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Round-the-clock power supply:
A key milestone for the Indian
power sector
www.pwc.in
Contents
Introduction p2
/ Round-the-clock electricity for all p4
/ Plans to achieve
the programme objective p7
/ Capacity expansion of the power supply
chain p8
/ Hydropower development in the northeast region p13
/
Developments in the coal sector p16
/ Technological enablement p20
/
Effective programme management p22
2 CII - PwC
Introduction
Rapid economic growth in India has
led to a surge in energy demand in
the country. India, the fourth largest
producer of electricity in the world, has
witnessed a transformational change
in the energy sector, with supportive
policy interventions as well as sector
reforms. Despite the phenomenal
growth in generation capacity over
the past years, India is grappling with
a power deficit situation. Over 15.5
million below poverty line (BPL)
households and 9,500 villages are still
devoid of electricity. The per capita
electricity consumption in India is
much below the global average. This
necessitates a review of actions by
the sector stakeholders and better
planning for achieving key performance
indicators (KPIs).
Energy is one of the key elements
necessary for the socio-economic
development of any country. The
success of key initiatives such as
‘Make in India’, along with growing
urbanisation and social upliftment
of rural India, will depend on the
availability of uninterrupted quality
electricity supply to consumers. In
June 2014, the Government of India
(GoI) launched the ‘Power for All’
programme with the objective of
providing electricity supply to the un-
electrified population of the country,
and providing uninterrupted quality
power to all consumer categories and
adequate electricity to agricultural
consumers. Availability, affordability,
reliability and quality of electricity
supply are recognised as the key
pillars for successfully achieving the
programme objectives.
One of the priorities for the success
of the ‘Power for All’ programme is
the availability of adequate electricity
to the grid. Availability of power will
depend on two factors—adequate
electricity generated and development
of supporting infrastructure for the
supply of electricity. By 2019, more
than 67,780 crore INR will be set aside
for investment in the Indian electricity
sector, and installed generation
capacity is expected to increase to 372
gigawatts (GW). Coal- and hydro-
based power generation, two major
contributors to the country’s generation
mix and having great potential, shall
dominate the generation mix apart
from renewables.
Investment in the generation sector
shall be followed by the development
of a supporting transmission and
distribution (T&D) system. India’s
losses are above 20%, resulting in a
significant loss of energy resources
and revenue realisation. Reduction
in losses will improve the power
availability and financial health of
distribution companies (DISCOMs).
Improvement in financial health will
increase the power purchasing capacity
of DISCOMs, thereby encouraging
higher generation. Availability of power
in the rural areas will be another key
area of focus for achieving round-
the-clock power supply. However, the
country has already achieved 92.3%
of village electrification, as household
electrification numbers as of May 2016
are quite low. Therefore, the effective
implementation of a GoI scheme like
Deendayal Upadhyaya Gram Jyoti
Yojana (DDUGJY) and Integrated
Power Development Scheme (IPDS)
will remain the focus of DISCOMs.
The success of the ‘Power for All’
programme will depend on
managing effective sector investment,
continuing technological improvements
and efficiently managing the
sector programmes.
In this context, the Confederation
of Indian Industry (CII), along with
PricewaterhouseCoopers Private
Limited (PwC) as the knowledge
partner, is bringing together
policymakers, thought leaders,
investors, utilities, regulators, funding
agencies and private players to discuss
and debate the interventions required
to achieve round-the-clock power
supply and propose directions for
stakeholders in the Indian power and
energy sectors.
Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 3
Trends in power generation
Growing environmental concern about fossil fuel based electricity
generation has turned the tide in favour of cleaner electricity
generation sources worldwide. The United Nations Climate Change
Conference, COP 21 and formation of the International Solar
Alliances bear testimony to this development. Despite the low
price of coal, oil and gas, the percentage of fossil fuel based
electricity generation in the generation mix is in constant
decline. Leading coal-based power consuming countries,
including China, have planned to phase out their coal-based
generation fleet in order to control the increasing level of
air pollution.
In line with the global trend, India, a major coal-based
electricity generator, has planned to increase its renewable
generation capacity to 175 GW by 2022. Despite these massive
planned renewable energy installations, the share of coal-based
power generation in India’s generation mix is not expected to
decline sharply. Electricity demand in India is growing at higher
than 5%—a growth which cannot be effectively
met by renewable energy installations alone, and
hence coal-based power sources will continue to
dominate the mix.
Global outlook
• According to the ‘New Energy Outlook 2016’,
by 2040, zero-emission energy sources are
expected to account for 60% of the global installed
generation base.
• Wind and solar are set to lead renewable
energy installations.
• Natural gas, the relatively cleaner fossil fuel, will
enable the transition from fossil to zero-emission
energy resources.
• Despite the focus on zero-emission energy
resources, the share of fossil fuel
resources, particularly coal, is not
expected to register a steep fall in the
next 25 years.
Key concerns of the Indian
power sector
The Indian power sector is facing key challenges in the form
of lower output from generation units and higher losses. As
of May 2016, the all-India average plant load factor (PLF)
was 62.24%, which has significant scope for improvement.
Concerns of
Indian power sector
• Low PLF/capacity utilisation factor (CUF)
• High transmission and distribution loss level:
20.83 (estimated)
• Aggregate losses (without accounting for subsidies)
for all utilities increased from 64,463 crore INR in FY10
to 1,00,188 crore INR in FY14. (State Power Utilities
Performance Report, PFC)
• The gap between ACS and ARR (on subsidy
received basis) has increased from
0.61 INR/kWh in FY10 to 0.73 INR/kWh
in FY14. (State Power Utilities
Performance Report, PFC)
T&D and aggregate technical and commercial (AT&C) losses of the
country are above 20%, resulting in huge losses, both in terms of
energy and revenue realisation. The financial condition of DISCOMs
in India has severely deteriorated as a result of these high loss levels.
Subsidised power supply is further increasing the gap between the
average cost of supply (ACS) and average revenue realised (ARR).
4 CII - PwC
Electricity is vital for the socio-economic development of any country. India, which aims to be one of the economic superpowers
of the twenty-first century, needs to invest in the sector infrastructure for sustainable development. Uninterrupted supply of
power is one of the prerequisites for any
advanced economy. India, on the other hand,
is facing challenges in providing continuous
power to its citizens. Recognising this need
in June 2014, GoI launched the ‘Power for
All’ programme to address this problem. The
objective of this programme is to provide
round-the-clock uninterrupted quality power
to all consumer categories, except agricultural
consumers. The objective will be achieved
through joint initiatives with individual states
and union territories.
According to Load Generation Balance Report (LGBR) 2016-17, India is expected to have a power surplus in
FY2016–17, although northern, eastern and northeastern states will continue to face a power deficit.
Round-the-clock
electricity for all
Considerations to achieve
‘Electricity for All’
Sector
infrastructure
development
Quality and
reliability of
supply
Consumer’s
affordability
Availability of
electricity
Availability of adequate electricity
Availability of electricity to meet requirements is the key priority of the ‘Power for All’ programme. In the last few years, India
has consistently improved its power supply position. The demand-supply mismatch declined from -9.3% to -2.1% between FY
2012–13 and FY 2015–16, and it is expected to decline further.
Power supply position, India
-9.3
-6.7
-5.1
-2.1
1.1
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2600.0
700.0
800.0
900.0
1,000.0
1,100.0
1,200.0
1,300.0
FY 2012-13 FY 2013-14 FY 2014-15 FY 2015-16 FY 2016-17
D-Sgap(%)
Unitsofelectricity(BUs)
Demand (BUs) Supply (BUs) D-S Gap (%)
Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 5
The eastern states of India, such as Odisha,
Jharkhand and West Bengal, are rich in coal
reserves, but are reeling under a power deficiency.
Development of coal mines, improvement in coal
logistics and other similar initiatives can help these
states to overcome their power deficit situation.
Northern and northeastern states are endowed with
rich hydro resources. According to the LGBR 2016-
17 report, the projected peak deficit in the northern
and northeastern region in FY 2016–17 will be 900
MW and 106 MW respectively, which can be met
by developing unexploited hydro potential of these
two regions.
Affordability of electricity supply
Affordability of electricity shall be another key priority of the programme.
A large percentage of un-electrified rural households are unable to apply
for an electricity connection due to the high cost. High tariff poses a further
burden. Dependence on imported fuel such as coal and natural gas exposes
the cost to the uncertain global market. The alternative is to develop
domestic coal mines and invest in renewable energy development. This will
help not only in securing sustainable tariff but also in increasing energy
security. India ranks fifth in the world both in terms of proved coal reserves
as well as hydro potential.
-1.8
6.9
3.3
-10.3
-8.3
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
North West South East Northeast
D-Sgap(%)
Unitsofelectricity(MUs)
Demand (MUs) Supply (MUs) Surplus/deficit (%)
Region-wise projected power supply position, India, FY 2016-17
Source: Load Generation Balance Report 2016-17, CEA
Segment Expected investment
till FY19 (in thousand
crore INR)
Generation 338.7
Transmission 146.3
Distribution 192.9
Generation
source
Proved reserves/
potential in India
India’s rank
in the world
Coal 125.91 BTs 5th
Hydro 148 GW 5th
Source: GSI
Adequate infrastructure
Infrastructure bottlenecks such as an inadequate transmission and distribution
network have been a key constraint limiting the power evacuation capacity. Increase
in generation capacity requires proportionate growth in the T&D network capacity
for the optimum use of resources and the power system.
Source: User Guide for India’s 2047 Energy Calculator, large hydro
sector, CEA
Hydro potential (MW) at 60% LF
30155
5788
517
2418
915
21949
30425
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
North Northeast
Assessed Developed Under development Balance
6 CII - PwC
According to MoP, the per capita electricity consumption in India during FY 2015–16 was 1,075 kWh (provisional). In the
last five years, the per capita electricity consumption in India has witnessed growth at a CAGR of 5.02%.
23.97% 23.65% 23.04%
21.46% 20.83%
26.35% 26.63%
25.38%
22.70%
15.00%
17.00%
19.00%
21.00%
23.00%
25.00%
27.00%
29.00%
FY 2010-11 FY 2011-12 FY 2012-13 FY 2013-14 FY 2014-15
T&D and AT&C loss level trend
T&D loss AT&C loss
22.7%
15.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
FY 2013-14 FY 2018-19 (Target)
AT&C loss reduction target
Source: CEA, ‘Power for All’ documents, Ministry of Power (MoP)
883.6 914.4 957.0 1,010.0 1,075.0
1,500.0
600.0
1,000.0
1,400.0
FY 2011-12 FY 2012-13 FY 2013-14 FY 2014-15 FY 2015-16 FY 2018-19
(Target)
Source: CEA, 'Power for All' documents, MoP
Per capita consumption (kWh)
Quality and reliability of supply
Adequate infrastructure development, along with the latest technological interventions in the sector, will result in improved
efficiency and the supply of quality power. To improve the efficiency and output of generation stations, PLF and CUF should
be improved. The all-India average PLF as of May 2016 was 62.24%, which is significantly low. The AT&C loss levels of India
are quite high in comparison to those of advanced economies. In FY 2013–14, the AT&C loss levels of the country were
22.7% (provisional). Though both T&D and AT&C loss levels have declined in the last five years, the present loss levels are
still much higher than the targeted loss level for FY 2018–19.
Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 7
Providing uninterrupted quality power supply to a large country such as India will require focus on some key areas such as:
Plans to achieve the
programme objective
Capacity expansion of the
power supply chain
Development of coal
resources and improvement
of coal logistics
Effective programme
implementation
Development of hydro
energy resources
Adoption of technological
intervention
8 CII - PwC
Generation
With growing concern over the
environmental impacts of using
conventional sources of electricity
generation, which mostly comprise
fossil fuels, sector stakeholders are
compelled to take informed decisions
to chart a way forward for the
energy sector which involves cleaner,
affordable, sustainable and reliable
means of energy sourcing.
GoI, in collaboration with the state
governments, has committed to
developing non-conventional
sources such as solar, wind,
biomass, cogeneration bagasse, and
small hydro sources, in addition
to policy-level interventions
in operational performance,
technology implementation
and governance. Well-managed
expansion of energy supply, if
achieved, can considerably improve
the quality of life of India’s 1.3
billion people, particularly the
estimated 240 million that still lack any
access to electricity.
Policymakers are looking to remove
obstacles to investment in energy
supply while also focussing on energy
efficiency and pricing reform. By far,
coal is the most critical fuel in the
energy mix, but India’s recent climate
pledge underlined the country’s
commitment to a growing role for
greener, low-carbon sources of energy,
led by solar and wind power.
Capacity expansion of
the power supply chain
Source: CEA–Executive Summary,16 April
25.19% 33.45% 41.36%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Contribution
Central State Private
Hydro
14.13%
Coal
61.42%
Gas
8.09%
Diesel
0.30%
Renewable
14.15%
Nuclear
1.91%
Thermal
69.81%
Hydro Coal Gas Diesel Renewable Nuclear
Sector-wise contribution to installed
generation capacity, FY 2016
Generation mix of India, FY-2016
Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 9
Generation capacity addition of 36.6 GW of thermal, 33 GW of
renewable, 9.9 GW of hydro and 9.1 GW of nuclear are envisaged
to be added to the grid. Introduction of the renewable energy
generation obligation (RGO) and removal of a cross-subsidy for
power procured from renewable sources, on account of the proposed
amendments to the Electricity Act, 2003, are some of the major
headways providing a huge spur to the expansion of the Indian
renewable energy space.
Renewable-based generation:
As per the MoP policies set for ensuring 24x7 power to all states by
FY 2019, there is a planned investment in the generation segment of
338,664.1 crore INR, including an investment of 156,644 crore INR
in renewable capacity addition. The maximum share of investment is
planned for the northern region, which has huge potential for hydro-
based generation. The north-eastern region, which has an equally
large potential of hydropower, can be considered for tapping energy
to facilitate the mission of expanding the green energy base.
More emphasis should be laid on the renewable capacity augmentation, particularly solar and wind, as they have short gestation
cycles. The alteration of the generation mix as envisaged for the next three years is shown below.
36,560 33,000
9,900 9,100
Thermal Renewable Hydro Nuclear
Source: Strategy for Providing 24X7 Power Supply, FOR
Generation capacity addition target from
FY 2016-17 to FY 2018-19 (MW)
136,939
97,484
71,541
22,166 10,534
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
North West South East Northeast
Source: PFA Documents, MoP
Region-wise investment planned in generation
segment till FY 2019 (crore INR)
Source: Strategy for Providing 24X7 power supply, Forum of Regulatory (FOR)
Generation mix -2019
Thermal
61.18%
Nuclear
4.64%
Hydro
14.70%
Renewable
19.48%
Thermal Renewable Hydro Nuclear Thermal Renewable Hydro Nuclear
Generation mix -2016
Thermal
69.81%
Nuclear
1.91%
Hydro
14.13%
Renewable
14.15%
10 CII - PwC
Key enabler in the area of renewable
energy sources to achieve 24X7
power supply
A planned capacity addition of 15GW for 2016–17 to augment
the renewable installed capacity of 39.5 GW in 2015. The
subsequent capacity additions envisaged as per FOR are
9,000MW each year for FY 2017–18 and FY 2018–19.
The introduction of the mechanism for renewable energy
certificates has led to the mandate of renewable purchase
obligations (RPO), resulting in an increase in the market for
renewable energy.
Implementation of renewable energy in the off-grid and
distributed generation mode has emerged as a solution to
provide green energy to power deficit rural areas.
The Proposed Electricity Amendment Bill, 2014, has provisions
for segregation of carriage and content to renewable energy
and open access to tariff rationalisation along with removal of
cross-subsidy if procured from renewable sources.
Transmission
The surge in demand for power necessitates the development of
a robust and non-collapsible transmission infrastructure. With an
ambitious target set for achieving a generation capacity addition of
over 85 GW by the end of FY 2018–19, corresponding strengthening
of transmission capacity is required to ascertain the availability of
power to the load centre. The presence of a single interconnected
transmission network, which was achieved with the linking of the
southern region with the rest of the grid in December 2013, has not
been fully successful in ensuring reliable power to the nation mainly
because of corridor bottlenecks and congestion issues. Some of the
issues faced during the two phases of implementation of transmission
projects which need immediate attention are as follows:
34,102
25,716
53,891
23,158
9,395
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
North West South East Northeast
Source: PFA Documents, MoP
Region-wise investment planned in the
transmission segment till FY 2019 (crore INR)
Implementation phases Issues
Planning and award •	 Micromanagement of specifications in the tender leave the developer with no room to innovate
•	 Participation of inexperienced players in the bidding process and further submission of unviable and
aggressive bids due to lack of due diligence at the bidding stage
•	 Lengthy concept-to-commissioning time with suboptimal planning process
Execution and
commissioning
•	 Delay in execution of major transmission projects pertaining to resistance from landowners on account
of inadequate compensations, resulting in cost escalations and right of way (ROW) acquisition
•	 Less focus on technology and innovation
Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 11
The life cycle of the transmission project demands proper attention for ensuring round-the-clock power supply. In view of this,
appropriate measures need to be taken to tackle the issues which are dampening the growth of the transmission sector, thereby
highlighting the need to focus on the transmission infrastructure. More than 46% of the total investment required (in excess of
2 lakh crore INR) has to come from the private sector. Evidently, public private partnerships (PPPs) in transmission will provide
a fillip to massive investment as well as capacity augmentation targets.
In order to keep pace with the progress in generation capacity addition, inter-regional transmission links (either associated
with generation projects or as system strengthening schemes) need to be established to tackle persisting problems of corridor
bottlenecks and congestion issues.
Distribution
With the growing demand for power,
necessary steps need to be taken to
ensure the bottlenecks that impede
the expansion of the power sector
are addressed properly. Complex
regulatory processes and high costs of
financing upcoming projects lead to
cost overruns, resulting in high tariffs.
Populist tariff schemes exacerbated
by operational inefficiencies and
aggregate technical and commercial
(AT&C) losses estimated at 22.70% (in
FY14) affect the financial viability of
state DISCOMs, which are grappling
with huge debts.
The distribution networks need
immediate expansion in order to ensure
electricity supply to the un-electrified
BPL households numbering over 15.7
Projected growth of inter-regional transmission capacity by FY 2018-19 (MVA)
3,630
17,930
12,790
2,860
16,920
7,920
6,000
- 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000
ER-SR
ER-NR
ER-WR
ER-NER
NR-WR
WR-SR
NER/ER-NR/WR
• Transmission capacity
expansion of almost three
times by 2020
• 25% of the annual target
of 23,384 ckm planned for
2016–17 commissioned till
date and capacity addition
of 37% of targeted value, i.e.
45,188 MVA
million, along with 9,529 un-electrified
villages. The distribution sector
accounts for nearly 20% of the losses.
A 10% reduction in distribution losses
per annum can augment the supply of
electricity by nearly 100 BU per year.
In order to facilitate the strategic goal
of ensuring round-the-clock power
for the entire nation, the government
has taken several initiatives such
as smart grid, IT enablement and
process automation, high-voltage
distribution system (HVDS), demand
side management (DSM), PPPs, power
trading, and various energy efficiency
(EE) initiatives.
Some of the key factors to be
considered as impetus to the
distribution infrastructure growth in
India are mentioned below:
•	 The technological advancement
needs to be supplemented by
concomitant policy and regulatory
provisions that would provide a
clear roadmap for implementing
smart technologies.
•	 Currently, initiatives in outage
management systems, power
quality managements, demand
response, renewable energy
integration, energy storage,
electrical vehicle, cyber security
and the communication system are
being explored.
•	 A smart grid will be an inevitable
requirement to manage large
numbers of on-grid and off-
grid renewable generators and
distributed direct generation
(DDG) sources.
Integrated Power Development Scheme (IPDS) Carriage and content segregation
Strengthening of sub-T&D network: Augmentation of existing
substations, creation of new substations, installation of new distribution
transformers and capacitors, high voltage distribution system, aerial
bunched cables, enterprise resource planning (ERP), implementation etc.
Metering: Replacement of faulty meters and electro-mechanical meters,
installation of suitable static meters for feeders and existing un-metered
connections, boundary meters for ring fencing of non-RAPDRP towns
with a population above 5,000
IT enablement of distribution sector and distribution
network strengthening
Completion of optical fibre missing links to connect all distribution
grid substations under the establishment of the National Optical Fibre
Network (NOFN)
Initiative for creation of separate distribution
licensees and multiple supply licensees to
boost competition in the retail segment
Ample options for the consumer in terms of
choosing a supplier, as more than one supply
licensee can share space within a particular
distribution area
A transfer scheme needs to be in place so
as to facilitate the takeover of existing power
purchase agreements and procurement
arrangements of relevant distribution
licensees by an intermediary company
Key initiatives for distribution infrastructure development
12 CII - PwC
Rural electrification
GoI, under the flagship scheme of DDUGJY, has an estimated
outlay of 43,033 crore INR, including budgetary support of
33,453 crore INR. The RGGVY scheme, as approved by CCEA
for continuation in the 12th and 13th plans, has been embodied
in this scheme as a separate rural electrification component for
which CCEA has already approved the scheme cost of 39,275
crore INR, including budgetary support of 35,447 crore INR. This
outlay will be carried forward to the new scheme of DDUGJY in
addition to the outlay of 43,033 crore INR.
The state governments are supporting the DISCOMs by funding
a part of the project cost towards agency charges, additional cost
towards bid premium and increase in scope of work, electrical
inspections by DISCOM engineers to avoid delays, dedicated
nodal officers for each package to assist in RoW forest clearance,
site selection, etc.
Highest investment in distribution segment has been planned in
western region, whereas northeastern region will see the least
investment. The smart grid initiatives are given due focus in the
northern and southern regions as compared to other regions.
Villages electrified at the end of a plan
438.3
482.9
557.4
586.5
300.0
350.0
400.0
450.0
500.0
550.0
600.0
650.0
End of 9th
Plan
End of 10th
Plan
End of 11th
Plan
As on April'16
Plan
Source: Power for All, MoP
40,573
58,227
44,645 37,834
11,680
-
50,000
100,000
North West South East Northeast
Source: Power for All, MoP
Investment planned in distribution till FY 2019
Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 13
Currently, India’s power requirement has largely been dominated by coal-based
generation, accounting for approximately 70% of the total installed capacity. As
power generation from coal poses a threat to energy security, India needs to focus
more on a sustainable method of power generation capacity development.
Given its abundance (potential of around 148 GW), hydropower can substantially
contribute towards meeting the energy needs of the country. Regional assessment
of hydropower development shows that almost 40% of the total potential for
hydropower development mainly rests in the northeastern region. However, only
2% of this potential has been developed till now, which is one of the key reasons for
low share of hydropower in the total electricity mix.
Exploitation of the large hydro potential in the northeast region would contribute
significantly in meeting the country’s power needs in the future. The region would
also benefit from the development of associated social benefits such as roads,
schools and electricity supply to remote areas, which would further improve the
quality of life. With only 7% of the tapped potential (installed capacity and project
under construction), the northeast region provides enormous opportunities to the
state governments and hydro developers to harness the rest of the potential.
Status of hydropower development
India is blessed with significant hydropower potential and can cater to a demand of around 85 GW at 60% load factor. But till
date, only 41 GW of hydropower capacity has been installed, which is 28% of the total potential. On the other hand, countries
like Canada and Brazil had harnessed around 69% and 48% of the economically feasible potential back in 2009. In order to
increase the hydropower capacity, GoI has planned 10,897 MW in the 12th
Five Year plan, which is almost 25% of the total hydro
installed capacity. This is due to various issues such as rehabilitation and resettlement (R&R) and local agitation.
Hydropower development
in the northeast region
States Identified
potential
(MW)
Percentage of
capacity under
operation and
construction
Arunachal
Pradesh
50328 6%
Meghalaya 2394 13%
Mizoram 2196 3%
Manipur 1784 6%
Nagaland 1574 5%
Assam 680 55%
Tripura 15 Nil
53
11 9
16
59
18.2
4.2 7.4 11.5
1.2
0
20
40
60
80
North East West South Northeast
Source: CEA
Status of hydropower development in India
Hydro potential (GW) Installed capacity (GW)
36% 47%
58%
28%
35%
0%
50%
100%
0
10000
20000
8th plan 9th plan 10th plan 11th plan 12th plan
(May 2016)
Source: CEA
Planned vs actual capacity addition
Planned capacity addition (MW)
Actual capacity addition (MW)
Target achieved
The actual capacity added till May 2015 was only 2,660 MW.
The same trend can also be observed in the previous five year
plan periods too—for example, in the 11th
Five Year Plan,
only 40% of the target was met. This was due to various
issues in the form of water-sharing disputes, environmental
concerns, R&R issues, land acquisition problems, delay in
procuring clearance and approvals, inadequate technical and
financial capability of developers, etc., which also resulted
in a declining share of hydropower in India’s electricity
mix (e.g. the share of hydropower in electricity mix has
decreased by more than 30% in the last 50 years).
46%
42%41%
1966
1974
1979
1985
1990
1997
2002
2007
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
34%
29%
25%25%26%
20%18%17%15%14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Source: CEA
Hydro proportion of total installed capacity
14 CII - PwC
Overview of hydropower development in the northeast
Status of hydropower development in the northeast
2394 15
1784 680 1574
50328
219613%
0%
6%
55%
5% 6%
3%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
Source: CEA
Identified p otential
Percentage of capacity under operation & construction
M
eghalaya
Tripura
M
anipur
Assam
N
agalandArunachalPd
M
izoram
The northeastern part of India is enriched with bountiful
water resources, mainly the mighty River Brahmaputra,
which provides the region with a huge hydropower potential
comprising 40% of the country’s total potential. However,
till now, only 7% of the total potential of the region has been
tapped and this provides enormous opportunities to developers
to harness rest of the potential.
Among the northeastern states, Arunachal Pradesh has the
highest hydropower potential, accounting for 80% of the total
potential of the region, followed by Sikkim (7%) and Meghalaya
(4%). However, in terms of harnessing the hydro potential,
Assam ranks first with 56%, followed by Sikkim 16% and
Meghalaya 12%. In Arunachal Pradesh, only 405 MW (0.8%)
of the total capacity has been developed so far and additional
capacity of 2710 MW (5.4%) is under construction. This puts
the untapped capacity of Arunachal Pradesh to around 93% of
the total potential.
Key issues related to hydropower
development in the northeast
Hydropower planning
Hydropower planning and development in India are generally project oriented
and not based on any basin development plan. Non-sequential development of a
hydropower project may make it unviable and inefficient.
Multiple projects on the same river will reduce the capacity to generate power from
each plant and thus the energy demand supply gap will persist.
•	 Unexpected costs may emerge due to the development of new projects on the
same river, e.g. by increasing or reducing the level of silt in the water.
•	 Owing to a lack of interstate agreements and disputes on water sharing, a large
number of hydropower projects with common river systems between adjoining
states are delayed.
Technical challenges
Hydropower projects are site specific and depend on the geology, topography
and hydrology of the site. The unpredictable nature of the geology and climatic
conditions impact the accessibility and favourable working conditions of a site.
This unpredictable geology is more pronounced in the young fold mountains of the
Himalayas, where most of the Indian hydropower potential are situated. Moreover,
the availability of experienced engineering, procurement and construction (EPC)
contractors and proper equipment to tackle certain geological surprises is limited.
The threat felt by Bangladesh due to
India’s Tipaimukh Dam in Manipur
and China’s alleged plan to divert the
Brahmaputra suggest the potential of
transboundary conflicts over the use
of water resources.
Kameng (600 MW) and Pare
(110 MW) projects of Arunachal
Pradesh have been delayed due
to poor geology.
The cost of the associated transmission
system for the evacuation of electricity
from the Kameng Hydroelectric
Project (600 MW) is estimated at
11,000 million INR, which is about 50%
of the project’s cost of generation, thus
making the construction cost high.
Financing challenges
Hydropower projects are capital-intensive and require high upfront costs to address greater complexities in design, engineering,
environmental mitigation, etc., which leads to time and cost overruns and increases the uncertainty in cash inflows. Moreover,
project financing in such a risk-prone environment is a big challenge and leads to higher risk premiums. This increases the cost
of financing and deters investors from going on full recourse financing option.
Enabling infrastructure
Most of the hydropower projects are located in remote areas which do not have
adequate transmission infrastructure for power evacuation due to various reasons,
such as site inaccessibility, absence of integrated generation and transmission plans,
and lack of demand.
In northeast India, the construction of a transmission line is very expensive and
time-consuming due to the difficult terrain and adverse climatic conditions.
Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 15
Social and environmental impacts
Hydropower projects are site specific and may impact
the environment in a variety of ways, such as affecting
the natural river system and changing the river course,
thereby impacting the flora and fauna. The construction
of hydropower dams involves the establishment of
large infrastructure, which leads to deforestation
and disruption of forest ecosystems and reduction of
biodiversity, thus significantly affecting livelihood and
increasing the possibility of conflicts.
Way forward
Hydropower development is challenged by varying risks and uncertainties and needs government support and
developers’ experience in terms of data availability, financing, technical competence, etc., for the efficient development
of the sector. Sustainable growth in the sector can be undertaken by considering the following measures:
•	 The Tipaimukh High Dam, located on the border of Manipur
and Mizoram, led to displacement and loss of livelihood for a
large number of indigenous communities mostly belonging to
the Zeliangrong and Hmar peoples.
•	 The proposed 2,700-MW Lower Siang Hydroelectric Project
has been opposed on grounds of social and ecological
destruction, limited sustainable livelihood, increased
seismicity in the region, and other major downstream impacts.
Governance framework
•	 Basin-wide planning needs to be
developed to understand the effect
of one project on another and to
ensure efficient project allocation
in a river basin.
•	 Creation of a single window
and defining specific timelines
for statutory and non-statutory
clearances for facilitating
clearances and approvals will
help the developers of large
infrastructure projects to minimise
the time taken for these processes.
Financing options
•	 Discounted interest rates may
be provided on long-term loans
during construction and early years
of operation along with higher
depreciation in early periods to
assist the developer in generating
sufficient revenue for meeting
repayment obligations.
•	 PPP initiatives like viability gap
funding (VGF) can be explored
to make hydropower projects
price competitive.
Technological aspect
•	 Hydro projects in the Himalayan
region are full of geological
surprises, and developers are
required to opt for modern
machinery and techniques
to enhance the capability
to deal with contingencies.
Development of knowledge
and experience and
handholding with developers
from other territories with
successful experience of similar
projects may prove beneficial in
this aspect.
Associated infrastructure
development
•	 Development of a dedicated
transmission corridor along with
provisions for building pooling
substations in locations having
a large concentration of hydro
resources to facilitate developers
in reducing their cost on account
of last mile connectivity
Social and environmental
aspect
•	 Social and environmental impact
assessments need to be given
due importance and project
affected persons (PAPs) need to
be involved with the developer
and the government in order to
eradicate the differences and
get legal and social consent.
In addition, development of
technical training centres,
clinics and health centres,
schools, etc., can contribute
towards improving the
socio-economic condition
of the region and gaining
public acceptance.
R&R
•	 Non-availability of land
ownership records in the
northeastern states and the
lack of manpower and logistical
resources with the district
administration delays the land
acquisition process. Thus, state
governments should generate
land ownership records and
provide the required manpower
and logistical resources to
district administration for
timely completion of the land
acquisition process.
•	 The local governments
must effectively channelise
development funds, upfront
premium, etc., to invest in such
associated infrastructure with
the objective of improving the
socio-economic condition of
the area.
16 CII - PwC
Developments in the
coal sector
Close to 70% of existing generation capacity is thermal and thermal power will dominate the generation by more than 62%
in 2019. Coal-fired power plants remain a key contributor to electricity supply in India and are expected to dominate the
generation mix in near future. For ensuring round-the-clock electricity supply, adequate mining and sourcing of coal shall
remain one of the key focus areas for the power sector.
According to government estimates, coal demand is likely to be the range of 1.2 to 1.5 billion tonnes (BT) by FY 2020. This
demand will continue to be mainly driven by the power sector, which will account for about 65–70% of the total demand. The
government aims to minimise the dependence on imports for catering to the demand. In order to achieve this objective, the
government has envisaged producing 1 BT from Coal India Limited (CIL), 100 million tonnes (MT) from the Singareni Collieries
Company Limited (SCCL) and 400 MT from other sources by FY 2020. Over the last year, a number of developments have taken
place in the coal sector for the improvement of coal supply, rationalisation of linkages, cost optimisation, etc.
Status of blocks allocated
to power sector
Of the total 75 coal blocks allocated so far, 49 blocks (40
blocks – allocated, 9 blocks – auctioned) with a combined
annual capacity of around 261 MT have been allocated for
‘power’ end use and the rest for the non-regulated sector.
Three auctioned blocks, namely Amelia North (Madhya
Pradesh), Sarisatolli (West Bengal) and Talabira-I
(Odisha), have commenced production in FY 16. The
production from these three blocks till February 2016 was
5.30 MT, which represents only 2% of the total annual
capacity of 267 MTPA.
State Number of blocks
allocated for power
end use
Capacity
(MTPA)
Jharkhand 13 97
West Bengal 10 18
Chhattisgarh 9 88
Odisha 9 57
Maharashtra 6 2.50
Telangana 1 2.50
Madhya Pradesh 1 3
Total 49 267
MDO selection
process
Number of
blocks
Peak rated
capacity (MTPA)
MDO appointed or in
final stages of selection
7
(completed for 4
blocks)
66
Tender for MDO
selection has been
floated
15 65
Key areas for augmentation of coal production to meet
power sector demand
Selection of mine developer cum operator
(MDO) model
Most of these government companies intend to develop
and operate their coal blocks through the MDO model.
Of the combined capacity of 231 MT of allotted blocks for
the power sector, the MDO selection process for only 29%
(66 MTPA) capacity has made substantial progress. With
about 58,770 MW of the power sector capacity linked
to these 40 blocks, it is critical to accelerate the process
of MDO selection and implement an effective project
management system to keep the projects on schedule.
Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 17
Funding requirement for
development of coal blocks
Low foreign direct investment (<0.05%
of total) inflow in coal production
between 2011–15, a large number of
stressed assets in banks’ balance sheets
and the high debt-to-equity ratio of
Indian companies are some of the
key concerns related to sourcing of
capital required for enhancing the coal
production. Nearly, 52,000 crore INR
will be required for achieving the 267
MT production from 49 blocks allotted,
auctioned for power end use. Thus,
to source and manage the required
investment, the following steps need to
be taken by the government and coal
mine owners:
•	 Developing an effective credit
risk monitoring and management
system for banks
•	 Development of debt management
plan to ensure capital inflow at
reasonable rates
•	 Dynamic management of working
capital
Requirement of coal
transportation infrastructure
in the eastern region
In order to meet India’s growing energy
demand, CIL has estimated a coal
production capacity of 908 MT by FY
2020. MCL, ECL, Bharat Coking Coal
Limited (BCCL) and Central Coalfields
Limited (CCL), which have mines in
Jharkhand, Odisha and West Bengal,
are expected to produce 499 MT (56%)
of the 908 MT planned production in
FY 2020. Also, 31 of the total 48 blocks
allocated for ‘power’ end use are in
these three states. Production capacity
of these 31 blocks is approximately
64% of the total production capacity
of the blocks allocated for power end
use. These 31 coal blocks are linked to
45,850 MW of power capacity, of which
53% lies outside Jharkhand, Odisha
and West Bengal.
Rail transport has a comparative
advantage over road transport in terms
of energy consumption, financing costs
and CO2 emissions. Thus, rail transport
will play a vital role in coal evacuation
from coal mines located in these states.
However, the major challenge in using
rail transport is the overutilisation of
the existing system. The percentage of
overutilised sections of the East Coast
Railways, Eastern Railways and Eastern
Central Railways is 48%, 63% and 47%,
respectively.
In order to tackle this challenge, CIL
has identified two critical railway lines
in Jharkhand and Odisha.
•	 In Jharkhand, 60 MT of CCL’s
planned production is dependent
on the Tori-Shivpur-Kathotia
line. The Tori-Shivpur section
is expected to be completed by
2016–17, but the Shivpur-Kathotia
section has an undecided timeline
due to issues pertaining to land
acquisition and forest clearance.
•	 Mines with a total capacity of 72
MT depend on the Jharsuguda-
Barpali-Sardega single line in
Odisha. Timely completion of this
railway line will be critical for coal
evacuation from mines located in
Odisha. Further, seven new projects
have also been identified in Odisha
for strengthening the evacuation
infrastructure.
Apart from this, availability of wagons
will play a critical role in coal evacuation.
In FY 2020, CIL will require an additional
115 rakes per day with an investment
of 1,744 crore INR and the coal blocks
allocated for power end use will require
26 rakes per day with an investment of
394 crore INR. Therefore, strengthening
of railway systems for coal evacuation
will require huge investments.
Availability of funds has been a major
bottleneck in this process. Thus, the
success of private sector participation
through the government’s NGRPL model,
which tries to properly allocate risk
between the private and public sectors
can be the possible solution.
Removing the quality
constraints
Environment (Protection) Amendment
Rules, 2014, state that the coal
transported for thermal power plants
with a distance greater than 500 km
from the pithead must use raw or
blended or beneficiated coal with ash
content not exceeding 34%. For FY
2020, the government has estimated
that 63 MT of coal will be required to be
transported beyond 500 km as per the
fuel supply agreement. CIL has planned
the addition of 94 MT of non-coking
coal washing capacity to the existing
101.5 MT capacity, to ensure coal
transported beyond 500 km has ash
content below 34%.
18 CII - PwC
Coal blocks for commercial mining
On 16 March 2016, the Ministry of Coal
(MoC) issued an order directing the
nominated authority to carry out the
allotment of 16 coal mines earmarked
for state public sector units for sale of
coal. The sale of coal can be through a
coal supply agreement or spot sale. In
case the coal is sold to an independent
power producer, such sale should
not result in an increase in the power
tariff. These commercial mining blocks
provide an additional fuel source for
thermal power stations. The states need
to devise a suitable framework and
model fuel supply agreement for the
sale of coal from such mines.
As per the model allotment document,
25% coal production from mines
should be sold to micro, small and
medium enterprises (MSMEs), and
the remaining to other buyers on pan-
India basis in a fair and transparent
manner. It has been observed that some
of the states may not be in a position
to comply with the requirement of
25% sale to MSMEs owing to the low
demand from the MSME sector. For
example, in Odisha, the estimated
allocation from the Baitarani West coal
block to MSMEs is nearly 20 times the
present coal requirement of MSMEs in
the state. Considering this, there may
be a risk of no offtake of the complete
MSME share. In such scenarios, the
central government should provide
flexibility to state governments to
determine the quantum allocations to
the MSME sector.
Focus on reduction of cost of power generation
In November 2015, the Union Cabinet approved the Ujwal DISCOM Assurance
Yojana (UDAY) scheme, which aims at improving financial and operation
efficiencies of state DISCOMs. One of the four key initiatives of this scheme is the
reduction of cost of power generation
On 8 June 2016, the Central Electricity Authority (CEA) released a methodology
for flexibility in the utilisation of domestic coal for reducing the cost of power
generation in the state or central generating stations (methodology for IPPs will be
notified separately). The methodology provides:
•	 Consolidation of coal company-wise linkages of state- or centre-owned
power generating stations with respective states (or power utility) or central
generating stations, as applicable
•	 CIL or SCCL has the flexibility to supply from alternate sources (of similar
landed cost and quality), if supply from an identified source is not possible
•	 Provision of transfer of coal between (a) one state and another state (b)
any state and central generating companies based on mutual agreement
and applicable CERC/SERC regulations. Such an arrangement will not be
considered as trade or barter for taxation.
•	 Coordination among MoP, MoC, Ministry of Railways, CEA and POSOCO for
addressing issues in implementation of the scheme
The above features provide for the rationalisation of linkages and will help in
ensuring optimum utilisation of coal for the benefit of the country. If successful,
flexibility may also be provided for IPPs.
•	 Increasing supply of coal
•	 Rationalisation of coal
linkages
•	 Liberal coal swaps from
inefficient to efficient plants
•	 Rationalisation based on
GCV (gross calorific value)
for coal prices
•	 Removing quality constraint
by supply of washed and
crushed coal
•	 States will be allocated coal
linkages at notified price,
based on which states will
conduct tariff based bidding
Key steps envisaged for
reduction of cost of power:
Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 19
Auction of coal linkages
On 15 February 2016, MoC issued
policy guidelines for auction of linkages
of non-regulated sector. This will
increase transparency and may also
result in revenue maximisation for
the government. The first tranche of
auction by CIL for around 23.25 MT
(metric) per annum (MTPA) quantum
is already underway.
As per various news reports, the central
government may grant the power
of distributing coal linkages for the
power sector to an agency/company of
a respective state, which would then
allocate the linkages to consumers. This
will lead to an increased role of the
state in administering the coal supply.
Factors increasing cost of power generation
•	 Increase in Clean Environment Cess to 400 INR per tonne (from earlier 200 INR/tonne)
will lead to additional cost to power consumers.
•	 Contribution towards District Mineral Fund (DMF):
•	 30% of royalty for leases granted before 12 January 2015
•	 10% of royalty for leases granted after 12 January 2015
Decline in cost of imports
Global coal prices have declined in the
last four years and last year, the global
seaborne traded coal prices was at a
decadal low. India’s coal import bill
reduced by 25% from 95,500 crore
INR in FY 2015 to 72,100 crore INR in
FY2016, primarily owing to a drop in
global coal prices. The recent release of
market reports (Singapore Exchange,
International Monetary Fund, World
Bank, etc.) suggests that commodity
prices may remain flat for the next few
years and then start to rise as global
demand exceeds supply. Considering
this, the import of coal may be an
advantageous option for some of
power companies in India at least in
the short term.
In conclusion
Owing to the number of changes
in the sector, consumers now
see more options such as captive
blocks, commercial mining blocks,
opportunities for efficient usage of
linkages and cheap import coal to
cater to their coal requirements.
This calls for a prudent approach by
companies to develop an integrated
policy at company level to ensure
coal security in the medium and long
term and, at the same time, minimise
the landed cost. The owners of
captive coal blocks need to expedite
the development and operations
of projects to ensure they are on
schedule. This would require setting
up of effective project management
units or systems and appointment of
capable MDOs for optimum utilisation
of resources.
20 CII - PwC
Use of the latest technologies and IT implementation can have a major impact on the Indian power sector and will
help the country to move a step closer to its round-the-clock power supply goal. The latest technologies such as
advanced generation technologies, IT enablement, operational technologies and smart technologies will result in
higher output of the sector.
Smart grid project overview
Participation of consumers to control power flows with the help of digital communication and control systems
forms the core objective of smart grid projects. Rapid growth of renewable energy also requires a highly adaptive
grid such as a smart grid, which can accommodate any irregular changes in supply. Till date, nine smart grid
projects have been awarded in the country. An overview is presented below:
Technological
enablement
Smart
grid projects
in India
Northern
•	 UHBVN, Haryana
Project cost: 93
•	 PSPCL, Punjab
Project cost: 10.11
•	 HPSEB, Himachal Pradesh
Project cost: 19.45
Southern
•	 CESC, Mysore
Project cost: 32.59
•	 TSSPDCL,
Telangana
Project cost: 41.82
•	 PED, Puducherry
Project cost: 46.11
North East
•	 APDCL, Assam
Project cost: 29.94
•	 TSECL, Tripura
Project cost: 63.43
Eastern
•	 WBSEDCL,
West Bengal
Project cost: 7.03
Figures are in crore INR
Source: ISGF
Key factors contributing to the
success of smart grid projects
across the world:
•	 Encouraging private sector participation
•	 Capacity planning and management
•	 DSM impacting analysis and identifying
areas of improvement
•	 Equipment usage analysis and load planning
Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 21
Other technologies
The Internet of things (IoT), along with smart grid projects, will have a major impact on the way the power supply
chain operates. Business intelligence on the other hand will help the decision makers to take more informed decisions.
But the extensive use of IT and digital networks will make the system prone to cyberattacks; hence, there is a need to
promote cyber security of the power system.
Key trends
Cyber
security
Data
analytics and
business
intelligence
will help in
Internet of
things (IoT)
•	 With the increase in IT and OT
enablement, networks are prone
to attacks.
•	 A cyberattack on the power sector
will have a cascading effect on other
infrastructure such as transportation,
communication.
•	 Security audit and risk planning
strategies will help utilities to work in
a secure environment.
•	 Improved decision-making for
commercial as well as operations
•	 Effective demand projections
and planning
•	 Consumer meter data analytics
helping utilities in identifying
tempering
•	 Equipment or machine history analysis
helping in predictive maintenance
•	 Improve resilience of the grid
•	 Better chances of accommodating
different energy sources
•	 Better asset management
•	 Actively manage and optimise the
use of resources
•	 Field force communication
22 CII - PwC
Considering the complexities of various initiatives in power generation, transmission and distribution, the
success of the ‘Round-the-Clock Power for All’ programme will largely depend on the way it is implemented in
an integrated manner, including regular review of the progress and resolution of concerns by stakeholders. The
programme implementation process in such a large sector programme can be broadly classified into four stages:
project planning, procurement, implementation and post-implementation.
Key areas of concerns in different phases of project implementation
•	 Demand
projection
•	 System studies
analysis
•	 Feasiblity study
•	 Scheme
approvals
•	 Funding tie-ups
•	 Finaliastion
of scope,
spefications
and packages
•	 Bid documents
preparation
•	 Bid process
management
•	 Contract
management
•	 Supervision
and quality
reviews
•	 Progress
monitoring
•	 Guarantee
or warranty
management
•	 Maintenance of
asset during
defect liablity
period
•	 Programme closure
and assessment
Effective programme
management
Project planning Procurement Implementation Post-
implementation
Project planning Procurement Implementation
•	 Unrealistic demand
forecasting
•	 Lack of information of
existing assets
•	 Inadequate planning without
systematic system studies
•	 Delays in proposal approvals
•	 Concerns related to fund
tie-up due to poor financial
condition of utilities
•	 Competencies upgradation of
utility staff
•	 Lack of standard
specifications
•	 Utility centric tender
conditions
•	 Non-standard bidding
documents
•	 L1-based selection results
in quality procurement and
delivery
•	 Delay in bid process
management
•	 Enforcement of funding
agencies
•	 Competencies upgradation
of utility staff
•	 Lack of programme monitoring
practices and tools
•	 Absence of field quality plan
•	 Lack of implementation
supervision
•	 Issues pertaining to land
acquisition and RoW remains
•	 Performance of vendors and
suppliers
•	 Competencies upgradation of
utility staff
•	 Substantive deviation from
initial plan
•	 Poor maintenance of assets in
defect liability period
•	 Minimal support from vendors
•	 Absence of programme
closure assessment vis-a-vis
programme objective
Post-implementation
Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 23
Expectation from key stakeholders
The key stakeholders that would be responsible for successful implementation of the scheme are the central or state
government, respective electricity regulators, power utilities, OEM and service providers. The following table highlights key
expectations from these stakeholders for the successful implementation of the programme.
Exact load estimation is critical to capacity development and
project planning. System studies help in analysing ad-hoc
project implementation trends, and thereby help to improve
the accuracy of project planning. Lack of adequate information
on existing assets leads to faulty requirement estimations and
analysis of the existing system. DPR reports prepared for the
projects should be comprehensive. The statutory clearance
process involved in the project planning phase is usually time
consuming, often leading to delays in project implementation.
The procurement stage involves bid process management.
In bid process management, approvals are taken for inviting
tenders, bidding documents are prepared and tenders are
published. Upon receiving a number of bids, successful bidders
are selected, purchase orders or work orders are issued to them
and an agreement is signed. Lack of standard bid documents,
standard specifications and a strict timeline for conducting the
bid process are some of the key challenges associated with
this stage.
The implementation stage deals with supervision, monitoring
and review of the actual physical progress. A lack of programme
monitoring practices and usage of tools is the key problem
associated with this stage. For a long time, the Indian power
sector has been facing a key problem in the form of land
acquisition and RoW, thus delaying project implementation.
In the post-implementation stage, the focus is on asset
maintenance, guarantee or warranty management. Usually,
there is a notable difference between the initial plans and
final outcomes. This substantive difference is one of the key
challenges faced in this stage. A number of parallel programmes
are running at the same time; thus, there are no programme
closure assessments, which otherwise would have improved the
outcomes of any similar future programme.
Government Electricity regulator Power utilities Equipment supplier and
service providers
•	 Facilitate timely approval
and clearances
•	 Participate in
regular programme
monitoring process
•	 Encourage private sector
participation in T&D
•	 Support in development
of domestic vendors by
providing incentives
•	 Encorage policy for
development of RE
•	 Arrange funds
for schemes
and programmes
•	 Timely investment
approvals
•	 Periodic investment
monitoring and
including penalty and
incentive provision
•	 Allowing regular tariff
revisions, liquidation of
regulatory assets, etc.
•	 Increase production
capacity to meet
the requirement
•	 Increase research
and development and
technologic innovations
•	 Enhance competency of
staff and contractor
•	 Improve project planning
methodology
•	 Adopt standard practices
such as standard
drawing, specification
and introduce balanced
contract provision
•	 Improve programme/
project management
practices
•	 Improved vendor
management
•	 Institutional reforms,
fix responsibilities and
accountabilities, capacity
building of staff
24 CII - PwC
Way forward
•	 Generation companies need to
develop an integrated policy
at the company level to ensure
coal security in the medium and
long term, and at the same time
minimise the landed cost. The
owners of captive coal blocks
need to expedite the development
and operations of projects to
ensure that they are on schedule.
This would require setting up of
effective project management
units/systems and appointment
of capable MDOs for the optimum
utilisation of resources.
•	 The inter-regional transmission
network needs to be strengthened
to tackle the persisting problems of
corridor bottleneck and congestion
issues.
•	 Adoption of efficient technologies
and stringent qualification is one
of the prerequisites to facilitate the
participation of competent players.
•	 A realistic policy for the payment of
reasonable compensation to ease
out the problems of RoW may help
in avoiding cost and time overruns
of transmission projects.
•	 IT and new technologies
implementation systems such as
smart grid projects, IoT and BI will
significantly improve the operational
efficiency of the power system.
•	 Effective programme management
of government schemes like
DDUGJY, IPDS and UDAY will be key
to the successful implementation
of projects and achievement of the
‘Power for All’ programme objective.
•	 Institutional strengthening and
capacity building of utilities shall be
critical in order to reap the benefits
of sector reform.
•	 Programme closure assessment will
be helpful in devising a better plan
for any future projects.
Achieving the objective of the ‘Round-
the-clock power supply’ programme
will not be an easy task. But the
improved fuel availability scenario,
achieving the target capacity additions
well within time or even earlier,
increasing investments, and aggressive
bids for renewable energy projects are
some of the encouraging trends that
indicate that India can achieve this
humongous feet in the near future.
Some other notable factors that
are essential for the success of this
programme are as follows:
•	 Coal, hydro and renewable energy
sources development is necessary
for both the energy security of
the country as well as enabling it
to supply uninterrupted quality
supply to the entire population.
•	 Generation capacity is expected to
increase by more than 15% from its
present installed capacity to meet
the demand level by FY 2019.
Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 25
Bibliography
1.	 Ministry of Power. Power for All Documents. Retrieved from
http://powermin.nic.in/en/content/power-all
2.	 Central Electricity Authority. Load Generation Balance Report 2012-13 to 2016-17. Retrieved from
www.cea.nic.in/reports/annual/lgbr/lgbr-2016.pdf
3.	 Central Electricity Authority. User Guide for India’s 2047 Energy Calculator, Large Hydro Sector. Retrieved from
www.indiaenergy.gov.in/docs/Renewables.pdf
4.	 Central Electricity Authority. Executive summary, May 16. Retrieved from
http://cea.nic.in/reports/monthly/executivesummary/2016/exe_summary-05.pdf
5.	 Forum of Regulators. Strategy for Providing 24x7 Power Supply. Retrieved from
www.forumofregulators.gov.in/Data/WhatsNew/24x7.pdf
6.	 Indian Smart Grid Forum. Smart Grid Bulletin, Jan to May 2016. Retrieved from
www.indiasmartgrid.org/upload/201602Wed041715.pdf
7.	 New Energy Outlook. NEO2016 – Executive summary. Retrieved from
http://www.bloomberg.com/company/new-energy-outlook/
8.	 Indian Smart Grid Forum. ISGF - Smart Grid Project Book - A Global Snapshot, April 2015. Retrieved from
http://www.indiasmartgrid.org/document/ISGF-Smart%20Grid%20Project%20Book%20-%20A%20Global%
20Snapshot.pdf
9.	 Power Finance Corporation Ltd. Performance Report of State Power Utilities. Retrieved from
http://www.pfcindia.com/Content/PerformanceReport.aspx
26 CII - PwC
About CII
The Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) works to create and sustain an environment
conducive to the development of India, partnering industry, the government, and civil
society, through advisory and consultative processes.
CII is a non-government, not-for-profit, industry-led and industry-managed organisation,
playing a proactive role in India’s development process. Founded in 1895, India’s premier
business association has over 8,000 members, from the private as well as public sectors,
including SMEs and MNCs, and an indirect membership of over 2,00,000 enterprises from
around 240 national and regional sectoral industry bodies.
CII charts change by working closely with the government on policy issues, interfacing
with thought leaders, and enhancing efficiency, competitiveness and business
opportunities for industry through a range of specialised services and strategic global
linkages. It also provides a platform for consensus-building and networking on key issues.
Extending its agenda beyond business, CII assists industry to identify and execute
corporate citizenship programmes. Partnerships with civil society organisations carry
forward corporate initiatives for integrated and inclusive development across diverse
domains, including affirmative action, healthcare, education, livelihood, diversity
management, skill development, empowerment of women, and water, to name a few.
The CII theme for 2016-17, ‘Building National Competitiveness’, emphasises industry’s
role in partnering the government to accelerate competitiveness across sectors, with
sustained global competitiveness as the goal. The focus is on six key enablers: Human
Development; Corporate Integrity and Good Citizenship; Ease of Doing Business;
Innovation and Technical Capability; Sustainability; and Integration with the World.
With 66 offices, including 9 Centres of Excellence, in India, and 9 overseas offices in
Australia, Bahrain, China, Egypt, France, Germany, Singapore, the UK, and USA, as well
as institutional partnerships with 320 counterpart organisations in 106 countries, CII
serves as a reference point for Indian industry and the international business community.
Confederation of Indian Industry
The Mantosh Sondhi Centre
23, Institutional Area, Lodi Road, New Delhi - 110 003 (India)
T: 91 11 45771000 / 24629994-7 * F: 91 11 24626149
E: info@cii.in * W: www.cii.in
Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 27
About PwC
At PwC, our purpose is to build trust in society and solve important problems. We’re a
network of firms in 157 countries with more than 2,08,000 people who are committed to
delivering quality in assurance, advisory and tax services. Find out more and tell us what
matters to you by visiting us at www.pwc.com
In India, PwC has offices in these cities: Ahmedabad, Bengaluru, Chennai, Delhi NCR,
Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mumbai and Pune. For more information about PwC India’s service
offerings, visit www.pwc.com/in
PwC refers to the PwC International network and/or one or more of its member firms,
each of which is a separate, independent and distinct legal entity in separate lines of
service. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details.
©2016 PwC. All rights reserved
You can connect with us on:
	facebook.com/PwCIndia
	 twitter.com/PwC_IN
	linkedin.com/company/pwc-india
	youtube.com/pwc
Key contributors:
•	 Pramod Thakur
•	 Pukhraj Sethiya
•	 Bhavesh Singhavi
•	 Suddhasatta Kundu
•	 Tanmay Kumar Mishra
•	 Rutwik Rath
Contacts:
Yogesh Daruka
Partner, Power and Utilities
Debasis Mohapatra
Director, Power and Utilities
Subhrajit Datta Ray
Director, Power and Utilities
PricewaterhouseCoopers Pvt Ltd
Plot No Y-14, Block EP, Sector V, Salt Lake Electronics Complex
Bidhan Nagar, Kolkata - 700 091, West Bengal, India
Telephone: +91-33-2357 9260, 7600
Telecopier: +91-33-2357 7496, 7456
pwc.in
Data Classification: DC0
This document does not constitute professional advice. The information in this document has been obtained or derived from sources believed
by PricewaterhouseCoopers Private Limited (PwCPL) to be reliable but PwCPL does not represent that this information is accurate or complete.
Any opinions or estimates contained in this document represent the judgment of PwCPL at this time and are subject to change without notice.
Readers of this publication are advised to seek their own professional advice before taking any course of action or decision, for which they are
entirely responsible, based on the contents of this publication. PwCPL neither accepts or assumes any responsibility or liability to any reader of
this publication in respect of the information contained within it or for any decisions readers may take or decide not to or fail to take.
© 2016 PricewaterhouseCoopers Private Limited. All rights reserved. In this document, “PwC” refers to PricewaterhouseCoopers Private
Limited (a limited liability company in India having Corporate Identity Number or CIN : U74140WB1983PTC036093), which is a member firm of
PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited (PwCIL), each member firm of which is a separate legal entity.
SUS/August2016-7144

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CII-PWC report: Round the Clock Power Supply

  • 1. Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector www.pwc.in Contents Introduction p2 / Round-the-clock electricity for all p4 / Plans to achieve the programme objective p7 / Capacity expansion of the power supply chain p8 / Hydropower development in the northeast region p13 / Developments in the coal sector p16 / Technological enablement p20 / Effective programme management p22
  • 2. 2 CII - PwC Introduction Rapid economic growth in India has led to a surge in energy demand in the country. India, the fourth largest producer of electricity in the world, has witnessed a transformational change in the energy sector, with supportive policy interventions as well as sector reforms. Despite the phenomenal growth in generation capacity over the past years, India is grappling with a power deficit situation. Over 15.5 million below poverty line (BPL) households and 9,500 villages are still devoid of electricity. The per capita electricity consumption in India is much below the global average. This necessitates a review of actions by the sector stakeholders and better planning for achieving key performance indicators (KPIs). Energy is one of the key elements necessary for the socio-economic development of any country. The success of key initiatives such as ‘Make in India’, along with growing urbanisation and social upliftment of rural India, will depend on the availability of uninterrupted quality electricity supply to consumers. In June 2014, the Government of India (GoI) launched the ‘Power for All’ programme with the objective of providing electricity supply to the un- electrified population of the country, and providing uninterrupted quality power to all consumer categories and adequate electricity to agricultural consumers. Availability, affordability, reliability and quality of electricity supply are recognised as the key pillars for successfully achieving the programme objectives. One of the priorities for the success of the ‘Power for All’ programme is the availability of adequate electricity to the grid. Availability of power will depend on two factors—adequate electricity generated and development of supporting infrastructure for the supply of electricity. By 2019, more than 67,780 crore INR will be set aside for investment in the Indian electricity sector, and installed generation capacity is expected to increase to 372 gigawatts (GW). Coal- and hydro- based power generation, two major contributors to the country’s generation mix and having great potential, shall dominate the generation mix apart from renewables. Investment in the generation sector shall be followed by the development of a supporting transmission and distribution (T&D) system. India’s losses are above 20%, resulting in a significant loss of energy resources and revenue realisation. Reduction in losses will improve the power availability and financial health of distribution companies (DISCOMs). Improvement in financial health will increase the power purchasing capacity of DISCOMs, thereby encouraging higher generation. Availability of power in the rural areas will be another key area of focus for achieving round- the-clock power supply. However, the country has already achieved 92.3% of village electrification, as household electrification numbers as of May 2016 are quite low. Therefore, the effective implementation of a GoI scheme like Deendayal Upadhyaya Gram Jyoti Yojana (DDUGJY) and Integrated Power Development Scheme (IPDS) will remain the focus of DISCOMs. The success of the ‘Power for All’ programme will depend on managing effective sector investment, continuing technological improvements and efficiently managing the sector programmes. In this context, the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII), along with PricewaterhouseCoopers Private Limited (PwC) as the knowledge partner, is bringing together policymakers, thought leaders, investors, utilities, regulators, funding agencies and private players to discuss and debate the interventions required to achieve round-the-clock power supply and propose directions for stakeholders in the Indian power and energy sectors.
  • 3. Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 3 Trends in power generation Growing environmental concern about fossil fuel based electricity generation has turned the tide in favour of cleaner electricity generation sources worldwide. The United Nations Climate Change Conference, COP 21 and formation of the International Solar Alliances bear testimony to this development. Despite the low price of coal, oil and gas, the percentage of fossil fuel based electricity generation in the generation mix is in constant decline. Leading coal-based power consuming countries, including China, have planned to phase out their coal-based generation fleet in order to control the increasing level of air pollution. In line with the global trend, India, a major coal-based electricity generator, has planned to increase its renewable generation capacity to 175 GW by 2022. Despite these massive planned renewable energy installations, the share of coal-based power generation in India’s generation mix is not expected to decline sharply. Electricity demand in India is growing at higher than 5%—a growth which cannot be effectively met by renewable energy installations alone, and hence coal-based power sources will continue to dominate the mix. Global outlook • According to the ‘New Energy Outlook 2016’, by 2040, zero-emission energy sources are expected to account for 60% of the global installed generation base. • Wind and solar are set to lead renewable energy installations. • Natural gas, the relatively cleaner fossil fuel, will enable the transition from fossil to zero-emission energy resources. • Despite the focus on zero-emission energy resources, the share of fossil fuel resources, particularly coal, is not expected to register a steep fall in the next 25 years. Key concerns of the Indian power sector The Indian power sector is facing key challenges in the form of lower output from generation units and higher losses. As of May 2016, the all-India average plant load factor (PLF) was 62.24%, which has significant scope for improvement. Concerns of Indian power sector • Low PLF/capacity utilisation factor (CUF) • High transmission and distribution loss level: 20.83 (estimated) • Aggregate losses (without accounting for subsidies) for all utilities increased from 64,463 crore INR in FY10 to 1,00,188 crore INR in FY14. (State Power Utilities Performance Report, PFC) • The gap between ACS and ARR (on subsidy received basis) has increased from 0.61 INR/kWh in FY10 to 0.73 INR/kWh in FY14. (State Power Utilities Performance Report, PFC) T&D and aggregate technical and commercial (AT&C) losses of the country are above 20%, resulting in huge losses, both in terms of energy and revenue realisation. The financial condition of DISCOMs in India has severely deteriorated as a result of these high loss levels. Subsidised power supply is further increasing the gap between the average cost of supply (ACS) and average revenue realised (ARR).
  • 4. 4 CII - PwC Electricity is vital for the socio-economic development of any country. India, which aims to be one of the economic superpowers of the twenty-first century, needs to invest in the sector infrastructure for sustainable development. Uninterrupted supply of power is one of the prerequisites for any advanced economy. India, on the other hand, is facing challenges in providing continuous power to its citizens. Recognising this need in June 2014, GoI launched the ‘Power for All’ programme to address this problem. The objective of this programme is to provide round-the-clock uninterrupted quality power to all consumer categories, except agricultural consumers. The objective will be achieved through joint initiatives with individual states and union territories. According to Load Generation Balance Report (LGBR) 2016-17, India is expected to have a power surplus in FY2016–17, although northern, eastern and northeastern states will continue to face a power deficit. Round-the-clock electricity for all Considerations to achieve ‘Electricity for All’ Sector infrastructure development Quality and reliability of supply Consumer’s affordability Availability of electricity Availability of adequate electricity Availability of electricity to meet requirements is the key priority of the ‘Power for All’ programme. In the last few years, India has consistently improved its power supply position. The demand-supply mismatch declined from -9.3% to -2.1% between FY 2012–13 and FY 2015–16, and it is expected to decline further. Power supply position, India -9.3 -6.7 -5.1 -2.1 1.1 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2600.0 700.0 800.0 900.0 1,000.0 1,100.0 1,200.0 1,300.0 FY 2012-13 FY 2013-14 FY 2014-15 FY 2015-16 FY 2016-17 D-Sgap(%) Unitsofelectricity(BUs) Demand (BUs) Supply (BUs) D-S Gap (%)
  • 5. Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 5 The eastern states of India, such as Odisha, Jharkhand and West Bengal, are rich in coal reserves, but are reeling under a power deficiency. Development of coal mines, improvement in coal logistics and other similar initiatives can help these states to overcome their power deficit situation. Northern and northeastern states are endowed with rich hydro resources. According to the LGBR 2016- 17 report, the projected peak deficit in the northern and northeastern region in FY 2016–17 will be 900 MW and 106 MW respectively, which can be met by developing unexploited hydro potential of these two regions. Affordability of electricity supply Affordability of electricity shall be another key priority of the programme. A large percentage of un-electrified rural households are unable to apply for an electricity connection due to the high cost. High tariff poses a further burden. Dependence on imported fuel such as coal and natural gas exposes the cost to the uncertain global market. The alternative is to develop domestic coal mines and invest in renewable energy development. This will help not only in securing sustainable tariff but also in increasing energy security. India ranks fifth in the world both in terms of proved coal reserves as well as hydro potential. -1.8 6.9 3.3 -10.3 -8.3 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 450,000 North West South East Northeast D-Sgap(%) Unitsofelectricity(MUs) Demand (MUs) Supply (MUs) Surplus/deficit (%) Region-wise projected power supply position, India, FY 2016-17 Source: Load Generation Balance Report 2016-17, CEA Segment Expected investment till FY19 (in thousand crore INR) Generation 338.7 Transmission 146.3 Distribution 192.9 Generation source Proved reserves/ potential in India India’s rank in the world Coal 125.91 BTs 5th Hydro 148 GW 5th Source: GSI Adequate infrastructure Infrastructure bottlenecks such as an inadequate transmission and distribution network have been a key constraint limiting the power evacuation capacity. Increase in generation capacity requires proportionate growth in the T&D network capacity for the optimum use of resources and the power system. Source: User Guide for India’s 2047 Energy Calculator, large hydro sector, CEA Hydro potential (MW) at 60% LF 30155 5788 517 2418 915 21949 30425 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 North Northeast Assessed Developed Under development Balance
  • 6. 6 CII - PwC According to MoP, the per capita electricity consumption in India during FY 2015–16 was 1,075 kWh (provisional). In the last five years, the per capita electricity consumption in India has witnessed growth at a CAGR of 5.02%. 23.97% 23.65% 23.04% 21.46% 20.83% 26.35% 26.63% 25.38% 22.70% 15.00% 17.00% 19.00% 21.00% 23.00% 25.00% 27.00% 29.00% FY 2010-11 FY 2011-12 FY 2012-13 FY 2013-14 FY 2014-15 T&D and AT&C loss level trend T&D loss AT&C loss 22.7% 15.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% FY 2013-14 FY 2018-19 (Target) AT&C loss reduction target Source: CEA, ‘Power for All’ documents, Ministry of Power (MoP) 883.6 914.4 957.0 1,010.0 1,075.0 1,500.0 600.0 1,000.0 1,400.0 FY 2011-12 FY 2012-13 FY 2013-14 FY 2014-15 FY 2015-16 FY 2018-19 (Target) Source: CEA, 'Power for All' documents, MoP Per capita consumption (kWh) Quality and reliability of supply Adequate infrastructure development, along with the latest technological interventions in the sector, will result in improved efficiency and the supply of quality power. To improve the efficiency and output of generation stations, PLF and CUF should be improved. The all-India average PLF as of May 2016 was 62.24%, which is significantly low. The AT&C loss levels of India are quite high in comparison to those of advanced economies. In FY 2013–14, the AT&C loss levels of the country were 22.7% (provisional). Though both T&D and AT&C loss levels have declined in the last five years, the present loss levels are still much higher than the targeted loss level for FY 2018–19.
  • 7. Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 7 Providing uninterrupted quality power supply to a large country such as India will require focus on some key areas such as: Plans to achieve the programme objective Capacity expansion of the power supply chain Development of coal resources and improvement of coal logistics Effective programme implementation Development of hydro energy resources Adoption of technological intervention
  • 8. 8 CII - PwC Generation With growing concern over the environmental impacts of using conventional sources of electricity generation, which mostly comprise fossil fuels, sector stakeholders are compelled to take informed decisions to chart a way forward for the energy sector which involves cleaner, affordable, sustainable and reliable means of energy sourcing. GoI, in collaboration with the state governments, has committed to developing non-conventional sources such as solar, wind, biomass, cogeneration bagasse, and small hydro sources, in addition to policy-level interventions in operational performance, technology implementation and governance. Well-managed expansion of energy supply, if achieved, can considerably improve the quality of life of India’s 1.3 billion people, particularly the estimated 240 million that still lack any access to electricity. Policymakers are looking to remove obstacles to investment in energy supply while also focussing on energy efficiency and pricing reform. By far, coal is the most critical fuel in the energy mix, but India’s recent climate pledge underlined the country’s commitment to a growing role for greener, low-carbon sources of energy, led by solar and wind power. Capacity expansion of the power supply chain Source: CEA–Executive Summary,16 April 25.19% 33.45% 41.36% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Contribution Central State Private Hydro 14.13% Coal 61.42% Gas 8.09% Diesel 0.30% Renewable 14.15% Nuclear 1.91% Thermal 69.81% Hydro Coal Gas Diesel Renewable Nuclear Sector-wise contribution to installed generation capacity, FY 2016 Generation mix of India, FY-2016
  • 9. Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 9 Generation capacity addition of 36.6 GW of thermal, 33 GW of renewable, 9.9 GW of hydro and 9.1 GW of nuclear are envisaged to be added to the grid. Introduction of the renewable energy generation obligation (RGO) and removal of a cross-subsidy for power procured from renewable sources, on account of the proposed amendments to the Electricity Act, 2003, are some of the major headways providing a huge spur to the expansion of the Indian renewable energy space. Renewable-based generation: As per the MoP policies set for ensuring 24x7 power to all states by FY 2019, there is a planned investment in the generation segment of 338,664.1 crore INR, including an investment of 156,644 crore INR in renewable capacity addition. The maximum share of investment is planned for the northern region, which has huge potential for hydro- based generation. The north-eastern region, which has an equally large potential of hydropower, can be considered for tapping energy to facilitate the mission of expanding the green energy base. More emphasis should be laid on the renewable capacity augmentation, particularly solar and wind, as they have short gestation cycles. The alteration of the generation mix as envisaged for the next three years is shown below. 36,560 33,000 9,900 9,100 Thermal Renewable Hydro Nuclear Source: Strategy for Providing 24X7 Power Supply, FOR Generation capacity addition target from FY 2016-17 to FY 2018-19 (MW) 136,939 97,484 71,541 22,166 10,534 - 50,000 100,000 150,000 North West South East Northeast Source: PFA Documents, MoP Region-wise investment planned in generation segment till FY 2019 (crore INR) Source: Strategy for Providing 24X7 power supply, Forum of Regulatory (FOR) Generation mix -2019 Thermal 61.18% Nuclear 4.64% Hydro 14.70% Renewable 19.48% Thermal Renewable Hydro Nuclear Thermal Renewable Hydro Nuclear Generation mix -2016 Thermal 69.81% Nuclear 1.91% Hydro 14.13% Renewable 14.15%
  • 10. 10 CII - PwC Key enabler in the area of renewable energy sources to achieve 24X7 power supply A planned capacity addition of 15GW for 2016–17 to augment the renewable installed capacity of 39.5 GW in 2015. The subsequent capacity additions envisaged as per FOR are 9,000MW each year for FY 2017–18 and FY 2018–19. The introduction of the mechanism for renewable energy certificates has led to the mandate of renewable purchase obligations (RPO), resulting in an increase in the market for renewable energy. Implementation of renewable energy in the off-grid and distributed generation mode has emerged as a solution to provide green energy to power deficit rural areas. The Proposed Electricity Amendment Bill, 2014, has provisions for segregation of carriage and content to renewable energy and open access to tariff rationalisation along with removal of cross-subsidy if procured from renewable sources. Transmission The surge in demand for power necessitates the development of a robust and non-collapsible transmission infrastructure. With an ambitious target set for achieving a generation capacity addition of over 85 GW by the end of FY 2018–19, corresponding strengthening of transmission capacity is required to ascertain the availability of power to the load centre. The presence of a single interconnected transmission network, which was achieved with the linking of the southern region with the rest of the grid in December 2013, has not been fully successful in ensuring reliable power to the nation mainly because of corridor bottlenecks and congestion issues. Some of the issues faced during the two phases of implementation of transmission projects which need immediate attention are as follows: 34,102 25,716 53,891 23,158 9,395 - 20,000 40,000 60,000 North West South East Northeast Source: PFA Documents, MoP Region-wise investment planned in the transmission segment till FY 2019 (crore INR) Implementation phases Issues Planning and award • Micromanagement of specifications in the tender leave the developer with no room to innovate • Participation of inexperienced players in the bidding process and further submission of unviable and aggressive bids due to lack of due diligence at the bidding stage • Lengthy concept-to-commissioning time with suboptimal planning process Execution and commissioning • Delay in execution of major transmission projects pertaining to resistance from landowners on account of inadequate compensations, resulting in cost escalations and right of way (ROW) acquisition • Less focus on technology and innovation
  • 11. Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 11 The life cycle of the transmission project demands proper attention for ensuring round-the-clock power supply. In view of this, appropriate measures need to be taken to tackle the issues which are dampening the growth of the transmission sector, thereby highlighting the need to focus on the transmission infrastructure. More than 46% of the total investment required (in excess of 2 lakh crore INR) has to come from the private sector. Evidently, public private partnerships (PPPs) in transmission will provide a fillip to massive investment as well as capacity augmentation targets. In order to keep pace with the progress in generation capacity addition, inter-regional transmission links (either associated with generation projects or as system strengthening schemes) need to be established to tackle persisting problems of corridor bottlenecks and congestion issues. Distribution With the growing demand for power, necessary steps need to be taken to ensure the bottlenecks that impede the expansion of the power sector are addressed properly. Complex regulatory processes and high costs of financing upcoming projects lead to cost overruns, resulting in high tariffs. Populist tariff schemes exacerbated by operational inefficiencies and aggregate technical and commercial (AT&C) losses estimated at 22.70% (in FY14) affect the financial viability of state DISCOMs, which are grappling with huge debts. The distribution networks need immediate expansion in order to ensure electricity supply to the un-electrified BPL households numbering over 15.7 Projected growth of inter-regional transmission capacity by FY 2018-19 (MVA) 3,630 17,930 12,790 2,860 16,920 7,920 6,000 - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 ER-SR ER-NR ER-WR ER-NER NR-WR WR-SR NER/ER-NR/WR • Transmission capacity expansion of almost three times by 2020 • 25% of the annual target of 23,384 ckm planned for 2016–17 commissioned till date and capacity addition of 37% of targeted value, i.e. 45,188 MVA million, along with 9,529 un-electrified villages. The distribution sector accounts for nearly 20% of the losses. A 10% reduction in distribution losses per annum can augment the supply of electricity by nearly 100 BU per year. In order to facilitate the strategic goal of ensuring round-the-clock power for the entire nation, the government has taken several initiatives such as smart grid, IT enablement and process automation, high-voltage distribution system (HVDS), demand side management (DSM), PPPs, power trading, and various energy efficiency (EE) initiatives. Some of the key factors to be considered as impetus to the distribution infrastructure growth in India are mentioned below: • The technological advancement needs to be supplemented by concomitant policy and regulatory provisions that would provide a clear roadmap for implementing smart technologies. • Currently, initiatives in outage management systems, power quality managements, demand response, renewable energy integration, energy storage, electrical vehicle, cyber security and the communication system are being explored. • A smart grid will be an inevitable requirement to manage large numbers of on-grid and off- grid renewable generators and distributed direct generation (DDG) sources. Integrated Power Development Scheme (IPDS) Carriage and content segregation Strengthening of sub-T&D network: Augmentation of existing substations, creation of new substations, installation of new distribution transformers and capacitors, high voltage distribution system, aerial bunched cables, enterprise resource planning (ERP), implementation etc. Metering: Replacement of faulty meters and electro-mechanical meters, installation of suitable static meters for feeders and existing un-metered connections, boundary meters for ring fencing of non-RAPDRP towns with a population above 5,000 IT enablement of distribution sector and distribution network strengthening Completion of optical fibre missing links to connect all distribution grid substations under the establishment of the National Optical Fibre Network (NOFN) Initiative for creation of separate distribution licensees and multiple supply licensees to boost competition in the retail segment Ample options for the consumer in terms of choosing a supplier, as more than one supply licensee can share space within a particular distribution area A transfer scheme needs to be in place so as to facilitate the takeover of existing power purchase agreements and procurement arrangements of relevant distribution licensees by an intermediary company Key initiatives for distribution infrastructure development
  • 12. 12 CII - PwC Rural electrification GoI, under the flagship scheme of DDUGJY, has an estimated outlay of 43,033 crore INR, including budgetary support of 33,453 crore INR. The RGGVY scheme, as approved by CCEA for continuation in the 12th and 13th plans, has been embodied in this scheme as a separate rural electrification component for which CCEA has already approved the scheme cost of 39,275 crore INR, including budgetary support of 35,447 crore INR. This outlay will be carried forward to the new scheme of DDUGJY in addition to the outlay of 43,033 crore INR. The state governments are supporting the DISCOMs by funding a part of the project cost towards agency charges, additional cost towards bid premium and increase in scope of work, electrical inspections by DISCOM engineers to avoid delays, dedicated nodal officers for each package to assist in RoW forest clearance, site selection, etc. Highest investment in distribution segment has been planned in western region, whereas northeastern region will see the least investment. The smart grid initiatives are given due focus in the northern and southern regions as compared to other regions. Villages electrified at the end of a plan 438.3 482.9 557.4 586.5 300.0 350.0 400.0 450.0 500.0 550.0 600.0 650.0 End of 9th Plan End of 10th Plan End of 11th Plan As on April'16 Plan Source: Power for All, MoP 40,573 58,227 44,645 37,834 11,680 - 50,000 100,000 North West South East Northeast Source: Power for All, MoP Investment planned in distribution till FY 2019
  • 13. Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 13 Currently, India’s power requirement has largely been dominated by coal-based generation, accounting for approximately 70% of the total installed capacity. As power generation from coal poses a threat to energy security, India needs to focus more on a sustainable method of power generation capacity development. Given its abundance (potential of around 148 GW), hydropower can substantially contribute towards meeting the energy needs of the country. Regional assessment of hydropower development shows that almost 40% of the total potential for hydropower development mainly rests in the northeastern region. However, only 2% of this potential has been developed till now, which is one of the key reasons for low share of hydropower in the total electricity mix. Exploitation of the large hydro potential in the northeast region would contribute significantly in meeting the country’s power needs in the future. The region would also benefit from the development of associated social benefits such as roads, schools and electricity supply to remote areas, which would further improve the quality of life. With only 7% of the tapped potential (installed capacity and project under construction), the northeast region provides enormous opportunities to the state governments and hydro developers to harness the rest of the potential. Status of hydropower development India is blessed with significant hydropower potential and can cater to a demand of around 85 GW at 60% load factor. But till date, only 41 GW of hydropower capacity has been installed, which is 28% of the total potential. On the other hand, countries like Canada and Brazil had harnessed around 69% and 48% of the economically feasible potential back in 2009. In order to increase the hydropower capacity, GoI has planned 10,897 MW in the 12th Five Year plan, which is almost 25% of the total hydro installed capacity. This is due to various issues such as rehabilitation and resettlement (R&R) and local agitation. Hydropower development in the northeast region States Identified potential (MW) Percentage of capacity under operation and construction Arunachal Pradesh 50328 6% Meghalaya 2394 13% Mizoram 2196 3% Manipur 1784 6% Nagaland 1574 5% Assam 680 55% Tripura 15 Nil 53 11 9 16 59 18.2 4.2 7.4 11.5 1.2 0 20 40 60 80 North East West South Northeast Source: CEA Status of hydropower development in India Hydro potential (GW) Installed capacity (GW) 36% 47% 58% 28% 35% 0% 50% 100% 0 10000 20000 8th plan 9th plan 10th plan 11th plan 12th plan (May 2016) Source: CEA Planned vs actual capacity addition Planned capacity addition (MW) Actual capacity addition (MW) Target achieved The actual capacity added till May 2015 was only 2,660 MW. The same trend can also be observed in the previous five year plan periods too—for example, in the 11th Five Year Plan, only 40% of the target was met. This was due to various issues in the form of water-sharing disputes, environmental concerns, R&R issues, land acquisition problems, delay in procuring clearance and approvals, inadequate technical and financial capability of developers, etc., which also resulted in a declining share of hydropower in India’s electricity mix (e.g. the share of hydropower in electricity mix has decreased by more than 30% in the last 50 years). 46% 42%41% 1966 1974 1979 1985 1990 1997 2002 2007 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 34% 29% 25%25%26% 20%18%17%15%14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Source: CEA Hydro proportion of total installed capacity
  • 14. 14 CII - PwC Overview of hydropower development in the northeast Status of hydropower development in the northeast 2394 15 1784 680 1574 50328 219613% 0% 6% 55% 5% 6% 3%0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 Source: CEA Identified p otential Percentage of capacity under operation & construction M eghalaya Tripura M anipur Assam N agalandArunachalPd M izoram The northeastern part of India is enriched with bountiful water resources, mainly the mighty River Brahmaputra, which provides the region with a huge hydropower potential comprising 40% of the country’s total potential. However, till now, only 7% of the total potential of the region has been tapped and this provides enormous opportunities to developers to harness rest of the potential. Among the northeastern states, Arunachal Pradesh has the highest hydropower potential, accounting for 80% of the total potential of the region, followed by Sikkim (7%) and Meghalaya (4%). However, in terms of harnessing the hydro potential, Assam ranks first with 56%, followed by Sikkim 16% and Meghalaya 12%. In Arunachal Pradesh, only 405 MW (0.8%) of the total capacity has been developed so far and additional capacity of 2710 MW (5.4%) is under construction. This puts the untapped capacity of Arunachal Pradesh to around 93% of the total potential. Key issues related to hydropower development in the northeast Hydropower planning Hydropower planning and development in India are generally project oriented and not based on any basin development plan. Non-sequential development of a hydropower project may make it unviable and inefficient. Multiple projects on the same river will reduce the capacity to generate power from each plant and thus the energy demand supply gap will persist. • Unexpected costs may emerge due to the development of new projects on the same river, e.g. by increasing or reducing the level of silt in the water. • Owing to a lack of interstate agreements and disputes on water sharing, a large number of hydropower projects with common river systems between adjoining states are delayed. Technical challenges Hydropower projects are site specific and depend on the geology, topography and hydrology of the site. The unpredictable nature of the geology and climatic conditions impact the accessibility and favourable working conditions of a site. This unpredictable geology is more pronounced in the young fold mountains of the Himalayas, where most of the Indian hydropower potential are situated. Moreover, the availability of experienced engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contractors and proper equipment to tackle certain geological surprises is limited. The threat felt by Bangladesh due to India’s Tipaimukh Dam in Manipur and China’s alleged plan to divert the Brahmaputra suggest the potential of transboundary conflicts over the use of water resources. Kameng (600 MW) and Pare (110 MW) projects of Arunachal Pradesh have been delayed due to poor geology. The cost of the associated transmission system for the evacuation of electricity from the Kameng Hydroelectric Project (600 MW) is estimated at 11,000 million INR, which is about 50% of the project’s cost of generation, thus making the construction cost high. Financing challenges Hydropower projects are capital-intensive and require high upfront costs to address greater complexities in design, engineering, environmental mitigation, etc., which leads to time and cost overruns and increases the uncertainty in cash inflows. Moreover, project financing in such a risk-prone environment is a big challenge and leads to higher risk premiums. This increases the cost of financing and deters investors from going on full recourse financing option. Enabling infrastructure Most of the hydropower projects are located in remote areas which do not have adequate transmission infrastructure for power evacuation due to various reasons, such as site inaccessibility, absence of integrated generation and transmission plans, and lack of demand. In northeast India, the construction of a transmission line is very expensive and time-consuming due to the difficult terrain and adverse climatic conditions.
  • 15. Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 15 Social and environmental impacts Hydropower projects are site specific and may impact the environment in a variety of ways, such as affecting the natural river system and changing the river course, thereby impacting the flora and fauna. The construction of hydropower dams involves the establishment of large infrastructure, which leads to deforestation and disruption of forest ecosystems and reduction of biodiversity, thus significantly affecting livelihood and increasing the possibility of conflicts. Way forward Hydropower development is challenged by varying risks and uncertainties and needs government support and developers’ experience in terms of data availability, financing, technical competence, etc., for the efficient development of the sector. Sustainable growth in the sector can be undertaken by considering the following measures: • The Tipaimukh High Dam, located on the border of Manipur and Mizoram, led to displacement and loss of livelihood for a large number of indigenous communities mostly belonging to the Zeliangrong and Hmar peoples. • The proposed 2,700-MW Lower Siang Hydroelectric Project has been opposed on grounds of social and ecological destruction, limited sustainable livelihood, increased seismicity in the region, and other major downstream impacts. Governance framework • Basin-wide planning needs to be developed to understand the effect of one project on another and to ensure efficient project allocation in a river basin. • Creation of a single window and defining specific timelines for statutory and non-statutory clearances for facilitating clearances and approvals will help the developers of large infrastructure projects to minimise the time taken for these processes. Financing options • Discounted interest rates may be provided on long-term loans during construction and early years of operation along with higher depreciation in early periods to assist the developer in generating sufficient revenue for meeting repayment obligations. • PPP initiatives like viability gap funding (VGF) can be explored to make hydropower projects price competitive. Technological aspect • Hydro projects in the Himalayan region are full of geological surprises, and developers are required to opt for modern machinery and techniques to enhance the capability to deal with contingencies. Development of knowledge and experience and handholding with developers from other territories with successful experience of similar projects may prove beneficial in this aspect. Associated infrastructure development • Development of a dedicated transmission corridor along with provisions for building pooling substations in locations having a large concentration of hydro resources to facilitate developers in reducing their cost on account of last mile connectivity Social and environmental aspect • Social and environmental impact assessments need to be given due importance and project affected persons (PAPs) need to be involved with the developer and the government in order to eradicate the differences and get legal and social consent. In addition, development of technical training centres, clinics and health centres, schools, etc., can contribute towards improving the socio-economic condition of the region and gaining public acceptance. R&R • Non-availability of land ownership records in the northeastern states and the lack of manpower and logistical resources with the district administration delays the land acquisition process. Thus, state governments should generate land ownership records and provide the required manpower and logistical resources to district administration for timely completion of the land acquisition process. • The local governments must effectively channelise development funds, upfront premium, etc., to invest in such associated infrastructure with the objective of improving the socio-economic condition of the area.
  • 16. 16 CII - PwC Developments in the coal sector Close to 70% of existing generation capacity is thermal and thermal power will dominate the generation by more than 62% in 2019. Coal-fired power plants remain a key contributor to electricity supply in India and are expected to dominate the generation mix in near future. For ensuring round-the-clock electricity supply, adequate mining and sourcing of coal shall remain one of the key focus areas for the power sector. According to government estimates, coal demand is likely to be the range of 1.2 to 1.5 billion tonnes (BT) by FY 2020. This demand will continue to be mainly driven by the power sector, which will account for about 65–70% of the total demand. The government aims to minimise the dependence on imports for catering to the demand. In order to achieve this objective, the government has envisaged producing 1 BT from Coal India Limited (CIL), 100 million tonnes (MT) from the Singareni Collieries Company Limited (SCCL) and 400 MT from other sources by FY 2020. Over the last year, a number of developments have taken place in the coal sector for the improvement of coal supply, rationalisation of linkages, cost optimisation, etc. Status of blocks allocated to power sector Of the total 75 coal blocks allocated so far, 49 blocks (40 blocks – allocated, 9 blocks – auctioned) with a combined annual capacity of around 261 MT have been allocated for ‘power’ end use and the rest for the non-regulated sector. Three auctioned blocks, namely Amelia North (Madhya Pradesh), Sarisatolli (West Bengal) and Talabira-I (Odisha), have commenced production in FY 16. The production from these three blocks till February 2016 was 5.30 MT, which represents only 2% of the total annual capacity of 267 MTPA. State Number of blocks allocated for power end use Capacity (MTPA) Jharkhand 13 97 West Bengal 10 18 Chhattisgarh 9 88 Odisha 9 57 Maharashtra 6 2.50 Telangana 1 2.50 Madhya Pradesh 1 3 Total 49 267 MDO selection process Number of blocks Peak rated capacity (MTPA) MDO appointed or in final stages of selection 7 (completed for 4 blocks) 66 Tender for MDO selection has been floated 15 65 Key areas for augmentation of coal production to meet power sector demand Selection of mine developer cum operator (MDO) model Most of these government companies intend to develop and operate their coal blocks through the MDO model. Of the combined capacity of 231 MT of allotted blocks for the power sector, the MDO selection process for only 29% (66 MTPA) capacity has made substantial progress. With about 58,770 MW of the power sector capacity linked to these 40 blocks, it is critical to accelerate the process of MDO selection and implement an effective project management system to keep the projects on schedule.
  • 17. Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 17 Funding requirement for development of coal blocks Low foreign direct investment (<0.05% of total) inflow in coal production between 2011–15, a large number of stressed assets in banks’ balance sheets and the high debt-to-equity ratio of Indian companies are some of the key concerns related to sourcing of capital required for enhancing the coal production. Nearly, 52,000 crore INR will be required for achieving the 267 MT production from 49 blocks allotted, auctioned for power end use. Thus, to source and manage the required investment, the following steps need to be taken by the government and coal mine owners: • Developing an effective credit risk monitoring and management system for banks • Development of debt management plan to ensure capital inflow at reasonable rates • Dynamic management of working capital Requirement of coal transportation infrastructure in the eastern region In order to meet India’s growing energy demand, CIL has estimated a coal production capacity of 908 MT by FY 2020. MCL, ECL, Bharat Coking Coal Limited (BCCL) and Central Coalfields Limited (CCL), which have mines in Jharkhand, Odisha and West Bengal, are expected to produce 499 MT (56%) of the 908 MT planned production in FY 2020. Also, 31 of the total 48 blocks allocated for ‘power’ end use are in these three states. Production capacity of these 31 blocks is approximately 64% of the total production capacity of the blocks allocated for power end use. These 31 coal blocks are linked to 45,850 MW of power capacity, of which 53% lies outside Jharkhand, Odisha and West Bengal. Rail transport has a comparative advantage over road transport in terms of energy consumption, financing costs and CO2 emissions. Thus, rail transport will play a vital role in coal evacuation from coal mines located in these states. However, the major challenge in using rail transport is the overutilisation of the existing system. The percentage of overutilised sections of the East Coast Railways, Eastern Railways and Eastern Central Railways is 48%, 63% and 47%, respectively. In order to tackle this challenge, CIL has identified two critical railway lines in Jharkhand and Odisha. • In Jharkhand, 60 MT of CCL’s planned production is dependent on the Tori-Shivpur-Kathotia line. The Tori-Shivpur section is expected to be completed by 2016–17, but the Shivpur-Kathotia section has an undecided timeline due to issues pertaining to land acquisition and forest clearance. • Mines with a total capacity of 72 MT depend on the Jharsuguda- Barpali-Sardega single line in Odisha. Timely completion of this railway line will be critical for coal evacuation from mines located in Odisha. Further, seven new projects have also been identified in Odisha for strengthening the evacuation infrastructure. Apart from this, availability of wagons will play a critical role in coal evacuation. In FY 2020, CIL will require an additional 115 rakes per day with an investment of 1,744 crore INR and the coal blocks allocated for power end use will require 26 rakes per day with an investment of 394 crore INR. Therefore, strengthening of railway systems for coal evacuation will require huge investments. Availability of funds has been a major bottleneck in this process. Thus, the success of private sector participation through the government’s NGRPL model, which tries to properly allocate risk between the private and public sectors can be the possible solution. Removing the quality constraints Environment (Protection) Amendment Rules, 2014, state that the coal transported for thermal power plants with a distance greater than 500 km from the pithead must use raw or blended or beneficiated coal with ash content not exceeding 34%. For FY 2020, the government has estimated that 63 MT of coal will be required to be transported beyond 500 km as per the fuel supply agreement. CIL has planned the addition of 94 MT of non-coking coal washing capacity to the existing 101.5 MT capacity, to ensure coal transported beyond 500 km has ash content below 34%.
  • 18. 18 CII - PwC Coal blocks for commercial mining On 16 March 2016, the Ministry of Coal (MoC) issued an order directing the nominated authority to carry out the allotment of 16 coal mines earmarked for state public sector units for sale of coal. The sale of coal can be through a coal supply agreement or spot sale. In case the coal is sold to an independent power producer, such sale should not result in an increase in the power tariff. These commercial mining blocks provide an additional fuel source for thermal power stations. The states need to devise a suitable framework and model fuel supply agreement for the sale of coal from such mines. As per the model allotment document, 25% coal production from mines should be sold to micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs), and the remaining to other buyers on pan- India basis in a fair and transparent manner. It has been observed that some of the states may not be in a position to comply with the requirement of 25% sale to MSMEs owing to the low demand from the MSME sector. For example, in Odisha, the estimated allocation from the Baitarani West coal block to MSMEs is nearly 20 times the present coal requirement of MSMEs in the state. Considering this, there may be a risk of no offtake of the complete MSME share. In such scenarios, the central government should provide flexibility to state governments to determine the quantum allocations to the MSME sector. Focus on reduction of cost of power generation In November 2015, the Union Cabinet approved the Ujwal DISCOM Assurance Yojana (UDAY) scheme, which aims at improving financial and operation efficiencies of state DISCOMs. One of the four key initiatives of this scheme is the reduction of cost of power generation On 8 June 2016, the Central Electricity Authority (CEA) released a methodology for flexibility in the utilisation of domestic coal for reducing the cost of power generation in the state or central generating stations (methodology for IPPs will be notified separately). The methodology provides: • Consolidation of coal company-wise linkages of state- or centre-owned power generating stations with respective states (or power utility) or central generating stations, as applicable • CIL or SCCL has the flexibility to supply from alternate sources (of similar landed cost and quality), if supply from an identified source is not possible • Provision of transfer of coal between (a) one state and another state (b) any state and central generating companies based on mutual agreement and applicable CERC/SERC regulations. Such an arrangement will not be considered as trade or barter for taxation. • Coordination among MoP, MoC, Ministry of Railways, CEA and POSOCO for addressing issues in implementation of the scheme The above features provide for the rationalisation of linkages and will help in ensuring optimum utilisation of coal for the benefit of the country. If successful, flexibility may also be provided for IPPs. • Increasing supply of coal • Rationalisation of coal linkages • Liberal coal swaps from inefficient to efficient plants • Rationalisation based on GCV (gross calorific value) for coal prices • Removing quality constraint by supply of washed and crushed coal • States will be allocated coal linkages at notified price, based on which states will conduct tariff based bidding Key steps envisaged for reduction of cost of power:
  • 19. Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 19 Auction of coal linkages On 15 February 2016, MoC issued policy guidelines for auction of linkages of non-regulated sector. This will increase transparency and may also result in revenue maximisation for the government. The first tranche of auction by CIL for around 23.25 MT (metric) per annum (MTPA) quantum is already underway. As per various news reports, the central government may grant the power of distributing coal linkages for the power sector to an agency/company of a respective state, which would then allocate the linkages to consumers. This will lead to an increased role of the state in administering the coal supply. Factors increasing cost of power generation • Increase in Clean Environment Cess to 400 INR per tonne (from earlier 200 INR/tonne) will lead to additional cost to power consumers. • Contribution towards District Mineral Fund (DMF): • 30% of royalty for leases granted before 12 January 2015 • 10% of royalty for leases granted after 12 January 2015 Decline in cost of imports Global coal prices have declined in the last four years and last year, the global seaborne traded coal prices was at a decadal low. India’s coal import bill reduced by 25% from 95,500 crore INR in FY 2015 to 72,100 crore INR in FY2016, primarily owing to a drop in global coal prices. The recent release of market reports (Singapore Exchange, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, etc.) suggests that commodity prices may remain flat for the next few years and then start to rise as global demand exceeds supply. Considering this, the import of coal may be an advantageous option for some of power companies in India at least in the short term. In conclusion Owing to the number of changes in the sector, consumers now see more options such as captive blocks, commercial mining blocks, opportunities for efficient usage of linkages and cheap import coal to cater to their coal requirements. This calls for a prudent approach by companies to develop an integrated policy at company level to ensure coal security in the medium and long term and, at the same time, minimise the landed cost. The owners of captive coal blocks need to expedite the development and operations of projects to ensure they are on schedule. This would require setting up of effective project management units or systems and appointment of capable MDOs for optimum utilisation of resources.
  • 20. 20 CII - PwC Use of the latest technologies and IT implementation can have a major impact on the Indian power sector and will help the country to move a step closer to its round-the-clock power supply goal. The latest technologies such as advanced generation technologies, IT enablement, operational technologies and smart technologies will result in higher output of the sector. Smart grid project overview Participation of consumers to control power flows with the help of digital communication and control systems forms the core objective of smart grid projects. Rapid growth of renewable energy also requires a highly adaptive grid such as a smart grid, which can accommodate any irregular changes in supply. Till date, nine smart grid projects have been awarded in the country. An overview is presented below: Technological enablement Smart grid projects in India Northern • UHBVN, Haryana Project cost: 93 • PSPCL, Punjab Project cost: 10.11 • HPSEB, Himachal Pradesh Project cost: 19.45 Southern • CESC, Mysore Project cost: 32.59 • TSSPDCL, Telangana Project cost: 41.82 • PED, Puducherry Project cost: 46.11 North East • APDCL, Assam Project cost: 29.94 • TSECL, Tripura Project cost: 63.43 Eastern • WBSEDCL, West Bengal Project cost: 7.03 Figures are in crore INR Source: ISGF Key factors contributing to the success of smart grid projects across the world: • Encouraging private sector participation • Capacity planning and management • DSM impacting analysis and identifying areas of improvement • Equipment usage analysis and load planning
  • 21. Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 21 Other technologies The Internet of things (IoT), along with smart grid projects, will have a major impact on the way the power supply chain operates. Business intelligence on the other hand will help the decision makers to take more informed decisions. But the extensive use of IT and digital networks will make the system prone to cyberattacks; hence, there is a need to promote cyber security of the power system. Key trends Cyber security Data analytics and business intelligence will help in Internet of things (IoT) • With the increase in IT and OT enablement, networks are prone to attacks. • A cyberattack on the power sector will have a cascading effect on other infrastructure such as transportation, communication. • Security audit and risk planning strategies will help utilities to work in a secure environment. • Improved decision-making for commercial as well as operations • Effective demand projections and planning • Consumer meter data analytics helping utilities in identifying tempering • Equipment or machine history analysis helping in predictive maintenance • Improve resilience of the grid • Better chances of accommodating different energy sources • Better asset management • Actively manage and optimise the use of resources • Field force communication
  • 22. 22 CII - PwC Considering the complexities of various initiatives in power generation, transmission and distribution, the success of the ‘Round-the-Clock Power for All’ programme will largely depend on the way it is implemented in an integrated manner, including regular review of the progress and resolution of concerns by stakeholders. The programme implementation process in such a large sector programme can be broadly classified into four stages: project planning, procurement, implementation and post-implementation. Key areas of concerns in different phases of project implementation • Demand projection • System studies analysis • Feasiblity study • Scheme approvals • Funding tie-ups • Finaliastion of scope, spefications and packages • Bid documents preparation • Bid process management • Contract management • Supervision and quality reviews • Progress monitoring • Guarantee or warranty management • Maintenance of asset during defect liablity period • Programme closure and assessment Effective programme management Project planning Procurement Implementation Post- implementation Project planning Procurement Implementation • Unrealistic demand forecasting • Lack of information of existing assets • Inadequate planning without systematic system studies • Delays in proposal approvals • Concerns related to fund tie-up due to poor financial condition of utilities • Competencies upgradation of utility staff • Lack of standard specifications • Utility centric tender conditions • Non-standard bidding documents • L1-based selection results in quality procurement and delivery • Delay in bid process management • Enforcement of funding agencies • Competencies upgradation of utility staff • Lack of programme monitoring practices and tools • Absence of field quality plan • Lack of implementation supervision • Issues pertaining to land acquisition and RoW remains • Performance of vendors and suppliers • Competencies upgradation of utility staff • Substantive deviation from initial plan • Poor maintenance of assets in defect liability period • Minimal support from vendors • Absence of programme closure assessment vis-a-vis programme objective Post-implementation
  • 23. Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 23 Expectation from key stakeholders The key stakeholders that would be responsible for successful implementation of the scheme are the central or state government, respective electricity regulators, power utilities, OEM and service providers. The following table highlights key expectations from these stakeholders for the successful implementation of the programme. Exact load estimation is critical to capacity development and project planning. System studies help in analysing ad-hoc project implementation trends, and thereby help to improve the accuracy of project planning. Lack of adequate information on existing assets leads to faulty requirement estimations and analysis of the existing system. DPR reports prepared for the projects should be comprehensive. The statutory clearance process involved in the project planning phase is usually time consuming, often leading to delays in project implementation. The procurement stage involves bid process management. In bid process management, approvals are taken for inviting tenders, bidding documents are prepared and tenders are published. Upon receiving a number of bids, successful bidders are selected, purchase orders or work orders are issued to them and an agreement is signed. Lack of standard bid documents, standard specifications and a strict timeline for conducting the bid process are some of the key challenges associated with this stage. The implementation stage deals with supervision, monitoring and review of the actual physical progress. A lack of programme monitoring practices and usage of tools is the key problem associated with this stage. For a long time, the Indian power sector has been facing a key problem in the form of land acquisition and RoW, thus delaying project implementation. In the post-implementation stage, the focus is on asset maintenance, guarantee or warranty management. Usually, there is a notable difference between the initial plans and final outcomes. This substantive difference is one of the key challenges faced in this stage. A number of parallel programmes are running at the same time; thus, there are no programme closure assessments, which otherwise would have improved the outcomes of any similar future programme. Government Electricity regulator Power utilities Equipment supplier and service providers • Facilitate timely approval and clearances • Participate in regular programme monitoring process • Encourage private sector participation in T&D • Support in development of domestic vendors by providing incentives • Encorage policy for development of RE • Arrange funds for schemes and programmes • Timely investment approvals • Periodic investment monitoring and including penalty and incentive provision • Allowing regular tariff revisions, liquidation of regulatory assets, etc. • Increase production capacity to meet the requirement • Increase research and development and technologic innovations • Enhance competency of staff and contractor • Improve project planning methodology • Adopt standard practices such as standard drawing, specification and introduce balanced contract provision • Improve programme/ project management practices • Improved vendor management • Institutional reforms, fix responsibilities and accountabilities, capacity building of staff
  • 24. 24 CII - PwC Way forward • Generation companies need to develop an integrated policy at the company level to ensure coal security in the medium and long term, and at the same time minimise the landed cost. The owners of captive coal blocks need to expedite the development and operations of projects to ensure that they are on schedule. This would require setting up of effective project management units/systems and appointment of capable MDOs for the optimum utilisation of resources. • The inter-regional transmission network needs to be strengthened to tackle the persisting problems of corridor bottleneck and congestion issues. • Adoption of efficient technologies and stringent qualification is one of the prerequisites to facilitate the participation of competent players. • A realistic policy for the payment of reasonable compensation to ease out the problems of RoW may help in avoiding cost and time overruns of transmission projects. • IT and new technologies implementation systems such as smart grid projects, IoT and BI will significantly improve the operational efficiency of the power system. • Effective programme management of government schemes like DDUGJY, IPDS and UDAY will be key to the successful implementation of projects and achievement of the ‘Power for All’ programme objective. • Institutional strengthening and capacity building of utilities shall be critical in order to reap the benefits of sector reform. • Programme closure assessment will be helpful in devising a better plan for any future projects. Achieving the objective of the ‘Round- the-clock power supply’ programme will not be an easy task. But the improved fuel availability scenario, achieving the target capacity additions well within time or even earlier, increasing investments, and aggressive bids for renewable energy projects are some of the encouraging trends that indicate that India can achieve this humongous feet in the near future. Some other notable factors that are essential for the success of this programme are as follows: • Coal, hydro and renewable energy sources development is necessary for both the energy security of the country as well as enabling it to supply uninterrupted quality supply to the entire population. • Generation capacity is expected to increase by more than 15% from its present installed capacity to meet the demand level by FY 2019.
  • 25. Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 25 Bibliography 1. Ministry of Power. Power for All Documents. Retrieved from http://powermin.nic.in/en/content/power-all 2. Central Electricity Authority. Load Generation Balance Report 2012-13 to 2016-17. Retrieved from www.cea.nic.in/reports/annual/lgbr/lgbr-2016.pdf 3. Central Electricity Authority. User Guide for India’s 2047 Energy Calculator, Large Hydro Sector. Retrieved from www.indiaenergy.gov.in/docs/Renewables.pdf 4. Central Electricity Authority. Executive summary, May 16. Retrieved from http://cea.nic.in/reports/monthly/executivesummary/2016/exe_summary-05.pdf 5. Forum of Regulators. Strategy for Providing 24x7 Power Supply. Retrieved from www.forumofregulators.gov.in/Data/WhatsNew/24x7.pdf 6. Indian Smart Grid Forum. Smart Grid Bulletin, Jan to May 2016. Retrieved from www.indiasmartgrid.org/upload/201602Wed041715.pdf 7. New Energy Outlook. NEO2016 – Executive summary. Retrieved from http://www.bloomberg.com/company/new-energy-outlook/ 8. Indian Smart Grid Forum. ISGF - Smart Grid Project Book - A Global Snapshot, April 2015. Retrieved from http://www.indiasmartgrid.org/document/ISGF-Smart%20Grid%20Project%20Book%20-%20A%20Global% 20Snapshot.pdf 9. Power Finance Corporation Ltd. Performance Report of State Power Utilities. Retrieved from http://www.pfcindia.com/Content/PerformanceReport.aspx
  • 26. 26 CII - PwC About CII The Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) works to create and sustain an environment conducive to the development of India, partnering industry, the government, and civil society, through advisory and consultative processes. CII is a non-government, not-for-profit, industry-led and industry-managed organisation, playing a proactive role in India’s development process. Founded in 1895, India’s premier business association has over 8,000 members, from the private as well as public sectors, including SMEs and MNCs, and an indirect membership of over 2,00,000 enterprises from around 240 national and regional sectoral industry bodies. CII charts change by working closely with the government on policy issues, interfacing with thought leaders, and enhancing efficiency, competitiveness and business opportunities for industry through a range of specialised services and strategic global linkages. It also provides a platform for consensus-building and networking on key issues. Extending its agenda beyond business, CII assists industry to identify and execute corporate citizenship programmes. Partnerships with civil society organisations carry forward corporate initiatives for integrated and inclusive development across diverse domains, including affirmative action, healthcare, education, livelihood, diversity management, skill development, empowerment of women, and water, to name a few. The CII theme for 2016-17, ‘Building National Competitiveness’, emphasises industry’s role in partnering the government to accelerate competitiveness across sectors, with sustained global competitiveness as the goal. The focus is on six key enablers: Human Development; Corporate Integrity and Good Citizenship; Ease of Doing Business; Innovation and Technical Capability; Sustainability; and Integration with the World. With 66 offices, including 9 Centres of Excellence, in India, and 9 overseas offices in Australia, Bahrain, China, Egypt, France, Germany, Singapore, the UK, and USA, as well as institutional partnerships with 320 counterpart organisations in 106 countries, CII serves as a reference point for Indian industry and the international business community. Confederation of Indian Industry The Mantosh Sondhi Centre 23, Institutional Area, Lodi Road, New Delhi - 110 003 (India) T: 91 11 45771000 / 24629994-7 * F: 91 11 24626149 E: info@cii.in * W: www.cii.in
  • 27. Round-the-clock power supply: A key milestone for the Indian power sector 27 About PwC At PwC, our purpose is to build trust in society and solve important problems. We’re a network of firms in 157 countries with more than 2,08,000 people who are committed to delivering quality in assurance, advisory and tax services. Find out more and tell us what matters to you by visiting us at www.pwc.com In India, PwC has offices in these cities: Ahmedabad, Bengaluru, Chennai, Delhi NCR, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mumbai and Pune. For more information about PwC India’s service offerings, visit www.pwc.com/in PwC refers to the PwC International network and/or one or more of its member firms, each of which is a separate, independent and distinct legal entity in separate lines of service. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details. ©2016 PwC. All rights reserved You can connect with us on: facebook.com/PwCIndia twitter.com/PwC_IN linkedin.com/company/pwc-india youtube.com/pwc Key contributors: • Pramod Thakur • Pukhraj Sethiya • Bhavesh Singhavi • Suddhasatta Kundu • Tanmay Kumar Mishra • Rutwik Rath Contacts: Yogesh Daruka Partner, Power and Utilities Debasis Mohapatra Director, Power and Utilities Subhrajit Datta Ray Director, Power and Utilities PricewaterhouseCoopers Pvt Ltd Plot No Y-14, Block EP, Sector V, Salt Lake Electronics Complex Bidhan Nagar, Kolkata - 700 091, West Bengal, India Telephone: +91-33-2357 9260, 7600 Telecopier: +91-33-2357 7496, 7456
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