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Considerations for RBOs in light of
existing and planned developments
           in the Mekong
             Kim Geheb
      CPWF-Mekong Basin Leader
         k.geheb@gmail.com
High levels of complexity
Diversity and variability




Uncertainty         Complexity            Scale




                    Competition
Liu Xiaodong – Three Gorges: Newly Displaced Population, 2005
Diversity and variability




Uncertainty         Complexity            Scale




                    Competition
How do we manage complexity?

  Strategy 1: Clear Targets
How do we manage complexity?

Strategy 2: Legal instruments
How do we manage complexity?

        Strategy 3: Adaptive management
    The process of management changing itself
          as a result of experimentation

                Is the action reversible?
           Manage humans – not resources.
                 Don’t wait for science.
       Always employ the precautionary principle.
Learn from you’re your successes as well as you mistakes.
How do we manage complexity?

           Strategy 4: Integrate




“Evolution is a tightly coupled dance, with life
  and the material environment as partners.
  From the dance emerges the entity Gaia”.
                James Lovelock
“Most principles of decision-making under uncertainty
are simply common sense”
(Ludwig et al. 1993: 36).

Thank you for your attention!

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Considerations for RBOs in light of existing and planned developments in the Mekong

  • 1. Considerations for RBOs in light of existing and planned developments in the Mekong Kim Geheb CPWF-Mekong Basin Leader k.geheb@gmail.com
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. High levels of complexity
  • 6. Diversity and variability Uncertainty Complexity Scale Competition
  • 7. Liu Xiaodong – Three Gorges: Newly Displaced Population, 2005
  • 8. Diversity and variability Uncertainty Complexity Scale Competition
  • 9. How do we manage complexity? Strategy 1: Clear Targets
  • 10. How do we manage complexity? Strategy 2: Legal instruments
  • 11.
  • 12. How do we manage complexity? Strategy 3: Adaptive management The process of management changing itself as a result of experimentation Is the action reversible? Manage humans – not resources. Don’t wait for science. Always employ the precautionary principle. Learn from you’re your successes as well as you mistakes.
  • 13. How do we manage complexity? Strategy 4: Integrate “Evolution is a tightly coupled dance, with life and the material environment as partners. From the dance emerges the entity Gaia”. James Lovelock
  • 14. “Most principles of decision-making under uncertainty are simply common sense” (Ludwig et al. 1993: 36). Thank you for your attention!