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Farming Futures Workshop at Innovation Farm, 1st February 2011




                                 Clever science,
                                  smart farming
                                       Roger Sylvester-Bradley




www.adas.co.uk
ADAS-mediated innovations: 1

   Big bale silage

   Direct harvested onions

   Straw incorporation

   Cereal fungicide strategies

   Midge resistant wheats
ADAS-mediated innovations: 2

   Floating mulches

   Hybrid Nantes Carrots


   Flat Rate Feeding of Dairy cows

   Irrigation scheduling


   Lodging control.
Example innovation – Silage
Paul Brassley (1996). Silage in Britain, 1880-1990: The Delayed
Adoption of an Innovation. Agricultural History Review 44, 63-87.


“The most important point to emerge is the
necessity for all components of a system to
be in place before rapid adoption can occur.
  –   Problems with alternatives – hay, roots
  –   Achieving reliability – with a more complex process
  –   Mechanisation
  –   Ease of use

“Until all parts of the system were in place
most [farmers] resisted all the blandishments
of enthusiasts, politicians, scientists and
advisers for nearly a century.”
innovations involve
investment & risk
Endogenous forces                                           Koning & van Ittersum (2009)




    Wheat               UK

     real
    price                    US
    index


                        Exogenous forces


                 10

                                                                       wheat prices US
 UK wheat         8
                                                      varieties,
                                                     herbicides,
yields, t/ha      6
                                                     lime, P&K,
                                                      drainage,                  A new phase
                                       threshing    myxomatosis                 of innovation
          rotation &     enclosures    machines
                  4
          seed drills                                                           .. but what ??
                                                             semi-dwarfs,
                  2                                           N fertiliser,
                                                              fungicides,
                                                                 PGRs
                  0
                                                   Percival (1948) & Defra stats.
World record wheat crop
   Grain cv. Einstein             15.7 t/ha
     – at 15% moisture
     – and 10.9% protein

   PA radiation:             1,250 MJ/m2
     – For construction & production
     – UK norm: 1,000 MJ/m2
     – Mean temp: 11.6 ºC (UK: 14.6 ºC)

   Water:      summer rain .. 394 mm
                   plus soil .. >200 mm
     – UK normal summer rain: 220 mm
                                                Mike Solari, Alvia Farm,
   Nitrogen:                    535 kg/ha     near Gore, Southland, NZ
     – After peas, 85 kg/ha soil N supply
     – + 450 kg/ha fertiliser N applied.
Targets: slower development, faster growth
Targets: slower development, faster growth

                                                                 87        87

      ‘designed’ earliness
       short to GS31 … better yield ?

                                                                      87

                                        61                  61
                                                            61




                                                                                growth
             31                  31
                                             Growth Stage

                                               development
Soil water availability target
   170mm
                      Crop water demand
0.5m                    – Minimum in summer for 15 t/ha grain .. 430mm

                      Summer rain
                        – Average 220mm

                      Soils storage
1.0m                    –   Requirement, with 20mm ‘insurance’ .. 230mm
       99% roots
                        –   140 to 180mm water / metre … norm: 170 mm / metre
                        –   99% roots need to reach 1.8m .. 0.6m extra
                        –   Beyond direct intervention
 +60mm
1.5m                  Alternatives:
                        – Irrigation ..
                        – Grow maize .. or .. MOVE west !
       99% roots
Target: Nutrient efficiency
   Static fertiliser technology
     – Little change for >50 years

   N fertilisers are only ~60% efficient
     – ~40% is emitted to the environment
     – P efficiency even less

   Current research ideas
     – Better prediction of crop requirements
          … precision application
          … crop & soil analysis
     – Inhibitors / enhancers
     – Targeting: foliar application, combine drilling
     – Plant Breeding
          … Faster uptake .. biological fixation?
          … Match proteins to market requirements.
Science & technology for productivity
   Genetic improvement
     –   Breeding .. enhanced by genomics, hybrids & GM
           … Tailored life-cycles
           … Enhanced metabolism .. esp. photosynthesis
           … Designed products e.g. protein
     –   Species choice .. Crop rotations


   Chemical intervention
     –   Integrated genetic-chemical protection systems
     –   Stress resistance: ABA, anti-transpirants
     –   Growth stimulants e.g. grain expansion
     –   Fertiliser enhancements


   Mechanisation & automation
     –   Soil management .. esp sub-soils
     –   Faster harvesting & establishment
     –   Irrigation
     –   Targeted fertilisers
     –   Sensing and Automation of applications
     –   Information management.
Smart farming – new systems
       Involves experimentation & risk
         – Borrowing ideas and honing them

       Exploring new systems
         –   Triticale for energy .. feed & fuel
         –   Maize, sunflowers, etc. in S & E
         –   Wheat in the west
         –   Efficient irrigation strategies
         –   Optimising straw use
         –   IT e.g. GPS, traceability
         –   Legume-based leys for protein

       Integrating Supply Systems
         – Climate-soil-species-variety-
           production-process-consumption
               … Biofuels .. Bread .. etc.
Clever science, Smart farming

   Time is short
     – But the opportunity is here!


   Clever science is for scientists
     – Science creates an environment for
       innovation
     – Biology is only part of the answer


   Innovation happens „near-farm‟
     – Involves risk
     – Requires investment
     – Farming must enable innovation
       … and feed-back to science.
Thank you
Roger.Sylvester-Bradley@adas.co.uk




                                     ADAS Boxworth, Cambridge CB23 4NN

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Clever science, smart farming - Roger Sylvester-Bradley (Adas)

  • 1. Farming Futures Workshop at Innovation Farm, 1st February 2011 Clever science, smart farming Roger Sylvester-Bradley www.adas.co.uk
  • 2. ADAS-mediated innovations: 1  Big bale silage  Direct harvested onions  Straw incorporation  Cereal fungicide strategies  Midge resistant wheats
  • 3. ADAS-mediated innovations: 2  Floating mulches  Hybrid Nantes Carrots  Flat Rate Feeding of Dairy cows  Irrigation scheduling  Lodging control.
  • 4. Example innovation – Silage Paul Brassley (1996). Silage in Britain, 1880-1990: The Delayed Adoption of an Innovation. Agricultural History Review 44, 63-87. “The most important point to emerge is the necessity for all components of a system to be in place before rapid adoption can occur. – Problems with alternatives – hay, roots – Achieving reliability – with a more complex process – Mechanisation – Ease of use “Until all parts of the system were in place most [farmers] resisted all the blandishments of enthusiasts, politicians, scientists and advisers for nearly a century.”
  • 6. Endogenous forces Koning & van Ittersum (2009) Wheat UK real price US index Exogenous forces 10 wheat prices US UK wheat 8 varieties, herbicides, yields, t/ha 6 lime, P&K, drainage, A new phase threshing myxomatosis of innovation rotation & enclosures machines 4 seed drills .. but what ?? semi-dwarfs, 2 N fertiliser, fungicides, PGRs 0 Percival (1948) & Defra stats.
  • 7. World record wheat crop  Grain cv. Einstein 15.7 t/ha – at 15% moisture – and 10.9% protein  PA radiation: 1,250 MJ/m2 – For construction & production – UK norm: 1,000 MJ/m2 – Mean temp: 11.6 ºC (UK: 14.6 ºC)  Water: summer rain .. 394 mm plus soil .. >200 mm – UK normal summer rain: 220 mm Mike Solari, Alvia Farm,  Nitrogen: 535 kg/ha near Gore, Southland, NZ – After peas, 85 kg/ha soil N supply – + 450 kg/ha fertiliser N applied.
  • 9. Targets: slower development, faster growth 87 87 ‘designed’ earliness short to GS31 … better yield ? 87 61 61 61 growth 31 31 Growth Stage development
  • 10. Soil water availability target 170mm  Crop water demand 0.5m – Minimum in summer for 15 t/ha grain .. 430mm  Summer rain – Average 220mm  Soils storage 1.0m – Requirement, with 20mm ‘insurance’ .. 230mm 99% roots – 140 to 180mm water / metre … norm: 170 mm / metre – 99% roots need to reach 1.8m .. 0.6m extra – Beyond direct intervention +60mm 1.5m  Alternatives: – Irrigation .. – Grow maize .. or .. MOVE west ! 99% roots
  • 11. Target: Nutrient efficiency  Static fertiliser technology – Little change for >50 years  N fertilisers are only ~60% efficient – ~40% is emitted to the environment – P efficiency even less  Current research ideas – Better prediction of crop requirements … precision application … crop & soil analysis – Inhibitors / enhancers – Targeting: foliar application, combine drilling – Plant Breeding … Faster uptake .. biological fixation? … Match proteins to market requirements.
  • 12. Science & technology for productivity  Genetic improvement – Breeding .. enhanced by genomics, hybrids & GM … Tailored life-cycles … Enhanced metabolism .. esp. photosynthesis … Designed products e.g. protein – Species choice .. Crop rotations  Chemical intervention – Integrated genetic-chemical protection systems – Stress resistance: ABA, anti-transpirants – Growth stimulants e.g. grain expansion – Fertiliser enhancements  Mechanisation & automation – Soil management .. esp sub-soils – Faster harvesting & establishment – Irrigation – Targeted fertilisers – Sensing and Automation of applications – Information management.
  • 13. Smart farming – new systems  Involves experimentation & risk – Borrowing ideas and honing them  Exploring new systems – Triticale for energy .. feed & fuel – Maize, sunflowers, etc. in S & E – Wheat in the west – Efficient irrigation strategies – Optimising straw use – IT e.g. GPS, traceability – Legume-based leys for protein  Integrating Supply Systems – Climate-soil-species-variety- production-process-consumption … Biofuels .. Bread .. etc.
  • 14. Clever science, Smart farming  Time is short – But the opportunity is here!  Clever science is for scientists – Science creates an environment for innovation – Biology is only part of the answer  Innovation happens „near-farm‟ – Involves risk – Requires investment – Farming must enable innovation … and feed-back to science.
  • 15. Thank you Roger.Sylvester-Bradley@adas.co.uk ADAS Boxworth, Cambridge CB23 4NN