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•     Finnish climate policy and
          climate refugees
•   Displacement induced by Environmental Problems and Development
•                        Siemenpuu Foundation

•                         Tuuli Kaskinen
•                          Demos Helsinki
National level...
Hits of ”climate refugees”...
Hits of ”climate refugees”...
 Parliament documents             0



 Ministry for Foreign Affaires    1



 Government Foresight Report on   3
 Long-term Climate and Energy
 Policy
Hits of ”climate refugees”...
 Parliament documents             0



 Ministry for Foreign Affaires    1



 Government Foresight Report on   3
 Long-term Climate and Energy
 Policy
Hits of ”climate refugees”...
 Parliament documents             0



 Ministry for Foreign Affaires    1



 Government Foresight Report on   3
 Long-term Climate and Energy
 Policy
Government
Foresight Report on
Long-term Climate
and Energy Policy
Government
Foresight Report on
Long-term Climate
and Energy Policy
Bubbling under...
City of Helsinki: Report on future land use
If the service structure in Etelä-
Savo stays as it is, Finland should
     accept some 10 million
       migrants in 20 years.
European level...
Source: Guardian
"There is a real risk that, in the future, we'll
          have climatic refugees"




                    Source: Louis Michel, the European Commissioner for Development and Humanitaria
Source: Berlingske Tidende
Denmark (as only EU country) has accepted
 climate refugees from Afganistan and East-
                   Africa.
                                      Source: Berlingske Tidende
The question of climate
   refugees is mentioned,
but hardly any refugee policy
           exists.
How are European countries affected when
     talking about climate refugees?
500 million people – nearly 10 % of the
  world's population – are at risk from
    displacement by climate change.




                    Source: Environmental Justice Foundation, 2009
Too much water
Too little water
Tropical cyclones
   Melting ice
 Changing seas
Large-scale shocks and financial
contagion originating from poorer countries
 who are more vulnerable to climate change
   will also pose growing risks for rich
  countries, with increasing pressures for
 large-scale migration and political instability.



                                   Source: Stern review 2006
“People would move on a massive scale.
    Hundreds of millions, probably billions of
  people would have to move if you talk about
   4-, 5-, 6-degree increases”. And that would
 mean extended global conflict, “because
 there’s no way the world can handle that kind
of population move in the time period in which
               it would take place.”


                                   Source: Guardian
"What would happen if a state was to
 physically disappear but people want to keep
   their nationalities? It could continue as a
 virtual or ghost state even though it is a
rock under the ocean and its people no longer
           live on that piece of land."



                        Source: Environmental Justice Foundation, 2009
Maledivian government
Open questions
from Finnish point of view at the moment
Open questions
from Finnish point of view at the moment


1. How fast we can reduce emissions in Finland?
Open questions
from Finnish point of view at the moment


1. How fast we can reduce emissions in Finland?
2. How climate refugee policy differs from other
   types of migration?
Open questions
from Finnish point of view at the moment


1. How fast we can reduce emissions in Finland?
2. How climate refugee policy differs from other
   types of migration?
3. Is there a risk of global conflict and then what is
   the role of Finns in avoiding and solving it?
Finnish climate policy and climate refugees

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Finnish climate policy and climate refugees

  • 1. Finnish climate policy and climate refugees • Displacement induced by Environmental Problems and Development • Siemenpuu Foundation • Tuuli Kaskinen • Demos Helsinki
  • 3. Hits of ”climate refugees”...
  • 4. Hits of ”climate refugees”... Parliament documents 0 Ministry for Foreign Affaires 1 Government Foresight Report on 3 Long-term Climate and Energy Policy
  • 5. Hits of ”climate refugees”... Parliament documents 0 Ministry for Foreign Affaires 1 Government Foresight Report on 3 Long-term Climate and Energy Policy
  • 6. Hits of ”climate refugees”... Parliament documents 0 Ministry for Foreign Affaires 1 Government Foresight Report on 3 Long-term Climate and Energy Policy
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Government Foresight Report on Long-term Climate and Energy Policy
  • 12. Government Foresight Report on Long-term Climate and Energy Policy
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. City of Helsinki: Report on future land use
  • 17. If the service structure in Etelä- Savo stays as it is, Finland should accept some 10 million migrants in 20 years.
  • 18.
  • 21. "There is a real risk that, in the future, we'll have climatic refugees" Source: Louis Michel, the European Commissioner for Development and Humanitaria
  • 23. Denmark (as only EU country) has accepted climate refugees from Afganistan and East- Africa. Source: Berlingske Tidende
  • 24.
  • 25. The question of climate refugees is mentioned, but hardly any refugee policy exists.
  • 26. How are European countries affected when talking about climate refugees?
  • 27. 500 million people – nearly 10 % of the world's population – are at risk from displacement by climate change. Source: Environmental Justice Foundation, 2009
  • 28. Too much water Too little water Tropical cyclones Melting ice Changing seas
  • 29.
  • 30. Large-scale shocks and financial contagion originating from poorer countries who are more vulnerable to climate change will also pose growing risks for rich countries, with increasing pressures for large-scale migration and political instability. Source: Stern review 2006
  • 31. “People would move on a massive scale. Hundreds of millions, probably billions of people would have to move if you talk about 4-, 5-, 6-degree increases”. And that would mean extended global conflict, “because there’s no way the world can handle that kind of population move in the time period in which it would take place.” Source: Guardian
  • 32. "What would happen if a state was to physically disappear but people want to keep their nationalities? It could continue as a virtual or ghost state even though it is a rock under the ocean and its people no longer live on that piece of land." Source: Environmental Justice Foundation, 2009
  • 33.
  • 35.
  • 36. Open questions from Finnish point of view at the moment
  • 37. Open questions from Finnish point of view at the moment 1. How fast we can reduce emissions in Finland?
  • 38. Open questions from Finnish point of view at the moment 1. How fast we can reduce emissions in Finland? 2. How climate refugee policy differs from other types of migration?
  • 39. Open questions from Finnish point of view at the moment 1. How fast we can reduce emissions in Finland? 2. How climate refugee policy differs from other types of migration? 3. Is there a risk of global conflict and then what is the role of Finns in avoiding and solving it?

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