1. New Zealand
ICT
Tertiary Education & Job Series
July 2011
garry.roberton@wintec.ac.nz
Note:
Indicates
new/significant
change
2. Insights
Enrolments & Completions:
for the tertiary sector (ITPs, PTEs & Universities)
Diploma & degree EFTS enrolments are increasing
Diploma completions are increasing
Degree completions are decreasing
Jobs:
for the month of July
Auckland experienced a 5% increase in Seek ICT job
adverts
Waikato experienced a 14% increase in Seek ICT job
adverts
Overall all NZ ICT jobs advertised on Seek rose 4%
[Trademe increased just 0.6%]
3. Tertiary Sector ICT Enrolment Trends
[Domestic & International]
2003 to 2009
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
EFTS
Diplomas & Degrees
Combined
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Year
Tertiary sector ICT EFTS (Equivalent Full Time Student) enrolments:
Decreased by 39% between 2003 and 2007
Increased by 20% between 2007 and 2009
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
4. Institutes of Technology & Polytechnics (ITP)
ICT Enrolment Trends
(Certificates, Diplomas & Degree EFTS)
2002 to 2011
4,500
4,000
3,500
Increase
3,000 of 10% for
2011
2,500 estimated
EFTS
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
ITP/Polytechnic sector ICT EFTS enrolments (Based on data collected by )
Decreased by 49% between 2002 and 2007
Increased by 45% between 2007 and *2011 (Still 1000 fewer EFTS
enrolments in 2011 than in 2002)
*Based on an estimated increase of 10% for the 2011 year
5. CRA Taulbee Survey
Total enrollments among U.S. computer science undergraduates
increased 10 percent in 2010
Third straight year of increases in total enrollment
Indicates that the post “dot-com crash” decline in undergraduate
computing program enrollments is over.
Source: – April 2011
6. Tertiary Sector ICT Diploma Completion Trends
[Domestic & International]
2004 to 2009
2009
2008
Total
2007 International
Domestic
2006
2005
2004
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
Students Completing
Between 2007 and 2009 diploma completions more than doubled
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
7. Tertiary Sector Completion Trends
ICT Bachelor [Domestic & International]
2004 to 2009
2009
2008
Total
2007
International
Domestic
2006
2005
2004
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000
Students Completing
Degree completions:
Decreased 36% from 2004 to 2007 (Tracking falling enrolments)
Continue to decrease (a further 16% from 2007 to 2009)
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
8. IT Job Advertisements
2003 to 2007
IT job vacancies increased by approximately 60% over the same
period [2003 to 2007] that tertiary ICT enrolments declined by
approximately 40%
9. Seek IT Job Trends NZ
2011
3500
3000
2662 2732 3127
2603 2689 3000
2500
2000 1712
1500
1000 Last Year
500
0
Jan Feb
2011 Mar April
2011 2011 May June
2011 2011 July
2011 2011
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
10. Seek ICT Growth in Job Adverts
January - July
2011
120%
100%
80%
Percentage Increase
60%
40%
20%
0%
Auckland Waikato Wellington Canterbury Total NZ
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
11. 2007 Peak ICT Job Adverts NZ
before
recession
Seek & Trademe
3487
3500
3127
3000
3000
2689 2732
2662
2603
2500
2000 Trademe IT
1712 Seek IT
1462 1474 1484
1367 1407 1391
1500 1353
955
1000
500
0
Sept Jan Feb Mar April May June July
2007 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
13. Seek ICT Job Adverts
by Industry Certification
July 2011
Total NZ
Canterbury
Wellington
Waikato
Auckland
0 200 400 600 800 1000
Auckland Waikato Wellington Canterbury Total NZ
Microsoft 299 10 138 72 547
Cisco 174 4 86 27 310
Linux 556 15 243 64 901
Wellington has the only significant monthly increase of 7% across all 3 categories
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
14. Seek ICT Job Adverts by
Programming Language
July 2011
Total NZ
Canterbury
Wellington
Waikato
Auckland
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Auckland Waikato Wellington Canterbury Total NZ
PHP 393 12 156 38 608
C# 153 5 64 29 257
.NET 187 7 89 45 337
Java 425 10 169 46 657
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
15. Comment on Seek ICT Job Adverts by
Programming language
Auckland:
Experienced a 25% monthly increase in job adverts filtered on PHP
Experienced a 10% monthly increase in job adverts filtered on Java
Experienced an increase of 8% for the month across all 4 categories
Wellington:
Experienced an decrease of 5% for the month across all 4
categories
Christchurch:
Experienced an decrease of 20% for the month across all 4
categories
Seek ICT NZ Job Adverts
PHP & Java Comparison
July 2011
608 Java
657 PHP
16. News Bytes
Australia: Information Technology Contract and Recruitment Association
(ITCRA) (May 2011):
On the cusp of an employment skills shortage in the ICT sector
The group's inaugural Skillsmatch ICT Skills Dashboard revealed;
An average of 26.3 days taken to hire a new ICT employee, an
increase of six days in the past year
In the same period, the number of suitable candidates for each
role has decreased from 7.7 candidates to 6.8 candidates
The top five skills employers and recruiters are requesting are;
Help desk experience
Project management
Java
SQL
Windows
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
17. News Bytes
ComputerWorld: Hiring process lengthening in tighter market
Good quality candidates are getting harder to source, survey finds
[By David Watson | Auckland | Thursday, 23 June, 2011]
managing director Josh Comrie;
“The market today is one that has very much gone back to the one last seen
in 2007”.................“It is candidate-short.”
In-demand skill sets include senior network design, infrastructure design
and software design roles - “It is the architecture roles.”
C# and Java developers are also in demand and the Flash Flex development
toolset is also “becoming very popular”
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
18. Conclusion:
CS/ICT undergraduate enrolment trends in NZ mirror those in
the USA
NZ ICT jobs advertised on Seek up 32% on this time last year
The July 2011 Seek ICT job advert figure of 3,127 is only 10%
below the peak of 3,487 in September 2007 (Prior to the
recession)
NZ ICT job numbers advertised on Trademe consistently
above the September 2007 peak from February 2011
CS/ICT completion rates in NZ are not keeping pace with job
vacancies – the skills gap is increasing, once again
If you have an interest in a specific ICT job category please
contact