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Public-Private Partnerships!

!   Presented at Transforming Transportation 2014!
!   Graham Smith!
!   HSBC!

Transforming Transportation 2014!
What is PPP?
January 2014

Presented by: Graham Smith
What is PPP?

P3
P³
PFI
BOT
BOOT
BOO
BLT
DBFO
DCMF

2
What is PPP?

•  Public sector purchases services
•  Private Sector conceives, sets up, operates, assumes risks

3
Is it always appropriate for Governments?

•  Not for all projects, not appropriate for low capital value projects
•  Where risks over project life cannot be costed
•  Where demand for services in the future cannot be reasonably predicted
•  Where private sector does not have the expertise to deliver

4
Is it going to be attractive to the private sector?

•  Is it potentially profitable?
•  Is there Government support?
•  Are multiple Government Agencies involved? (fractured government
•  How protective is PPP/concession contract law?
•  Can risks be assessed/mitigated?
•  Is financing available?

5
PPP’s in Urban Transport

•  UK, Colombia, Chile, South Africa, Panama, Malaysia
•  Which countries failed?
•  UK, Colombia, Chile, South Africa, Panama, Malaysia

6
Government

Public
Infrastructure
and Services

Performance/Contract Compliance

Capital Investment
Regulations

Taxes, Votes
Debt payment
Fares

Lenders

Operators
Financing

Taxpayers
Level of Service
Service users

7
What should a BRT City be thinking of?

•  What do they want delivered
•  How to calculate value for money (VFM)
•  Will the market view a PPP as potentially profitable?
•  Is there anything similar-tested/failed?
•  Is there competition between service providers?
•  Risk of “adventurers”
•  Can they regain control of transport from the current operators in order to go for a BRT?

8
What should a Concessionaire be thinking of?

•  Can risks be costed over all of project life
•  Minimum revenue support?
•  How will service quality be defined and measured?
•  Profitability/competition/shareholding control/low cost, long term financing

9
PPP payment structures used in BRTs

•  Transantiago, Chile
Payment per passenger transported but
Guaranteed minimum revenue, payments per km and per place offered, income increased in line with costs

•  Rea Vaya, South Africa
Payment per km but
Undertaking to always cover financial and operating costs

•  Metrobus, Panama
Payment per passenger transported but
Monopoly operator, income increased in line with costs, protection from competition from Metro

10
Who chose the buses?

The City
Johannesburg
The Operator
Santiago/Panama

or the financier?

11
Case Studies – Rea Vaya

• Rea Vaya

12
Case study – Rea Vaya

•  Clidet 957 – a strange name for a bus company
•  When is a Project not a PPP – then it is…
•  When is an SPC ranked the same as a City?
•  Will the bank steal my buses?

13
Case studies - Transantiago
• Transantiago

14
Case study - Transantiago

• Estevez, Espejo, Cortazar, Morande, Errazuriz are all examples of?
• How many times can you change the rules?
• How difficult can it be to measure performance?
• Avoid Adventurers…

15
How to attract private capital

•  Maintain economic equilibrium
•  Respect the concession contract in word/spirit
•  Talk to and work with the financiers
•  Remember just how many BRT projects there are in the pipeline
•  Be prepared to renegotiate the concession to make it financiable
•  Local is not always best

16

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Public Private Partnerships - Graham Smith - HSBC - Transforming Transportation 2014 - EMBARQ The World Bank

  • 1. Public-Private Partnerships! !   Presented at Transforming Transportation 2014! !   Graham Smith! !   HSBC! Transforming Transportation 2014!
  • 2. What is PPP? January 2014 Presented by: Graham Smith
  • 4. What is PPP? •  Public sector purchases services •  Private Sector conceives, sets up, operates, assumes risks 3
  • 5. Is it always appropriate for Governments? •  Not for all projects, not appropriate for low capital value projects •  Where risks over project life cannot be costed •  Where demand for services in the future cannot be reasonably predicted •  Where private sector does not have the expertise to deliver 4
  • 6. Is it going to be attractive to the private sector? •  Is it potentially profitable? •  Is there Government support? •  Are multiple Government Agencies involved? (fractured government •  How protective is PPP/concession contract law? •  Can risks be assessed/mitigated? •  Is financing available? 5
  • 7. PPP’s in Urban Transport •  UK, Colombia, Chile, South Africa, Panama, Malaysia •  Which countries failed? •  UK, Colombia, Chile, South Africa, Panama, Malaysia 6
  • 8. Government Public Infrastructure and Services Performance/Contract Compliance Capital Investment Regulations Taxes, Votes Debt payment Fares Lenders Operators Financing Taxpayers Level of Service Service users 7
  • 9. What should a BRT City be thinking of? •  What do they want delivered •  How to calculate value for money (VFM) •  Will the market view a PPP as potentially profitable? •  Is there anything similar-tested/failed? •  Is there competition between service providers? •  Risk of “adventurers” •  Can they regain control of transport from the current operators in order to go for a BRT? 8
  • 10. What should a Concessionaire be thinking of? •  Can risks be costed over all of project life •  Minimum revenue support? •  How will service quality be defined and measured? •  Profitability/competition/shareholding control/low cost, long term financing 9
  • 11. PPP payment structures used in BRTs •  Transantiago, Chile Payment per passenger transported but Guaranteed minimum revenue, payments per km and per place offered, income increased in line with costs •  Rea Vaya, South Africa Payment per km but Undertaking to always cover financial and operating costs •  Metrobus, Panama Payment per passenger transported but Monopoly operator, income increased in line with costs, protection from competition from Metro 10
  • 12. Who chose the buses? The City Johannesburg The Operator Santiago/Panama or the financier? 11
  • 13. Case Studies – Rea Vaya • Rea Vaya 12
  • 14. Case study – Rea Vaya •  Clidet 957 – a strange name for a bus company •  When is a Project not a PPP – then it is… •  When is an SPC ranked the same as a City? •  Will the bank steal my buses? 13
  • 15. Case studies - Transantiago • Transantiago 14
  • 16. Case study - Transantiago • Estevez, Espejo, Cortazar, Morande, Errazuriz are all examples of? • How many times can you change the rules? • How difficult can it be to measure performance? • Avoid Adventurers… 15
  • 17. How to attract private capital •  Maintain economic equilibrium •  Respect the concession contract in word/spirit •  Talk to and work with the financiers •  Remember just how many BRT projects there are in the pipeline •  Be prepared to renegotiate the concession to make it financiable •  Local is not always best 16