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Linking rainwater management strategies to ecosystem/environmental health and resilience Mulugeta Lemenih Nile Basin Development Challenge Science and Reflection Workshop Addis Ababa, 4-6 May 2011
Background: RWM = SLM? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sustainability & Resilience: how are they related? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Past  SES development (drivers, interactions) Future SES E & E (Ecosystem services supply and tradeoff) R E S I L I E N C E = Sustainable A conceptual framework!! R E S I L I E N C E = sustainable Trends and development trajectories =(measure of resilience) Present SES E & E outcomes (Ecosystem services supply) Time Livelihoods and benefits RWM  practices  RWM governance Future scenarios
Sustainability & Resilience ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Crop yield/yr/landscape
How can we assess impacts of RWM on system resilience (landscape + LH)? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],LS Crop biomass Social benefits Water quality/quantity Biodiversity Cultural values (etc) Soil health
What have we done and plan to do? ,[object Object],[object Object]
Diga case ,[object Object]
Trends and trajectories  Ecological State Change Drivers of change eroded existing GS and NRM traditions and replaced it with a system that is more exploitative and poor in GS . Thus intensify rapid ecological state change. Productive and self-sufficient SES under Gumuz occupancy  (Pre-1960s) Small scale water innovation system, in which GS was integral part Governance state change Severe conflict over resources,  landlessness, etc. could these be the threshold? Where will RWS leading the system trajectory? Which ESs  will be enhanced and which compromised?
Fogera: Drivers: political institutions & accompanying policies; - land re-distribution; population growth, etc.  Income or crop harvest
Trend and trajectories How will RMS affect this system? Governance system Signs of ecological state recovery and improved productivity due to innovative water use, outmigration and SWC, but without signs of no GS improvement 40-50 years back the SES was productive with little sign of ecological system degradation and social system problem Lack of awareness, institutional change (politics, policy, tradition) coupled with population growth eroded the traditional GS Deforestation and soil fertility loss intensified, land use shifted, land scarcity heightened, water use also intensified Resource system
Ecosystem services supply & tradeoffs analysis ,[object Object],SES Crop biomass Social benefits Water quality/quantity Biodiversity Cultural value Soil health SES Crop biomass Social benefits Water quality/quantity Biodiversity Cultural value  Soil health RMS
How to assess ESs & tradeoffs?  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thanks

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Linking rainwater management strategies to ecosystem/environmental health and resilience

  • 1. Linking rainwater management strategies to ecosystem/environmental health and resilience Mulugeta Lemenih Nile Basin Development Challenge Science and Reflection Workshop Addis Ababa, 4-6 May 2011
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  • 4. Past SES development (drivers, interactions) Future SES E & E (Ecosystem services supply and tradeoff) R E S I L I E N C E = Sustainable A conceptual framework!! R E S I L I E N C E = sustainable Trends and development trajectories =(measure of resilience) Present SES E & E outcomes (Ecosystem services supply) Time Livelihoods and benefits RWM practices RWM governance Future scenarios
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  • 9. Trends and trajectories Ecological State Change Drivers of change eroded existing GS and NRM traditions and replaced it with a system that is more exploitative and poor in GS . Thus intensify rapid ecological state change. Productive and self-sufficient SES under Gumuz occupancy (Pre-1960s) Small scale water innovation system, in which GS was integral part Governance state change Severe conflict over resources, landlessness, etc. could these be the threshold? Where will RWS leading the system trajectory? Which ESs will be enhanced and which compromised?
  • 10. Fogera: Drivers: political institutions & accompanying policies; - land re-distribution; population growth, etc. Income or crop harvest
  • 11. Trend and trajectories How will RMS affect this system? Governance system Signs of ecological state recovery and improved productivity due to innovative water use, outmigration and SWC, but without signs of no GS improvement 40-50 years back the SES was productive with little sign of ecological system degradation and social system problem Lack of awareness, institutional change (politics, policy, tradition) coupled with population growth eroded the traditional GS Deforestation and soil fertility loss intensified, land use shifted, land scarcity heightened, water use also intensified Resource system
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