5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice 24-28 August 2014 in Davos, Switzerland

1. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
A Framework for Cybernetic
Resilience Management
Armin Preis,
Armin Preis Management Consulting and
Vienna University of Technology,
Austria
Armin Preis
Management Consulting

2. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Research Goal
 Improve the effectiveness of organizational
resilience management
 Provide artifacts that can be implemented
as information system
1. Analyze
current needs of
organizations
2. Select
theoretical
foundations
3. Develop new
management
models
4. Evaluate
the benefits
Design Science Methodology

3. Cybernetic Control Theory
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
+ Dimension
of Time
re-/proactive
Plan
Do
Check
Act
Act
Environment Cybernetic Control Cube
with 8 control-cycles

4. Controlling Resilience Processes and Information Flow
ISO & ASIS
compliant
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org

5. What Makes Up Resilience?
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Resilience
=
Adaptive Capacity - Vulnerability
Develop a Framework that combines
(1) rigor planning and control
(2) adaptive capacity driven by
vision and values
[Weick et al. 2008]
Begin of
Crisis
End of Crisis
New Normal

6. Including the Value Based-Management Approach
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org

7. The Cybernetic Resilience Management Framework
Realization of Risk Attitude
Effectiveness of Risk Strategies
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Vision, Values, Culture
Strategy
Organizational Value
Organizational Resilience
Value Potential
Organizational
Value & Benefit
Risk Attitude
Risk-Integrated Strategy
Risk-Steered Goals
of the Organization
Fulfillment of Risk Goals
Organizational Operations

8. The Cybernetic Resilience Management Framework
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
 Enlarging the recursion
principle over
organizational entities
With each entity being
a subsystem of another
entity
 Recursively nested
environments
Recursion Level I: Nation Recursion Level II: State
Recursion Level III:
Region 1 Region 2

9. The Cybernetic Resilience Management Framework
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Normative Resilience MGT
Strategic Resilience MGT
Operative Resilience MGT
Risk
MGT
Crisis
MGT
Continuity
MGT
Organizational Operations
Controlling the whole
organizational
management quality
using resilience
management metrics
Controlling the risk on
& resilience of
resources
System Supervision

10. Added Value for the Post 2015 Framework
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Support for the Hyogo Framework
Implementation
 Integrated Resilience Processes
 A Framework for managing risk at
each life-cycle
 Applicable to physical, social,
economic, and environmental
threats
Needs for the Post 2015 Framework
 Processes for risk management
 Shared data structures for
information exchange
 Implementation of the framework
 Training and continuous review and
improvement