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KidCARE TV Promotional Evaluation
NINE MONTH TEST/POST-TEST ASSESSMENT




Presentation by: IMS Health Consulting & CARE Media Holdings Corp.
Agenda


• Objective
• Research Methodology
• Methodology Assumptions
• Study Results
• Conclusions




Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
2
Objective

• To assess the impact of CARE Media Holding’s KidCARE TV
  program that is being evaluated on Product X on prescribing
  behavior of participating physicians using a nine month
  test/post-test period




                                                                               Product X
                       KidCARE TV
                                                                             Incremental
                           for
                                                                                  NRx?



• This analysis is limited to participants who began exposure
  during April 2010

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
3
Agenda


• Objective
• Research Methodology
• Methodology Assumptions
• Study Results
• Conclusions




Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
4
Research Methodology


• Impact of KidCARE TV programming for Product X is assessed
  using IMS Consulting’s Promotion EvaluationSM methodology
    − Paired comparison analysis to measure changes in the product of
      new prescription writing behavior of a Test group relative to a
      similar group of Control physicians
    − Utilizes physician-level new prescription data* that is “raw,” or
      not projected, which removes any potential bias that might be
      introduced by projection




*Data source: IMS Health’s prescriber prescription database

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
5
Agenda


• Objectives
• Research Methodology
• Methodology Assumptions
• Study Results
• Conclusions




Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
6
Research Methodology

• Impact of CARE Media’s KidCARE TV for Product X is assessed
  using IMS Consulting’s Promotion EvaluationSM methodology

       – Paired comparison analysis to measure changes in Product X new
         prescription writing behavior of a Test group relative to a similar group
         of Control physicians

       – Utilizes physician-level new prescription data* that is “raw,” or not
         projected, which removes any potential bias that might be introduced
         by projection




   *Data source: IMS Health’s prescriber prescription database

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
7
Study Time Periods
• Test physicians were initially exposed to the KidCARE TV promotion
  during April 2010
• NRx data for the same nine months during the previous year (as
  compared to the post-test period during the current year) is used as
  the pre-test period
• NRx data for the test month and following eight months of exposure
  (test/post-test period) reflects prescribing behavior influenced by the
  KidCARE TV promotion



                  Pre-Test Period                                            Test/Post-Test Period
                      9 Months                                                      9 Months
                   Apr – Dec 2009                                               Apr – Dec 2010




Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
8
Test Group

                             2,264 Physicians participated in
                               the KidCARE TV program for



                   1,888 Physicians qualified as potential Test
                  physicians (successfully matched to the IMS
                          Health prescriber universe)



                      1,831 Physicians had a matched Control


                   1,548 Physicians                                          283 Physicians
                   were Specialists                                          were All Other
                                                                               Specialties



Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
9
Statistical Approaches
  • ANCOVA was used to measure statistical significance of the
    difference between the post-test NRx volume generated by
    the Test and Control physicians
       – Adjustments were made in the post-test period to eliminate any pre-
         test period differences between the Test and Control groups

       – Program success was determined by looking for an Index of Adjusted
         Means (IAM) above “1” with a p-value <0.10, i.e., a confidence level
         >90% showing that the result is not due to chance

  • Z-tests were performed to determine the effectiveness of the
    program on
       –     Product X NRx share, defined as the ratio of Product X NRx over
            market NRx, and

       –    Product X physician penetration, defined as the number of physicians
            writing at least one prescription for Product X


Promo.Return Client Product Study Name • Month 2010
10
Control Group Selection


• 1,888 potential Test physicians were matched to the IMS
  Health prescriber universe to identify potential Control
  physicians based on the following criteria:
    − Product X NRx during the pre-test period;

    − Product X’s competitors NRx in the pre-test period;

    − Sales force promotion;

    − MD geography; and

    − MD specialty

• 1,831 Test physicians were successfully matched to a Control
  physician


Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
11
Methodology Assumptions


• Test and Control group physicians are assumed to have
  similar levels of exposure to promotional activity for the
  duration of the study time period
    − Cannot control for disproportionate changes in promotional levels
      in the post-program exposure time period
• Managed care influences are also assumed to be similar
  between the Test and Control physicians
    − Cannot control for disproportionate changes in patient flow or
      patient health care plans at any time of the study time period




Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
12
Quality Control Procedures


• Two different quality control procedures were utilized as
  necessary to ensure that sporadic reporters do not bias the
  results
    − Constant Store Panel – a pharmacy must report prescription
      activity in each study period month to be included in the analysis
    − Active Writers – a physician must generate at least one
      prescription during the most current three months to be included
      in the analysis




Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
13
Agenda


• Objective
• Research Methodology
• Methodology Assumptions
• Study Results
• Conclusions




Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
14
Product X NRx Comparison
        During the nine month post period, Test physicians prescribed 3.0% more Product X NRx
        compared to Control physicians. This change in prescribing behavior is statistically
        significant (cl=89.96%).
                12000


                10000
Product X NRx




                8000


                6000


                4000


                2000


                   0




                                          Test Product X            Control Product X
Note: cl = Confidence level; if cl >= 90% the program impact is significant, cl=80-90% is directional,
else it is non-significant. Analysis conducted : ANCOVA.

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
15
Competitor NRx Comparison
 Test physicians prescribed 1.1% more Competitor NRx compared to Control
 physicians. This change in prescribing behavior is not statistically significant
 (cl=58.37%).
                   40000

                   35000

                   30000
  Competitor NRx




                   25000

                   20000

                   15000

                   10000

                   5000

                      0




                                          Test Competitor             Control Competitor
Note: cl = Confidence level; if cl >= 90% the program impact is significant, cl=80-90% is directional,
else it is non-significant. Analysis conducted : ANCOVA.

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
16
Market NRx Comparison
 Test physicians prescribed 1.5% more Market NRx compared to Control physicians.
 This change in prescribing behavior is directional (cl=79.59%).

               50000

               45000

               40000

               35000
  Market NRx




               30000

               25000

               20000

               15000

               10000

               5000

                  0




                                                Test Market           Control Market
Note: cl = Confidence level; if cl >= 90% the program impact is significant, cl=80-90% is directional,
else it is non-significant. Analysis conducted : ANCOVA.

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
17
Product X NRx Share Comparison
During the nine month test/post-test period, Product X NRx share decreased to a
greater extent among Control physicians than Test physicians, resulting in a statistically
significant difference in share change of +0.4 share points (cl=97.71%).


                                   0.3 point                                                 0.6 point
                                   decrease                                                  decrease
                        25.3%
                        25.2%   25.2%                                              25.2%
                        25.1%
  Product X NRx Share




                        25.0%
                                                     24.9%
                        24.9%
                        24.8%
                        24.7%
                        24.6%                                                                     24.5%
                        24.5%
                        24.4%
                        24.3%
                        24.2%
                                        Test Group                                     Control Group

                                                   Pre-Test       Test/Post-Test

 Note: Analysis conducted : Z-test.

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
18
Product X Physician Penetration Report
Physician penetration decreased to a lesser extent among Test than Control, resulting in
a net increase of 0.7 points. The results are not statistically significant (cl=34.98%).



                                           0.8 point
                                                                                               1.4 point
                                           decrease
                   90.0%                                                                       decrease
                             89.8%                                                  89.8%


                   89.5%
  MD Penetration




                                                    89.1%
                   89.0%


                   88.5%                                                                                  88.4%



                   88.0%


                   87.5%
                                      Test Group                                          Control Group

                                                   Pre-Test       Test/Post-Test
Note: Physician Penetration is defined as the ratio of MDs writing           / MDs in program. Analysis
conducted : Z-test

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
19
Comparison of the Impact of KidCARE TV on
                   Physicians by Specialty

                                              Specialists n = 1,548
                                          All Other Specialties n = 283




Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
20
Participants Breakout by Specialty

                                    Physician
        Specialty                                          % of Total
                                     Count
       Specialists                     1,548                    85%
        All Others                       283                    15%
           Total                       1,831                   100%


                                                                             Physician   % of Total Physicians
                                   All Other Specialties
                                                                              Count      with Patients Enrolled

                                         Specialty C                           117               41%

                                         Specialty D                            39               14%

                                         Specialty E                            14                5%

                           All Others (individual specialties
                                                                               113               40%
                             comprising of less than 7%)

                                            Total                              283              100%




Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
21
Product X NRx Volume Comparison by Specialty
 Test Specialists prescribed 2.5% (cl=80.80%) more Product X NRx compared to Control
 physicians, as All Other Test physicians prescribed 8.7% (cl=87.00%) more NRx. These
 changes in prescribing behavior are directional.
                  12000


                  10000
  Product X NRx




                  8000


                  6000


                  4000


                  2000


                     0




                             Specialists Test Product X                 Specialists Control Product X
                             All Others Test Product X                  All Others Control Product X
Note: cl = Confidence level; if cl >= 90% the program impact is significant, cl=80-90% is directional,
else it is non-significant. Analysis conducted : ANCOVA.

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
22
Competitor NRx Volume Comparison by Specialty
 Test Specialists prescribed 1.5% (cl=72.70%) more Competitor NRx compared to
 Control physicians, as All Other Test physicians prescribed 2.2% (cl=49.33%) fewer
 Competitor NRx. However, these changes in prescribing behavior are not statistically
 significant.
                   35000

                   30000

                   25000
  Competitor NRx




                   20000

                   15000

                   10000

                   5000

                      0




                       Specialists Test Competitor                           Specialtists Control Competitor Competitor
                       All Others Test Competitor                            All Others Control Competitor
Note: cl = Confidence level; if cl >= 90% the program impact is significant, cl=80-90% is directional,
else it is non-significant. Analysis conducted : ANCOVA.

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings        KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
23
Market NRx Volume Comparison by Specialty
 Test Specialists prescribed 1.8% (cl=83.25%) more Market NRx compared to Control
 physicians, as All Other Test physicians prescribed 0.3% (cl=6.98%) fewer Market NRx.
 Specialist changes in prescribing behavior are directional, All Others are not statistically
 significant.
               45000

               40000

               35000

               30000
  Market NRx




               25000

               20000

               15000

               10000

               5000

                  0




                                   Specialists Test Market              Specialists Control Market
                                   All Others Test Market               All Others Control Market
Note: cl = Confidence level; if cl >= 90% the program impact is significant, cl=80-90% is directional,
else it is non-significant. Analysis conducted : ANCOVA.

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
24
Product X NRx Share Comparison by Specialty
The program increased Product X NRx share among All Others with statistical
significance. Specialists increased share to a lesser extent, and without statistical
significance.

                                                Specialists                                               All Others
                                A non-significant net increase among                      A significant net increase among Test
                                Test of 0.2 share points (cl=75.75%)                         of 1.6 share points (cl=99.97%)

                          30%

                                 25.7%   25.4%               25.9%      25.3%
                          25%
  Specialists NRx Share




                                                                                           20.3%    20.7%
                          20%                                                                                     19.0%
                                                                                                                           17.7%


                          15%


                          10%


                          5%


                          0%
                                   Test Group                 Control Group                  Test Group            Control Group
                                                                  Pre-Test      Test/Post-Test
 Note: Analysis conducted : Z-test.

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings                KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
25
Physician Penetration Comparison by Specialty

Physician penetration increased among All Others to a greater extent than among Specialists.
However, results are not statistically significant.

                                                   Specialists                                               All Others
                                   A non-significant net increase of 0.4                     A non-significant net increase of 2.1
                                           points (cl=26.29%)                                        points (cl=28.49%)
                            100%    94.9%   94.4%               94.9%      94.0%
                            90%

                            80%
  % Physician Penetration




                            70%
                                                                                              62.2%    60.1%          62.2%
                                                                                                                                  58.0%
                            60%

                            50%

                            40%

                            30%

                            20%

                            10%

                             0%
                                      Test Group                  Control Group                 Test Group                Control Group
                                                                     Pre-Test     Test/Post-Test
Note: Physician Penetration is defined as the ratio of MDs writing                           / MDs in program. Analysis
conducted : Z-test

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings                   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
26
ROI Analysis – Methodology
                           • Calculate Average Product TRx (average retail price for a
    Step I                   prescription) = TRx sales/ 9 month study period (for ) is
                             $148.30 (source: IMS NPA Plus – TRx retail price)

                           • Calculate Revenue Associated with Test Physicians =
   Step II                   Projected Product X TRx x Average Product Price
                              350,703 x $148.30 = $52,008,378
                           • Calculate Revenue Associated with Control Physicians =
                             Projected Product X TRx for Control Physicians* x Average
  Step III                   Product Price
                              340,488 x $148.30 = $50,493,519
                           • Incremental Revenue due to the program = Revenue
                             Associated with Test Physicians – Revenue Associated with
  Step IV                    Control Physicians
                             $52,008,378 - $50,493,519 = $1,514,859
                           • Return on Investment = Incremental Revenue from program/
   Step V                    Cost of the program
                              $1,514,859/$236,460 = 6.4:1 or $1,278,399

Note: Projected Product TRx for Control physicians calculated using Index of Adjusted Means (1.03) from ANCOVA, which
means Test physicians wrote 3.0% more NRx than Control physicians during a 9 month post-test period.

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
Agenda


• Objective
• Research Methodology
• Methodology Assumptions
• Study Results
• Conclusions




Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
28
Conclusions


• The KidCARE TV promotion for Product X was successful at
  increasing Product X NRx volume and share with statistical
  significance. During the latter months of the post-test
  period, Test group appears to be outperforming the Control
  group as evidenced by the separation in trend lines. The
  program also retained writers as indicated by the positive
  result for physician penetration, however results are not
  statistically significant.
    − Among the specialties, Specialists increased Product X NRx
      directionally, with a non-significant increase in share. All Others
      showed a directional increase in NRx volume, with a significant
      increase in share.
    − Both specialty groups showed non-significant increases in
      physician penetration.

Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
29
Conclusions


• The KidCARE TV promotion for was successful at increasing
  Product X NRx volume and share with statistical significance.
  During the latter months of the post-test period, Test group
  appears to be outperforming the Control group as evidenced
  by the separation in trend lines. The program also retained
  writers as indicated by the positive result for physician
  penetration, however results are not statistically significant.
    − Among the specialties, Specialists increased NRx
      directionally, with a non-significant increase in share. All Others
      showed a directional increase in NRx volume, with a significant
      increase in share.
    − Both specialty groups showed non-significant increases in
      physician penetration.



Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings   KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
30

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KidCARE TV Promotional Evaluation

  • 1. KidCARE TV Promotional Evaluation NINE MONTH TEST/POST-TEST ASSESSMENT Presentation by: IMS Health Consulting & CARE Media Holdings Corp.
  • 2. Agenda • Objective • Research Methodology • Methodology Assumptions • Study Results • Conclusions Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 2
  • 3. Objective • To assess the impact of CARE Media Holding’s KidCARE TV program that is being evaluated on Product X on prescribing behavior of participating physicians using a nine month test/post-test period Product X KidCARE TV Incremental for NRx? • This analysis is limited to participants who began exposure during April 2010 Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 3
  • 4. Agenda • Objective • Research Methodology • Methodology Assumptions • Study Results • Conclusions Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 4
  • 5. Research Methodology • Impact of KidCARE TV programming for Product X is assessed using IMS Consulting’s Promotion EvaluationSM methodology − Paired comparison analysis to measure changes in the product of new prescription writing behavior of a Test group relative to a similar group of Control physicians − Utilizes physician-level new prescription data* that is “raw,” or not projected, which removes any potential bias that might be introduced by projection *Data source: IMS Health’s prescriber prescription database Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 5
  • 6. Agenda • Objectives • Research Methodology • Methodology Assumptions • Study Results • Conclusions Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 6
  • 7. Research Methodology • Impact of CARE Media’s KidCARE TV for Product X is assessed using IMS Consulting’s Promotion EvaluationSM methodology – Paired comparison analysis to measure changes in Product X new prescription writing behavior of a Test group relative to a similar group of Control physicians – Utilizes physician-level new prescription data* that is “raw,” or not projected, which removes any potential bias that might be introduced by projection *Data source: IMS Health’s prescriber prescription database Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 7
  • 8. Study Time Periods • Test physicians were initially exposed to the KidCARE TV promotion during April 2010 • NRx data for the same nine months during the previous year (as compared to the post-test period during the current year) is used as the pre-test period • NRx data for the test month and following eight months of exposure (test/post-test period) reflects prescribing behavior influenced by the KidCARE TV promotion Pre-Test Period Test/Post-Test Period 9 Months 9 Months Apr – Dec 2009 Apr – Dec 2010 Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 8
  • 9. Test Group 2,264 Physicians participated in the KidCARE TV program for 1,888 Physicians qualified as potential Test physicians (successfully matched to the IMS Health prescriber universe) 1,831 Physicians had a matched Control 1,548 Physicians 283 Physicians were Specialists were All Other Specialties Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 9
  • 10. Statistical Approaches • ANCOVA was used to measure statistical significance of the difference between the post-test NRx volume generated by the Test and Control physicians – Adjustments were made in the post-test period to eliminate any pre- test period differences between the Test and Control groups – Program success was determined by looking for an Index of Adjusted Means (IAM) above “1” with a p-value <0.10, i.e., a confidence level >90% showing that the result is not due to chance • Z-tests were performed to determine the effectiveness of the program on – Product X NRx share, defined as the ratio of Product X NRx over market NRx, and – Product X physician penetration, defined as the number of physicians writing at least one prescription for Product X Promo.Return Client Product Study Name • Month 2010 10
  • 11. Control Group Selection • 1,888 potential Test physicians were matched to the IMS Health prescriber universe to identify potential Control physicians based on the following criteria: − Product X NRx during the pre-test period; − Product X’s competitors NRx in the pre-test period; − Sales force promotion; − MD geography; and − MD specialty • 1,831 Test physicians were successfully matched to a Control physician Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 11
  • 12. Methodology Assumptions • Test and Control group physicians are assumed to have similar levels of exposure to promotional activity for the duration of the study time period − Cannot control for disproportionate changes in promotional levels in the post-program exposure time period • Managed care influences are also assumed to be similar between the Test and Control physicians − Cannot control for disproportionate changes in patient flow or patient health care plans at any time of the study time period Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 12
  • 13. Quality Control Procedures • Two different quality control procedures were utilized as necessary to ensure that sporadic reporters do not bias the results − Constant Store Panel – a pharmacy must report prescription activity in each study period month to be included in the analysis − Active Writers – a physician must generate at least one prescription during the most current three months to be included in the analysis Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 13
  • 14. Agenda • Objective • Research Methodology • Methodology Assumptions • Study Results • Conclusions Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 14
  • 15. Product X NRx Comparison During the nine month post period, Test physicians prescribed 3.0% more Product X NRx compared to Control physicians. This change in prescribing behavior is statistically significant (cl=89.96%). 12000 10000 Product X NRx 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 Test Product X Control Product X Note: cl = Confidence level; if cl >= 90% the program impact is significant, cl=80-90% is directional, else it is non-significant. Analysis conducted : ANCOVA. Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 15
  • 16. Competitor NRx Comparison Test physicians prescribed 1.1% more Competitor NRx compared to Control physicians. This change in prescribing behavior is not statistically significant (cl=58.37%). 40000 35000 30000 Competitor NRx 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Test Competitor Control Competitor Note: cl = Confidence level; if cl >= 90% the program impact is significant, cl=80-90% is directional, else it is non-significant. Analysis conducted : ANCOVA. Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 16
  • 17. Market NRx Comparison Test physicians prescribed 1.5% more Market NRx compared to Control physicians. This change in prescribing behavior is directional (cl=79.59%). 50000 45000 40000 35000 Market NRx 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Test Market Control Market Note: cl = Confidence level; if cl >= 90% the program impact is significant, cl=80-90% is directional, else it is non-significant. Analysis conducted : ANCOVA. Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 17
  • 18. Product X NRx Share Comparison During the nine month test/post-test period, Product X NRx share decreased to a greater extent among Control physicians than Test physicians, resulting in a statistically significant difference in share change of +0.4 share points (cl=97.71%). 0.3 point 0.6 point decrease decrease 25.3% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2% 25.1% Product X NRx Share 25.0% 24.9% 24.9% 24.8% 24.7% 24.6% 24.5% 24.5% 24.4% 24.3% 24.2% Test Group Control Group Pre-Test Test/Post-Test Note: Analysis conducted : Z-test. Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 18
  • 19. Product X Physician Penetration Report Physician penetration decreased to a lesser extent among Test than Control, resulting in a net increase of 0.7 points. The results are not statistically significant (cl=34.98%). 0.8 point 1.4 point decrease 90.0% decrease 89.8% 89.8% 89.5% MD Penetration 89.1% 89.0% 88.5% 88.4% 88.0% 87.5% Test Group Control Group Pre-Test Test/Post-Test Note: Physician Penetration is defined as the ratio of MDs writing / MDs in program. Analysis conducted : Z-test Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 19
  • 20. Comparison of the Impact of KidCARE TV on Physicians by Specialty Specialists n = 1,548 All Other Specialties n = 283 Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 20
  • 21. Participants Breakout by Specialty Physician Specialty % of Total Count Specialists 1,548 85% All Others 283 15% Total 1,831 100% Physician % of Total Physicians All Other Specialties Count with Patients Enrolled Specialty C 117 41% Specialty D 39 14% Specialty E 14 5% All Others (individual specialties 113 40% comprising of less than 7%) Total 283 100% Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 21
  • 22. Product X NRx Volume Comparison by Specialty Test Specialists prescribed 2.5% (cl=80.80%) more Product X NRx compared to Control physicians, as All Other Test physicians prescribed 8.7% (cl=87.00%) more NRx. These changes in prescribing behavior are directional. 12000 10000 Product X NRx 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 Specialists Test Product X Specialists Control Product X All Others Test Product X All Others Control Product X Note: cl = Confidence level; if cl >= 90% the program impact is significant, cl=80-90% is directional, else it is non-significant. Analysis conducted : ANCOVA. Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 22
  • 23. Competitor NRx Volume Comparison by Specialty Test Specialists prescribed 1.5% (cl=72.70%) more Competitor NRx compared to Control physicians, as All Other Test physicians prescribed 2.2% (cl=49.33%) fewer Competitor NRx. However, these changes in prescribing behavior are not statistically significant. 35000 30000 25000 Competitor NRx 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Specialists Test Competitor Specialtists Control Competitor Competitor All Others Test Competitor All Others Control Competitor Note: cl = Confidence level; if cl >= 90% the program impact is significant, cl=80-90% is directional, else it is non-significant. Analysis conducted : ANCOVA. Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 23
  • 24. Market NRx Volume Comparison by Specialty Test Specialists prescribed 1.8% (cl=83.25%) more Market NRx compared to Control physicians, as All Other Test physicians prescribed 0.3% (cl=6.98%) fewer Market NRx. Specialist changes in prescribing behavior are directional, All Others are not statistically significant. 45000 40000 35000 30000 Market NRx 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Specialists Test Market Specialists Control Market All Others Test Market All Others Control Market Note: cl = Confidence level; if cl >= 90% the program impact is significant, cl=80-90% is directional, else it is non-significant. Analysis conducted : ANCOVA. Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 24
  • 25. Product X NRx Share Comparison by Specialty The program increased Product X NRx share among All Others with statistical significance. Specialists increased share to a lesser extent, and without statistical significance. Specialists All Others A non-significant net increase among A significant net increase among Test Test of 0.2 share points (cl=75.75%) of 1.6 share points (cl=99.97%) 30% 25.7% 25.4% 25.9% 25.3% 25% Specialists NRx Share 20.3% 20.7% 20% 19.0% 17.7% 15% 10% 5% 0% Test Group Control Group Test Group Control Group Pre-Test Test/Post-Test Note: Analysis conducted : Z-test. Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 25
  • 26. Physician Penetration Comparison by Specialty Physician penetration increased among All Others to a greater extent than among Specialists. However, results are not statistically significant. Specialists All Others A non-significant net increase of 0.4 A non-significant net increase of 2.1 points (cl=26.29%) points (cl=28.49%) 100% 94.9% 94.4% 94.9% 94.0% 90% 80% % Physician Penetration 70% 62.2% 60.1% 62.2% 58.0% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Test Group Control Group Test Group Control Group Pre-Test Test/Post-Test Note: Physician Penetration is defined as the ratio of MDs writing / MDs in program. Analysis conducted : Z-test Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 26
  • 27. ROI Analysis – Methodology • Calculate Average Product TRx (average retail price for a Step I prescription) = TRx sales/ 9 month study period (for ) is $148.30 (source: IMS NPA Plus – TRx retail price) • Calculate Revenue Associated with Test Physicians = Step II Projected Product X TRx x Average Product Price 350,703 x $148.30 = $52,008,378 • Calculate Revenue Associated with Control Physicians = Projected Product X TRx for Control Physicians* x Average Step III Product Price 340,488 x $148.30 = $50,493,519 • Incremental Revenue due to the program = Revenue Associated with Test Physicians – Revenue Associated with Step IV Control Physicians $52,008,378 - $50,493,519 = $1,514,859 • Return on Investment = Incremental Revenue from program/ Step V Cost of the program $1,514,859/$236,460 = 6.4:1 or $1,278,399 Note: Projected Product TRx for Control physicians calculated using Index of Adjusted Means (1.03) from ANCOVA, which means Test physicians wrote 3.0% more NRx than Control physicians during a 9 month post-test period. Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011
  • 28. Agenda • Objective • Research Methodology • Methodology Assumptions • Study Results • Conclusions Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 28
  • 29. Conclusions • The KidCARE TV promotion for Product X was successful at increasing Product X NRx volume and share with statistical significance. During the latter months of the post-test period, Test group appears to be outperforming the Control group as evidenced by the separation in trend lines. The program also retained writers as indicated by the positive result for physician penetration, however results are not statistically significant. − Among the specialties, Specialists increased Product X NRx directionally, with a non-significant increase in share. All Others showed a directional increase in NRx volume, with a significant increase in share. − Both specialty groups showed non-significant increases in physician penetration. Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 29
  • 30. Conclusions • The KidCARE TV promotion for was successful at increasing Product X NRx volume and share with statistical significance. During the latter months of the post-test period, Test group appears to be outperforming the Control group as evidenced by the separation in trend lines. The program also retained writers as indicated by the positive result for physician penetration, however results are not statistically significant. − Among the specialties, Specialists increased NRx directionally, with a non-significant increase in share. All Others showed a directional increase in NRx volume, with a significant increase in share. − Both specialty groups showed non-significant increases in physician penetration. Promo.Return CARE Media Holdings KidCARE TV Final Report • February 2011 30