Keynote by Danny Dorling at the 'Housing Privatisation, 30 Years On: Time for a Critical Re-appraisal' conference, University of Leeds, July 27th 2010.
Influencing policy (training slides from Fast Track Impact)
The Right-to-Sell - a National Housing Service?
1. The Right-to-Sell – a National Housing Service? Danny Dorling – University of Sheffield /18 Housing Privatisation, 30 Years On: University of Leeds Time for a Critical Re-appraisal 27 th of July 2010 National Health Service National Education Service Council Housing (when we were More unequal) Polarisation in Voting (proportion of Tory voters Who have to move home to get an even spread) HE ?
2.
3.
4.
5.
6. Inequalities in health – latest figures by area (district gap) /18 Gap in years between the average life expectancy in the worse-off district of Britain and the best-off, al, women, men, Source: ONS various years When the latest figures were released on 21 October 2009 at 9:30 am, for the First time in many years the BBC chose not to report the rise. Instead it lead with “Swine flu vaccination under way” and then “Big variation in life expectancy ”. The ONS press release was titled “Life expectancy continues to rise”.
7. We need to recognise where we are now – in a kind of denial /18 Consider the predictions of the IMF for public sector deficits and fiscal stimulus plans in 2007-2010. Then consider the geography of the rise in unemployment in the United States from 2004 onwards. There is no inevitability that inequality will rise or fall from now-on. It would be in the direct interests of at least 95% of people for it to fall, but that is no guarantee. One great change 1928-2009 is how much more dependent the UK now is on the USA so it is worth looking at the US.
8. /18 28/07/10 Architektur und Stadt in der Finanzkrise - Kartografie des Finanzmarktes (Thanks to Benjamin Hennig, University of Sheffield!)
12. /18 See www.shef.ac.uk/sasi or www.worldmapper.org
13. The USA is in by far the worse post-war bust – it is expected to hit the UK soon http://i.bnet.com/blogs/long-term-unemployment-bls-chart.gif http://www.economicgreenfield.com/tag/unemployment/ /18 4.5% today
14. The crash: US mortgage debt, 1977–2009 (% change and US$ billion) /18 Source: US federal reserve – for details see http://www.sasi.group.shef.ac.uk/injustice/files/Figure24.xls
15. Anatomy of a bubble /18 From “Housing booms, busts and taxes” – slides by Toby Lloyd You are here “ I still remain fairly pessimistic for the UK housing market. The worry is that prices will start to turn down again in 2010. I fully expect a peak-to-trough drop of at least a third when all is said and done. So why am I wrong? “ From: House prices will soon fall again David Blanchflower Published 28 January 2010 http://www.newstatesman.com/economy/2010/02/lower-prices-market-houses
16. First time buyer negative equity: The image almost 18 years ago /18 http://sasi.group.shef.ac.uk/publications/1994/dorling_negative_equity_map_1994.pdf
Only Sky reported the rise: http://news.sky.com/skynews/Home/UK-News/Life-Expectancy-Inequality-Persists-Across-The-UK-New-ONS-Figures-Reveal/Article/200910315410543