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Asia’s Water Future ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Asia’s Future: Critical Thinking for a Changing Environment Bangkok, March 30-April 1, 2009
FOCUS OF PRESENTATION   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Source: Columbia University Asia: High Population Density  Indo-Gangetic Plains
ASIA:  High Incidence of Poverty
Water Scarcity 2000 1/3 of the world’s population live in basins that have to deal with water scarcity
Source: Calculated on the basis of FAO 2006 Population of countries facing water stress or scarcity (billions) Water stress is projected to accelerate in intensity in several regions
Irrigated area expansion leads to 2.6 billion people living in  water-scarce basins by 2050 Water-scarce basins in 2000 and 2050 Water-scarce basins in 2050 but not in 2000
Hunger Goal Indicator: Prevalence of undernourished in  developing countries,  percentage 2001/2002 (UNstat, 2005) Most hungry and poor people live where water challenges pose a constraint to food production
*Includes food and feed Source: Fraiture et. al., 2007 Food projections South Asia East Asia 2000 2050 % change 2000 2050 % change Wheat (mt) 96 205 114% 121 193 60% Maize (mt) 17 32 88% 184 341 85% Rice (mt) 113 202 79% 219 287 31% Total cereals*(mt 249 471 89% 529 935 77% Meat(mt) 8 32 300% 75 190 153% Milk(mlit) 114 382 235% 19 60 216%
[object Object],KEY QUESTION
DRIVERS OF WATER DEMAND ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Limits – reached or breached ,[object Object],[object Object]
Increasing groundwater usage is a water time bomb
Source: Tushaar Shah. 2009 Distribution of Groundwater Units in South  Asia
Limits – reached or breached ,[object Object],[object Object]
Rising Energy Costs Impact Water Use ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Climate Change Impacts ,[object Object]
[object Object],High Intensity Rainfall Floods Excessive Runoff Silted Rivers Increasing Flood Peaks Severe Erosion  Landslides ?
Reduced Stream flow Declining  Groundwater Level Insufficient Water for Irrigation Limiting Water Supply for Domestic & other Purposes  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],High Temp  & evaporation; Dry soils
Hotspots of Climatic Impacts and Vulnerabilities in Asia
Climate Change, Rural Vulnerabilities, and Migration   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Migration:   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What of the future? ,[object Object],[object Object],There are many adaptation measures that could be applied in many parts of Asia to minimize the impacts of climate change on water resources, several of which address the existing inefficiency in the use of water.
A Range of Ag Water Management Options Agenda 1 – Think differently about water
Agenda 2:  Water Storage Mitigates Climate Variability ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Agenda 3 – Reinvent irrigation
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Agenda 4 – Improve Water Productivity
Agenda 5 – Expand Policies to Upgrade Rainfed Agriculture ,[object Object],[object Object]
Agenda 6 Policy and Institutional reforms   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is needed  ? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CONCLUDING REMARKS  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank You

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ML Chan Presentation

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3. Source: Columbia University Asia: High Population Density Indo-Gangetic Plains
  • 4. ASIA: High Incidence of Poverty
  • 5. Water Scarcity 2000 1/3 of the world’s population live in basins that have to deal with water scarcity
  • 6. Source: Calculated on the basis of FAO 2006 Population of countries facing water stress or scarcity (billions) Water stress is projected to accelerate in intensity in several regions
  • 7. Irrigated area expansion leads to 2.6 billion people living in water-scarce basins by 2050 Water-scarce basins in 2000 and 2050 Water-scarce basins in 2050 but not in 2000
  • 8. Hunger Goal Indicator: Prevalence of undernourished in developing countries, percentage 2001/2002 (UNstat, 2005) Most hungry and poor people live where water challenges pose a constraint to food production
  • 9. *Includes food and feed Source: Fraiture et. al., 2007 Food projections South Asia East Asia 2000 2050 % change 2000 2050 % change Wheat (mt) 96 205 114% 121 193 60% Maize (mt) 17 32 88% 184 341 85% Rice (mt) 113 202 79% 219 287 31% Total cereals*(mt 249 471 89% 529 935 77% Meat(mt) 8 32 300% 75 190 153% Milk(mlit) 114 382 235% 19 60 216%
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Increasing groundwater usage is a water time bomb
  • 14. Source: Tushaar Shah. 2009 Distribution of Groundwater Units in South Asia
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. Hotspots of Climatic Impacts and Vulnerabilities in Asia
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. A Range of Ag Water Management Options Agenda 1 – Think differently about water
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.