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Oceans of Opportunity
Harnessing Europe’s largest domestic energy resource


A report by the European Wind Energy Association
Oceans of opportunity
Europe’s offshore wind potential is enormous and able to power Europe
seven times over.


Huge developer interest
Over 100 GW of offshore wind projects are already in various stages
of planning. If realised, these projects would produce 10% of the EU’s
electricity whilst avoiding 200 million tonnes of CO2 emissions each year.


Repeating the onshore success
EWEA has a target of 40 GW of offshore wind in the EU by 2020,
implying an average annual market growth of 28% over the coming 12
years. The EU market for onshore wind grew by an average 32% per year
in the 12-year period from 1992-2004 – what the wind energy industry
has achieved on land can be repeated at sea.


Building the offshore grid
EWEA’s proposed offshore grid builds on the 11 offshore grids currently
operating and 21 offshore grids currently being considered by the grid
operators in the Baltic and North Seas to give Europe a truly pan-European
electricity super highway.


Realising the potential
Strong political support and action from Europe’s policy-makers will allow
a new, multi-billion euro industry to be built.


Results that speak for themselves
This new industry will deliver thousands of green collar jobs and a new
renewable energy economy and establish Europe as world leader in
offshore wind power technology.

A single European electricity market with large amounts of wind power
will bring affordable electricity to consumers, reduce import dependence,
cut CO2 emissions and allow Europe to access its largest domestic
energy source.
Oceans of Opportunity
Harnessing Europe’s largest domestic energy resource

By the European Wind Energy Association



September 2009




Coordinating and main authors: Dr. Nicolas Fichaux (EWEA) and Justin Wilkes (EWEA)


Main contributing authors: Frans Van Hulle (Technical Advisor to EWEA) and Aidan Cronin (Merchant Green)


Contributors: Jacopo Moccia (EWEA), Paul Wilczek (EWEA), Liming Qiao (GWEC), Laurie Jodziewicz (AWEA), Elke Zander (EWEA),
Christian Kjaer (EWEA), Glória Rodrigues (EWEA) and 22 industry interviewees


Editors: Sarah Azau (EWEA) and Chris Rose (EWEA)


Design: Jesus Quesada (EWEA)


Maps: La Tene Maps and EWEA


Cover photo: Risø Institute


                                                                             OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT     3
Contents
                  Executive Summary  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .   7
                  EWEA target . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                  7
                  Unlimited potential . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                    7
                  Over 100 GW already proposed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                             8
                  Grids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                              8
                  2010 will be a key year for grid development planning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                    9
                  Supply chain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                 9
                  Technology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                 9
                  Spatial planning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                   9

1 .               The Offshore Wind Power Market of the Future  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .                                   10
                  2008 and 2009: steady as she goes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                              11
                  2010: annual market passes 1 GW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                              11
                  2011-2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                12
                          Annual installations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                      12
                          Wind energy production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                         13
                          Offshore wind power investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                              13
                          Avoiding climate change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                          13
                  2021-2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                14
                          Annual installations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                      14
                          Wind energy production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                         14
                          Offshore wind power investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                              14
                          Avoiding climate change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                          15
                  Offshore development – deeper and further. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                               16
                  Europe’s first mover advantage. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                        17
                  The United States: hot on Europe’s heels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                             17
                  China: the first farm is developed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                       18

2 .               Spatial Planning: Supporting Offshore Wind and Grid Development  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .                                                          20
                  Maritime spatial planning. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                     21
                  Recommendations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                     23
                  Offshore wind synergies with other maritime activities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                 23

3 .               Building the European Offshore Grid  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .                    24
                  Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                               25
                  Mapping and planning the offshore grid. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                            25
                          Drivers for planning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                     25
                          Planning in the different maritime areas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                               26
                          Planning approach. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                       26
                          Policy processes supporting the planning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                 26
                  Offshore grid topology and construction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                            26
                          No lack of ideas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                     27
                          Offshore grid technology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                         27
                          Offshore grid topology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                       28
                  Spotlight on specific EU-funded projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                           29




4     OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT
EWEA’s 20 Year Offshore Network Development Master Plan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                                     29
              How an offshore grid will evolve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                      31
              Kriegers Flak. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                              31
              Offshore grid construction timeline – staged approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                                   34
      Onshore grid upgrade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                35
      The operational and regulatory aspects of offshore grids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                              35
              Network operation: close cooperation within ENTSO. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                                  35
              Combining transmission of offshore wind power and power trading . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                                         36
              Regulatory framework enabling improved market rules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                                   36
      Economic value of an offshore grid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                    37
              Intrinsic value of an offshore grid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                     37
              Value of an offshore grid in the context of a stronger European transmission network .                                                                                            38
      Investments and financing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                 39
              Investment cost estimates. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                      39
              Financing the European electricity grid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                         40
      Recommendations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                41

4 .   Supply Chain  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .   42
      Building a second European offshore industry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                          43
      Supply of turbines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                            44
      The future for wind turbine designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                   47
      Supply of substructures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                               49
      Vessels – turbine installation, substructure installation and other vessels . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                                   53
      Recommendations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                55
      A brief introduction to some vessels used in turbine installation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                               56
                Vessels status for European offshore wind installation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                                57
      Future innovative installation vessels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                    58
      Ports and harbours . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                              58
                Harbour requirements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                  58
                Existing facilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                           59
                Showcase: Bremerhaven’s success story . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                             60
                Harbours of the future . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                61
      Future trends in manufacturing for the offshore wind industry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                               62

5 .   Main Challenges .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 64

      Annex: Offshore Wind Energy Installations 2000-2030 .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 66




                                                                                                                      OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT                                      5
Executive
                 Summary




                     6   OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT




Photo: Dong Energy
Offshore wind power is vital for Europe’s future.                  will match that of the North Sea oil and gas endeavour.
Offshore wind power provides the answer to Europe’s                However, the wind energy sector has a proven track
energy and climate dilemma – exploiting an abundant                record onshore with which to boost its confidence,
energy resource which does not emit greenhouse                     and will be significantly longer lived than the oil and
gases, reduces dependence on increasingly costly                   gas sector.
fuel imports, creates thousands of jobs and provides
large quantities of indigenous affordable electricity.             To reach 40 GW of offshore wind capacity in the EU
This is recognised by the European Commission in its               by 2020 would require an average growth in annual
2008 Communication ‘Offshore Wind Energy: Action                   installations of 28% - from 366 MW in 2008 to 6,900
needed to deliver on the Energy Policy Objectives for              MW in 2020. In the 12 year period from 1992-2004,
2020 and beyond’(1).                                               the market for onshore wind capacity in the EU grew
                                                                   by an average 32% annually: from 215 MW to 5,749
Europe is faced with the global challenges of climate              MW. There is nothing to suggest that this historic
change, depleting indigenous energy resources,                     onshore wind development cannot be repeated at
increasing fuel costs and the threat of supply disrup-             sea.
tions. Over the next 12 years, according to the
European Commission, 360 GW of new electricity                     Unlimited potential
capacity – 50% of current EU capacity – needs to be
built to replace ageing European power plants and                  By 2020, most of the EU’s renewable electricity
meet the expected increase in demand. Europe must                  will be produced by onshore wind farms. Europe
use the opportunity created by the large turnover in               must, however, use the coming decade to prepare
capacity to construct a new, modern power system                   for the large-scale exploitation of its largest indig-
capable of meeting the energy and climate challenges               enous energy resource, offshore wind power. That
of the 21st century while enhancing Europe’s competi-              the wind resource over Europe’s seas is enormous
tiveness and energy independence.                                  was confirmed in June by the European Environment
                                                                   Agency’s (EEA) ‘Europe’s onshore and offshore wind
EWEA target                                                        energy potential’(2). The study states that offshore
                                                                   wind power’s economically competitive potential in
In March, at the European Wind Energy Conference                   2020 is 2,600 TWh, equal to between 60% and 70%
2009 (EWEC 2009), the European Wind Energy                         of projected electricity demand, rising to 3,400 TWh
Association (EWEA) increased its 2020 target to 230                in 2030, equal to 80% of the projected EU electricity
GW wind power capacity, including 40 GW offshore                   demand. The EEA estimates the technical potential
wind. Reaching 40 GW of offshore wind power capacity               of offshore wind in 2020 at 25,000 TWh, between
in the EU by 2020 is a challenging but manageable                  six and seven times greater than projected electricity
task. An entire new offshore wind power industry and               demand, rising to 30,000 TWh in 2030, seven times
a new supply chain must be developed on a scale that               greater than projected electricity demand. The EEA

(1)
    European Commission, 2008. ‘Offshore Wind Energy: Action needed to deliver on the Energy Policy Objectives for 2020 and
    beyond’. Available at: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2008:0768:FIN:EN:PDF.
(2)
    EEA (European Environment Agency), 2009. ‘Europe’s onshore and offshore wind energy potential’. Technical report No 6/2009.



                                                                                   OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT          7
Executive Summary




                                                                            as three other European countries. The rewards for
                                                                            Europe exploiting its huge offshore wind potential are
                                                                            enormous – this 100 GW will produce 373 TWh of elec-
                                                                            tricity each year, meeting between 8.7% and 11% of
                                                                            the EU’s electricity demand, whilst avoiding 202 million
                                                                            tonnes of CO2 in a single year.

                                                                            In order to ensure that the 100 GW of projects can
                                                                            move forward, and reach 150 GW of operating offshore
                                                                            wind power by 2030, coordinated action is required
                                                                            from the European Commission, EU governments,
                                                                            regulators, the transmission system operators (TSOs)
                                                                            and the wind industry. Working in partnership on devel-
                                                                            oping the offshore industry’s supply chain, putting in
                                                                            place maritime spatial planning, building an offshore
                                                                            electricity grid based on EWEA’s 20 Year Offshore
                                                                            Network Development Master Plan, and ensuring
                                                                            continued technological development for the offshore
                                                                            industry, are key issues.

                                                                            By 2020, the initial stages of an offshore pan-Euro-
                                                                            pean grid should be constructed and operating with
                                                                            an agreed plan developed for its expansion to accom-
                                                                            modate the 2030 and 2050 ambitions.

                                                                            Grids

                                                                            The future transnational offshore grid will have many
                                                                            functions, each benefitting Europe in different ways. It
                                                                            will provide grid access to offshore wind farms, smooth
                                                                            the variability of their output on the markets and
Photo: Elsam




                                                                            improve the ability to trade electricity within Europe,
                                                                            thereby contributing dramatically to Europe’s energy
                                                                            security.

               has clearly recognised that offshore wind power will         We must stop thinking of electrical grids as national
               be key to Europe’s energy future.                            infrastructure and start developing them -- onshore
                                                                            and offshore -- to become European corridors for elec-
               Over 100 GW already proposed                                 tricity trade. And we must start developing them now.
                                                                            The faster they are developed, the faster we will have
               It is little wonder therefore that over 100 GW of offshore   a domestic substitute if future fuel import supplies
               wind energy projects have already been proposed or           are disrupted or the cost of fuel becomes prohibitively
               are already being developed by Europe’s pioneering           expensive, as the world experienced during 2008.
               offshore wind developers. This shows the enormous
               interest among Europe’s industrial entrepreneurs,            The future European offshore grid will contribute
               developers and investors. It also shows that EWEA’s          to building a well-functioning single European elec-
               targets of 40 GW by 2020 and 150 GW by 2030 are              tricity market that will benefit all consumers, with
               eminently realistic and achievable. The 100 or more          the North Sea, the Baltic Sea and the Mediterranean
               GW is spread across 15 EU Member States, as well             Sea leading the way. Preliminary assessments of the




           8     OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT
economic value of the offshore grid indicate that it will                The technical challenges are greater offshore but no
bring significant economic benefits to all society.                      greater than when the North Sea oil and gas industry
                                                                         took existing onshore extraction technology and
Europe’s offshore grid should be built to integrate                      adapted it to the more hostile environment at sea.
the expected 40 GW of offshore wind power by 2020,                       An entire new offshore wind power industry and a new
and the expected 150 GW of offshore wind power by                        supply chain must be developed on a scale that will
2030. It is for this reason that EWEA has proposed its                   match that of the North Sea oil and gas endeavour,
20 Year Offshore Network Development Master Plan                         but one that will have a much longer life.
(Chapter 3). This European vision must now be taken
forward and implemented by the European Commission                       Technology
and the European Network of Transmission System
Operators (ENTSO-E), together with a new business                        Offshore wind energy has been identified by the
model for investing in offshore power grids and inter-                   European Union as a key power generation technology
connectors which should be rapidly introduced based                      for the renewable energy future, and where Europe
on a regulated rate of return for new investments.                       should lead the world technologically. The support of
                                                                         the EU is necessary to maintain Europe’s technolog-
2010 will be a key year for grid development                             ical lead in offshore wind energy by improving turbine
planning                                                                 design, developing the next generation of offshore
                                                                         wind turbines, substructures, infrastructure, and
The European Commission will publish a ‘Blueprint for                    investing in people to ensure they can fill the thou-
a North Sea Grid’(3) making offshore wind power the key                  sands of new jobs being created every year by the
energy source of the future. ENTSO-E will publish its                    offshore wind sector.
first 10 Year Network Development Plan, which should,
if suitably visionary, integrate the first half of EWEA’s                To accelerate development of the technology and
20 Year Offshore Network Development Master Plan.                        in order to attract investors to this grand European
The European Commission will also publish its EU                         project, a European offshore wind energy payment
Energy Security and Infrastructure Instrument which                      mechanism could be introduced. It should be a volun-
must play a key role in putting in place the necessary                   tary action by the relevant Member States (coordinated
financing for a pan-European onshore and offshore                        by the European Commission) according to Article 11
grid, and enable the European Commission, if neces-                      of the 2009 Renewable Energy Directive. It is impor-
sary, to take the lead in planning such a grid.                          tant that such a mechanism does not interfere with
                                                                         the national frameworks that are being developed in
Supply chain                                                             accordance with that same directive.

The offshore wind sector is an emerging industrial                       Spatial planning
giant. But it will only grow as fast as the tightest supply
chain bottleneck. It is therefore vitally important that                 The decision by countries to perform maritime spatial
these bottlenecks are identified and addressed so as                     planning (MSP) and dedicate areas for offshore wind
not to constrain the industrial development. Turbine                     developments and electricity interconnectors sends
installation vessels, substructure installation vessels,                 clear positive signals to the industry. Provided the right
cable laying vessels, turbines, substructures, towers,                   policies and incentives are in place, MSP gives the
wind turbine components, ports and harbours must be                      industry long-term visibility of its market, and enables
financed and available in sufficient quantities for the                  synergies with other maritime sectors. Consolidated
developers to take forward their 100 GW of offshore                      at European level, such approaches would enable
wind projects in a timely manner.                                        investments to be planned out. This would enable the
                                                                         whole value chain to seek investment in key elements
Through dramatically increased R&D and economies                         of the supply chain (e.g. turbine components, cables,
of scale, the cost of offshore wind energy will follow                   vessels, people) while potentially lowering risks and
the same path as onshore wind energy in the past.                        capital costs.

(3)
      The Council Conclusions to the 2nd Strategic Energy Review referred to the Blueprint as a North West Offshore Grid.




                                                                                         OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT   9
Chapter 1


                 The Offshore
                 Wind Power
                 Market of
                 the Future




                     10 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY   OFFSHORE REPORT




Photo: Dong Energy
2008 and 2009: steady as she goes                          2009 has seen strong market development with a
                                                           much larger number of projects beginning construc-
2008 saw 366 MW of offshore wind capacity installed        tion, under construction, expected to be completed, or
in the EU (compared to 8,111 MW onshore) in seven          completed during the course of the year. EWEA antici-
separate offshore wind farms, taking the total installed   pates an annual market in 2009 of approximately 420
capacity to 1,471 MW in eight Member States. The UK        MW, including the first large-scale floating prototype
installed more than any other country during 2008 and      off the coast of Norway.
became the nation with the largest installed offshore
capacity, overtaking Denmark. Activity in 2008 was         By the end of 2009 EWEA expects a total installed
dominated by ongoing work at Lynn and Inner Dowsing        offshore capacity of just under 2,000 MW in Europe.
wind farms in the UK and by Princess Amalia in the
Netherlands.                                               2010: annual market passes 1 GW

In addition to these large projects, Phase 1 of Thornton   Assuming the financial crisis does not blow the
Bank in Belgium was developed together with two near-      offshore wind industry off course, 2010 will be a
shore projects, one in Finland and one in Germany. In      defining year for the offshore wind power market in
addition, an 80 kW turbine (not connected to the grid)     Europe. Over 1,000 MW (1 GW) is expected to be
was piloted on a floating platform in a water depth        installed. Depending on the amount of wind power
of 108m in Italy. Subsequently decommissioned, this        installed onshore, it looks as if Europe’s 2010
turbine was the first to take the offshore wind industry   offshore market could make up approximately 10%
into the Mediterranean Sea, which, together with           of Europe’s total annual wind market, making the
developments in the Baltic Sea, North Sea and Irish        offshore industry a significant mainstream energy
Sea, highlights the pan-European nature of today’s         player in its own right.
offshore wind industry.



  Summary of the offshore wind energy market in the EU in 2010:

  • Total installed capacity of 3,000 MW                   • Meeting 0.3% of total EU electricity demand

  • Annual installations of 1,100 MW                       • Avoiding 7 Mt of CO2 annually

  • Electricity production of 11 TWh                       • Annual investments in wind turbines of €2.5 billion




                                                                         OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT   11
Chapter 1 - The Offshore Wind Power Market of the Future




      100 GW and counting…

      In summer 2009 EWEA surveyed those of its mem-                           phase or proposed by project developers or govern-
      bers active in developing and supplying the offshore                     ment proposed development zones. This 100 GW of
      wind industry, in order to underpin its scenario devel-                  offshore wind projects shows tremendous developer
      opment for 2030. The project pipelines supplied                          interest and provides a good indication that EWEA’s
      by offshore wind developers are presented in the                         expectation that 150 GW of offshore wind power will
      Offshore Wind Map and outlined in this report. In all,                   be operating by 2030 is both accurate and credible(4).
      EWEA has identified proposals for over 100 GW of
      offshore wind projects in European waters - either                       To see the updated Offshore Wind Map:
      under construction, consented, in the consenting                         www.ewea.org/offshore



2011 – 2020                                                                    As can be seen in Figure 1, EWEA’s offshore scenario
(See annex for detailed statistics)                                            can be compared to the growth of the European
                                                                               onshore wind market at a similar time in the industry’s
In December 2008 the European Union agreed on                                  development.
a binding target of 20% renewable energy by 2020.
To meet the 20% target for renewable energy, the                               AnnuAl instAllAtions
European Commission expects 34%(5) of electricity to
come from renewable energy sources by 2020 and                                 Between 2011 and 2020, EWEA expects the annual
believes that “wind could contribute 12% of EU elec-                           offshore market for wind turbines to grow steadily from
tricity by 2020”.                                                              1.5 GW in 2011 to reach 6.9 GW in 2020. Throughout
                                                                               this period, the market for onshore wind turbines will
Not least due to the 2009 Renewable Energy Directive                           exceed the offshore market in the EU.
and the 27 mandatory national renewable energy
targets, the Commission’s expectations for 2020                                FIGURE 2: Offshore wind energy annual and cumula-
should now be increased. EWEA therefore predicts                               tive installations 2011-2020 (MW)
that the total installed offshore wind capacity in 2020
will be 40 GW, up from just under 1.5 GW today.                                40,000                                                          8,000


FIGURE 1: Historical onshore growth 1992-2004 com-                             35,000                                                          7,000
pared to EWEA’s offshore projection 2008-2020 (MW)                                                   Annual (right-hand axis)
                                                                               30,000                Cumulative (left-hand axis)               6,000

 7,000
                                                                               25,000                                                          5,000
                         Onshore (1992-2004)
 6,000
                         Offshore (2008-2020)                                  20,000                                                          4,000

 5,000
                                                                               15,000                                                          3,000

 4,000
                                                                               10,000                                                          2,000

 3,000
                                                                                5,000                                                          1,000

 2,000
                                                                                (MW)   0                                                       0 (MW)
                                                                                           2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
 1,000


 (MW)   0
            1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
            2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020


(4)
    Independently of EWEA’s survey of offshore developers which identified 120 GW of offshore wind farms under construction,
    consented, or announced by companies or proposed development/concession zones (available at www.ewea.org/offshore) New
    Energy Finance has indentified 105 GW of offshore wind projects in Europe (NEF Research Note: Offshore Wind 28 July 2009).
(5)
    European Commission, 2006. ‘Renewable Energy Roadmap’, COM(2006)848 final.

12 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY             OFFSHORE REPORT
Wind EnErgy Production                                                             FIGURE 4: Annual and cumulative investments in
                                                                                   offshore wind power 2011-2020 (€billion 2005)
The 40 GW of installed capacity in 2020 would produce
148 TWh of electricity in 2020, equal to between 3.6%                                 60                                                                              9.0

and 4.3% of EU electricity consumption, depending on                                                Annual investment (right-hand axis)
                                                                                      50                                                                              7.5
the development in electricity demand. Approximately                                                Cumulative investment (left-hand axis)

a quarter of Europe’s wind energy would be
                                                                                      40                                                                              6.0
produced offshore in 2020(6). Including onshore, wind
energy would produce 582 TWh, enough to meet                                          30                                                                              4.5
between 14.3% and 16.9% of total EU electricity
demand by 2020.                                                                       20                                                                              3.0


FIGURE 3: Electricity production 2011-2020 (TWh)                                      10                                                                              1.5

  160
                                                                                   (€bn) 0                                                                            0 (€bn)
                                                                                             2011   2012   2013   2014    2015   2016     2017   2018   2019   2020

  140
                                                                                   Avoiding climAtE chAngE
  120                     TWh offshore
                                                                                   In 2011, offshore wind power will avoid the emission
  100                                                                              of 10 Mt of C02, a figure that will rise to 85 Mt in the
                                                                                   year 2020.
      80


      60


      40


      20


(TWh)   0
            2011   2012   2013    2014   2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020



offshorE Wind PoWEr invEstmEnts

Annual investments in offshore wind power are
expected to increase from €3.3 billion in 2011 to
€8.81 billion in 2020.




(6)
      The 230 GW of wind power operating in 2020 would produce 582 TWh of electricity, with the 40 GW offshore contributing 148 TWh.




                                                                                                           OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT                        13
Chapter 1 - The Offshore Wind Power Market of the Future




      Summary of the offshore wind energy market in the EU in 2020:

      • Total installed capacity of 40,000 MW                               • Meeting between 3.6% and 4.3% of total
                                                                              EU electricity demand
      • Annual installations of 6,900 MW
                                                                            • Avoiding 85Mt of CO2 annually
      • Electricity production of 148 TWh
                                                                            • Annual investments in wind turbines of €8.8 billion


2021 - 2030                                                                 energy’s total share to between 26.2% and 34.3% of
                                                                            EU electricity demand.
AnnuAl instAllAtions
                                                                            FIGURE 7: Electricity production 2021-2030 (TWh)
Between 2021 and 2030, the annual offshore market
for wind turbines will grow steadily from 7.7 GW in                           600
2021 to reach 13.6 GW in 2030. 2027 will be the first
year in which the market for offshore wind turbines                           500                   Annual
exceeds the onshore market in the EU.
                                                                              400
FIGURE 6: Offshore wind energy annual and cumula-
tive installations 2021-2030 (MW)                                             300



160,000                                                          16,000       200

                     Annual (right-hand axis)
140,000                                                          14,000       100
                     Cumulative (left-hand axis)


120,000                                                          12,000
                                                                            (TWh) 0
                                                                                      2021   2022   2023     2024   2025   2026   2027   2028   2029   2030
100,000                                                          10,000

                                                                            offshorE Wind PoWEr invEstmEnts
 80,000                                                          8,000


 60,000                                                          6,000
                                                                            Annual investments in offshore wind power are
                                                                            expected to increase from €9.8 billion in 2021 to
 40,000                                                          4,000      €16.5 billion in 2030.

 20,000                                                          2,000


  (MW)   0                                                       0   (MW)
             2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030




Wind EnErgy Production

The 150 GW of installed capacity in 2030 would
produce 563 TWh of electricity in 2030, equal to
between 12.8% and 16.7% of EU electricity consump-
tion, depending on the development in demand for
power. Approximately half of Europe’s wind electricity
would be produced offshore in 2030(7). An additional
592 TWh would be produced onshore, bringing wind

(7)
      The 400 GW of wind power operating in 2030 would produce 1,155 TWh of electricity, with the 150 GW offshore
      contributing 563 TWh.




14 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY              OFFSHORE REPORT
FIGURE 8: Annual and cumulative investments in                                           FIGURE 9: Annual and cumulative avoided CO2 emis-
  offshore wind power 2021-2030 (€billion)                                                 sions 2021-2030 (million tonnes)

  140                                                                             17.5     2,000                                                                              320

                 Annual (right-hand axis)                                                                      Annual (right-hand axis)
  120            Cumulative (left-hand axis)                                      15.0     1,750                                                                              280
                                                                                                               Cumulative (left-hand axis)


  100                                                                             12.5     1,500                                                                              240


   80                                                                             10.0     1,250                                                                              200


   60                                                                             7.5      1,000                                                                              160


   40                                                                             5.0        750                                                                              120


   20                                                                             2.5        500                                                                              80


(€bn) 0                                                                           (€bn)0     250                                                                              40
          2021    2022    2023   2024   2025   2026   2027   2028   2029   2030

                                                                                            (mt)   0                                                                          0 (mt)
                                                                                                       2021   2022    2023   2024   2025   2026   2027   2028   2029   2030




 Avoiding climAtE chAngE

 In 2021, offshore wind power will avoid the emission
 of 100 Mt of C02, a figure that will rise to 292 Mt in
 the year 2030.




     Summary of the offshore wind energy market in the EU in 2030:


     •Total installed capacity of 150,000 MW                                               • Meeting between 12.8% and 16.7% of total EU
                                                                                             electricity demand
     •Annual installations of 13,690 MW
                                                                                           • Avoiding 292 Mt of CO2 annually
     •Electricity production of 563 TWh
                                                                                           • Annual investments in wind turbines of €16.5 billion




                                                                                                                     OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT                     15
Chapter 1 - The Offshore Wind Power Market of the Future




    Offshore development – deeper and further                                               and further from the shore. Looking at the wind farms
                                                                                            proposed by project developers, the wind industry will
    As technology develops and experience is gained, the                                    gradually move beyond the so-called 20:20 envelope
    offshore wind industry will move into deeper water                                      (20m water depth, 20 km from shore).

     FIGURE 10: Development of the offshore wind industry in terms of water depth (m) and distance to shore (km)

                          160
Distance to shore (km)




                          140


                          120


                          100


                            80


                            60


                            40


                            20


                             0
                                 0   20   40   60     80    100    120   140   160    180     200   220    240     260   280      300     320   340   360


                                                                                                                                        Water depth (m)
                    <20 km :<20 m                   <60 km:<60 m           >60 km:<60 m             <60 km:>60 m               >60 km:>60 m




      This scatter graph shows the probable future devel-                                   result from development in Germany – and will include
      opment trends of the offshore industry in the 2025                                    in the future the UK’s Round 3, characterised by farms
      timeframe (approximately)(8) .                                                        far from shore (more than 60 km) connecting in ideal
                                                                                            situations to offshore supernodes, with a water depth
      Identified trends:                                                                    generally between 20m and 60m.

      <20 km:<20m                                                                           <60 km:>60m
      At the moment operating wind farms tend to be built                                   Deep offshore – based on project proposals high-
      not further than 20km from the shore in water depths                                  lighted to EWEA from project developers using floating
      of not more than 20m.                                                                 platform technologies during the course of the next
                                                                                            decade, not further than 60 km from shore.
      <60 km:<60m
      The current 20:20 envelope will be extended by the                                    >60 km:>60m
      majority of offshore farms to not more than 60 km                                     Deep far offshore – this scatter graph highlights the
      from shore in water depths of not more than 60m.                                      future long term potential of combining an offshore
                                                                                            grid (far offshore) with floating concepts (deep
      >60 km:<60m                                                                           offshore) which is beyond the scope and timeframe
      Far offshore development, which includes current                                      of this report.
      development zones – those illustrated here mainly

     (8)
                         The data is based on an EWEA spreadsheet containing information on all offshore wind farms that are operating, under construc-
                         tion, consented, in the consenting process or proposed by project developers supplied to EWEA and available (updated) at
                         www.ewea.org/offshore. The scatter graph contains only those farms where both water depth and distance to shore was provided
                         to EWEA, and should therefore be treated with a suitable level of caution.

  16 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY                          OFFSHORE REPORT
Europe’s first mover offshore advantage                              Rhode Island and New Jersey each conducted compet-
                                                                     itive processes to choose developers to work on
To date, all fully operational offshore wind farms are               projects off their shores, demonstrating that state
in Europe. However, two countries outside Europe in                  leadership is driving much of the interest in offshore
particular are determined to exploit their offshore                  wind projects in the U.S.
wind potential, providing European companies with
significant opportunities for manufacturing and tech-                A Delaware utility signed a Power Purchase Agreement
nology exports, experienced developers, project                      with a developer, committing that state to a project in
planners, infrastructure experts, and installation                   the near future.
equipment.
                                                                     The wind industry welcomed the release of a new
The United States: hot on Europe’s heels(9)                          regulatory framework from the Minerals Management
                                                                     Service (MMS) of the Department of the Interior after
The prospects for wind energy projects off the coasts                much delay. President Bush signed the Energy Policy
of the United States brightened in 2008 and 2009. A                  Act of 2005 setting MMS as the lead regulatory agency
government report(10) recognised significant potential               for projects in federal waters, but the final rules were
for offshore wind’s contribution. Two states completed               not released until April 2009.
competitive processes for proposed projects, one
company signed a Power Purchase Agreement with                       And not to be left behind, states surrounding the
a major utility, and a final regulatory framework was                Great Lakes have also showed interest over the past
released by the Obama Administration in its first 100                two years in pursuing projects in America’s fresh
days(11).                                                            water. Michigan and Wisconsin both completed major
                                                                     studies regarding the potential for offshore wind, Ohio
In May 2008, the U.S. Department of Energy released                  is conducting a feasibility study for a small project in
“20% Wind Energy by 2030: Increasing Wind Energy’s                   Lake Erie, and the New York Power Authority asked
Contribution to U.S. Electricity Supply”, which investi-             for expressions of interest for projects in Lake Ontario
gated the feasibility of wind energy providing 20% of                and Lake Erie in the first half of 2009.
U.S. electricity. The report found that more than 300
GW of wind energy capacity would need to be installed,               On 22 April 2009, President Barack Obama said “…
including 54 GW offshore.                                            we are establishing a programme to authorise -- for



                                                                                                                                        Photo: Siemens




(9)
   Contribution from Laurie Jodziewicz, American Wind Energy Association.
(10)
    U.S. Department of Energy, 2008. ‘20% Wind Energy by 2030: Increasing Wind Energy’s Contribution to U.S. Electricity Supply’
   http://www.20percentwind.org/20p.aspx?page=Report. May 2008.
(11)
    http://www.doi.gov/news/09_News_Releases/031709.html.

                                                                                     OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT         17
Chapter 1 - The Offshore Wind Power Market of the Future


Photo: Siemens




             the very first time -- the leasing of federal waters for   coastline to 20m out to sea covers about 157,000
             projects to generate electricity from wind as well as      km2. Assuming 10% to 20% of the total amount of sea
             from ocean currents and other renewable sources.           surface were to be used for offshore development, the
             And this will open the door to major investments in        total offshore wind capacity could reach 100-200 GW.
             offshore clean energy. For example, there is enormous      However, in the coastal zone to the south of China,
             interest in wind projects off the coasts of New Jersey     typhoons may be a limiting factor for the deployment
             and Delaware, and today’s announcement will enable         of offshore wind turbines, especially in the Guangdong,
             these projects to move forward.”                           Fujian and Zhejiang Provinces.

             China: the first farm is developed(12)                     In 2005, the nation’s Eleventh Five Year Plan
                                                                        encouraged the industry to learn from international
             With its large land mass and long coastline, China         experience on offshore wind development and to
             is exceptionally rich in wind resources. According         explore the offshore opportunities in Shanghai,
             to the China Coastal Zone and Tideland Resource            Zhejiang and Guangdong Province. The plan also sets
             Investigation Report, the area from the country’s          a target of setting up one to two offshore wind farms

            (12)
                 Contribution from Liming Qiao, GWEC.




           18 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY      OFFSHORE REPORT
of 100 MW by 2010. In the same year, the National          country’s largest offshore oil producer, with an invest-
Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) also              ment of 40 million yuan ($5.4 million).
put offshore wind development as one of the major
R&D priorities in the “Renewable Energy Industry           Construction of the first offshore wind farm in China
Development Guideline”.                                    started in 2009, close to Shanghai Dongdaqiao. The
                                                           first three machines were installed in April 2009. It is
At provincial level, offshore wind planning also started   expected to be built by the end of 2009 and to provide
to take place in Jiangsu, Guangdong, Shanghai,             electricity to the 2010 Shanghai Expo. The wind farm
Zhejiang, Hainan, Hebei and Shangdong. Among them,         will consist of 34 turbines of 3 MW.
the most advanced is Jiangsu province, with a theoret-
ical offshore potential of 18 GW and a littoral belt of    In terms of R&D, the government has put offshore wind
over 50 km, which is an excellent technical advantage      energy technology into the government supported
for developing offshore wind. In its Wind Development      R&D programme. Meanwhile, domestic turbine manu-
Plan (2006-2010), Jiangsu province stipulated that by      facturers are also running their own offshore R&D.
2010, wind installation in the province should reach
1,500 MW, all onshore, and by 2020, wind installation      The development of offshore wind in China is still at an
should reach 10 GW, with 7,000 MW offshore. The            early stage. Many key issues need to be addressed.
plan also foresees that in the long term, the province     At national level, there is still no specific policy or
will reach 30 GW of onshore wind installation capacity     regulation for offshore wind development. All current
and 18 GW offshore capacity.                               policies are for onshore wind. Meanwhile, the approval
                                                           of offshore wind projects involves more government
The first offshore wind turbine in China was installed     departments than for onshore wind projects, with a
and went online in 2007, located in Liaodong Bay           lack of clarity over the different government depart-
in the northeast Bohai Sea. The test turbine has a         ments’ responsibility for approving offshore wind
capacity of 1.5 MW. The wind turbine was built by          projects. Grid planning and construction is another
the China National Offshore Oil Corp (CNOOC), the          key issue, with grid constraint hindering development.




                                                                        OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT   19
Chapter 2

       Spatial Planning:
       Supporting
       Offshore Wind and
       Grid Development




               20 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY   OFFSHORE REPORT




Photo: Elsam
Maritime spatial planning                                  Germany, Denmark, Belgium and the Netherlands,
                                                           each of which has its own approach. A few coun-
Increased activity within Europe’s marine waters has       tries, such as the UK, Germany and Denmark, have
led to growing competition between sectors such as         integrated the deployment of offshore wind energy
shipping and maritime transport, the military, the oil     into a global approach that encompasses industrial,
and gas sector, offshore wind and ocean energies, port     research and policy aspects, and they are seen as the
development, fisheries and aquaculture, and environ-       most promising markets.
mental concerns. The fact that the different activities
are regulated on a sectoral basis by different agen-       Most other countries use existing marine plan-
cies, each with its own specific legislative approach      ning laws, which can delay projects considerably as
to the allocation and use of maritime space, has led       offshore wind is a newly developing and unique energy
to fragmented policy making and very limited EU coor-      resource. Drawn out and imprecise planning can
dination. In contrast to spatial planning on land, EU      increase the costs of offshore projects significantly.
countries generally have limited experience of inte-
grated spatial planning in the marine environment,         With no integrated approach, offshore wind energy
and sometimes the relevant governance structures           deployment is caught between conflicting uses,
and rules are inadequate.                                  interest groups and rules from different sectors and
                                                           jurisdictions (both at inter-state and intra-state level).
In addition to the wide range of sectoral approaches       This creates project uncertainty, increases the risk
to the use of the sea, there are very different plan-      of delays in, or failure of offshore wind projects, and
ning regimes and instruments in the different              impairs the sector’s potential for growth.
Member States. For example, in Germany there are
regional plans for the territorial seas and national EEZ   These barriers are further aggravated by the absence
(Exclusive Economic Zones) plans, whereas in France,       of an integrated and coordinated approach to mari-
sea “Enhancement Schemes” have been used in                time spatial planning (MSP) between the different
some areas as the main instrument.                         Member States and regions. There are potential
                                                           synergies between offshore projects and cross-border
Only a few European countries currently have defined       inter-connectors that are currently not being exploited
dedicated offshore wind areas, including the UK,           and taken into consideration in MSP regimes. Without




                                                                         OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT    21
Chapter 2 - Spatial planning: Supporting offshore wind and grid development




TABLE 1: Overview of the different planning methods


                                                         Crown Estate (CE):    Department of Trade and Industry’s (DTI) Offshore          ORCU: Permit for                         Secretary of State for Trade and
                                              UK          Tenders right to       Renewables Consents Unit (ORCU): Food and             construction/operation    ORCU: Coast
                                                                                                                                                                                 Industry: Permit for construction of
                                                            develop site       Environment Protection License for works at sea         of a generating station protection permit onshore substation/overhead line

                                                                                                                                                          Developer:
                                                         Danish Energy Authority      DEA: Site tender/permit to survey DEA: Building permit                                  DEA: Permit to exploit site
                                          Denmark       (DEA): Site pre-screening   for Environmental Impact Assessment
                                                                                                                                                        Construction of
                                                                                                                                                                               and generate electricity
                                                                                                                                                          wind plant
                                                                                                    (EIA)
      Single-window Application Process




                                                        Developer:     General Directorate for Energy Policy and Mines                                                                              DGPEM: Adm.
                                                                                                                             DGPEM:      DGPEM: Coordinate      DGPEM:             Developer:
                                                        Expression     (DGPEM): Site pre-screening, evaluation of envi-                                                                              Authorization
                                            Spain                       ronmental/tourism/fishing/shipping impact/
                                                                                                                               Site       application review     Lease          Project planning,
                                                                                                                                                                                                   and construction
                                                        of interest                                                           tender     with govt. agencies   agreement       feasibility studies
                                                          in site                      grid conection                                                                                                   permit

                                                        Developer: Application for location   MTW: Consultation with           MTW: Invitation
                                                                                                                                                       MTW: Draft          MTW: Final
                                          Netherlands    incl. EIA to Ministry of Transport stakeholders (EIA, defense,       to submit building
                                                                                                                                                     building permit     building permit
                                                           and Water Resources (MTW)           shipping, fishing, etc.)           application

                                                        Developer: Presents concessions appli-             MME:        MME: Publishes initial concession MME: Building and
                                           Belgium       cation, incl. detailed site plan/EIA to     Consultation with  application, opens concession exploitation authorization
                                                        Ministry of Marine Environment (MME)           stakeholders        process to competitors          (plant/cabling)

                                                        Developer: Notice of intention       Developer: Public      Developer: Two years envi-        BSH:             BSH:       Länder (state government): Cable
                                          Germany       to construct communicated to         and stakeholder        ronmental study, shipping        Project       Cable approval   approval 12 nm zone for the
                                                        BSH (federal marine authority)         consultation               risk analysis             approval            EEZ        Transmission System Operator


                                                        Developer: Intention to apply Developer: Informal           Developer: Formal      Energy Regulator:                                      Oil and Energy
                                           Norway        for permits communicated public and stakeholder          application presented Formal public and stake- Energy Regulator:             Ministry: Final project
                                                              Energy Regulator           consultation              to Energy Regulator    holder consultation    Application approval           approval if appeal

                                                                                                                    Developer: Public and                                   Commission for energy
      Multiple-window




                                                        Department of Communications, Energy, and Natural         stakeholder consultation         CENR: Foreshore         regulation: Construction,
                                           Ireland      Resources (CENR): Foreshore license to explore site                                            lease
                                                                                                                     preparation of EIS                                  generation, and supply permit


                                                         Ministry of Industry: Ministry of Sustainable     Building permit, Municipality     Network Authority (part of Energy
                                           Sweden       Permit for explotation     Development:            if in 12 nm zone, Ministry of      Administration): Concession for
                                                              of seabed        Environmental permit               Industry if in EEZ             cabling and grid access

                                                           Maritime Authority: Site          Ministry of Transport (MoT): Consultation       MoT: Authorization to
                                             Italy
being defined/finalized
Application Guidelines




                                                         consent dependent on MoT           with Economic and Environment Ministries        build and operate wind
                                                                Authorization                            and stakeholders                            plant

                                                           Competent Authority              Competent Authority TBD:        Prefect Maritime:       Competent Authority
                                           France        TBD: Declaration of Zone             Environmental Impact         Concession for use        TBD: Construction
                                                         Development Eolien (ZDE)               Statement (EIS)               of public land              permit


                                           Poland                  No current protocol




                                              Different ministry involved                Developer               National authority              Local authority               To be defined


SOURCE: Emerging Energy research, 2008. ‘global offshore Wind Energy markets and strategies 2008 – 2020’.




cross-border coordination, grid investments in partic-                                                                          power generation by the recent European Commission
ular risk being sub-optimal because they will be made                                                                           Communications:
from an individual project and national perspective,
rather than from a system and transnational perspec-                                                                                  • ‘Offshore Wind Energy: action needed to deliver
tive. This harms both the deployment of offshore wind                                                                                   on the Energy Policy Objectives for 2020 and
energy projects and the development of a well-func-                                                                                     beyond’(13);
tioning Europe-wide market for electricity.                                                                                           • ‘An Integrated Maritime Policy for the European
                                                                                                                                        Union’(14); and
The lack of integrated strategic planning and cross-                                                                                  • ‘Roadmap for Maritime Spatial Planning: achieving
border coordination has been identified as one of                                                                                       common principles in the EU’(15).
the main challenges to the deployment of offshore

(13)
    COM (2008) 768. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2008:0768:FIN:EN:PDF.
(14)
    COM (2007) 575. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2007:0575:FIN:EN:PDF.
(15)
    COM (2008) 791. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2008:0791:FIN:EN:PDF.


22 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY                                                OFFSHORE REPORT
Recommendation:

                 If Member States decided to perform maritime spatial     Maritime spatial planning approaches should be
                 planning (MSP), and dedicate areas for offshore wind     based on a common vision shared at sea basin level.
                 developments and electricity interconnectors, it would   In this regard, cross border cooperation on MSP is
                 send clear positive signals to the industry. Provided    key for building a common and streamlined planning
                 the right policies and incentives are in place, MSP      approach and making optimal use of the maritime
                 gives the industry long term visibility of its market.   space. Cross-border cooperation on MSP would aid
                 Consolidated at European level, such approaches          projects crossing several Economic Exclusive Zones
                 would enable investments to be planned out. This         such as large-scale offshore wind projects, and the
                 would enable the entire value chain to seek invest-      interconnectors of the future pan-European grid.
                 ment in key elements of the supply chain (e.g. turbine
                 components, cables, vessels, people) while poten-
                 tially lowering the risks and capital costs.



               Offshore wind synergies with other maritime                started in Denmark to combine offshore wind parks
               activities                                                 with aquaculture. Offshore wind parks could also be
                                                                          combined with large desalination plants, or be used
               Offshore wind parks cover large areas as the project       as artificial reefs to improve fish stocks. Since the
               size must be sufficient to ensure the financial            foundation structure in an offshore wind turbine is
               viability of the project, and as a minimal distance        large and stable it may in the future be combined
               between the turbines is needed to avoid or mini-           with ocean energies to give additional power produc-
               mise the wake effects. It is therefore possible to         tion at a given offshore site. This last point was also
               optimise the use of the space by developing syner-         promoted by the European Commission through the
               gies with other activities. For example, a project has     recent 2009 FP7 call.
Photo: Eneco




                                                                                        OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT   23
Chapter 3

                 Building the
                 European
                 Offshore Grid




                 24 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY   OFFSHORE REPORT




Photo: Siemens
Introduction                                                           • increased interconnection capacity will provide
                                                                         additional firm power (capacity credit) from the
The deployment of offshore wind energy requires a                        offshore wind resource.
dedicated offshore electricity system. Such a system
will provide grid access for the more remote offshore                The future European offshore grid will therefore
wind farms, and additional interconnection capacity to               contribute to building a well-functioning single European
improve the trading of electricity between the differing             electricity market that will benefit all consumers.
national electricity markets. The transnational offshore             Because of the prominent concentration of planned
grid of the future will have many functions, each bene-              offshore wind farms in the North Sea, the Baltic Sea
fitting Europe in different ways:                                    and the Mediterranean Sea, a transnational offshore
                                                                     grid should be built first in those areas. In many of
   • the geographically distributed output of the                    the offshore grid designs that have already been
     connected offshore wind farms will be aggregated                proposed, an offshore grid has branches reaching as
     and therefore smoothed, increasing the predict-                 far as Ireland, France and Spain.
     ability of the energy output and diminishing the
     need for additional balancing capacity(16);                     This section will address planning issues, technology
   • wind farm operators will be able to sell wind farm              aspects, possible topologies, and the consequences
     output to more than one country;                                for the European network in general. Furthermore it
   • power trading possibilities between countries will              will briefly discuss the operational, regulatory and
     increase;                                                       economic aspects of an offshore grid.
   • it will minimise the strengthening of onshore
     (mainland) interconnectors’ high-voltage networks,              Mapping and planning the offshore grid
     which can be difficult due to land-use conflicts;
   • connecting offshore oil and gas platforms to                    drivErs for PlAnning
     the grid will enable a reduction of their GHG
     emissions;                                                      Building an offshore grid is different from building an
   • it will offer connection opportunities to other                 onshore grid in many ways – not least technically and
     marine renewable energy sources;                                economically. Perhaps the greatest challenge is the
   • shared use of offshore transmission lines leads                 international aspect. The two basic drivers throughout
     to an improved and more economical utilisation of               the planning (and later in the implementation stage)
     grid capacity and its economical exploitation;                  of a transnational offshore grid are its role in interna-
   • European energy security will be improved, due to               tional trade and the access it provides to wind power
     a more interconnected European grid;                            and other marine energy sources.

   TradeWind, 2009. “Integrating Wind - Developing Europe’s power market for the large-scale integration of wind power.”
(16)

   Available at: http://www.trade-wind.eu.




                                                                                     OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT   25
Chapter 3 - Building the European Offshore Grid




The basis for planning the offshore grid is therefore a       modular way, i.e. that it is made up of modules
combination of an ambitious - but realistic - vision of       that can feasibly be exploited;
future offshore wind power capacities and a common          • take into account time-dependent aspects such as
stakeholder vision on the future necessary expansion          realistic implementation scenarios for wind power
of the European transmission network. This report             development, supply chain issues and financing
seeks to develop and implement such a vision.                 possibilities;
                                                            • coordinate the implementation of the offshore
The future projections for offshore wind power capacity       network with the upgrade of the onshore network;
are discussed in Chapter 1.                                 • present a coordinated approach to implementing
                                                              the common vision shared by the relevant stake-
The future development of the European transmission           holders throughout the process.
grid is described in different publications (TDP UCTE
2008, Nordic Grid Master Plan 2008) and various           Partners in the planning and work process are the TSOs,
national studies (the Netherlands, the UK, Denmark).      governments, regulators, technical suppliers, wind farm
Some international studies (TradeWind) have explored      developers, consultants and financing bodies.
the implications of offshore wind for grid require-
ments. At present, issues related to the joint planning   Policy ProcEssEs suPPorting thE PlAnning
of offshore wind power development and grid rein-
forcement arise in markets with significant offshore      Because of the complexity of transnational planning
wind development (Germany, the UK). Finding practical     processes, the planning of an offshore grid requires
solutions for these issues will be very helpful for the   strong policy drivers and supra-national control mecha-
process of international joint planning.                  nisms. In the present political framework, transmission
                                                          lines through different marine zones are forced to
PlAnning in thE diffErEnt mAritimE ArEAs                  seek regulatory and planning approval with the rele-
                                                          vant bodies of each Member State through which the
At present, offshore grid ideas are being developed       line passes. Multiple country reviews impose delays of
above all for northern Europe, especially for the North   years to an approval process that is already complex
Sea and the Baltic Sea. However, offshore wind farms      enough.
are expected to be developed in most European
waters, and so the grid aspects of developments along     Offshore grid topology and construction
the Atlantic Coast and in the Mediterranean area also
have to be considered in pan-European planning. In the    no lAck of idEAs
longer term, and depending on further technological
developments enabling the industry to reach deeper        There is no shortage of ideas from academics, grid
waters, the offshore network should be expanded to        companies and various industries on how to construct
areas that have not yet been investigated, including      a dedicated offshore transmission grid. Because of
the northern part of the North Sea.                       the concentration of planned offshore wind farms in
                                                          the North Sea and the Baltic Sea, a transnational
PlAnning APProAch                                         offshore grid will be constructed in those areas first.

A realistic schedule for a transnational offshore grid    Proposals have been put forward by several different
should:                                                   bodies, including the following:

  • closely follow existing plans and ideas from          • TradeWind
    national transmission system operators (TSOs) to      • Airtricity (see Figure 11)
    enable a smooth start, for example the different      • Greenpeace
    planned connections between the Nordic area and       • Statnett
    UK, the Netherlands and Germany;                      • IMERA
  • ensure the network is conceived and built in a        • Mainstream Renewable Power (Figure 12)




26 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY   OFFSHORE REPORT
FIGURE 11: Airtricity Supergrid concept                              This report seeks to build on these approaches and
                                                                     propose an optimal long-term development plan for
                                                                     the future pan-European offshore electricity grid.

                                                                     offshorE grid tEchnology

                                                                     The utilisation of HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current)
                                                                     technology for the offshore grid is very attractive
                                                                     because it offers the controllability needed to allow the
                                                                     network both to transmit wind power and to provide
                                                                     the highway for electricity trade, even between different
                                                                     synchronous zones. Moreover, HVDC offers the possi-
                                                                     bility of terminating inside onshore AC grids, and thus
                                                                     avoiding onshore reinforcements close to the coast.

                                                                     There are two basic types of HVDC transmission
                                                                     links: HVDC-LCC (conventional HVDC) and the recent
                                                                     HVDC-VSC (Voltage Source Convertor). HVDC-LCC has
                                                                     been extensively used worldwide, operating over 6 GW
                                                                     per line, at voltages of up to 800 kV. 60 GW had been
   SuperNode                                                         installed by the end of 2004(17).
   (Mainstream Renewable Power)
                                                                     Today, the drivers for the offshore grid favour HVDC
   The SuperNode configuration, developed by                         VSC as the best option(17b) for the following reasons:
   Mainstream Renewable Power, is a first step
   for the development of the European Supergrid.                      • the technology is suitable for the long distances
   It would allow the three-way trading of power                         involved (up to 600 km), with minimal losses;
   between the UK, Norway and Germany, and                             • the compactness (half the size of HVDC LCC)
   include two 1 GW offshore wind farms, one in the                      minimises environmental impact and construction
   UK and one in Germany. Depending on the wind                          costs, for example of the HVDC platforms;
   farm output at any given time, the capacity for                     • the system is modular. A staged development is
   trade would go up to 1 GW between each pair of                        possible, and stranded investments can more
   countries in the combination.                                         easily be avoided;
                                                                       • the technology – because of its active controllability
    FIGURE 12: Mainstream Renewable Power                                - is able to provide flexible and dynamic voltage
                                                                         support to AC and therefore can be connected to
                                                                         both strong and weak onshore grids. Moreover, it
                                          Norway                         can be used to provide black start(18), and support
                                                                         the system recovery in case of failure;
                                                                       • multi-terminal application is possible, which makes
                                                                         it suitable for meshed(19) grids.

                                                                     In this way the HVDC VSC technology seems to offer
                      1GW
                                                                     the solution for most of the offshore grid’s technical
                                   1GW
                                                                     challenges.
               UK                             Germany

                                                                     There are two major manufacturers of HVDC VSC
                                                                     technology. ABB uses the brand name HVDC Light,
                                                                     whereas Siemens has branded its technology HVDC

         European Academies Science Advisory Council, 2009. ‘Transforming EU’s Electricity Supply – An infrastructure strategy for
(17) & (17b)

         a reliable, renewable and secure power system’.
(18)
    Black start is the procedure for recovering from a total or partial shutdown of the transmission system.
(19)
    Meshed topology offshore grids are able to cope with the failure of a line by diverting power automatically via other lines.

                                                                                     OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT           27
Chapter 3 - Building the European Offshore Grid




                                                                                                                        Photo: Elsam
Plus. The technologies are not identical, and efforts         HVDC circuit breakers, load flow control concepts and
are needed to make them compatible and jointly oper-          very fast protection schemes. Also, operational experi-
able, when used together in the future offshore grid.         ence has to be collected to optimise the interface with
For that purpose, two major conceptual decisions have         wind power generation in the HVDC environment.
to be taken – namely, to agree to standardise the DC
working voltage levels and to agree on the largest            offshorE grid toPology
possible plug and play boundary. In addition, other
players such as Areva are also developing HVDC VSC            There are three basic elements which will form the
technology.                                                   backbone of the future offshore transmission network.
                                                              These are:
Although all technologies for the offshore grid already
exist in principle, there are several aspects of HVDC           • lines/branches: these consist of submerged
VSC technology which require technical development                cables characterised by transmission capacity;
in the short term in order to achieve the necessary             • offshore nodes (hubs or plugs): these offshore
technical maturity - such as the availability of ultra fast       nodes consist of offshore platforms containing




28 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY   OFFSHORE REPORT
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA
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Offshore Report 2009 - EWEA

  • 1. Oceans of Opportunity Harnessing Europe’s largest domestic energy resource A report by the European Wind Energy Association
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Oceans of opportunity Europe’s offshore wind potential is enormous and able to power Europe seven times over. Huge developer interest Over 100 GW of offshore wind projects are already in various stages of planning. If realised, these projects would produce 10% of the EU’s electricity whilst avoiding 200 million tonnes of CO2 emissions each year. Repeating the onshore success EWEA has a target of 40 GW of offshore wind in the EU by 2020, implying an average annual market growth of 28% over the coming 12 years. The EU market for onshore wind grew by an average 32% per year in the 12-year period from 1992-2004 – what the wind energy industry has achieved on land can be repeated at sea. Building the offshore grid EWEA’s proposed offshore grid builds on the 11 offshore grids currently operating and 21 offshore grids currently being considered by the grid operators in the Baltic and North Seas to give Europe a truly pan-European electricity super highway. Realising the potential Strong political support and action from Europe’s policy-makers will allow a new, multi-billion euro industry to be built. Results that speak for themselves This new industry will deliver thousands of green collar jobs and a new renewable energy economy and establish Europe as world leader in offshore wind power technology. A single European electricity market with large amounts of wind power will bring affordable electricity to consumers, reduce import dependence, cut CO2 emissions and allow Europe to access its largest domestic energy source.
  • 5. Oceans of Opportunity Harnessing Europe’s largest domestic energy resource By the European Wind Energy Association September 2009 Coordinating and main authors: Dr. Nicolas Fichaux (EWEA) and Justin Wilkes (EWEA) Main contributing authors: Frans Van Hulle (Technical Advisor to EWEA) and Aidan Cronin (Merchant Green) Contributors: Jacopo Moccia (EWEA), Paul Wilczek (EWEA), Liming Qiao (GWEC), Laurie Jodziewicz (AWEA), Elke Zander (EWEA), Christian Kjaer (EWEA), Glória Rodrigues (EWEA) and 22 industry interviewees Editors: Sarah Azau (EWEA) and Chris Rose (EWEA) Design: Jesus Quesada (EWEA) Maps: La Tene Maps and EWEA Cover photo: Risø Institute OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT 3
  • 6. Contents Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 EWEA target . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Unlimited potential . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Over 100 GW already proposed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Grids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 2010 will be a key year for grid development planning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Supply chain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Technology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Spatial planning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 1 . The Offshore Wind Power Market of the Future . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 2008 and 2009: steady as she goes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 2010: annual market passes 1 GW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 2011-2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Annual installations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Wind energy production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Offshore wind power investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Avoiding climate change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2021-2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Annual installations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Wind energy production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Offshore wind power investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Avoiding climate change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Offshore development – deeper and further. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Europe’s first mover advantage. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 The United States: hot on Europe’s heels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 China: the first farm is developed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 2 . Spatial Planning: Supporting Offshore Wind and Grid Development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Maritime spatial planning. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Recommendations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Offshore wind synergies with other maritime activities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 3 . Building the European Offshore Grid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Mapping and planning the offshore grid. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Drivers for planning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Planning in the different maritime areas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Planning approach. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Policy processes supporting the planning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Offshore grid topology and construction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 No lack of ideas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Offshore grid technology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Offshore grid topology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 Spotlight on specific EU-funded projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 4 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT
  • 7. EWEA’s 20 Year Offshore Network Development Master Plan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 How an offshore grid will evolve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Kriegers Flak. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Offshore grid construction timeline – staged approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Onshore grid upgrade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 The operational and regulatory aspects of offshore grids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Network operation: close cooperation within ENTSO. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Combining transmission of offshore wind power and power trading . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Regulatory framework enabling improved market rules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Economic value of an offshore grid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Intrinsic value of an offshore grid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Value of an offshore grid in the context of a stronger European transmission network . 38 Investments and financing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 Investment cost estimates. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 Financing the European electricity grid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 Recommendations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 4 . Supply Chain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 Building a second European offshore industry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Supply of turbines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 The future for wind turbine designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 Supply of substructures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 Vessels – turbine installation, substructure installation and other vessels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 Recommendations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 A brief introduction to some vessels used in turbine installation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 Vessels status for European offshore wind installation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 Future innovative installation vessels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 Ports and harbours . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 Harbour requirements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 Existing facilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 Showcase: Bremerhaven’s success story . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 Harbours of the future . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 Future trends in manufacturing for the offshore wind industry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 5 . Main Challenges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 Annex: Offshore Wind Energy Installations 2000-2030 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT 5
  • 8. Executive Summary 6 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT Photo: Dong Energy
  • 9. Offshore wind power is vital for Europe’s future. will match that of the North Sea oil and gas endeavour. Offshore wind power provides the answer to Europe’s However, the wind energy sector has a proven track energy and climate dilemma – exploiting an abundant record onshore with which to boost its confidence, energy resource which does not emit greenhouse and will be significantly longer lived than the oil and gases, reduces dependence on increasingly costly gas sector. fuel imports, creates thousands of jobs and provides large quantities of indigenous affordable electricity. To reach 40 GW of offshore wind capacity in the EU This is recognised by the European Commission in its by 2020 would require an average growth in annual 2008 Communication ‘Offshore Wind Energy: Action installations of 28% - from 366 MW in 2008 to 6,900 needed to deliver on the Energy Policy Objectives for MW in 2020. In the 12 year period from 1992-2004, 2020 and beyond’(1). the market for onshore wind capacity in the EU grew by an average 32% annually: from 215 MW to 5,749 Europe is faced with the global challenges of climate MW. There is nothing to suggest that this historic change, depleting indigenous energy resources, onshore wind development cannot be repeated at increasing fuel costs and the threat of supply disrup- sea. tions. Over the next 12 years, according to the European Commission, 360 GW of new electricity Unlimited potential capacity – 50% of current EU capacity – needs to be built to replace ageing European power plants and By 2020, most of the EU’s renewable electricity meet the expected increase in demand. Europe must will be produced by onshore wind farms. Europe use the opportunity created by the large turnover in must, however, use the coming decade to prepare capacity to construct a new, modern power system for the large-scale exploitation of its largest indig- capable of meeting the energy and climate challenges enous energy resource, offshore wind power. That of the 21st century while enhancing Europe’s competi- the wind resource over Europe’s seas is enormous tiveness and energy independence. was confirmed in June by the European Environment Agency’s (EEA) ‘Europe’s onshore and offshore wind EWEA target energy potential’(2). The study states that offshore wind power’s economically competitive potential in In March, at the European Wind Energy Conference 2020 is 2,600 TWh, equal to between 60% and 70% 2009 (EWEC 2009), the European Wind Energy of projected electricity demand, rising to 3,400 TWh Association (EWEA) increased its 2020 target to 230 in 2030, equal to 80% of the projected EU electricity GW wind power capacity, including 40 GW offshore demand. The EEA estimates the technical potential wind. Reaching 40 GW of offshore wind power capacity of offshore wind in 2020 at 25,000 TWh, between in the EU by 2020 is a challenging but manageable six and seven times greater than projected electricity task. An entire new offshore wind power industry and demand, rising to 30,000 TWh in 2030, seven times a new supply chain must be developed on a scale that greater than projected electricity demand. The EEA (1) European Commission, 2008. ‘Offshore Wind Energy: Action needed to deliver on the Energy Policy Objectives for 2020 and beyond’. Available at: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2008:0768:FIN:EN:PDF. (2) EEA (European Environment Agency), 2009. ‘Europe’s onshore and offshore wind energy potential’. Technical report No 6/2009. OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT 7
  • 10. Executive Summary as three other European countries. The rewards for Europe exploiting its huge offshore wind potential are enormous – this 100 GW will produce 373 TWh of elec- tricity each year, meeting between 8.7% and 11% of the EU’s electricity demand, whilst avoiding 202 million tonnes of CO2 in a single year. In order to ensure that the 100 GW of projects can move forward, and reach 150 GW of operating offshore wind power by 2030, coordinated action is required from the European Commission, EU governments, regulators, the transmission system operators (TSOs) and the wind industry. Working in partnership on devel- oping the offshore industry’s supply chain, putting in place maritime spatial planning, building an offshore electricity grid based on EWEA’s 20 Year Offshore Network Development Master Plan, and ensuring continued technological development for the offshore industry, are key issues. By 2020, the initial stages of an offshore pan-Euro- pean grid should be constructed and operating with an agreed plan developed for its expansion to accom- modate the 2030 and 2050 ambitions. Grids The future transnational offshore grid will have many functions, each benefitting Europe in different ways. It will provide grid access to offshore wind farms, smooth the variability of their output on the markets and Photo: Elsam improve the ability to trade electricity within Europe, thereby contributing dramatically to Europe’s energy security. has clearly recognised that offshore wind power will We must stop thinking of electrical grids as national be key to Europe’s energy future. infrastructure and start developing them -- onshore and offshore -- to become European corridors for elec- Over 100 GW already proposed tricity trade. And we must start developing them now. The faster they are developed, the faster we will have It is little wonder therefore that over 100 GW of offshore a domestic substitute if future fuel import supplies wind energy projects have already been proposed or are disrupted or the cost of fuel becomes prohibitively are already being developed by Europe’s pioneering expensive, as the world experienced during 2008. offshore wind developers. This shows the enormous interest among Europe’s industrial entrepreneurs, The future European offshore grid will contribute developers and investors. It also shows that EWEA’s to building a well-functioning single European elec- targets of 40 GW by 2020 and 150 GW by 2030 are tricity market that will benefit all consumers, with eminently realistic and achievable. The 100 or more the North Sea, the Baltic Sea and the Mediterranean GW is spread across 15 EU Member States, as well Sea leading the way. Preliminary assessments of the 8 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT
  • 11. economic value of the offshore grid indicate that it will The technical challenges are greater offshore but no bring significant economic benefits to all society. greater than when the North Sea oil and gas industry took existing onshore extraction technology and Europe’s offshore grid should be built to integrate adapted it to the more hostile environment at sea. the expected 40 GW of offshore wind power by 2020, An entire new offshore wind power industry and a new and the expected 150 GW of offshore wind power by supply chain must be developed on a scale that will 2030. It is for this reason that EWEA has proposed its match that of the North Sea oil and gas endeavour, 20 Year Offshore Network Development Master Plan but one that will have a much longer life. (Chapter 3). This European vision must now be taken forward and implemented by the European Commission Technology and the European Network of Transmission System Operators (ENTSO-E), together with a new business Offshore wind energy has been identified by the model for investing in offshore power grids and inter- European Union as a key power generation technology connectors which should be rapidly introduced based for the renewable energy future, and where Europe on a regulated rate of return for new investments. should lead the world technologically. The support of the EU is necessary to maintain Europe’s technolog- 2010 will be a key year for grid development ical lead in offshore wind energy by improving turbine planning design, developing the next generation of offshore wind turbines, substructures, infrastructure, and The European Commission will publish a ‘Blueprint for investing in people to ensure they can fill the thou- a North Sea Grid’(3) making offshore wind power the key sands of new jobs being created every year by the energy source of the future. ENTSO-E will publish its offshore wind sector. first 10 Year Network Development Plan, which should, if suitably visionary, integrate the first half of EWEA’s To accelerate development of the technology and 20 Year Offshore Network Development Master Plan. in order to attract investors to this grand European The European Commission will also publish its EU project, a European offshore wind energy payment Energy Security and Infrastructure Instrument which mechanism could be introduced. It should be a volun- must play a key role in putting in place the necessary tary action by the relevant Member States (coordinated financing for a pan-European onshore and offshore by the European Commission) according to Article 11 grid, and enable the European Commission, if neces- of the 2009 Renewable Energy Directive. It is impor- sary, to take the lead in planning such a grid. tant that such a mechanism does not interfere with the national frameworks that are being developed in Supply chain accordance with that same directive. The offshore wind sector is an emerging industrial Spatial planning giant. But it will only grow as fast as the tightest supply chain bottleneck. It is therefore vitally important that The decision by countries to perform maritime spatial these bottlenecks are identified and addressed so as planning (MSP) and dedicate areas for offshore wind not to constrain the industrial development. Turbine developments and electricity interconnectors sends installation vessels, substructure installation vessels, clear positive signals to the industry. Provided the right cable laying vessels, turbines, substructures, towers, policies and incentives are in place, MSP gives the wind turbine components, ports and harbours must be industry long-term visibility of its market, and enables financed and available in sufficient quantities for the synergies with other maritime sectors. Consolidated developers to take forward their 100 GW of offshore at European level, such approaches would enable wind projects in a timely manner. investments to be planned out. This would enable the whole value chain to seek investment in key elements Through dramatically increased R&D and economies of the supply chain (e.g. turbine components, cables, of scale, the cost of offshore wind energy will follow vessels, people) while potentially lowering risks and the same path as onshore wind energy in the past. capital costs. (3) The Council Conclusions to the 2nd Strategic Energy Review referred to the Blueprint as a North West Offshore Grid. OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT 9
  • 12. Chapter 1 The Offshore Wind Power Market of the Future 10 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT Photo: Dong Energy
  • 13. 2008 and 2009: steady as she goes 2009 has seen strong market development with a much larger number of projects beginning construc- 2008 saw 366 MW of offshore wind capacity installed tion, under construction, expected to be completed, or in the EU (compared to 8,111 MW onshore) in seven completed during the course of the year. EWEA antici- separate offshore wind farms, taking the total installed pates an annual market in 2009 of approximately 420 capacity to 1,471 MW in eight Member States. The UK MW, including the first large-scale floating prototype installed more than any other country during 2008 and off the coast of Norway. became the nation with the largest installed offshore capacity, overtaking Denmark. Activity in 2008 was By the end of 2009 EWEA expects a total installed dominated by ongoing work at Lynn and Inner Dowsing offshore capacity of just under 2,000 MW in Europe. wind farms in the UK and by Princess Amalia in the Netherlands. 2010: annual market passes 1 GW In addition to these large projects, Phase 1 of Thornton Assuming the financial crisis does not blow the Bank in Belgium was developed together with two near- offshore wind industry off course, 2010 will be a shore projects, one in Finland and one in Germany. In defining year for the offshore wind power market in addition, an 80 kW turbine (not connected to the grid) Europe. Over 1,000 MW (1 GW) is expected to be was piloted on a floating platform in a water depth installed. Depending on the amount of wind power of 108m in Italy. Subsequently decommissioned, this installed onshore, it looks as if Europe’s 2010 turbine was the first to take the offshore wind industry offshore market could make up approximately 10% into the Mediterranean Sea, which, together with of Europe’s total annual wind market, making the developments in the Baltic Sea, North Sea and Irish offshore industry a significant mainstream energy Sea, highlights the pan-European nature of today’s player in its own right. offshore wind industry. Summary of the offshore wind energy market in the EU in 2010: • Total installed capacity of 3,000 MW • Meeting 0.3% of total EU electricity demand • Annual installations of 1,100 MW • Avoiding 7 Mt of CO2 annually • Electricity production of 11 TWh • Annual investments in wind turbines of €2.5 billion OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT 11
  • 14. Chapter 1 - The Offshore Wind Power Market of the Future 100 GW and counting… In summer 2009 EWEA surveyed those of its mem- phase or proposed by project developers or govern- bers active in developing and supplying the offshore ment proposed development zones. This 100 GW of wind industry, in order to underpin its scenario devel- offshore wind projects shows tremendous developer opment for 2030. The project pipelines supplied interest and provides a good indication that EWEA’s by offshore wind developers are presented in the expectation that 150 GW of offshore wind power will Offshore Wind Map and outlined in this report. In all, be operating by 2030 is both accurate and credible(4). EWEA has identified proposals for over 100 GW of offshore wind projects in European waters - either To see the updated Offshore Wind Map: under construction, consented, in the consenting www.ewea.org/offshore 2011 – 2020 As can be seen in Figure 1, EWEA’s offshore scenario (See annex for detailed statistics) can be compared to the growth of the European onshore wind market at a similar time in the industry’s In December 2008 the European Union agreed on development. a binding target of 20% renewable energy by 2020. To meet the 20% target for renewable energy, the AnnuAl instAllAtions European Commission expects 34%(5) of electricity to come from renewable energy sources by 2020 and Between 2011 and 2020, EWEA expects the annual believes that “wind could contribute 12% of EU elec- offshore market for wind turbines to grow steadily from tricity by 2020”. 1.5 GW in 2011 to reach 6.9 GW in 2020. Throughout this period, the market for onshore wind turbines will Not least due to the 2009 Renewable Energy Directive exceed the offshore market in the EU. and the 27 mandatory national renewable energy targets, the Commission’s expectations for 2020 FIGURE 2: Offshore wind energy annual and cumula- should now be increased. EWEA therefore predicts tive installations 2011-2020 (MW) that the total installed offshore wind capacity in 2020 will be 40 GW, up from just under 1.5 GW today. 40,000 8,000 FIGURE 1: Historical onshore growth 1992-2004 com- 35,000 7,000 pared to EWEA’s offshore projection 2008-2020 (MW) Annual (right-hand axis) 30,000 Cumulative (left-hand axis) 6,000 7,000 25,000 5,000 Onshore (1992-2004) 6,000 Offshore (2008-2020) 20,000 4,000 5,000 15,000 3,000 4,000 10,000 2,000 3,000 5,000 1,000 2,000 (MW) 0 0 (MW) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 1,000 (MW) 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (4) Independently of EWEA’s survey of offshore developers which identified 120 GW of offshore wind farms under construction, consented, or announced by companies or proposed development/concession zones (available at www.ewea.org/offshore) New Energy Finance has indentified 105 GW of offshore wind projects in Europe (NEF Research Note: Offshore Wind 28 July 2009). (5) European Commission, 2006. ‘Renewable Energy Roadmap’, COM(2006)848 final. 12 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT
  • 15. Wind EnErgy Production FIGURE 4: Annual and cumulative investments in offshore wind power 2011-2020 (€billion 2005) The 40 GW of installed capacity in 2020 would produce 148 TWh of electricity in 2020, equal to between 3.6% 60 9.0 and 4.3% of EU electricity consumption, depending on Annual investment (right-hand axis) 50 7.5 the development in electricity demand. Approximately Cumulative investment (left-hand axis) a quarter of Europe’s wind energy would be 40 6.0 produced offshore in 2020(6). Including onshore, wind energy would produce 582 TWh, enough to meet 30 4.5 between 14.3% and 16.9% of total EU electricity demand by 2020. 20 3.0 FIGURE 3: Electricity production 2011-2020 (TWh) 10 1.5 160 (€bn) 0 0 (€bn) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 140 Avoiding climAtE chAngE 120 TWh offshore In 2011, offshore wind power will avoid the emission 100 of 10 Mt of C02, a figure that will rise to 85 Mt in the year 2020. 80 60 40 20 (TWh) 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 offshorE Wind PoWEr invEstmEnts Annual investments in offshore wind power are expected to increase from €3.3 billion in 2011 to €8.81 billion in 2020. (6) The 230 GW of wind power operating in 2020 would produce 582 TWh of electricity, with the 40 GW offshore contributing 148 TWh. OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT 13
  • 16. Chapter 1 - The Offshore Wind Power Market of the Future Summary of the offshore wind energy market in the EU in 2020: • Total installed capacity of 40,000 MW • Meeting between 3.6% and 4.3% of total EU electricity demand • Annual installations of 6,900 MW • Avoiding 85Mt of CO2 annually • Electricity production of 148 TWh • Annual investments in wind turbines of €8.8 billion 2021 - 2030 energy’s total share to between 26.2% and 34.3% of EU electricity demand. AnnuAl instAllAtions FIGURE 7: Electricity production 2021-2030 (TWh) Between 2021 and 2030, the annual offshore market for wind turbines will grow steadily from 7.7 GW in 600 2021 to reach 13.6 GW in 2030. 2027 will be the first year in which the market for offshore wind turbines 500 Annual exceeds the onshore market in the EU. 400 FIGURE 6: Offshore wind energy annual and cumula- tive installations 2021-2030 (MW) 300 160,000 16,000 200 Annual (right-hand axis) 140,000 14,000 100 Cumulative (left-hand axis) 120,000 12,000 (TWh) 0 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 100,000 10,000 offshorE Wind PoWEr invEstmEnts 80,000 8,000 60,000 6,000 Annual investments in offshore wind power are expected to increase from €9.8 billion in 2021 to 40,000 4,000 €16.5 billion in 2030. 20,000 2,000 (MW) 0 0 (MW) 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Wind EnErgy Production The 150 GW of installed capacity in 2030 would produce 563 TWh of electricity in 2030, equal to between 12.8% and 16.7% of EU electricity consump- tion, depending on the development in demand for power. Approximately half of Europe’s wind electricity would be produced offshore in 2030(7). An additional 592 TWh would be produced onshore, bringing wind (7) The 400 GW of wind power operating in 2030 would produce 1,155 TWh of electricity, with the 150 GW offshore contributing 563 TWh. 14 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT
  • 17. FIGURE 8: Annual and cumulative investments in FIGURE 9: Annual and cumulative avoided CO2 emis- offshore wind power 2021-2030 (€billion) sions 2021-2030 (million tonnes) 140 17.5 2,000 320 Annual (right-hand axis) Annual (right-hand axis) 120 Cumulative (left-hand axis) 15.0 1,750 280 Cumulative (left-hand axis) 100 12.5 1,500 240 80 10.0 1,250 200 60 7.5 1,000 160 40 5.0 750 120 20 2.5 500 80 (€bn) 0 (€bn)0 250 40 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 (mt) 0 0 (mt) 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Avoiding climAtE chAngE In 2021, offshore wind power will avoid the emission of 100 Mt of C02, a figure that will rise to 292 Mt in the year 2030. Summary of the offshore wind energy market in the EU in 2030: •Total installed capacity of 150,000 MW • Meeting between 12.8% and 16.7% of total EU electricity demand •Annual installations of 13,690 MW • Avoiding 292 Mt of CO2 annually •Electricity production of 563 TWh • Annual investments in wind turbines of €16.5 billion OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT 15
  • 18. Chapter 1 - The Offshore Wind Power Market of the Future Offshore development – deeper and further and further from the shore. Looking at the wind farms proposed by project developers, the wind industry will As technology develops and experience is gained, the gradually move beyond the so-called 20:20 envelope offshore wind industry will move into deeper water (20m water depth, 20 km from shore). FIGURE 10: Development of the offshore wind industry in terms of water depth (m) and distance to shore (km) 160 Distance to shore (km) 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 360 Water depth (m) <20 km :<20 m <60 km:<60 m >60 km:<60 m <60 km:>60 m >60 km:>60 m This scatter graph shows the probable future devel- result from development in Germany – and will include opment trends of the offshore industry in the 2025 in the future the UK’s Round 3, characterised by farms timeframe (approximately)(8) . far from shore (more than 60 km) connecting in ideal situations to offshore supernodes, with a water depth Identified trends: generally between 20m and 60m. <20 km:<20m <60 km:>60m At the moment operating wind farms tend to be built Deep offshore – based on project proposals high- not further than 20km from the shore in water depths lighted to EWEA from project developers using floating of not more than 20m. platform technologies during the course of the next decade, not further than 60 km from shore. <60 km:<60m The current 20:20 envelope will be extended by the >60 km:>60m majority of offshore farms to not more than 60 km Deep far offshore – this scatter graph highlights the from shore in water depths of not more than 60m. future long term potential of combining an offshore grid (far offshore) with floating concepts (deep >60 km:<60m offshore) which is beyond the scope and timeframe Far offshore development, which includes current of this report. development zones – those illustrated here mainly (8) The data is based on an EWEA spreadsheet containing information on all offshore wind farms that are operating, under construc- tion, consented, in the consenting process or proposed by project developers supplied to EWEA and available (updated) at www.ewea.org/offshore. The scatter graph contains only those farms where both water depth and distance to shore was provided to EWEA, and should therefore be treated with a suitable level of caution. 16 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT
  • 19. Europe’s first mover offshore advantage Rhode Island and New Jersey each conducted compet- itive processes to choose developers to work on To date, all fully operational offshore wind farms are projects off their shores, demonstrating that state in Europe. However, two countries outside Europe in leadership is driving much of the interest in offshore particular are determined to exploit their offshore wind projects in the U.S. wind potential, providing European companies with significant opportunities for manufacturing and tech- A Delaware utility signed a Power Purchase Agreement nology exports, experienced developers, project with a developer, committing that state to a project in planners, infrastructure experts, and installation the near future. equipment. The wind industry welcomed the release of a new The United States: hot on Europe’s heels(9) regulatory framework from the Minerals Management Service (MMS) of the Department of the Interior after The prospects for wind energy projects off the coasts much delay. President Bush signed the Energy Policy of the United States brightened in 2008 and 2009. A Act of 2005 setting MMS as the lead regulatory agency government report(10) recognised significant potential for projects in federal waters, but the final rules were for offshore wind’s contribution. Two states completed not released until April 2009. competitive processes for proposed projects, one company signed a Power Purchase Agreement with And not to be left behind, states surrounding the a major utility, and a final regulatory framework was Great Lakes have also showed interest over the past released by the Obama Administration in its first 100 two years in pursuing projects in America’s fresh days(11). water. Michigan and Wisconsin both completed major studies regarding the potential for offshore wind, Ohio In May 2008, the U.S. Department of Energy released is conducting a feasibility study for a small project in “20% Wind Energy by 2030: Increasing Wind Energy’s Lake Erie, and the New York Power Authority asked Contribution to U.S. Electricity Supply”, which investi- for expressions of interest for projects in Lake Ontario gated the feasibility of wind energy providing 20% of and Lake Erie in the first half of 2009. U.S. electricity. The report found that more than 300 GW of wind energy capacity would need to be installed, On 22 April 2009, President Barack Obama said “… including 54 GW offshore. we are establishing a programme to authorise -- for Photo: Siemens (9) Contribution from Laurie Jodziewicz, American Wind Energy Association. (10) U.S. Department of Energy, 2008. ‘20% Wind Energy by 2030: Increasing Wind Energy’s Contribution to U.S. Electricity Supply’ http://www.20percentwind.org/20p.aspx?page=Report. May 2008. (11) http://www.doi.gov/news/09_News_Releases/031709.html. OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT 17
  • 20. Chapter 1 - The Offshore Wind Power Market of the Future Photo: Siemens the very first time -- the leasing of federal waters for coastline to 20m out to sea covers about 157,000 projects to generate electricity from wind as well as km2. Assuming 10% to 20% of the total amount of sea from ocean currents and other renewable sources. surface were to be used for offshore development, the And this will open the door to major investments in total offshore wind capacity could reach 100-200 GW. offshore clean energy. For example, there is enormous However, in the coastal zone to the south of China, interest in wind projects off the coasts of New Jersey typhoons may be a limiting factor for the deployment and Delaware, and today’s announcement will enable of offshore wind turbines, especially in the Guangdong, these projects to move forward.” Fujian and Zhejiang Provinces. China: the first farm is developed(12) In 2005, the nation’s Eleventh Five Year Plan encouraged the industry to learn from international With its large land mass and long coastline, China experience on offshore wind development and to is exceptionally rich in wind resources. According explore the offshore opportunities in Shanghai, to the China Coastal Zone and Tideland Resource Zhejiang and Guangdong Province. The plan also sets Investigation Report, the area from the country’s a target of setting up one to two offshore wind farms (12) Contribution from Liming Qiao, GWEC. 18 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT
  • 21. of 100 MW by 2010. In the same year, the National country’s largest offshore oil producer, with an invest- Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) also ment of 40 million yuan ($5.4 million). put offshore wind development as one of the major R&D priorities in the “Renewable Energy Industry Construction of the first offshore wind farm in China Development Guideline”. started in 2009, close to Shanghai Dongdaqiao. The first three machines were installed in April 2009. It is At provincial level, offshore wind planning also started expected to be built by the end of 2009 and to provide to take place in Jiangsu, Guangdong, Shanghai, electricity to the 2010 Shanghai Expo. The wind farm Zhejiang, Hainan, Hebei and Shangdong. Among them, will consist of 34 turbines of 3 MW. the most advanced is Jiangsu province, with a theoret- ical offshore potential of 18 GW and a littoral belt of In terms of R&D, the government has put offshore wind over 50 km, which is an excellent technical advantage energy technology into the government supported for developing offshore wind. In its Wind Development R&D programme. Meanwhile, domestic turbine manu- Plan (2006-2010), Jiangsu province stipulated that by facturers are also running their own offshore R&D. 2010, wind installation in the province should reach 1,500 MW, all onshore, and by 2020, wind installation The development of offshore wind in China is still at an should reach 10 GW, with 7,000 MW offshore. The early stage. Many key issues need to be addressed. plan also foresees that in the long term, the province At national level, there is still no specific policy or will reach 30 GW of onshore wind installation capacity regulation for offshore wind development. All current and 18 GW offshore capacity. policies are for onshore wind. Meanwhile, the approval of offshore wind projects involves more government The first offshore wind turbine in China was installed departments than for onshore wind projects, with a and went online in 2007, located in Liaodong Bay lack of clarity over the different government depart- in the northeast Bohai Sea. The test turbine has a ments’ responsibility for approving offshore wind capacity of 1.5 MW. The wind turbine was built by projects. Grid planning and construction is another the China National Offshore Oil Corp (CNOOC), the key issue, with grid constraint hindering development. OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT 19
  • 22. Chapter 2 Spatial Planning: Supporting Offshore Wind and Grid Development 20 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT Photo: Elsam
  • 23. Maritime spatial planning Germany, Denmark, Belgium and the Netherlands, each of which has its own approach. A few coun- Increased activity within Europe’s marine waters has tries, such as the UK, Germany and Denmark, have led to growing competition between sectors such as integrated the deployment of offshore wind energy shipping and maritime transport, the military, the oil into a global approach that encompasses industrial, and gas sector, offshore wind and ocean energies, port research and policy aspects, and they are seen as the development, fisheries and aquaculture, and environ- most promising markets. mental concerns. The fact that the different activities are regulated on a sectoral basis by different agen- Most other countries use existing marine plan- cies, each with its own specific legislative approach ning laws, which can delay projects considerably as to the allocation and use of maritime space, has led offshore wind is a newly developing and unique energy to fragmented policy making and very limited EU coor- resource. Drawn out and imprecise planning can dination. In contrast to spatial planning on land, EU increase the costs of offshore projects significantly. countries generally have limited experience of inte- grated spatial planning in the marine environment, With no integrated approach, offshore wind energy and sometimes the relevant governance structures deployment is caught between conflicting uses, and rules are inadequate. interest groups and rules from different sectors and jurisdictions (both at inter-state and intra-state level). In addition to the wide range of sectoral approaches This creates project uncertainty, increases the risk to the use of the sea, there are very different plan- of delays in, or failure of offshore wind projects, and ning regimes and instruments in the different impairs the sector’s potential for growth. Member States. For example, in Germany there are regional plans for the territorial seas and national EEZ These barriers are further aggravated by the absence (Exclusive Economic Zones) plans, whereas in France, of an integrated and coordinated approach to mari- sea “Enhancement Schemes” have been used in time spatial planning (MSP) between the different some areas as the main instrument. Member States and regions. There are potential synergies between offshore projects and cross-border Only a few European countries currently have defined inter-connectors that are currently not being exploited dedicated offshore wind areas, including the UK, and taken into consideration in MSP regimes. Without OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT 21
  • 24. Chapter 2 - Spatial planning: Supporting offshore wind and grid development TABLE 1: Overview of the different planning methods Crown Estate (CE): Department of Trade and Industry’s (DTI) Offshore ORCU: Permit for Secretary of State for Trade and UK Tenders right to Renewables Consents Unit (ORCU): Food and construction/operation ORCU: Coast Industry: Permit for construction of develop site Environment Protection License for works at sea of a generating station protection permit onshore substation/overhead line Developer: Danish Energy Authority DEA: Site tender/permit to survey DEA: Building permit DEA: Permit to exploit site Denmark (DEA): Site pre-screening for Environmental Impact Assessment Construction of and generate electricity wind plant (EIA) Single-window Application Process Developer: General Directorate for Energy Policy and Mines DGPEM: Adm. DGPEM: DGPEM: Coordinate DGPEM: Developer: Expression (DGPEM): Site pre-screening, evaluation of envi- Authorization Spain ronmental/tourism/fishing/shipping impact/ Site application review Lease Project planning, and construction of interest tender with govt. agencies agreement feasibility studies in site grid conection permit Developer: Application for location MTW: Consultation with MTW: Invitation MTW: Draft MTW: Final Netherlands incl. EIA to Ministry of Transport stakeholders (EIA, defense, to submit building building permit building permit and Water Resources (MTW) shipping, fishing, etc.) application Developer: Presents concessions appli- MME: MME: Publishes initial concession MME: Building and Belgium cation, incl. detailed site plan/EIA to Consultation with application, opens concession exploitation authorization Ministry of Marine Environment (MME) stakeholders process to competitors (plant/cabling) Developer: Notice of intention Developer: Public Developer: Two years envi- BSH: BSH: Länder (state government): Cable Germany to construct communicated to and stakeholder ronmental study, shipping Project Cable approval approval 12 nm zone for the BSH (federal marine authority) consultation risk analysis approval EEZ Transmission System Operator Developer: Intention to apply Developer: Informal Developer: Formal Energy Regulator: Oil and Energy Norway for permits communicated public and stakeholder application presented Formal public and stake- Energy Regulator: Ministry: Final project Energy Regulator consultation to Energy Regulator holder consultation Application approval approval if appeal Developer: Public and Commission for energy Multiple-window Department of Communications, Energy, and Natural stakeholder consultation CENR: Foreshore regulation: Construction, Ireland Resources (CENR): Foreshore license to explore site lease preparation of EIS generation, and supply permit Ministry of Industry: Ministry of Sustainable Building permit, Municipality Network Authority (part of Energy Sweden Permit for explotation Development: if in 12 nm zone, Ministry of Administration): Concession for of seabed Environmental permit Industry if in EEZ cabling and grid access Maritime Authority: Site Ministry of Transport (MoT): Consultation MoT: Authorization to Italy being defined/finalized Application Guidelines consent dependent on MoT with Economic and Environment Ministries build and operate wind Authorization and stakeholders plant Competent Authority Competent Authority TBD: Prefect Maritime: Competent Authority France TBD: Declaration of Zone Environmental Impact Concession for use TBD: Construction Development Eolien (ZDE) Statement (EIS) of public land permit Poland No current protocol Different ministry involved Developer National authority Local authority To be defined SOURCE: Emerging Energy research, 2008. ‘global offshore Wind Energy markets and strategies 2008 – 2020’. cross-border coordination, grid investments in partic- power generation by the recent European Commission ular risk being sub-optimal because they will be made Communications: from an individual project and national perspective, rather than from a system and transnational perspec- • ‘Offshore Wind Energy: action needed to deliver tive. This harms both the deployment of offshore wind on the Energy Policy Objectives for 2020 and energy projects and the development of a well-func- beyond’(13); tioning Europe-wide market for electricity. • ‘An Integrated Maritime Policy for the European Union’(14); and The lack of integrated strategic planning and cross- • ‘Roadmap for Maritime Spatial Planning: achieving border coordination has been identified as one of common principles in the EU’(15). the main challenges to the deployment of offshore (13) COM (2008) 768. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2008:0768:FIN:EN:PDF. (14) COM (2007) 575. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2007:0575:FIN:EN:PDF. (15) COM (2008) 791. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2008:0791:FIN:EN:PDF. 22 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT
  • 25. Recommendation: If Member States decided to perform maritime spatial Maritime spatial planning approaches should be planning (MSP), and dedicate areas for offshore wind based on a common vision shared at sea basin level. developments and electricity interconnectors, it would In this regard, cross border cooperation on MSP is send clear positive signals to the industry. Provided key for building a common and streamlined planning the right policies and incentives are in place, MSP approach and making optimal use of the maritime gives the industry long term visibility of its market. space. Cross-border cooperation on MSP would aid Consolidated at European level, such approaches projects crossing several Economic Exclusive Zones would enable investments to be planned out. This such as large-scale offshore wind projects, and the would enable the entire value chain to seek invest- interconnectors of the future pan-European grid. ment in key elements of the supply chain (e.g. turbine components, cables, vessels, people) while poten- tially lowering the risks and capital costs. Offshore wind synergies with other maritime started in Denmark to combine offshore wind parks activities with aquaculture. Offshore wind parks could also be combined with large desalination plants, or be used Offshore wind parks cover large areas as the project as artificial reefs to improve fish stocks. Since the size must be sufficient to ensure the financial foundation structure in an offshore wind turbine is viability of the project, and as a minimal distance large and stable it may in the future be combined between the turbines is needed to avoid or mini- with ocean energies to give additional power produc- mise the wake effects. It is therefore possible to tion at a given offshore site. This last point was also optimise the use of the space by developing syner- promoted by the European Commission through the gies with other activities. For example, a project has recent 2009 FP7 call. Photo: Eneco OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT 23
  • 26. Chapter 3 Building the European Offshore Grid 24 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT Photo: Siemens
  • 27. Introduction • increased interconnection capacity will provide additional firm power (capacity credit) from the The deployment of offshore wind energy requires a offshore wind resource. dedicated offshore electricity system. Such a system will provide grid access for the more remote offshore The future European offshore grid will therefore wind farms, and additional interconnection capacity to contribute to building a well-functioning single European improve the trading of electricity between the differing electricity market that will benefit all consumers. national electricity markets. The transnational offshore Because of the prominent concentration of planned grid of the future will have many functions, each bene- offshore wind farms in the North Sea, the Baltic Sea fitting Europe in different ways: and the Mediterranean Sea, a transnational offshore grid should be built first in those areas. In many of • the geographically distributed output of the the offshore grid designs that have already been connected offshore wind farms will be aggregated proposed, an offshore grid has branches reaching as and therefore smoothed, increasing the predict- far as Ireland, France and Spain. ability of the energy output and diminishing the need for additional balancing capacity(16); This section will address planning issues, technology • wind farm operators will be able to sell wind farm aspects, possible topologies, and the consequences output to more than one country; for the European network in general. Furthermore it • power trading possibilities between countries will will briefly discuss the operational, regulatory and increase; economic aspects of an offshore grid. • it will minimise the strengthening of onshore (mainland) interconnectors’ high-voltage networks, Mapping and planning the offshore grid which can be difficult due to land-use conflicts; • connecting offshore oil and gas platforms to drivErs for PlAnning the grid will enable a reduction of their GHG emissions; Building an offshore grid is different from building an • it will offer connection opportunities to other onshore grid in many ways – not least technically and marine renewable energy sources; economically. Perhaps the greatest challenge is the • shared use of offshore transmission lines leads international aspect. The two basic drivers throughout to an improved and more economical utilisation of the planning (and later in the implementation stage) grid capacity and its economical exploitation; of a transnational offshore grid are its role in interna- • European energy security will be improved, due to tional trade and the access it provides to wind power a more interconnected European grid; and other marine energy sources. TradeWind, 2009. “Integrating Wind - Developing Europe’s power market for the large-scale integration of wind power.” (16) Available at: http://www.trade-wind.eu. OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT 25
  • 28. Chapter 3 - Building the European Offshore Grid The basis for planning the offshore grid is therefore a modular way, i.e. that it is made up of modules combination of an ambitious - but realistic - vision of that can feasibly be exploited; future offshore wind power capacities and a common • take into account time-dependent aspects such as stakeholder vision on the future necessary expansion realistic implementation scenarios for wind power of the European transmission network. This report development, supply chain issues and financing seeks to develop and implement such a vision. possibilities; • coordinate the implementation of the offshore The future projections for offshore wind power capacity network with the upgrade of the onshore network; are discussed in Chapter 1. • present a coordinated approach to implementing the common vision shared by the relevant stake- The future development of the European transmission holders throughout the process. grid is described in different publications (TDP UCTE 2008, Nordic Grid Master Plan 2008) and various Partners in the planning and work process are the TSOs, national studies (the Netherlands, the UK, Denmark). governments, regulators, technical suppliers, wind farm Some international studies (TradeWind) have explored developers, consultants and financing bodies. the implications of offshore wind for grid require- ments. At present, issues related to the joint planning Policy ProcEssEs suPPorting thE PlAnning of offshore wind power development and grid rein- forcement arise in markets with significant offshore Because of the complexity of transnational planning wind development (Germany, the UK). Finding practical processes, the planning of an offshore grid requires solutions for these issues will be very helpful for the strong policy drivers and supra-national control mecha- process of international joint planning. nisms. In the present political framework, transmission lines through different marine zones are forced to PlAnning in thE diffErEnt mAritimE ArEAs seek regulatory and planning approval with the rele- vant bodies of each Member State through which the At present, offshore grid ideas are being developed line passes. Multiple country reviews impose delays of above all for northern Europe, especially for the North years to an approval process that is already complex Sea and the Baltic Sea. However, offshore wind farms enough. are expected to be developed in most European waters, and so the grid aspects of developments along Offshore grid topology and construction the Atlantic Coast and in the Mediterranean area also have to be considered in pan-European planning. In the no lAck of idEAs longer term, and depending on further technological developments enabling the industry to reach deeper There is no shortage of ideas from academics, grid waters, the offshore network should be expanded to companies and various industries on how to construct areas that have not yet been investigated, including a dedicated offshore transmission grid. Because of the northern part of the North Sea. the concentration of planned offshore wind farms in the North Sea and the Baltic Sea, a transnational PlAnning APProAch offshore grid will be constructed in those areas first. A realistic schedule for a transnational offshore grid Proposals have been put forward by several different should: bodies, including the following: • closely follow existing plans and ideas from • TradeWind national transmission system operators (TSOs) to • Airtricity (see Figure 11) enable a smooth start, for example the different • Greenpeace planned connections between the Nordic area and • Statnett UK, the Netherlands and Germany; • IMERA • ensure the network is conceived and built in a • Mainstream Renewable Power (Figure 12) 26 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT
  • 29. FIGURE 11: Airtricity Supergrid concept This report seeks to build on these approaches and propose an optimal long-term development plan for the future pan-European offshore electricity grid. offshorE grid tEchnology The utilisation of HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current) technology for the offshore grid is very attractive because it offers the controllability needed to allow the network both to transmit wind power and to provide the highway for electricity trade, even between different synchronous zones. Moreover, HVDC offers the possi- bility of terminating inside onshore AC grids, and thus avoiding onshore reinforcements close to the coast. There are two basic types of HVDC transmission links: HVDC-LCC (conventional HVDC) and the recent HVDC-VSC (Voltage Source Convertor). HVDC-LCC has been extensively used worldwide, operating over 6 GW per line, at voltages of up to 800 kV. 60 GW had been SuperNode installed by the end of 2004(17). (Mainstream Renewable Power) Today, the drivers for the offshore grid favour HVDC The SuperNode configuration, developed by VSC as the best option(17b) for the following reasons: Mainstream Renewable Power, is a first step for the development of the European Supergrid. • the technology is suitable for the long distances It would allow the three-way trading of power involved (up to 600 km), with minimal losses; between the UK, Norway and Germany, and • the compactness (half the size of HVDC LCC) include two 1 GW offshore wind farms, one in the minimises environmental impact and construction UK and one in Germany. Depending on the wind costs, for example of the HVDC platforms; farm output at any given time, the capacity for • the system is modular. A staged development is trade would go up to 1 GW between each pair of possible, and stranded investments can more countries in the combination. easily be avoided; • the technology – because of its active controllability FIGURE 12: Mainstream Renewable Power - is able to provide flexible and dynamic voltage support to AC and therefore can be connected to both strong and weak onshore grids. Moreover, it Norway can be used to provide black start(18), and support the system recovery in case of failure; • multi-terminal application is possible, which makes it suitable for meshed(19) grids. In this way the HVDC VSC technology seems to offer 1GW the solution for most of the offshore grid’s technical 1GW challenges. UK Germany There are two major manufacturers of HVDC VSC technology. ABB uses the brand name HVDC Light, whereas Siemens has branded its technology HVDC European Academies Science Advisory Council, 2009. ‘Transforming EU’s Electricity Supply – An infrastructure strategy for (17) & (17b) a reliable, renewable and secure power system’. (18) Black start is the procedure for recovering from a total or partial shutdown of the transmission system. (19) Meshed topology offshore grids are able to cope with the failure of a line by diverting power automatically via other lines. OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT 27
  • 30. Chapter 3 - Building the European Offshore Grid Photo: Elsam Plus. The technologies are not identical, and efforts HVDC circuit breakers, load flow control concepts and are needed to make them compatible and jointly oper- very fast protection schemes. Also, operational experi- able, when used together in the future offshore grid. ence has to be collected to optimise the interface with For that purpose, two major conceptual decisions have wind power generation in the HVDC environment. to be taken – namely, to agree to standardise the DC working voltage levels and to agree on the largest offshorE grid toPology possible plug and play boundary. In addition, other players such as Areva are also developing HVDC VSC There are three basic elements which will form the technology. backbone of the future offshore transmission network. These are: Although all technologies for the offshore grid already exist in principle, there are several aspects of HVDC • lines/branches: these consist of submerged VSC technology which require technical development cables characterised by transmission capacity; in the short term in order to achieve the necessary • offshore nodes (hubs or plugs): these offshore technical maturity - such as the availability of ultra fast nodes consist of offshore platforms containing 28 OCEANS OF OPPORTUNITY OFFSHORE REPORT