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businessanalyticsinsights




                                               Brain trust
                                               Enabling the confident enterprise
                                               with business analytics




Informed decision making • Business analytics for industries and SMBs • Analytics applied to processes • Essentials to get started
Editor-in-Chief
Anna Brown
anna.brown@sas.com
Copy Editors
Amy Dyson
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Editorial Contributors
Kelly LeVoyer
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Design
Patrice Cherry
Circulation              Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA. All rights reserved. Limited copies may be made for internal staff use only. Credit must be
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                         owner. SAS and all other SAS Institute Inc. product or service names are registered trademarks or trademarks of SAS Institute Inc. in the USA and
Ellen Brandt             other countries. ® indicates USA registration. Other brand and product names are trademarks of their respective companies. 104447_S50296.0310


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Melody Fountain
Contents|P1
                                                                       www.sas.com/bareport




                             contents
                              2   The impact of business analytics on performance and profitability
                                  Jim Goodnight

                              4   Business analytics: helping you put an informed foot forward
                                  Jim Davis

                              8   How organizations make better decisions
                                  Thomas H. Davenport

                             12   Business analytics in action
                                  Gail Bamford, David Wallace, Mike Newkirk and Becca Goren

                             16   The art, act and science of knowing
                                  Thornton May

                             20   What business analytics means for small and medium businesses
                                  Matthew Mikell

                             23   Embedding analytics into processes
                                  Thomas Davenport, Jeanne Harris and Robert Morison

ACCESS THIS REPORT ONLINE:   27   8 essentials of business analytics
                                  Jim Davis
www.sas.com/bareport
                             30   The art of the possible: business analytics to
                                  measure corporate sustainability
                                  Alyssa Farrell
P2|Performance and Profitability
www.sas.com/baexchange




The impact of business analytics
on performance and profitability
By Jim Goodnight, CEO, SAS




                                   With the rising complexity of global busi-     For example, with the right analytics, re-
                                   ness, gut decisions and hunches no             tailers can predict how many red sweat-
                                   longer suffice. Successful responses to        ers they need in stock and how many
                                   threats and opportunities now depend on        smalls or larges they need based on local
                                   rapid and smart execution. Let me state        demographics. They can also determine
                                   it plainly: Business analytics is the key to   optimal prices for hundreds of thousands
                                   achieving these challenging objectives.        of products at multiple locations. Pricing
                                   Our world generated more data in 2009          used to be an art. Now, giant retailers can
                                   than in the previous recorded history of       zero in on the optimal price for all their
                                   mankind. A good deal of this data can          SKUs and stores. Banks can determine
                                   be converted into useful information and       the optimal amount of cash to keep in
                                   competitive advantage – by applying the        ATMs. Automakers can predict how
                                   right analytics.                               many spare parts they’ll need on hand –
                                                                                  and when.
                                   The answers are out there – in the data
                                   we capture and store.                          Harrah’s, a global casino operator, uses
                                                                                  analytics to optimize its marketing and
                                   Right now, that capture and storage            customer loyalty programs. Thanks
                                   is costing huge amounts of money.              largely to its use of analytics, Harrah’s
                                   Analytics converts those tremendous            ranks No. 1 in profits as a percentage
                                   costs into invaluable assets.                  of revenues and has increased its share
                                                                                  of wallet from 36 percent in 1998 to 45
                                   Far more than mere reporting or dash-
                                                                                  percent today.
                                   boards or scorecards, business analytics
                                   is a discipline that digs deeper into these
                                   vastly larger sets of data to uncover the
                                   most important insights. It can mean “so-
                                   cial network analysis” to study behaviors
                                   and relationships on multiple levels to
                                   uncover fraud. It can involve in-database
                                   analytics to optimize retail assortments
                                   or pricing. It can mean analyzing portfo-
                                   lios to manage risk positions.
Performance and Profitability|P3
                                                                                                          www.sas.com/baexchange




In the Philippines, the Bureau of Internal     Here’s my advice: Take the time to learn
Revenue used analytics to recoup $114          about analytics. Take the time to discover
million in unpaid value-added taxes, a         how analytics can provide an objective
400 percent ROI in the first year. In Swe-     view of your world, not only as it appears
den, they are using analytics to reduce        today but also how it’s likely to appear
the number of patients who die from clini-     tomorrow. I’m not talking about gazing
cal errors. In addition to reducing unnec-     into a crystal ball. I’m talking about the
essary deaths, they expect to save $10         capability of competitive organizations to
billion in health care costs at the national   develop and implement strategies today
level through their analytic efforts.          that are based on a careful analysis of
                                               their likely outcomes in the future.
1-800-FLOWERS.COM changes prices
and offerings on its Web site, sometimes       And here’s my crystal-ball view: The abil-
hourly, because it uses analytics. It also     ity to predict future business trends with
uses analytic software to target print and     reasonable accuracy will be one of the
online promotions with greater accuracy.       crucial competitive advantages of this
And it uses analytics to optimize its mar-     new decade. And you won’t be able to
keting, shipping, distribution and manu-       do that without analytics.
facturing operations. The result: a $50
million reduction in costs last year.


                                                    ONLINE
                                               Business Analytics Knowledge Exchange
                                               www.sas.com/baexchange




                                                                                            Jim Goodnight has been at SAS’ helm since the
                                                                                            company’s incorporation in 1976, overseeing an
                                                                                            unbroken chain of revenue growth – a feat almost
                                                                                            unheard of in the software industry.
P4|Face Forward with Business Analytics
www.sas.com/baexchange




Business analytics: helping you
put an informed foot forward
By Jim Davis



                                 Most companies today have plenty of          Why BI is not enough
                                 data. Creating intelligence and glean-       Business intelligence provides histori-
                                 ing real insight from this data is what      cal, metric-driven decision making –
                                 continues to elude organizations. De-        and answers questions like, how many
                                 spite years of talk about scorecards and     units did we sell, what did customers
                                 metrics, gut feelings and experience are     buy and for how much? BI is charac-
                                 often still the guides for making impor-     terized by the creation of simple rules
                                 tant, sometimes critical decisions, even     and alerts and the distribution of known
                                 though current research reveals a clear      facts to systems and people. These
                                 link between business performance and        decisions have a low transformational
                                 the use of business analytics.               impact on the business.

                                 So what exactly is business analytics        BI is still a highly valuable part of your
                                 and how can it help? Business analytics      overall business analytics environment,
                                 is, simply put, the application of ana-      however, offering an excellent general
                                 lytical techniques to resolve business       purpose backbone for ad hoc analysis
                                 issues. It provides organizations with a     and basic operational reporting.
                                 framework for decision making, helping
                                 organizations solve complex business         For example, BI can alert management
                                 problems, improve performance, drive         on how many credit card transactions
                                 sustainable growth through innovation,       were completed on a given day. It can
                                 anticipate and plan for change while         also develop a simple rule for automatic
                                 managing and balancing risk.                 reporting, like reporting on transactions
                                                                              greater than $10,000 to the regulators.
                                 It sounds like a lot, but if you break it
                                 down it’s all about enabling effective       From a more strategic decision perspec-
                                 decision making. Organizations make          tive, business analytics can help answer
                                 decisions every day, and these sit on a      questions such as what new products
                                 continuum from frequent, up to millions      should we offer and in what markets?
                                 per day to transformative, which occur       Or relative to the example, which credit
                                 less frequently but greatly impact orga-     card transactions are likely to be fraudu-
                                 nizational strategy. The need for agile      lent? Business analytics can predict this
                                 decision making has never been greater       with certainty and automatically deny
                                 but unfortunately, IT infrastructure, peo-   transactions – while reporting activities
                                 ple and processes are lagging behind.        in real time.
Face Forward with Business Analytics|P5
                                                                                                                       www.sas.com/baexchange




                                                                                                            A business analytics
                                                                                                            framework is not a
                                                                                                            monolithic and costly
                                                                                                            approach but rather
                                                                                                            provides for incremental
                                                                                                            growth to achieve
                                                                                                            strategic goals at any
                                                                                                            given stage of an
                                                                                                            organization’s value chain.



Business analytics allows organizations                        In this way, business analytics drives       In the following report, you’ll hear from
to “face forward,” bringing insight to                         innovation and improves an organiza-         several experts about how business
transformative decisions. It benefits all                      tion’s speed of response to market and       analytics can be applied to business
aspects of an organization’s value chain,                      environmental changes. In the credit card    problems across all types of organizations,
including:                                                     scenario, business analytics can not         industries and value chains. Perhaps
• Inbound logistics: receiving, storing,                       only discover the causal factors of fraud,   then it will become part of your plan to
  inventory control and transportation                         but also forecast accurately when it will    outthink and out-smart the competition.
  scheduling.                                                  occur again. The company can then
                                                               change business processes accordingly.
• Operations: including factors such as
  packaging, equipment maintenance,                            A step toward business analytics
  testing and all activities that add value                    Effective decision making requires
  from the raw material to final product.                      a business analytics framework that
• Outbound logistics: the activities re-                       incorporates the people, processes,
  quired to get the finished products to                       technology and culture of an organiza-
  market, including warehousing and                            tion. This common framework provides
  distribution management.                                     flexibility across the entire range of
                                                               analytical decision-making types from
• Marketing and sales: activities that                         highly managed operational analytics
  lead a buyer to purchase the product,                        (such as a setting a simple credit limit)
  including channel selection, advertis-                       to discovery-based analytics (such as
  ing, promotion, selling, pricing, retail                     credit fraud scenarios or setting dynamic
  management and shelf space optimi-                           credit limits).
  zation.
                                                               A business analytics framework is not
• Service: activities that maintain a                          a monolithic and costly approach,
  product’s value, including customer                          but rather provides for incremental
  support, repairs, installation, training,                    growth to achieve strategic goals at any
  spare parts management and more.                         1

                                                               given stage of an organization’s value
                                                               chain. It offers business-ready analytical        ONLINE
                                                               applications with underlying technolo-       Business Analytics Knowledge Exchange
                                                               gies for key services like data man-         www.sas.com/baexchange
1
    Porter, Michael E., Competitive Advantage : Creating
                                                               agement and quality, reporting and           Credit card fraud management
    and Sustaining Superior Performance. 1985.                 advanced analytics.                          www.sas.com/ba-cardfraud
P6|Face Forward with Business Analytics
www.sas.com/baexchange




                                    Six questions about your company’s information
                                    The modern organization is awash in information – yet, too often, it falls short of the
                                    tools, methods and expertise it needs to derive the greatest value from this untapped
                                    asset. Information about the most important facets of the business – customers, processes,
                                    employees, competitors and more – is gathered but not analyzed, reported but not
                                    understood, guessed about rather than acted upon. But not with business analytics.
                                    Ask these questions of your company and join aggressive competitors by being a smart
                                    organization.
                                    1. Where should we leverage business analytics? Focus business analytics where you
                                       already compete. The payoff is greatest where you are playing to your strength, not where
                                       you are playing catch-up.
                                    2. Why now? Because the technology is ready. Because competitors are likely exploring
                                       the possibilities of analytical competition, too. And because it’s always risky to delay
                                       capitalizing on a new business capability.
                                    3. What’s the payoff? Business analytics is all about anticipating the payoff in order to
                                       maximize it. The analytics initiative succeeds when the business capitalizes on an
                                       opportunity that analytics reveals.
                                    4. What information and technology do we need? Most companies don’t lack for sufficient
                                       data, but instead suffer from a lack of integration and a lack of quality. Without good data,
                                       you simply can’t do good analytics.
                                    5. What kind of people do we need? You need a variety of talented people: analytical
                                       professionals who design and refine analytical algorithms, and perform data mining;
                                       analytical semiprofessionals who do substantial amounts of modeling and analysis but
                                       are unlikely to develop sophisticated new algorithms or models; analytical amateurs who
                                       need to understand something of the analytical basis for operations and decisions; and
                                       the analytical manager who focuses the work of analytical professionals.
                                    6. What roles must senior executives play? Committed senior executives provide the passion
                                       and the resources to drive their organizations in an analytical direction. In virtually every
                                       successful firm, senior management sets an analytical strategy and continually pushes
                                       it forward.



                                         ONLINE
                                      www.sas.com/ba-sixquestions
Face Forward with Business Analytics|P7
                                                                                                       www.sas.com/baexchange




HSBC: fraud detection that exceeds
aggressive goals
With fraud levels surging around the
world, banks are facing greater regula-
tory scrutiny, as well as risks associated
with damaging publicity from fraud. The
ability to correctly make split-second
decisions on accepting credit card
transactions – before fraud occurs – is
more important than ever.

Using SAS Fraud Management, part of
           ®



the SAS Business Analytics Framework,
HSBC prevents, detects and manages
financial crimes by scoring and accept-
ing or rejecting millions of transactions a
day in real time – at the point of sale.

As a result, the global financial services
leader has achieved significantly lower
incidence of fraud across tens of mil-
lions of debit and credit card accounts.
“The proof is in our fraud numbers – our
detection rates and our false positives –
which continue to meet our aggres-
sive goals,” said Derek Wylde, Head of
Group Fraud Risk, Global Security and
Fraud Risk for HSBC.


   ONLINE
www.sas.com/ba-hsbc




                                              Jim Davis is Senior Vice President and
                                              Chief Marketing Officer for SAS.
P8|Better Decisions
www.sas.com/baexchange




How organizations make
better decisions
The following article is an edited excerpt of an article distributed by the
International Institute for Analytics.
By Thomas H. Davenport


                                                                  Relatively few businesses and organiza-
                                                                  tions have given full and proper attention
                                                                  to one of their most important activities:
                                                                  making decisions regarding key questions
                                                                  such as what strategies and business
                                                                  models to pursue, which products and
                                                                  services to offer, which customers to
                                                                  target, what prices to charge and what
                    Author and researcher Tom Davenport is the    employees to hire. Organizations with
         President’s Distinguished Professor at Babson College.   poor decision processes and tools
                                                                  eventually encounter poor outcomes,
       His newest book is Analytics at Work: Smarter Decisions,   and performance suffers.
         Better Results (with Jeanne Harris and Robert Morison,
                                                                  However, new analytics, decision auto-
                                  from Harvard Business Press).   mation tools and business intelligence
                                                                  systems make it possible to make better
                                                                  use of information in decisions. “Wisdom
                                                                  of crowds” approaches and technologies
                                                                  allow larger groups of people to partici-
                                                                  pate meaningfully in decision processes.
                                                                  Organizations cannot afford to ignore
                                                                  these new options if they wish to make
                                                                  the best possible decisions.

                                                                  Given both negative and positive incen-
                                                                  tives to get better, one might expect
                                                                  that organizations would attempt to
                                                                  improve their decisions — that they
                                                                  would prioritize them, examine their
                                                                  current level of effectiveness, investigate
                                                                  new options for making them better and
                                                                  implement some of those options. In
                                                                  my survey and analysis of dozens of
                                                                  corporations, I found that while they are,
                                                                  indeed, doing some of these things,
Better Decisions|P9
                                                                                                    www.sas.com/baexchange




                                               In a survey and analysis
                                               of dozens of corporations,
                                               Davenport found that very
                                               few organizations have
                                               undertaken systematic
                                               efforts to improve a variety
                                               of decisions.




very few organizations have undertaken         decision-oriented context from the start.
systematic efforts to improve a variety of     If a test between two alternative Web
decisions. In this excerpt I describe some     page designs is performed, it is gen-
of the more frequent approaches used to        erally assumed that a decision to adopt
intervene in decision processes.               the winning page will be made. Other
                                               analytical approaches may not have as
Analytics, testing and data                    clear a path to a decision.
Infrastructures predicated on analytics
and data were among the most                   A prerequisite of virtually any form of
common decision-making frameworks              analytics is high-quality data, so it is not
among the surveyed firms. Eighty-four          surprising that data-oriented responses
percent of respondents mentioned an            were also common. Sixty-six percent
analytical component in their decision         of respondents mentioned some issue
improvement efforts and 66 percent             involving data. The most common were:
mentioned efforts to improve data.
The range of analytical techniques             • Having difficulty in accessing data.
employed was quite broad. Scoring
                                               • Creating a common data architecture.
approaches based on statistical analyses
(usually some form of regression analy-        • Eliminating duplicate data.
sis) were common. Other approaches
included optimization, behavior-based          • Integrating “master data
customer targeting, statistical forecasting,     management.”
prediction of various phenomena and the
                                               • Achieving “one version of the truth”
use of text analytics.
                                                 in functional or process areas.              Not surprisingly, many
Systematic testing was one form of
                                               • Dealing with too much data.
                                                                                              organizations reported
analysis that was being used somewhat
                                                                                              that they needed to change
frequently by companies; 18 percent            • Gathering data from channel partners.
mentioned it specifically in interviews.                                                      business processes to
One key virtue is that it creates a            • Creating new metrics.                        make better decisions.
P10|Better Decisions
 www.sas.com/baexchange




Technology support – and overrides             Changes in business processes                  • An insurance company adopted
– for decisions                                Not surprisingly, many organizations             enterprise risk management.
Several firms surveyed mentioned spe-          reported that they needed to change
cific analytical software, testing software,   business processes to make better              • The Six Sigma approach to process
data warehouses and Web analytics/             decisions. Forty-three percent men-              quality and decision outcomes was
reporting software. Two other tech-            tioned process changes of some type.             implemented at a financial payments
nologies were mentioned frequently:            For instance, some described process             firm and a staffing firm.
specialized information display technolo-      changes around supply chain manage-
                                                                                              • A financial services firm uses the
gies and business rule engines.                ment in an IT firm, lease processing in
                                                                                                “net promoter score” for customer
                                               an auto financing firm, financial process-
Thirty-eight percent of companies in the                                                        satisfaction decisions.
                                               es in health insurance or new product
study mentioned some use of specialized        development processes. Several organi-         • An economic decision analysis
information displays such as scorecards        zations mentioned changes for decision-          approach, popularized and taught
and dashboards. These tools, typically         oriented processes made in the context           by Stanford’s Engineering School
found in the business intelligence             of Six Sigma programs.                           and the Strategic Decisions Group,
category, allow decision makers to see
                                                                                                is used by an oil company.
only the information that they need to         However, some decision-focused ana-
make a decision. Several firms mentioned       lysts noted that their original goal wasn’t    In addition, three responding organiza-
using specific display approaches not          necessarily to identify and implement          tions developed analytically focused
generally supported by conventional BI         process changes, and that they had to          decision processes that have been widely
tools, including the “A3” format for           work with other groups to accomplish           used in IT systems development, but are
displaying key issues in a particular          them. As one head of an analyst group          not widely known in the decision-making
business domain. Some companies are            at an IT firm commented, “We didn’t            or analytics literature. Sometimes called
using neuroscience principles to guide         initially have the franchise to do process     “agile methods” or “rapid prototyping,”
how information is presented and               improvement — our thing was analytics.         they involve the creation of a series of
digested. This may be a bellwether of          But it kept coming up on our projects. So      short-term deliverables, and frequent
future attempts to link information and        we eventually just made it a part of our       review of them by the client and stake-
decision making.                               standard approach.”                            holders for the decision. The organi-
                                                                                              zations that use this approach found
Another popular decision technology            Decision-oriented methods and tools
                                                                                              that it led to results that better fit the
involves using business rules to enable        Several organizations reported that
                                                                                              decision-makers’ requirements, and at
automated or semiautomated decision            one aspect of their decision processes
                                                                                              a faster pace.
processes — sometimes in conjunction           was an overarching, strategic manage-
with analytics (e.g., scoring-oriented         ment approach to guide all aspects of
applications). Many organizations em-          their efforts. Most of these initiatives are
ploy business rules but allow humans           well-known approaches to business
to override the recommended decisions          and management.
when appropriate.
Better Decisions|P11
                                                                                                          www.sas.com/baexchange




Conclusion
From my research, it’s clear that
organizations recognize the importance      Analytics improves
of improving decisions. Although the        decisions
survey was not a random sample,             Davenport’s research found the most
individuals in 90 percent of organiza-      common types of decisions improved by
tions surveyed identified some              analytics include:
attempt to improve decisions through        • Pricing decisions (consumer goods,
better processes. Second, organiza-           industrial goods, government contracts,
tions employ a variety of intervention        maintenance contracts, etc.).
types to improve decisions across
                                            • Decisions to target consumer segments
analytics, culture and leadership, and
                                              (by retailers, insurers, credit card firms).
data. The most successful organiza-
tions adopted multiple interventions        • Merchandising decisions (brands
                                              to buy, quantities and allocations).
at once to improve a decision.
                                            • Location decisions (for bank
As a result, analysts — previously            branches or where to service industrial
responsible for data gathering and            equipment).                                         ONLINE
analysis — are morphing into consultants    • Treatment protocols for health care.           Order it now – Analytics at Work: Smarter
who may be responsible for framing deci-                                                     Decisions, Better Results
                                            • Product development for                        http://www.analyticsatworkbook.com/
sions, process redesign, communication
                                              pharmaceutical firms.
and education programs, and change                                                           Read the full International Institute for
management — all in addition to the         • Student performance in educational
                                                                                             Analytics research
                                              organizations.                                 www.sas.com/ba-iia
traditional analysis functions.
                                            • Evaluating marketing approaches
                                                                                             Engage with analytic leaders
Organizations seeking to implement            (in both consumer and
                                                                                             and researchers
decision improvements should become           B2B environments).                             www.iianalytics.com
familiar with these common intervention     • Hiring decisions.
types and create ongoing capabilities to
                                            • Vehicle routing decisions.
deliver them.




                                           Analysts — previously responsible for data
                                           gathering and analysis — are morphing into
                                           consultants who may be responsible for framing
                                           decisions, process redesign, communication and
                                           education programs, and change management —
                                           all in addition to the traditional analysis functions.
P12|Business Analytics in Action
www.sas.com/baexchange




Business analytics in action
How are key industries deriving value from their business analytics implementations?
By Gail Bamford, David Wallace, Mike Newkirk and Becca Goren



                                   HEALTH CARE                                • Increased compliance on medication
                                   According to the World Health Organi-        reconciliation by more than 50 percent
                                   zation, global health spending totalled      in a nine-month period.
                                   more than US$4.1 trillion in 2007, with
                                   $639 as the total health expenditure       • Dramatically reduced the rate of hos-
                                   per person. That number will only grow       pital-acquired infections by measuring
                                   in ways that affect businesses and           where infections originated and what
                                   citizens.                                    admission conditions closely corre-
                                                                                lated with acquired infections.
                                   Despite these huge investments, health
                                   care quality is uneven and resistant to    • Improved government/industry ac-
                                   changes and improvements. How can            creditation/compliance by incorpo-
                                                                                rating national guidelines into key
                                   we enhance health care delivery while
                                                                                metrics.
                                   controlling those costs? It starts by
                                   carefully measuring and monitoring the     • Developed new methods for caring for
                                   quality of that care – a complex task        stroke patients while controlling costs.
                                   perfectly suited for business analyt-        By taking better care of these patients,
                                   ics. Here’s how some forward-thinking        the hospital expects fewer complica-
                                   health care institutions are delivering      tions, which will reduce costs.
                                   better quality of care more efficiently.
                                                                              Karolinska Institute
                                   Maine Medical Center                       The Karolinska Institute in Sweden
                                   Named to US News and World Report’s        needed a way to examine the effects
                                   “America’s Best Hospitals” list for        of drugs, other treatments and lifestyle
                                   orthopedics, heart care and gynecologic    factors on patients with rheumatoid ar-
                                   care, Maine Medical Center uses SAS        thritis. Using SAS Business Analytics,
                                   Business Analytics to understand key       the Institute has deployed a Web-based
                                   patient care metrics – and sustain a       patient self-help application and predic-
                                   quality-driven culture. The data-driven    tive modeling to determine which treat-
                                   approach has produced excellent results:   ments will be most effective for certain
                                                                              segments of RA patients.
Business Analytics in Action|P13
                                                                                                             www.sas.com/baexchange




BANKING                                       • Cleanse and integrate. Cleanse and
In a challenging economic and regula-           standardize third-party credit and
tory climate, bankers must be especially        customer data, enrich it (e.g., add
vigilant. Two key indicators of a bank’s        geocoding tags) and integrate it into
health are net charge-offs (NCOs) – the         a single data store.
value of loans written off as uncollect-
able – and nonperforming loans (NPLs)         • Analyze and score. Develop scoring
that are in default or delinquent more          models to analyze debtor-customer
than 90 days.                                   segment data against objectives, in-
                                                cluding “maximize profits” or “minimize
In the past two years in the US, bank           writeoffs” or against constraints, such       Optimizing collections
NCOs have soared by an average of               as loan types, outstanding balances or        A leading Australian financial institution
more than 350 percent across all insti-         days delinquent.                              previously relied on instinct when contact-
tutions, with institutions holding assets                                                     ing delinquent customers. Since introduc-
of $5 billion or less showing growth of       • Optimize and execute treatment                ing SAS for collections optimization, it has
almost 500 percent. NPLs as a percent-          strategies. Analytical models help            achieved a 300 percent ROI in less than six
age of average loan balances have risen         collections teams understand who is           months. A debt purchasing firm based in
more than 278 percent at US banks with          most likely to respond, which commu-          the UK uses SAS to predict debt portfolio
$1 billion or more in assets. How can fi-
                             1
                                                nication channels work best and how           performance. This enables the firm to
nancial institutions improve their collec-      much payment to expect.                       make quicker decisions on acquiring new
tions and protect their bottom line?                                                          debt portfolios at the right prices, collect
                                              Collections optimization driven by              more from each portfolio and grow rev-
Business analytics can provide the in-        business analytics delivers the results         enues by 50 percent annually.
sights that institutions need to reduce       that institutions need to improve their
both loan writeoffs and the cost of col-      profitability.
lections activities. First, models created
within a business analytics framework
can identify likely candidates for work-                                                      1
                                                                                                  Source: SNL Financial
outs and loan modifications. Second,
business analytics can optimize collec-
tions activities to improve the probability
of success and maximize self-treatment
among debtor segments. It starts with
three basic steps.
P14|Business Analytics in Action
www.sas.com/baexchange




                                                MANUFACTURING                                   such as point-of-sale (POS) data and
                                                From diapers to jet engines and almost          historical shipment data. Once that data
                                                everything in between, manufacturing            is aggregated, business analytics models
                                                expertise is a competitive differentiator for   and tools can accurately forecast the
                                                companies that follow optimal practices         demand for products by family, individual
                                                and methodologies to attack inefficiencies      SKU, geography, customer type, etc.
                                                and eliminate waste. Business analytics         With a clear and accurate demand
                                                is essential in these settings to improve       picture, manufacturers can properly
                                                production and sales planning, enhance          allocate raw materials across plants and
                                                the supply chain, reduce inventory,             regions – all optimized by distribution
                                                streamline logistics and much more.             channel – to create complete roll-ups in
 Meaningful ROI with                                                                            master planning schedules.
 Business Analytics                             For example, with demand forecasting,
 One SAS customer increased company             business analytics can be a key                 TELECOMMUNICATIONS
 profitability by accurately predicting prod-   contributor to a manufacturer’s success.        You’ve likely experienced it before – your
 uct demand and customer behavior – more        Better forecasts deliver ROI by:                cell phone loses service one too many
 than doubling its forecasting accuracy. It                                                     times, so you switch providers. Low
 found that for every 1 percent reduction in    • Reducing inventories.                         barriers to churning mean providers must
 forecast variance, it saved $200,000.                                                          vigilantly and carefully invest to maintain
                                                • Improving order fulfillment rates.            and increase their service quality and
 Another manufacturer improved two
 seemingly competing objectives. It simul-                                                      customer satisfaction rankings. After
                                                • Shortening cash-to-cash cycles.
 taneously reduced inventory by 20 percent,                                                     all, your satisfaction keeps them in
 eliminating millions of dollars of holding     Many manufacturers struggle with                business.
 costs, yet improved service levels, which      optimally managing and forecasting
 directly and positively affected customer                                                      Network managers typically receive error
                                                their raw materials requirements, work-
 satisfaction.                                                                                  reports and alarms after a network device
                                                in-process (WIP) inventory and finished
                                                                                                fails. The team addresses the stream of
                                                goods inventories. Without the right mix of
                                                                                                trouble tickets, but never gets insight into
                                                raw materials, production plans fall apart
                                                                                                underlying causes or trends for outages.
                                                and customer orders are delayed (or,
                                                                                                The result: long call-resolution times.
                                                worse, canceled). Missing WIP forecasts
                                                similarly leads to inefficient schedules        With business analytics and approaches
                                                and a crippling misallocation of finished       such as predictive fault analysis, network
                                                stocks – not having the right quantities of     managers can analyze performance
                                                the right goods at the right time and in        to pre-empt failures. They can analyze
                                                the right places. While the data is often       trouble tickets and optimize corrective
                                                available to prevent, identify and correct      services, shortening times you are
                                                these imbalances and inefficiencies, it         without coverage.
                                                is usually not integrated, analyzed and
                                                shared across the organization.                 Strong data management, including
                                                                                                data quality and reporting capabilities –
                                                Data management technologies can                all key underpinnings for business
                                                bring together islands of information           analytics – can help quickly identify
Business Analytics in Action|P15
                                                                                                               www.sas.com/baexchange


                  One large telco service provider used
                   SAS to identify emerging issues (an
                  average of two weeks prior to failure)
                  and double the percentage of tickets
                              resolved within 48 hours.


service and network issues. Business
analytics helps to:

• Identify and remove duplicate trouble
  tickets.

• Understand faults and performance on
  a macro level.

• Determine which services have the
  highest fault rates.

In addition to analyzing network
performance, predictive analytics
technologies can help evaluate
demand, faults and systems to improve
resource utilization and quality of service
(QoS). A telco provider can then identify     Gail Bamford is a SAS Global Industry Marketing
                                              Manager for Public Sector.
when and where network resources
                                              gail.bamford@sas.com
are deployed and quality/performance
variations over time.                         David Wallace is a SAS Global Industry Marketing
                                              Manager for Financial Services.
                                              david.m.wallace@sas.com
Business analytics allows network and
service managers to better understand         Mike Newkirk is a SAS Global Industry Marketing
                                              Manager for Manufacturing.
causes and impacts of failures. They can
                                              michael.newkirk@sas.com
prioritize and pre-empt outages, optimize
repairs and mitigate risk with answers to     Becca Goren is a SAS Global Industry
                                              Marketing Manager for Communications,
key questions:                                Media and Entertainment.
                                              becca.goren@sas.com
• How significant is each factor
  influencing network faults degradation?                                                              ONLINE
                                                                                                  Health care providers keep pace with change
• Which network faults are tied to a given                                                        www.sas.com/ba-healthcareprovider
  trouble ticket?                                                                                 The standard for clinical data analysis and reporting
                                                                                                  www.sas.com/ba-pharma
• Which faults are related and what are
  their impacts?                                                                                  Solutions for better risk management
                                                   ONLINE                                         www.sas.com/ba-banking
Armed with predictive fault analytics,        Get the full stories on:
a telco provider can limit the times you      Maine Medical Center                                Compete in manufacturing
                                              www.sas.com/ba-maine                                www.sas.com/ba-mfg
lose a signal and continually improve
overall service, allowing it to keep your     Karolinska Institute                                Invest wisely, communications service providers
business.                                     www.sas.com/ba-karolinska                           www.sas.com/ba-telco
P16|The New Know
www.sas.com/baexchange




The art, act and science of knowing
An excerpt from The New Know           1




By Thornton May




                                                                                The Internet makes self teaching — and
                                                                                lifelong learning — the rule rather than
                                                                                the exception. Historians ultimately will
                                                                                come to consensus on what to call the
                                                                                time period between the frenzy that was
                                                                                the dot-com bubble and the period be-
                                                                                fore society finally enters the data cloud.
                                                                                For want of a better phrase, I call the 20-
                                                                                year interregnum we currently inhabit
                                                                                (1995 – 2015) the Age of Little Informa-
                                                                                tion. I come to this label not because the
                                                                                age exhibits a lack of information. Quite
                                                                                the contrary, it is during this epoch that
                                                                                information — previously locked away
                                                                                in analog form — is becoming widely
                                                                                digitized. The New Know has changed
                                                                                our reality along 10 fundamental dimen-
                                                                                sions.
       Futurist Thornton May positions analysts as heroes                       New Know Reality #1:
        of the age we are about to enter in his new book,                       You will be expected to do
       The New Know: Innovation Powered by Analytics.                           something with information.

                                                                                All this newly digitized information has
                                                                                had, relatively speaking, little impact on
                                                                                behavior and little impact on organiza-
                                                                                tional outcomes. We are now exiting a
                                                                                historical moment of undermanaged and
                                                                                only occasionally acted-upon informa-
                                                                                tion to an environment requiring much
                                                                                more active, much more intense, much
                                                                                more aggressive information manage-
                                                                                ment. You as an executive will be held
                                                                                much more accountable for your data
                                                                                management behaviors. You will be
                                                                                expected to transform “data lead” into
                             1
                              Copyright 2009 by John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
                              All rights reserved. Reprinted with permission.
                                                                                “knowledge gold” via the expeditious
The New Know|P17
                                                                                          www.sas.com/baexchange




sensemaking leading to efficacious ac-        New Know Reality #3:
tion. In the Age of Little Information, we    You will have to know more
were data vegetarians. In the New Know        about knowing.
we will have to become information and
knowledge carnivores.                         One of the major changes defining the
                                              new competitive environment is the
New Know Reality #2:                          requirement to know more about know-
There really is more to know.                 ing, what experts sometimes refer to as
                                              metacognition. Society is about to
The New Know will be awash with               undergo a tectonic shift in how it thinks
data. Processing power doubles every          about thinking. Driving this cognitive
18 months. Storage capacity doubles           plate shifting are the RSS feeds, pod-
every 12 months. Bandwidth through-           casts, blogs, old-media headlines and
put doubles every nine months. There          evening news programs, which are
is more to know. Organizations are            increasingly filled with images and
having trouble keeping up — and, sadly,       instances of current-generation leaders
the fact that there are more facts arriving   being asked by dissatisfied next-
at a faster rate of speed is not even the     generation voters, customers and
tip of the cognitive iceberg. Like the “fog   shareholders: “What were you
of war,” info warriors speak of the “fog      thinking?” Looking beneath the surface,
of facts” (e.g., confusion about what         they are really asking: “How were you
information is to be believed, what infor-    thinking? Via what processes, using
mation sources are credible and what          what data and assisted by what tools did
version of reality is to be acted on). In a   you arrive at your course of action?”
world of multiple sources of information
and 24-hour decision making, the very         New Know Reality #4:
character of information is changing.         Brain science and decision
A “fact” is no longer a “fact.”               science are converging.

                                              Scientists do not know how the brain
                                              works — yet. But they are sneaking up
                                              on it. Readers may be surprised to learn
                                              that neuroscience has been around
                                              for over 100 years. Neuroscience has
                                              progressed to the point that we at least
                                              know what we do not know.
P18|The New Know
www.sas.com/baexchange




       Carly Fiorina, former
 CEO at Hewlett-Packard,
      believes that distilling
  truth from overwhelming
 amounts of information is       To some extent, it is a simple truism        New Know Reality #6:
the essence of leadership.       that the brain is involved with all things   Information management Is the
                                 that comprise our human existence.           essence of leadership.
                                 It follows, loosely, therefore, that
                                 understanding the brain will help us         Low-cost communications give rise to
                                 understand the human condition more          almost toxic levels of spin, hype and
                                 fully. The big news is that the brain pos-   empty rhetoric. Leaders are able to
                                 sesses innate qualities that influence       cut through all the noise. Does your
                                 individual experience and opinions.          organization filter its data? Carly Fiorina,
                                 There are things that can be known—          former CEO at Hewlett-Packard,
                                 that need to be known by executives          believes that distilling truth from over-
                                 seeking to maximize value from the           whelming amounts of information is the
                                 knowledge assets available to the            essence of leadership. She believes that
                                 enterprise.                                  all of us are overwhelmed with informa-
                                                                              tion, and what sets great leaders apart
                                 New Know Reality #5:                         is their ability to cut through the clutter
                                 The environment is changing                  and distinguish the truly important from
                                 our brain.                                   the merely interesting.

                                 The information flood should be viewed       New Know Reality #7:
                                 as a permanent macroenvironmental            A more connected world.
                                 change. Thinking in Darwinian terms,
                                 what adaptive pressures does this            One of the transformational elements
                                 environmental change place on us?            moving society to the New Know is
                                 “Daily exposure to high technology —         something analysts at Forrester Re-
                                 computers, smart phones, video games,        search call the “groundswell.” Josh
                                 search engines — stimulates brain cell       Bernoff, Vice President at Forrester,
                                 alteration and neurotransmitter release,     contends: “There’s so much information
                                 gradually strengthening new neural           flowing out of the groundswell, it’s like
                                 pathways in our brains while weaken-         watching a thousand television chan-
                                 ing old ones. Because of the current         nels at once. To make sense of it, you
                                 technological revolution, our brains are     need to apply some technology, boil-
                                 evolving right now — at a speed like         ing down the chatter to a manageable
                                 never before.”                               stream of insights.” The new scarce re-
                                                                              source in the next economy will be the
                                                                              human attention needed to make sense
                                                                              of information. The question is: How will
                                                                              we be able to keep up?
The New Know|P19
                                                                                                  www.sas.com/baexchange




New Know Reality #8:                            useful to know where it will step. Every
Math matters.                                   key process in your enterprise is locked
                                                in a room with an elephant — a critical
Mathematics is now so widely accept-            process, serving a critical customer.
ed as the arbiter of truth in the modern        Business analytics tells you where that
world that it has become the backbone           elephant will step.
of disciplines ranging from physics (of
course) to economics and sociology.             New Know Reality #10:                              If you are locked in a
Backing up a statement with mathemat-           Knowing can change the world.
ics gives it an aura of validity, even if the                                                room with an elephant, it
topic has to do with something as math-         If knowledge is power, then “knowl-            is useful to know where
                                                edge about power should be especially
ematically messy as human behavior.
                                                empowering,” says John Murrell, the
                                                                                                   it will step. Every key
However, many otherwise “normal” ex-            very-much-in-the-know editor of Good        process in your enterprise
ecutives have a pathological aversion           Morning Silicon Valley. For instance,          is locked in a room with
to math. This is not just unfortunate, it       using 15,000 meters, a subset of Na-
                                                                                               an elephant — a critical
is dysfunctional. Some intuition about          tional Grid Customers will be able to
numbers, counting and mathematical              access their energy — use information       process, serving a critical
ability is basic to almost all animals.         via the Internet, by a thermostat read-              customer. Business
People use math to make decisions               out, or through text messaging, and use       analytics tells you where
every day. “In an age where you need            the data to change their consumption
to be numerate to do almost anything            patterns. Program participants are ex-           that elephant will step.
(from building bridges to conquering            pected to save 5 percent, or about $70
disease), governments anxiously com-            a year, on their energy bills. Change ad-
pare their performance in mathematics           vocates from all fields of endeavor are
with that of competitor nations.”               excited about the possibility of putting
                                                new information in front of people in the
New Know Reality #9:                            hopes of changing behavior.
There are significant downsides to
not knowing.

Success requires materially expanding
what you know and adding precision
and efficiency to the processes (analyt-
ics) whereby you come to know. Here
is a metaphor to keep in mind as you
think about the New Know. If you are
locked in a room with an elephant, it is
P20|Business Analytics for SMBs
www.sas.com/baexchange




What business analytics means for
small and medium businesses
An interview with Matthew Mikell, SMB Global Product Marketing Manager



                                                When it comes to business analytics,        general constraints when listening to
                                                it sometimes seems like only major en-      organizations that are SMBs:
                                                terprises garner the spotlight. That’s
                                                somewhat understandable given the           1) Decision-making style
                                                complexity and scope of their analytical    Transitioning from gut instinct to fact-
 The Wine House discovers                       challenges and the nature of their high-    based framework can be difficult in part
 $400,000 in ‘lost’ inventory                   profile brands. But the fact is, far more   because the former approach has likely
                                                small to medium businesses (SMBs) are       served the successful SMB very well.
 Economic times may be tough, but Bill
                                                poised to implement business analytics      Most SMBs have Excel experts who
 Knight, owner and President of The Wine
 House, is toasting a 100 percent return on     solutions.                                  can generate some great static charts
 his investment in SAS. The first day its SAS                                               and graphs — and I wouldn’t ever want
                                                In the US, these companies have             to denigrate the value those reports
 application was live, the brick-and-mortar
                                                revenues of less than $500 million. In      provide. But there’s so much more val-
 and Internet retailer discovered 1,000
 items of wine that hadn’t moved in more        Europe, the SMB category comprises          ue that can be derived from in-depth
 than a year.                                   companies with a maximum of EUR 450         analyses. Once SMB executives get
                                                million (about US$611 million). While in    a real glimpse of the insights that are
 “We had a huge sale to blow it out, gener-     the Asia Pacific region, SMB often refers   lurking beneath the surface of their
 ating $400,000 in capital in one weekend,”     to both employee numbers and revenue,       transaction data, their willingness
 Knight said, “and just in time, because in     and range between 200 and 250               to adopt business analytics increases
 today’s economy, we’d be choking on that       employees and $200 million and $500
 inventory.”                                                                                pretty quickly.
                                                million in revenue. In many ways, these
 Using SAS, The Wine House has reduced          businesses are striving for the same        2) Cash flow
 its aged inventory by 40 percent. “Now I       goals to grow their business through
                                                                                            In addition to a shift in decision-mak-
 can get the answers I need and base de-        innovation, and need the same sophisti-
                                                                                            ing style, cash constraints can pose
 cisions on facts rather than gut intuition,”   cated functionality scaled appropriately
                                                                                            very real obstacles for an SMB that
 says Knight. “I’ve got less money tied up      to their processes. In this Q&A,
                                                                                            wants to mature in this area. Consid-
 in inventory, I know who our best custom-      Matthew Mikell, SAS Global Product
                                                                                            ering the business analytics frame-
 ers are, how to market to them and can         Marketing Manager, shares his perspec-
                                                                                            work helps improve margins, retain key
 monitor the effectiveness of our marketing.    tives on what business analytics means
 Our ROI with SAS has been well over 100                                                    customers and grow share of wallet in their
                                                to SMBs.
 percent in less than a year, so my return on                                               markets. However, the long-lasting
 investment has been fantastic.”                Q. What are some of the unique              return on investment far outweighs the
                                                challenges that SMBs face with              capital required to undergo the transition.

    ONLINE                                      respect to business analytics?
 www.sas.com/ba-winehouse
                                                A: SMBs primarily face the issue of
                                                scale. At SAS we have heard four
Business Analytics for SMBs|P21
                                                                                                                 www.sas.com/baexchange




                                                                                                       SMB executives – often
                                                                                                        owners or people with
                                                                                                       lengthy tenures – worry
                                                                                                         about letting go of the
                                                                                                          information flow and
                                                                                                        empowering people to
                                                                                                           make decisions that
                                                                                                      were previously reserved
                                                                                                                for executives.
3) IT resources and infrastructure            at a disadvantage. Internally, employees
More than 80 percent of SMBs with             need these tools to be productive. Oth-
about 100 employees have only four            erwise, it’s gut-based decisions, or cut-
dedicated IT staffers. They’re stretched      ting and pasting from multiple tools.
thin, and that can make it very difficult     The truth is what brought you to where
to expand the IT mandate beyond criti-        you are typically won’t take you to the
cal business operations into managing         next level. But it’s very difficult, cultur-
business analytics environments.              ally, to walk away from what’s made
4) Business analytics maturity                you successful. SMB executives – often
                                              owners or people with lengthy tenures –
SMBs must have an appreciation for            worry about letting go of the information
the level of skills required to meet over-    flow and empowering people to make
all strategic goals through business          decisions that were previously reserved
analytics. Research from Aberdeen             for executives.
Group suggests that SMBs without the
relevant skill sets are poorly positioned     Q What’s the best way for SMBs
to drive value from an analytical solu-       to tackle the adoption of business
tion. It reports that SMBs using some         analytics?
sort of analytical applications perform
at a higher level than their competitors      A: Of course, every company differs –
that do not.1                                 particularly at the SMB size. But we’ve
                                              found that there is a general approach to
The main SMB challenge for moving to          the adoption of business analytics. The
business analytics is the understanding       first step is to ensure you have sponsor-
of its impact on these four critical areas,   ship from company executives. Clearly
and building a capability that is cost-       lay out the business analytics benefits
effective and remains flexible and easy       and return to the management team.
to use.                                       This transparency is key at the SMB
                                              level as SMB executives are tradition-
Q. Why should SMBs adopt                      ally heavily involved in analyses, report-
business analytics?                           ing and the decision-making process.
                                              Make it clear how business analytics will
A: It essentially boils down to competi-
                                              resolve a compelling issue or attract and
tive pressures. SMBs need to continu-
                                              retain customers, for example.
ally innovate. If you’re an SMB that isn’t
constantly seeking to optimize every
possible aspect of the operation, you’re                                                       1
                                                                                                   Aberdeen Group, 2009, Beyond Spreadsheets:
                                                                                                   The Value of BI and Analytics.
P22|Business Analytics for SMBs
 www.sas.com/baexchange




The second strategy is to focus on a         Q. What’s the difference between               Q. Can you share some examples
particular business process or issue.        business analytics for large enter-            of how SMBs have been able to
Don’t introduce business analytics as        prises vs. SMBs?                               capitalize on business analytics?
a broad, unfocused utility for general
usage. This will occur naturally as you      A: In a nutshell, it’s about scale. Deploy-    A: Sure. We’ve worked with an energy-
solve more focused issues, building up       ment and support strategies will have a        trading company that enables staff to
confidence in fact-based decision mak-       different nature. What’s more interesting      predict what today’s electricity and
ing as a core competency. Some of the        to me, however, is the important com-          gas purchases will sell for months later
typical issues that we see being solved      monality: functionality. Business analyt-      when consumers buy. Business analytics
with business analytics include improv-      ics in SMBs is not about presenting a          supplies that intelligence to traders in a
ing customer data quality for improved       subset of functionality but rather surfac-     cleaner, faster and more accurate way.
marketing, invoicing or customer ser-        ing the right functionality for the problem
                                             at hand, and opening up to more as the         A collection agency uses SAS Business
vice, or improved product pricing and
                                             business requires it. Despite their size,      Analytics to analyze bad-debt portfolios
packaging analysis to drive a higher
                                             SMBs face similar challenges to make           before acquiring those assets. This is a
market share.
                                             better and more informed decisions to          quantum leap forward from its previous
Finally, don’t rest on your laurels. Capi-   continue innovating in their markets. It is    model, which was simply buying any
talize on your initial success to broaden    therefore essential to provide a rich set      debt assets for as little as possible and
deployment to other areas of the orga-       of features and a very high level of tech-     hoping to collect successfully.
nization. Those adoptions move faster        nology usability.
once you can point to a successful track                                                    A player in the secondary-ticket market
record in another area.                                                                     uses SAS to develop a deeper under-
                                                                                            standing of the needs of its thousands
                                                                                            of customers. By segmenting them and
                                                                                            catering to psychographics, the company
                                                                                            can optimize how frequently it contacts
                                                                                            the customers and improves loyalty.


                                                                                                 ONLINE
                                                                                            Software for SMBs
                                                                                            www.sas.com/ba-smb

Some of the typical issues
that we see being solved
with business analytics
include improving
customer data quality
for improved marketing,
invoicing or customer
service, or improved                                                                   Matthew Mikell leads Global Product Market-
product pricing and pack-                                                              ing for SMB markets and software-as-a-service
                                                                                       (SaaS) offerings at SAS, supporting strategic
aging analysis to drive a                                                              planning, messaging and product offerings
higher market share.                                                                   through direct and indirect channels.
Analytics at Work|P23
                                                                                                                       www.sas.com/baexchange




Embedding analytics into processes
In their latest book, Analytics at Work: Smarter Decisions, Better Results,
Thomas Davenport, Jeanne Harris and Robert Morison show how companies
apply analytics in their daily operations. This excerpt, ‘Embedded Analytics in Action,’
explores what to consider when infusing analytics into business processes.



                                                               We see examples of analytics at work          The solutions naturally demand very
                                                               within core processes in a variety of         sophisticated and industrialized ana-
                                                               business areas. Statistical analysis has      lytics: for capacity planning of aircraft
                                                               been a feature of supply chain and lo-        and truck fleets, for routing packages
                                                               gistics management for decades, start-        through its distribution network, and for
                                                               ing with the techniques of statistical        scheduling and routing delivery trucks.
                                                               process control (SPC) and total quality       For a company this steeped in analyti-
                                                               management (TQM).                             cal applications, the frontier is moving
                                                                                                             closer to real-time, dynamic adjustments.
                                                               Real-time analytics are helping guide         For example, UPS is experimenting with
                                                               call center workers in their interactions     algorithms to adjust the order of deliv-
                                                               with customers. And analytics are well        eries as conditions (e.g., road closures,
                                                               established in the engineering and sim-       extraordinary customer need) change.
                                                               ulation sides of product design.
                                                                                                             Making processes analytical
                                                               Among business support functions,             The effects of analytics on the opera-
                                                               analytics are essential to many facets        tions of a process can be profound,
                                                               of finance, common in the management          and over time you may want to reengi-
                                                               of technology operations, and rela-           neer the overall business process and
                                                               tively new to human resources (though         revamp its information systems to
                                                               of enormous potential there). In cor-         capitalize on the potential for analyt-
                                                               porate development, key decisions —           ics-based improvement. But you can
                                                               for example, regarding mergers and            start embedding analytics without a
                                                               acquisitions—may benefit greatly from         major overhaul. For processes that rely
                                                               analytics, but few companies take a           extensively on enterprise systems, it
                                                               process approach to such activities.          may be possible to simply start taking
                                                                                                             advantage of the analytical capabilities
                                                               Consider the example of UPS to whet
                                                                                                             that are already included in the soft-
                                                               your appetite for embedding analytics
                                                                                                             ware. However, many process analytics
                                                               in your core business processes. As a
                                                                                                             initiatives will require tools, techniques,
                                                               logistics company, UPS lives and
                                                                                                             and working relationships that are likely
                                                               breathes the “traveling salesman
                                                                                                             to be new and unfamiliar at first. We
                                                               problem”—how to reach a variable
                                                                                                             have found that implementing analytics-
Reprinted by permission of Harvard Business Press. Excerpted   series of destinations most efficiently
from Analytics at Work: Smarter Decisions, Better Results by
                                                                                                             enabled processes requires applying
                                                               with the right delivery capacity, and often
Thomas Davenport, Jeanne Harris and Robert Morison.                                                          four major perspectives.
 All rights reserved.                                          in designated time windows, every day.
P24|Analytics at Work
www.sas.com/baexchange




The effects of analytics    The first is process implementation.          Third is systems implementation. The
on the operations of a      Occasionally a business may create            analytical system must be incorporated
process can be profound,    a new analytically enabled process            into the set of systems and technolo-
and over time you may       or rebuild a process from scratch, but        gies supporting the business process.
                            most often you are adding capability to       In building these interfaces, it helps to
want to reengineer the      and altering an existing process. Espe-       employ process-oriented technologies,
overall business process    cially given the iterative nature of many     including capabilities of ERP systems,
... but you can start       analytical applications, it’s essential to    workflow and document management
                            measure baseline process performance          systems. And integrating and testing
embedding analytics         first and to run the enhanced process         the new systems and interfaces is criti-
without a major overhaul.   in parallel to the original (perhaps as a     cal given analytics’ reliance on a broad
                            pilot or test) in order to refine the new     range of quality data and the fact that
                            process and measure its performance           analytics-based decisions may dramat-
                            and value. In some cases, process             ically change process flow.
                            simulation can yield insights about how
                            the process might perform even before         Human implementation is the fourth
                            implementation.                               perspective. Often the greatest imple-
                                                                          mentation challenge, especially when
                            Next, organizations should consider           analytics is new to the process and the
                            model implementation. Much of the             people performing it, is on the human
                            distinctive work of process analytics         side. Only people can tell if an embed-
                            centers on designing, developing and          ded application is resulting in good
                            iteratively refining statistical algorithms   decisions, so be sure to involve them in
                            and descriptive or predictive models          developing, managing and monitor-
                            or rule-based systems. If you are go-         ing the assumptions and results of any
                            ing to industrialize important decision       embedded model. Another important
                            processes, it is important that the rules,    factor is developing the right mix of
                            assumptions and algorithms in your            automated and human decision making
                            model are correct. Analytical projects        and enabling process performers to
                            generally require different tools and         trust and use their new analytical infor-
                            development methodologies from                mation and sometimes tools.
                            those employed in more traditional sys-
                            tems development. And, of course, this
                            work is performed by business analysts
                            and programmers with special skills in
                            statistical methods and modeling.
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Business Analytics Insights

  • 1. businessanalyticsinsights Brain trust Enabling the confident enterprise with business analytics Informed decision making • Business analytics for industries and SMBs • Analytics applied to processes • Essentials to get started
  • 2. Editor-in-Chief Anna Brown anna.brown@sas.com Copy Editors Amy Dyson Trey Whittenton Chris Hoerter Editorial Contributors Kelly LeVoyer Greg Wood Anne Milley Michael Dowding Design Patrice Cherry Circulation Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA. All rights reserved. Limited copies may be made for internal staff use only. Credit must be given to the publisher. Otherwise, no part of this publication may be reproduced without prior written permission of the publisher and copyright owner. SAS and all other SAS Institute Inc. product or service names are registered trademarks or trademarks of SAS Institute Inc. in the USA and Ellen Brandt other countries. ® indicates USA registration. Other brand and product names are trademarks of their respective companies. 104447_S50296.0310 Production Melody Fountain
  • 3. Contents|P1 www.sas.com/bareport contents 2 The impact of business analytics on performance and profitability Jim Goodnight 4 Business analytics: helping you put an informed foot forward Jim Davis 8 How organizations make better decisions Thomas H. Davenport 12 Business analytics in action Gail Bamford, David Wallace, Mike Newkirk and Becca Goren 16 The art, act and science of knowing Thornton May 20 What business analytics means for small and medium businesses Matthew Mikell 23 Embedding analytics into processes Thomas Davenport, Jeanne Harris and Robert Morison ACCESS THIS REPORT ONLINE: 27 8 essentials of business analytics Jim Davis www.sas.com/bareport 30 The art of the possible: business analytics to measure corporate sustainability Alyssa Farrell
  • 4. P2|Performance and Profitability www.sas.com/baexchange The impact of business analytics on performance and profitability By Jim Goodnight, CEO, SAS With the rising complexity of global busi- For example, with the right analytics, re- ness, gut decisions and hunches no tailers can predict how many red sweat- longer suffice. Successful responses to ers they need in stock and how many threats and opportunities now depend on smalls or larges they need based on local rapid and smart execution. Let me state demographics. They can also determine it plainly: Business analytics is the key to optimal prices for hundreds of thousands achieving these challenging objectives. of products at multiple locations. Pricing Our world generated more data in 2009 used to be an art. Now, giant retailers can than in the previous recorded history of zero in on the optimal price for all their mankind. A good deal of this data can SKUs and stores. Banks can determine be converted into useful information and the optimal amount of cash to keep in competitive advantage – by applying the ATMs. Automakers can predict how right analytics. many spare parts they’ll need on hand – and when. The answers are out there – in the data we capture and store. Harrah’s, a global casino operator, uses analytics to optimize its marketing and Right now, that capture and storage customer loyalty programs. Thanks is costing huge amounts of money. largely to its use of analytics, Harrah’s Analytics converts those tremendous ranks No. 1 in profits as a percentage costs into invaluable assets. of revenues and has increased its share of wallet from 36 percent in 1998 to 45 Far more than mere reporting or dash- percent today. boards or scorecards, business analytics is a discipline that digs deeper into these vastly larger sets of data to uncover the most important insights. It can mean “so- cial network analysis” to study behaviors and relationships on multiple levels to uncover fraud. It can involve in-database analytics to optimize retail assortments or pricing. It can mean analyzing portfo- lios to manage risk positions.
  • 5. Performance and Profitability|P3 www.sas.com/baexchange In the Philippines, the Bureau of Internal Here’s my advice: Take the time to learn Revenue used analytics to recoup $114 about analytics. Take the time to discover million in unpaid value-added taxes, a how analytics can provide an objective 400 percent ROI in the first year. In Swe- view of your world, not only as it appears den, they are using analytics to reduce today but also how it’s likely to appear the number of patients who die from clini- tomorrow. I’m not talking about gazing cal errors. In addition to reducing unnec- into a crystal ball. I’m talking about the essary deaths, they expect to save $10 capability of competitive organizations to billion in health care costs at the national develop and implement strategies today level through their analytic efforts. that are based on a careful analysis of their likely outcomes in the future. 1-800-FLOWERS.COM changes prices and offerings on its Web site, sometimes And here’s my crystal-ball view: The abil- hourly, because it uses analytics. It also ity to predict future business trends with uses analytic software to target print and reasonable accuracy will be one of the online promotions with greater accuracy. crucial competitive advantages of this And it uses analytics to optimize its mar- new decade. And you won’t be able to keting, shipping, distribution and manu- do that without analytics. facturing operations. The result: a $50 million reduction in costs last year. ONLINE Business Analytics Knowledge Exchange www.sas.com/baexchange Jim Goodnight has been at SAS’ helm since the company’s incorporation in 1976, overseeing an unbroken chain of revenue growth – a feat almost unheard of in the software industry.
  • 6. P4|Face Forward with Business Analytics www.sas.com/baexchange Business analytics: helping you put an informed foot forward By Jim Davis Most companies today have plenty of Why BI is not enough data. Creating intelligence and glean- Business intelligence provides histori- ing real insight from this data is what cal, metric-driven decision making – continues to elude organizations. De- and answers questions like, how many spite years of talk about scorecards and units did we sell, what did customers metrics, gut feelings and experience are buy and for how much? BI is charac- often still the guides for making impor- terized by the creation of simple rules tant, sometimes critical decisions, even and alerts and the distribution of known though current research reveals a clear facts to systems and people. These link between business performance and decisions have a low transformational the use of business analytics. impact on the business. So what exactly is business analytics BI is still a highly valuable part of your and how can it help? Business analytics overall business analytics environment, is, simply put, the application of ana- however, offering an excellent general lytical techniques to resolve business purpose backbone for ad hoc analysis issues. It provides organizations with a and basic operational reporting. framework for decision making, helping organizations solve complex business For example, BI can alert management problems, improve performance, drive on how many credit card transactions sustainable growth through innovation, were completed on a given day. It can anticipate and plan for change while also develop a simple rule for automatic managing and balancing risk. reporting, like reporting on transactions greater than $10,000 to the regulators. It sounds like a lot, but if you break it down it’s all about enabling effective From a more strategic decision perspec- decision making. Organizations make tive, business analytics can help answer decisions every day, and these sit on a questions such as what new products continuum from frequent, up to millions should we offer and in what markets? per day to transformative, which occur Or relative to the example, which credit less frequently but greatly impact orga- card transactions are likely to be fraudu- nizational strategy. The need for agile lent? Business analytics can predict this decision making has never been greater with certainty and automatically deny but unfortunately, IT infrastructure, peo- transactions – while reporting activities ple and processes are lagging behind. in real time.
  • 7. Face Forward with Business Analytics|P5 www.sas.com/baexchange A business analytics framework is not a monolithic and costly approach but rather provides for incremental growth to achieve strategic goals at any given stage of an organization’s value chain. Business analytics allows organizations In this way, business analytics drives In the following report, you’ll hear from to “face forward,” bringing insight to innovation and improves an organiza- several experts about how business transformative decisions. It benefits all tion’s speed of response to market and analytics can be applied to business aspects of an organization’s value chain, environmental changes. In the credit card problems across all types of organizations, including: scenario, business analytics can not industries and value chains. Perhaps • Inbound logistics: receiving, storing, only discover the causal factors of fraud, then it will become part of your plan to inventory control and transportation but also forecast accurately when it will outthink and out-smart the competition. scheduling. occur again. The company can then change business processes accordingly. • Operations: including factors such as packaging, equipment maintenance, A step toward business analytics testing and all activities that add value Effective decision making requires from the raw material to final product. a business analytics framework that • Outbound logistics: the activities re- incorporates the people, processes, quired to get the finished products to technology and culture of an organiza- market, including warehousing and tion. This common framework provides distribution management. flexibility across the entire range of analytical decision-making types from • Marketing and sales: activities that highly managed operational analytics lead a buyer to purchase the product, (such as a setting a simple credit limit) including channel selection, advertis- to discovery-based analytics (such as ing, promotion, selling, pricing, retail credit fraud scenarios or setting dynamic management and shelf space optimi- credit limits). zation. A business analytics framework is not • Service: activities that maintain a a monolithic and costly approach, product’s value, including customer but rather provides for incremental support, repairs, installation, training, growth to achieve strategic goals at any spare parts management and more. 1 given stage of an organization’s value chain. It offers business-ready analytical ONLINE applications with underlying technolo- Business Analytics Knowledge Exchange gies for key services like data man- www.sas.com/baexchange 1 Porter, Michael E., Competitive Advantage : Creating agement and quality, reporting and Credit card fraud management and Sustaining Superior Performance. 1985. advanced analytics. www.sas.com/ba-cardfraud
  • 8. P6|Face Forward with Business Analytics www.sas.com/baexchange Six questions about your company’s information The modern organization is awash in information – yet, too often, it falls short of the tools, methods and expertise it needs to derive the greatest value from this untapped asset. Information about the most important facets of the business – customers, processes, employees, competitors and more – is gathered but not analyzed, reported but not understood, guessed about rather than acted upon. But not with business analytics. Ask these questions of your company and join aggressive competitors by being a smart organization. 1. Where should we leverage business analytics? Focus business analytics where you already compete. The payoff is greatest where you are playing to your strength, not where you are playing catch-up. 2. Why now? Because the technology is ready. Because competitors are likely exploring the possibilities of analytical competition, too. And because it’s always risky to delay capitalizing on a new business capability. 3. What’s the payoff? Business analytics is all about anticipating the payoff in order to maximize it. The analytics initiative succeeds when the business capitalizes on an opportunity that analytics reveals. 4. What information and technology do we need? Most companies don’t lack for sufficient data, but instead suffer from a lack of integration and a lack of quality. Without good data, you simply can’t do good analytics. 5. What kind of people do we need? You need a variety of talented people: analytical professionals who design and refine analytical algorithms, and perform data mining; analytical semiprofessionals who do substantial amounts of modeling and analysis but are unlikely to develop sophisticated new algorithms or models; analytical amateurs who need to understand something of the analytical basis for operations and decisions; and the analytical manager who focuses the work of analytical professionals. 6. What roles must senior executives play? Committed senior executives provide the passion and the resources to drive their organizations in an analytical direction. In virtually every successful firm, senior management sets an analytical strategy and continually pushes it forward. ONLINE www.sas.com/ba-sixquestions
  • 9. Face Forward with Business Analytics|P7 www.sas.com/baexchange HSBC: fraud detection that exceeds aggressive goals With fraud levels surging around the world, banks are facing greater regula- tory scrutiny, as well as risks associated with damaging publicity from fraud. The ability to correctly make split-second decisions on accepting credit card transactions – before fraud occurs – is more important than ever. Using SAS Fraud Management, part of ® the SAS Business Analytics Framework, HSBC prevents, detects and manages financial crimes by scoring and accept- ing or rejecting millions of transactions a day in real time – at the point of sale. As a result, the global financial services leader has achieved significantly lower incidence of fraud across tens of mil- lions of debit and credit card accounts. “The proof is in our fraud numbers – our detection rates and our false positives – which continue to meet our aggres- sive goals,” said Derek Wylde, Head of Group Fraud Risk, Global Security and Fraud Risk for HSBC. ONLINE www.sas.com/ba-hsbc Jim Davis is Senior Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer for SAS.
  • 10. P8|Better Decisions www.sas.com/baexchange How organizations make better decisions The following article is an edited excerpt of an article distributed by the International Institute for Analytics. By Thomas H. Davenport Relatively few businesses and organiza- tions have given full and proper attention to one of their most important activities: making decisions regarding key questions such as what strategies and business models to pursue, which products and services to offer, which customers to target, what prices to charge and what Author and researcher Tom Davenport is the employees to hire. Organizations with President’s Distinguished Professor at Babson College. poor decision processes and tools eventually encounter poor outcomes, His newest book is Analytics at Work: Smarter Decisions, and performance suffers. Better Results (with Jeanne Harris and Robert Morison, However, new analytics, decision auto- from Harvard Business Press). mation tools and business intelligence systems make it possible to make better use of information in decisions. “Wisdom of crowds” approaches and technologies allow larger groups of people to partici- pate meaningfully in decision processes. Organizations cannot afford to ignore these new options if they wish to make the best possible decisions. Given both negative and positive incen- tives to get better, one might expect that organizations would attempt to improve their decisions — that they would prioritize them, examine their current level of effectiveness, investigate new options for making them better and implement some of those options. In my survey and analysis of dozens of corporations, I found that while they are, indeed, doing some of these things,
  • 11. Better Decisions|P9 www.sas.com/baexchange In a survey and analysis of dozens of corporations, Davenport found that very few organizations have undertaken systematic efforts to improve a variety of decisions. very few organizations have undertaken decision-oriented context from the start. systematic efforts to improve a variety of If a test between two alternative Web decisions. In this excerpt I describe some page designs is performed, it is gen- of the more frequent approaches used to erally assumed that a decision to adopt intervene in decision processes. the winning page will be made. Other analytical approaches may not have as Analytics, testing and data clear a path to a decision. Infrastructures predicated on analytics and data were among the most A prerequisite of virtually any form of common decision-making frameworks analytics is high-quality data, so it is not among the surveyed firms. Eighty-four surprising that data-oriented responses percent of respondents mentioned an were also common. Sixty-six percent analytical component in their decision of respondents mentioned some issue improvement efforts and 66 percent involving data. The most common were: mentioned efforts to improve data. The range of analytical techniques • Having difficulty in accessing data. employed was quite broad. Scoring • Creating a common data architecture. approaches based on statistical analyses (usually some form of regression analy- • Eliminating duplicate data. sis) were common. Other approaches included optimization, behavior-based • Integrating “master data customer targeting, statistical forecasting, management.” prediction of various phenomena and the • Achieving “one version of the truth” use of text analytics. in functional or process areas. Not surprisingly, many Systematic testing was one form of • Dealing with too much data. organizations reported analysis that was being used somewhat that they needed to change frequently by companies; 18 percent • Gathering data from channel partners. mentioned it specifically in interviews. business processes to One key virtue is that it creates a • Creating new metrics. make better decisions.
  • 12. P10|Better Decisions www.sas.com/baexchange Technology support – and overrides Changes in business processes • An insurance company adopted – for decisions Not surprisingly, many organizations enterprise risk management. Several firms surveyed mentioned spe- reported that they needed to change cific analytical software, testing software, business processes to make better • The Six Sigma approach to process data warehouses and Web analytics/ decisions. Forty-three percent men- quality and decision outcomes was reporting software. Two other tech- tioned process changes of some type. implemented at a financial payments nologies were mentioned frequently: For instance, some described process firm and a staffing firm. specialized information display technolo- changes around supply chain manage- • A financial services firm uses the gies and business rule engines. ment in an IT firm, lease processing in “net promoter score” for customer an auto financing firm, financial process- Thirty-eight percent of companies in the satisfaction decisions. es in health insurance or new product study mentioned some use of specialized development processes. Several organi- • An economic decision analysis information displays such as scorecards zations mentioned changes for decision- approach, popularized and taught and dashboards. These tools, typically oriented processes made in the context by Stanford’s Engineering School found in the business intelligence of Six Sigma programs. and the Strategic Decisions Group, category, allow decision makers to see is used by an oil company. only the information that they need to However, some decision-focused ana- make a decision. Several firms mentioned lysts noted that their original goal wasn’t In addition, three responding organiza- using specific display approaches not necessarily to identify and implement tions developed analytically focused generally supported by conventional BI process changes, and that they had to decision processes that have been widely tools, including the “A3” format for work with other groups to accomplish used in IT systems development, but are displaying key issues in a particular them. As one head of an analyst group not widely known in the decision-making business domain. Some companies are at an IT firm commented, “We didn’t or analytics literature. Sometimes called using neuroscience principles to guide initially have the franchise to do process “agile methods” or “rapid prototyping,” how information is presented and improvement — our thing was analytics. they involve the creation of a series of digested. This may be a bellwether of But it kept coming up on our projects. So short-term deliverables, and frequent future attempts to link information and we eventually just made it a part of our review of them by the client and stake- decision making. standard approach.” holders for the decision. The organi- zations that use this approach found Another popular decision technology Decision-oriented methods and tools that it led to results that better fit the involves using business rules to enable Several organizations reported that decision-makers’ requirements, and at automated or semiautomated decision one aspect of their decision processes a faster pace. processes — sometimes in conjunction was an overarching, strategic manage- with analytics (e.g., scoring-oriented ment approach to guide all aspects of applications). Many organizations em- their efforts. Most of these initiatives are ploy business rules but allow humans well-known approaches to business to override the recommended decisions and management. when appropriate.
  • 13. Better Decisions|P11 www.sas.com/baexchange Conclusion From my research, it’s clear that organizations recognize the importance Analytics improves of improving decisions. Although the decisions survey was not a random sample, Davenport’s research found the most individuals in 90 percent of organiza- common types of decisions improved by tions surveyed identified some analytics include: attempt to improve decisions through • Pricing decisions (consumer goods, better processes. Second, organiza- industrial goods, government contracts, tions employ a variety of intervention maintenance contracts, etc.). types to improve decisions across • Decisions to target consumer segments analytics, culture and leadership, and (by retailers, insurers, credit card firms). data. The most successful organiza- tions adopted multiple interventions • Merchandising decisions (brands to buy, quantities and allocations). at once to improve a decision. • Location decisions (for bank As a result, analysts — previously branches or where to service industrial responsible for data gathering and equipment). ONLINE analysis — are morphing into consultants • Treatment protocols for health care. Order it now – Analytics at Work: Smarter who may be responsible for framing deci- Decisions, Better Results • Product development for http://www.analyticsatworkbook.com/ sions, process redesign, communication pharmaceutical firms. and education programs, and change Read the full International Institute for management — all in addition to the • Student performance in educational Analytics research organizations. www.sas.com/ba-iia traditional analysis functions. • Evaluating marketing approaches Engage with analytic leaders Organizations seeking to implement (in both consumer and and researchers decision improvements should become B2B environments). www.iianalytics.com familiar with these common intervention • Hiring decisions. types and create ongoing capabilities to • Vehicle routing decisions. deliver them. Analysts — previously responsible for data gathering and analysis — are morphing into consultants who may be responsible for framing decisions, process redesign, communication and education programs, and change management — all in addition to the traditional analysis functions.
  • 14. P12|Business Analytics in Action www.sas.com/baexchange Business analytics in action How are key industries deriving value from their business analytics implementations? By Gail Bamford, David Wallace, Mike Newkirk and Becca Goren HEALTH CARE • Increased compliance on medication According to the World Health Organi- reconciliation by more than 50 percent zation, global health spending totalled in a nine-month period. more than US$4.1 trillion in 2007, with $639 as the total health expenditure • Dramatically reduced the rate of hos- per person. That number will only grow pital-acquired infections by measuring in ways that affect businesses and where infections originated and what citizens. admission conditions closely corre- lated with acquired infections. Despite these huge investments, health care quality is uneven and resistant to • Improved government/industry ac- changes and improvements. How can creditation/compliance by incorpo- rating national guidelines into key we enhance health care delivery while metrics. controlling those costs? It starts by carefully measuring and monitoring the • Developed new methods for caring for quality of that care – a complex task stroke patients while controlling costs. perfectly suited for business analyt- By taking better care of these patients, ics. Here’s how some forward-thinking the hospital expects fewer complica- health care institutions are delivering tions, which will reduce costs. better quality of care more efficiently. Karolinska Institute Maine Medical Center The Karolinska Institute in Sweden Named to US News and World Report’s needed a way to examine the effects “America’s Best Hospitals” list for of drugs, other treatments and lifestyle orthopedics, heart care and gynecologic factors on patients with rheumatoid ar- care, Maine Medical Center uses SAS thritis. Using SAS Business Analytics, Business Analytics to understand key the Institute has deployed a Web-based patient care metrics – and sustain a patient self-help application and predic- quality-driven culture. The data-driven tive modeling to determine which treat- approach has produced excellent results: ments will be most effective for certain segments of RA patients.
  • 15. Business Analytics in Action|P13 www.sas.com/baexchange BANKING • Cleanse and integrate. Cleanse and In a challenging economic and regula- standardize third-party credit and tory climate, bankers must be especially customer data, enrich it (e.g., add vigilant. Two key indicators of a bank’s geocoding tags) and integrate it into health are net charge-offs (NCOs) – the a single data store. value of loans written off as uncollect- able – and nonperforming loans (NPLs) • Analyze and score. Develop scoring that are in default or delinquent more models to analyze debtor-customer than 90 days. segment data against objectives, in- cluding “maximize profits” or “minimize In the past two years in the US, bank writeoffs” or against constraints, such Optimizing collections NCOs have soared by an average of as loan types, outstanding balances or A leading Australian financial institution more than 350 percent across all insti- days delinquent. previously relied on instinct when contact- tutions, with institutions holding assets ing delinquent customers. Since introduc- of $5 billion or less showing growth of • Optimize and execute treatment ing SAS for collections optimization, it has almost 500 percent. NPLs as a percent- strategies. Analytical models help achieved a 300 percent ROI in less than six age of average loan balances have risen collections teams understand who is months. A debt purchasing firm based in more than 278 percent at US banks with most likely to respond, which commu- the UK uses SAS to predict debt portfolio $1 billion or more in assets. How can fi- 1 nication channels work best and how performance. This enables the firm to nancial institutions improve their collec- much payment to expect. make quicker decisions on acquiring new tions and protect their bottom line? debt portfolios at the right prices, collect Collections optimization driven by more from each portfolio and grow rev- Business analytics can provide the in- business analytics delivers the results enues by 50 percent annually. sights that institutions need to reduce that institutions need to improve their both loan writeoffs and the cost of col- profitability. lections activities. First, models created within a business analytics framework can identify likely candidates for work- 1 Source: SNL Financial outs and loan modifications. Second, business analytics can optimize collec- tions activities to improve the probability of success and maximize self-treatment among debtor segments. It starts with three basic steps.
  • 16. P14|Business Analytics in Action www.sas.com/baexchange MANUFACTURING such as point-of-sale (POS) data and From diapers to jet engines and almost historical shipment data. Once that data everything in between, manufacturing is aggregated, business analytics models expertise is a competitive differentiator for and tools can accurately forecast the companies that follow optimal practices demand for products by family, individual and methodologies to attack inefficiencies SKU, geography, customer type, etc. and eliminate waste. Business analytics With a clear and accurate demand is essential in these settings to improve picture, manufacturers can properly production and sales planning, enhance allocate raw materials across plants and the supply chain, reduce inventory, regions – all optimized by distribution streamline logistics and much more. channel – to create complete roll-ups in Meaningful ROI with master planning schedules. Business Analytics For example, with demand forecasting, One SAS customer increased company business analytics can be a key TELECOMMUNICATIONS profitability by accurately predicting prod- contributor to a manufacturer’s success. You’ve likely experienced it before – your uct demand and customer behavior – more Better forecasts deliver ROI by: cell phone loses service one too many than doubling its forecasting accuracy. It times, so you switch providers. Low found that for every 1 percent reduction in • Reducing inventories. barriers to churning mean providers must forecast variance, it saved $200,000. vigilantly and carefully invest to maintain • Improving order fulfillment rates. and increase their service quality and Another manufacturer improved two seemingly competing objectives. It simul- customer satisfaction rankings. After • Shortening cash-to-cash cycles. taneously reduced inventory by 20 percent, all, your satisfaction keeps them in eliminating millions of dollars of holding Many manufacturers struggle with business. costs, yet improved service levels, which optimally managing and forecasting directly and positively affected customer Network managers typically receive error their raw materials requirements, work- satisfaction. reports and alarms after a network device in-process (WIP) inventory and finished fails. The team addresses the stream of goods inventories. Without the right mix of trouble tickets, but never gets insight into raw materials, production plans fall apart underlying causes or trends for outages. and customer orders are delayed (or, The result: long call-resolution times. worse, canceled). Missing WIP forecasts similarly leads to inefficient schedules With business analytics and approaches and a crippling misallocation of finished such as predictive fault analysis, network stocks – not having the right quantities of managers can analyze performance the right goods at the right time and in to pre-empt failures. They can analyze the right places. While the data is often trouble tickets and optimize corrective available to prevent, identify and correct services, shortening times you are these imbalances and inefficiencies, it without coverage. is usually not integrated, analyzed and shared across the organization. Strong data management, including data quality and reporting capabilities – Data management technologies can all key underpinnings for business bring together islands of information analytics – can help quickly identify
  • 17. Business Analytics in Action|P15 www.sas.com/baexchange One large telco service provider used SAS to identify emerging issues (an average of two weeks prior to failure) and double the percentage of tickets resolved within 48 hours. service and network issues. Business analytics helps to: • Identify and remove duplicate trouble tickets. • Understand faults and performance on a macro level. • Determine which services have the highest fault rates. In addition to analyzing network performance, predictive analytics technologies can help evaluate demand, faults and systems to improve resource utilization and quality of service (QoS). A telco provider can then identify Gail Bamford is a SAS Global Industry Marketing Manager for Public Sector. when and where network resources gail.bamford@sas.com are deployed and quality/performance variations over time. David Wallace is a SAS Global Industry Marketing Manager for Financial Services. david.m.wallace@sas.com Business analytics allows network and service managers to better understand Mike Newkirk is a SAS Global Industry Marketing Manager for Manufacturing. causes and impacts of failures. They can michael.newkirk@sas.com prioritize and pre-empt outages, optimize repairs and mitigate risk with answers to Becca Goren is a SAS Global Industry Marketing Manager for Communications, key questions: Media and Entertainment. becca.goren@sas.com • How significant is each factor influencing network faults degradation? ONLINE Health care providers keep pace with change • Which network faults are tied to a given www.sas.com/ba-healthcareprovider trouble ticket? The standard for clinical data analysis and reporting www.sas.com/ba-pharma • Which faults are related and what are their impacts? Solutions for better risk management ONLINE www.sas.com/ba-banking Armed with predictive fault analytics, Get the full stories on: a telco provider can limit the times you Maine Medical Center Compete in manufacturing www.sas.com/ba-maine www.sas.com/ba-mfg lose a signal and continually improve overall service, allowing it to keep your Karolinska Institute Invest wisely, communications service providers business. www.sas.com/ba-karolinska www.sas.com/ba-telco
  • 18. P16|The New Know www.sas.com/baexchange The art, act and science of knowing An excerpt from The New Know 1 By Thornton May The Internet makes self teaching — and lifelong learning — the rule rather than the exception. Historians ultimately will come to consensus on what to call the time period between the frenzy that was the dot-com bubble and the period be- fore society finally enters the data cloud. For want of a better phrase, I call the 20- year interregnum we currently inhabit (1995 – 2015) the Age of Little Informa- tion. I come to this label not because the age exhibits a lack of information. Quite the contrary, it is during this epoch that information — previously locked away in analog form — is becoming widely digitized. The New Know has changed our reality along 10 fundamental dimen- sions. Futurist Thornton May positions analysts as heroes New Know Reality #1: of the age we are about to enter in his new book, You will be expected to do The New Know: Innovation Powered by Analytics. something with information. All this newly digitized information has had, relatively speaking, little impact on behavior and little impact on organiza- tional outcomes. We are now exiting a historical moment of undermanaged and only occasionally acted-upon informa- tion to an environment requiring much more active, much more intense, much more aggressive information manage- ment. You as an executive will be held much more accountable for your data management behaviors. You will be expected to transform “data lead” into 1 Copyright 2009 by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Reprinted with permission. “knowledge gold” via the expeditious
  • 19. The New Know|P17 www.sas.com/baexchange sensemaking leading to efficacious ac- New Know Reality #3: tion. In the Age of Little Information, we You will have to know more were data vegetarians. In the New Know about knowing. we will have to become information and knowledge carnivores. One of the major changes defining the new competitive environment is the New Know Reality #2: requirement to know more about know- There really is more to know. ing, what experts sometimes refer to as metacognition. Society is about to The New Know will be awash with undergo a tectonic shift in how it thinks data. Processing power doubles every about thinking. Driving this cognitive 18 months. Storage capacity doubles plate shifting are the RSS feeds, pod- every 12 months. Bandwidth through- casts, blogs, old-media headlines and put doubles every nine months. There evening news programs, which are is more to know. Organizations are increasingly filled with images and having trouble keeping up — and, sadly, instances of current-generation leaders the fact that there are more facts arriving being asked by dissatisfied next- at a faster rate of speed is not even the generation voters, customers and tip of the cognitive iceberg. Like the “fog shareholders: “What were you of war,” info warriors speak of the “fog thinking?” Looking beneath the surface, of facts” (e.g., confusion about what they are really asking: “How were you information is to be believed, what infor- thinking? Via what processes, using mation sources are credible and what what data and assisted by what tools did version of reality is to be acted on). In a you arrive at your course of action?” world of multiple sources of information and 24-hour decision making, the very New Know Reality #4: character of information is changing. Brain science and decision A “fact” is no longer a “fact.” science are converging. Scientists do not know how the brain works — yet. But they are sneaking up on it. Readers may be surprised to learn that neuroscience has been around for over 100 years. Neuroscience has progressed to the point that we at least know what we do not know.
  • 20. P18|The New Know www.sas.com/baexchange Carly Fiorina, former CEO at Hewlett-Packard, believes that distilling truth from overwhelming amounts of information is To some extent, it is a simple truism New Know Reality #6: the essence of leadership. that the brain is involved with all things Information management Is the that comprise our human existence. essence of leadership. It follows, loosely, therefore, that understanding the brain will help us Low-cost communications give rise to understand the human condition more almost toxic levels of spin, hype and fully. The big news is that the brain pos- empty rhetoric. Leaders are able to sesses innate qualities that influence cut through all the noise. Does your individual experience and opinions. organization filter its data? Carly Fiorina, There are things that can be known— former CEO at Hewlett-Packard, that need to be known by executives believes that distilling truth from over- seeking to maximize value from the whelming amounts of information is the knowledge assets available to the essence of leadership. She believes that enterprise. all of us are overwhelmed with informa- tion, and what sets great leaders apart New Know Reality #5: is their ability to cut through the clutter The environment is changing and distinguish the truly important from our brain. the merely interesting. The information flood should be viewed New Know Reality #7: as a permanent macroenvironmental A more connected world. change. Thinking in Darwinian terms, what adaptive pressures does this One of the transformational elements environmental change place on us? moving society to the New Know is “Daily exposure to high technology — something analysts at Forrester Re- computers, smart phones, video games, search call the “groundswell.” Josh search engines — stimulates brain cell Bernoff, Vice President at Forrester, alteration and neurotransmitter release, contends: “There’s so much information gradually strengthening new neural flowing out of the groundswell, it’s like pathways in our brains while weaken- watching a thousand television chan- ing old ones. Because of the current nels at once. To make sense of it, you technological revolution, our brains are need to apply some technology, boil- evolving right now — at a speed like ing down the chatter to a manageable never before.” stream of insights.” The new scarce re- source in the next economy will be the human attention needed to make sense of information. The question is: How will we be able to keep up?
  • 21. The New Know|P19 www.sas.com/baexchange New Know Reality #8: useful to know where it will step. Every Math matters. key process in your enterprise is locked in a room with an elephant — a critical Mathematics is now so widely accept- process, serving a critical customer. ed as the arbiter of truth in the modern Business analytics tells you where that world that it has become the backbone elephant will step. of disciplines ranging from physics (of course) to economics and sociology. New Know Reality #10: If you are locked in a Backing up a statement with mathemat- Knowing can change the world. ics gives it an aura of validity, even if the room with an elephant, it topic has to do with something as math- If knowledge is power, then “knowl- is useful to know where edge about power should be especially ematically messy as human behavior. empowering,” says John Murrell, the it will step. Every key However, many otherwise “normal” ex- very-much-in-the-know editor of Good process in your enterprise ecutives have a pathological aversion Morning Silicon Valley. For instance, is locked in a room with to math. This is not just unfortunate, it using 15,000 meters, a subset of Na- an elephant — a critical is dysfunctional. Some intuition about tional Grid Customers will be able to numbers, counting and mathematical access their energy — use information process, serving a critical ability is basic to almost all animals. via the Internet, by a thermostat read- customer. Business People use math to make decisions out, or through text messaging, and use analytics tells you where every day. “In an age where you need the data to change their consumption to be numerate to do almost anything patterns. Program participants are ex- that elephant will step. (from building bridges to conquering pected to save 5 percent, or about $70 disease), governments anxiously com- a year, on their energy bills. Change ad- pare their performance in mathematics vocates from all fields of endeavor are with that of competitor nations.” excited about the possibility of putting new information in front of people in the New Know Reality #9: hopes of changing behavior. There are significant downsides to not knowing. Success requires materially expanding what you know and adding precision and efficiency to the processes (analyt- ics) whereby you come to know. Here is a metaphor to keep in mind as you think about the New Know. If you are locked in a room with an elephant, it is
  • 22. P20|Business Analytics for SMBs www.sas.com/baexchange What business analytics means for small and medium businesses An interview with Matthew Mikell, SMB Global Product Marketing Manager When it comes to business analytics, general constraints when listening to it sometimes seems like only major en- organizations that are SMBs: terprises garner the spotlight. That’s somewhat understandable given the 1) Decision-making style complexity and scope of their analytical Transitioning from gut instinct to fact- The Wine House discovers challenges and the nature of their high- based framework can be difficult in part $400,000 in ‘lost’ inventory profile brands. But the fact is, far more because the former approach has likely small to medium businesses (SMBs) are served the successful SMB very well. Economic times may be tough, but Bill poised to implement business analytics Most SMBs have Excel experts who Knight, owner and President of The Wine House, is toasting a 100 percent return on solutions. can generate some great static charts his investment in SAS. The first day its SAS and graphs — and I wouldn’t ever want In the US, these companies have to denigrate the value those reports application was live, the brick-and-mortar revenues of less than $500 million. In provide. But there’s so much more val- and Internet retailer discovered 1,000 items of wine that hadn’t moved in more Europe, the SMB category comprises ue that can be derived from in-depth than a year. companies with a maximum of EUR 450 analyses. Once SMB executives get million (about US$611 million). While in a real glimpse of the insights that are “We had a huge sale to blow it out, gener- the Asia Pacific region, SMB often refers lurking beneath the surface of their ating $400,000 in capital in one weekend,” to both employee numbers and revenue, transaction data, their willingness Knight said, “and just in time, because in and range between 200 and 250 to adopt business analytics increases today’s economy, we’d be choking on that employees and $200 million and $500 inventory.” pretty quickly. million in revenue. In many ways, these Using SAS, The Wine House has reduced businesses are striving for the same 2) Cash flow its aged inventory by 40 percent. “Now I goals to grow their business through In addition to a shift in decision-mak- can get the answers I need and base de- innovation, and need the same sophisti- ing style, cash constraints can pose cisions on facts rather than gut intuition,” cated functionality scaled appropriately very real obstacles for an SMB that says Knight. “I’ve got less money tied up to their processes. In this Q&A, wants to mature in this area. Consid- in inventory, I know who our best custom- Matthew Mikell, SAS Global Product ering the business analytics frame- ers are, how to market to them and can Marketing Manager, shares his perspec- work helps improve margins, retain key monitor the effectiveness of our marketing. tives on what business analytics means Our ROI with SAS has been well over 100 customers and grow share of wallet in their to SMBs. percent in less than a year, so my return on markets. However, the long-lasting investment has been fantastic.” Q. What are some of the unique return on investment far outweighs the challenges that SMBs face with capital required to undergo the transition. ONLINE respect to business analytics? www.sas.com/ba-winehouse A: SMBs primarily face the issue of scale. At SAS we have heard four
  • 23. Business Analytics for SMBs|P21 www.sas.com/baexchange SMB executives – often owners or people with lengthy tenures – worry about letting go of the information flow and empowering people to make decisions that were previously reserved for executives. 3) IT resources and infrastructure at a disadvantage. Internally, employees More than 80 percent of SMBs with need these tools to be productive. Oth- about 100 employees have only four erwise, it’s gut-based decisions, or cut- dedicated IT staffers. They’re stretched ting and pasting from multiple tools. thin, and that can make it very difficult The truth is what brought you to where to expand the IT mandate beyond criti- you are typically won’t take you to the cal business operations into managing next level. But it’s very difficult, cultur- business analytics environments. ally, to walk away from what’s made 4) Business analytics maturity you successful. SMB executives – often owners or people with lengthy tenures – SMBs must have an appreciation for worry about letting go of the information the level of skills required to meet over- flow and empowering people to make all strategic goals through business decisions that were previously reserved analytics. Research from Aberdeen for executives. Group suggests that SMBs without the relevant skill sets are poorly positioned Q What’s the best way for SMBs to drive value from an analytical solu- to tackle the adoption of business tion. It reports that SMBs using some analytics? sort of analytical applications perform at a higher level than their competitors A: Of course, every company differs – that do not.1 particularly at the SMB size. But we’ve found that there is a general approach to The main SMB challenge for moving to the adoption of business analytics. The business analytics is the understanding first step is to ensure you have sponsor- of its impact on these four critical areas, ship from company executives. Clearly and building a capability that is cost- lay out the business analytics benefits effective and remains flexible and easy and return to the management team. to use. This transparency is key at the SMB level as SMB executives are tradition- Q. Why should SMBs adopt ally heavily involved in analyses, report- business analytics? ing and the decision-making process. Make it clear how business analytics will A: It essentially boils down to competi- resolve a compelling issue or attract and tive pressures. SMBs need to continu- retain customers, for example. ally innovate. If you’re an SMB that isn’t constantly seeking to optimize every possible aspect of the operation, you’re 1 Aberdeen Group, 2009, Beyond Spreadsheets: The Value of BI and Analytics.
  • 24. P22|Business Analytics for SMBs www.sas.com/baexchange The second strategy is to focus on a Q. What’s the difference between Q. Can you share some examples particular business process or issue. business analytics for large enter- of how SMBs have been able to Don’t introduce business analytics as prises vs. SMBs? capitalize on business analytics? a broad, unfocused utility for general usage. This will occur naturally as you A: In a nutshell, it’s about scale. Deploy- A: Sure. We’ve worked with an energy- solve more focused issues, building up ment and support strategies will have a trading company that enables staff to confidence in fact-based decision mak- different nature. What’s more interesting predict what today’s electricity and ing as a core competency. Some of the to me, however, is the important com- gas purchases will sell for months later typical issues that we see being solved monality: functionality. Business analyt- when consumers buy. Business analytics with business analytics include improv- ics in SMBs is not about presenting a supplies that intelligence to traders in a ing customer data quality for improved subset of functionality but rather surfac- cleaner, faster and more accurate way. marketing, invoicing or customer ser- ing the right functionality for the problem at hand, and opening up to more as the A collection agency uses SAS Business vice, or improved product pricing and business requires it. Despite their size, Analytics to analyze bad-debt portfolios packaging analysis to drive a higher SMBs face similar challenges to make before acquiring those assets. This is a market share. better and more informed decisions to quantum leap forward from its previous Finally, don’t rest on your laurels. Capi- continue innovating in their markets. It is model, which was simply buying any talize on your initial success to broaden therefore essential to provide a rich set debt assets for as little as possible and deployment to other areas of the orga- of features and a very high level of tech- hoping to collect successfully. nization. Those adoptions move faster nology usability. once you can point to a successful track A player in the secondary-ticket market record in another area. uses SAS to develop a deeper under- standing of the needs of its thousands of customers. By segmenting them and catering to psychographics, the company can optimize how frequently it contacts the customers and improves loyalty. ONLINE Software for SMBs www.sas.com/ba-smb Some of the typical issues that we see being solved with business analytics include improving customer data quality for improved marketing, invoicing or customer service, or improved Matthew Mikell leads Global Product Market- product pricing and pack- ing for SMB markets and software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings at SAS, supporting strategic aging analysis to drive a planning, messaging and product offerings higher market share. through direct and indirect channels.
  • 25. Analytics at Work|P23 www.sas.com/baexchange Embedding analytics into processes In their latest book, Analytics at Work: Smarter Decisions, Better Results, Thomas Davenport, Jeanne Harris and Robert Morison show how companies apply analytics in their daily operations. This excerpt, ‘Embedded Analytics in Action,’ explores what to consider when infusing analytics into business processes. We see examples of analytics at work The solutions naturally demand very within core processes in a variety of sophisticated and industrialized ana- business areas. Statistical analysis has lytics: for capacity planning of aircraft been a feature of supply chain and lo- and truck fleets, for routing packages gistics management for decades, start- through its distribution network, and for ing with the techniques of statistical scheduling and routing delivery trucks. process control (SPC) and total quality For a company this steeped in analyti- management (TQM). cal applications, the frontier is moving closer to real-time, dynamic adjustments. Real-time analytics are helping guide For example, UPS is experimenting with call center workers in their interactions algorithms to adjust the order of deliv- with customers. And analytics are well eries as conditions (e.g., road closures, established in the engineering and sim- extraordinary customer need) change. ulation sides of product design. Making processes analytical Among business support functions, The effects of analytics on the opera- analytics are essential to many facets tions of a process can be profound, of finance, common in the management and over time you may want to reengi- of technology operations, and rela- neer the overall business process and tively new to human resources (though revamp its information systems to of enormous potential there). In cor- capitalize on the potential for analyt- porate development, key decisions — ics-based improvement. But you can for example, regarding mergers and start embedding analytics without a acquisitions—may benefit greatly from major overhaul. For processes that rely analytics, but few companies take a extensively on enterprise systems, it process approach to such activities. may be possible to simply start taking advantage of the analytical capabilities Consider the example of UPS to whet that are already included in the soft- your appetite for embedding analytics ware. However, many process analytics in your core business processes. As a initiatives will require tools, techniques, logistics company, UPS lives and and working relationships that are likely breathes the “traveling salesman to be new and unfamiliar at first. We problem”—how to reach a variable have found that implementing analytics- Reprinted by permission of Harvard Business Press. Excerpted series of destinations most efficiently from Analytics at Work: Smarter Decisions, Better Results by enabled processes requires applying with the right delivery capacity, and often Thomas Davenport, Jeanne Harris and Robert Morison. four major perspectives. All rights reserved. in designated time windows, every day.
  • 26. P24|Analytics at Work www.sas.com/baexchange The effects of analytics The first is process implementation. Third is systems implementation. The on the operations of a Occasionally a business may create analytical system must be incorporated process can be profound, a new analytically enabled process into the set of systems and technolo- and over time you may or rebuild a process from scratch, but gies supporting the business process. most often you are adding capability to In building these interfaces, it helps to want to reengineer the and altering an existing process. Espe- employ process-oriented technologies, overall business process cially given the iterative nature of many including capabilities of ERP systems, ... but you can start analytical applications, it’s essential to workflow and document management measure baseline process performance systems. And integrating and testing embedding analytics first and to run the enhanced process the new systems and interfaces is criti- without a major overhaul. in parallel to the original (perhaps as a cal given analytics’ reliance on a broad pilot or test) in order to refine the new range of quality data and the fact that process and measure its performance analytics-based decisions may dramat- and value. In some cases, process ically change process flow. simulation can yield insights about how the process might perform even before Human implementation is the fourth implementation. perspective. Often the greatest imple- mentation challenge, especially when Next, organizations should consider analytics is new to the process and the model implementation. Much of the people performing it, is on the human distinctive work of process analytics side. Only people can tell if an embed- centers on designing, developing and ded application is resulting in good iteratively refining statistical algorithms decisions, so be sure to involve them in and descriptive or predictive models developing, managing and monitor- or rule-based systems. If you are go- ing the assumptions and results of any ing to industrialize important decision embedded model. Another important processes, it is important that the rules, factor is developing the right mix of assumptions and algorithms in your automated and human decision making model are correct. Analytical projects and enabling process performers to generally require different tools and trust and use their new analytical infor- development methodologies from mation and sometimes tools. those employed in more traditional sys- tems development. And, of course, this work is performed by business analysts and programmers with special skills in statistical methods and modeling.