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Epic research daily commodity report 19th june 2015
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19 JUNE 2015
DAILY COMMODITY REPORT
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19 JUNE 2015
COMMODITY CONTRACT OPEN PRICE HIGH LOW CLOSE PRICE OI (in lots)
GOLD 05-Aug 26939 27245 26909 27156 8902
SILVER 03-July 36990 37481 36842 36892 12699
CRUDEOIL 20-July 3854 3928 3833 3892 5635
NATURAL GAS 25-Jun 182.50 183.70 176.70 177.20 5854
COPPER 30-Jun 372.20 373.00 366.45 366.65 19769
NICKEL 30-Jun 824.50 827.40 808.10 809.70 16242
LEAD 30-Jun 115.80 116.10 114.25 114.40 4921
ZINC 30-Jun 133.35 133.75 131.10 131.15 3896
ALUMINIUM 30-Jun 107.60 108.30 106.55 106.75 7189
DAILY MARKET WRAPUP
METAL TONNES IN STORAGE
ALUMINIUM -6400
COPPER -3450
LEAD +1475
NICKEL -426
ZINC +962
LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (18-JUN- 2015)
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19 JUNE 2015
COMMODITY UNITS PRICE CHANGE % CHANGE CONTRACT
Crude Oil (WTI) USD/bbl. 60.50 +0.05 +0.08% Jul 15
Crude Oil (Brent) USD/bbl. 64.34 +0.08 +0.12% Jul 15
RBOB Gasoline USd/gal. 210.38 -0.63 -0.30% Jul 15
NYMEX Natural Gas USD/MMBtu 2.77 -0.01 -0.25% Jul 15
NYMEX Heating Oil USd/gal. 191.62 +0.10 +0.05% Jul 15
COMMODITY UNITS PRICE CHANGE % CHANGE CONTRACT
COMEX Gold USD/t oz. 1,199.70 -2.30 -0.19% Aug 15
Gold Spot USD/t oz. 1,199.85 -2.09 -0.17% N/A
COMEX Silver USD/t oz. 16.13 -0.03 -0.17% Jul 15
COMEX Copper USd/lb. 261.60 +0.45 +0.17% Sep 15
Platinum Spot USD/t oz. 1,082.65 -0.10 -0.01% N/A
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES
PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS
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19 JUNE 2015
MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS
Symbol Expiry Date LTP Value (In Lacs) Volume (In Lots)
CRUDE OIL 19-06-2015 3844.00 51,61,83,852.00 1,34,283
CRUDEOIL MINI 19-06-2015 3844.00 49,35,58,068.00 1,28,397
SILVERMICRO 30-06-2015 36925.00 2,59,56,05,950.00 70,294
NATURAL GAS 25-06-2015 177.30 1,03,24,356.30 58,231
SILVER M 30-06-2015 36930.00 1,36,87,73,520.00 37,064
COPPER 30-06-2015 366.55 1,26,59,537.35 34,537
NICKEL 30-06-2015 810.60 2,59,15,692.60 31,971
SILVER 03-07-2015 36921.00 1,07,95,70,040.00 29,240
COPPERMINI 30-06-2015 366.50 94,54,234.00 25,796
NICKELMINI 30-06-2015 810.40 1,93,72,612.00 23,905
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19 JUNE 2015
COMMODITY NEWS
COMMODITY HEADLINES
Govt proposes to raise Rs 13,500 crore by sovereign gold bonds.
Silver futures rise by 0.3% on global cues.
Lead gains by 0.2% on spot demand.
Nickel up by 0.4% on global cues.
Copper firms up on global cues.
Oil markets risk more trouble ahead.
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19 JUNE 2015
SPECIAL NEWS
U.K. retail sales including auto fuel rose 0.2 percent in
May from April when it climbed 0.9 percent, data from
the Office for National Statistics showed Thursday. This
was the second consecutive rise in sales. Sales excluding
auto fuel also grew by 0.2 percent in May, following a 0.8
percent rise in April. Sales were up for the fourth straight
month. On a yearly basis, overall retail sales volume ad-
vanced 4.6 percent in May, the same rate as seen in April.
This was the 26th consecutive annual growth and the
longest period of sustained growth since May 2008. Ex-
cluding auto fuel, sales growth slowed to 4.4 percent from
4.6 percent. Sales were forecast to grow 4.3 percent.
The Government of India is on its toes when it comes to
countering the flow of Chinese imports of Stainless Steel.
The move of import duty hikes has come to control the
ongoing flow of Chinese steel imports. Government of In-
dia has also in past imposed anti-dumping duty duties on
Chinese steel products that are priced lower then local
produce. The duty on hot and cold sheets and coils will
now be 10% from the existing 7.5% charged earlier. Local
steel makers were asking for such moves in the past as
cheap imports were making things miserable. Although
there is still a debate on the percentage of hike that it
could have been more.
COMMODITY BUZZ
World Bureau of Metal Statistics has mentioned that lead
market was in deficit by 10.5 kt in January to April 2015
which follows a surplus of 1 kt recorded in the whole of
2014. Total stocks at the end of April were 71.8 kt lower
than at the end of 2014. No allowance is made in the con-
sumption calculation for unreported stock changes. World
refined production during January to April 2015 from both
primary and secondary sources was 3273 kt which was 3.2
per cent lower than in the comparable months of 2014.
Global demand was 120 kt lower. Apparent consumption in
China totaled 1287 kt of lead in January to April 2015
which was 71 kt below the comparable period in 2014 and
represented just over 39 per cent of the global total.
Copper prices bounced off a three-month low on Thursday,
as the U.S. dollar weakened after the Federal Reserve low-
ered both its U.S. growth forecast and its interest-rate pro-
jections, prompting investors to push back expectations on
the timing of an initial rate hike. On the Comex division of
the New York Mercantile Exchange, copper for July deliv-
ery climbed 2.1 cents, or 0.82%, to trade at $2.625 a pound
during European morning hours. The U.S. dollar index,
which measures the greenback's strength against a trade-
weighted basket of six major currencies, was down 0.55%
at 93.96, the lowest level since May 18.
COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS
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19 JUNE 2015
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
GOLD
BUY GOLD AUG ABOVE 27250 TGTS 27330,27430 SL BELOW 27160
SELL GOLD AUG BELOW 27050 TGTS 26970,26870 SL ABOVE 27140
Major movement in Gold Mcx : Gold Short term trend is down,Gold mcx closed @27156 .
Gold return from 26909 and goes to High of 27245.for keep a close eye on US data, Volatility may Rule the overall mar-
ket due to USD/INR & USD DOLLER MOVEMENTS.
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19 JUNE 2015
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
SILVER
BUY SILVER JUL ABOVE 37200 TGTS 37400,37700 SL BELOW 36900
SELL SILVER JUL BELOW 36800 TGTS 36600,36300 SL ABOVE 37100
Major movement in Silver Mcx : Silver short term trend is down, silver mcx closed @ 36892 .
Silver return from 36842 and goes to High of 37481 .for keep a close eye on US data, Volatility may Rule the overall
market due to USD/INR & USD DOLLER MOVEMENTS.
.
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19 JUNE 2015
FRIDAY,JUNE 19
TIME COUNTRY EVENT ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
11:30 EUR German PPI (MoM) (May) - 0.2% 0.1%
12:00 JPY BoJ Press Conference - - -
18:00 CAD Core CPI (MoM) (May) - 0.3% 0.1%
18:00 CAD Core CPI (YoY) (May) - 2.1% 2.3%
18:00 CAD Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Apr) - 0.3% 0.5%
18:00 CAD CPI (MoM) (May) - 0.5% -0.1%
18:00 CAD Retail Sales (MoM) (Apr) - 0.7% 0.7%
19:00 BRL CAGED Net Payroll Jobs (May) - - -98.00K
21:10 USD FOMC Member Williams Speaks - - -
21:30 USD FOMC Member Mester Speaks - - -
TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS
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19 JUNE 2015
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