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Putting Europe Back n Track
The views of CEOs on building a more
sustainable and competitive Europe




Background report prepared for the
European Business Summit 2010




 An initiative of    Carried out by    Sponsored by
Contents                                                                                                                          The views of CEOs on
                                                                                                                                  putting Europe back on track
Table of contents and acknowledgements                                                                                        2   Every crisis carries the promise (or threat) of changes to the        In such a turbulent context, Europe must look to its founding
                                                                                                                                  existing hierarchy. The current crisis, because it is global,         principles and its long-term advantages and strengths to
The views of CEOs on putting Europe back on track                                                                             3   will bring changes in the relative power of various economic          identify priorities and actions that can solve its present
       SMEs: Engines for recovery?                                                                                            6   regions of the world. Europe, with its 500 million citizens, stands   problems without mortgaging its ability to be a world leader
                                                                                                                                  to gain or lose much in this readjustment.                            once better times come around.
       Driving global recovery: What can Europe learn from Asia?                                                              8
                                                                                                                                  Yet this crisis is not only global, it is also systemic. This means   How can the European train be put back on track? How can it
       What kind of future for finance?                                                                                     10    that the hierarchies being revisited are not just those of            achieve the combination of high speed, coherence, and balance
                                                                                                                                  countries or economic zones; they also concern contrasting            to serve as an inspiration to the world? When asked whether
       Trading for new growth                                                                                               12    priorities: between finance and economics, between social             such a vision is realistic and how it might be implemented,
       New skills for new jobs                                                                                              14    issues and economic objectives, between market forces and             European business leaders were unambiguous in their
                                                                                                                                  ethics, between anticipated growth and limited resources.             responses and in suggesting avenues for action.
       Restoring consumers’ confidence in the single market                                                                 16
       Energy and supply: Fueling growth                                                                                    18
       Digital agenda: Connecting Europe                                                                                    20
       Transatlantic economic growth and innovation                                                                         22    European business leaders will
       Green Innovation: Cleaning up industry or cleaner industry?                                                          24    not take “slow” for an answer
       Innovating industry: Towards a knowledge-based economy                                                               26    Between January and May 2010, at the request of the Federation            Innovation will be at the core of Europe’s recovery.
                                                                                                                                  of Enterprises in Belgium (FEB), Accenture and INSEAD                     European CEOs have not diminished their investment in this
       After Copenhagen: A new climate for business?                                                                        28    designed and disseminated a survey among Europe’s business                area since the start of the crisis, and continue to see areas like
Methodology                                                                                                                 30    leaders. Out of several hundred detailed responses received,              ‘clean tech’ as promising. They also consider that additional
                                                                                                                                  a number of clear signals emerged: 1                                      efforts are needed to allow SMEs to play their role fully in
References and further reading                                                                                              31                                                                              this area, and to create jobs in the process. They see the
                                                                                                                                    Europe can recover and become stronger. European                        production of new skills as critical to these new jobs.
                                                                                                                                    CEOs strongly believe that Europe can recover from its
                                                                                                                                    current turmoil and be strengthened in the process. However,            The quality and diversity of its people will remain
                                                                                                                                    they are concerned by the slow pace at which some actions               Europe’s biggest advantage. This richness is critical for
                                                                                                                                    are taken, and by the somewhat disjointed way in which the              innovating. European CEOs consider that Europe is more
                                                                                                                                    dual objectives of ‘return to growth’ and ‘budget rigour’ are           than a 500 million people market; it is also a powerful idea
Acknowledgements                                                                                                                    being pursued.                                                          based on the combination of growth and solidarity. Openness
                                                                                                                                                                                                            to the world and diversity remain key to the future of Europe.
This report and the research    Christine Hirzel, Marisa         us and complete the survey        (CEO and Chairman of the                                                                                 Keeping the European ideal alive in the minds and hopes of
that it is based on would not   Cooke, Craig McKenna,            in an effort to get Europe        Executive Board of Randstad                                                                              younger generations will be essential to its success.
have been possible without      Amanda Morris, and Pernille      back on track, such as Jean-      Holding nv); Tom Regent
the generous participation of   Maya Sørensen Smith.             Philippe Courtois (President      (Vice President, AT&T; Head
many people.                    We are also grateful to the      Microsoft International); Klaus
                                                                                                                                                                                                        1
                                                                                                                                                                                                            The findings in this report result from our analysis of the
                                                                                                   of AT&T EMEA); Francesco
                                organisations and authors of     Holse Andersen (Microsoft                                                                                                                  responses received from over 250 Chief Executive Officers
                                                                                                   Serafini (Executive Vice
We acknowledge the support      the session briefings (see the   Vice President Western                                                                                                                     (CEOs) and dozens of public and business leaders, through
                                                                                                   President Emerging
and contributions of various    Reference section for            Europe); Danilo Cazzola                                                                                                                    surveys and interviews. Please see page 30 for a detailed
                                                                                                   Markets, HP); Christian
team members from the           more details).                   (Vice President and General                                                                                                                information on the methodology used.
                                                                                                   Morales (Vice President,
Federation of Enterprises in                                     Manager Agilent Technology        Sales and Marketing Group
Belgium (FEB), Accenture and    Finally, we wish to thank        Life Science and Chemical         General Manager, EMEA
INSEAD. In developing this      all the CEOs, business           Analysis EMEA&India); Sir         INTEL Corporation); and Hans
report, we have especially      leaders and experts who          Stephen Gomersall (Chief          van der Loo (Head European
relied on our INSEAD            took the time from their         Executive for Europe,             Union Liaison,
colleagues, Soumitra Dutta,     busy schedules to talk with      Hitachi); Ben Noteboom            Shell International).




  An initiative of                             Carried out by                                       Sponsored by




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Putting Europe Back on Track Page 03
Looking beyond the storm:                                                                                                                     Three key areas for action:
                                                                                                                                                     Innovating, optimising costs & investing
       Europe remains a powerful idea
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Figure 2: What is your business                   Revenue-Growth Firms
       It would be only natural to expect that those enterprises who              Europe’s future than those that have maintained profits during     70%                                       70%                                                   doing to get back on track?
       have suffered most from the crisis (i.e. those whose activities            the same period. The results of the European Business Summit                   67%
                                                                                                                                                                                   69%                                                                                                                 Revenue-Loss Firms
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research
       and markets have declined) would be less optimistic about                  2010 Survey of CEOs, however, show that the reality is more                          62%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     for European Business Summit 2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Small and Medium
                                                                                  complex. Even among those companies that have been hardest               56%
                                                                                                                                                                             57%                                                                     (see Methodology for more)

                                                                                  hit by the crisis, faith in Europe’s future remains high.                                              52%
                                                                                                                                                                                                     50%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       52%                                                                             Large
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   45%
                                                                                                                                                                                                           44%                                 44%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             40%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 38%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         34%


       Figure 1: To what extent do you
       agree that in the year 2020 the
                                                           50%                    A majority of Europe’s business                                                                                                                                     24%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  25%


                                                                                  leaders believe that Europe “will be
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                21%
       EU will be a strong economy and                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              17%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        14%   15%
       influential on the world stage?                           42%
       Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research
                                                                                  a strong economy, recognised and                                                                                                                                          10%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          12%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                6%          5%
                                                                                  influential on the world stage.” The
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1%
       for European Business Summit 2010                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3%   2%                    2% 3%
       (see Methodology for more)
                                                                                                                                                       Innovating            Optimizing cost           Investing              Expanding                   Creating               Influencing             Nothing,        Nothing,
                                                                                  number is higher among firms that                                                                                                            overseas                   new jobs              local and EU
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               policy makers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      my business
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      is just trying
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       my business
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        is already
                                  27%
                                                                                  experienced growth in revenue                                                                                                                                                                                         to survive       on track


                           18%
                                                     22%
                                                                                  during the past year (Revenue-
                                              14%                      15%        Growth Firms) (65%), yet remains
                                                                                  high (48%) among firms that lost                                   Broad picture needed: High-definition and 3-D
                                                                             6%
                                                                                  revenue during the past year
         2%     3%
                                                                                                                                                     Looking at the broad picture of Europe, no isolated ‘fix’ can be expected to
                                                                                  (Revenue-Loss Firms).
           Fully
         disagree
                           Somewhat
                            disagree
                                               Neither
                                               agree or
                                                           Somewhat
                                                             agree
                                                                        Fully
                                                                        agree                                                                        work; coordination (among countries) and consistency (across issues) will
                                               disagree
                                                                                    Revenue-Growth Firms                                             be required.
                                                                                    Revenue-Loss Firms
                                                                                                                                                     High-definition: The devil is in the details. Looking closely at                                3-dimensional: Europe also needs to apply a multidimensional
                                                                                                                                                     Europe’s strengths and weaknesses and its possible responses                                    vision to how it pictures its future. Such a vision comes from
                                                                                                                                                     to current challenges requires an in-depth, imaginative and                                     looking at key issues from at least two different angles: social
                                                                                                                                                     candid approach:                                                                                and economic, technological and cultural, for example. This
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     is where addressing ‘cross-cutting issues’ such as education,
       Taking action and getting traction                                                                                                              What can European SMEs do to help recovery and what                                           skills, confidence and leadership can offer fresh perspectives
                                                                                                                                                       obstacles stand in their way?                                                                 for action.
       Putting Europe back on track requires a coordinated portfolio              Clearly, those enterprises suffering most from the crisis tend
       of multiple approaches, each involving concerted efforts of                to focus more on cost cutting (69%) than those that have             How is Europe’s ambition to be a carbon-free economy faring                                   The present report thus seeks to do more than reflect and
       multiple stakeholder groups and each associated with different             maintained or increased their activity (57%), but the resilience     in times of macro-economic crisis?                                                            summarise the views of European business leaders. It is also
       risks and different time frames for producing results. Europe              of growth-oriented attitudes‚ is quite remarkable. Answers                                                                                                         an attempt to offer a common ‘line of vision’ to the various
       already has a history of successful multi-stakeholder efforts.             to this question differ with size: all regard innovation as a        How can Europe’s relations of co-opetition with Asia and the                                  sessions of the 10th edition of the European Business Summit.
       The next step is for leaders from the public and private sectors           priority (67% of SMEs and 62% of large firms), but attitudes are     Americas work better in the future ?                                                          By presenting and analysing insights from CEOs on the
       to learn from those successes and collaborate even more to                 significantly different regarding cost optimisation (a priority                                                                                                    themes addressed by the Summit we hope to contribute to the
       scale up isolated successes into European-wide successes.                  action for 52% of SMEs and 70% of large firms). Surprisingly,        What should be Europe’s view of ‘virtuous financial markets’ ?
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     emergence of a coherent and well balanced set of actions to get
                                                                                  SMEs are more keen to invest and expand overseas than large                                                                                                        Europe back on track.
       In each of the areas they consider as important to put Europe                                                                                   How crucially will Europe’s recovery depend on ‘getting the
                                                                                  enterprises. A source of concern can be found in the data
       back on track, Europe’s business leaders tend to point at                                                                                       Doha Round out of the ditch’ ?
                                                                                  regarding job creation. This is an area where action is still                                                                                                      What follows consists of our main findings, organised into
       insufficient political vision and support. But they are also               insufficient and where the difference is the greatest between                                                                                                      12 sections, each corresponding to a theme addressed by
       taking action and expressing a readiness to do more.                       expanding and declining enterprises (23% vs 10%) and also                                                                                                          the 2010 European Business Summit.
                                                                                  between SMEs and large firms (25% vs 14%).




Page 04 Putting Europe Back on Track                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Putting Europe Back on Track Page 05
SMEs: Engines                                                                                                                                                    According to surveyed CEOs,
                                                                                                                                                                                 the three greatest barriers to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Bureaucracy


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Lack of access to credit
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   71%




                for recovery?
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   54%

                                                                                                                                                                                 the success of SMEs are:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Lack of flexibility in labor market                                           51%
                                                                                                                                                                                    Bureaucracy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Taxation levels                                      45%

                Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) make up 99% of all                        SMEs call for a more business-friendly environment, a                           Lack of access to credit
                companies in the EU, providing two out of three European jobs.                      transparent and easy regulatory framework, a cut in red tape,                                                                   On-time payment/cash flow                          28%
                                                                                                                                                                                    Lack of flexibility in                                                                                             Figure 4: What are the greatest
                                                                                                    easy access to finance and flexible labour, and prompt public
                In November 2005, the Commission presented a new SME                                                                                                                the labour market                                                                                                  barriers to the success of SMEs?
                                                                                                    and private payment.                                                                                                            Insufficient access to talent/                     27%
                policy. Entitled ”Think Small First”, it aimed to promote                                                                                                                                                      ability to attract and keep talents                                     Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research
                entrepreneurship and skills via education and training, improve                     Will Europe finally anchor the “Think Small First” principle                                                                                                                                       for European Business Summit 2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Other       4%                              (see Methodology for more)
                market access for SMEs, and simplify legislation. In December                       in all its policies and turn policy papers like the Small Business
                2008, the EU Summit approved the Small Business Act to put                          Act into real action? How can we better enable SMEs to spur
                SMEs at the forefront of national and European-wide decision-                       the economic recovery and long-term growth we need?
                making and boost Europe’s economy. However, since then
                various business groups have repeatedly criticised national and                     European business leaders (whatever the size of their
                regional leaders for failing to implement the Small Business Act.                   companies) consider that SMEs have (1) a key role to play in
                                                                                                    putting Europe back on track, and (2) a large array of obstacles
                                                                                                                                                                                 Foster Europe’s entrepreneurial spirit
                                                                                                    on their path. When it comes to supporting SMEs, their
                                                                                                                                                                                 “If you ask Chinese and Indian people ‘What is your desired                         “We need to change the mindset of people leaving universities
                                                                                                    actions differ.
                                                                                                                                                                                 type of job?’ on average you get 70-80% who respond that                            who say, ‘I want to work for the very large companies
                                                                                                                                                                                 they would like to build up their own company. If you ask                           of Europe.’ We should have a higher percentage of people
                                                                                                                                                                                 Europeans the same question, you’re moving down to                                  who say, ‘I want to create my own company.’”
                                                                                                                                                                                 somewhere between eight to a maximum of twenty who
                                                                                                                                                                                 want to start their own business.”



                                                                                                                                                                                 Figure 5: What are large                                                                                                   By paying promptly             31%
                A key to Europe’s future, SMEs need active support...
Key findings




                                                                                                                                                                                 businesses doing to support and
                                                                                                                                                                                 encourage the growth of SMEs?                                                                                              Through procurement/supply
                and more entrepreneurs2                                                                                                                                          Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research                                                                                polices that encourage the use
                                                                                                                                                                                 for European Business Summit 2010                                                                                          of SMEs                   18%
                                                                                                                                                                                 (see Methodology for more)

                Most participating CEOs view                                                          Approximately 95% of participating CEOs considered it
                                                                                                      important to take action to encourage and support the                                                                                                                                                 Providing funding/credit 12%
                the growth of SMEs as an important                                                    growth of SMEs.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Through mentoring/             17%
                asset for putting Europe back on                                                      58% of participating CEOs believed that those actions should                                                                                                                                          coaching of leaders

                track. However, they have different                                                   be taken within the next 5 years.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Other                           3%

                views about how and when to                                                           On average, one-fourth of participating CEOs considered
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            No specific action             19%
                                                                                                      encouraging and supporting the growth of SMEs should be
                help SMEs                                                                             one of the three priority actions to be taken to put Europe
                                                                                                      back on track.




                                                  Figure 3: Encouraging
                                                                                                                          58%
                                                  and supporting SMEs
                                                  Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research
                                                  for European Business Summit 2010
                                                                                                                                                                                 Possible action points
                                                  (see Methodology for more)

                                                                                                                                                                                 In December 2009, three business groups – BUSINESSEUROPE,                             Ensuring that honest entrepreneurs who have faced
                                                                                                                                            36%                                  Eurochambres and UEAPME – criticised national and regional                            bankruptcy get a second chance.
                                                                                                                                                                                 leaders for failing to implement the Small Business Act. They
                                                                                                        26%                                                                      argued that national parliaments could take “simple actions”                          Mainstreaming the ”Think Small First” principle into all fields
                                                                                                                                                                                 prescribed in the Small Business Act, such as cutting the                             of legislation.
                                                                                                                                                                                 regulatory burden on business and speeding up payments.
                                                                                                                                                                                 Other actions include improving SME access to finance,                                Adapting public policy tools to SMEs’ needs, notably by
                                                                                                                                                                                 particularly to fund innovation and research.                                         facilitating their participation in public procurement and
                                                                                                                                                               7%                                                                                                      making better use of state aid.
                                                                                                                                                                                 Moving forward, leaders from the public and private sectors
                                                                                                         Is one        Needs to be       Needs to be          Is not             need to be more active and aggressive about implementing                              Facilitating SMEs’ access to finance and developing
                                                                                                      of the first     addressed         addressed          important                                                                                                  a legal environment supporting timely payment in
                                                                                                    three actions         within            within                               the following principles of Europe’s Small Business Act:
                                                                                                        to take          5 years           10 years                                                                                                                    commercial transactions.
                                                                                                                        (by 2014)         (by 2020)                                 Creating an environment in which entrepreneurship
                                                                                                                                                                                    is rewarded.                                                                       Promoting skills upgrades and innovation in all its forms.




                                                                                                2
                                                                                                    Consistent with the European Commission, we defined small and medium-sized
         Page 06 Putting Europe Back on Track                                                       enterprises (SMEs) as companies with no more than 250 employees.                                                                                                                                    Putting Europe Back on Track Page 07
Combat complacency:
                Driving global recovery:                                                                                                                         Engage more with emerging economies

                What can Europe learn
                                                                                                                                                                 When asked, “What is stopping                                                  43% said lack of               In contrast, business leaders
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                entrepreneurship               credited the strength of
                                                                                                                                                                 businesses in the EU from being as                                             – fear of taking risks.        emerging economies to



                from Asia?
                                                                                                                                                                 successful as they should be in                                                40% said complacency
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               their entrepreneurialism,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               absence of complacency,
                                                                                                                                                                 moving into new areas of business?”                                            – the appetite for             and innovations that draw on
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                revolutionary change           new technologies to develop
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                is not there.                  sustainable solutions for all.
                Over the past two years, the speed at which Asia has recovered                  domestically oriented economies (China, India, and Indonesia)
                from the economic crisis – especially in relation to Europe – has               and Australia escaping a recession, and the more export                                                                                         28% said lack of vision –
                forced Europe to view Asia and other emerging economies in                      oriented economies experiencing a sharply V-shaped business                                                                                     businesses find it difficult
                a new light. The IMF in its Regional Economic Outlook for Asia                  cycle. By the end of 2009, output in most of Asia had returned                                                                                  to think long term;
                and Pacific (April 2010) notes that Asia is leading the global                  to pre-crisis levels, even in those economies hit hardest by
                recovery: “Activity in many emerging and developing markets                     the crisis.”
                has continued to rebound swiftly over the course of 2009 and
                in the first quarter of 2010, particularly in Asia. The pattern                 In contrast, in May 2010, the European Commission forecast                                                                                                                     A quarter of CEOs surveyed
                                                                                                                                                                 Figure 7: Building relations
                of economic recovery has varied within Asia, with the more                      GDP growth in Europe to average about 1% this year, What         with emerging economies                                           63%                                         saw building relations with
                                                                                                can Europe learn from Asia?                                      (e.g., to grow our markets                                                                                    emerging economies to both
                                                                                                                                                                 and reduce costs)                                                                                             grow markets and reduce costs
                                                                                                                                                                 Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research                                                                   as one of the first three actions
                                                                                                                                                                 for European Business Summit 2010                                                                             to take to put Europe back on
                                                                                                                                                                 (see Methodology for more)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               track. Two-thirds of CEOs said
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   31%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               engaging more with emerging
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               economies was critical and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   25%                                                         should be addressed within
                Asia will become the most powerful region in the world                                                                                                                                                                                                         five years. The more European
Key findings




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               firms engage with firms
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               from emerging economies,
                Of all the questions that we asked CEOs, the greatest consensus emerged                                                                                                                                                                               6%       the more likely they are
                from the question: Which region in the world will emerge the strongest                                                                                                                              Is one      Needs to be     Needs to be          Is not
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               to combat complacency,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               inspire smart risk-taking and
                from the recession? No matter from what point of view we analysed the                                                                                                                            of the first
                                                                                                                                                                                                               three actions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                addressed
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   within
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                addressed
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   within
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   important   entrepreneurship, and develop
                responses, there was an overwhelming consensus among CEOs that                                                                                                                                     to take        5 years
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 (by 2014)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  10 years
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 (by 2020)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               a vision for becoming stronger
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               in the global economic
                the Asia/Pacific region would emerge strongest.                                                                                                                                                                                                                landscape.

                                                                                                                                                                    CEOs believe Asia offers Europe lessons in strategy, partnership, worker attitudes and work practices

                                                                                                                                                                    Business leaders see China’s strength as both admirable and threatening
                The only slight difference was    Figure 6: Which region in the                 for European Business Summit 2010
                                                                                                (see Methodology for more)
                between CEOs of firms from        world will emerge the strongest
                industry and CEOs of firms        from the recession?
                from services. Industry-sector    Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research                                                                    CEO Interviews
                CEOs were more convinced
                about Asia/Pacific emerging                                                                                                    66%               “We used to go to China                       “Chinese firms are             lowest costs; the winners        “During this crisis, China
                                                                              Asia/Pacific                                                                       simply to outsource                           developing their own brands    have not been the ones           actually invested even
                strongest: 74% compared to                                                                                                           74%
                66% of service-sector CEOs.                                                                                                                      manufacturing. Yet if you                     very quickly. If we don’t      that were the biggest; the       more aggressively than
                In addition, the European                                                                  15%
                                                                                                                                                                 look at business investments                  have strong enough brands      winners are the ones with        they did before. Whereas
                Union was the second most                                  North America                                                                         in innovation and R&D                         in a given segment we will     the best brands. Those           the rest of the world was
                                                                                                      8%
                popular choice for industry-                                                                                                                     facilities, China is way                      certainly lose out to them.    brands emerged from the          going backwards they took
                sector CEOs (8%), whereas                                                                                           Services                     ahead of Europe. In 10 to 15                  Marketing and having a         best innovation and the best     two steps forward. They’re
                                                                                                 5%
                North America was the                                    European Union                                                                          years they will have much                     sustainable strategy of        experience that firms bring      buying companies; they are
                                                                                                      8%                            Industry
                second most popular choice                                                                                                                       more patents coming out,                      innovation and creativity      to users. And this is true in    making sure they’ve got raw
                for service-sector CEOs.                                                                                                                         more leading universities                     always makes a difference.     many, many segments in           materials.”
                                                                                                 5%
                                                                           South America
                                                                                                                                                                 coming out than what we                       For example, in more mature    the industry.”
                                                                                                 5%                                                              have in Europe. I think that’s                segments such as the car
                                                                                                                                                                 the scary thing. On the                       industry, the winners have
                                                                                                 5%                                                              intellectual side, China will                 not been the ones with the
                                                           European countries non-EU
                                                                                                  2%                                                             also, if they haven’t already,
                                                                                                                                                                 overtake us.”
                “When you go to Asia there                                                      3%
                                                                              Middle East
                is a mindset - a hunger
                                                                                                                                                                 Possible action points
                                                                                                 1%
                for success. There isn’t
                the slightest element of                                                         1%
                complacency or satisfaction                                          Africa
                                                                                                     2%                                                             Designing a sustainable and competitive growth strategy for                 Forging effective partnerships between Europe and Asia
                with where they are. There is                                                                                                                       Europe which increases the overall wellbeing of Europeans.                  in key areas, such as exchange of talent and pushing the
                continuous ambition.”                                                                                                                                                                                                           frontiers of technological progress.
                                                                                                                                                                    Crafting an effective political governance which gives Europe
                                                                                                                                                                    a unified voice and the ability to act decisively.




         Page 08 Putting Europe Back on Track                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Putting Europe Back on Track Page 09
What kind of future
                for finance?
                During the first half of 2010, governments continued to struggle       However new financial crises continue to blossom and expose
                to control financial imbalances. Governments throughout                additional inter-dependencies that had gone unchecked and
                Europe introduced a number of actions to restore stability to          threaten to contaminate the broader financial system. Is there
                financial markets and ensure access to finance for firms, such as:     sufficient international coordination and governance to both
                                                                                       prevent a future credit crunch and ensure that financial firms
                   restrict bonus and compensation in the financial sector;            compete to the benefit of consumers? How should the roles of
                                                                                       notation agencies, banks and financial instruments (e.g. hedge
                   conduct ‘’stress tests’ of banks; and                               funds) be revisited and regulated ?
                   pass stimulus packages to address the “too big to fail”
                   syndrome




                The financial sector must do                                                                                                            Balancing regulation                                                      For 42.5% of the CEOs,
Key findings




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  getting the right balance
                more to resolve its problems                                                                                                            and liberalisation                                                        between regulation and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  liberalisation of our
                   Only 3% of surveyed CEOs considered the problems with                 CEOs of firms that experienced growth were slightly more       Figure 9: Getting the right balance between regulation and                financial markets is one
                   financial institutions to have been completely resolved.              optimistic than CEOs that experienced a decline in revenue     liberalisation of our financial markets                                   of the top three priorities.
                                                                                         over the past year. CEOs of revenue-growth firms tended
                   On average, over half of CEOs (54%) considered that
                                                                                                                                                        Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research                               92% of the CEOs said
                                                                                         to be split between whether the problems with Europe’s         for European Business Summit 2010
                   the problems in EU financial institutions and markets                                                                                                                                                          “getting the right balance
                                                                                         financial institutions were unresolved or somewhat resolved,   (see Methodology for more)

                   are unresolved and that there is a real risk that they will                                                                                                                                                    between regulation and
                                                                                         whereas two-thirds of CEOs of revenue-decline firms
                   re-surface in the next five years. This is true even for                                                                                                                                                       liberalisation of our
                                                                                         believed the problems were unresolved.
                   CEOs of revenue-growth firms (50%).                                                                                                                                                                            financial market” should
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  be addressed within the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  next five years.
                                                                                                                                                           Industry
                                                                                                                                                                                  77%
                                                                                                                                                           Services
                Figure 8: How well have                             64%                                                                                                                   70%
                the problems in our financial                                                                                                                                                                                   CEO Interviews
                institutions and markets
                been resolved?                                                                                                                                                                                                  “Business needs
                                                              50%
                                                                                 47%                                                                                                                                            macroeconomic stability.
                Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research
                for European Business Summit 2010
                                                                                                                                                                  47%                                                           Over the next year,
                (see Methodology for more)                                                                                                                                                                                      governments have a big
                                                                                       35%                                                               38%                                                                    responsibility to first enact
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                the G20 agenda to stabilize
                                                                                                                                                                                                            24%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                the banking system and get
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                financial flows going again:
                                                                                                                                                                                                      18%                       and second to deal with their
                   Revenue-Growth Firms                                                                                                                                                                                         own debt problems.”
                                                                                                         2.5%
                                                                                                                1.2%                                                                                                5%    6%
                   Revenue-Loss Firms                                                                                                                                                                                           “From a financial standpoint,
                                                              Unresolved         Somewhat                 Completely                                         Is one              Needs to be          Needs to be     Is not    governments have certainly
                                                                                 Unresolved                Resolved                                       of the first           addressed            addressed     important
                                                                                                                                                        three actions           within 5 years         within 10                made a huge effort to get us
                                                                                                                                                            to take               (by 2014)              years                  through the difficult times
                                                                                                                                                                                                       (by 2020)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                that we had last year.”




                                                                                                                                                        Possible action points
                                                                                                                                                           Establish international metrics for assessing and monitoring           Foster multiple alternative options for companies and
                                                                                                                                                           new types of financial activity and determine when any firm is         entrepreneurs to access the finance they need, and in the
                                                                                                                                                           becoming too big.                                                      process reduce their dependency on bank lending.

                                                                                                                                                           Measure and monitor the coordination of financial reforms to           Devise comprehensive impact assessments of the cumulative
                                                                                                                                                           prevent regulatory arbitrage.                                          effect of interdependent rules and requirements on the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  financial sector and economy.
                                                                                                                                                           Agree on criteria for common burden-sharing and lender-
                                                                                                                                                           of-last-resort situations in the event of a new crisis to
                                                                                                                                                           complement strengthened macro- and micro-supervision.



         Page 10 Putting Europe Back on Track                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Putting Europe Back on Track Page 11
Trading for                                                                                                                               Firms are expanding overseas
                new growth                                                                                                                                in an effort to get back on track

                Every economic crisis bears the threat of protectionist                contributed to changing attitudes about what is fair and what is   Figure 11: Percentage of firms                                                                                     For 37% of CEOs,
                tendencies. In such situations, governments have a difficult role      not in terms of international trade. Symmetrically, the growing    that are expanding overseas as                  47%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             expanding overseas is
                to play, caught between longer-term economic logics (free              importance of large consumer markets in emerging economies         part of their effort to get back                                                                     44%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             one of the actions they are
                trade is key to sustained recovery) and short-term pressure            is encouraging mature economies to grant priority to keeping       on track
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             taking to get back on track
                from various sectors and segments of civil society. The current        such markets as open as possible. Should governments be            Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research                                          34%                           (but is not in the top three).
                round of multilateral trade negotiations undertaken under the          more engaged in industrial policies and other trade-related        for European Business Summit 2010                              32%                                                 It is more important for
                                                                                                                                                          (see Methodology for more)
                auspices of the World Trade Organization (WTO) - the so-called         interventions in Europe? How can the Doha Round be                                                                                                                                    large companies.
                Doha Round – is still a complex set of unresolved issues. The          re-energized? Is business ready to play the game of free
                emergence of new export powerhouses such as China have also            trade all the way?                                                                                                                                                                    As part of their strategy for
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             getting back on track, more
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             industry-sector firms are
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             expanding overseas than
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             service-sector firms.
                Even if contained, protectionist temptations
Key findings




                                                                                                                                                                                                        Industry       Services              Small and        Large          Large firms are more
                remain a major threat to recovery                                                                                                                                                                                             Medium                         likely to pursue overseas
                                                                                                                           On average, over half of                                                                                                                          expansion than small and
                                                                                                                           surveyed CEOs believe                                                                                                                             medium-sized firms.
                                                                                                                           that progress towards trade
                                                                                                                           liberalisation has either
                Figure 10: In terms of progress
                towards trade liberalisation,                              49%                                             been slow (45%) or
                how do you see the future of                                                                               non-existent (19%).
                world trade in your sector?
                                                                                 42%
                Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research
                for European Business Summit 2010
                                                                                                                           CEOs of revenue-growth
                                                                                                                           firms were only slightly
                                                                                                                                                          Remove inefficiencies and promote
                (see Methodology for more)                                                                                 less critical than CEOs of     open, rules-based trade
                                                                                                                           revenue-loss firms of the
                                                                                                                           pace or lack of progress
                   Revenue-Growth Firms                                                                                    of trade liberalisation.          A common sentiment                         In some sectors and             “The EU has a lot of opportunity to continue its course with its
                                                                                                                                                             shared by most of                          countries, local regulations,   internal market policies. One area that excites me is the idea
                   Revenue-Loss Firms
                                                                                         22%                               One-tenth of CEOs of              the business leaders                       price structures and skill      of a Digital Internal Market. This in my mind will accelerate
                                                                                                                 21%
                                                                    20%                                                                                      interviewed was that trade                 levels are the key barriers.    tremendous innovation and growth for the EU and be a
                                                              18%                                                          revenue-growth firms
                                                                                               17%                                                           barriers do not significantly              A CEO from the Services         positive push to enable communities to improve healthcare,
                                                                                                                           believe that trade
                                                                                                                           liberalisation in Europe          affect business; however,                  sector commented “We            energy sustainability, education and help alleviate poverty.”
                                                                                                          11%                                                they do add to inefficiencies              employ seven business
                                                                                                                           has declined. With regards
                                                                                                                           to CEOs of firms that lost        and costs.                                 people here in the region
                                                                                                                           revenue, twice as many                                                       just to deal with local
                                                                                                                           (21%) believe that trade                                                     regulation.”
                                                              Strong and     Slow        No change         Decline of
                                                                steady     progress                       liberisation     liberalisation has declined.
                                                               progress




                                                                                                                                                          Possible action points
                                                                                                                                                             European firms should lead the promotion of open, rules-                     Reach closure of the Doha Development Agenda (DDA) by
                                                                                                                                                             based trade and investment and opposition to protectionism                   focusing on the three priority issues: industrial market access
                                                                                                                                                             by proactively fostering a united strategy for Europe in                     (tariffs and non-tariff barriers), liberalisation of services and
                                                                                                                                                             multilateral institutions such as the WTO.                                   trade facilitation.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          The WTO and other multilateral institutions need to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          develop better rules to enforce anti-dumping, impose more
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          stringent anti-subsidy rules, and improve dispute settlement
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          procedures including an NTB-mediation mechanism to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          enforce the rules.




         Page 12 Putting Europe Back on Track                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Putting Europe Back on Track Page 13
Putting Europe Back on Track
Putting Europe Back on Track
Putting Europe Back on Track
Putting Europe Back on Track
Putting Europe Back on Track
Putting Europe Back on Track
Putting Europe Back on Track
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Putting Europe Back on Track

  • 1. Putting Europe Back n Track The views of CEOs on building a more sustainable and competitive Europe Background report prepared for the European Business Summit 2010 An initiative of Carried out by Sponsored by
  • 2. Contents The views of CEOs on putting Europe back on track Table of contents and acknowledgements 2 Every crisis carries the promise (or threat) of changes to the In such a turbulent context, Europe must look to its founding existing hierarchy. The current crisis, because it is global, principles and its long-term advantages and strengths to The views of CEOs on putting Europe back on track 3 will bring changes in the relative power of various economic identify priorities and actions that can solve its present SMEs: Engines for recovery? 6 regions of the world. Europe, with its 500 million citizens, stands problems without mortgaging its ability to be a world leader to gain or lose much in this readjustment. once better times come around. Driving global recovery: What can Europe learn from Asia? 8 Yet this crisis is not only global, it is also systemic. This means How can the European train be put back on track? How can it What kind of future for finance? 10 that the hierarchies being revisited are not just those of achieve the combination of high speed, coherence, and balance countries or economic zones; they also concern contrasting to serve as an inspiration to the world? When asked whether Trading for new growth 12 priorities: between finance and economics, between social such a vision is realistic and how it might be implemented, New skills for new jobs 14 issues and economic objectives, between market forces and European business leaders were unambiguous in their ethics, between anticipated growth and limited resources. responses and in suggesting avenues for action. Restoring consumers’ confidence in the single market 16 Energy and supply: Fueling growth 18 Digital agenda: Connecting Europe 20 Transatlantic economic growth and innovation 22 European business leaders will Green Innovation: Cleaning up industry or cleaner industry? 24 not take “slow” for an answer Innovating industry: Towards a knowledge-based economy 26 Between January and May 2010, at the request of the Federation Innovation will be at the core of Europe’s recovery. of Enterprises in Belgium (FEB), Accenture and INSEAD European CEOs have not diminished their investment in this After Copenhagen: A new climate for business? 28 designed and disseminated a survey among Europe’s business area since the start of the crisis, and continue to see areas like Methodology 30 leaders. Out of several hundred detailed responses received, ‘clean tech’ as promising. They also consider that additional a number of clear signals emerged: 1 efforts are needed to allow SMEs to play their role fully in References and further reading 31 this area, and to create jobs in the process. They see the Europe can recover and become stronger. European production of new skills as critical to these new jobs. CEOs strongly believe that Europe can recover from its current turmoil and be strengthened in the process. However, The quality and diversity of its people will remain they are concerned by the slow pace at which some actions Europe’s biggest advantage. This richness is critical for are taken, and by the somewhat disjointed way in which the innovating. European CEOs consider that Europe is more dual objectives of ‘return to growth’ and ‘budget rigour’ are than a 500 million people market; it is also a powerful idea Acknowledgements being pursued. based on the combination of growth and solidarity. Openness to the world and diversity remain key to the future of Europe. This report and the research Christine Hirzel, Marisa us and complete the survey (CEO and Chairman of the Keeping the European ideal alive in the minds and hopes of that it is based on would not Cooke, Craig McKenna, in an effort to get Europe Executive Board of Randstad younger generations will be essential to its success. have been possible without Amanda Morris, and Pernille back on track, such as Jean- Holding nv); Tom Regent the generous participation of Maya Sørensen Smith. Philippe Courtois (President (Vice President, AT&T; Head many people. We are also grateful to the Microsoft International); Klaus 1 The findings in this report result from our analysis of the of AT&T EMEA); Francesco organisations and authors of Holse Andersen (Microsoft responses received from over 250 Chief Executive Officers Serafini (Executive Vice We acknowledge the support the session briefings (see the Vice President Western (CEOs) and dozens of public and business leaders, through President Emerging and contributions of various Reference section for Europe); Danilo Cazzola surveys and interviews. Please see page 30 for a detailed Markets, HP); Christian team members from the more details). (Vice President and General information on the methodology used. Morales (Vice President, Federation of Enterprises in Manager Agilent Technology Sales and Marketing Group Belgium (FEB), Accenture and Finally, we wish to thank Life Science and Chemical General Manager, EMEA INSEAD. In developing this all the CEOs, business Analysis EMEA&India); Sir INTEL Corporation); and Hans report, we have especially leaders and experts who Stephen Gomersall (Chief van der Loo (Head European relied on our INSEAD took the time from their Executive for Europe, Union Liaison, colleagues, Soumitra Dutta, busy schedules to talk with Hitachi); Ben Noteboom Shell International). An initiative of Carried out by Sponsored by Putting Europe Back on Track Page 03
  • 3. Looking beyond the storm: Three key areas for action: Innovating, optimising costs & investing Europe remains a powerful idea Figure 2: What is your business Revenue-Growth Firms It would be only natural to expect that those enterprises who Europe’s future than those that have maintained profits during 70% 70% doing to get back on track? have suffered most from the crisis (i.e. those whose activities the same period. The results of the European Business Summit 67% 69% Revenue-Loss Firms Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research and markets have declined) would be less optimistic about 2010 Survey of CEOs, however, show that the reality is more 62% for European Business Summit 2010 Small and Medium complex. Even among those companies that have been hardest 56% 57% (see Methodology for more) hit by the crisis, faith in Europe’s future remains high. 52% 50% 52% Large 45% 44% 44% 40% 38% 34% Figure 1: To what extent do you agree that in the year 2020 the 50% A majority of Europe’s business 24% 25% leaders believe that Europe “will be 21% EU will be a strong economy and 17% 14% 15% influential on the world stage? 42% Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research a strong economy, recognised and 10% 12% 6% 5% influential on the world stage.” The 1% for European Business Summit 2010 3% 2% 2% 3% (see Methodology for more) Innovating Optimizing cost Investing Expanding Creating Influencing Nothing, Nothing, number is higher among firms that overseas new jobs local and EU policy makers my business is just trying my business is already 27% experienced growth in revenue to survive on track 18% 22% during the past year (Revenue- 14% 15% Growth Firms) (65%), yet remains high (48%) among firms that lost Broad picture needed: High-definition and 3-D 6% revenue during the past year 2% 3% Looking at the broad picture of Europe, no isolated ‘fix’ can be expected to (Revenue-Loss Firms). Fully disagree Somewhat disagree Neither agree or Somewhat agree Fully agree work; coordination (among countries) and consistency (across issues) will disagree Revenue-Growth Firms be required. Revenue-Loss Firms High-definition: The devil is in the details. Looking closely at 3-dimensional: Europe also needs to apply a multidimensional Europe’s strengths and weaknesses and its possible responses vision to how it pictures its future. Such a vision comes from to current challenges requires an in-depth, imaginative and looking at key issues from at least two different angles: social candid approach: and economic, technological and cultural, for example. This is where addressing ‘cross-cutting issues’ such as education, Taking action and getting traction What can European SMEs do to help recovery and what skills, confidence and leadership can offer fresh perspectives obstacles stand in their way? for action. Putting Europe back on track requires a coordinated portfolio Clearly, those enterprises suffering most from the crisis tend of multiple approaches, each involving concerted efforts of to focus more on cost cutting (69%) than those that have How is Europe’s ambition to be a carbon-free economy faring The present report thus seeks to do more than reflect and multiple stakeholder groups and each associated with different maintained or increased their activity (57%), but the resilience in times of macro-economic crisis? summarise the views of European business leaders. It is also risks and different time frames for producing results. Europe of growth-oriented attitudes‚ is quite remarkable. Answers an attempt to offer a common ‘line of vision’ to the various already has a history of successful multi-stakeholder efforts. to this question differ with size: all regard innovation as a How can Europe’s relations of co-opetition with Asia and the sessions of the 10th edition of the European Business Summit. The next step is for leaders from the public and private sectors priority (67% of SMEs and 62% of large firms), but attitudes are Americas work better in the future ? By presenting and analysing insights from CEOs on the to learn from those successes and collaborate even more to significantly different regarding cost optimisation (a priority themes addressed by the Summit we hope to contribute to the scale up isolated successes into European-wide successes. action for 52% of SMEs and 70% of large firms). Surprisingly, What should be Europe’s view of ‘virtuous financial markets’ ? emergence of a coherent and well balanced set of actions to get SMEs are more keen to invest and expand overseas than large Europe back on track. In each of the areas they consider as important to put Europe How crucially will Europe’s recovery depend on ‘getting the enterprises. A source of concern can be found in the data back on track, Europe’s business leaders tend to point at Doha Round out of the ditch’ ? regarding job creation. This is an area where action is still What follows consists of our main findings, organised into insufficient political vision and support. But they are also insufficient and where the difference is the greatest between 12 sections, each corresponding to a theme addressed by taking action and expressing a readiness to do more. expanding and declining enterprises (23% vs 10%) and also the 2010 European Business Summit. between SMEs and large firms (25% vs 14%). 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  • 4. SMEs: Engines According to surveyed CEOs, the three greatest barriers to Bureaucracy Lack of access to credit 71% for recovery? 54% the success of SMEs are: Lack of flexibility in labor market 51% Bureaucracy Taxation levels 45% Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) make up 99% of all SMEs call for a more business-friendly environment, a Lack of access to credit companies in the EU, providing two out of three European jobs. transparent and easy regulatory framework, a cut in red tape, On-time payment/cash flow 28% Lack of flexibility in Figure 4: What are the greatest easy access to finance and flexible labour, and prompt public In November 2005, the Commission presented a new SME the labour market barriers to the success of SMEs? and private payment. Insufficient access to talent/ 27% policy. Entitled ”Think Small First”, it aimed to promote ability to attract and keep talents Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research entrepreneurship and skills via education and training, improve Will Europe finally anchor the “Think Small First” principle for European Business Summit 2010 Other 4% (see Methodology for more) market access for SMEs, and simplify legislation. In December in all its policies and turn policy papers like the Small Business 2008, the EU Summit approved the Small Business Act to put Act into real action? How can we better enable SMEs to spur SMEs at the forefront of national and European-wide decision- the economic recovery and long-term growth we need? making and boost Europe’s economy. However, since then various business groups have repeatedly criticised national and European business leaders (whatever the size of their regional leaders for failing to implement the Small Business Act. companies) consider that SMEs have (1) a key role to play in putting Europe back on track, and (2) a large array of obstacles Foster Europe’s entrepreneurial spirit on their path. When it comes to supporting SMEs, their “If you ask Chinese and Indian people ‘What is your desired “We need to change the mindset of people leaving universities actions differ. type of job?’ on average you get 70-80% who respond that who say, ‘I want to work for the very large companies they would like to build up their own company. If you ask of Europe.’ We should have a higher percentage of people Europeans the same question, you’re moving down to who say, ‘I want to create my own company.’” somewhere between eight to a maximum of twenty who want to start their own business.” Figure 5: What are large By paying promptly 31% A key to Europe’s future, SMEs need active support... Key findings businesses doing to support and encourage the growth of SMEs? Through procurement/supply and more entrepreneurs2 Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research polices that encourage the use for European Business Summit 2010 of SMEs 18% (see Methodology for more) Most participating CEOs view Approximately 95% of participating CEOs considered it important to take action to encourage and support the Providing funding/credit 12% the growth of SMEs as an important growth of SMEs. Through mentoring/ 17% asset for putting Europe back on 58% of participating CEOs believed that those actions should coaching of leaders track. However, they have different be taken within the next 5 years. Other 3% views about how and when to On average, one-fourth of participating CEOs considered No specific action 19% encouraging and supporting the growth of SMEs should be help SMEs one of the three priority actions to be taken to put Europe back on track. Figure 3: Encouraging 58% and supporting SMEs Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research for European Business Summit 2010 Possible action points (see Methodology for more) In December 2009, three business groups – BUSINESSEUROPE, Ensuring that honest entrepreneurs who have faced 36% Eurochambres and UEAPME – criticised national and regional bankruptcy get a second chance. leaders for failing to implement the Small Business Act. They 26% argued that national parliaments could take “simple actions” Mainstreaming the ”Think Small First” principle into all fields prescribed in the Small Business Act, such as cutting the of legislation. regulatory burden on business and speeding up payments. Other actions include improving SME access to finance, Adapting public policy tools to SMEs’ needs, notably by particularly to fund innovation and research. facilitating their participation in public procurement and 7% making better use of state aid. Moving forward, leaders from the public and private sectors Is one Needs to be Needs to be Is not need to be more active and aggressive about implementing Facilitating SMEs’ access to finance and developing of the first addressed addressed important a legal environment supporting timely payment in three actions within within the following principles of Europe’s Small Business Act: to take 5 years 10 years commercial transactions. (by 2014) (by 2020) Creating an environment in which entrepreneurship is rewarded. Promoting skills upgrades and innovation in all its forms. 2 Consistent with the European Commission, we defined small and medium-sized Page 06 Putting Europe Back on Track enterprises (SMEs) as companies with no more than 250 employees. Putting Europe Back on Track Page 07
  • 5. Combat complacency: Driving global recovery: Engage more with emerging economies What can Europe learn When asked, “What is stopping 43% said lack of In contrast, business leaders entrepreneurship credited the strength of businesses in the EU from being as – fear of taking risks. emerging economies to from Asia? successful as they should be in 40% said complacency their entrepreneurialism, absence of complacency, moving into new areas of business?” – the appetite for and innovations that draw on revolutionary change new technologies to develop is not there. sustainable solutions for all. Over the past two years, the speed at which Asia has recovered domestically oriented economies (China, India, and Indonesia) from the economic crisis – especially in relation to Europe – has and Australia escaping a recession, and the more export 28% said lack of vision – forced Europe to view Asia and other emerging economies in oriented economies experiencing a sharply V-shaped business businesses find it difficult a new light. The IMF in its Regional Economic Outlook for Asia cycle. By the end of 2009, output in most of Asia had returned to think long term; and Pacific (April 2010) notes that Asia is leading the global to pre-crisis levels, even in those economies hit hardest by recovery: “Activity in many emerging and developing markets the crisis.” has continued to rebound swiftly over the course of 2009 and in the first quarter of 2010, particularly in Asia. The pattern In contrast, in May 2010, the European Commission forecast A quarter of CEOs surveyed Figure 7: Building relations of economic recovery has varied within Asia, with the more GDP growth in Europe to average about 1% this year, What with emerging economies 63% saw building relations with can Europe learn from Asia? (e.g., to grow our markets emerging economies to both and reduce costs) grow markets and reduce costs Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research as one of the first three actions for European Business Summit 2010 to take to put Europe back on (see Methodology for more) track. Two-thirds of CEOs said 31% engaging more with emerging economies was critical and 25% should be addressed within Asia will become the most powerful region in the world five years. The more European Key findings firms engage with firms from emerging economies, Of all the questions that we asked CEOs, the greatest consensus emerged 6% the more likely they are from the question: Which region in the world will emerge the strongest Is one Needs to be Needs to be Is not to combat complacency, inspire smart risk-taking and from the recession? No matter from what point of view we analysed the of the first three actions addressed within addressed within important entrepreneurship, and develop responses, there was an overwhelming consensus among CEOs that to take 5 years (by 2014) 10 years (by 2020) a vision for becoming stronger in the global economic the Asia/Pacific region would emerge strongest. landscape. CEOs believe Asia offers Europe lessons in strategy, partnership, worker attitudes and work practices Business leaders see China’s strength as both admirable and threatening The only slight difference was Figure 6: Which region in the for European Business Summit 2010 (see Methodology for more) between CEOs of firms from world will emerge the strongest industry and CEOs of firms from the recession? from services. Industry-sector Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research CEO Interviews CEOs were more convinced about Asia/Pacific emerging 66% “We used to go to China “Chinese firms are lowest costs; the winners “During this crisis, China Asia/Pacific simply to outsource developing their own brands have not been the ones actually invested even strongest: 74% compared to 74% 66% of service-sector CEOs. manufacturing. Yet if you very quickly. If we don’t that were the biggest; the more aggressively than In addition, the European 15% look at business investments have strong enough brands winners are the ones with they did before. Whereas Union was the second most North America in innovation and R&D in a given segment we will the best brands. Those the rest of the world was 8% popular choice for industry- facilities, China is way certainly lose out to them. brands emerged from the going backwards they took sector CEOs (8%), whereas Services ahead of Europe. In 10 to 15 Marketing and having a best innovation and the best two steps forward. They’re 5% North America was the European Union years they will have much sustainable strategy of experience that firms bring buying companies; they are 8% Industry second most popular choice more patents coming out, innovation and creativity to users. And this is true in making sure they’ve got raw for service-sector CEOs. more leading universities always makes a difference. many, many segments in materials.” 5% South America coming out than what we For example, in more mature the industry.” 5% have in Europe. I think that’s segments such as the car the scary thing. On the industry, the winners have 5% intellectual side, China will not been the ones with the European countries non-EU 2% also, if they haven’t already, overtake us.” “When you go to Asia there 3% Middle East is a mindset - a hunger Possible action points 1% for success. There isn’t the slightest element of 1% complacency or satisfaction Africa 2% Designing a sustainable and competitive growth strategy for Forging effective partnerships between Europe and Asia with where they are. There is Europe which increases the overall wellbeing of Europeans. in key areas, such as exchange of talent and pushing the continuous ambition.” frontiers of technological progress. Crafting an effective political governance which gives Europe a unified voice and the ability to act decisively. Page 08 Putting Europe Back on Track Putting Europe Back on Track Page 09
  • 6. What kind of future for finance? During the first half of 2010, governments continued to struggle However new financial crises continue to blossom and expose to control financial imbalances. Governments throughout additional inter-dependencies that had gone unchecked and Europe introduced a number of actions to restore stability to threaten to contaminate the broader financial system. Is there financial markets and ensure access to finance for firms, such as: sufficient international coordination and governance to both prevent a future credit crunch and ensure that financial firms restrict bonus and compensation in the financial sector; compete to the benefit of consumers? How should the roles of notation agencies, banks and financial instruments (e.g. hedge conduct ‘’stress tests’ of banks; and funds) be revisited and regulated ? pass stimulus packages to address the “too big to fail” syndrome The financial sector must do Balancing regulation For 42.5% of the CEOs, Key findings getting the right balance more to resolve its problems and liberalisation between regulation and liberalisation of our Only 3% of surveyed CEOs considered the problems with CEOs of firms that experienced growth were slightly more Figure 9: Getting the right balance between regulation and financial markets is one financial institutions to have been completely resolved. optimistic than CEOs that experienced a decline in revenue liberalisation of our financial markets of the top three priorities. over the past year. CEOs of revenue-growth firms tended On average, over half of CEOs (54%) considered that Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research 92% of the CEOs said to be split between whether the problems with Europe’s for European Business Summit 2010 the problems in EU financial institutions and markets “getting the right balance financial institutions were unresolved or somewhat resolved, (see Methodology for more) are unresolved and that there is a real risk that they will between regulation and whereas two-thirds of CEOs of revenue-decline firms re-surface in the next five years. This is true even for liberalisation of our believed the problems were unresolved. CEOs of revenue-growth firms (50%). financial market” should be addressed within the next five years. Industry 77% Services Figure 8: How well have 64% 70% the problems in our financial CEO Interviews institutions and markets been resolved? “Business needs 50% 47% macroeconomic stability. Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research for European Business Summit 2010 47% Over the next year, (see Methodology for more) governments have a big 35% 38% responsibility to first enact the G20 agenda to stabilize 24% the banking system and get financial flows going again: 18% and second to deal with their Revenue-Growth Firms own debt problems.” 2.5% 1.2% 5% 6% Revenue-Loss Firms “From a financial standpoint, Unresolved Somewhat Completely Is one Needs to be Needs to be Is not governments have certainly Unresolved Resolved of the first addressed addressed important three actions within 5 years within 10 made a huge effort to get us to take (by 2014) years through the difficult times (by 2020) that we had last year.” Possible action points Establish international metrics for assessing and monitoring Foster multiple alternative options for companies and new types of financial activity and determine when any firm is entrepreneurs to access the finance they need, and in the becoming too big. process reduce their dependency on bank lending. Measure and monitor the coordination of financial reforms to Devise comprehensive impact assessments of the cumulative prevent regulatory arbitrage. effect of interdependent rules and requirements on the financial sector and economy. Agree on criteria for common burden-sharing and lender- of-last-resort situations in the event of a new crisis to complement strengthened macro- and micro-supervision. Page 10 Putting Europe Back on Track Putting Europe Back on Track Page 11
  • 7. Trading for Firms are expanding overseas new growth in an effort to get back on track Every economic crisis bears the threat of protectionist contributed to changing attitudes about what is fair and what is Figure 11: Percentage of firms For 37% of CEOs, tendencies. In such situations, governments have a difficult role not in terms of international trade. Symmetrically, the growing that are expanding overseas as 47% expanding overseas is to play, caught between longer-term economic logics (free importance of large consumer markets in emerging economies part of their effort to get back 44% one of the actions they are trade is key to sustained recovery) and short-term pressure is encouraging mature economies to grant priority to keeping on track taking to get back on track from various sectors and segments of civil society. The current such markets as open as possible. Should governments be Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research 34% (but is not in the top three). round of multilateral trade negotiations undertaken under the more engaged in industrial policies and other trade-related for European Business Summit 2010 32% It is more important for (see Methodology for more) auspices of the World Trade Organization (WTO) - the so-called interventions in Europe? How can the Doha Round be large companies. Doha Round – is still a complex set of unresolved issues. The re-energized? Is business ready to play the game of free emergence of new export powerhouses such as China have also trade all the way? As part of their strategy for getting back on track, more industry-sector firms are expanding overseas than service-sector firms. Even if contained, protectionist temptations Key findings Industry Services Small and Large Large firms are more remain a major threat to recovery Medium likely to pursue overseas On average, over half of expansion than small and surveyed CEOs believe medium-sized firms. that progress towards trade liberalisation has either Figure 10: In terms of progress towards trade liberalisation, 49% been slow (45%) or how do you see the future of non-existent (19%). world trade in your sector? 42% Source: INSEAD and Accenture joint research for European Business Summit 2010 CEOs of revenue-growth firms were only slightly Remove inefficiencies and promote (see Methodology for more) less critical than CEOs of open, rules-based trade revenue-loss firms of the pace or lack of progress Revenue-Growth Firms of trade liberalisation. A common sentiment In some sectors and “The EU has a lot of opportunity to continue its course with its shared by most of countries, local regulations, internal market policies. One area that excites me is the idea Revenue-Loss Firms 22% One-tenth of CEOs of the business leaders price structures and skill of a Digital Internal Market. This in my mind will accelerate 21% 20% interviewed was that trade levels are the key barriers. tremendous innovation and growth for the EU and be a 18% revenue-growth firms 17% barriers do not significantly A CEO from the Services positive push to enable communities to improve healthcare, believe that trade liberalisation in Europe affect business; however, sector commented “We energy sustainability, education and help alleviate poverty.” 11% they do add to inefficiencies employ seven business has declined. With regards to CEOs of firms that lost and costs. people here in the region revenue, twice as many just to deal with local (21%) believe that trade regulation.” Strong and Slow No change Decline of steady progress liberisation liberalisation has declined. progress Possible action points European firms should lead the promotion of open, rules- Reach closure of the Doha Development Agenda (DDA) by based trade and investment and opposition to protectionism focusing on the three priority issues: industrial market access by proactively fostering a united strategy for Europe in (tariffs and non-tariff barriers), liberalisation of services and multilateral institutions such as the WTO. trade facilitation. The WTO and other multilateral institutions need to develop better rules to enforce anti-dumping, impose more stringent anti-subsidy rules, and improve dispute settlement procedures including an NTB-mediation mechanism to enforce the rules. Page 12 Putting Europe Back on Track Putting Europe Back on Track Page 13