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Charleston-Trident
Housing Market Annual Report

A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY
THE CHARLESTON-TRIDENT ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Charleston-Trident
Housing Market Annual Report
A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE CHARLESTON-TRIDENT ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®




A      s the first decade of the 21st century limps into the history
books, it’s time to look back and take stock. When the dust
                                                                                     Prices After cresting in 2007 at $208,000, the 2010
                                                                                     median sales price of $188,200 was 3.1 percent above the
settled in the wake of the housing bubble collapse, we collectively                  2009 median price. This represents the first annual price
discovered Sir Isaac Newton was correct – for every action there                     gain in three years. From peak to valley, prices reset
is an equal and opposite reaction. While it’s his third law of                       downward only 12.3 percent to hit bottom in 2009. That's a
motion, it might as well be the first law of housing market                          relatively shallow downturn compared to other regions.
incentives. The moment the first-time home buyer tax credit                          Those measuring market vitality by median sales price
evaporated, there was no stimulus to anchor housing demand.                          should be aware of its inputs. Higher volumes of
The credit shifted the typical summer and fall buying season into                    distressed sales will exert downward pressure on prices;
spring, creating a textbook case of “displaced demand”.                              so will oversupply issues as measured by absorption rates
                                                                                     above six months. The product mix effect also plays a key
Persistent economic headwinds and a sluggish labor market                            role; younger buyers were looking for bargain-priced
couldn’t drive population growth and new household formations.                       homes with mortgages commensurate with rent. This
Most first-time home buyers bought during the 2009 or 2010                           means more homes are selling at lower price points than
credit periods and consumer confidence wasn’t sufficient to                          has historically been the case. Lastly, a stronger labor
motivate enough move-up buyers to stabilize demand. Despite                          market drives new household formations, encourages
2010 being one of the most tumultuous years since the 2007                           move-up buyers and entices renters into ownership
recession, the worst is likely behind us. If 2010 could be                           positions. 2011 should come with another moderate price
described in five phrases, they would be: tax credit, no tax credit,                 boost to surpass the $190 000 mark
                                                                                                            $190,000 mark.
historically low mortgage rates, record-high affordability and a
sloth-like economic recovery.                                                        For qualified buyers, now is still an ideal time to purchase
                                                                                     a home – perhaps even more so than during the tax credit
Listings There were 18,930 new homes introduced to the                               period. Low prices, low interest rates, high supply and
marketplace in 2010, down a modest 1.5 percent from 2009                             strong negotiating leverage have combined to create one
levels. Sellers can expect some additional challenges in early                       of the most attractive buying environments in generations.
2011, particularly if they are in an area with a high share of                       In its entirety, 2010 shed light on some of the persistent
properties that are in financial distress. These attractive                          challenges to a full housing market recovery, but leading
alternatives will continue to lure buyers who are shopping in the                    indicators suggest reason for optimism in the latter half of
areas where they’re most prevalent. Buyers are looking for quality                   2011. With 2010 a fading mirage off our stern, smoother
and value. Sellers facing plenty of competition will have to offer                   waters lie ahead.
one or the other, but likely both. Highly motivated sellers will have
to seriously evaluate their pricing strategy first and foremost                      Here's to a prosperous 2011.
before considering other concessions in order to charm buyers.
For 2011, anticipate listing activity to pick up slightly as hesitant
sellers re-enter the market.
                                                                                     Table of Contents

Closings Sales volumes appear to have reached their trough in                              3     Quick Facts
2009. The 8,692 closings in 2010 were up 4.4 percent from 2009.                            5     Property Type Review
From peak to valley, unit sales constricted by nearly 50.0 percent.
Don’t expect a magical resurgence in purchase activity without                             6     New Construction Review
greater household financial security and consumer confidence.                              7     Area Overviews
That will accompany an improving jobs situation. Purchase
demand is still regenerating after being shifted forward into the
                                                                                           8     Area Historical Prices
first half of 2010. In 2011, sales should exceed 2008, 2009 and
                                                                                    Click on desired metric to jump to that page.
2010 levels.




                                                              ©2011. All data from the Charleston-Trident Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 2
2010 Annual Report on the Charleston-Trident Housing Market


Quick Facts
 New Listings                                                                                Closed Sales
     27,952         26,955                                                                      16,402

                                   21,665                                                                        12,771
                                                    18,901            18,728
                                                                                                                                    8,913                              8,649
                                                                                                                                                     8,224




                     -3.6%         -19.6%             -12.8%          -0.9%                                      -22.1%            -30.2%            -7.7%             +5.2%



      2006           2007           2008              2009            2010                       2006             2007              2008             2009              2010

Top 5 Areas: Change in New Listings from 2009                                               Top 5 Areas: Change in Home Sales from 2009
Upper Mount Pleasant                                              + 12.9%                   Folly Beach                                                              + 89.1%
Folly Beach                                                       + 8.6%                    Upper Charleston Peninsula                                               + 52.9%
Hanahan                                                           + 8.5%                    Daniel Island                                                            + 51.4%
St. George/Rural Dorchester County                                + 6.9%                    Isle of Palms                                                            + 30.2%
Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area                                    + 6.5%                    Kiawah and Seabrook Islands                                              + 30.1%

Bottom 5 Areas: Change in New Listings from 2009                                            Bottom 5 Areas: Change in Home Sales from 2009
Daniel Island                                                      - 2.1%                   West Ashley Area                                                           - 4.6%
Dorchester Road Corridor                                          - 13.4%                   St. George/Rural Dorchester County                                         - 7.7%
Lower Mount Pleasant                                              - 14.1%                   Hanahan                                                                    - 8.1%
Downtown Charleston                                               - 15.8%                   Dorchester Road Corridor                                                  - 19.6%
Kiawah and Seabrook Islands                                       - 15.9%                   Rural Berkeley County                                                     - 24.5%


 Median Sales Price                                                                          Average Sales Price
                                                                                               $293,409         $299,081          $294,485
   $204,000       $208,490                                                                                                                                           $266,106
                                 $200,395                                                                                                          $253,228
                                                  $183,440         $188,979




                   + 2.2%          - 3.9%          - 8.5%            + 3.0%                                       +1.9%             -1.5%            -13.7%            +4.7%



     2006           2007           2008             2009             2010                        2006             2007              2008             2009              2010

Top 5 Areas: Change in Median Sales Price from 2009                                         Top 5 Areas: Change in Average Sales Price from 2009
Sullivan’s Island                                                 + 44.2%                   Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area                                           + 22.0%
Kiawah and Seabrook Islands                                       + 28.1%                   Kiawah and Seabrook Islands                                              + 22.0%
Daniel Island                                                     + 16.4%                   Wando/Cainhoy Area                                                       + 16.9%
Wando/Cainhoy Area                                                + 14.7%                   Daniel Island                                                            + 12.6%
Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area                                    + 13.6%                   James Island                                                             + 7.8%

Bottom 5 Areas: Change in Median Sales Price from 2009                                      Bottom 5 Areas: Change in Average Sales Price from 2009
Johns Island                                                       - 5.0%                   Downtown Charleston                                                        - 8.9%
Edisto Area                                                        - 5.7%                   Edisto Area                                                                - 8.9%
Dorchester Road Corridor                                           - 6.0%                   Isle of Palms                                                              - 9.8%
Folly Beach                                                       - 14.6%                   Rural Berkeley County                                                     - 11.0%
Rural Berkeley County                                             - 24.1%                   Folly Beach                                                               - 13.9%

                                      ©2011. All data from the Charleston-Trident Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Table of Contents | 3
2010 Annual Report on the Charleston-Trident Housing Market


Quick Facts
 Days on Market Until Sale                                                                    Percent of Original Price Received
                                                      111                                        97.3%
                                     103                               107                                         95.1%
                                                                                                                                    92.8%
                                                                                                                                                      90.4%            90.6%
                      79


       52




                    +51.4%          +30.3%           +8.7%            -4.8%                                        - 2.2%           - 2.5%            - 2.6%            +1.9%



     2006            2007           2008             2009             2010                        2006             2007              2008             2009              2010

Top 5 Areas: Shortest Days on Market Until Sale in 2010                                      Top 5 Areas: Percent Of Original Price Received in 2010
Isle of Palms                                                          77                    GooseCreek/Monck’s Corner Area                                             94.1%
Edisto Area                                                            83                    Dorchester Road Corridor                                                   94.0%
Kiawah and Seabrook Islands                                            89                    Hanahan                                                                    92.7%
Sullivan’s Island                                                      97                    Johns Island                                                               92.0%
Downtown Charleston                                                    98                    West Ashley Area                                                           91.8%

Bottom 5 Areas: Longest Days on Market Until Sale in 2010                                    Bottom 5 Areas: Percent Of Original Price Received in 2010
Greater Summerville Area                                              196                    Folly Beach                                                                80.4%
Wando/Cainhoy Area                                                    201                    Edisto Area                                                                79.2%
GooseCreek/Monck’s Corner Area                                        202                    Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area                                             79.0%
Hanahan
H    h                                                                208                    Isle of Palms
                                                                                             I l fP l                                                                   77.6%
                                                                                                                                                                        77 6%
Dorchester Road Corridor                                              226                    Sullivan’s Island                                                          77.1%


 Months Supply at Year End                                                                    Homes for Sale at Year End
                                     14.4
                                                      13.3                                                        10,389            10,267
                                                                                                                                                      9,442
                                                                                                  8,843
                                                                       10.9                                                                                             8,214
                      10.2


       6.9




                    +48.1%          +41.8%           -7.7%            -18.5%                                      +17.5%             -1.2%            -8.0%             -13.0%



     2006            2007           2008             2009             2010                        2006             2007              2008             2009              2010

Top 5 Areas: Shortest Months Supply at Year End                                              Top 5 Areas: Change in Homes for Sale from 2009
Dorchester Road Corridor                                              6.9                    Upper Mount Pleasant                                                     + 11.7%
GooseCreek/Monck’s Corner Area                                        6.9                    West Ashley Area                                                         + 6.9%
Lower Mount Pleasant                                                  7.6                    Hanahan                                                                  + 6.6%
Greater Summerville Area                                              8.5                    St. George/Rural Dorchester County                                       + 1.5%
Hanahan                                                               8.9                    Greater Summerville Area                                                  - 6.0%

Bottom 5 Areas: Longest Months Supply at Year End                                            Bottom 5 Areas: Change in Homes for Sale from 2009
St. George/Rural Dorchester County                                    21.2                   Wando/Cainhoy Area                                                        - 21.8%
Downtown Charleston                                                   25.9                   Dorchester Road Corridor                                                  - 23.3%
Isle of Palms                                                         26.4                   Folly Beach                                                               - 23.8%
Edisto Area                                                           30.2                   Daniel Island                                                             - 27.0%
Kiawah and Seabrook Islands                                           31.8                   Lower Mount Pleasant                                                      - 38.5%


                                       ©2011. All data from the Charleston-Trident Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Table of Contents | 4
2010 Annual Report on the Charleston-Trident Housing Market


Property Type Review
             106                                          146                                  Areas: Condo Market Share
 Days on Market Until Sale                        Days on Market Until Sale                    Folly Beach                                                                       51.2%
      Single-Family                                       Condo                                Downtown Charleston                                                               50.3%
                                                                                               Daniel Island                                                                     42.3%
                                                                                               Isle of Palms                                                                     36.8%
 Days on Market Until Sale                                                                     Kiawah and Seabrook Islands                                                       34.3%
                                                     Single-Family               Condo         Wando/Cainhoy Area                                                                32.8%
170                                                                                            Lower Mount Pleasant                                                              27.7%
                                                                                               James Island                                                                      27.6%
160
                                                                                               Edisto Area                                                                       27.5%
150
                                                                                               Upper Charleston Peninsula                                                        25.3%
                                                                                               Upper Mount Pleasant                                                              23.3%
140                                                                                            West Ashley Area                                                                  22.1%
130
                                                                                               Greater North Charleston                                                          21.9%
                                                                                               Johns Island                                                                      17.7%
120                                                                                            Dorchester Road Corridor                                                          12.2%
                                                                                               Hanahan                                                                           11.7%
110
                                                                                               Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area                                                    10.6%
100                                                                                            Greater Summerville Area                                                           7.8%
                                                                                               Sullivan’s Island                                                                  7.5%
90
                                                                                               GooseCreek/Monck’s Corner Area                                                     7.0%
80                                                                                             Rural Berkeley County                                                              0.8%
  1-2008        7-2008        1-2009     7-2009         1-2010          7-2010                 St. George/Rural Dorchester County                                                 0.7%




      + 2.8%                                        - 0.7%                                                  9.9                                               15.0
 One-Year Change In Price                         One-Year Change In Price                         Year End Months Supply                             Year End Months Supply
      Single-Family                                       Condo                                         Single-Family                                         Condo



Median Sales Price (in thousands)                                                              Year End Months Supply
                                              2006     2007      2008    2009     2010                                                          2006    2007    2008    2009     2010


      $211   $215                                                                                                                                              21.3    21.0
                    $206
                                  $195
                           $190              $183     $185    $181


                                                                        $150    $149                                                                                           15.0
                                                                                                                                                       14.3
                                                                                                                  13.0
                                                                                                                         11.7
                                                                                                                                 9.9
                                                                                                           9.1                                  9.2

                                                                                                    6.2




         Single-Family                                   Condo                                            Single-Family                                   Condo


                                         ©2011. All data from the Charleston-Trident Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Table of Contents | 5
2010 Annual Report on the Charleston-Trident Housing Market


New Construction Review

  Sep '07                                                      -1,823                                    Areas: New Construction Market Share
                                                                                                         Wando/Cainhoy Area                                                               47.6%
   Peak in Homes for Sale                                Drop in Inventory from Peak                     Daniel Island                                                                    44.4%
    New Construction                                         New Construction                            Hanahan                                                                          43.5%
                                                                                                         Dorchester Road Corridor                                                         42.4%
                                                                                                         Johns Island                                                                     41.9%
New Construction Homes for Sale                                                                          GooseCreek/Monck’s Corner Area                                                   39.4%
3,500                                                                                                    Greater Summerville Area                                                         36.6%
                                                                                                         Upper Mount Pleasant                                                             32.1%
                                                                                                         Greater North Charleston                                                         32.0%
3,000                                                                                                    Sullivan’s Island                                                                31.2%
                                                                                                         Rural Berkeley County                                                            30.0%
                                                                                                         West Ashley Area                                                                 28.9%
2,500
                                                                                                         Lower Mount Pleasant                                                             26.6%
                                                                                                         Folly Beach                                                                      25.7%
                                                                                                         Isle of Palms                                                                    24.6%
2,000
                                                                                                         Kiawah and Seabrook Islands                                                      23.9%
                                                                                                         Downtown Charleston                                                              23.8%
                                                                                                         James Island                                                                     23.7%
1,500
                                                                                                         Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area                                                   23.5%
                                                                                                         Upper Charleston Peninsula                                                       19.1%
1,000                                                                                                    Edisto Area                                                                      11.7%
    1-2006           1-2007               1-2008               1-2009            1-2010                  St. George/Rural Dorchester County                                                7.6%




              6.7                                                   12.2                                       96.0%                                               88.6%
  Year End Months Supply                                   Year End Months Supply                          Pct. Of Orig. Price Received                       Pct. Of Orig. Price Received
    New Construction                                         Previously Owned                                   New Construction                                   Previously Owned



Year End Months Supply                                                                                   Percent of Original Price Received
                                                        2006      2007    2008     2009     2010                                           New Construction            Previously Owned
                                                                                                       102%


                                                                         16.9                          100%

                                                                                 15.1
                                                                                                        98%

                                                                                          12.2
                                                                                                        96%
                                                                 11.2
                    10.2
                              9.1                                                                       94%
              8.5
        7.3
                                    6.7                  6.8                                            92%


                                                                                                        90%


                                                                                                        88%


                                                                                                        86%

                                                                                                            1-2006         1-2007          1-2008         1-2009         1-2010
        New Construction                                Previously Owned

                                                   ©2011. All data from the Charleston-Trident Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Table of Contents | 6
2010 Annual Report on the Charleston-Trident Housing Market


Area Overviews
                                                                                                                                             Days on          Percent of
                                                              Total              Change          Percent New             Percent
                                                                                                                                             Market          Original Price
                                                              Sales            from 2009         Construction             Condo
                                                                                                                                            Until Sale         Received


 All MLS     Charleston-Trident Region                         8,649              + 5.2%              31.6%               19.3%                 107               90.6%

   BER       Berkeley County                                   2,096              + 5.1%              39.9%               10.7%                 91                92.8%

   CH        Charleston County                                 4,557             + 12.9%              27.9%               27.0%                 120               88.6%

    82       Colleton County                                    175              + 10.1%               6.2%                1.3%                 134               88.2%

   DOR       Dorchester County                                 1,771             - 10.5%              37.4%                8.9%                 84                93.2%

    77       Daniel Island                                      209              + 51.4%              44.4%               42.3%                 149               88.7%

    61       Dorchester Road Corridor                           628              - 19.6%              42.4%               12.2%                 78                93.9%

    51       Downtown Charleston                                247              + 25.4%              23.8%               50.3%                 212               82.4%

  26-28      Edisto Area                                         69               - 2.8%              11.7%               27.5%                 216               83.3%

    22       Folly Beach                                        104              + 89.1%              25.7%               51.2%                 155               82.6%

 72-74, 76   GooseCreek/Monck’s Corner Area                    1,486              + 4.6%              39.4%                7.0%                 83                93.7%

  31-32      Greater North Charleston                           749              + 10.1%              32.0%               21.9%                 95                89.7%

  62-63      Greater Summerville Area                          1,107              - 4.5%              36.6%                7.8%                 87                93.2%

    71       Hanahan                                            203               - 8.1%              43.5%               11.7%                 67                93.3%

    13       Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area                      75              + 13.6%              23.5%               10.6%                 136               85.3%

  44-45      Isle of Palms                                      168              + 30.2%              24.6%               36.8%                 176               80.4%

    21       James Island                                       502              + 13.8%              23.7%               27.6%                 110               88.3%

    23       Johns Island                                       172               + 1.8%              41.9%               17.7%                 98                89.4%

    25       Kiawah and Seabrook Islands                        121              + 30.1%              23.9%               34.3%                 236               82.0%

    42       Lower Mount Pleasant                               923              + 20.7%              26.6%               27.7%                 118               89.6%

    75       Rural Berkeley County                               71              - 24.5%              30.0%                0.8%                 124               84.3%

    64       St. George/Rural Dorchester County                  36               - 7.7%               7.6%                0.7%                 127               83.8%

    43       Sullivan’s Island                                   23               + 4.5%              31.2%                7.5%                 162               83.4%

    52       Upper Charleston Peninsula                         133              + 52.9%              19.1%               25.3%                 122               87.2%

    41       Upper Mount Pleasant                               440               + 9.7%              32.1%               23.3%                 121               91.0%

    78       Wando/Cainhoy Area                                 127               + 3.3%              47.6%               32.8%                 109               93.0%

  11-12      West Ashley Area                                   852               - 4.6%              28.9%               22.1%                 91                91.3%




                                 ©2011. All data from the Charleston-Trident Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Table of Contents | 7
2010 Annual Report on the Charleston-Trident Housing Market


Area Historical Prices
                                                                                                                                                 Change    Change
                                                               2006            2007             2008             2009             2010
                                                                                                                                               From 2009 From 2006



 All MLS     Charleston-Trident Region                      $204,000         $208,490         $200,395         $183,440         $188,979          + 3.0%           - 7.4%

   BER       Berkeley County                                $173,850         $180,000         $171,909         $164,243         $166,000          + 1.1%           - 4.5%

   CH        Charleston County                              $239,900         $248,412         $255,000         $227,651         $236,000          + 3.7%           - 1.6%

    82       Colleton County                                 $99,000          $99,500          $95,110          $92,850          $89,950          - 3.1%           - 9.1%

   DOR       Dorchester County                              $185,000         $194,535         $179,990         $162,000         $159,656          - 1.4%          - 13.7%

    77       Daniel Island                                  $569,000         $430,523         $441,400         $406,000         $472,500         + 16.4%          - 17.0%

    61       Dorchester Road Corridor                       $192,244         $199,718         $178,894         $165,000         $155,160          - 6.0%          - 19.3%

    51       Downtown Charleston                            $625,000         $562,500         $550,000         $520,000         $560,000          + 7.7%          - 10.4%

  26-28      Edisto Area                                    $570,000         $500,000         $450,000         $350,000         $330,000          - 5.7%          - 42.1%

    22       Folly Beach                                    $606,000         $620,000         $480,000         $410,000         $350,000          - 14.6%         - 42.2%

 72-74, 76   GooseCreek/Monck’s Corner Area                 $164,330         $168,335         $159,945         $156,021         $152,000          - 2.6%           - 7.5%

  31-32      Greater North Charleston                       $131,900         $149,995         $155,000         $134,900         $128,500          - 4.7%           - 2.6%

  62-63      Greater Summerville Area                       $181,465         $192,500         $181,003         $160,000         $162,833          + 1.8%          - 10.3%

    71       Hanahan                                        $190,649         $200,272         $205,000         $185,000         $192,093          + 3.8%           + 0.8%

    13       Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area                 $289,000         $237,450         $199,900         $220,000         $250,000         + 13.6%          - 13.5%

  44-45      Isle of Palms                                  $990,500        $1,150,000        $855,900         $650,000         $634,750          - 2.3%          - 35.9%

    21       James Island                                   $232,500         $262,000         $247,200         $206,500         $220,000          + 6.5%           - 5.4%

    23       Johns Island                                   $236,547         $219,500         $219,816         $228,381         $217,000          - 5.0%           - 8.3%

    25       Kiawah and Seabrook Islands                    $580,000         $669,000         $695,000         $439,000         $562,500         + 28.1%           - 3.0%

    42       Lower Mount Pleasant                           $306,753         $370,000         $347,000         $315,000         $325,000          + 3.2%           + 5.9%

    75       Rural Berkeley County                          $157,394         $172,000         $155,750         $106,500          $80,800          - 24.1%         - 48.7%

    64       St. George/Rural Dorchester County             $105,000         $140,000          $83,000         $102,500         $110,000          + 7.3%           + 4.8%

    43       Sullivan’s Island                             $2,045,000       $1,925,000       $1,437,500       $1,000,600       $1,442,500        + 44.2%          - 29.5%

    52       Upper Charleston Peninsula                     $295,000         $260,000         $249,500         $222,150         $217,000          - 2.3%          - 26.4%

    41       Upper Mount Pleasant                           $330,418         $308,500         $300,000         $290,000         $295,000          + 1.7%          - 10.7%

    78       Wando/Cainhoy Area                             $218,480         $259,000         $217,900         $194,000         $222,500         + 14.7%           + 1.8%

  11-12      West Ashley Area                               $209,900         $213,980         $212,875         $200,887         $200,000          - 0.4%           - 4.7%




                                 ©2011. All data from the Charleston-Trident Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Table of Contents | 8

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Charleston Residential Market 2010 Year in Review

  • 1. Charleston-Trident Housing Market Annual Report A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE CHARLESTON-TRIDENT ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 2. Charleston-Trident Housing Market Annual Report A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE CHARLESTON-TRIDENT ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® A s the first decade of the 21st century limps into the history books, it’s time to look back and take stock. When the dust Prices After cresting in 2007 at $208,000, the 2010 median sales price of $188,200 was 3.1 percent above the settled in the wake of the housing bubble collapse, we collectively 2009 median price. This represents the first annual price discovered Sir Isaac Newton was correct – for every action there gain in three years. From peak to valley, prices reset is an equal and opposite reaction. While it’s his third law of downward only 12.3 percent to hit bottom in 2009. That's a motion, it might as well be the first law of housing market relatively shallow downturn compared to other regions. incentives. The moment the first-time home buyer tax credit Those measuring market vitality by median sales price evaporated, there was no stimulus to anchor housing demand. should be aware of its inputs. Higher volumes of The credit shifted the typical summer and fall buying season into distressed sales will exert downward pressure on prices; spring, creating a textbook case of “displaced demand”. so will oversupply issues as measured by absorption rates above six months. The product mix effect also plays a key Persistent economic headwinds and a sluggish labor market role; younger buyers were looking for bargain-priced couldn’t drive population growth and new household formations. homes with mortgages commensurate with rent. This Most first-time home buyers bought during the 2009 or 2010 means more homes are selling at lower price points than credit periods and consumer confidence wasn’t sufficient to has historically been the case. Lastly, a stronger labor motivate enough move-up buyers to stabilize demand. Despite market drives new household formations, encourages 2010 being one of the most tumultuous years since the 2007 move-up buyers and entices renters into ownership recession, the worst is likely behind us. If 2010 could be positions. 2011 should come with another moderate price described in five phrases, they would be: tax credit, no tax credit, boost to surpass the $190 000 mark $190,000 mark. historically low mortgage rates, record-high affordability and a sloth-like economic recovery. For qualified buyers, now is still an ideal time to purchase a home – perhaps even more so than during the tax credit Listings There were 18,930 new homes introduced to the period. Low prices, low interest rates, high supply and marketplace in 2010, down a modest 1.5 percent from 2009 strong negotiating leverage have combined to create one levels. Sellers can expect some additional challenges in early of the most attractive buying environments in generations. 2011, particularly if they are in an area with a high share of In its entirety, 2010 shed light on some of the persistent properties that are in financial distress. These attractive challenges to a full housing market recovery, but leading alternatives will continue to lure buyers who are shopping in the indicators suggest reason for optimism in the latter half of areas where they’re most prevalent. Buyers are looking for quality 2011. With 2010 a fading mirage off our stern, smoother and value. Sellers facing plenty of competition will have to offer waters lie ahead. one or the other, but likely both. Highly motivated sellers will have to seriously evaluate their pricing strategy first and foremost Here's to a prosperous 2011. before considering other concessions in order to charm buyers. For 2011, anticipate listing activity to pick up slightly as hesitant sellers re-enter the market. Table of Contents Closings Sales volumes appear to have reached their trough in 3 Quick Facts 2009. The 8,692 closings in 2010 were up 4.4 percent from 2009. 5 Property Type Review From peak to valley, unit sales constricted by nearly 50.0 percent. Don’t expect a magical resurgence in purchase activity without 6 New Construction Review greater household financial security and consumer confidence. 7 Area Overviews That will accompany an improving jobs situation. Purchase demand is still regenerating after being shifted forward into the 8 Area Historical Prices first half of 2010. In 2011, sales should exceed 2008, 2009 and Click on desired metric to jump to that page. 2010 levels. ©2011. All data from the Charleston-Trident Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 2
  • 3. 2010 Annual Report on the Charleston-Trident Housing Market Quick Facts New Listings Closed Sales 27,952 26,955 16,402 21,665 12,771 18,901 18,728 8,913 8,649 8,224 -3.6% -19.6% -12.8% -0.9% -22.1% -30.2% -7.7% +5.2% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Top 5 Areas: Change in New Listings from 2009 Top 5 Areas: Change in Home Sales from 2009 Upper Mount Pleasant + 12.9% Folly Beach + 89.1% Folly Beach + 8.6% Upper Charleston Peninsula + 52.9% Hanahan + 8.5% Daniel Island + 51.4% St. George/Rural Dorchester County + 6.9% Isle of Palms + 30.2% Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area + 6.5% Kiawah and Seabrook Islands + 30.1% Bottom 5 Areas: Change in New Listings from 2009 Bottom 5 Areas: Change in Home Sales from 2009 Daniel Island - 2.1% West Ashley Area - 4.6% Dorchester Road Corridor - 13.4% St. George/Rural Dorchester County - 7.7% Lower Mount Pleasant - 14.1% Hanahan - 8.1% Downtown Charleston - 15.8% Dorchester Road Corridor - 19.6% Kiawah and Seabrook Islands - 15.9% Rural Berkeley County - 24.5% Median Sales Price Average Sales Price $293,409 $299,081 $294,485 $204,000 $208,490 $266,106 $200,395 $253,228 $183,440 $188,979 + 2.2% - 3.9% - 8.5% + 3.0% +1.9% -1.5% -13.7% +4.7% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Top 5 Areas: Change in Median Sales Price from 2009 Top 5 Areas: Change in Average Sales Price from 2009 Sullivan’s Island + 44.2% Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area + 22.0% Kiawah and Seabrook Islands + 28.1% Kiawah and Seabrook Islands + 22.0% Daniel Island + 16.4% Wando/Cainhoy Area + 16.9% Wando/Cainhoy Area + 14.7% Daniel Island + 12.6% Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area + 13.6% James Island + 7.8% Bottom 5 Areas: Change in Median Sales Price from 2009 Bottom 5 Areas: Change in Average Sales Price from 2009 Johns Island - 5.0% Downtown Charleston - 8.9% Edisto Area - 5.7% Edisto Area - 8.9% Dorchester Road Corridor - 6.0% Isle of Palms - 9.8% Folly Beach - 14.6% Rural Berkeley County - 11.0% Rural Berkeley County - 24.1% Folly Beach - 13.9% ©2011. All data from the Charleston-Trident Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Table of Contents | 3
  • 4. 2010 Annual Report on the Charleston-Trident Housing Market Quick Facts Days on Market Until Sale Percent of Original Price Received 111 97.3% 103 107 95.1% 92.8% 90.4% 90.6% 79 52 +51.4% +30.3% +8.7% -4.8% - 2.2% - 2.5% - 2.6% +1.9% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Top 5 Areas: Shortest Days on Market Until Sale in 2010 Top 5 Areas: Percent Of Original Price Received in 2010 Isle of Palms 77 GooseCreek/Monck’s Corner Area 94.1% Edisto Area 83 Dorchester Road Corridor 94.0% Kiawah and Seabrook Islands 89 Hanahan 92.7% Sullivan’s Island 97 Johns Island 92.0% Downtown Charleston 98 West Ashley Area 91.8% Bottom 5 Areas: Longest Days on Market Until Sale in 2010 Bottom 5 Areas: Percent Of Original Price Received in 2010 Greater Summerville Area 196 Folly Beach 80.4% Wando/Cainhoy Area 201 Edisto Area 79.2% GooseCreek/Monck’s Corner Area 202 Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area 79.0% Hanahan H h 208 Isle of Palms I l fP l 77.6% 77 6% Dorchester Road Corridor 226 Sullivan’s Island 77.1% Months Supply at Year End Homes for Sale at Year End 14.4 13.3 10,389 10,267 9,442 8,843 10.9 8,214 10.2 6.9 +48.1% +41.8% -7.7% -18.5% +17.5% -1.2% -8.0% -13.0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Top 5 Areas: Shortest Months Supply at Year End Top 5 Areas: Change in Homes for Sale from 2009 Dorchester Road Corridor 6.9 Upper Mount Pleasant + 11.7% GooseCreek/Monck’s Corner Area 6.9 West Ashley Area + 6.9% Lower Mount Pleasant 7.6 Hanahan + 6.6% Greater Summerville Area 8.5 St. George/Rural Dorchester County + 1.5% Hanahan 8.9 Greater Summerville Area - 6.0% Bottom 5 Areas: Longest Months Supply at Year End Bottom 5 Areas: Change in Homes for Sale from 2009 St. George/Rural Dorchester County 21.2 Wando/Cainhoy Area - 21.8% Downtown Charleston 25.9 Dorchester Road Corridor - 23.3% Isle of Palms 26.4 Folly Beach - 23.8% Edisto Area 30.2 Daniel Island - 27.0% Kiawah and Seabrook Islands 31.8 Lower Mount Pleasant - 38.5% ©2011. All data from the Charleston-Trident Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Table of Contents | 4
  • 5. 2010 Annual Report on the Charleston-Trident Housing Market Property Type Review 106 146 Areas: Condo Market Share Days on Market Until Sale Days on Market Until Sale Folly Beach 51.2% Single-Family Condo Downtown Charleston 50.3% Daniel Island 42.3% Isle of Palms 36.8% Days on Market Until Sale Kiawah and Seabrook Islands 34.3% Single-Family Condo Wando/Cainhoy Area 32.8% 170 Lower Mount Pleasant 27.7% James Island 27.6% 160 Edisto Area 27.5% 150 Upper Charleston Peninsula 25.3% Upper Mount Pleasant 23.3% 140 West Ashley Area 22.1% 130 Greater North Charleston 21.9% Johns Island 17.7% 120 Dorchester Road Corridor 12.2% Hanahan 11.7% 110 Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area 10.6% 100 Greater Summerville Area 7.8% Sullivan’s Island 7.5% 90 GooseCreek/Monck’s Corner Area 7.0% 80 Rural Berkeley County 0.8% 1-2008 7-2008 1-2009 7-2009 1-2010 7-2010 St. George/Rural Dorchester County 0.7% + 2.8% - 0.7% 9.9 15.0 One-Year Change In Price One-Year Change In Price Year End Months Supply Year End Months Supply Single-Family Condo Single-Family Condo Median Sales Price (in thousands) Year End Months Supply 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 $211 $215 21.3 21.0 $206 $195 $190 $183 $185 $181 $150 $149 15.0 14.3 13.0 11.7 9.9 9.1 9.2 6.2 Single-Family Condo Single-Family Condo ©2011. All data from the Charleston-Trident Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Table of Contents | 5
  • 6. 2010 Annual Report on the Charleston-Trident Housing Market New Construction Review Sep '07 -1,823 Areas: New Construction Market Share Wando/Cainhoy Area 47.6% Peak in Homes for Sale Drop in Inventory from Peak Daniel Island 44.4% New Construction New Construction Hanahan 43.5% Dorchester Road Corridor 42.4% Johns Island 41.9% New Construction Homes for Sale GooseCreek/Monck’s Corner Area 39.4% 3,500 Greater Summerville Area 36.6% Upper Mount Pleasant 32.1% Greater North Charleston 32.0% 3,000 Sullivan’s Island 31.2% Rural Berkeley County 30.0% West Ashley Area 28.9% 2,500 Lower Mount Pleasant 26.6% Folly Beach 25.7% Isle of Palms 24.6% 2,000 Kiawah and Seabrook Islands 23.9% Downtown Charleston 23.8% James Island 23.7% 1,500 Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area 23.5% Upper Charleston Peninsula 19.1% 1,000 Edisto Area 11.7% 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 St. George/Rural Dorchester County 7.6% 6.7 12.2 96.0% 88.6% Year End Months Supply Year End Months Supply Pct. Of Orig. Price Received Pct. Of Orig. Price Received New Construction Previously Owned New Construction Previously Owned Year End Months Supply Percent of Original Price Received 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 New Construction Previously Owned 102% 16.9 100% 15.1 98% 12.2 96% 11.2 10.2 9.1 94% 8.5 7.3 6.7 6.8 92% 90% 88% 86% 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 New Construction Previously Owned ©2011. All data from the Charleston-Trident Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Table of Contents | 6
  • 7. 2010 Annual Report on the Charleston-Trident Housing Market Area Overviews Days on Percent of Total Change Percent New Percent Market Original Price Sales from 2009 Construction Condo Until Sale Received All MLS Charleston-Trident Region 8,649 + 5.2% 31.6% 19.3% 107 90.6% BER Berkeley County 2,096 + 5.1% 39.9% 10.7% 91 92.8% CH Charleston County 4,557 + 12.9% 27.9% 27.0% 120 88.6% 82 Colleton County 175 + 10.1% 6.2% 1.3% 134 88.2% DOR Dorchester County 1,771 - 10.5% 37.4% 8.9% 84 93.2% 77 Daniel Island 209 + 51.4% 44.4% 42.3% 149 88.7% 61 Dorchester Road Corridor 628 - 19.6% 42.4% 12.2% 78 93.9% 51 Downtown Charleston 247 + 25.4% 23.8% 50.3% 212 82.4% 26-28 Edisto Area 69 - 2.8% 11.7% 27.5% 216 83.3% 22 Folly Beach 104 + 89.1% 25.7% 51.2% 155 82.6% 72-74, 76 GooseCreek/Monck’s Corner Area 1,486 + 4.6% 39.4% 7.0% 83 93.7% 31-32 Greater North Charleston 749 + 10.1% 32.0% 21.9% 95 89.7% 62-63 Greater Summerville Area 1,107 - 4.5% 36.6% 7.8% 87 93.2% 71 Hanahan 203 - 8.1% 43.5% 11.7% 67 93.3% 13 Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area 75 + 13.6% 23.5% 10.6% 136 85.3% 44-45 Isle of Palms 168 + 30.2% 24.6% 36.8% 176 80.4% 21 James Island 502 + 13.8% 23.7% 27.6% 110 88.3% 23 Johns Island 172 + 1.8% 41.9% 17.7% 98 89.4% 25 Kiawah and Seabrook Islands 121 + 30.1% 23.9% 34.3% 236 82.0% 42 Lower Mount Pleasant 923 + 20.7% 26.6% 27.7% 118 89.6% 75 Rural Berkeley County 71 - 24.5% 30.0% 0.8% 124 84.3% 64 St. George/Rural Dorchester County 36 - 7.7% 7.6% 0.7% 127 83.8% 43 Sullivan’s Island 23 + 4.5% 31.2% 7.5% 162 83.4% 52 Upper Charleston Peninsula 133 + 52.9% 19.1% 25.3% 122 87.2% 41 Upper Mount Pleasant 440 + 9.7% 32.1% 23.3% 121 91.0% 78 Wando/Cainhoy Area 127 + 3.3% 47.6% 32.8% 109 93.0% 11-12 West Ashley Area 852 - 4.6% 28.9% 22.1% 91 91.3% ©2011. All data from the Charleston-Trident Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Table of Contents | 7
  • 8. 2010 Annual Report on the Charleston-Trident Housing Market Area Historical Prices Change Change 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 From 2009 From 2006 All MLS Charleston-Trident Region $204,000 $208,490 $200,395 $183,440 $188,979 + 3.0% - 7.4% BER Berkeley County $173,850 $180,000 $171,909 $164,243 $166,000 + 1.1% - 4.5% CH Charleston County $239,900 $248,412 $255,000 $227,651 $236,000 + 3.7% - 1.6% 82 Colleton County $99,000 $99,500 $95,110 $92,850 $89,950 - 3.1% - 9.1% DOR Dorchester County $185,000 $194,535 $179,990 $162,000 $159,656 - 1.4% - 13.7% 77 Daniel Island $569,000 $430,523 $441,400 $406,000 $472,500 + 16.4% - 17.0% 61 Dorchester Road Corridor $192,244 $199,718 $178,894 $165,000 $155,160 - 6.0% - 19.3% 51 Downtown Charleston $625,000 $562,500 $550,000 $520,000 $560,000 + 7.7% - 10.4% 26-28 Edisto Area $570,000 $500,000 $450,000 $350,000 $330,000 - 5.7% - 42.1% 22 Folly Beach $606,000 $620,000 $480,000 $410,000 $350,000 - 14.6% - 42.2% 72-74, 76 GooseCreek/Monck’s Corner Area $164,330 $168,335 $159,945 $156,021 $152,000 - 2.6% - 7.5% 31-32 Greater North Charleston $131,900 $149,995 $155,000 $134,900 $128,500 - 4.7% - 2.6% 62-63 Greater Summerville Area $181,465 $192,500 $181,003 $160,000 $162,833 + 1.8% - 10.3% 71 Hanahan $190,649 $200,272 $205,000 $185,000 $192,093 + 3.8% + 0.8% 13 Hollywood/Ravenel/Meggett Area $289,000 $237,450 $199,900 $220,000 $250,000 + 13.6% - 13.5% 44-45 Isle of Palms $990,500 $1,150,000 $855,900 $650,000 $634,750 - 2.3% - 35.9% 21 James Island $232,500 $262,000 $247,200 $206,500 $220,000 + 6.5% - 5.4% 23 Johns Island $236,547 $219,500 $219,816 $228,381 $217,000 - 5.0% - 8.3% 25 Kiawah and Seabrook Islands $580,000 $669,000 $695,000 $439,000 $562,500 + 28.1% - 3.0% 42 Lower Mount Pleasant $306,753 $370,000 $347,000 $315,000 $325,000 + 3.2% + 5.9% 75 Rural Berkeley County $157,394 $172,000 $155,750 $106,500 $80,800 - 24.1% - 48.7% 64 St. George/Rural Dorchester County $105,000 $140,000 $83,000 $102,500 $110,000 + 7.3% + 4.8% 43 Sullivan’s Island $2,045,000 $1,925,000 $1,437,500 $1,000,600 $1,442,500 + 44.2% - 29.5% 52 Upper Charleston Peninsula $295,000 $260,000 $249,500 $222,150 $217,000 - 2.3% - 26.4% 41 Upper Mount Pleasant $330,418 $308,500 $300,000 $290,000 $295,000 + 1.7% - 10.7% 78 Wando/Cainhoy Area $218,480 $259,000 $217,900 $194,000 $222,500 + 14.7% + 1.8% 11-12 West Ashley Area $209,900 $213,980 $212,875 $200,887 $200,000 - 0.4% - 4.7% ©2011. All data from the Charleston-Trident Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Table of Contents | 8