This report highlights US economic performance via three key indices. The Small Business Health Index measures year-over-year small business performance through equally weighted payment patterns and credit use. U.S. Jobs Health combines Small Business Health Index industry data with BLS figures to forecast monthly nonfarm payroll employment. The U.S. Business Health Index provides a year-over-year equally weighted average of D&B’s Viability Score, Delinquency Predictor and Total Loss Predictor.
1. D&B U.S. Economic Health Tracker
A multi-dimensional view of the U.S. Economy
www.dnb.com/tracker
February 2014
Small Business Health Index: Overall
Small Business Health Index
Payment Delinquency
120
16%
0.2
points
100
Credit Card Delinquency
4%
80
Credit Card Use
60
Dec '04 Dec '06 Dec '08 Dec '10
3%
Jan' 14
Source: D&B Global Data, Insights & Analytics
D&B’s Small Business Health Index has contracted modestly
in the current month, although small businesses saw
improvement in on-time credit card and bill payments.
US Jobs Health: Overall
U.S. Jobs Health
Manufacturing
Retail
220000
Real Estate
Number of New Jobs
200000
Business Services
153,000
180000
Construction
160000
140000
Jul '13 Aug '13Sept '13 Oct '13 Nov' 13 Dec' 13 Jan' 14
Source: D&B Global Data, Insights & Analytics
Trade,
Transportation
& Utilities
D&B estimates 153,000 new jobs were added to
U.S. payrolls in January 2014, with gains in retail and
business services. The overall pace of employment
growth is projected to continue improving modestly.