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PACKAGE 2: SITE DECISION
GLOBAL URBAN DESIGN COURSE - STANFORD TECHNOLOGY CAMPUS IN HONG KONG PROPOSAL


students:
Andy Li
Sam Wright
Theodore Lim
Jakob Lozej
Dominik Košak

mentors:
Derek Ouyang
Sinan Mihelčič
00_CONTENT


01_PROPOSED SITES MAP

02_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA AND SUB-CRITERIA

03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

   a. economic
   b. transportation
   c. construction
   d. parks and zoning
   e. environment and sustainability
   f. politics & neighborhood feasibility

04_FINAL DECISION MATRIX WITH NUMERICAL RESULTS
05_SELECTED SITE INTRODUCTION

06_SUSTAINABILITY REPORT
01_PROPOSED SITES MAP


 01_KAI TAK AIRPORT,
           KOWLOON
  02_WEST KOWLOON,
           KOWLOON

                                         N A
03_AUSTIN, KOWLOON
      04_FO TAN, NEW
                                   H I
         TERRITORIES
   05_TUEN MUN, NEW
         TERRITORIES
                               C
01_PROPOSED SITES MAP

01_KAI TAK AIRPORT, KOWLOON
02_WEST KOWLOON, KOWLOON
03_AUSTIN, KOWLOON
04_FO TAN, NEW TERRITORIES
05_TUEN MUN, NEW TERRITORIES
01_KAI TAK AIRPORT, KOWLOON
02_WEST KOWLOON, KOWLOON
03_AUSTIN, KOWLOON
04_FO TAN, NEW TERRITORIES
05_TUEN MUN, NEW TERRITORIES
02_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA AND SUB-CRITERIA

a. Economic - 20 %
    a1. construction cost - 33,3 %
    a2. land prices - 33,3 %
    a3. financial feasibility - 33,3 %

b. Transportation - 20 %
    b1. Travel Time to Airport - 5%
    b2. Travel Time to Downtown HK - 15%
    b3. Travel Time to China Mainland Travel Hub - 5%
    b4. Distance to Closest MTR station - 30%
    b5. Frequency of MTR Trains - 15%
    b6. Number of MTR Lines near the Site - 30%
c. Construction - 15 %
    c1. existing infrastructure (water 33,3%, electricity 33,3%, roads 33,3%) - 30 %
    c2. land quality - 25 %
    c3. typhoon flooding danger - 10 %
    c4. landslide danger - 10 %
    c5. casting shadows - 10 %
    c6. traffic noise - 15 %

d. Parks and zoning - 10 %
   - subcriteria 1 + percentage for each
   - subcriteria 2...

e. Environment and sustainability - 15 %
    - subcriteria 1 + percentage for each
    - subcriteria 2...

f. Politics & neighborhood feasibility - 20 %
    f1. Survey Results - 40%
    f2. Existing Site Conditions - 20%
    f3. Political Climate - 4%
    f4. Crime Rate - 10%
    f5. Distance to nearest fire station - 15%
    f6. Distance to nearest police station - 10%
    f7. Elevation above sea level - 1%
    f8. Density - intensity factor
02_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA AND SUB-CRITERIA

Decision matrix explanation:

-   each criteria and sub-criteria is evaluated in 1-5 tier system (1 - worst, 5 - best)
-   each sub-criteria is differently weighted, based on the importance of the subject
-   all provided data is objective and was found on the Internet or other authentic sources
-   decision matrix also includes subjective data, provided by the locals
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

Five locations are distributed into two groups, based on the similar prices; West Kowloon and New Territories.

a1. CONSTRUCTION COSTS

Due to the fact of our search for a larger amount of land and the fact that profit is already included in the price of
facilities, this prices are certainly exaggerated, but is hard to say how much, although the relationship between prices
in Kowloon and New Territories should remain the same.
Low prices=5        High prices=1




                                                                                                               economic
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS


a2. LAND PRICES

Some recent articles on the internet claim that some companies bought very large amounts of land in Kowloon and
the price was between 1600 and 2000 USD per square meter. Another article metioned the price per squre meter in
Tuen Mun which is situated in the area of the New Territories and it is around 600 USD.
The next step will be to send an email to real estate agents and real estate appraisals in order to get the latest
available information about the land value.

a3. FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY

As one of the world's leading international financial centres, Hong Kong has a major capitalist service economy
characterised by low taxation and free trade. In order to continue its rapid GDP growth it has to have a strong
international educational system.
In the year 2009, Hong Kong raised 22 percent of worldwide initial public offering (IPO) capital, making it the largest
centre of IPOs in the world and the easiest place to raise capital. Many international companies have the
genuine interest to invest in high quality universities to have access to the top personnel and the best
knowledge.
High possibility of financial feasibility=5   Low possibility of financial feasibility=1




                                                                                                               economic
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS




   Site / subject   Construction Costs   Land prices   Financial feasibility          Weighted
                                                                                       total

  Kai Tak Airport           3                2                  5                        3,33

      Austin                3                2                  5                        3,33

  West Kowloon              3                2                  5                        3,33

      Fo Tan                4                4                  4                          4

    Tuen Mun                4                4                  4                          4




                                                                               economic - decision matrix
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

Transportation - 20%                                         To Airport   To                To
Sub-criteria 1: Travel Time                                               Downtown          China
Airport - 5%, Downtown - 15%, China - 5%
                                           Kai Tak Airport       1             3                 4
Formula for Evaluation:
                                           West Kowloon          3             5                 5
0 - 14 min = 5
15 - 29 min = 4                            Austin                2             4                 5
30 - 44 min = 3
45 - 59 min = 2                            Fo Tan                1             2                 3
60+ min = 1
                                           Tuen Mun              1             1                 1




                                                                            Transportation - Travel Time
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS


Sub-criteria 2:                                                    Closest MTR             Grade
Distance to Closest MTR Station - 30%                              Station (Miles)

Formula for Evaluation:                          Kai Tak Airport           1                   2

                                                 West Kowloon             1/4                  5
0 - 1/4 mile = 5
1/4 mile - 1/2 mile = 4                          Austin                   1/2                  4
1/2 mile - 3/4 mile = 3
3/4 mile - 1 mile = 2                            Fo Tan                   1/4                  5
+ 1 mile = 1
                                                 Tuen Mun                  1                   2


                                                                    1)   Kai Tak Airport
                                                                    2)   West Kowloon
                                                                    3)   Austin
                            Going to put map here.                  4)   Fo Tan
                                                                    5)   Tuen Mun




                                                                   Transportation - Closest MTR Station
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS


                                                Formula for Evaluation:

         Sub-criteria 3:                        4 - 6 min = 5
         Frequency of MTR Trains - 15%          6 - 8 min = 4
         (Saturday Non-Peak Hours)              8 - 10 min = 3
                                                10 - 12 min = 2
                                                +12 min = 1
             Frequency of   Grade
              MTR Trains
                 (min)

Kai Tak
                 4-5          5
Airport

West
                6-12          3
Kowloon

Austin          6-12          3

Fo Tan           4-8          5

Tuen
                 6-8          4
Mun



                                                                  Transportation - Frequency of MTR
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS




                                                    1)   Kai Tak Airport
                                                    2)   West Kowloon
                                                    3)   Austin
                                                    4)   Fo Tan
                                                    5)   Tuen Mun




Sub-criteria 4:
                                                          Number of           Grade
Number of MTR Lines near Site - 30%
                                                            Lines
(Within 1 mile)
                                       Kai Tak Airport           2                3
Formula for Evaluation:
                                       West Kowloon              4                5
4   lines = 5
3   lines = 4                          Austin                    4                5
2   lines = 3
1   line = 2                           Fo Tan                    2                3
0   lines = 1                          Tuen Mun                  1                2

                                                    Transportation - Closest MTR Station
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS




Transportation Matrix




  -   Travel Time to Airport - 5%
  -   Travel Time to Downtown HK - 15%
  -   Travel Time to China Mainland Travel Hub - 5%
  -   Distance to Closest MTR station - 30%
  -   Frequency of MTR Trains - 15%
  -   Number of MTR Lines near the Site - 30%

                                                      Transportation - Matrix
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

c.1 EXISTING INFRASTRUCTURE (water 33,3%, electricity 33,3%, roads 33,3%) - 30 %

Each site is examined for existing infrastructure.

Formula for evaluation - water (yes=5, needs extension = 3, no=0)
Formula for evaluation - electricity (yes=5, needs extension = 3 no=0)
Formula for evaluation - roads (no roads=1, one minor road=2, more minor roads=3, minor roads and major road=4, more major
and minor roads=5)


     Site /         Water          Electricity       Roads     Weighted total
    subject



    Kai Tak            3               3              5            3.66
    airport



    West               3               3              4            3.33
   Kowloon



    Austin             0               0              5            1.66



    Fo Tan             0               0              2            0.66



  Tuen Mun             0               0              1            0.33




  Source: http://www.ozp.tpb.gov.hk/




                                                                                                      construction - existing infrastructure
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

c2. LAND QUALITY - 25 %


6 % of onshore area in Hong Kong is reclaimed land (granular sediment and rock material) which is considered to be convenient
land to build on, however, it demands some special construction interventions (deep foundations, preventing liquefaction,...). In
higher parts of HK can be found volcanic rocks and granite which are of medium quality to build on. In addition, there is hilly
terrain, so excavations would be credible.

Formula for evaluation (poor quality = 1, medium quality = 3, excellent quality=5)


     Site / subject                 Soil type                Weighted total



    Kai Tak airport               reclaimed land                    5



    West Kowloon                  reclaimed land                    5

                                                                                           volcanic rocks
        Austin                    reclaimed land                    5



        Fo Tan                coarse-grained granite                3



      Tuen Mun          volcanic rocks, sedimentary rocks           3


                                                                                           coarse-grained granite




  Source: http://www.cedd.gov.hk/eng/about/organisation/org_geo_pln_map.htm




                                                                                                                  construction - land quality
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

A scheme showing pre- and post- land reclamation process.




                                                            The process of making the reclaimed land.




                                                                              construction - land quality
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

c3. TYPHOON FLOODING DANGER - 10 %

Floods are most likely to happen in lower parts, just above sea level, while areas above 60 feet are
relatively safe. The maximum tide magnitude is ~ 9 feet, while storm surges can reach up to 20 feet. The
evaluation is based on area’s height above sea level,

Formula for evaluation (areas below 10 feet = 1, areas between 10-20 feet = 2, areas between 20-40 feet
= 3, areas between 40-60 feet = 4, areas above 60 feet = 5)


    Site / subject   Height above sea level   Weighted total
                             (feet)


   Kai Tak airport            21                    3



    West Kowloon               9                    1



       Austin                 16                    2



       Fo Tan                <500                   5



     Tuen Mun                <220                   5




                                                                                   Typhoon shelter in West Kowloon.

 Source: http://www.cityu.edu.hk/gcacic/IGCP588Yim.pdf




                                                                                         construction - typhoon flooding danger
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS




Flooding in West Kowloon.




                                       construction - typhoon flooding danger
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

c4. LANDSLIDE DANGER - 10 %

In general, the number of occurrence of landslides is closely related to the rainfall distribution and
intensity. Most of the landslides are occured at the slope angle above 26°. We prespuppose that there is
more rainfall distibution in upper parts of HK due to orographic precipitation


Formula for evaluation (most likely to occur = 1, likely to occur = 3, not likely to occur=5)



    Site / subject    Weighted total



   Kai Tak airport          5



   West Kowloon             5



       Austin               5



       Fo Tan               3



     Tuen Mun               4



                                                                                                           Rainfall distribution in HK.

 Source: http://hkss.cedd.gov.hk/hkss/eng/studies/natural/landslide_fact.htm#Natural Terrain Landsliding
 http://dusk.geo.orst.edu/buffgis/PDFs/landslide_hazard_geo580.pdf
 http://www.springerimages.com/Images/Geosciences/1-10.1007_s10346-005-0024-x-10


                                                                                                           construction - landslide danger
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

Fo Tan and Tuen Mun are critical sites regarding landslide danger due to being on a higher level and surrounding
incline.
Fo Tan




                       ~24%




                       ~13%
                                   ~15%




Tuen Mun




                                                                         Landslide endangering residental area on HK island.


                                ~34%

         ~18%




                                                                                                    construction - landslide danger
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

           Airport, Fo Tan and Tuen Mun sites are not affected by shading from surrounding buildings and terrain, while Austin
           and West Kowloon sites are in dense urban fabric where there is a lot of casting shadows elements
           - Visual presentation of casting shadows by surrounding building on West Kowloon site at different hours and months
           of the year.


                               21 / 3                                 21 / 6                                   23 / 9




9.00 AM




12.00 AM




6.00 PM




                                                                                                              construction - casting shadows
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

           - Visual presentation of casting shadows by surrounding buildings on Austin site at different hours and months of the
           year.




                                21 / 3                                  21 / 6                                   23 / 9




9.00 AM




12.00 AM




6.00 PM




                                                                                                                construction - casting shadows
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

The following is a map published by Hong Kong's Planning Department with the various zones represented in different
colors. The insert on the lower right-hand corner shows the average distribution of land usage across Hong Kong.




                                                                                                    parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

Kai Tak Airport - Zoning




                                       parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

Kai Tak Airport - Parks




                                       parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

Weset Kowloon - Zoning




                                       parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

West Kowloon - Parks




                                       parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

Fo Tan - Zoning




                                       parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

Fo Tan - Parks




                                       parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

Tuen Mun - Zoning




                                       parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

Tuen Mun - Parks




                                       parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

    Parks and zoning plays an important as it tends to define the lifestyle of the student. Ultimately, we decided that the
    type of area was not as important as the impact a university campus would make on the nearby area. In addition,
    creating the lifestyle we wanted the students to have was more of a design challenge than a barrier we were simply
    going to accept.




Site / subject measurement   % Park Space    % Park Space    Official Land Utilization   Distance o Edge of City (m)   Distance to shore
                             1 mile radius   5 mile radius




      Kai Tak airport              0               2.1             Residential                    2500 m                      0m




      West Kowloon                 4.8             5.1             Commercial                     6500 m                     200 m




          Austin                   4.9             4.8               Vacant                       7000 m                     250 m




          Fo Tan                18.2%           16.0%              Open Space                      500 m                     8500 m




        Tuen Mun                15.3%           14.9%              Commercial                      500 m                     6700 m




       % of Total            20%             30%             N/A                         30%                           20%




                                                                                                                 parks and zoning - summary
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

Tuen Mun - Parks




                                       environment - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

Environment Report:
        In light of the usually sunny days in California, air pollution in Hong Kong is considered a serious problem. In
most cases, visitbility is less than eight kilometers for 30% of the year. The importance of the economic report,
however, is limited because one area of Hong Kong will not vary much from another. In the end, we decided air
quality was indeed important, giving it a weight factor of 15%




        Site / subject measurement           H2O2/HNO3 (Ave. 2007)           O3 Concentration (Ave. 2007)



        Kai Tak Airport                      22.4                            330 micrograms/cubic meter



        West Kowloon                         19.5                            290



        Austin                               27.4                            320



        Fo Tan                               8.8                             200



        Tuen Mun                             16.2                            250



        % Total                              60%                             40%




                                                                                                            environment - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

REPUTATION, COMMUNITY AND POLITICAL SUPPORT covers:

-   Survey Results
-   Local Party Policies
-   Cultural, Historical, and Community Significance of Site
-   Perceived and Real Safety




                                                               reputation - overview
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS


                                       f1. Survey Results - 40%

                                       We considered the survey to be the most important factor
                                       in determining the political and neighborhood feasibility of
                                       the sites.

                                       Locals are much more knowledgeable then we are with
                                       regards to the important intangibles of a site, such as the
                                       atmosphere, culture, and safety, and so we weighted
                                       responses heavily.

                                       We received 20 responses from residents and other people
                                       who are familiar with Hong Kong.




                                                                             reputation - survey
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS

                                              01_KAI TAK AIRPORT      03_AUSTIN
f2. Existing Site Conditions - 20%            BROWNFIELD              BROWNFIELD
What cultural or historical importance does
the current site hold in the neighbourhood?
Is it an eyesore such as a brownfield, or a
sacrosanct area, such as a pristine forest?
Would a Stanford campus be seen in the
community as an improvement or a blight to
the area?

                                              02_WEST KOWLOON         04_FO TAN
BROWNFIELD +2                                 BROWNFIELD-WATERFRONT   PRISTINE FOREST
WATERFRONT -1
PRISTINE FOREST -2




                                              05_TUEN MEN
                                              PRISTINE FOREST




                                                                       reputation - existing site conditions
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS


f3. Political Climate - 4%

A small factor in our decision-
making is the political will of the
local representatives in power in
the district.

Most parties in Hong Kong are
supportive of development, but
we felt that fiscally conservative and
more nationalistic parties may be
less enthusiastic.

However, we felt that existing           02_WEST KOWLOON
institutions in an area would            03_AUSTIN                      04_FO TAN
create a favorable climate for
more educational institutional
development.                                      District Council Seat Distribution
                                                           Who holds the power?
DAB MAJORITY OR PLURALITY: -1            01_KAI TAK                     05_TUEN MUN
OTHER PARTIES: 0 or as evaluated
EXISTING UNIVERSITIES OR
COLLEGES ALREADY IN AREA: +1




                                                                                    reputation - political climate
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS



f4. Crime - 10%
f5. Fire Station Proximity - 10%
f6. Police Proximity - 10%
f7. Elevation from sea level - 6%
(safety and aesthetic)

A large part of our analysis deals
with the perceived and actual safety
of the site for the users.

Crime statistics are currently being
obtained. For the current decision
matrix, crime stats were considered
equal across the board for each
neighborhood until we can get
further data.
                                                        Example: Tuen Mun
Proximity by road to edge of site:
0 to 500 m = +2
                                               1.5 km to nearest firehall (0)
500 m to 1 km = +1
1 km to 1.5 km = 0
                                                   1 km to police station (0)
1.5 km to 2 km = -1                              60 m above sea level (+2)
2 km or more = -2                                                       -----
                                                            Total Score: +2
Elevation parameters:
0 to 10 m above sea level: -2                                (Crime data not
10 to 30 m above sea level: -1                                 available yet)
30 to 50 m above sea level: 0
50 m and above: +2
Protected by West Kowloon Typhoon
Shelter: +1 (special case)




                                                          reputation - safety
04_FINAL DECISION MATRIX WITH NUMERICAL RESULTS




                  Current Weighting:

                  Economic                              20%

                  Transportation                        20%

                  Construction                          15%

                  Parks & Zoning                        10%

                  Environment & Sustainability          15%


                  Politics & Neighborhood Feasibility   20%




                                                              final decision matrix
04_FINAL DECISION MATRIX WITH NUMERICAL RESULTS




              Economic   Transportation   Construction   Parks &   Environment &    Political &            Total
                                                         Zoning    Sustainability   Neighborhood
                                                                                    Feasibility

Kai Tak       3.33       3                4.3            2         2.5              3.3                    3.1
Airport

West          3.33       4.6              3.7            2.3       2                3.8                    3.4
Kowloon

Austin        3.33       4.1              3.1            2.2       1                4.1                    3.1

Fo Tan        4          3.7              3              3         5                2.3                    3.5

Tuen Mun      4          2.1              3              4         4.1              2.3                    3.1




                                                                                                   final decision matrix
05_SELECTED SITE INTRODUCTION


WEST KOWLOON, KOWLOON
05_SELECTED SITE INTRODUCTION


WEST KOWLOON, KOWLOON
- highly urbanised area
- waterfront proximity
- well-integrated in the city
06_SUSTAINABILITY REPORT

˝THE ABILITY TO MEET NEEDS OF THE PRESENT
WITHOUT COMPROMISING THE ABILITY OF
FUTURE GENERATIONS TO MEET THEIR NEEDS.˝



GENERAL SUSTAINABILITY DIRECTIONS IN
HONG KONG:
- HK has set its sights on raising Hong Kong people's
quality of life and improving the environment
- because of HK's hilly terrain and attempt to preserve
natural areas, it is crucial that each new intervention is
deliberately sustainable.

- We must be mindful of all three aspects: economy,
ecology and social responsibility

- there are many technologies, planning schemes and
strategic proposals being reviewed in HK, covering
many aspects of sustainability (pollution, recycling,
energy efficiency, environmental assessments, social
development...)




                                                             sustainability
06_SUSTAINABILITY REPORT

Good land use: preserving a healthy balance between built environments and natural environments
(perserving natural values, avoiding deforestation,...)

Good urban planning: includes efficient transportation (especially mass transit, bicycle system) systems and efficient
infrastructure systems – laid out to minimize consumption, waste, and pollution during use. Sustainable buildings are long-
lasting, attractive, no larger than necessary, adaptable to other uses in the future, efficient in the use of resources (energy
and materials – including recycling at the end of service life), and well-fitted to
needs, surroundings, and society.

Economic soundness: feasible, affordable, attractive, and economically rewarding building practices, providing long-term
benefits

Environmental stewardship: conserving material and energy resources, favoring renewable and recyclable resources,
preferring less energy-intensive materials, minimizing waste, preserving undeveloped land as a natural resource, and
avoiding the pollution of land, water, and air

Waste manegement:collect, recycle, treat and dispose waste / providing waste management facilities, because local
landfills are rapidly running out of space




                                                                                                               sustainability

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Team HK: Package 2

  • 1. PACKAGE 2: SITE DECISION GLOBAL URBAN DESIGN COURSE - STANFORD TECHNOLOGY CAMPUS IN HONG KONG PROPOSAL students: Andy Li Sam Wright Theodore Lim Jakob Lozej Dominik Košak mentors: Derek Ouyang Sinan Mihelčič
  • 2. 00_CONTENT 01_PROPOSED SITES MAP 02_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA AND SUB-CRITERIA 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS a. economic b. transportation c. construction d. parks and zoning e. environment and sustainability f. politics & neighborhood feasibility 04_FINAL DECISION MATRIX WITH NUMERICAL RESULTS 05_SELECTED SITE INTRODUCTION 06_SUSTAINABILITY REPORT
  • 3. 01_PROPOSED SITES MAP 01_KAI TAK AIRPORT, KOWLOON 02_WEST KOWLOON, KOWLOON N A 03_AUSTIN, KOWLOON 04_FO TAN, NEW H I TERRITORIES 05_TUEN MUN, NEW TERRITORIES C
  • 4. 01_PROPOSED SITES MAP 01_KAI TAK AIRPORT, KOWLOON 02_WEST KOWLOON, KOWLOON 03_AUSTIN, KOWLOON 04_FO TAN, NEW TERRITORIES 05_TUEN MUN, NEW TERRITORIES
  • 8. 04_FO TAN, NEW TERRITORIES
  • 9. 05_TUEN MUN, NEW TERRITORIES
  • 10. 02_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA AND SUB-CRITERIA a. Economic - 20 % a1. construction cost - 33,3 % a2. land prices - 33,3 % a3. financial feasibility - 33,3 % b. Transportation - 20 % b1. Travel Time to Airport - 5% b2. Travel Time to Downtown HK - 15% b3. Travel Time to China Mainland Travel Hub - 5% b4. Distance to Closest MTR station - 30% b5. Frequency of MTR Trains - 15% b6. Number of MTR Lines near the Site - 30% c. Construction - 15 % c1. existing infrastructure (water 33,3%, electricity 33,3%, roads 33,3%) - 30 % c2. land quality - 25 % c3. typhoon flooding danger - 10 % c4. landslide danger - 10 % c5. casting shadows - 10 % c6. traffic noise - 15 % d. Parks and zoning - 10 % - subcriteria 1 + percentage for each - subcriteria 2... e. Environment and sustainability - 15 % - subcriteria 1 + percentage for each - subcriteria 2... f. Politics & neighborhood feasibility - 20 % f1. Survey Results - 40% f2. Existing Site Conditions - 20% f3. Political Climate - 4% f4. Crime Rate - 10% f5. Distance to nearest fire station - 15% f6. Distance to nearest police station - 10% f7. Elevation above sea level - 1% f8. Density - intensity factor
  • 11. 02_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA AND SUB-CRITERIA Decision matrix explanation: - each criteria and sub-criteria is evaluated in 1-5 tier system (1 - worst, 5 - best) - each sub-criteria is differently weighted, based on the importance of the subject - all provided data is objective and was found on the Internet or other authentic sources - decision matrix also includes subjective data, provided by the locals
  • 12. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Five locations are distributed into two groups, based on the similar prices; West Kowloon and New Territories. a1. CONSTRUCTION COSTS Due to the fact of our search for a larger amount of land and the fact that profit is already included in the price of facilities, this prices are certainly exaggerated, but is hard to say how much, although the relationship between prices in Kowloon and New Territories should remain the same. Low prices=5 High prices=1 economic
  • 13. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS a2. LAND PRICES Some recent articles on the internet claim that some companies bought very large amounts of land in Kowloon and the price was between 1600 and 2000 USD per square meter. Another article metioned the price per squre meter in Tuen Mun which is situated in the area of the New Territories and it is around 600 USD. The next step will be to send an email to real estate agents and real estate appraisals in order to get the latest available information about the land value. a3. FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY As one of the world's leading international financial centres, Hong Kong has a major capitalist service economy characterised by low taxation and free trade. In order to continue its rapid GDP growth it has to have a strong international educational system. In the year 2009, Hong Kong raised 22 percent of worldwide initial public offering (IPO) capital, making it the largest centre of IPOs in the world and the easiest place to raise capital. Many international companies have the genuine interest to invest in high quality universities to have access to the top personnel and the best knowledge. High possibility of financial feasibility=5 Low possibility of financial feasibility=1 economic
  • 14. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Site / subject Construction Costs Land prices Financial feasibility Weighted total Kai Tak Airport 3 2 5 3,33 Austin 3 2 5 3,33 West Kowloon 3 2 5 3,33 Fo Tan 4 4 4 4 Tuen Mun 4 4 4 4 economic - decision matrix
  • 15. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Transportation - 20% To Airport To To Sub-criteria 1: Travel Time Downtown China Airport - 5%, Downtown - 15%, China - 5% Kai Tak Airport 1 3 4 Formula for Evaluation: West Kowloon 3 5 5 0 - 14 min = 5 15 - 29 min = 4 Austin 2 4 5 30 - 44 min = 3 45 - 59 min = 2 Fo Tan 1 2 3 60+ min = 1 Tuen Mun 1 1 1 Transportation - Travel Time
  • 16. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Sub-criteria 2: Closest MTR Grade Distance to Closest MTR Station - 30% Station (Miles) Formula for Evaluation: Kai Tak Airport 1 2 West Kowloon 1/4 5 0 - 1/4 mile = 5 1/4 mile - 1/2 mile = 4 Austin 1/2 4 1/2 mile - 3/4 mile = 3 3/4 mile - 1 mile = 2 Fo Tan 1/4 5 + 1 mile = 1 Tuen Mun 1 2 1) Kai Tak Airport 2) West Kowloon 3) Austin Going to put map here. 4) Fo Tan 5) Tuen Mun Transportation - Closest MTR Station
  • 17. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Formula for Evaluation: Sub-criteria 3: 4 - 6 min = 5 Frequency of MTR Trains - 15% 6 - 8 min = 4 (Saturday Non-Peak Hours) 8 - 10 min = 3 10 - 12 min = 2 +12 min = 1 Frequency of Grade MTR Trains (min) Kai Tak 4-5 5 Airport West 6-12 3 Kowloon Austin 6-12 3 Fo Tan 4-8 5 Tuen 6-8 4 Mun Transportation - Frequency of MTR
  • 18. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS 1) Kai Tak Airport 2) West Kowloon 3) Austin 4) Fo Tan 5) Tuen Mun Sub-criteria 4: Number of Grade Number of MTR Lines near Site - 30% Lines (Within 1 mile) Kai Tak Airport 2 3 Formula for Evaluation: West Kowloon 4 5 4 lines = 5 3 lines = 4 Austin 4 5 2 lines = 3 1 line = 2 Fo Tan 2 3 0 lines = 1 Tuen Mun 1 2 Transportation - Closest MTR Station
  • 19. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Transportation Matrix - Travel Time to Airport - 5% - Travel Time to Downtown HK - 15% - Travel Time to China Mainland Travel Hub - 5% - Distance to Closest MTR station - 30% - Frequency of MTR Trains - 15% - Number of MTR Lines near the Site - 30% Transportation - Matrix
  • 20. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS c.1 EXISTING INFRASTRUCTURE (water 33,3%, electricity 33,3%, roads 33,3%) - 30 % Each site is examined for existing infrastructure. Formula for evaluation - water (yes=5, needs extension = 3, no=0) Formula for evaluation - electricity (yes=5, needs extension = 3 no=0) Formula for evaluation - roads (no roads=1, one minor road=2, more minor roads=3, minor roads and major road=4, more major and minor roads=5) Site / Water Electricity Roads Weighted total subject Kai Tak 3 3 5 3.66 airport West 3 3 4 3.33 Kowloon Austin 0 0 5 1.66 Fo Tan 0 0 2 0.66 Tuen Mun 0 0 1 0.33 Source: http://www.ozp.tpb.gov.hk/ construction - existing infrastructure
  • 21. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS c2. LAND QUALITY - 25 % 6 % of onshore area in Hong Kong is reclaimed land (granular sediment and rock material) which is considered to be convenient land to build on, however, it demands some special construction interventions (deep foundations, preventing liquefaction,...). In higher parts of HK can be found volcanic rocks and granite which are of medium quality to build on. In addition, there is hilly terrain, so excavations would be credible. Formula for evaluation (poor quality = 1, medium quality = 3, excellent quality=5) Site / subject Soil type Weighted total Kai Tak airport reclaimed land 5 West Kowloon reclaimed land 5 volcanic rocks Austin reclaimed land 5 Fo Tan coarse-grained granite 3 Tuen Mun volcanic rocks, sedimentary rocks 3 coarse-grained granite Source: http://www.cedd.gov.hk/eng/about/organisation/org_geo_pln_map.htm construction - land quality
  • 22. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS A scheme showing pre- and post- land reclamation process. The process of making the reclaimed land. construction - land quality
  • 23. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS c3. TYPHOON FLOODING DANGER - 10 % Floods are most likely to happen in lower parts, just above sea level, while areas above 60 feet are relatively safe. The maximum tide magnitude is ~ 9 feet, while storm surges can reach up to 20 feet. The evaluation is based on area’s height above sea level, Formula for evaluation (areas below 10 feet = 1, areas between 10-20 feet = 2, areas between 20-40 feet = 3, areas between 40-60 feet = 4, areas above 60 feet = 5) Site / subject Height above sea level Weighted total (feet) Kai Tak airport 21 3 West Kowloon 9 1 Austin 16 2 Fo Tan <500 5 Tuen Mun <220 5 Typhoon shelter in West Kowloon. Source: http://www.cityu.edu.hk/gcacic/IGCP588Yim.pdf construction - typhoon flooding danger
  • 24. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Flooding in West Kowloon. construction - typhoon flooding danger
  • 25. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS c4. LANDSLIDE DANGER - 10 % In general, the number of occurrence of landslides is closely related to the rainfall distribution and intensity. Most of the landslides are occured at the slope angle above 26°. We prespuppose that there is more rainfall distibution in upper parts of HK due to orographic precipitation Formula for evaluation (most likely to occur = 1, likely to occur = 3, not likely to occur=5) Site / subject Weighted total Kai Tak airport 5 West Kowloon 5 Austin 5 Fo Tan 3 Tuen Mun 4 Rainfall distribution in HK. Source: http://hkss.cedd.gov.hk/hkss/eng/studies/natural/landslide_fact.htm#Natural Terrain Landsliding http://dusk.geo.orst.edu/buffgis/PDFs/landslide_hazard_geo580.pdf http://www.springerimages.com/Images/Geosciences/1-10.1007_s10346-005-0024-x-10 construction - landslide danger
  • 26. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Fo Tan and Tuen Mun are critical sites regarding landslide danger due to being on a higher level and surrounding incline. Fo Tan ~24% ~13% ~15% Tuen Mun Landslide endangering residental area on HK island. ~34% ~18% construction - landslide danger
  • 27. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Airport, Fo Tan and Tuen Mun sites are not affected by shading from surrounding buildings and terrain, while Austin and West Kowloon sites are in dense urban fabric where there is a lot of casting shadows elements - Visual presentation of casting shadows by surrounding building on West Kowloon site at different hours and months of the year. 21 / 3 21 / 6 23 / 9 9.00 AM 12.00 AM 6.00 PM construction - casting shadows
  • 28. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS - Visual presentation of casting shadows by surrounding buildings on Austin site at different hours and months of the year. 21 / 3 21 / 6 23 / 9 9.00 AM 12.00 AM 6.00 PM construction - casting shadows
  • 29. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS The following is a map published by Hong Kong's Planning Department with the various zones represented in different colors. The insert on the lower right-hand corner shows the average distribution of land usage across Hong Kong. parks and zoning - maps
  • 30. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Kai Tak Airport - Zoning parks and zoning - maps
  • 31. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Kai Tak Airport - Parks parks and zoning - maps
  • 32. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Weset Kowloon - Zoning parks and zoning - maps
  • 33. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS West Kowloon - Parks parks and zoning - maps
  • 34. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Fo Tan - Zoning parks and zoning - maps
  • 35. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Fo Tan - Parks parks and zoning - maps
  • 36. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Tuen Mun - Zoning parks and zoning - maps
  • 37. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Tuen Mun - Parks parks and zoning - maps
  • 38. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Parks and zoning plays an important as it tends to define the lifestyle of the student. Ultimately, we decided that the type of area was not as important as the impact a university campus would make on the nearby area. In addition, creating the lifestyle we wanted the students to have was more of a design challenge than a barrier we were simply going to accept. Site / subject measurement % Park Space % Park Space Official Land Utilization Distance o Edge of City (m) Distance to shore 1 mile radius 5 mile radius Kai Tak airport 0 2.1 Residential 2500 m 0m West Kowloon 4.8 5.1 Commercial 6500 m 200 m Austin 4.9 4.8 Vacant 7000 m 250 m Fo Tan 18.2% 16.0% Open Space 500 m 8500 m Tuen Mun 15.3% 14.9% Commercial 500 m 6700 m % of Total 20% 30% N/A 30% 20% parks and zoning - summary
  • 39. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Tuen Mun - Parks environment - maps
  • 40. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS Environment Report: In light of the usually sunny days in California, air pollution in Hong Kong is considered a serious problem. In most cases, visitbility is less than eight kilometers for 30% of the year. The importance of the economic report, however, is limited because one area of Hong Kong will not vary much from another. In the end, we decided air quality was indeed important, giving it a weight factor of 15% Site / subject measurement H2O2/HNO3 (Ave. 2007) O3 Concentration (Ave. 2007) Kai Tak Airport 22.4 330 micrograms/cubic meter West Kowloon 19.5 290 Austin 27.4 320 Fo Tan 8.8 200 Tuen Mun 16.2 250 % Total 60% 40% environment - maps
  • 41. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS REPUTATION, COMMUNITY AND POLITICAL SUPPORT covers: - Survey Results - Local Party Policies - Cultural, Historical, and Community Significance of Site - Perceived and Real Safety reputation - overview
  • 42. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS f1. Survey Results - 40% We considered the survey to be the most important factor in determining the political and neighborhood feasibility of the sites. Locals are much more knowledgeable then we are with regards to the important intangibles of a site, such as the atmosphere, culture, and safety, and so we weighted responses heavily. We received 20 responses from residents and other people who are familiar with Hong Kong. reputation - survey
  • 43. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS 01_KAI TAK AIRPORT 03_AUSTIN f2. Existing Site Conditions - 20% BROWNFIELD BROWNFIELD What cultural or historical importance does the current site hold in the neighbourhood? Is it an eyesore such as a brownfield, or a sacrosanct area, such as a pristine forest? Would a Stanford campus be seen in the community as an improvement or a blight to the area? 02_WEST KOWLOON 04_FO TAN BROWNFIELD +2 BROWNFIELD-WATERFRONT PRISTINE FOREST WATERFRONT -1 PRISTINE FOREST -2 05_TUEN MEN PRISTINE FOREST reputation - existing site conditions
  • 44. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS f3. Political Climate - 4% A small factor in our decision- making is the political will of the local representatives in power in the district. Most parties in Hong Kong are supportive of development, but we felt that fiscally conservative and more nationalistic parties may be less enthusiastic. However, we felt that existing 02_WEST KOWLOON institutions in an area would 03_AUSTIN 04_FO TAN create a favorable climate for more educational institutional development. District Council Seat Distribution Who holds the power? DAB MAJORITY OR PLURALITY: -1 01_KAI TAK 05_TUEN MUN OTHER PARTIES: 0 or as evaluated EXISTING UNIVERSITIES OR COLLEGES ALREADY IN AREA: +1 reputation - political climate
  • 45. 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS f4. Crime - 10% f5. Fire Station Proximity - 10% f6. Police Proximity - 10% f7. Elevation from sea level - 6% (safety and aesthetic) A large part of our analysis deals with the perceived and actual safety of the site for the users. Crime statistics are currently being obtained. For the current decision matrix, crime stats were considered equal across the board for each neighborhood until we can get further data. Example: Tuen Mun Proximity by road to edge of site: 0 to 500 m = +2 1.5 km to nearest firehall (0) 500 m to 1 km = +1 1 km to 1.5 km = 0 1 km to police station (0) 1.5 km to 2 km = -1 60 m above sea level (+2) 2 km or more = -2 ----- Total Score: +2 Elevation parameters: 0 to 10 m above sea level: -2 (Crime data not 10 to 30 m above sea level: -1 available yet) 30 to 50 m above sea level: 0 50 m and above: +2 Protected by West Kowloon Typhoon Shelter: +1 (special case) reputation - safety
  • 46. 04_FINAL DECISION MATRIX WITH NUMERICAL RESULTS Current Weighting: Economic 20% Transportation 20% Construction 15% Parks & Zoning 10% Environment & Sustainability 15% Politics & Neighborhood Feasibility 20% final decision matrix
  • 47. 04_FINAL DECISION MATRIX WITH NUMERICAL RESULTS Economic Transportation Construction Parks & Environment & Political & Total Zoning Sustainability Neighborhood Feasibility Kai Tak 3.33 3 4.3 2 2.5 3.3 3.1 Airport West 3.33 4.6 3.7 2.3 2 3.8 3.4 Kowloon Austin 3.33 4.1 3.1 2.2 1 4.1 3.1 Fo Tan 4 3.7 3 3 5 2.3 3.5 Tuen Mun 4 2.1 3 4 4.1 2.3 3.1 final decision matrix
  • 49. 05_SELECTED SITE INTRODUCTION WEST KOWLOON, KOWLOON - highly urbanised area - waterfront proximity - well-integrated in the city
  • 50. 06_SUSTAINABILITY REPORT ˝THE ABILITY TO MEET NEEDS OF THE PRESENT WITHOUT COMPROMISING THE ABILITY OF FUTURE GENERATIONS TO MEET THEIR NEEDS.˝ GENERAL SUSTAINABILITY DIRECTIONS IN HONG KONG: - HK has set its sights on raising Hong Kong people's quality of life and improving the environment - because of HK's hilly terrain and attempt to preserve natural areas, it is crucial that each new intervention is deliberately sustainable. - We must be mindful of all three aspects: economy, ecology and social responsibility - there are many technologies, planning schemes and strategic proposals being reviewed in HK, covering many aspects of sustainability (pollution, recycling, energy efficiency, environmental assessments, social development...) sustainability
  • 51. 06_SUSTAINABILITY REPORT Good land use: preserving a healthy balance between built environments and natural environments (perserving natural values, avoiding deforestation,...) Good urban planning: includes efficient transportation (especially mass transit, bicycle system) systems and efficient infrastructure systems – laid out to minimize consumption, waste, and pollution during use. Sustainable buildings are long- lasting, attractive, no larger than necessary, adaptable to other uses in the future, efficient in the use of resources (energy and materials – including recycling at the end of service life), and well-fitted to needs, surroundings, and society. Economic soundness: feasible, affordable, attractive, and economically rewarding building practices, providing long-term benefits Environmental stewardship: conserving material and energy resources, favoring renewable and recyclable resources, preferring less energy-intensive materials, minimizing waste, preserving undeveloped land as a natural resource, and avoiding the pollution of land, water, and air Waste manegement:collect, recycle, treat and dispose waste / providing waste management facilities, because local landfills are rapidly running out of space sustainability