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Welcome	
  to	
  the	
  Cloud	
  Epoch
Duncan	
  Johnston-­‐Watt	
  
@duncanjw
Thesis
Cloud	
  is	
  no	
  longer	
  an	
  emerging	
  trend	
  -­‐	
  it	
  is	
  now	
  
mainstream.	
  Cloud	
  is	
  transforming	
  the	
  way	
  we	
  
think	
  about	
  technology	
  whether	
  we	
  are	
  a	
  
consumer	
  or	
  a	
  provider;	
  whether	
  we	
  are	
  tackling	
  
a	
  Big	
  Data	
  problem;	
  interested	
  in	
  the	
  Internet	
  of	
  
Everything	
  or	
  just	
  want	
  to	
  deliver	
  a	
  better	
  service	
  
to	
  our	
  customers.
Promise	
  (Theory)
In	
  this	
  keynote	
  we	
  will	
  look	
  at	
  some	
  of	
  the	
  
watershed	
  events	
  that	
  have	
  defined	
  Cloud	
  to	
  
date;	
  we	
  will	
  anticipate	
  the	
  gestalt	
  shift	
  in	
  our	
  
thinking	
  that	
  is	
  still	
  required	
  to	
  ensure	
  Cloud's	
  
continuing	
  and	
  pervasive	
  influence	
  on	
  our	
  lives;	
  
and	
  we	
  will	
  explain	
  why	
  this	
  is	
  an	
  epoch.
Epoch
1. a	
  point	
  in	
  time	
  beginning	
  a	
  new	
  or	
  distinctive	
  period:	
  
the	
  invention	
  of	
  nuclear	
  weapons	
  marked	
  an	
  epoch	
  in	
  
the	
  history	
  of	
  warfare	
  
2. a	
  long	
  period	
  of	
  time	
  marked	
  by	
  some	
  predominant	
  or	
  
typical	
  characteristic;	
  era	
  
3. (Astronomy)	
  a	
  precise	
  date	
  to	
  which	
  information,	
  such	
  
as	
  coordinates,	
  relating	
  to	
  a	
  celestial	
  body	
  is	
  referred	
  
4. (Palaeontology)	
  a	
  unit	
  of	
  geological	
  time	
  within	
  a	
  
period	
  during	
  which	
  a	
  series	
  of	
  rocks	
  is	
  formed:	
  the	
  
Pleistocene	
  epoch	
  
5. (General	
  Physics)	
  the	
  displacement	
  of	
  an	
  oscillating	
  or	
  
vibrating	
  body	
  at	
  zero	
  time
Source:	
  Collins	
  English	
  Dictionary	
  –	
  Complete	
  and	
  Unabridged
Two	
  Opposing	
  Views?
• Cloud	
  computing	
  is	
  just	
  the	
  latest	
  crank	
  of	
  the	
  
distributed	
  computing	
  handle.	
  It	
  is	
  nothing	
  
more	
  that	
  the	
  natural	
  evolution	
  of	
  grid	
  and	
  
utility	
  computing1	
  
!
• Cloud	
  computing	
  is	
  going	
  to	
  transform	
  has	
  
transformed	
  the	
  way	
  we	
  consume	
  IT
1:	
  Or	
  as	
  Jonathan	
  Schwartz	
  famously	
  comangled	
  them:	
  utility	
  grid	
  computing
Trivia	
  Quiz
• Did	
  you	
  know	
  that	
  Nicholas	
  Carr	
  joined	
  the	
  
Encyclopædia	
  Britannica	
  Editorial	
  Board	
  of	
  
Advisors	
  in	
  2008?	
  
!
• Can	
  you	
  hazard	
  a	
  guess	
  as	
  to	
  why	
  he	
  accepted	
  
this	
  invitation?	
  
!
• Hint:	
  He	
  had	
  nothing	
  better	
  to	
  do	
  is	
  not	
  the	
  
right	
  answer
A:	
  His	
  follow	
  up	
  to	
  The	
  Big	
  Switch	
  was	
  an	
  essay	
  Is	
  Google	
  Making	
  Us	
  Stupid?	
  
Watershed	
  Events	
  #1
• Google	
  
!
• Amazon	
  Web	
  Services	
  
!
• Open	
  Source	
  &	
  Open	
  Standards	
  
!
• Automation	
  
!
• DevOps
Paradigm	
  Shift
Normal	
  
Science
Anomaly
Crisis
Change	
  in	
  
world	
  view*
Pre-­‐paradigm	
  
Phase
New	
  Paradigm
*Gestalt	
  shift	
  –	
  hard	
  reset	
  that	
  reshapes	
  your	
  world	
  view	
  	
  
Model
name: cassandra-cluster-app!
services:!
- type: brooklyn.entity.nosql.cassandra.CassandraCluster!
name: Cassandra Cluster!
brooklyn.config:!
cluster.initial.size: 5!
cluster.initial.quorumSize: 3!
install.version: 1.2.15!
provisioning.properties:!
minCores: 4!
minRam: 8192!
location: aws-ec2:eu-west-1
Autonomic	
  Management	
  (M-­‐A-­‐P-­‐E)
Monitor
Analyze Plan
ExecuteState
Sensors Effectors
Enrich
Delegate
Autonomic	
  
Manager*
Sensors Effectors
Escalate
Managed	
  
Element
*An	
  autonomic	
  manager	
  can	
  be	
  a	
  managed	
  element
Hierarchical	
  Autonomic	
  Management
Granularity	
  can	
  be	
  anything	
  from	
  individual	
  application	
  to	
  overall	
  control	
  plane
Watershed	
  Events	
  #2
• Mobile	
  
!
• Big	
  Data	
  
!
• Internet	
  of	
  Everything	
  
!
• Containerization	
  
!
• Commoditization
27
28
The	
  Great	
  Rewrite*
Philosophy	
  unravels	
  the	
  knots	
  in	
  our	
  thinking;	
  
hence	
  its	
  results	
  must	
  be	
  simple,	
  but	
  its	
  activity	
  
is	
  as	
  complicated	
  as	
  the	
  knots	
  that	
  it	
  unravels.	
  
!
Ludwig	
  Wittgenstein,	
  Philosophical	
  Occasions
*Credit:	
  Michael	
  Coté,	
  Research	
  Director,	
  451	
  Research	
  @cote
Enterprise Cloud Forum - Monaco - #DCE2014 - Keynote

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Enterprise Cloud Forum - Monaco - #DCE2014 - Keynote

  • 1. Welcome  to  the  Cloud  Epoch Duncan  Johnston-­‐Watt   @duncanjw
  • 2. Thesis Cloud  is  no  longer  an  emerging  trend  -­‐  it  is  now   mainstream.  Cloud  is  transforming  the  way  we   think  about  technology  whether  we  are  a   consumer  or  a  provider;  whether  we  are  tackling   a  Big  Data  problem;  interested  in  the  Internet  of   Everything  or  just  want  to  deliver  a  better  service   to  our  customers.
  • 3. Promise  (Theory) In  this  keynote  we  will  look  at  some  of  the   watershed  events  that  have  defined  Cloud  to   date;  we  will  anticipate  the  gestalt  shift  in  our   thinking  that  is  still  required  to  ensure  Cloud's   continuing  and  pervasive  influence  on  our  lives;   and  we  will  explain  why  this  is  an  epoch.
  • 4. Epoch 1. a  point  in  time  beginning  a  new  or  distinctive  period:   the  invention  of  nuclear  weapons  marked  an  epoch  in   the  history  of  warfare   2. a  long  period  of  time  marked  by  some  predominant  or   typical  characteristic;  era   3. (Astronomy)  a  precise  date  to  which  information,  such   as  coordinates,  relating  to  a  celestial  body  is  referred   4. (Palaeontology)  a  unit  of  geological  time  within  a   period  during  which  a  series  of  rocks  is  formed:  the   Pleistocene  epoch   5. (General  Physics)  the  displacement  of  an  oscillating  or   vibrating  body  at  zero  time Source:  Collins  English  Dictionary  –  Complete  and  Unabridged
  • 5. Two  Opposing  Views? • Cloud  computing  is  just  the  latest  crank  of  the   distributed  computing  handle.  It  is  nothing   more  that  the  natural  evolution  of  grid  and   utility  computing1   ! • Cloud  computing  is  going  to  transform  has   transformed  the  way  we  consume  IT 1:  Or  as  Jonathan  Schwartz  famously  comangled  them:  utility  grid  computing
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  • 9. Trivia  Quiz • Did  you  know  that  Nicholas  Carr  joined  the   Encyclopædia  Britannica  Editorial  Board  of   Advisors  in  2008?   ! • Can  you  hazard  a  guess  as  to  why  he  accepted   this  invitation?   ! • Hint:  He  had  nothing  better  to  do  is  not  the   right  answer A:  His  follow  up  to  The  Big  Switch  was  an  essay  Is  Google  Making  Us  Stupid?  
  • 10. Watershed  Events  #1 • Google   ! • Amazon  Web  Services   ! • Open  Source  &  Open  Standards   ! • Automation   ! • DevOps
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  • 13. Paradigm  Shift Normal   Science Anomaly Crisis Change  in   world  view* Pre-­‐paradigm   Phase New  Paradigm *Gestalt  shift  –  hard  reset  that  reshapes  your  world  view    
  • 14.
  • 15. Model name: cassandra-cluster-app! services:! - type: brooklyn.entity.nosql.cassandra.CassandraCluster! name: Cassandra Cluster! brooklyn.config:! cluster.initial.size: 5! cluster.initial.quorumSize: 3! install.version: 1.2.15! provisioning.properties:! minCores: 4! minRam: 8192! location: aws-ec2:eu-west-1
  • 16. Autonomic  Management  (M-­‐A-­‐P-­‐E) Monitor Analyze Plan ExecuteState Sensors Effectors Enrich Delegate Autonomic   Manager* Sensors Effectors Escalate Managed   Element *An  autonomic  manager  can  be  a  managed  element
  • 17. Hierarchical  Autonomic  Management Granularity  can  be  anything  from  individual  application  to  overall  control  plane
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  • 20. Watershed  Events  #2 • Mobile   ! • Big  Data   ! • Internet  of  Everything   ! • Containerization   ! • Commoditization
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  • 30. The  Great  Rewrite* Philosophy  unravels  the  knots  in  our  thinking;   hence  its  results  must  be  simple,  but  its  activity   is  as  complicated  as  the  knots  that  it  unravels.   ! Ludwig  Wittgenstein,  Philosophical  Occasions *Credit:  Michael  Coté,  Research  Director,  451  Research  @cote