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Daily commodity report_31_01_2014 by epic research
1. DAILY COMMODITY REPORT
31th JANUARY 2014
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2. DAILY MARKET WRAPUP
31th JANUARY 2014
COMMODITY
CONTRACT
OPEN PRICE
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE PRICE
%CHANGE
OI (in lots)
GOLD
05 FEB 2014
29789.00
29820.00
29382.00
29738.00
-1.12
3972
SILVER
05 MAR 2014
44326.00
44450.00
43080.00
44405.00
-2.32
15737
CRUDE
19 FEB 2014
6140.00
6199.00
6133.00
6130.00
0.67
11482
NATURAL GAS
25 FEB 2014
323.30
343.80
318.20
321.10
-0.22
16042
COPPER
28 FEB 2014
451.25
453.85
446.35
452.85
-1.07
10689
NICKEL
31 JAN 2014
875.20
877.90
861.00
876.60
-1.75
3048
LEAD
31 JAN 2014
134.25
134.55
130.20
134.75
-2.30
2176
ZINC
31 JAN 2014
124.35
124.60
122.65
124.95
-1.28
1405
ALUMINIUM
31 JAN 2014
107.00
10715
105.10
107.15
-1.54
1510
LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (30– JAN- 2014)
METAL
ALUMINIUM
-7000
COPPER
-2600
LEAD
-500
NICKEL
2286
ZINC
YOUR MINTVISORY
TONNES IN STORAGE
-3225
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3. INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
31th JANUARY 2014
PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS
COMMODITY
UNITS
PRICE
CHANGE
% CHANGE
CONTRACT
COMEX GOLD
USD/T OZ.
1,242.00
-0.50
-0.04%
APR 14
GOLD SPOT
USD/T OZ.
1,242.40
-1.38
-0.11%
N/A
COMEX SILVER
USD/T OZ.
19.14
+0.01
+0.07%
MAR 14
COMEX COPPER
USD/LB.
321.85
-0.80
-0.25%
MAR 14
PLATINUM SPOT
USD/T OZ.
1,385.00
+2.62
+0.19%
N/A
ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES
COMMODITY
UNITS
PRICE
CHANGE
% CHANGE
CONTRACT
CRUDE OIL (WTI)
USD/BBL.
98.09
-0.14
-0.14%
MAR 14
CRUDE OIL (BRENT)
USD/BBL.
107.89
-0.06
-0.06%
MAR 14
RBOB GASOLINE
USD/GAL.
267.65
+1.39
+0.52%
FEB 14
NYMEX NATURAL GAS
USD/MMBTU
4.94
-0.07
-1.44%
MAR 14
NYMEX HEATING OIL
USD/GAL.
324.00
+2.30
+0.71%
FEB 14
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5. MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS
31th JANUARY 2014
Symbol
Expiry Date
LTP
Value (In Lacs)
Volume (In Lots)
NATURAL GAS
25-02-2014
320.40
4,85,52,775.20
1,51,538
SILVERMICRO
28-02-2014
43402.00
5,90,41,04,266.00
1,36,033
SILVER M
28-02-2014
43402.00
2,64,50,48,086.00
60,943
CRUDE OIL
19-02-2014
6171.00
34,37,86,410.00
55,710
SILVER
05-03-2014
43375.00
1,49,86,93,000.00
34,552
COPPER
28-02-2014
448.00
1,29,40,032.00
28,884
COPPERMINI
28-02-2014
448.05
93,02,862.15
20,763
LEADMINI
31-01-2014
131.65
22,28,176.25
16,925
GOLD M
05-02-2014
29510.00
44,52,76,390.00
15,089
GOLD
05-02-2014
29405.00
40,73,76,870.00
13,854
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6. TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS
31th JANUARY 2014
COMMODITY HEADLINES
Gold falls 1% as Fed taper weighs, China demand fades
Gold, silver tumble on stockists' selling
Silver down 0.6% on global cues, weak spot demand
Copper falls 0.26% on global cues, subdued demand
IEM owners face arrest over steel delivery default
MCX pulls mild steel contracts
Potato adds 1.5% on limited supply, high demand
Castorseed futures rise further on brisk buying
Cardamom surges 1.5% on strong demand
Oil rebounds in Asia on bargain hunting
Oil prices supported by dip in US distillate supplies
Mentha oil up 0.65% on pick up in spot demand
FMC may remove daily price caps, widen position limits
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7. COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS
31th JANUARY 2014
COMMODITY BUZZ
SPECIAL NEWS
Spot gold was down 2.1 per cent at $1,242.60 an ounce
at 1503 GMT, while US gold futures for February delivery were down $20 an ounce at $1,242.20. Selling
accelerated as the metal broke support at $1,250 an
ounce, Orders were triggered below $1,250. The Federal Reserve reducing QE3 (third programme of quantitative easing) and US Q4 GDP were positive for the
dollar and the US economy in general. Wall Street also
rebounded at the open on Thursday after data showed
robust household spending and rising exports helped
the US economy to grow 3.2 per cent in the fourth
quarter.
SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, saw a rare inflow of fresh investment on Wednesday. Holdings increased by 2.10 tonnes to 792.56 tonnes - though that figure is still near a
five-year low. In other precious metals, platinum fell
1.8 per cent to $1,382.24 an ounce, tracking losses in
gold. The metal drew little support from news that
South Africa's AMCU union had rejected a 9 per
YOUR MINTVISORY
Japan unemployment rate came at a seasonally adjusted
3.7 percent in December, the Ministry of Internal Affairs
and Communications said on Friday. The figure was down
from 4.0 percent in November. The job-to-applicant ration was 1.03, up from 1.00 in the previous month. The
participation rate was 59.0, down from 59.7 a month earlier. The number of employed persons in December was
63.19 million, an increase of 910,000 or 1.5 percent on
year. The number of unemployed persons in December
was 2.25 million, a decrease of 340,000 or 13.1 percent on
year.
Industrial production in Japan was up a seasonally adjusted 1.1 percent on month in December, the Ministry of
Economy, Trade and Industry said on Friday, rising for
the first time in two months and following the 0.1 percent
contraction in November. On a yearly basis, industrial
production climbed 7.3 percent, up from 4.8 percent in
the previous month. For the fourth quarter, industrial
production was up 1.9 percent on quarter.
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8. EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
31th JANUARY 2014
SILVER
SILVER MCX Short term trend is down, Immediate support @ 43050 Immediate Resistance @ 43750 SILVER MCX Closed
@ 43220 . Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 1370. Volumes were 36380 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US
data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements.
BUY SILVER ABOVE 43550 TGTS 43750/44050 SL 43150
SELL SILVER BELOW 43050 TGTS 42850/42550 SL 43400
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9. EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
31th JANUARY 2014
GOLD
GOLD MCX Short term trend is down, Immediate support @ 29250 Immediate Resistance @ 29450 yesterday GOLD
MCX Closed @ 29378 . Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 467 Volumes were 14400lots. For today Keep a
close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements.
BUY GOLD ABOVE 29460 TGTS 29540/29640 SL 29340
SELL GOLD BELOW 29240 TGTS 29160/29060 SL 29360
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10. EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
31th JANUARY 2014
CASTORSEED
RESISTANCE 1
4181.70
RESISTANCE 2
4256.30
PIVOT
4122.3
SUPPORT 1
4047.7
SUPPORT 2
3988.3
Castorseed Feb. looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators also support bearishness. Profit
booking is continue in downside, but expecting price will go down. In intraday basis immediate support @ 4140 &
immediate resistance@ 4200.
BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4200 TGTS 4230,4280 SL 4150
SELL CASTORSEEED FEB BELOW 4140 TGTS 4110,4060 SL 4190
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11. EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
31th JANUARY 2014
DHANIYA
RESISTANCE 1
8379.7
RESISTANCE 2
8439.3
PIVOT
8307.3
SUPPORT 1
8247.7
SUPPORT 2
8175.3
In Dhaniya daily chart, there is some profit booking in upper level, but signs bullish, continue in upcoming trading
session, fundamentally also Dhaniya is in bullish trend. Recommending buy on dips, momentum indicator RSI and
MACD are above from mid range have plus point of bullishness. Immediate support @ 8300 and immediate resistance @ 8290.
BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8390 TGTS 8420,8470 SL 8340
SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8300 TGTS 8270,8220 SL 8350
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12. TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS
31th JANUARY 2014
TIME
COUNTRY
EVENT
ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
FRIDAY, JANUARY 31
ALL DAY
HONG KONG - LUNAR NEW YEAR
ALL DAY
CHINA - LUNAR NEW YEAR
ALL DAY
SINGAPORE - CHINESE NEW YEAR
03:15
NZD
TRADE BALANCE (YOY)
-180M
-250M
03:15
NZD
TRADE BALANCE (MOM)
550M
183M
05:00
JPY
HOUSEHOLD SPENDING (YOY)
1.2%
0.2%
05:00
JPY
TOKYO CORE CPI (YOY)
0.7%
0.7%
05:00
JPY
TOKYO CPI (YOY)
05:20
JPY
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)
1.2%
-0.1%
06:00
AUD
PPI (QOQ)
0.9%
1.3%
06:00
AUD
PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT (MOM)
0.4%
0.3%
12:30
EUR
GERMAN RETAIL SALES (MOM)
0.2%
1.5%
13:15
EUR
FRENCH CONSUMER SPENDING (MOM)
-0.4%
1.4%
15:30
EUR
CORE CPI (YOY)
0.8%
0.7%
15:30
EUR
CPI (YOY)
0.9%
0.8%
15:30
EUR
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
12.1%
12.1%
19:00
CAD
GDP (QOQ)
19:00
CAD
GDP (MOM)
19:00
CAD
GDP ANNUALIZED (QOQ)
19:00
USD
CORE PCE PRICE INDEX (MOM)
0.1%
0.1%
19:00
USD
EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX (QOQ)
0.4%
0.4%
19:00
USD
PERSONAL SPENDING (MOM)
0.2%
0.5%
20:15
USD
CHICAGO PMI
59.0
59.1
20:25
USD
MICHIGAN CONSUMER SENTIMENT
81.0
80.4
YOUR MINTVISORY
0.9%
0.7%
0.2%
0.3%
2.7%
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13. DISCLAIMER
31th JANUARY 2014
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