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Population nutrient and dietary 
goals for health 
How can agriculture and the 
food systems respond? 
PREPARATORY TECHNICAL MEETING 
FAO Headquarters, Rome, Italy 
13-15 November 2013
Population Nutrient Intake Goals 
(TRS 916) 
Recommended Population Nutrient Intake Goals 
(as a share of total energy intake) 
Dietary Factor Recommendations (WHO/FAO) 
Total Fat 15 - 30% 
Polyunsaturated FA 6-10 % 
Saturated FA <10 % 
Trans FA <1 % 
Total Carbohydrate 55 – 75 % 
Free sugars* <10 % 
Protein 10 - 15% 
* “Free sugars” refers to all monosaccharides and disaccharides added to 
foods, plus sugars naturally present in honey, syrups and fruit juices
Population Nutrient Intake Goals 
(TRS 916) 
Recommended Population Nutrient Intake Goals 
(in g or mg/person/day) 
Dietary Factor WHO/FAO 
Recommendations 
Cholesterol < 300 mg/day 
Sodium chloride 
(sodium) 
<5 g/day 
(<2 g/day) 
Fruits and vegetables > 400 g per day 
Total dietary fiber/Non-starch 
polysaccharides (NSP) 
(>25 g, or 20g/d of NSP) from 
whole grain cereals, fruits, and 
vegetables 
http://www.fao.org/docrep/005/ac911e/ac911e00.htm
Recommended Dietary Guidelines 
(WHO, 2004) 
Dietary recommendations for populations and 
individuals should include the following: 
achieve energy balance and a healthy weight 
limit energy intake from total fats and shift fat consumption 
away from saturated fats to unsaturated fats and towards the 
elimination of trans-fatty acids 
increase consumption of fruits and vegetables, and legumes, 
whole grains and nuts 
limit the intake of free sugars 
limit salt (sodium) consumption from all sources and ensure that 
salt is iodized
Recommended Dietary Guidelines 
Consumption of fish and marine products at least twice a week 
Restrict consumption of red meat (processed and unprocessed) 
These recommendations need to be considered when preparing 
national policies and dietary guidelines, taking into account the 
local situation. 
Improving dietary habits is a societal, not just an individual 
problem. Therefore it demands a population-based, multi-sectoral, 
multi-disciplinary, and culturally relevant approach.
Priority of objectives 
• Increase availability 
• Improve quality, diversity, micro-nutrients 
• Improve access, including within households 
• Increase food safety/utilization 
• Increase stability/resilience 
• Improve sustainability 
(production/consumption) 
• Address issues of under and over nutrition
Figure 4a/b/c/d: Energy and protein availability, 1961, 1981, 1999, 2030 
Schmidhuber & Shetty, 2005
Changes in the structure of diets 
(1960 – 2030) 
(World agriculture: towards 2015/2030)
Per capita meat consumption increases with 
income 
5 
4 
3 
2 
1 
Somalia 
Sweden 
6 7 8 9 10 11 
Log GDP per capita 
Log meat consumption 
Burundi 
USA 
Japan 
India 
Ethiopia 
Indonesia 
Rwanda 
Bolivia 
Turkey 
Albania 
Uruguay 
Saudi Arabia 
China
Global and regional trends in supply of 
vegetables 
(kg/capita/year) 
Supply/Capita/Year of vegetables 
140 
120 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
0 
LIFDC 
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 
kg 
USA 
EUROPE 
WORLD 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES AFRICA
Nutrient Intake trends vs TRS 916 PNI guidelines
Monitoring requires information of the distribution: 
e.g. the 10% sat fat goal 
fx(x | mean, cv,) 
PNI goal 10% 
Mean:15%, cv=0.29
Agriculture vs Food Systems 
From Farm-gate to Plate: 
WHO Recommendations on Salt (and sodium) 
intake 
WHO deliberations of upper limit for intakes of 
free sugar 
Food systems beyond the farm gate have 
significant impact on intakes of salt and sugars
National average ‘apparent’ food consumption 
trends from FAOSTAT indicate: 
Increasing energy intakes and free sugar intakes 
Increasing contribution from animal foods 
Increasing fat intakes, SFs and PUFAs, sub-optimal 
fatty acid ratios 
Improving F&V availability and consumption 
Progressive convergence of dietary consumption 
patterns globally
Agriculture and food policies and nutritional 
guidelines
Influencing the role of agriculture in nutrition 
in this century 
• There is a need to understand the CONTEXT 
• Recognise that IMPACTS of policies that affect 
agriculture and food systems may be different 
in different contexts 
• Be aware of the TRADE-OFFS and opportunity 
costs 
• Be aware of LINKAGES and appreciate the 
COMPLEXITIES
Context 1: A long food chain: Industrial agricultural and 
industrial food processing in the US 
~8000 food 
products for a 
consumer in the US 
~80 crops 
and livestock 
activities 
8 major 
food 
groups
Context 2: Short food chain: subsistence production in LDC 
~80 food products for 
a consumer in Mali 
~80 crops and livestock 
activities 
8 major food groups
Concluding comments 
Food availability and diversity and hence 
consumption is increasing. 
For monitoring purposes, national averages need 
to be supplemented with distributional 
information 
‘Agriculture’ impacts on the continuum from 
subsistence to highly diversified affluent diets 
The length of the food chain from farm-gate to 
plate has a much greater impact 
Policies and recommendations: Analyse the 
situation, understand the context, measure 
impacts within the context, recognize trade-offs, 
appreciate complexity.

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Population nutrient goals and responding food systems

  • 1. Population nutrient and dietary goals for health How can agriculture and the food systems respond? PREPARATORY TECHNICAL MEETING FAO Headquarters, Rome, Italy 13-15 November 2013
  • 2. Population Nutrient Intake Goals (TRS 916) Recommended Population Nutrient Intake Goals (as a share of total energy intake) Dietary Factor Recommendations (WHO/FAO) Total Fat 15 - 30% Polyunsaturated FA 6-10 % Saturated FA <10 % Trans FA <1 % Total Carbohydrate 55 – 75 % Free sugars* <10 % Protein 10 - 15% * “Free sugars” refers to all monosaccharides and disaccharides added to foods, plus sugars naturally present in honey, syrups and fruit juices
  • 3. Population Nutrient Intake Goals (TRS 916) Recommended Population Nutrient Intake Goals (in g or mg/person/day) Dietary Factor WHO/FAO Recommendations Cholesterol < 300 mg/day Sodium chloride (sodium) <5 g/day (<2 g/day) Fruits and vegetables > 400 g per day Total dietary fiber/Non-starch polysaccharides (NSP) (>25 g, or 20g/d of NSP) from whole grain cereals, fruits, and vegetables http://www.fao.org/docrep/005/ac911e/ac911e00.htm
  • 4. Recommended Dietary Guidelines (WHO, 2004) Dietary recommendations for populations and individuals should include the following: achieve energy balance and a healthy weight limit energy intake from total fats and shift fat consumption away from saturated fats to unsaturated fats and towards the elimination of trans-fatty acids increase consumption of fruits and vegetables, and legumes, whole grains and nuts limit the intake of free sugars limit salt (sodium) consumption from all sources and ensure that salt is iodized
  • 5. Recommended Dietary Guidelines Consumption of fish and marine products at least twice a week Restrict consumption of red meat (processed and unprocessed) These recommendations need to be considered when preparing national policies and dietary guidelines, taking into account the local situation. Improving dietary habits is a societal, not just an individual problem. Therefore it demands a population-based, multi-sectoral, multi-disciplinary, and culturally relevant approach.
  • 6. Priority of objectives • Increase availability • Improve quality, diversity, micro-nutrients • Improve access, including within households • Increase food safety/utilization • Increase stability/resilience • Improve sustainability (production/consumption) • Address issues of under and over nutrition
  • 7. Figure 4a/b/c/d: Energy and protein availability, 1961, 1981, 1999, 2030 Schmidhuber & Shetty, 2005
  • 8. Changes in the structure of diets (1960 – 2030) (World agriculture: towards 2015/2030)
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Per capita meat consumption increases with income 5 4 3 2 1 Somalia Sweden 6 7 8 9 10 11 Log GDP per capita Log meat consumption Burundi USA Japan India Ethiopia Indonesia Rwanda Bolivia Turkey Albania Uruguay Saudi Arabia China
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Global and regional trends in supply of vegetables (kg/capita/year) Supply/Capita/Year of vegetables 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 LIFDC 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 kg USA EUROPE WORLD DEVELOPING COUNTRIES AFRICA
  • 17. Nutrient Intake trends vs TRS 916 PNI guidelines
  • 18.
  • 19. Monitoring requires information of the distribution: e.g. the 10% sat fat goal fx(x | mean, cv,) PNI goal 10% Mean:15%, cv=0.29
  • 20. Agriculture vs Food Systems From Farm-gate to Plate: WHO Recommendations on Salt (and sodium) intake WHO deliberations of upper limit for intakes of free sugar Food systems beyond the farm gate have significant impact on intakes of salt and sugars
  • 21. National average ‘apparent’ food consumption trends from FAOSTAT indicate: Increasing energy intakes and free sugar intakes Increasing contribution from animal foods Increasing fat intakes, SFs and PUFAs, sub-optimal fatty acid ratios Improving F&V availability and consumption Progressive convergence of dietary consumption patterns globally
  • 22. Agriculture and food policies and nutritional guidelines
  • 23. Influencing the role of agriculture in nutrition in this century • There is a need to understand the CONTEXT • Recognise that IMPACTS of policies that affect agriculture and food systems may be different in different contexts • Be aware of the TRADE-OFFS and opportunity costs • Be aware of LINKAGES and appreciate the COMPLEXITIES
  • 24. Context 1: A long food chain: Industrial agricultural and industrial food processing in the US ~8000 food products for a consumer in the US ~80 crops and livestock activities 8 major food groups
  • 25. Context 2: Short food chain: subsistence production in LDC ~80 food products for a consumer in Mali ~80 crops and livestock activities 8 major food groups
  • 26. Concluding comments Food availability and diversity and hence consumption is increasing. For monitoring purposes, national averages need to be supplemented with distributional information ‘Agriculture’ impacts on the continuum from subsistence to highly diversified affluent diets The length of the food chain from farm-gate to plate has a much greater impact Policies and recommendations: Analyse the situation, understand the context, measure impacts within the context, recognize trade-offs, appreciate complexity.

Editor's Notes

  1. Let’s summarize the issues identified so far with a schematic illustration of how the various parameters determine the PoU under a probability density function (pdf), (log-normal, skewed log-normal)
  2. SR 26 of USDA shows 8463 different food items