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DECISION SUPPORT LINKING RESERVOIR OPERATION
           WITH LIVELIHOOD OPTIONS
             Case example from Lao PDR

        Kam Suan Pheng, Chu Thai Hoanh, Julia Reis,
           Guillaume Lacombe, Teoh Shwu Jiau


         Mekong Forum on Water, Food and Energy
       Session 1 Starting Small: Hydropower dams for
                  water, food and energy
                    13 November 2012
Decision support: for what purpose?
• To maximize power supply; optimize multiple
  water use  focus on water management




• Can reservoir operation rules accommodate
  livelihood options for affected communities?
Case of the Nam Gnouang storage reservoir




                             Keosaenkham




Nam Gnouang Dam

                          Typical cross section
Decision support: linking reservoir operation with
               livelihood options

1. How would affected communities best use the land
   and water resources at their disposal to enhance their
   livelihoods?
2. Can reservoir operation rules accommodate their
   livelihood needs with minor impact on hydropower
   production?
   a) Recession agriculture on seasonally-exposed reservoir and
      river banks
   b) Fish resources enhanced with constructed wetlands
 Modeling and simulation to explore win-win
  situations
A suite of modeling and simulation tools

                    Land use planning & analysis system (LUPAS)
                  - Explore cost-effective options of livelihood activities
                  based on land and labour resources at their disposal



Examine the interaction between reservoir operation & livelihood opportunities




  Reservoir simulation (ResSim)                        GIS modeling & analysis
- Simulate fluctuation of water level           - Spatial analysis and mapping support
A suite of modeling and simulation tools
                                                                                                            LUPAS

                                                                         EP

                                                                                                 ResSim               GIS

                                                                                                    Exposure period
                                                                                                    Least
Overall suitability for recession                                              Slope suitability
agriculture                                                                      Least
                                              Physical access by boat & road
                                               Least



                                                                                                    Most suitable


                                                                                 Most suitable


                                               Most suitable




                                Keosaenkham




                   An opportunity to create
                   constructed wetlands ?
A suite of modeling and simulation tools
                     Evaluate quality and access to land resources
         LUPAS

                                                       THPC designated land use
                                                       zones for Keosaenkham
ResSim               GIS

  Slope steepness            Accessibility taking account of
                             Accessibility taking account of         Accessibility taking account of       Increasedaccess of access
                                                                                                                Easy difficulty
                             road travel only                           Easy access                        without boat travel
                             road travel only                        road and river travel




                                                                                                                                  KSK
                                                 KSK                    Difficult access KSK                   Difficult access
               KSK
                                                                                                                              Designated zone
                                                                                                                              for upland rice


                                  40
                                              Division of labour for
                                  35                                                     Fishing
                                              livelihood activities
                                  30                                                     Dry Season Veg.
                                  25
                                                                                         Livestock
                                  20
                                                                                         Vegetables (wet
                                  15                                                     season)
                                                                                         Upland rice
                                  10

                                   5
                                   0
                                       Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
LUPAS simulation: income scenarios
              Year 1                                     Year 2                     Year 5
                                                             25
                      Upland,                                      13
                        37                                                                     68


                            Riverbank
                                                                        56
                           garden, 54                                         162

    Fishing,                                                                                         54
      187                  Livestock,
                               56
                                             228                                          56



     13 M                                 22 M                               10 M

Dry Season         Upland, 19                               17
Vegetables,                                          40           15                 40
    40                                                                                              68


                          Riverbank                                     56
                           Wet, 54

                                                                                                          54
                          Livestock, 56
                                                                             131
   Fishing, 169


                                                                                               56
                                                   206
18 M                                      26 M                                14 M
Points for discussion
• What DSS have been developed that may
  provide useful information to a hydropower
  company on how to change their operating rules
  to enhance local livelihood opportunities?
• What would be the enabling environment
  required for hydropower companies/operators
  to take account of the findings of these decision
  support systems?

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Decision Support Linking Reservoir Operation with Livelihood Options

  • 1. DECISION SUPPORT LINKING RESERVOIR OPERATION WITH LIVELIHOOD OPTIONS Case example from Lao PDR Kam Suan Pheng, Chu Thai Hoanh, Julia Reis, Guillaume Lacombe, Teoh Shwu Jiau Mekong Forum on Water, Food and Energy Session 1 Starting Small: Hydropower dams for water, food and energy 13 November 2012
  • 2. Decision support: for what purpose? • To maximize power supply; optimize multiple water use  focus on water management • Can reservoir operation rules accommodate livelihood options for affected communities?
  • 3. Case of the Nam Gnouang storage reservoir Keosaenkham Nam Gnouang Dam Typical cross section
  • 4. Decision support: linking reservoir operation with livelihood options 1. How would affected communities best use the land and water resources at their disposal to enhance their livelihoods? 2. Can reservoir operation rules accommodate their livelihood needs with minor impact on hydropower production? a) Recession agriculture on seasonally-exposed reservoir and river banks b) Fish resources enhanced with constructed wetlands  Modeling and simulation to explore win-win situations
  • 5. A suite of modeling and simulation tools Land use planning & analysis system (LUPAS) - Explore cost-effective options of livelihood activities based on land and labour resources at their disposal Examine the interaction between reservoir operation & livelihood opportunities Reservoir simulation (ResSim) GIS modeling & analysis - Simulate fluctuation of water level - Spatial analysis and mapping support
  • 6. A suite of modeling and simulation tools LUPAS EP ResSim GIS Exposure period Least Overall suitability for recession Slope suitability agriculture Least Physical access by boat & road Least Most suitable Most suitable Most suitable Keosaenkham An opportunity to create constructed wetlands ?
  • 7. A suite of modeling and simulation tools Evaluate quality and access to land resources LUPAS THPC designated land use zones for Keosaenkham ResSim GIS Slope steepness Accessibility taking account of Accessibility taking account of Accessibility taking account of Increasedaccess of access Easy difficulty road travel only Easy access without boat travel road travel only road and river travel KSK KSK Difficult access KSK Difficult access KSK Designated zone for upland rice 40 Division of labour for 35 Fishing livelihood activities 30 Dry Season Veg. 25 Livestock 20 Vegetables (wet 15 season) Upland rice 10 5 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
  • 8. LUPAS simulation: income scenarios Year 1 Year 2 Year 5 25 Upland, 13 37 68 Riverbank 56 garden, 54 162 Fishing, 54 187 Livestock, 56 228 56 13 M 22 M 10 M Dry Season Upland, 19 17 Vegetables, 40 15 40 40 68 Riverbank 56 Wet, 54 54 Livestock, 56 131 Fishing, 169 56 206 18 M 26 M 14 M
  • 9. Points for discussion • What DSS have been developed that may provide useful information to a hydropower company on how to change their operating rules to enhance local livelihood opportunities? • What would be the enabling environment required for hydropower companies/operators to take account of the findings of these decision support systems?

Notas del editor

  1. Income in Kip Figures in pie chart: number of labour days per year per household Baseline: optimized allocation based on projection of present activities Pilot: assuming interventions accommodated by reservoir operations (e.g. recession agriculture)