinctions of threatened species, environmental services fostering carbon sequestration Forest edge Agricultural expansion, Fostering more Avoiding irreversible Restraining resource rapidly increasing land intensive rural degradation, grabs by large actors, values, conflicts over development and mitigating CO2 averting races for forest use access to off-farm emissions, avoiding property rights by employment forest fragmentation smallholders, equitably adjudicating land claims Forest core Mostly forest, contains Providing services Maintaining large- Protecting indigenous minority of forest for dispersed scale environmental people’s rights, averting inhabitants but many populations processes disorderly frontier indigenous people expansion THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 10. Investments  Players can invest in plantations, ecotourism, timber logging, carbon sequestration, mining and other industries to maximize their benefits on a shared landscape, dynamically ruled by a policy maker.  The policy maker can exercise different policies and rules to sustain the landscape. THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 11. Pay-offs Type of Possible investment Cost (Þ) Return (Þ) Hypothec Return/Investment Note area (Þ) time Forest Ecotourism Pass the area core/ Forest 10 2 5 edge Ecotourism in HCVF 20 3 10 Pass the area HCVF areas Logging concession One cycle Non HCVF area; Need re- 13 50 6 investment after 1 cycle Carbon for avoiding One cycle deforestation 2 3 1 Mosaic- Acacia One cycle Need re-investment after 1 cycle land 22 40 11 Oil palm plantation One cycle Need re-investment after 1 cycle 21 59 10 Bio-fuel 6 8 3 One cycle Community based agro- One cycle Need re-investment) after 1 cycle forestry (sengon) 30 74 15 Carbon for re-forestation One cycle 6 6 3 Specific Sustainability fund - The fund cards display how much areas - Take a card points you receive Fire - If there are five patches of fast wood plantation and oil palm 25 - (together). Landslide - If there are five patches of logging concession and coal 15 - mining (together) Risk - The risk cards display what - Take a card risk/threat you will get Coal mining 50 75 20 One cycle Reinvest after two cycle Drinking Water - Get Þ5 for every other players 50 5 30 investment THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 12. How to play (1)  Recommended play time is one hour.  The banker distributes initial funds to each player - 100 points; the government has a limited fund (200 points).  Initially the players are located randomly.  When a player arrives in a certain patch, various investments can be made.  Certain patches are dedicated to mining, drinking water investments, „fire‟, „landslide‟ and „sustainability fund‟. THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 13. How to play (2)  The player pays investment costs to the banker.  The government can create incentive and disincentive policies during the game (Nash Equilibrium).  Players can persuade the government.  The players can borrow money (the banker determines the conditions).  Players get returns from the banks after one or two cycles (according to the investment). THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 14. At the end of the game  The players count their cash and total assets.  The government assesses the landscape; if the landscape is getting better, good player(s) can get an award from the government.  The player who collected the most money (including cash, assets and award) will win the game.  The banker counts all players‟ money to find out the players‟ productivity and the gap between the „richest‟ and „poorest‟.  All players, banker, and government discuss what lesson can be learned from the game. THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 15. Results  1st Game by forestry students Investments, Player A Player B Player C cash and loans Landscape Value Landscape Value Landscape Value Assets Teak 50 Ecotourism (2) 14 Carbon (2) 10 Oil palm 16 Logging (2) 14 Bio fuel 5 Carbon (2) 10 Albazia 25 Acacia 17 Logging 7 Oil palm 16 Teak 50 Ecotourism 7 Water 40 Acacia 17 Cash 32 50 118 Total 139 129 240 THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 16. Results (2)  2nd Game played by forestry students (different players) Investments, Player A Player B Player C cash and loans Landscape Value Landscape Value Landscape Value Assets Water 45 Acacia 17 Ecotourism 23 non HCVF (3) Carbon 11 Ecotourism 7 Carbon (3) 21 Ecotourism 18 Carbon 5 Oil palm 75 non HCVF (2) Logging 57 Teak 50 Logging 57 Ecotourism 18. HCVF Cash 22 50 6 Loans 50 0 0 Total 121 129 182 THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 17. Results (3)  3rd game played by RECOFT-University of Wageningen training on Governance Investments, Player A Player B Player C Player D cash and Landscape Value Landscape Value Landscape Value Landscape Value loans Assets Albizia 7 Albizia 25 Biofuel (2) 10 Teak (2) 100 Water 40 Logging 14 Carbon (5) 25 Ecotourism 28 (4) Ecotourism 15 Carbon 10 Ecotourism 14 Coal mining 30 HCVF (2) Carbon 5 Bio fuel 10 Forest 7 Logging Ecotourism 21 Cash 223 223 99 237 Penalty 110 110 110 220 Total 198 193 75 175 THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 18. Discussions  All players imagined and connected the game‟s spatial landscape, social actors and rules to reality.  Background and experiences of players influenced the way they managed „the landscape‟.  Play It Safe vs Risk Taker  "If we were all better people, the world would be a better place"  Policy implements the principles of good governance  participatory, accountability, transparency and effectiveness to sustain the landscape. THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 19. Impacts of Playing the Game  Best strategy to win  Understanding reciprocal strategies of the “opponents”  Sense of integration between development and conservation activities  Effective policy for managing a landscape (anticipate and develop new policies) THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 20. Conclusions  The landscape game is a virtual reality, where players can experience development, conservation and policy implementation in a landscape.  The game can stimulate conceptual thinking of landscape management.  The game is able to represent the common landscape and its management. THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 21. www.cifor.org CIFOR advances human well-being, environmental conservation, and equity by conducting research to inform policies and practices that affect forests in developing countries. THINKINGbeyond the canopy