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Moving Toward Usage-Based Pricing
             A Connected Life Market Watch Perspective


              Cisco Internet Business Solutions Group
              June 2012

            More info: http://www.cisco.com/web/about/ac79/docs/clmw/Usage-
            Based-Pricing-Strategies.pdf

Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   Cisco Public   Internet Business Solutions Group   1
As Traffic Increases and ARPU Stagnates, SPs
          can Look to Usage Based Pricing
                                                                                        Monthly Internet Consumption per U.S. User
              Consumer use and                                                                                           (in GB)
                                                                                                                                                               47.3
                      Internet traffic are sky-                                                                                                         38.9
                      rocketing                                                                                                                 33.4
                                                                                                                                         27.6

              Fixed broadband ARPU                                                                                        15.9
                                                                                                                                  22.1

                                                                                                                   12.2
                      has stagnated                                                           4.2    6.2
                                                                                                           8.7
                                                                                       2.8

              Usage-based pricing                                                    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
                      may provide SPs with                                           Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Forecast, 2011

                      tool to manage traffic
                      and spur new revenue                                                   North American Cable Broadband ARPU

              However, SPs must                                                                 $41.1     $41.4          $41.0     $41.0       $41.9

                      proceed carefully


                                                                                                 2Q06      2Q07           2Q08      2Q09        2Q10
                                                                                     Base: Range between 8 and 13 companies reporting
                                                                                     Source: Infonetics, Worldwide Service Provider Update, September 2010

Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   Cisco Public                               Internet Business Solutions Group                    2
Proceed Carefully: Consumers and
             Regulators Are Wary
                                                                                        Consumer Perception of
              Public outcry has resulted in                                             Usage-Based Pricing
                      significant regulatory and market
                                                                                     United States          No
                      actions:                                                                            Strong      Fair
                                                                                                          Opinion     16%
                                                                                                           13%
                      —2008: U.S. FCC orders Comcast
                       to halt throttling
                                                                                                             Unfair
                      —2009: Time Warner Cable revokes                                                        71%
                       its experimental usage caps
                                                                                                           Base: Broadband consumers
                      —2011: Canadian Radio-television
                       and Telecommunications                                        Canada                  No
                       Commission (CRTC) is re-                                                            Strong
                                                                                                           Opinion     Fair
                                                                                                                       19%
                       examining all usage-based                                                             9%
                       policies in response to consumer
                       outrage sparked by January 2011
                                                                                                            Unfair
                       CRTC decision                                                                         72%

             Source: Cisco IBSG Connected Life Market Watch, 2011                                          Base: Broadband consumers
Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   Cisco Public            Internet Business Solutions Group    3
For Some Consumers, Usage-Based Pricing
             Could Curtail Traffic Explosion
              Consumers Curbing Internet Use                                                  Consumers Curbing Internet Video Use
                                       Percentage of respondents                                              Percentage of respondents

                                U.S.                                  Canada

                                                                                                                                                   56%
                                  32%                                  31%
                                                                                                                  46%

                                                                                                        32%                             31%



                                                                                                            United                         Canada
                 Plan to keep current plan Yes, I watch my data limits
                    and reduce usage       to avoid additional charges                                      States
                                                                                                   General Internet Use               Online Video Use




           When usage-based pricing is                                                        About half of consumers will reduce
            introduced, one-third of customers                                                  their online video watching in
            will reduce their Internet usage                                                    response to usage-based pricing
                  – Actual behavior maps closely to                                            – In Canada, where online video is well-
                    anticipated reaction                                                         established and where usage-based
                                                                                                 pricing is already implemented,
                                                                                                 consumers are likely to cut use

             Source: Cisco IBSG Connected Life Market Watch, 2011                                    Base: U.S. and Canada broadband consumers
Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.            Cisco Public                    Internet Business Solutions Group         4
For Others, Usage-Based Pricing Could
             Unlock Additional Spending
              41% say they would pay more                                               Revenue Uplift Potential for
                                                                                           Usage-Based Pricing
               for unlimited broadband                                                         Percentage of respondents

               access if usage-based pricing                                               Would Pay
                                                                                             More
               is introduced in the United
               States
                                                                                             41%
              However, only 10% are                                                                              Actually Pay
                                                                                                                     More
               actually spending more since                                                                           10%
               the introduction of usage-                                                United States               Canada

               based pricing in Canada                                               Would Subscribe to Unlimited Online
                                                                                       Video for a Higher Monthly Fee
              Similar percentages of                                                          Percentage of respondents
               consumers in the United
               States (26%) and Canada                                                        26%
               (22%) would pay more for                                                                               22%
               broadband in order to support
               their online video use
                                                                                          United States              Canada

             Source: Cisco IBSG Connected Life Market Watch, 2011
Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   Cisco Public            Internet Business Solutions Group   5
Despite Wariness, With A Careful Approach
                               Consumer Concerns Are Minimized
                               72% of Canadians See Usage-Based Pricing as Unfair, Yet.…
                                                      CANADA
                                     Reactions to Usage-Based Broadband Pricing                                           58% of consumers
                                                                                                                           never think about
                                          Never
                               70%        think
                                                                                                                           usage, and they
                                         about it                                                                          don’t incur
   Percentage of Respondents




                               60%
                                                                                                                           additional charges
                               50%
                                                                                                                          One-third
                               40%                                    Reduce
                                                                      usage
                                                                                                                           reduce their
                               30%                                                                                         use to avoid
                                                                                      Pay additional fees                  additional fees
                               20%

                               10%
                                                                                                                          Only 10% pay
                                                                                                                           additional fees
                               0%
                                       No, I never think Yes, I watch my data No, I do not modify Yes, I pre-pay for
                                      about it and it does   limits to avoid    my usage but I    extra data usage on
                                       not affect my bill  additional charges sometimes exceed      top of my basic
                                                                                    my limit             service


                               Source: Cisco IBSG Connected Life Market Watch, 2011                               Base: Canada broadband consumers
Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.            Cisco Public                       Internet Business Solutions Group   6
Usage-Based Pricing Can Support
             Both SP and Consumer Objectives
            Broadband Consumer Segments by Usage
                     Non-Users                             Low-Volume                            Average                 High-Volume               BB
                                                             Users                                                          Users                  Cap
                                                                                                                                                 Abusers




  Consumer Concerns
  Impact to                 Lower          Some               No disruption for most users                             Some                    Preserve
  Consumer                  barriers       consumers will
                                     Over time users self manage
                                                                                                                       consumers will          experience for
                            to             save money                                                                  spend more              whole and
                                     tiers and migrate up as needed
                            adoption                                                                                                           enable access
                                                                                                                                               for largest users

  Service Provider Concerns
  Impact to                 Gain new                                            Initially some revenue increase due to highest tiers
  Revenue                   adopters
                                                                        Greatest impact over time as consumers self-migrate to higher tiers
             Source: Cisco IBSG, 2012
Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.               Cisco Public                     Internet Business Solutions Group               7
Moving Toward a Usage Based-Pricing
             Strategy

              As former options for ARPU growth
                      diminish, operators can turn to usage-based
                      pricing to reverse their ARPU stagnation


              SPs can shift consumers’ perception of value
                      toward usage, however, SPs must take careful
                      steps in order to maximize consumer acceptance




             Source: Cisco IBSG, 2012
Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   Cisco Public   Internet Business Solutions Group   8
More info: http://www.cisco.com/web/about/ac79/docs/clmw/Usage-
Based-Pricing-Strategies.pdf

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Usage Based Pricing Strategies

  • 1. Moving Toward Usage-Based Pricing A Connected Life Market Watch Perspective Cisco Internet Business Solutions Group June 2012 More info: http://www.cisco.com/web/about/ac79/docs/clmw/Usage- Based-Pricing-Strategies.pdf Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public Internet Business Solutions Group 1
  • 2. As Traffic Increases and ARPU Stagnates, SPs can Look to Usage Based Pricing Monthly Internet Consumption per U.S. User  Consumer use and (in GB) 47.3 Internet traffic are sky- 38.9 rocketing 33.4 27.6  Fixed broadband ARPU 15.9 22.1 12.2 has stagnated 4.2 6.2 8.7 2.8  Usage-based pricing 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 may provide SPs with Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Forecast, 2011 tool to manage traffic and spur new revenue North American Cable Broadband ARPU  However, SPs must $41.1 $41.4 $41.0 $41.0 $41.9 proceed carefully 2Q06 2Q07 2Q08 2Q09 2Q10 Base: Range between 8 and 13 companies reporting Source: Infonetics, Worldwide Service Provider Update, September 2010 Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public Internet Business Solutions Group 2
  • 3. Proceed Carefully: Consumers and Regulators Are Wary Consumer Perception of  Public outcry has resulted in Usage-Based Pricing significant regulatory and market United States No actions: Strong Fair Opinion 16% 13% —2008: U.S. FCC orders Comcast to halt throttling Unfair —2009: Time Warner Cable revokes 71% its experimental usage caps Base: Broadband consumers —2011: Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Canada No Commission (CRTC) is re- Strong Opinion Fair 19% examining all usage-based 9% policies in response to consumer outrage sparked by January 2011 Unfair CRTC decision 72% Source: Cisco IBSG Connected Life Market Watch, 2011 Base: Broadband consumers Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public Internet Business Solutions Group 3
  • 4. For Some Consumers, Usage-Based Pricing Could Curtail Traffic Explosion Consumers Curbing Internet Use Consumers Curbing Internet Video Use Percentage of respondents Percentage of respondents U.S. Canada 56% 32% 31% 46% 32% 31% United Canada Plan to keep current plan Yes, I watch my data limits and reduce usage to avoid additional charges States General Internet Use Online Video Use  When usage-based pricing is  About half of consumers will reduce introduced, one-third of customers their online video watching in will reduce their Internet usage response to usage-based pricing – Actual behavior maps closely to – In Canada, where online video is well- anticipated reaction established and where usage-based pricing is already implemented, consumers are likely to cut use Source: Cisco IBSG Connected Life Market Watch, 2011 Base: U.S. and Canada broadband consumers Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public Internet Business Solutions Group 4
  • 5. For Others, Usage-Based Pricing Could Unlock Additional Spending  41% say they would pay more Revenue Uplift Potential for Usage-Based Pricing for unlimited broadband Percentage of respondents access if usage-based pricing Would Pay More is introduced in the United States 41%  However, only 10% are Actually Pay More actually spending more since 10% the introduction of usage- United States Canada based pricing in Canada Would Subscribe to Unlimited Online Video for a Higher Monthly Fee  Similar percentages of Percentage of respondents consumers in the United States (26%) and Canada 26% (22%) would pay more for 22% broadband in order to support their online video use United States Canada Source: Cisco IBSG Connected Life Market Watch, 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public Internet Business Solutions Group 5
  • 6. Despite Wariness, With A Careful Approach Consumer Concerns Are Minimized 72% of Canadians See Usage-Based Pricing as Unfair, Yet.… CANADA Reactions to Usage-Based Broadband Pricing  58% of consumers never think about Never 70% think usage, and they about it don’t incur Percentage of Respondents 60% additional charges 50%  One-third 40% Reduce usage reduce their 30% use to avoid Pay additional fees additional fees 20% 10%  Only 10% pay additional fees 0% No, I never think Yes, I watch my data No, I do not modify Yes, I pre-pay for about it and it does limits to avoid my usage but I extra data usage on not affect my bill additional charges sometimes exceed top of my basic my limit service Source: Cisco IBSG Connected Life Market Watch, 2011 Base: Canada broadband consumers Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public Internet Business Solutions Group 6
  • 7. Usage-Based Pricing Can Support Both SP and Consumer Objectives Broadband Consumer Segments by Usage Non-Users Low-Volume Average High-Volume BB Users Users Cap Abusers Consumer Concerns Impact to Lower Some No disruption for most users Some Preserve Consumer barriers consumers will Over time users self manage consumers will experience for to save money spend more whole and tiers and migrate up as needed adoption enable access for largest users Service Provider Concerns Impact to Gain new Initially some revenue increase due to highest tiers Revenue adopters Greatest impact over time as consumers self-migrate to higher tiers Source: Cisco IBSG, 2012 Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public Internet Business Solutions Group 7
  • 8. Moving Toward a Usage Based-Pricing Strategy  As former options for ARPU growth diminish, operators can turn to usage-based pricing to reverse their ARPU stagnation  SPs can shift consumers’ perception of value toward usage, however, SPs must take careful steps in order to maximize consumer acceptance Source: Cisco IBSG, 2012 Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public Internet Business Solutions Group 8