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Writing a Field Plan April 23rd, 2008 Listen live on:  Questions?  [email_address] AIM: DFA Night School   Paid for by Democracy for America, www.democracyforamerica.com, and not authorized by any candidate or candidate’s committee.
Welcome Back to Night School! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],2  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com  Click here to listen:
Tonight’s Trainers Arshad Hasan DFA Executive Director Night School Host Helen Strain Field Organizer for over 20 years Matt Blizek DFA Training Director Night School Host 3  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Field Planning in 2 Parts  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],RSVP for Part 2 of this series: www.dfalink.com/fieldplan2   4  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Your Blueprint for Victory ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],A strong Field Organization can help you gain between 3-5% on election day. 5  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
What’s Your Win Number? ,[object Object],Step 3: Write them down! % Turnout in last similar election(s) Current number of registered voters x Projected Turnout = Win Number  = (Projected Turnout / 2) + 1 Vote Goal  = Projected Turnout x .52 Step 2: Set Your Goals 6  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Targeting Your Resources ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],7  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Calculate Your Vote Goals District Total Current Registration:  5124 ’ 04 Turnout %:    46.3% ’ 08 Projected Turnout  ____ Win Number ____ Vote Goal (52%) ____   Formula Key Projected Turnout  =  Current Registration x 04 Turnout % Win Number  =  (Projected Turnout / 2) + 1 Vote Goal  = Projected Turnout x .52 Region # 3 Current Registration: 1897 ’ 04 Turnout %:    52% ’ 08 Projected Turnout  ____ Win Number _ ___ Vote Goal (52%)    ____ Region # 2 Current Registration:  1603 ’ 04 Turnout %:    55% ’ 08 Projected Turnout  ____ Win Number ____ Vote Goal (52%)    ____ Region # 1 Current Registration:  1624 ’ 04 Turnout %:    31% ’ 08 Projected Turnout  ____  Win Number ____ Vote Goal (52%)    ____ 8  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
We need at least 1146 votes to win District Total Current Registration:  5124 ’ 04 Turnout:    46.3% ’ 08 Projected Turnout  2371 Win Number 1187 Vote Goal (52%) 1233   Region # 3 Current Registration: 1897 ’ 04 Turnout:    52% ’ 08 Projected Turnout  986 Win Number 494 Vote Goal (52%)    513 Region # 2 Current Registration:  1603 ’ 04 Turnout:    55% ’ 08 Projected Turnout  882 Win Number 442 Vote Goal (52%)    458 Region # 1 Current Registration:  1624 ’ 04 Turnout:    31% ’ 08 Projected Turnout  503  Win Number 253 Vote Goal (52%)    262 9  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Democratic Performance Index ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Democratic % in similar election # 1 + Democratic % in similar election # 2 + Democratic % in similar election # 3 / 3 = D.P.I. { }   10  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Find the Democrats! Region # 1 08 Projected Turnout:  503 Dem Performance Index:  69% Projected Dem Turnout  ____  Vote Goal (52%) 262 Vote difference    ____ Region # 3 08 Projected Turnout:  986 Dem Performance Index:  48% Projected Dem Turnout  ____  Vote Goal (52%) 513 Vote difference    ____ Region # 2 08 Projected Turnout:  882 Dem Performance Index:  31% Projected Dem Turnout  ____  Vote Goal (52%) 458 Vote difference    ____ District Totals 08 Projected Turnout:  2371 Dem Performance Index:  46.1% Projected Dem Turnout  ____  Vote Goal (52%) 1233 Vote difference    ____ Formula Key Projected Dem Turnout   =   Turnout Projection  x  D.P.I. Vote Difference   =   Projected Dem Turnout  –  Vote Goal 11  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Not enough Democrats to win Region # 1 08 Projected Turnout:  503 Dem Performance Index:  69% Projected Dem Turnout  347  Vote Goal (52%) 262 Vote difference    85 Region # 3 08 Projected Turnout:  986 Dem Performance Index:  48% Projected Dem Turnout  473  Vote Goal (52%) 513 Vote difference    -39 Region # 2 08 Projected Turnout:  882 Dem Performance Index:  31% Projected Dem Turnout  273  Vote Goal (52%) 458 Vote difference    -185 District Totals 08 Projected Turnout:  2371 Dem Performance Index:  46.1% Projected Dem Turnout  1094 Vote Goal (52%) 1233 Vote difference    -139 12  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
How many persuadable voters are out there? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],100% - Democrat Base % - Republican Base % Persuasion Index Candidate % of vote in District Dem Governor 57% Dem State Senate 46% 57% - 46% = 11% of the voters are persuadable 13  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Find the Persuadable Voters District Totals ’ 08 Projected Turnout :  2371 Persuasion Index:    16.2% Projected Perusable Voters 384 Persuasion Share ___ Formula Key Projected Persuadable Voters  = Turnout Projection  x  Persuasion % Persuasion Share  =  Regional Persuadable Voters  /  Total Persuadable Voters Region # 1 ’ 08 Projected Turnout :  503 Persuasion Index:    18% Projected Persuadable Voters ____  Persuasion Share ____ Region # 3 ’ 08 Projected Turnout :  986 Persuasion Index:    19% Projected Persuadable Voters ____  Persuasion Share ____ Region # 2 ’ 08 Projected Turnout :  882 Persuasion Index:    12% Projected  Persuadable  Voters ____ Persuasion Share ____ 14  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
A Winnable District Region # 1 ’ 08 Projected Turnout :  503 Persuasion Index:    18% Projected Perusable Voters 91  Persuasion Share 23.6% Region # 3 ’ 08 Projected Turnout :  986 Persuasion Index:    19% Projected Perusable Voters 187 Persuasion Share 48.8% Region # 2 ’ 08 Projected Turnout :  882 Persuasion Index:    12% Projected Perusable Voters 106 Persuasion Share 27.6% District Totals ’ 08 Projected Turnout :  2371 Persuasion Index:    16.2% Projected Perusable Voters 384 Persuasion Share 100% 15  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Questions? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],16  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Field Targeting Strategies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],17  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Targeting with Voter History ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Partisanship ID Voting History F E E Never Vote (0x4) F C Persuasion #2 B Sometimes Vote  (2x4) (0x0) F A Persuasion D Base Always Vote (4x4) Strong Opponent (5) Undecided  (2, 3, 4) Strong Supporter (1) 18  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
VAN Power One big list of voters for all Democrats The VAN doesn’t fix itself! Contact your local county Democratic Party or DNC organizer for access 19  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Targeting with Constituencies 20  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Questions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],21  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Homework ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],22  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Learn more every Month ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],DFA Training Weekends April 26-27  West Long Branch, NJ May 3-4 Rochester, NY May 10-11 Cincinnati, OH May 31-June 1 Pittsburgh, PA June 7-8 Lansing, MI June 14-15 Kansas City, MO June 21-22 Albuquerque, NM July 12-13  Miami, FL July 17-20 Austin, TX  Netroots Nation www.democracyforamerica.com/training   23  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
Thank you for joining us! Need to catch up on earlier Night School presentations?  Order previous semesters on DVD (and help keep Night School free) www.democracyforamerica.com/nightschooldvd   Join the DFA Trust www.democracyforamerica.com/trust   24  Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com

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Writing A Field Plan Part 1

  • 1. Writing a Field Plan April 23rd, 2008 Listen live on: Questions? [email_address] AIM: DFA Night School Paid for by Democracy for America, www.democracyforamerica.com, and not authorized by any candidate or candidate’s committee.
  • 2.
  • 3. Tonight’s Trainers Arshad Hasan DFA Executive Director Night School Host Helen Strain Field Organizer for over 20 years Matt Blizek DFA Training Director Night School Host 3 Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. Calculate Your Vote Goals District Total Current Registration: 5124 ’ 04 Turnout %: 46.3% ’ 08 Projected Turnout ____ Win Number ____ Vote Goal (52%) ____ Formula Key Projected Turnout = Current Registration x 04 Turnout % Win Number = (Projected Turnout / 2) + 1 Vote Goal = Projected Turnout x .52 Region # 3 Current Registration: 1897 ’ 04 Turnout %: 52% ’ 08 Projected Turnout ____ Win Number _ ___ Vote Goal (52%) ____ Region # 2 Current Registration: 1603 ’ 04 Turnout %: 55% ’ 08 Projected Turnout ____ Win Number ____ Vote Goal (52%) ____ Region # 1 Current Registration: 1624 ’ 04 Turnout %: 31% ’ 08 Projected Turnout ____ Win Number ____ Vote Goal (52%) ____ 8 Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
  • 9. We need at least 1146 votes to win District Total Current Registration: 5124 ’ 04 Turnout: 46.3% ’ 08 Projected Turnout 2371 Win Number 1187 Vote Goal (52%) 1233 Region # 3 Current Registration: 1897 ’ 04 Turnout: 52% ’ 08 Projected Turnout 986 Win Number 494 Vote Goal (52%) 513 Region # 2 Current Registration: 1603 ’ 04 Turnout: 55% ’ 08 Projected Turnout 882 Win Number 442 Vote Goal (52%) 458 Region # 1 Current Registration: 1624 ’ 04 Turnout: 31% ’ 08 Projected Turnout 503 Win Number 253 Vote Goal (52%) 262 9 Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
  • 10.
  • 11. Find the Democrats! Region # 1 08 Projected Turnout: 503 Dem Performance Index: 69% Projected Dem Turnout ____ Vote Goal (52%) 262 Vote difference ____ Region # 3 08 Projected Turnout: 986 Dem Performance Index: 48% Projected Dem Turnout ____ Vote Goal (52%) 513 Vote difference ____ Region # 2 08 Projected Turnout: 882 Dem Performance Index: 31% Projected Dem Turnout ____ Vote Goal (52%) 458 Vote difference ____ District Totals 08 Projected Turnout: 2371 Dem Performance Index: 46.1% Projected Dem Turnout ____ Vote Goal (52%) 1233 Vote difference ____ Formula Key Projected Dem Turnout = Turnout Projection x D.P.I. Vote Difference = Projected Dem Turnout – Vote Goal 11 Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
  • 12. Not enough Democrats to win Region # 1 08 Projected Turnout: 503 Dem Performance Index: 69% Projected Dem Turnout 347 Vote Goal (52%) 262 Vote difference 85 Region # 3 08 Projected Turnout: 986 Dem Performance Index: 48% Projected Dem Turnout 473 Vote Goal (52%) 513 Vote difference -39 Region # 2 08 Projected Turnout: 882 Dem Performance Index: 31% Projected Dem Turnout 273 Vote Goal (52%) 458 Vote difference -185 District Totals 08 Projected Turnout: 2371 Dem Performance Index: 46.1% Projected Dem Turnout 1094 Vote Goal (52%) 1233 Vote difference -139 12 Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
  • 13.
  • 14. Find the Persuadable Voters District Totals ’ 08 Projected Turnout : 2371 Persuasion Index: 16.2% Projected Perusable Voters 384 Persuasion Share ___ Formula Key Projected Persuadable Voters = Turnout Projection x Persuasion % Persuasion Share = Regional Persuadable Voters / Total Persuadable Voters Region # 1 ’ 08 Projected Turnout : 503 Persuasion Index: 18% Projected Persuadable Voters ____ Persuasion Share ____ Region # 3 ’ 08 Projected Turnout : 986 Persuasion Index: 19% Projected Persuadable Voters ____ Persuasion Share ____ Region # 2 ’ 08 Projected Turnout : 882 Persuasion Index: 12% Projected Persuadable Voters ____ Persuasion Share ____ 14 Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
  • 15. A Winnable District Region # 1 ’ 08 Projected Turnout : 503 Persuasion Index: 18% Projected Perusable Voters 91 Persuasion Share 23.6% Region # 3 ’ 08 Projected Turnout : 986 Persuasion Index: 19% Projected Perusable Voters 187 Persuasion Share 48.8% Region # 2 ’ 08 Projected Turnout : 882 Persuasion Index: 12% Projected Perusable Voters 106 Persuasion Share 27.6% District Totals ’ 08 Projected Turnout : 2371 Persuasion Index: 16.2% Projected Perusable Voters 384 Persuasion Share 100% 15 Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. VAN Power One big list of voters for all Democrats The VAN doesn’t fix itself! Contact your local county Democratic Party or DNC organizer for access 19 Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. Thank you for joining us! Need to catch up on earlier Night School presentations? Order previous semesters on DVD (and help keep Night School free) www.democracyforamerica.com/nightschooldvd Join the DFA Trust www.democracyforamerica.com/trust 24 Questions? nightschool@democracyforamerica.com