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Epic research daily commodity report_5_january_2016
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05 Jan 2016
DAILY COMMODITY REPORT
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05 Jan 2016
COMMODITY CONTRACT OPEN PRICE HIGH LOW CLOSE PRICE OI (in lots)
GOLD 05-Feb 24913 25037 24913 24962 6256
SILVER 04-Mar 33399 33411 33233 33335 17320
CRUDEOIL 19-Jan 2475 2497 2465 2480 31423
NATURAL GAS 25-Jan 155.30 157.90 155.30 156.30 6615
COPPER 29-Feb 315.50 317.47 313.70 316.30 17780
NICKEL 29-Feb 587.80 594.60 587.70 591.80 841
LEAD 29-Jan 118.05 119.10 117.55 118.55 5569
ZINC 29-Jan 105.95 107.40 105.40 106.60 3259
ALUMINIUM 29-Jan 100.25 100.90 99.80 100.35 4898
DAILY MARKET WRAPUP
METAL TONNES IN STORAGE ( MT )
ALUMINIUM -5975
COPPER -425
LEAD -25
NICKEL 48
ZINC -1700
LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (04-JAN- 2016)
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05 Jan 2016
COMMODITY UNITS PRICE CHANGE % CHANGE CONTRACT
Crude Oil (WTI) USD/bbl. 37.06 +0.30 +0.82% FEB 16
Crude Oil (Brent) USD/bbl. 37.5 +0.32 +0.86% FEB 16
RBOB Gasoline USd/gal. 129.80 +0.73 +0.57% FEB 16
NYMEX Natural Gas USD/MMBtu 2.29 -0.04 -1.84% FEB 16
NYMEX Heating Oil USd/gal. 113.84 +1.20 +1.07% FEB 16
COMMODITY UNITS PRICE CHANGE % CHANGE CONTRACT
COMEX Gold USD/tz 1,076.0 +0.80 +0.07% Feb 16
Gold Spot USD/t oz. 1,076.85 +2.24 +0.21% N/A
COMEX Silver USD/t oz. 13.95 +0.11 +0.79% Mar 16
COMEX Copper USd/lb. 208.05 +0.10 +0.05% Mar 16
Platinum Spot USD/t oz. 888.75 +5.20 +0.59% N/A
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES
PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS
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05 Jan 2016
MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS
Symbol Expiry Date LTP Value (In Lacs) Volume (In Lots)
CRUDEOIL MINI 19-01-2016 2477.00 8,63,45,743.00 34,859
CRUDE OIL 19-01-2016 2478.00 6,16,60,074.00 24,883
SILVERMICRO 29-02-2016 33370.00 26,28,22,120.00 7,876
NATURAL GAS 25-01-2016 157.10 11,99,615.60 7,636
ZINCMINI 29-01-2016 106.50 6,91,291.50 6,491
COPPER 29-02-2016 316.20 19,74,352.80 6,244
NICKELMINI 29-01-2016 585.40 35,37,572.20 6,043
COPPERMINI 29-02-2016 316.25 18,88,645.00 5,972
NICKEL 29-01-2016 586.00 34,32,202.00 5,857
LEADMINI 29-01-2016 118.25 6,64,801.50 5,622
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05 Jan 2016
COMMODITY NEWS
COMMODITY HEADLINES
Crude oil prices drop more than 1% as weak outlook prevails
Gold futures up by 0.3% on global cues
Aluminum up by 0.6% on global cues .
Nickel up by 0.7% on global cues ..
Zinc prices up by 0.4% on spot demand
Lead prices down by 0.2% on global cues
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05 Jan 2016
SPECIAL NEWS
Indian manufacturers saw business conditions deteriorate
at the end of 2015. December's incessant rainfall in Chen-
nai impacted heavily on the sector, with falling new work
leading companies to scale back output at the sharpest
pace since February 2009. On the price front, inflation
rates of both input costs and output charges were at seven
-month highs. Dipping from 50.3 in November 2015 to
49.1 in December 2015, the seasonally adjusted Nikkei In-
dia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - a
composite single-figure indicator of manufacturing per-
formance - pointed to deterioration in operating condi-
tions across the sector, with the PMI posting below the
no-change level of50.0 for the first time since October
2013. Consumer goods bucked the sub-sector trend and-
was the only cate
The Caixin Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) came in
weaker than expected, spurring fresh fears over China's
economic growth. The manufacturing PMI fell to 48.2 in
December, from 48.6 in November, contracting for a
tenth month. Levels below 50 indicate contraction. The
Caixin PMI is a closely-watched gauge of nationwide
manufacturing activity, which focuses on smaller and me-
dium-sized companies, filling a niche that isn't covered
by the official data. The prices of Copper on LME have
faced lot of pressure since January 2015. The metal has
already corrected by more than 21% so far in December
compared to last year.
COMMODITY BUZZ
Gold speculator and large futures traders increased their
net gold bullish positions last week, according to the latest
Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Com-
modity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The non-
commercial futures contracts of Comex gold futures, traded
by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position
of+26427 contracts in the data reported through December
15th. This was a weekly change of+12771 contracts from
the previous week’s total of +13656 net contracts that was
registered on December 15th. The increase in the weekly
net speculator positions was dueto a massive drop in the
weekly bearish positions by -14429 contracts that overtook
smaller drop in the weekly bullish positions by -1658 con-
tracts.
Zinc, a metal that is used in Galvanization remained dull in
the year ending 2015. On LME, prices averaged at $ 1522
per tonne in December 2015, down 30% from December
2014. International Lead and Zinc Study Group (ILZSG) in-
dicate that world supply of refined Zinc metal exceeded de-
mand by 213000 tonnes over the ten months from January
to Sep 2015. Over the same period total reported stock lev-
els declined by 121000 tonnes. Global zinc mine produc-
tion rose by 1.4% mainly as a result of increases in Austra-
lia, India, Peru, the Russian Federation and Sweden
COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS
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05 Jan 2016
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
GOLD
BUY GOLD FEB ABOVE 25500 TGTS 25580,25670 SL BELOW 25400
SELL GOLD FEB BELOW 25300 TGTS 25220,25130 SL ABOVE 25400
Major movement in Gold Mcx : Gold Short term trend is down, Gold mcx closed @ 25082
Gold return from 25710 and goes to low of 24737 .for keep a close eye on US data, Volatility may Rule the overall market
due to USD/INR & USD DOLLER MOVEMENTS.
.
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05 Jan 2016
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
SILVER
BUY SILVER MAR ABOVE 33600 TGTS 33800,34100 SL BELOW 33300
SELL SILVER MAR BELOW 33300 TGTS 33450,33150 SL ABOVE 33600
Major movement in Silver Mcx : Silver short term trend is down, silver mcx closed @ 33933
Silver return from 34320 and goes to low of 33118 .for keep a close eye on US data, Volatility may Rule the overall mar-
ket due to USD/INR & USD DOLLER MOVEMENTS.
.
10. YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
05 Jan 2016
TUESDAY, 05 JANUARY
TIME COUNTRY EVENT ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
13:30 USD Unemployment Rate (Nov) 5% 5% 5%
13:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) (Nov) 2.3% - 2.5%
13:30 USD Average Weekly Hours (Nov) 34.5 34.5 34.5
13:30 USD Labor Force Participation Rate (Nov) 62.5% - 62.4%
13:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls (Nov) 211K 200K 298K
13:30 USD Trade Balance (Oct) $-43.89B $-40.50B $-42.46B
13:30 CAD Unemployment Rate (Nov) 7.1% 7.0% 7.0%
13:30 CAD Net Change in Employment (Nov) -35.7K -10.0K 44.4K
15:00 CAD Ivey Purchasing Managers Index s.a (Nov) 63.6 - 53.1
15:00 CAD Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (Nov) 57.9 - 52.3
TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS
11. YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
05 Jan 2016
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