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Special report by epic research 28 october 2013
1. DAILY REPORT
28th OCTOBER. 2013
Global markets at a glance
World equity indexes were near five-year highs on Friday
as major U.S. technology companies propelled Wall Street
to another day of gains, sending the S&P 500 index to
close at a record.
The Dow Jones industrial average was up 61.07 points, or
0.39 percent, at 15,570.28. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ended up 7.7 points, or 0.44 percent, at 1,759.77, and
hit an intraday record high of 1,759.82 late in the session.
The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 14.40 points, or 0.37
percent, at 3,943.36.
European equities ended slightly lower on Friday, with
Telecom Italia leading the telecoms sector down on concerns of a capital hike by the Italian company and Volvo
hurting industrials after reporting a sharp drop in profits.
The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index closed 0.15 percent lower at 1,284.76 points
World Indices
Wall Street Update
US stocks rose Friday, The S&P 500 ended at another record high on Friday, boosted by gains in technology shares
after strong results from Microsoft and Amazon.com. and
also by the expectations of continued loose monetary policy when the Federal Reserve meets next week.
Previous day Roundup
Indian shares fell on Friday as blue chips were hit by profittaking. Benchmark indices continued to struggle for direction. The sluggish trend in global markets too added to the
cautious mood. The Sensex closed at 20683.52, down
41.91 points over its previous close while the Nifty fell
19.45 points to 6144.90.
Index stats
Bank Nifty & Bankex both declined 0.05% & 0.12% respectively, IT [up 128.18pts] & TECK [up 46.27pts] were the
only sectors which were in positive move in yesterday’s
session rest all sectors went down; Consumer Durables
[down 145.53pts], Capital Goods [down 145.53pts], AUTO
[down 141.45pts], Oil & Gas [down 42.83pts], Healthcare
[down 77.38pts], FMCG [down 64.10pts], Power [down
7.62pts] PSU [down 30.37pts], Metals [down 110.86pts],
REALTY [down 30.78pts].
Index
Value
% Change
15,570.28
+0.39
S&P 500
1,759.77
+0.44
NASDAQ
EURO STO
FTSE 100
3,943.36
3,034.50
6,721.34
+0.37
-0.15
+0.12
Nikkei 225
Hong Kong
14,088.19
22,698.34
-2.75
-0.60
DJl
Top Gainers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
TCS
2,065.00
56.30
+2.80
HCLTECH
1,080.80
26.15
+2.48
WIPRO
482.00
11.15
+2.37
NTPC
145.50
2.20
+1.54
SSLT
201.45
2.65
+1.33
CMP
Change
% Chg
108.90
151.60
134.80
313.25
321.85
5.65
7.70
5.15
11.45
10.30
-4.93
-4.83
-3.68
-3.53
-3.10
Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
APLLTD
179.35
0.05
+0.03
DABUR
182.50
5.85
+3.31
DENSO
142.30
0.25
+0.18
GALLISPAT
344.90
16.40
+4.99
1,017.00
41.65
-3.93
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
87.50
48.60
0.10
2.40
+0.11
-4.94
CMP
Change
% Chg
6,144.90
20,683.62
-19.45
-41.91
-0.32
-0.20
Top Losers
Company
HINDALCO
DLF
NMDC
CAIRN
TATASTEEL
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
JUSTDIAL
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
COX&KINGS
ERAINFRA
Indian Indices
Company
NIFTY
SENSEX
YOUR MINTVISORY
Call us at +91-731-6642300
2. DAILY REPORT
28th OCTOBER. 2013
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. R COM
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. SHAKTI PUMPS
RCOM FUTURE is looking weak on charts, short build up has
been seen, we may see more downside, if it continues to
sustain below 145. We advise selling below 145 levels with
strict stop loss of 148 for the targets of 142 -140 levels.
SHAKTI PUMPS is looking strong on charts . We advise buying above 61 with strict stop loss of 58 for the targets of 6468 levels.
2. HINDALCO
HINDALCO FUTURE is looking weak on charts, short build up
has been seen, we may see more downside, if it continues
to sustain below 109. We advise selling below 109 levels
with strict stop loss of 111 for the targets of 107 -105 levels.
YOUR MINTVISORY
MACRO NEWS
ICICI Bank beats estimates with Q2(July-Sept) net profit
rising 20.2% YoY to Rs 2,352cr. on higher NII and fee
income while asset quality also improved.
ITC reported higher-than-expected 21.5% growth in its
net profit of Rs 2,230 cr. in three months period.
TVS Motor impressed with Q2net profit rising 97%
higher-than-expected on YoY basis to Rs 89cr. on exceptional gain and strong sales. Total income rose YoY to Rs
1,988 cr. in three months period.
Essar Oil blamed the massive fall in the benchmark margins for the Rs 71 cr. net loss in the Sep. quarter. The
company had posted a net profit of Rs 105 crore in the
same period a year ago. Higher diesel exports due to
tepid domestic demand crimped its margins.
The RBI will likely raise its lending rate further on Tuesday, cementing its inflation-fighting credentials
Deutsche Bank raises Sensex target to 22,000.
JSW Energy quarterly profit slides to Rs 162 crore .
Adani Ports Q2 net up 24% at Rs 342 cr.& Adani Power
reports widened Q2 net loss of Rs 1,072 cr.
Results Today: Maruti Suzuki, Ajanta Pharma, Bharti Infratel,
Blue Star, Dabur India, Syndicate bank, Hikal, Jindal Stainles,
VIP Industries, Sundaram Fin, SRF.
Call us at +91-731-6642300
3. DAILY REPORT
FUTURE & OPTION
28th OCTOBER. 2013
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY
PE
6,100
36.15
6,24,557
56,08,300
NIFTY
PE
6,000
13.75
3,28,964
64,13,600
NIFTY
PE
6,200
84.00
3,28,721
26,16,300
BANK NIFTY
PE
10,500
45.00
15,479
2,13,775
SBIN
PE
1,700
23.15
5,338
2,05,250
ICICBANK
PE
1,000
9.70
9,608
3,58,000
RELIANCE
PE
880
7.85
2,649
3,89,000
ITC
PE
340
7.20
2,049
10,38,000
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
STOCKS IN NEWS
SKS Promoter entity plans to move Company Law
Board against SKS Microfinance.
Federal Bank gets FIPB nod to raise foreign shareholding.
Indian Overseas Bank receives Rs 1,200 crore from
government for capital requirement.
Assam government okays ONGC's Rs 7,800-crore
investment plan.
Apollo Hospitals' Prathap Reddy to raise Rs 550
crore from KKR
Open
Interest
NIFTY FUTURE
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
NIFTY
CE
6,200
28.50
6,39,822
57,20,600
NIFTY
CE
6,300
7.65
4,15,273
60,05,100
NIFTY
CE
6,100
77.95
2,57,369
28,04,350
BANKNIFTY
CE
11,000
130.00
33,735
3,33,300
SBIN
CE
1,750
19.10
6,734
3,57,250
ICICIBANK
CE
1,060
7.40
6,593
3,67,500
RELIANCE
CE
900
5.85
4,833
11,58,750
ITC
CE
350
1.55
3,448
15,34,000
INFY
CE
3,400
15.85
3,376
9,23,000
Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session. We advise selling around 6200-6230 with strict
stop loss of 6250 for the targets of 6170-6140 levels.
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
SELL
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in
No. of Amount in
No. of
Contracts
Crores Contracts
Crores Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
74580
2284.25
83089
2539.12
537794
16356.54
-254.87
INDEX OPTIONS
599460
18199.67
614942
18704.70
2121559
64870.50
-505.02
STOCK FUTURES
106833
2982.61
117454
3242.59
1020262
28931.49
-259.98
STOCK OPTIONS
42400
1203.11
44341
1263.98
107310
3221.49
-60.87
TOTAL
-1080.75
INDICES
NIFTY
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
6099.73
6122.31
6148.53
6171.11
6197.33
NIFTYJUNIOR
11854.58
11905.51
11985.83
12036.76
12117.08
BANK NIFTY
10727.8
10812.14
10881.95
10966.29
11036.09
YOUR MINTVISORY
Call us at +91-731-6642300
4. DAILY REPORT
28th OCTOBER. 2013
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Upbeat US equity markets provide the much needed
bounce for WTI crude Oil from lows of $95.95 per barrel for
December delivery which helped push pries to $97.85 on
settlement on Friday helped by some bargain hunting Brent
for December settlement declined 6 cents to $106.93 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The
European benchmark’s premium to WTI narrowed to $9.08
from yesterday’s $9.88. The spread was $11.67 on Oct. 22,
the widest since April. In electronic trading Brent Crude rose
marginally to $107.16.
Gold inched up slightly on Friday as disappointing US economic data reinforced expectations that the US Federal Reserve will keep its stimulus intact well into 2014. Spot gold
was up USD 4.62, or 0.34%, at USD 1,351.16 an ounce by
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 50280 TGTS 50480/50780 SL 49980
SELL SILVER BELOW 49100 TGTS 48900/48700 SL 493
2:38 p.m. EDT (1838 GMT), hovering below its highest level
since September 20 of USD 1,351.61. Also read. Bullion was
headed for a 1.7% gain on the week, having hit four-week
GOLD
highs on Thursday as it benefited from weaker-thanexpected US non-farm payrolls data earlier in the week. The
jobs data bolstered expectations. US gold futures for December delivery closed up USD 2.20, or 0.2 percent, at USD
1,352.40.
Silver imports into India have risen substantially y/y since
March and remained strong into July. The ban on imports of
gold coins remains in place. Given the good monsoon season, rural demand for gold is expected to grow this year,
with jewellery sales expected to be up 10-15% . Silver continues to be a worst performer among precious metals in
2013 after having fallen sharply by 31% in Q2 but partly offset by 11% gains in Q3, 2013. Silver has benefitted from the
rise in gold pricees and mixed trend in industrial metals.
TRADING STRATEGY:
Total budget for non-ferrous metals exploration fell 29%
BUY GOLD ABOVE 30860 TGTS 30940/31040 SL 30750
from $21.5 bn in 2012 to $15.2 bn in 2013.
SELL GOLD BELOW 30580 TGTS 30500/ 30400 SL 30720
YOUR MINTVISORY
Call us at +91-731-6642300
5. DAILY REPORT
28th OCTOBER. 2013
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
Barley
1313
+0.42
Castor Seed
3594
-0.31
Chana
3059
0.00
Chilli
6358
-2.90
Coriander
6675
-0.42
Cotton Seed Oilcake
1544
+1.78
12500
-0.89
Mustard seed
3710
+0.38
Ref Soya Oil
726.5
+0.26
Turmeric
CASTORSEED
4830
-0.49
Jeera
SELL CASTORSEED BELOW 3565 TGT 3535/3495 SL 3605
BUY CASTERSEED ABOVE 3645 TGT 3675/3715 SL 3605
DHANIYA
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Refined soya oil prices extended gains for the third day by
rising 0.70% to Rs 729.70 per 10 kg in futures trade yesterday as speculators enlarged their positions, supported by
rising demand in the spot market. At the NCDEX refined
soya for delivery in November added Rs 5.10, or 0.70%, to
Rs 729.70 per 10 kg with an open interest of 84,230 lots. In
a similar fashion, the oil for delivery in December moved up
by Rs 4.15, or 0.58%, to Rs 721.90 per quintal in 98,640 lots.
Maintaining wining streak for the fourth straight session, chana prices added 0.42% to Rs 3,072 per quintal in
futures trade on Friday as speculators enlarged their positions. At the NCDEX, chana for delivery in Nov added Rs 13,
or 0.42%, to Rs 3,072 per quintal with an open interest of
99,180 lots. Similarly, the commodity for delivery in Dec
traded higher by Rs 12, or 0.38%, to Rs 3,132 per quintal in
54,050 lots.
The next chickpea harvest would be near the record levels
of 8.8 million tonnes produced in the crop year to June
2013. Farmers have started sowing chana at some places in
Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh. There are
some concerns over a shift in acreage to wheat in Madhya
Pradesh, but in other states the area under cultivation is
likely to be higher than in the previous year.
BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 6705 TGT 6735/6775 SL 6665
SELL DHANIYA BELOW 6550 TGT 6520/6480 SL 6590
YOUR MINTVISORY
The ministry of agriculture has proposed a steep hike
in import duty for pulses in the range of 20-30%. The proposal is being discussed with the department of revenue.
Currently, the import duty on pulses is zero.
Call us at +91-731-6642300
6. DAILY REPORT
28th OCTOBER. 2013
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate Currency
Rate
Rupee- $
61.6250 Yen-100
63.4800
Euro
85.1350 GBP
99.9373
USD/INR
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
The dollar was slumped near a two-year low against the
euro on Friday as clear expectations of continued U.S. bond
purchase left it facing its sixth weekly fall in seven and world
shares close to five-year highs.
The Indian rupee ended flat on Friday, but extended losses
for a second week, as caution set in ahead of an expected
interest rate hike by the central bank at its policy review
next week. The rupee closed at 61.46/47 per dollar, unchanged from its Thursday's close. It traded in a 61.35-61.79
band in the session. For the week, the currency ended down
0.3 percent. There was pressure on the rupee from dollar
buying by custodian banks. In the offshore non-deliverable
forwards, the one-month contract was at 61.97, while the
three-month was at 62.95.
USD/INR has closed @61.5600. If it sustains 61.68, it can
touch the level of 61.83 & 61.94. If it breaks the level of
61.38 it can touch the level of 61.23 & 61.05.
JPY/INR
The rupee on Friday snapped its two-day gains against the
dollar in late morning deals by losing 21 paise to 61.67 on
fresh demand for the American currency from banks and
importers. The Indian currency resumed lower at 61.50 per
dollar as against the last closing level of 61.46 at the Interbank Foreign Exchange Market. It dropped further to 61.78
before quoting at 61.67 per dollar (1040 hours). The rupee
moved in a range of 61.44 and 61.78 per dollar during the
morning deals.
In the currency futures market, the most-traded nearmonth dollar/rupee contracts on the National Stock Exchange, the MCX-SX and the United Stock Exchange all
closed at around 61.51 with a total traded volume of $2.3
billion.
In New York, the US dollar weakened to 2-year low against
the euro, indicating the euro zone's economic recovery.
JPY/INR has closed @63.2650. If it sustains above 63.40, it
can touch the level of 63.55 & 63.70. If it breaks the level of
63.10 it can touch the level of 62.95 & 62.78.
YOUR MINTVISORY
Currencies of commodities-exporting countries including New Zealand and Australia slid as risk appetite ebbed
and bets China’s central bank may tighten policy damped
growth prospects. The yen gained for a second week versus
the dollar.
Call us at +91-731-6642300
7. DAILY REPORT
28th OCTOBER. 2013
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Contract
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
25/10/13
MCX GOLD
DEC.
BUY
30720
30800-30900
30600
BOOKED PROFIT
25/10/13
MCX GOLD
DEC.
SELL
30500
30420-30320
30620
BOOKED PROFIT
25/10/13
MCX SILVER
DEC.
BUY
50280
50480-50780
49980
NOT EXECUTED
25/10/13
MCX SILVER
DEC.
SELL
49600
49400-49100
49900
BOOKED PROFIT
25/10/13
NCDEX CASTOR SEED
NOV.
SELL
3570
3540-3510
3615
SL TRIGGERED
25/10/13
NCDEX CASTOR SEED
NOV.
BUY
3655
3685-3715
3610
NOT EXECUTED
25/10/13
NCDEX DHANIYA
NOV.
BUY
6740
6770-6800
25/10/13
NCDEX DHANIYA
NOV.
SELL
6650
6620-6590
6695
6690
BOOKED PROFIT
25/10/13
USD/INR
OCT.
SELL
61.28
61.16-61.06
NOT EXECUTED
25/10/13
JPY/INR
OCT.
SELL
62.95
62.78-62.61
NOT EXECUTED
25/10/13
USD/INR
OCT.
BUY
61.80
61.95-62.20
SL TRIGGERED
25/10/13
JPY/INR
OCT.
BUY
63.54
63.72-63.95
BOOKED PROFIT
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Scrip
CASH/FUTURE/ OPTION
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
SL TRIGGERED
Remark
25/10/13
NIFTY
FUTURE
SELL
6230-6250
6190-6150
6270
NOT EXECUTED
25/10/13
PETRONET
FUTURE
BUY
130
132-135
128
NOT EXECUTED
25/10/13
FEDERAL BANK
FUTURE
BUY
85
87-89
82
NOT EXECUTED
25/10/13
JUBLIANT LIFE
CASH
BUY
107
112-118
102
BOOKED PROFIT
TIME (ET)
REPORT
9:15 AM
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
9:15 AM
CAPACITY UTILIZATION
8:30 AM
8:30 AM
8:30 AM
8:30 AM
9 AM
10 AM
10 AM
PRODUCER PRICE INDEX
CORE PPI
RETAIL SALES
RETAIL SALES EX-AUTOS
CASE-SHILLER HOME PRICE INDEX
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
BUSINESS INVENTORIES
8:15 AM
8:30 AM
US ECONOMIC REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
MONDAY, OCT. 28
SEPT.
CONSENSUSFORECAST
0.5%
0.4%
78.1%
77.8%
0.3%
0.1%
-0.1%
0.4%
-76.6
0.3%
0.3%
0.0%
0.2%
0.1%
12.6% Y-O-Y
79.7
ADP EMPLOYMENT
SEPT.
TUESDAY, OCT. 29
SEPT.
SEPT.
SEPT.
SEPT.
AUG.
OCT.
AUG.
WEDNESDAY, OCT. 30
OCT.
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
SEPT.
0.2%
0.1%
8:30 AM
CORE CPI
SEPT.
THURSDAY, OCT. 31
0.1%
0.1%
8:30 am
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
9:45 am
CHICAGO PMI
0.4%
165,000
10/26
PREVIOUS
166,000
N/A
55.0
Oct.
FRIDAY, NOV. 01
Nonfarm payrolls report for Oct. will be released on Nov. 8
8:58 AM
MARKIT PMI
OCT.
--
10 AM
ISM
OCT.
55.1%
TBA
MOTOR VEHICLE SALES
OCT.
15.6 MLN
N/A
55.7
52.8
56.2%
15.2 mln
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