Keynote

1. The Resilient City of the future - a public and private affair!
Martin Powell
Head of Urban Development, Global Centre of Competence for Cities

2. From London to The C40 Cities to big business!
In God we Trust…
…The rest of us need to bring Data!

3. 1 What kind of City

8. 2 City Trends

9. The 21st Century will effect the ways we live…

10. Mumbai - 34,000 people per km (sq)

11. London - 4500 people per km (sq)

12. What kind of city do we want?

13. Budapest
San José
Bangalore
Tallinn
Raleigh-
DurhamAustin
Helsinki
Dalian
Suzhou
technology
Chongqing
Santiago
Delhi
Mumbai
Beijing
Shanghai
Guangzhou
Xian
Shenzhen
economy
Chongqing
Santiago
Delhi
Mumbai
Beijing
Shanghai
Guangzhou
Xian
Shenzhen
economy
Santiago
Delhi
Mumbai
Beijing
Shanghai
Guangzhou
Xian
Shenzhen
economy
Copenhagen
Calgary
Cape Town
Porto Alegre
Barcelona
SE Queensland
environment
Copenhagen
Calgary
Cape Town
Porto Alegre
Barcelona
SE Queensland
environment
Rising Urban Stars

14. 3 Meeting the Challenge

15. London has committed to ambitious carbon
reduction targets
Profile of national targets and aspirations
Profile of London’s reductions to achieve 450ppm stabilisation
1DECC modelling for CCC. Sources: CCAP (2006) CCC (2008) * Extrapolation based on CCA trend to 2022 for non-residential buildings
Profile of a BAU Projection for non-residential emissions to 20221
1990 20502020
Carbonemissions
26% by 2020 CCA
2008
80% by 2050
CCA 2008
Target for
London = 60%
15%
Today
2030
Desired national
profile
Desired London
profile
BAU*

16. 0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
Jobs
Jobs
Retrofit financing mechanism Low carbon index on FTSE/AIM
Data centre clusters Procurement options for London
Early stage project underwrite National Centre for Carbon Measurement
Emissions Management tool Carbon management for infrastructure project
Low carbon innovation clusters
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
MtCO2
Target Required national contribution
Other identified actions and projects Potential from LCC priority projects
Expected from LCC priority projects Mayor's Plan
The projects with the greatest economic benefits
16
26 MtCO2
9.4 Mt
4.2 Mt
3.9 Mt
5 Mt
4 Mt
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
GVA
GVA(£million)
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Investment
£million

17. Securing a low carbon energy supply for London

18. Zero emissions transport in London
4267…

20. 4 Rethinking Required

21. Cities offer huge growth potential and need
pioneering solutions to solve their problems
 How to get enough electric power, …
how to bring enough goods into the city?
 How to manage the ever increasing
traffic?
 How to reduce the energy consumption
… and emissions?
 How to ensure security and safety
of people?
 How to finance all this?

22. Scale

24. Moscow

26. Moscow

27. Buenos aires

28. Over the next 20 years we will need bigger transport units
carrying twice as many people moving even faster…

32. 2-tier travel

35. Consolidation Centres: Logistics and Waste

36. Resilience The Future
London, 2100?

37. Resilience The Unreported
Chennai, October 2012

38. Burnt homes in Breezy Point

39. 8/30/2013 IC CCPage 39
Exposure & Vulnerabilities
Revealed by Hurricane Sandy
13th Street Substation, Manhattan
 Located in flood zone, designed
for 12.5 foot surge
 14 foot surge during Sandy
 Sea water inundated equipment
 Power lost to 250,000 customers
 Back-up generators failed at
NYU-Langone Medical Center

40. Changing Hazards
8/30/2013 IC CCPage 40 8/30/2013 IC CCPage 40
Past
(1970-2000)
Projected
Future
FrequencyofOccurrence
Flooding
Events
• 1 in 100
years
• 1 in 15
years
Drought
• 1 in 100
years
• Unclear
Heat
Wave
• 2 per year
• 8 per year
Wind events
(Nor’easter,
Hurricane)
• 1 storm per
3 years
• More
frequent
Source: NYC Panel on Climate Change, 2009; ClimAID, NYSERDA, 2012.

41. Action Plan
Business Case: Cost of response and
repair
8/30/2013 IC CCPage 41
($4)
($2)
$0
$2
$4
$6
0 5 10 15 20
US$Billions
Years
No Action
“Do Nothing”
• Anticipated damage to
the power grid over 20
years: USD 1-3 bn
“Protection only”
• Protection but still has
net losses
• ll has net losses
“Investment”
• System resilience,
reliability and efficiency
• Protection

42. Action Plan
Business Case: Cost of response & repair vs.
investment in protection
8/30/2013 IC CCPage 42
($4)
($2)
$0
$2
$4
$6
0 5 10 15 20
US$Billions
Years
No Action Partial Implementation
“Do Nothing”
• Anticipated damage to
the power grid over 20
years: USD 1-3 bn
“Protection only”
• Protection but still has
net losses
• ll has net losses
“Investment”
• System resilience,
reliability and efficiency
• Protection

43. Action Plan
Business Case: Cost of response & repair vs. investment
in protection, resilience, reliability & efficiency
8/30/2013 IC CCPage 43
“Do Nothing”
• Anticipated damage to
the power grid over 20
years: USD 1-3 bn
“Protection only”
• Protection but still has
net losses
“Investment”
• System resilience,
reliability and efficiency
• Protection
($4)
($2)
$0
$2
$4
$6
0 5 10 15 20
US$Billions
Years
No Action Partial Implementation Investment

44. Action Plan
Business Case: Investment in flood protection,
resilience, reliability & efficiency vs. Benefits
8/30/2013 IC CCPage 44
“Investment”
“Benefit”
($4)
($2)
$0
$2
$4
$6
0 5 10 15 20
US$Billions
Years
Benefit Investment

45. ($4)
($2)
$0
$2
$4
$6
0 5 10 15 20
US$Billions
Years
No Action Partial Investment Full Implementation
Action Plan
With cost-benefit
8/30/2013 IC CCPage 45
“Do Nothing”
• Anticipated damage to
the power grid over 20
years: USD 1-3 bn
“Protection only”
• Investment pays back
through reduced
damage
• But city still has net
losses
“Full Grid Resilience”
• Protection PLUS system
resilience, reliability and
efficiency
• Net benefits

46. Energy System Resilience
• Demand
response
prioritises critical
users
• Submersible
equipment resists
inundation
• Automated
monitoring &
adjustment
• Micro grids
protect from
wider failure

47. Transport System Resilience
• Prioritised
signalling for
emergency
vehicles
• Multi-modal
systems provide
options
• Real-time data
enables
coordination of
evacuation
• Modern rail
controls create
capacity

48. Water System Resilience
• Leak detection
enables rapid
response
• Automated
distribution re-
directs supply
• Quality sensors
monitor & control
pollution
• Automated
monitoring
forecasting dam
failures

49. 5 Making a Place

50. 1986 2006 2012 2026
Populationgrowth

51. 1986 2006 2012 2026
Populationgrowth

52. 1986 2006 2012 2026
Populationgrowth

53. 1986 2006 2012 2026
Populationgrowth

61. Flagship Project of the Regeneration of East
London
The aim of this project was to create a building that is:
• energy-efficient & low-carbon;
• demonstrates the feasibility of delivery;
• illustrates the case for green infrastructure.

64. 6 Innovation is key

65. 48ml

70. 40

71. 0.9 X 0.9 X 0.9 X 0.9…
0.9
40
= 1.4%
Chance of Success

72. Grade A Building
Buildings
communicate and
integrate with the Smart
Grid
Connected City
Together with the Smart
Grid, Buildings
form the basis for a
Connected City
Smart Grid
Integrate State of the Art Buildings/Smart Grid

73. Smart
Grids
Information &
Communication
Technology
Charging
Infra-
structure
Micro-
grids /
Buildings
Mobile Apps/
Customer
Portal
Electric
Cars
(compo-
nents)
Intermodal
Mobility
Concepts
Technologies Working Together

74. An intelligent Platform is
needed to boost
integration and make
Multimodality real
Integrated Mobility
Platform
Technical integration Legal integration Business integration
Integrated Mobility Platforms

75. 7 The Final Challenge

77. 80 Litres

78. Thank You!
martin.powell@siemens.com