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Argentina’s Unconventional Resources
A great prospect
Oil & Money Conference – London - October. 2013
Disclaimer
Safe harbor statement under the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
This document contains statements that YPF believes constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform
Act of 1995.
These forward-looking statements may include statements regarding the intent, belief, plans, current expectations or objectives of YPF and its
management, including statements with respect to YPF’s future financial condition, financial, operating, reserve replacement and other ratios, results of
operations, business strategy, geographic concentration, business concentration, production and marketed volumes and reserves, as well as YPF’s
plans, expectations or objectives with respect to future capital expenditures, investments, expansion and other projects, exploration activities, ownership
interests, divestments, cost savings and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic
and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates. These statements are not guarantees of
future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be
beyond YPF’s control or may be difficult to predict.
YPF’s actual future financial condition, financial, operating, reserve replacement and other ratios, results of operations, business strategy, geographic
concentration, business concentration, production and marketed volumes, reserves, capital expenditures, investments, expansion and other
projects, exploration activities, ownership interests, divestments, cost savings and dividend payout policies, as well as actual future economic and other
conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining margins and exchange rates, could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any such
forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause such differences include, but are not limited to, oil, gas and other price fluctuations, supply and
demand levels, currency fluctuations, exploration, drilling and production results, changes in reserves estimates, success in partnering with third parties, loss of
market share, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, the risks of doing business in developing countries, legislative, tax, legal and regulatory
developments, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, political risks, wars and acts of terrorism, natural disasters, project
delays or advancements and lack of approvals, as well as those factors described in the filings made by YPF and its affiliates with the Securities and Exchange
Commission, in particular, those described in ―Item 3. Key Information—Risk Factors‖ and ―Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects‖ in YPF’s
Annual Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012 filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. In light of the foregoing, the
forward-looking statements included in this document may not occur.
Except as required by law, YPF does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it
clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.
These materials do not constitute an offer for sale of YPF S.A. bonds, shares or ADRs in the United States or otherwise.
Contents

1

YPF results

2

Unconventional potential in Argentina

3

Evolution of cost and productivity
Increased investments and activity
• Significant increase in investment during 2013

• Significant increase in activity
Rigs

Millions Dollars (*)

152%
+63%

63
46

2010
25

1230

Others
Downstream
Upstream

2011

2012

Sep-13

Workover (1)
73%

85
70

49
6M 2012

6M 2013

Investments as in Note 2.g. of the financial statements at Q2 2013. Converted to USD
at period – end exchange rate

2011

2012

Sep-13
Increased Production
Downward trend in production seen in recent years reversed; crude oil and
natural gas production for July above previous two quarters.
Natural gas production (Mm3/d)

Crude oil production (kbbl/d)

234.4
34.2
227.4

33.4

31.4

33

34.8

228.2
226.3

222.6

2011

2012

1Q'2013

2Q'2013

Jul'2013

2011

2012

1Q'2013

2Q'2013

Jul'2013
Contents

1

YPF results

2

Unconventional potential in Argentina

3

Evolution of cost and productivity
Argentina has the natural resources to increase production
Oil Potential

Gas Potential

(Bbbls)

(Tcf)

NOROESTE
CHACO
PARANAENSE

29

4,4

CUYANA

NEUQUINA

802

27

GOLFO
SAN JORGE

Conventional
(Gas 3P + Resources)

Unconventional

Unconventional

(resources)
Source: Secretaria de Energia / U.S. Energy Information
Administration (DOE) / Advanced Resources International
(ARI), 2013

Conventional
(Oil 3P + Resources)

AUSTRAL

(resources

4th in Unc. oil resources

2nd in Unc. gas resources
Vaca Muerta – World Class asset that can be massively developed
Comparable to US plays
Net YPF

Area 12,075 km2

77%
5%
18%

Area

EUR

20 - 40 Bbbl
100 - 200 TCF

Approximately 100 years
of current production
gas

gas

TOC (%)
Thickness (m)

Oil
Wet

US Best
Composite

30,000 km2

EUR

Dry

Vaca Muerta

Total

Windows(1)
Oil
Wet gas
Dry gas

Shale Oil and Gas

Key unconventional
acreage holders in America

Chesapeake
ExxonMobil
YPF
Chevron
Apache

Reservoir
Pressure (psi)

3 - 10

Marcellus
2 - 12

30 - 450

Eagle Ford
30 - 100

4,500 – 9,500

Haynesville
2,500 – 8,500
Oil: First pilot initial investment
First 20 km2 - pilot

1 cluster

Investment

1,240
20 km2
Massive
development
290 Km2

million dollars

Wells

+100
Drilling rigs

19

(as of December 2013)

Direct employees

+1,500
Neuquina basin

Vaca Muerta

700 drilling
300 transport
350 well services
160 stimulation
Contents

1

YPF results

2

Unconventional potential in Argentina

3

Evolution of cost and productivity
Unconventional Development Trends
Shale wells Qi evolution
45

Progress towards turning Vaca Muerta into a
highly profitable shale development

Qi oil average, M3/d

40

35
30
25

First Vaca Muerta reservoir simulation model (lead by
YPF team together with top North America shale experts)

20
15
10

Increased initial productions due to improved fracture
methodology and management of the draw down imposed
on the hydraulic fractures

5
Oct-10

Ene-11

Abr-11

Ago-11 Nov-11

Feb-12 May-12

Sep-12

Dic-12

Completion costs per vertical well
M USD

12

11.1

Renegotiated completion contracts generating savings
as efficiency and economies of scale increase

10.4

10

7.8

8

7

Decreased well cost by 10% during 2012
and completion by more than 20%

6

Initiated multi-pad drilling

4

2
0
2011

2012

1H 2013

2H 2013

Started pilot development targeting 130 wells in 2013,
now 19 drilling rigs active in North Loma La Lata
Production Evolution
Gas (km3/d)

10.000
Gas km³/d

Oil bbl/d

Oil (bbls/d)

9.000

8.000
7.000
6.000

700

600
500
400

5.000
4.000

300

3.000

200

2.000

100

1.000

0

0

Current production

+13,000 boe/day
The partner of choice

Key advantages in Argentina

YPF Expertise

• Long term contracts

• Main hydrocarbon producer
in Argentina

25/35 years, 12% royalties

• Excellent connectivity
and infrastructure
• 1,167 km crude oil transmission system 1 crude oil export pipeline to Chile
• 14,800 km gas transmission system 5.5 BCF/d
capacity - 12 international pipelines 2.5 BCF/d
• 10 refineries 639,000 bbl/d total capacity

• Promotion of Investment
Decree 929/13
• Investment over 1B US$ on Hydrocarbons Production
gives right to export up to 20% of the hydrocarbons
produced and free disposition of exports' proceeds.

• Improved Gas Prices
7,5 US$/Mbtu on new gas

(36% of Argentina total production)

• 93 concessions and 50 exploration
blocks
• Excellent Economy of scale
in its operations
• Leader in unconventional wells
in Argentina
3 times all companies combined

• 3rd largest unconventional acreage
holder in America

• Fully integrated company
(Uptream & Downstream)

• Leader in Vaca Muerta
Conclusions

Summary
A definite potential exists for Unconventionals outside of North America
Approach to developing Unconventionals outside of North America is different
Argentina has various sizeable Unconventional Oil & Gas plays that can be developed

Vaca Muerta is a world class shale resource that has been proven MATERIAL
and can be massively developed.
Opportunity exists to reduce development costs through fit for purpose technology,
estate of the art reservoir modeling, and logistics improvements.
Both Argentina and YPF are completely open to investment and partnerships in
developing Unconventionals

YPF is the leader and partner of choice
Project size - 35 years

Total
investments

Total
operating costs

Drilling
activity

+16.0

+9.0

+1,500

Billion USD

Billion USD

Cumulative
production

+750

Million BOE

New wells

Plateau production

+50,000

Oil Bbls per day

+3 million
m3 per day of gas
Unconventional opportunities
“Unconventional” Resources
Tested & Producing
NOROESTE
CHACO
PARANAENSE

4,4

Vaca Muerta (shale oil / gas)
Area 30,000 km2
OOIP 661 Bbbl (40 Bbbl)*
OGIP 1,181 TCF (117 TCF)*

CUYANA

Other Opportunities
Noroeste - Cretaceous
Yacoraite
(shale / tight oil & gas)

Noroeste - Tarija
Los Monos (shale gas)

GOLFO
SAN JORGE

Neuquina
Los Molles (shale / tight gas)
Agrio (shale oil)

D-129 (shale oil / tight oil)

NEUQUINA

Lajas (tight gas)
Mulichinco (tight oil / gas)

Golfo San Jorge
Neocomiano (shale oil / gas)
Chaco Paranaense
Devonian – Permian (shale oil)

AUSTRAL

Cuyana
Cacheuta (shale oil)
Potrerillos (tight oil)
Notes:
K: thousand; M: million; B: billion (109)

Austral
Inoceramus
Focus on value creation and new opportunities
• +29% prod. rate
Oil

• 251 Mbbl

Others
8%
Secondary Prod
14%

Shale oil
46%

• 5,380 wells
Exploitation

Primary Prod
32%

• +23% prod. rate
Gas

• 1.27 TCF
• 1,160 wells

Exploration

• 250 wells

Refining & Marketing *

• +44% diesel oil
• +24% gasoline

Notes:
* R&M includes Petrochemicals and Logistics / K: thousands; M: million; Bn: billion (109)

Others
8%

Infil
33%

Shale gas
32%

TightlGas
27%
Logistics optimization
Sand Transportation
• Sand Train transportation will allow for
• Substantial reduction of sand transportation cost and time
• Bulk transportation instead of big bags
• Central Storage Optimization in silos
• Optimized distribution with bulks

Water Sourcing & Distribution
• Water pipe network to minimize water truck transport
• River Water being pumped to the field
• Central fresh Water Pit storage
• Water pipe network for water pumping to well location
Performance of vertical wells for hydraulic fracturing
Vertical wells, hydraulic fracture in Vaca Muerta
Cumulative Oil,
avg bbls/well

40,000

D vs 2012: + 4,500 bbl
2010-2011: 15 wells

35,000

YPF 2012: 10 wells
YPF 2013: 36wells
Forecastt
Back up

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

0
0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

Production months

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Prospects for Non-Conventional Oil and Gas Outside of North America

  • 1. Argentina’s Unconventional Resources A great prospect Oil & Money Conference – London - October. 2013
  • 2. Disclaimer Safe harbor statement under the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. This document contains statements that YPF believes constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements may include statements regarding the intent, belief, plans, current expectations or objectives of YPF and its management, including statements with respect to YPF’s future financial condition, financial, operating, reserve replacement and other ratios, results of operations, business strategy, geographic concentration, business concentration, production and marketed volumes and reserves, as well as YPF’s plans, expectations or objectives with respect to future capital expenditures, investments, expansion and other projects, exploration activities, ownership interests, divestments, cost savings and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond YPF’s control or may be difficult to predict. YPF’s actual future financial condition, financial, operating, reserve replacement and other ratios, results of operations, business strategy, geographic concentration, business concentration, production and marketed volumes, reserves, capital expenditures, investments, expansion and other projects, exploration activities, ownership interests, divestments, cost savings and dividend payout policies, as well as actual future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining margins and exchange rates, could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any such forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause such differences include, but are not limited to, oil, gas and other price fluctuations, supply and demand levels, currency fluctuations, exploration, drilling and production results, changes in reserves estimates, success in partnering with third parties, loss of market share, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, the risks of doing business in developing countries, legislative, tax, legal and regulatory developments, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, political risks, wars and acts of terrorism, natural disasters, project delays or advancements and lack of approvals, as well as those factors described in the filings made by YPF and its affiliates with the Securities and Exchange Commission, in particular, those described in ―Item 3. Key Information—Risk Factors‖ and ―Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects‖ in YPF’s Annual Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012 filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. In light of the foregoing, the forward-looking statements included in this document may not occur. Except as required by law, YPF does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized. These materials do not constitute an offer for sale of YPF S.A. bonds, shares or ADRs in the United States or otherwise.
  • 3. Contents 1 YPF results 2 Unconventional potential in Argentina 3 Evolution of cost and productivity
  • 4. Increased investments and activity • Significant increase in investment during 2013 • Significant increase in activity Rigs Millions Dollars (*) 152% +63% 63 46 2010 25 1230 Others Downstream Upstream 2011 2012 Sep-13 Workover (1) 73% 85 70 49 6M 2012 6M 2013 Investments as in Note 2.g. of the financial statements at Q2 2013. Converted to USD at period – end exchange rate 2011 2012 Sep-13
  • 5. Increased Production Downward trend in production seen in recent years reversed; crude oil and natural gas production for July above previous two quarters. Natural gas production (Mm3/d) Crude oil production (kbbl/d) 234.4 34.2 227.4 33.4 31.4 33 34.8 228.2 226.3 222.6 2011 2012 1Q'2013 2Q'2013 Jul'2013 2011 2012 1Q'2013 2Q'2013 Jul'2013
  • 6. Contents 1 YPF results 2 Unconventional potential in Argentina 3 Evolution of cost and productivity
  • 7. Argentina has the natural resources to increase production Oil Potential Gas Potential (Bbbls) (Tcf) NOROESTE CHACO PARANAENSE 29 4,4 CUYANA NEUQUINA 802 27 GOLFO SAN JORGE Conventional (Gas 3P + Resources) Unconventional Unconventional (resources) Source: Secretaria de Energia / U.S. Energy Information Administration (DOE) / Advanced Resources International (ARI), 2013 Conventional (Oil 3P + Resources) AUSTRAL (resources 4th in Unc. oil resources 2nd in Unc. gas resources
  • 8. Vaca Muerta – World Class asset that can be massively developed Comparable to US plays Net YPF Area 12,075 km2 77% 5% 18% Area EUR 20 - 40 Bbbl 100 - 200 TCF Approximately 100 years of current production gas gas TOC (%) Thickness (m) Oil Wet US Best Composite 30,000 km2 EUR Dry Vaca Muerta Total Windows(1) Oil Wet gas Dry gas Shale Oil and Gas Key unconventional acreage holders in America Chesapeake ExxonMobil YPF Chevron Apache Reservoir Pressure (psi) 3 - 10 Marcellus 2 - 12 30 - 450 Eagle Ford 30 - 100 4,500 – 9,500 Haynesville 2,500 – 8,500
  • 9. Oil: First pilot initial investment First 20 km2 - pilot 1 cluster Investment 1,240 20 km2 Massive development 290 Km2 million dollars Wells +100 Drilling rigs 19 (as of December 2013) Direct employees +1,500 Neuquina basin Vaca Muerta 700 drilling 300 transport 350 well services 160 stimulation
  • 10. Contents 1 YPF results 2 Unconventional potential in Argentina 3 Evolution of cost and productivity
  • 11. Unconventional Development Trends Shale wells Qi evolution 45 Progress towards turning Vaca Muerta into a highly profitable shale development Qi oil average, M3/d 40 35 30 25 First Vaca Muerta reservoir simulation model (lead by YPF team together with top North America shale experts) 20 15 10 Increased initial productions due to improved fracture methodology and management of the draw down imposed on the hydraulic fractures 5 Oct-10 Ene-11 Abr-11 Ago-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Sep-12 Dic-12 Completion costs per vertical well M USD 12 11.1 Renegotiated completion contracts generating savings as efficiency and economies of scale increase 10.4 10 7.8 8 7 Decreased well cost by 10% during 2012 and completion by more than 20% 6 Initiated multi-pad drilling 4 2 0 2011 2012 1H 2013 2H 2013 Started pilot development targeting 130 wells in 2013, now 19 drilling rigs active in North Loma La Lata
  • 12. Production Evolution Gas (km3/d) 10.000 Gas km³/d Oil bbl/d Oil (bbls/d) 9.000 8.000 7.000 6.000 700 600 500 400 5.000 4.000 300 3.000 200 2.000 100 1.000 0 0 Current production +13,000 boe/day
  • 13. The partner of choice Key advantages in Argentina YPF Expertise • Long term contracts • Main hydrocarbon producer in Argentina 25/35 years, 12% royalties • Excellent connectivity and infrastructure • 1,167 km crude oil transmission system 1 crude oil export pipeline to Chile • 14,800 km gas transmission system 5.5 BCF/d capacity - 12 international pipelines 2.5 BCF/d • 10 refineries 639,000 bbl/d total capacity • Promotion of Investment Decree 929/13 • Investment over 1B US$ on Hydrocarbons Production gives right to export up to 20% of the hydrocarbons produced and free disposition of exports' proceeds. • Improved Gas Prices 7,5 US$/Mbtu on new gas (36% of Argentina total production) • 93 concessions and 50 exploration blocks • Excellent Economy of scale in its operations • Leader in unconventional wells in Argentina 3 times all companies combined • 3rd largest unconventional acreage holder in America • Fully integrated company (Uptream & Downstream) • Leader in Vaca Muerta
  • 14. Conclusions Summary A definite potential exists for Unconventionals outside of North America Approach to developing Unconventionals outside of North America is different Argentina has various sizeable Unconventional Oil & Gas plays that can be developed Vaca Muerta is a world class shale resource that has been proven MATERIAL and can be massively developed. Opportunity exists to reduce development costs through fit for purpose technology, estate of the art reservoir modeling, and logistics improvements. Both Argentina and YPF are completely open to investment and partnerships in developing Unconventionals YPF is the leader and partner of choice
  • 15.
  • 16. Project size - 35 years Total investments Total operating costs Drilling activity +16.0 +9.0 +1,500 Billion USD Billion USD Cumulative production +750 Million BOE New wells Plateau production +50,000 Oil Bbls per day +3 million m3 per day of gas
  • 17. Unconventional opportunities “Unconventional” Resources Tested & Producing NOROESTE CHACO PARANAENSE 4,4 Vaca Muerta (shale oil / gas) Area 30,000 km2 OOIP 661 Bbbl (40 Bbbl)* OGIP 1,181 TCF (117 TCF)* CUYANA Other Opportunities Noroeste - Cretaceous Yacoraite (shale / tight oil & gas) Noroeste - Tarija Los Monos (shale gas) GOLFO SAN JORGE Neuquina Los Molles (shale / tight gas) Agrio (shale oil) D-129 (shale oil / tight oil) NEUQUINA Lajas (tight gas) Mulichinco (tight oil / gas) Golfo San Jorge Neocomiano (shale oil / gas) Chaco Paranaense Devonian – Permian (shale oil) AUSTRAL Cuyana Cacheuta (shale oil) Potrerillos (tight oil) Notes: K: thousand; M: million; B: billion (109) Austral Inoceramus
  • 18. Focus on value creation and new opportunities • +29% prod. rate Oil • 251 Mbbl Others 8% Secondary Prod 14% Shale oil 46% • 5,380 wells Exploitation Primary Prod 32% • +23% prod. rate Gas • 1.27 TCF • 1,160 wells Exploration • 250 wells Refining & Marketing * • +44% diesel oil • +24% gasoline Notes: * R&M includes Petrochemicals and Logistics / K: thousands; M: million; Bn: billion (109) Others 8% Infil 33% Shale gas 32% TightlGas 27%
  • 19. Logistics optimization Sand Transportation • Sand Train transportation will allow for • Substantial reduction of sand transportation cost and time • Bulk transportation instead of big bags • Central Storage Optimization in silos • Optimized distribution with bulks Water Sourcing & Distribution • Water pipe network to minimize water truck transport • River Water being pumped to the field • Central fresh Water Pit storage • Water pipe network for water pumping to well location
  • 20. Performance of vertical wells for hydraulic fracturing Vertical wells, hydraulic fracture in Vaca Muerta Cumulative Oil, avg bbls/well 40,000 D vs 2012: + 4,500 bbl 2010-2011: 15 wells 35,000 YPF 2012: 10 wells YPF 2013: 36wells Forecastt Back up 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Production months