Tanzania's Textile Sector Struggles After Trade Liberalization

TDP in Tanzania’s Textile sector: Missing Impacts or Links? Abridged from TDP-CUTS Case Study on Tanzania’s Textile Sector Josaphat Kweka George Kabelwa

OUTLINE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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The recent Integrated Framework DTIS (2005) summarizes the evidence on Tanzania 3.8 6.4 4.1 1.8 GDP at market prices -0.8 0.4 -2.6 0.4 Statistical Discrepancy 2.0 4.8 -0.1 1.5 Import of Goods and Non-factor Services 2.2 4.3 0.6 2.5 Export of Goods and Non-factor Services 0.5 2.3 0.6 -0.8 Investment 0.8 1.5 1.5 -0.5 Government Consumption 3.1 2.7 3.9 1.6 Private Consumption 1990-2003 2000-2003 1996-2000 1990-1995

Cont… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Cont… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Conceptualisation of TDP framework and its application ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

The following figure summarizes the hypothesized causal links between Trade and Poverty

Application on the Textile sector ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

2. TRADE LIBERALISATION AND PERFORMANCE OF THE TEXTILE SECTOR ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

2.2 performance of the textiles sector since liberalisation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Number of mills declined conspicuously following liberalization ,[object Object]

Trends in Production ,[object Object],[object Object]

Cotton Marketing Channels ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Cotton Producer prices ,[object Object],[object Object]

Producer prices a fraction of world prices ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

3. WHO ARE THE WINNERS/LOSERS, WHY? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Transporters ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Ginneries ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Textile mills/factories ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Workers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

The Government ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

4. IMPACTS ON LABOUR MARKET ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Structural effects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Labour Market effects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Liberalisation has had severe impacts on textile workers ,[object Object]

5. COMPLEMENTARY POLICIES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

6. CONCLUDING SUMMARY ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Tanzania's Textile Sector Struggles After Trade Liberalization

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Tanzania's Textile Sector Struggles After Trade Liberalization