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Intro lecture 'Innoveren als Startup' door Henry Robben
1.
!!!!Intro!lecture!Course!‘Innoveren!als!Startup’!start!29mei!–!Henry!Robben! !! !Innoveren!als!Startup!!!@henryrobben!!!#LeanStartup!!!@crowdale_edu!!!!!
2.
Agenda! • IntroducEe!! • Course!
Innoveren!als!Startup !! • Lecture!Prof.dr.Henry!Robben:! !!!!The!Lean!Startup! • Crowdale.com!! • Survey!
3.
IntroducEe!!
4.
Wat!zie!je?! • Slides! • Video! • Deelnemers!&!hoofdstukken! • Chatvenster!/!vragen!stellen! • Moderators! • Tickertape! • Polls! !
5.
Poll!#1:!Deelname! a. !1e!keer! b. !2V5!keer! c. !6V10!keer!!! d. !10+! Hoe!vaak!heb!je!al!aan!een!webinar!deelgenomen! in!het!kader!van!een!opleiding!of!course?!
6.
• !4x!live!webinars!van!1,5uur!in!5!weken! • !Wekelijks!assigments!&!onderlinge!discussie! • !Boek!The$Lean$Startup!–!Eric!Ries! • !Boek!I’m$hungry$–!Hendriks!&!De!Zeeuw! • !Kosten!bedragen!€595,V! Woensdag$29$mei$ Ontwikkel!je!visie! Woensdag$5$juni$ RichEng!Pivot! Woensdag$3$juli$ GoVtoVmarket! Woensdag$19$juni$ Versnellen!&!Innoveren! Course! Innoveren!als!Startup !
7.
Who!is!…!!Henry!Robben!
8.
You can’t hide
your problems…
9.
Poll!#2:!Entrepeneur! a. !Nee,!en!ik!zou!het!ook!niet!willen.! b. !Nee,!maar!ik!zou!het!graag!proberen.! c. !Ja,!maar!ik!heb!nog!geen!eigen!onderneming.! d. !Ja!en!ik!heb!mijn!eigen!bedrijf.! Beschouw)jij)jezelf)als)een)ondernemer?)
10.
The$Lean$Startup Innovating$Smarter$Successfully
11.
12.
13.
14.
Main$messages Assumptions$are$the$mother$of$all$f*ck$ups Yet,%every%business%plan%is%full%of%them! Ask$yourself$the$right$questions Test%your%assumptions Lean$innovation$is$about$learning
What%is%that%you%need%to%know?
15.
Three$Parts VISION STEER ACCELERATE
16.
Three$Parts VISION STEER ACCELERATE
17.
Three$Parts VISION STEER ACCELERATE start$E$deGine$E$learn$E$experiment
18.
Three$Parts VISION STEER ACCELERATE start$E$deGine$E$learn$E$experiment leap$E$test$E$measure$E$pivot$or$persevere
19.
Three$Parts VISION STEER ACCELERATE start$E$deGine$E$learn$E$experiment leap$E$test$E$measure$E$pivot$or$persevere batch$E$grow$E$adapt$E$innovate
20.
Startups$need$a$VISION What$do$you$want$to$achieve? Craft%a%strategy%to%get%there The%result%will%be%your%offering accelerate-steer-VISION
21.
Why$do$so$many$startups$fail? They$are$managed$by$corporate$management$principles Uncertainty%about%market%conditions%and%customers Achieve%failure%by%executing%a%Blawed%plan vision:start
22.
Why$do$so$many$startups$fail? They$are$managed$by$corporate$management$principles Uncertainty%about%market%conditions%and%customers Achieve%failure%by%executing%a%Blawed%plan vision:start
23.
Poll!#3:!Startup! a. !Nee,!nog!nooit!en!daar!ben!ik!heel!blij!mee.! b. !Nee,!maar!het!lijkt!me!fantasEsch.! c. !!Ja,!maar!ik!heb!er!spijt!van.! d. !Ja,!en!ik!zou!niet!meer!anders!willen.! Ben)je)weleens)betrokken)geweest)bij)een)startup?)
24.
Some$deGinitions Entrepreneur The%whole%ecosystem Startup A%human%institution%designed%to%create%a%new%offering% under%conditions%of%severy%uncertainty Lean$innovation$is$about$learning
What%is%that%you%need%to%know? vision:define
25.
Some$deGinitions Entrepreneur The%whole%ecosystem Startup A%human%institution%designed%to%create%a%new%offering% under%conditions%of%severy%uncertainty Lean$innovation$is$about$learning
What%is%that%you%need%to%know? * * Size,%industry,%type,%development%stage%do%not%matter vision:define
26.
Some$deGinitions Entrepreneur The%whole%ecosystem Startup A%human%institution%designed%to%create%a%new%offering% under%conditions%of%severy%uncertainty Lean$innovation$is$about$learning
What%is%that%you%need%to%know? * * Size,%industry,%type,%development%stage%do%not%matter vision:define * * * * So%this%means%YOU%and%YOUR%company!
27.
The$innovator’s$dilemma Sustaining$innovation Disruptive$innovation * *Christensen vision:define
28.
The$innovator’s$dilemma Sustaining$innovation Disruptive$innovation incremental%improvements * *Christensen vision:define
29.
The$innovator’s$dilemma Sustaining$innovation Disruptive$innovation incremental%improvements breakthrough,%sustainable * *Christensen vision:define
30.
vision:learn Learning$is$the$unit$of$analysis An$old$misconception:$efGiciency$over$effectiveness What%if%you%built%something%that%nobody%wanted? “In%desperation,%we% talked%to%some%potential% customers…%to%Bind%that% our%mental%model%was% years%out%of%date.” “Everyone%has%a%plan% 'till%they%get%punched%in% the%mouth.” Mike%Tyson What$if$these$ morons$do$not$see$ the$brilliance$of$ your$strategy? Value$is$providing$ beneGit$for$the$ customer learn when$do$we$create$value$vs.$waste? validated learning now$we$know!
31.
vision:experiment If$you$cannot$fail,$you$cannot$learn How$to$know$what$you$need$to$know$instead$of$relying$on$assumptions Testing%hypotheses! The%value%hypothesis Does$the$offering$ deliver$value$to$ the$customer? The%growth%hypothesis How$will$new$ customers$ discover$the$new$ offering?
32.
vision:experiment If$you$cannot$fail,$you$cannot$learn How$to$know$what$you$need$to$know$instead$of$relying$on$assumptions Testing%hypotheses! The%value%hypothesis Does$the$offering$ deliver$value$to$ the$customer? The%growth%hypothesis How$will$new$ customers$ discover$the$new$ offering? * *break$your$vision$down$into$components. So$now$it’s$time$to$write$your$Grand4Vision
33.
If$you$cannot$fail,$you$cannot$learn So$with$whom? (Why?) techies visionaries pragmatists
conservatives sceptics So$with$what? (Why?) Minimum$Viable$Product congierce$or$VIP$treatment what$do$customers$do? vision:experiment
34.
If$you$cannot$fail,$you$cannot$learn About$your$idea: Do%customer%recognize%the%problem%you%are%trying%to%solve? If%there%was%a%solution,%would%they%buy%it? Would%they%buy%it%from%you? Can%you%build%a%solution%for%that%problem? “Success%is%not% delivering%a%feature;% success%is%learning%how% to%solve%the%customer’s% problem.” “Markets%change%all%the% time%and%our%job%is%to% change%with%them.” vision:experiment
35.
Startups$need$to$STEER accelerate-STEER-vision
36.
Build$E$Measure$E$Learn$feedback$loop accelerate-STEER-vision Learn Build Measure data ideas product The%goal%is%to%minimize% the%total%time%through% the%loop Test$the$riskiest$ hypotheses:$leapE ofEfaith$ assumptions Build$the$MVP Innovation$accounting
37.
Build$E$Measure$E$Learn$feedback$loop accelerate-STEER-vision Learn Build Measure data ideas product The%goal%is%to%minimize% the%total%time%through% the%loop Test$the$riskiest$ hypotheses:$leapE ofEfaith$ assumptions Build$the$MVP Innovation$accounting
38.
Build$E$Measure$E$Learn$feedback$loop accelerate-STEER-vision Learn Build Measure data ideas product The%goal%is%to%minimize% the%total%time%through% the%loop Test$the$riskiest$ hypotheses:$leapE ofEfaith$ assumptions Build$the$MVP Innovation$accounting
39.
steer:leap Genchi$gembutsu Do$you$create$value? Do$you$understand$your$company’s$growth? Is$there$a$signiGicant$problem$worth$ solving? Why$do$you$grow?$Success$theater? Get%out%of%the%building. The%customer%archetype
40.
steer:test The$minimum$viable$product The$fastest$way$to$get$through$the$BuildEMeasureELearn$loop The$goal$of$the$MVP$is$start$the$process$of$learning You%want%to%test%fundamental%business%hypotheses! Get%rid%of%any%implicit%assumptions! With$whom? It$is$not$perfect,$ not$Ginished,$not$ polished Advantage$of$ being$the$Girst Creating$a$ competitive$ advantage Be%clear%upfront:%Do%not%give%up%hope!
41.
steer:test The$minimum$viable$product Video Congierce$/$VIP Wizard$of$Oz
42.
steer:test The$minimum$viable$product If%we%do%not%know%who% the%customer%is,%we%do% not%know%what%quality%is. The$idea$is$that$you$must$focus$on$creating$outcomes$that$the$ customer$perceives$as$valuable. Set%aside%your%pride%and%theatrics. Customers%don’t%care:%“Does%it%serve%my%needs?” Remember:What%do%need%to%learn? Legal%issues!%Competitors!%Branding!% Have%your%“reality%distortion%Bield”%torn%down. The$only$way$to$ win$is$to$learn$ faster$than$ anyone$else.
43.
steer:measure Oh$yes,$you$need$to$measure$stuff! Accounting$is$key.$But$not$standard$accounting. The%unpredictability%of%forecasts%and%milestones%for%startups.% Are$you$making$ your$product$ better? How$do$you$get$to$ know$that? Build$an$MVP$to$establish$ a$baseline$on$real$data Tune$toward$the$ideal Decision:$Pivot$or$ perserve Is%there%any%interest?Can%you%change%customer% behavior? Is%there%any%progress?
44.
steer:measure Innovation$Accounting Are$you$making$your$offering$better? Cohort%analysis How$do$different$customer$groups$develop$over$time? Registered,%did%not%log%in Logged%in Had%one%conversation Had%more%conversations Paid Vanity met!cs Actionable
metrics clear$cause$and$effect simple,$access credible actionable accessible auditable
45.
steer:pivotorpersevere The$$64,000$question... A$structured$course$correction$designed$to$test$a$new$ fundamental$hypothesis$about$the$product,$strategy,$ and$engine$of$growth. The%alternative%is%to%get% stuck%in%the%land%of%the% living%dead Initial MVP After
optimization After optimization Registration 5% 17% 17% Activation 17% 90% 90% Retention too low 5% 8% Referral too low 4% 6%
46.
steer:pivotorpersevere Which$way$to$pivot? Before pivot After zoom-in pivot After
platform pivot Engine of growth Sticky Paid Viral Registration rate 17% 42% 51% Activation 90% 83% 92% Retention 8% 21% 28% Referral 6% 54% 64% Revenue n/a 1% 11% LTV n/a minimal $0.2 / message There$are$several$ways$to$pivot.$But$you$need$to$keep$measuring! @2gov 8$months 4$months 3$months 1$months
47.
steer:pivotorpersevere Which$way$to$pivot? Before pivot After zoom-in pivot After
platform pivot Engine of growth Sticky Paid Viral Registration rate 17% 42% 51% Activation 90% 83% 92% Retention 8% 21% 28% Referral 6% 54% 64% Revenue n/a 1% 11% LTV n/a minimal $0.2 / message There$are$several$ways$to$pivot.$But$you$need$to$keep$measuring! @2gov 8$months 4$months 3$months 1$months
48.
steer:pivotorpersevere When$to$pivot? Decreasing$effectiveness$of$offering$experiments. General$feeling$that$NPD$should$be$more$productive.$ You$need$these$to$ pivot! Diminishing$returns.
49.
Poll!#4:!InnovaEe!binnen!je!organisaEe! a. !Makkelijk,!want!het!wordt!aangemoedigd.! b. !Geen!onderwerp!dat!op!de!agenda!staat.!! c. !Onmogelijk! d.!Geen!van!de!eerdere!drie!antwoorden! Innova<e)binnen)mijn)organisa<e)is)…)
50.
steer:pivotorpersevere Crossing$the$chasm techies visionaries pragmatists
conservatives sceptics 80%$Ginished$is$okay! The$offering$should$be$100%! Selling$your$offering$big$time.$Time$to$test$another$hypothesis… Build%Z%Measure%Z%Learn Zoom$in Zoom$out Customer$segment Customer$need Platform Business$architecture Value$capture Engine$of$growth Channel Technology
51.
Batches An$old$friend:$the$question$of$efGiciency$vs.$effectiveness. Small%batches%and%large%batches. When$do$quality$ issues$become$ apparent? What$was$it$that$ we$were$doing$by$ the$way? And$for$whom? Create%your%own%andon% chord. ACCELERATE-steer-vision
52.
accelerate:grow Where$does$growth$come$from? Remember:$We’re$looking$for$sustainable$growth. New%customers%come%from%the%actions%of%past%customers. WoM Side$effect$of$usage Funded$advertising Repeat$purchase There%are%three%engines%of%growth. Sticky$ /Customer$retentionEEacquisition$versus$churn Viral$ $
/$Viral$coefGicient$>$1.0 Paid$ $ /$LTV$vs.$cost$per$acquisition Startups%typically%use%just% a%single%engine%of%growth. Compounding growth rate as of Company A Company B 6 months ago 0.1% 9.8% 5 months ago 0.5% 9.6% 4 months ago 2.0% 9.9% 3 months ago 3.2% 9.8% 2 months ago 4.5% 9.7% 1 month ago 5.0% 10.0%
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accelerate:adapt When$engines$run$out Growing$too$fast:$You$cannot$trade$quality$for$time. Shortcuts%are%expensive...% Here’s$a$tradeEoff:$invest$in$an$unknown$project$against$an$unknown$beneGit. S Why$did$the$student$fail$the$exam? Overload%of%study%materials Why$was$there$an$overload? Too%little%time%to%digest Why$was$there$too$little$time? Too%many%subjects%to%study Why$were$there$too$many$subjects? Student%missed%exams%in%previous%block Why$did$the$student$miss$the$exams? Student%madly%in%love%
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accelerate:adapt Proportional$investments Small$problems$likely$need$small$investments.$Big$problems$require$big$ investments. The$5YEmodel$helps$in$securing$just$that. It’s$because$our$department$/$team$/$…$is$GREAT! It’s$because$their$department$/$team$/$…$SUCKS! The$5Ys$become$ the$5$blames... Startups$and$corporates$need$ to$learn$to$juggle$operational$ excellence$and$disruptive$ innovation
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accelerate:innovate Leading$innovation Startup$teams$need: Resources:$Scarce$but$ secure Authority:$To$develop$ indepedently Stake:$Create$shusa Protect$the$startup$and$the$corporate: Transparency:$No$black$ boxes Sandbox:$Safe$and$ quarantined Accountable:$Build,$$ Measure,$Learn
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accelerate:innovate Leading$innovation There$are$four$types$of$work$to$manage.$ Scale Routine OE Umpire The$ Entrepreneur These%types%need%to%be% managed%differently.
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And$then$there$is$the$status$quo...
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The$Lean$Startup Innovating$Smarter$Successfully
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