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“ INTEGRATIVE RISK MANAGEMENT – THE DAVOS MODEL” TOWARDS INTEGRATIVE DISASTER MEDICINE  MANAGEMENT CONTACT INFORMATION Global Risk Forum GRF Davos Promenade 35 CH-7270 Davos Phone: +41 (0) 81 414 1600 Fax: +41 (0) 81 414 1610 [email_address] www.grforum.org Walter J. Ammann  Global Risk Forum GRF Davos [email_address] www.grforum.org
RECENT DISASTERS Haiti  Bam  New Zeland Chile
RECENT DISASTERS: NE JAPAN Before March 11 Earthquake Tsunami Fires Aftershocks Nuclear Radiation Economy Nikkei Index
GRF DAVOS:  3 PILLARS  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
FLOODS SEVERE WINDSTORMS EARTHQUAKES/ TSUNAMIS DROUGHTS, DESERTIFICATION  PUBLIC HEALTH CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURES BIOLOGICAL HAZARDS TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE  TERRORISM MULTI HAZARD/ MULTI RISK APPROACH NEEDED  LAND DEGRADATION PANDEMICS FINANCIAL CRISES POVERTY
IRM - MULTI SECTORS, STAKEHOLDERS AND DISCIPLINES APPROACH  POLITICAL ADMINISTRATIVE Scientific to be considered in its widest sense to include the  natural, environmental, social, economic, health & engineering sciences Technical   to include relevant matters of technology, engineering practice & implementation  Natural Disaster Reduction TECHNICAL SOCIAL ECONOMIC LEGAL
IRM - RISK REDUCTION & DISASTER MANAGEMENT Integrative Risk Management IRM  concentrates equally on all phases of the risk circle - on prevention, intervention and recovery Emergency management Relief, Response
INTEGRATIVE RISK MANAGEMENT THE RISK STAIRCASE Avoid risks Risk transfer RESIDUAL RISK «Own responsibility»,  Initial Risk Mitigate risks Causes Impact/ Effects Active Passive Early Warning Emergency planning Contingency plan Search & rescue
INTEGRATIVE RISK MANAGEMENT -  INTERVENTION Risk Management Guidelines AS-NZS 4360:2004
STRENGTHEN MEDICAL RELIEF –  TIME FOR A PARADIGM- SHIFT?  Peleg, Kellermann, 2011  – Annals of Emergency Medicine Haiti: 1 field hospital 120 staff m. 11 days, 737 victims, 243 major surgical procedures, 200 lifesaving, costs: 1.7 Mio US$, for search&rescue team: 1 Mio US $ Date/ Magnitude Population Killed Injured Homeless Int. Teams/ team members Rescued alive/dead Ref. Bam/ Iran 26-12-2003/ 6.5 240’000 40’000 30’000 75’000 34/ 1345 0/ ? USAID 2004 KashmirPakistan 08-10-2005/ 7.6 ? 73’338 >100’000 ? UNDAC resp. 24/? Smith 2009 Padang Indonesia 30-09-2009/ 7.6 900’000 1’117 >3000 ? 21/688 0/ ? Gelling 2011 Haiti 12-01-2010/ 7.0 200’000 300’000 43/1800 134/ ? OCHA 2011 Christchurch/ NZ 22-02-2011/ 6.3 159 700 ?/600 1-3/? Chappel 2011 NE Japan 10-03-2011/9.0 ?/? 0/?
EARTHQUAKE IMPACT ON STRUCTURES
EARTHQUAKE IMPACT ON STRUCTURES
Only together – we will make things happen! THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION! CONTACT INFORMATION Global Risk Forum GRF Davos Promenade 35 CH-7270 Davos Phone: +41 (0) 81 414 1600 Fax: +41 (0) 81 414 1610 [email_address] www.grforum.org Dr. Walter J. Ammann CEO and Presiden Global Risk Forum GRF Davos [email_address] www.grforum.org

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Integrative Risk Management and Disaster Medicine

  • 1. “ INTEGRATIVE RISK MANAGEMENT – THE DAVOS MODEL” TOWARDS INTEGRATIVE DISASTER MEDICINE MANAGEMENT CONTACT INFORMATION Global Risk Forum GRF Davos Promenade 35 CH-7270 Davos Phone: +41 (0) 81 414 1600 Fax: +41 (0) 81 414 1610 [email_address] www.grforum.org Walter J. Ammann Global Risk Forum GRF Davos [email_address] www.grforum.org
  • 2. RECENT DISASTERS Haiti Bam New Zeland Chile
  • 3. RECENT DISASTERS: NE JAPAN Before March 11 Earthquake Tsunami Fires Aftershocks Nuclear Radiation Economy Nikkei Index
  • 4.
  • 5. FLOODS SEVERE WINDSTORMS EARTHQUAKES/ TSUNAMIS DROUGHTS, DESERTIFICATION PUBLIC HEALTH CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURES BIOLOGICAL HAZARDS TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE TERRORISM MULTI HAZARD/ MULTI RISK APPROACH NEEDED LAND DEGRADATION PANDEMICS FINANCIAL CRISES POVERTY
  • 6. IRM - MULTI SECTORS, STAKEHOLDERS AND DISCIPLINES APPROACH POLITICAL ADMINISTRATIVE Scientific to be considered in its widest sense to include the natural, environmental, social, economic, health & engineering sciences Technical to include relevant matters of technology, engineering practice & implementation Natural Disaster Reduction TECHNICAL SOCIAL ECONOMIC LEGAL
  • 7. IRM - RISK REDUCTION & DISASTER MANAGEMENT Integrative Risk Management IRM concentrates equally on all phases of the risk circle - on prevention, intervention and recovery Emergency management Relief, Response
  • 8. INTEGRATIVE RISK MANAGEMENT THE RISK STAIRCASE Avoid risks Risk transfer RESIDUAL RISK «Own responsibility», Initial Risk Mitigate risks Causes Impact/ Effects Active Passive Early Warning Emergency planning Contingency plan Search & rescue
  • 9. INTEGRATIVE RISK MANAGEMENT - INTERVENTION Risk Management Guidelines AS-NZS 4360:2004
  • 10. STRENGTHEN MEDICAL RELIEF – TIME FOR A PARADIGM- SHIFT? Peleg, Kellermann, 2011 – Annals of Emergency Medicine Haiti: 1 field hospital 120 staff m. 11 days, 737 victims, 243 major surgical procedures, 200 lifesaving, costs: 1.7 Mio US$, for search&rescue team: 1 Mio US $ Date/ Magnitude Population Killed Injured Homeless Int. Teams/ team members Rescued alive/dead Ref. Bam/ Iran 26-12-2003/ 6.5 240’000 40’000 30’000 75’000 34/ 1345 0/ ? USAID 2004 KashmirPakistan 08-10-2005/ 7.6 ? 73’338 >100’000 ? UNDAC resp. 24/? Smith 2009 Padang Indonesia 30-09-2009/ 7.6 900’000 1’117 >3000 ? 21/688 0/ ? Gelling 2011 Haiti 12-01-2010/ 7.0 200’000 300’000 43/1800 134/ ? OCHA 2011 Christchurch/ NZ 22-02-2011/ 6.3 159 700 ?/600 1-3/? Chappel 2011 NE Japan 10-03-2011/9.0 ?/? 0/?
  • 11. EARTHQUAKE IMPACT ON STRUCTURES
  • 12. EARTHQUAKE IMPACT ON STRUCTURES
  • 13. Only together – we will make things happen! THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION! CONTACT INFORMATION Global Risk Forum GRF Davos Promenade 35 CH-7270 Davos Phone: +41 (0) 81 414 1600 Fax: +41 (0) 81 414 1610 [email_address] www.grforum.org Dr. Walter J. Ammann CEO and Presiden Global Risk Forum GRF Davos [email_address] www.grforum.org