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THEHALIFAXINDEX
                An economic gut check with insights for action




PRESENTED BY:
WHY THE HALIFAX INDEX?
AGREATERHalifax, the 2011-16 economic strategy for Halifax, is about two fundamental things:


•	      Helping to build better lives for the people who live and work here; and

•	      Aligning our resources and efforts to make our city a place where more people want to live and work in the future.

The strategy’s focus is on building vibrant communities and a competitive business environment; creating confidence and
pride in the things Halifax does well; building a welcoming and inclusive environment for underrepresented groups; and
focusing on quality of place. As such, a more comprehensive, aligned annual measurement tool is required to match its vision.

This measurement tool is the Halifax Index. Its main sections – “People,” “Economy,” “Quality of Place,” and “Sustainability”
– reflect a wide-angled view of what economic and community progress looks like. It is meant to provide deep insight into
the community and to allow for course corrections as Halifax moves along the path toward its vision. It is not meant to be a
pass/fail exercise or to point fingers.

The Halifax Index is about sharing timely and relevant information in a useful way. It informs and poses key questions
intended to stimulate productive discussion on the issues towards achieving the goals of AGREATERHalifax. This document
is a summary of the Halifax Index. It also reports on progress towards each of the goal areas in AGREATERHalifax –
regional centre, business climate, talent, international brand and maximize growth opportunities.

Halifax has a level of opportunity in front of it on a scale never seen before. Grasping a full measure of opportunity means
people and businesses will need to make important decisions soon. Maximizing benefits means making the right decisions
now, and making good decisions requires good information. That’s what The Halifax Index is all about: providing the insights
and knowledge people need to take effective action.

To download the complete Halifax Index, or to get involved visit HALIFAXINDEX .com.




     SPONSORED BY:

     Gold Sponsors




     Silver Sponsors




     Bronze Sponsors




                                       WHAT WILL SUCCESS LOOK LIKE?
REGIONAL CENTRE                                                                             ECONOMIC STRATEGY

GOAL:
Build a vibrant and attractive Regional Centre that attracts $1.5 billion of private investment and 8,000 more residents.


PROGRESS TO DATE:
•	   Regional Plan Review and prioritized Centre Plan processes are underway. HRMbyDesign being implemented.
     Seven projects approved.
•	   Strategic Urban Partnership (SUP) formed, fundraising now for transition to a paid centre.
•	   Defined regional 5-year $50M capital improvement and prioritized plan.
•	   Momentum is building for development downtown e.g. convention centre, library, RBC Waterside Centre, King’s Wharf.



MEASUREMENTS:                                                                       NUMBER OF PERMITS AND VALUE,
                                                                                       REGIONAL CENTRE AND
Increased building permits in the Regional Centre.
                                                                                      RESIDUAL HRM, 2006-2011
•	   Lackluster Regional Centre investment figures indicate
     challenges; suggests a late start in meeting Regional Plan targets.

More private investment in Regional Centre ($1.5 billion)
                                                                                                           34,399
                                                                                                        6,9




                                                                                                                       $7
                                                                                                    6
•	   Significant increases in private investment required to meet                                           Value




                                                                                                $1,7




                                                                                                                         99,747,327
     targets. Shipbuilding win may provide a stable base to improve on                                   of Permits
     current trends.


Regional Centre population growth
                                                                                                     2,747 1,919
•	   Low population growth in Regional Centre is challenging despite
     reversal of 20 year trend of decline.                                                              # of Permits
•	   Majority of new residents and 1/3 of residents who move end up
     in the Regional Centre.
                                                                                                         Regional Centre
•	   Demographic analysis shows government planning policies are                                          Rest of HRM
     needed to encourage density.
                                                                                               Source: HRM Planning Services




             POPULATION IN REGIONAL CENTRE AND RESIDUAL HRM, 2006 AND 2011


              98,909                        291,187

              97,077                        275,602

                       Regional Centre                Rest of HRM                           Source: Statistics Canada Census




WHAT’S NEXT?

•	   Implement HRM’s Centre Plan and recommended enhancements to the Regional Plan.
•	   Make changes to provincial legislation to allow density bonusing and measures to advance sustainable
     and affordable development.




                                         MORE BUSINESSES, MORE PEOPLE                                                                 2
BUSINESS CLIMATE                                                                                                               ECONOMIC STRATEGY

       GOAL:
       Promote a business climate that drives and sustains growth by improving competitiveness and by leveraging our strengths.


       PROGRESS TO DATE:
       •	       Proposal underway to study the impact of commercial taxation on the urban core.
       •	       Chamber Roundtable on Taxation is ongoing.
       •	       Provincial capital tax eliminated as of July 1, 2012.
       •	       Project plans developed for tax discussion paper and analysis to reduce regulatory burden.



       MEASUREMENTS:                                                                                                           RATING OF HALIFAX AS
                                                                                                                              A PLACE TO DO BUSINESS
       Construction approval speed
                                                                                                                                              65%
       •	       Gradual improvement in building permit timelines.

       •	       One-window approach in development at HRM; should lead to
                further efficiencies.
                                                                                                                                 15%                      16%
       Perception of business climate                                                                                                                                      5%

       •	       Greater Halifax Partnership’s research shows business                                                        Above        Just          Below        Don’t Know/
                confidence remains the same; new businesses are more                                                        Average      Average       Average        No Answer
                confident than older ones. Majority surveyed predicting
                sales increases and additional hiring.                                                                                 April 2012                August 2011
       •	       Only 15% believe Halifax is an above average place to do                                               * Numbers may add up to more than 100% due to rounding.
                business, down from 23% in 2011.                                                                                 Source: GHP Business Confidence Survey




     INVESTMENT IN NON-RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION,                                                                       Competitive public investment
                       000s, 2011
                                                                                                                       •	     Recently has become lower than all
                                         $187,118         $403,420                                                            of Halifax’s benchmark cities.

                                                                                                                       •	     Fluctuates widely and irregularly,
 $80,314                                                                        $93,346          $163,255                     irrespective of economic trends.
                     $107,963

$304,369             $213,622            $631,194         $381,194              $331,987         $264,328
                                                                                                                       Competitive business tax burden

           Halifax          St. John’s          Quebec               London            Regina               Victoria   •	     Commercial taxes at municipal level
                                                 City                                                                         are increasing slower than inflation.
                                                 Industrial and Commercial                                             •	     Total corporate income taxes are
                                               Institutional and Governmental                                                 highest when compared to Canadian
                                               Source: Statistics Canada
                                                                                                                              cities but lower than American ones.

                                                                                                                       •	     Provincial capital tax eliminated as of
                                                                                                                              July 1, 2012.
              CORPORATE TAX PAYABLE AS A PERCENTAGE
                 OF GROSS PROFIT, BUSINESSES, 2011

            Boston (MA)                                                                                40.4%
                                                                                                                       WHAT’S NEXT?
            Raleigh (NC)                                                                              39.5%
                                                                                                                       •	     Halifax Chamber Roundtable to
            Seattle (WA)                                                                        35%
                                                                                                                              provide direction on tax priorities.
           Halifax (NS)                                                                31%
                                                                                                                       •	     Complete tax discussion paper and
            Regina (SK)                                                         28.8%
                                                                                                                              communicate findings.
       St. John’s (NL)                                                          28.8%
                                                                                                                       •	     Implement recommendations of
      Saskatoon (SK)                                                          27%
                                                                                                                              commercial tax and locations decisions
           Montreal (QC)                                                 26.9%                                                study.
     Quebec City (QC)                                                    26.9%
                                                                                                                       •	     Develop strategy to address gaps in
            Toronto (ON)                                                  26%                                                 general tax competitiveness.
            London (ON)                                                   26%
                                                                                                                       •	     Clarify top regulatory issues facing
      Vancouver (BC)                                                    25%
                                                                                                                              business.
            Victoria (BC)                                               25%                Source: fdi intelligence




 3                   LARGER LABOUR FORCE RESPONSIVE TO BUSINESS REQUIREMENTS
TALENT                                                                                                          ECONOMIC STRATEGY

 GOAL:
 Create a welcoming community where the world’s talent can find great opportunities, engaged employers and resources for
 career advancement.

 PROGRESS TO DATE:
 •	   Greater Halifax Partnership’s Connector Program has been expanded to include young and emerging talent.
 •	   Nova Scotia’s Workforce Strategy has been developed to address a shrinking workforce and to help Nova Scotians
      acquire the right skills for good jobs.
 •	   Provincial retention of immigrants has improved significantly.
 •	   Expanded foreign-credential recognition efforts are underway.


 ISSUES DEFINED:                                                INTERNATIONAL IMMIGRANTS TO ATLANTIC CANADIAN CITIES
 •	   Enhancing foreign credential                              3000
      recognition.                                              2500
                                                                                                                                                        2011
 •	   Creating a welcoming community.                           2000                                                                                    2010
                                                                                                                                                        2009
 •	   Improving the HR competitive                              1500                                                                                    2008
      advantage in small and medium-                            1000
                                                                                                                                                        2007
      sized enterprises.
                                                                500


 MEASUREMENTS:                                                         Halifax   St. John’s   Charlottetown      Fredericton       Saint John           Moncton
                                                                                                              Source: Citizenship and Immigration Canada

 Attraction and retention of
 immigrants and students
                                                                                      INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS PRESENT AND
 •	   National in-migration has dropped;
                                                                                      TRANSITIONS FROM TEMPORARY STUDENT
      immigrants are heading for high growth cities.
                                                                                         TO PERMANENT RESIDENT, 2005-09
 •	   Halifax attracts well above average numbers of                                                                           13,546
      international students.
 •	   International student retention low but remains
                                                                                                                                                6,504
      Halifax’s biggest immigrant opportunity.
                                                                                               2,770           1,291
                                                                                                                                        823             856
 Employer attitudes                                                                                    296             373

 •	   Greater Halifax Partnership’s research shows positive                                   Newfoundland       Prince           Nova              New
      attitudes and interest in hiring skilled immigrants.                                    and Labrador       Edward           Scotia         Brunswick
                                                                                                                  Island
 •	   Benchmarking of employer attitudes toward young
      and emerging talent has been completed.                                                          International Students Present
                                                                                                       Transitions from Temporary Student to Permanent Resident
 •	   Availability and quality of labour is a top business
                                                                                                   Source: Citizenship and Immigration Canada
      concern, but businesses are not too worried yet.



                                                                                 Perception of Halifax as a great place to live and work
  SENSE OF BELONGING TO THE LOCAL
COMMUNITY, SOMEWHAT OR VERY STRONG                                               •	    Quality of life is very high in Halifax in comparison to
                                                                                       benchmark cities.
                                                                                 •	    Vast majority of residents feel safe and satisfied with life.
                                                                                 •	    Majority feel healthy and active, with a higher share of
        66.3               77.6                      58.4
                                                                                       active residents than most benchmark cities.
        Halifax           St. John’s               Quebec City
                                                                                 •	    Sense of belonging and low social capital remains a hurdle
                                                                                       for talent attraction/retention.



                                                                                 WHAT’S NEXT?
        68.1               70.8                       67.0
        London             Regina                    Victoria                    •	    Make Halifax a more welcoming community; engage with
                                                                                       all population growth areas – young and emerging talent,
                                       Source: Statistics Canada                       immigrants, international students and others.




                        SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC GROWTH/ACTIVITY (GDP)                                                                                                4
INTERNATIONAL BRAND                                                                                      ECONOMIC STRATEGY

    GOAL:

    Create a unique, international city brand for Halifax.


    PROGRESS TO DATE:

    •	       Background research has been completed, including:

             •	     A compilation of existing Halifax brand research, including an assessment of existing stakeholders and
             	      current marketers.

             •	     A review of branding best practices.

             •	     A comprehensive list of Halifax’s functional and emotional benefits.

             •	     Definitions of target audiences.

             •	     Initial benchmarking of local levels of business confidence.


    MEASUREMENTS:

    Business confidence in Halifax

    •	       Local business confidence has been benchmarked.

    •	       Halifax’s advantages include cost competitiveness for businesses, quality of life, and convenient central
             locations of key infrastructure/human resources/market conditions.

    •	       Comparative disadvantages identified are a lack of diversity, regulation, and high overall levels
             of taxation.

    Further indicators will be introduced as brand is developed.



                              HALIFAX BUSINESS CONFIDENCE INDEX


    100
                                                                                                                              The Business
     75                                                                                                                    Confidence Index is
     50                                                                                     38.5                           based on a biannual
                  26.8 25.6      29.0 26.1                31.1 29.9                  29.2          25.9
     25                                                                18.6 20.2                          20.2              survey of business
                                                                                                                            confidence. It is a
         0
                                                                                                                           weighted average of
                   Overall        Halifax                 Dartmouth    Other HRM    New Business    Established
    -25                                                                                                                  local business attitudes
                                                                                    (< 10 years)     Business
    -50                                                                                            (10+ years)           about past, present and
                                                                                                                           future performance.
     -75
                                             April 2012               August 2011
    -100                                                                                                          Source: GHP Business Confidence Survey




    WHAT’S NEXT?

    •	       Secure resources to fund brand development and benchmarking.

    •	       Continuing business confidence surveying.

    •	       Build a team of “Ambassadors” that promote the city’s new international brand.

    •	       Encourage all residents to live the brand!




5                                                              HIGHER AVERAGE INCOME
MAXIMIZE GROWTH
OPPORTUNITIES                                                                                                        ECONOMIC STRATEGY

GOAL:
Capitalize on our best opportunities for economic growth.


PROGRESS TO DATE:
•	        Successful Ships Start Here campaign to rally support for Irving bid. Economic impact analysis complete.
•	        Identification of marine industries cluster as a major opportunity.
•	        First Halifax Index has been completed.
•	        In-depth analysis of growth sectors – aerospace and defence, financial services, ICT and digital technologies, oceans,
          transportation and logistics, and life sciences.
•	        The Halifax Marine Research Institute has been launched.


MEASUREMENTS:

Increased productivity                              REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) PER CAPITA, 2006-2011

•	        Halifax trails benchmark cities
          in GDP per capita and R&D as                                 $33,592           $42,707           $34,519     $34,960        $39,179         $33,879
                                                           2011
          a percentage of GDP.
•	        Business confidence is an
          imperative that Halifax can’t                    2006
                                                                       $31,922           $36,877           $33,097     $37,029        $36,865         $32,616
          overlook. Halifax needs a
          business climate that builds                                 Halifax       St. John’s        Quebec City     London          Regina        Victoria
          confidence and drives more
          investment, hiring, R&D and                                                               Source: The Conference Board of Canada, Statistics Canada
          new product development.

Further indicators will be
developed as this area                                               COMMERCIAL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
progresses.                                                             SPENDING AS A PERCENTAGE OF GDP

                                                                Boston (MA)                                                                     6.97%

                                                                Seattle (WA)                                             4.85%

                                                              Montreal (QC)                         2.61%

                                                           Quebec City (QC)                         2.61%

                                                                Toronto (ON)                       2.37%

                                                                London (ON)                        2.37%

                                                                Raleigh (NC)                       2.36%

                                                             St. John’s (NL)              1.81%

                                                              Halifax (NS)           1.51%

                                                                Victoria (BC)        1.42%

                                                            Vancouver (BC)           1.42%

                                                                 Regina (SK)     0.81%

                                                            Saskatoon (SK)       0.81%                                           Source: fDi intelligence




     WHAT’S NEXT?
     •	    Leverage shipbuilding opportunity.
     •	    Halifax Index: Create stronger economic and community partnerships; strengthen and deepen findings.
     •	    Halifax Gateway: Logistics Park and air route development.
     •	    Competitive Intelligence: Research and act on opportunities and challenges.
     •	    Further a culture of partnership and innovation, and act on opportunities and challenges based on the successful Ships
           Start Here model.




                COST COMPETITIVE AND CONTAGIOUS BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT                                                                                            6
PEOPLE                                                                                                                                                HALIFAX INDEX

    KEY OPPORTUNITY:

    Grow Halifax’s population: Halifax needs more immigrants; increased retention of international students; and more high-
    value jobs for young professionals who want to stay in or return to Halifax. Halifax has the largest population of international
    students and the region’s lowest retention rate; international students are Halifax’s best immigration opportunity.




    INDICATORS:                                                                                                 POPULATION ESTIMATES
                                                                                                                                  761,745
    •	   Now home to over 408,000 people, Halifax’s
         population growth has been strong in                                                                                                  496,941
         comparison to benchmark cities.                                                       408,198
                                                                                                                                                                                360,876
                                                                                                               196,222                                          218,690
    •	   Halifax’s population is aging at comparable
         rates to other benchmark cities. Halifax has
         the second-highest proportion of people at                                          Halifax     St. John’s             Quebec        London            Regina         Victoria
         labour force age (15-64).                                                                                               City
                                                                                                                         2011                            2006
                                                                                                                           Source: Statistics Canada




         ANNUAL MIGRATION ESTIMATES, HALIFAX                                                              •	      Declining international and intraprovincial
                                                                                                                  migration indicate Halifax’s ability to attract
                            1,896                                                                                 new residents has slipped compared to
                                                                                                                  regional cities.
                                                                            1,231
                                                                                                          •	      Halifax is a Smart City. Halifax’s labour force
                                    Interprovincial                                                               education rates are comparatively higher than
            International                                 Intraprovincial                                         most of the benchmark cities.
                                                   -852
                                                                                                          •	      Enrolments in universities are steady and
                                       2010-2011                                                                  showing recent signs of growth. Community
                                       2006-2007                                                                  college enrolments increased 14% from
                             Source: Statistics Canada
                                                                                                                  2006-2011, and graduates provide more
                                                                                                                  skilled labour for the labour market.




    •	   Solid labour force and employment                                                LABOUR FORCE AND EMPLOYMENT GROWTH, 000s
         growth, mixed with relatively strong
         participation (70.3%) and low                                              600
         unemployment (6.2%) rates, indicate
                                                                                                                                442.2 418.6
         the marketplace for talent is currently
                                                                                    400
         in good shape.
                                                                                                                                              266.6 243.0
                                                                                          238.1 223.3
                                                                                                                                                                                   194.3 182.3
                                                                                    200                                                                          128.4 122.2
                                                                                                         112.2 104.7



                                                                                          Halifax        St. John’s         Quebec City        London             Regina           Victoria

                                                                                                                      2011 Labour Force                   2011 Employment
                                                                                                                      2006 Labour Force                   2006 Employment
                                                                                                                            Source: Statistics Canada




7                                   THEHALIFAXINDEX TELLS THE CITY’S STORY –
ECONOMY                                                                                                                       HALIFAX INDEX

KEY CHALLENGE:

Improve the tax and regulatory climate. This presents barriers to business growth and individual success. The tax side
is difficult to address in the short-term given the fiscal challenges faced by cash-strapped governments, but there are few
excuses for poor customer service. Getting regulation and client service right needs to become a priority for all business-
facing organizations.



INDICATORS:
                                                                REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP),
                                                                         2002 $MILLIONS
•	   Halifax has achieved strong GDP
     growth, and its diverse economy                                                             $26,295
     weathered the recession of 2008-09                                                                          $17,373
     relatively unscathed. Growth is                           $13,712                                                                             $12,226
                                                                                $8,380                                              $8,568
     expected to be moderate in 2012.


•	   Halifax’s productivity continues to                      Halifax       St. John’s          Quebec         London              Regina         Victoria
                                                                                                 City
     be an issue, lagging behind other
     benchmark cities.                                                                   2011                              2006

                                                                                 Source: The Conference Board of Canada
•	   Employment growth has fueled
     strong retail and housing markets.

                                                                                  RETAIL SALES PER CAPITA
•	   Both private and public investment in
     construction, particularly in the Regional                                                                                        $21,359
                                                                                  $18,270           $16,596
     Centre, has not kept up to levels seen in                   $16,007
     other cities.                                                                                                  $12,376                            $11,389


•	   Plenty of people are moving through
     the Halifax Gateway (air and cruise
                                                                Halifax        St. John’s           Quebec         London              Regina         Victoria
     passengers). Air, sea and land cargo                                                            City
     are recovering from recessionary dip
     in demand.                                                                             2011                              2006
                                                                                                Source: Statistics Canada

•	   New businesses are more confident
     than existing ones. Improvements in
     business climate will have the biggest
                                                                        VALUE OF BUILDING PERMITS, 000s, 2011
     impact on confidence.
                                                                                             $586,661

•	   Office space development is mostly
                                                                                                              $958,984
     occurring outside the downtown
     core. Downtown office space inventories
     declined between 2006 and 2011
                                                          $272,940
     while peripheral inventories added                                    $158,873                                               $300,042        $221,167
     one million sq. ft. Vacancy rates have
     also increased in the downtown.
                                                          $522,869         $477,812         $1,087,986        $443,636            $352,954        $420,090
                                                                 Halifax        St. John’s           Quebec          London              Regina              Victoria
                                                                                                      City
                                                                                      Residential                           Non-Residential
                                                                                                  Source: Statistics Canada




     THE STRENGTH OF THE ECONOMY, THE HEALTH OF THE COMMUNITY,                                                                                                          8
QUALITY OF PLACE                                                                                                                         HALIFAX INDEX

    KEY OPPORTUNITY:

    Creating a culture of partnership. Halifax’s biggest challenge is simple: the community needs to nurture a culture
    of partnership when tackling every challenge and every opportunity. Halifax needs a community culture that deals with
    issues by engaging in vital business and community partnerships rather than blaming challenges on others and going
    it alone.

    Halifax has to find the tools to maximize the benefits from its natural assets like the harbour, universities, and the
    major projects that are coming along and to create good outcomes for as many as possible. Furthermore, a culture of
    partnership should extend to community development projects. Great examples already exist: Our HRM Alliance, the
    Halifax Marine Research Institute and others.


                                                                           TOTAL CRIME INDEX, CANADA AND BENCHMARK CITIES

    INDICATORS:

    •	         Crime and violent crime indicators                                                                                                    131.4
               show Halifax is reducing crime levels.
                                                                                        96.8       101.9
               Largely, residents feel safe where                                                                                  82.4                                    83.7
               they live and work and businesses are                                                                    56.1
               satisfied with police services.

    •	         Halifax is a relatively healthy and                                   Halifax   St. John’s          Quebec       London             Regina           Victoria
               active city in comparison to its                                                                     City
               benchmark cities.
                                                                                                            2011                       2006
                                                                                                              Source: Statistics Canada




                 EMPLOYMENT IN ARTS, CULTURE
                    AND RECREATION (000s)
                                         13.8

                                                                              11.7
                                                                                                    •	      Over half of Halifax residents in the Regional
                                                                                                            Centre use either public or active transportation to
                                                     8.0                                                    get to work; this is in contrast to only 15% in the
         7.6
                                                                                                            rest of Halifax.


                        3.4                                         3.7                             •	      Halifax is a comparatively expensive city
                                                                                                            with personal income levels in the middle of
                                                                                                            benchmark cities.

    Halifax        St. John’s          Quebec     London          Regina   Victoria
                                        City
                                2011                       2006
                                  Source: Statistics Canada




                                                                                                    PERCENTAGE (12+) SATISFIED OR VERY
                                                                                                          SATISFIED WITH LIFE


    •	     Halifax has a growing arts and culture sector with
           wages increasing at higher-than-average rates.
                                                                                                              93.6                  91.5                       95.7
    •	     Overall life satisfaction is exceptionally high in                                                 Halifax              St. John’s                Quebec City
           Halifax, but this does not translate to a high level of
           community belonging.



                                                                                                              91.3                  92.4                       89.3
                                                                                                              London                Regina                     Victoria


                                                                                                                                                Source: Statistics Canada




9                                        THE SUSTAINABILITY OF THE ENVIRONMENT,
SUSTAINABILITY                                                                                                                                                                              HALIFAX INDEX

   KEY CHALLENGE:

   Grow a healthy Regional Centre. While there has been plenty of commercial space development in Halifax over the last
   few years, 96% of new inventory between 2008 and 2010 was located outside of the urban core. At the same time, vacancy
   rates in the Regional Centre for office space have risen dramatically. This could be an indication that the urban core is at a
   tipping point. Taking action now to ensure the heart of the community is healthy is essential to the well-being of the entire
   city. Meeting population targets for the urban core where civic infrastructure and services already exist are vital to the
   long-term sustainability of Halifax.


                                                                                                                        DENSITY (PERSONS PER KM2), 2006 AND 2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              495.0
   INDICATORS:
                                                                                                                                                       244.8              228.6
   •	       Halifax’s population density is low in                                                                                                                                       178.1
                                                                                                                               71.0                                                                            61.8
            comparison to other benchmark cities;
            increasing density in urban areas is vital to
                                                                                                                            Halifax          St. John’s                 Quebec         London            Regina            Victoria
            ensuring sustainable infrastructure spending.                                                                                                                City

                                                                                                                                                                 2011                            2006
                                                                                                                                                                Source: Statistics Canada Census




   PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION WHO WALKED,
BICYCLED OR TOOK PUBLIC TRANSIT TO WORK, 2006

                                                                                                         16.1%
                   11.1%                                                                                                                          •	           Halifax has the second highest national
 7.7%                                                  8.7%                                                                                                    percentage of people who use public or
                                                                        7.7%                                                                                   active transportation to get to work; use
                                     6.8%                                                7.2%                                                                  of public transportation is increasing.
                                                                                                                                                               Satisfaction with public transit has
 11.0%             11.9%             2.9%             10.2%             6.7%             4.2%            10.2%
                                                                                                                                                               decreased in the past year.
         Canada            Halifax      St. John’s            Quebec           London           Regina           Victoria
                                                               City
                            Public Transit                                 Walked or Bicycled
                                      Source: Statistics Canada Census



                                                                                                                                           AIR QUALITY MEASURES, 2011
                                                                                                                                        (# OF TEST SITES IN PARENTHESES)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 34.37
                                                                                                                                                          30.27


   •	       Halifax’s water and air are among the                                                                                                                                             20.44
            highest quality of benchmark cities and                                                                                                                            15.52
            waste diversion rates are increasing.                                                                                                                                                                                 13.12
            Waste diversion (rather than disposal)                                                                                                8.77
                                                                                                                                      7.18
            is both environmentally friendly and
                                                                                                                                                                                       3.13                               2.27
            cost effective.                                                                                                  1.36                                       1.05                            0.00

                                                                                                                             Halifax (4)      St. John’s (1)              Quebec       London (2)        Regina (1)       Victoria (7)
                                                                                                                                                                          City (6)
                                                                                                                                      Fine Particulate Matter (µg/m3)                                 Ozone (parts per billion)
                                                                                                                                                                    Source: Environment Canada


                       PROPERTY TAX AS A
                   PERCENTAGE OF NOMINAL GDP
                            3.72%             3.82%            3.71%            3.74%           3.64%
          3.49%
                                                                                                                                             •	          The municipality’s fiscal health is in
                                                                                                                                                         excellent shape; an AA- bond rating
          1.26%             1.28%             1.35%            1.29%            1.29%           1.25%                                                    signifies confidence on the global lending
                                                                                                                                                         market. Commercial and overall property
                                                                                                                                                         tax rates have grown at near economic
         2007-08           2008-09           2009-10          2010-11          2011-12      2012-13                                                      growth rates.
                                                                                             (Proj)
                       All Taxes + PILT over GDP                   Commercial + BO Tax over GDP

                              Source: HRM Taxation and Fiscal Policy




                   AND THE PROGRESS OF HALIFAX’S ECONOMIC STRATEGY.                                                                                                                                                                   10
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The Halifax Index 2012 Summary

  • 1. THEHALIFAXINDEX An economic gut check with insights for action PRESENTED BY:
  • 2. WHY THE HALIFAX INDEX? AGREATERHalifax, the 2011-16 economic strategy for Halifax, is about two fundamental things: • Helping to build better lives for the people who live and work here; and • Aligning our resources and efforts to make our city a place where more people want to live and work in the future. The strategy’s focus is on building vibrant communities and a competitive business environment; creating confidence and pride in the things Halifax does well; building a welcoming and inclusive environment for underrepresented groups; and focusing on quality of place. As such, a more comprehensive, aligned annual measurement tool is required to match its vision. This measurement tool is the Halifax Index. Its main sections – “People,” “Economy,” “Quality of Place,” and “Sustainability” – reflect a wide-angled view of what economic and community progress looks like. It is meant to provide deep insight into the community and to allow for course corrections as Halifax moves along the path toward its vision. It is not meant to be a pass/fail exercise or to point fingers. The Halifax Index is about sharing timely and relevant information in a useful way. It informs and poses key questions intended to stimulate productive discussion on the issues towards achieving the goals of AGREATERHalifax. This document is a summary of the Halifax Index. It also reports on progress towards each of the goal areas in AGREATERHalifax – regional centre, business climate, talent, international brand and maximize growth opportunities. Halifax has a level of opportunity in front of it on a scale never seen before. Grasping a full measure of opportunity means people and businesses will need to make important decisions soon. Maximizing benefits means making the right decisions now, and making good decisions requires good information. That’s what The Halifax Index is all about: providing the insights and knowledge people need to take effective action. To download the complete Halifax Index, or to get involved visit HALIFAXINDEX .com. SPONSORED BY: Gold Sponsors Silver Sponsors Bronze Sponsors WHAT WILL SUCCESS LOOK LIKE?
  • 3. REGIONAL CENTRE ECONOMIC STRATEGY GOAL: Build a vibrant and attractive Regional Centre that attracts $1.5 billion of private investment and 8,000 more residents. PROGRESS TO DATE: • Regional Plan Review and prioritized Centre Plan processes are underway. HRMbyDesign being implemented. Seven projects approved. • Strategic Urban Partnership (SUP) formed, fundraising now for transition to a paid centre. • Defined regional 5-year $50M capital improvement and prioritized plan. • Momentum is building for development downtown e.g. convention centre, library, RBC Waterside Centre, King’s Wharf. MEASUREMENTS: NUMBER OF PERMITS AND VALUE, REGIONAL CENTRE AND Increased building permits in the Regional Centre. RESIDUAL HRM, 2006-2011 • Lackluster Regional Centre investment figures indicate challenges; suggests a late start in meeting Regional Plan targets. More private investment in Regional Centre ($1.5 billion) 34,399 6,9 $7 6 • Significant increases in private investment required to meet Value $1,7 99,747,327 targets. Shipbuilding win may provide a stable base to improve on of Permits current trends. Regional Centre population growth 2,747 1,919 • Low population growth in Regional Centre is challenging despite reversal of 20 year trend of decline. # of Permits • Majority of new residents and 1/3 of residents who move end up in the Regional Centre. Regional Centre • Demographic analysis shows government planning policies are Rest of HRM needed to encourage density. Source: HRM Planning Services POPULATION IN REGIONAL CENTRE AND RESIDUAL HRM, 2006 AND 2011 98,909 291,187 97,077 275,602 Regional Centre Rest of HRM Source: Statistics Canada Census WHAT’S NEXT? • Implement HRM’s Centre Plan and recommended enhancements to the Regional Plan. • Make changes to provincial legislation to allow density bonusing and measures to advance sustainable and affordable development. MORE BUSINESSES, MORE PEOPLE 2
  • 4. BUSINESS CLIMATE ECONOMIC STRATEGY GOAL: Promote a business climate that drives and sustains growth by improving competitiveness and by leveraging our strengths. PROGRESS TO DATE: • Proposal underway to study the impact of commercial taxation on the urban core. • Chamber Roundtable on Taxation is ongoing. • Provincial capital tax eliminated as of July 1, 2012. • Project plans developed for tax discussion paper and analysis to reduce regulatory burden. MEASUREMENTS: RATING OF HALIFAX AS A PLACE TO DO BUSINESS Construction approval speed 65% • Gradual improvement in building permit timelines. • One-window approach in development at HRM; should lead to further efficiencies. 15% 16% Perception of business climate 5% • Greater Halifax Partnership’s research shows business Above Just Below Don’t Know/ confidence remains the same; new businesses are more Average Average Average No Answer confident than older ones. Majority surveyed predicting sales increases and additional hiring. April 2012 August 2011 • Only 15% believe Halifax is an above average place to do * Numbers may add up to more than 100% due to rounding. business, down from 23% in 2011. Source: GHP Business Confidence Survey INVESTMENT IN NON-RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION, Competitive public investment 000s, 2011 • Recently has become lower than all $187,118 $403,420 of Halifax’s benchmark cities. • Fluctuates widely and irregularly, $80,314 $93,346 $163,255 irrespective of economic trends. $107,963 $304,369 $213,622 $631,194 $381,194 $331,987 $264,328 Competitive business tax burden Halifax St. John’s Quebec London Regina Victoria • Commercial taxes at municipal level City are increasing slower than inflation. Industrial and Commercial • Total corporate income taxes are Institutional and Governmental highest when compared to Canadian Source: Statistics Canada cities but lower than American ones. • Provincial capital tax eliminated as of July 1, 2012. CORPORATE TAX PAYABLE AS A PERCENTAGE OF GROSS PROFIT, BUSINESSES, 2011 Boston (MA) 40.4% WHAT’S NEXT? Raleigh (NC) 39.5% • Halifax Chamber Roundtable to Seattle (WA) 35% provide direction on tax priorities. Halifax (NS) 31% • Complete tax discussion paper and Regina (SK) 28.8% communicate findings. St. John’s (NL) 28.8% • Implement recommendations of Saskatoon (SK) 27% commercial tax and locations decisions Montreal (QC) 26.9% study. Quebec City (QC) 26.9% • Develop strategy to address gaps in Toronto (ON) 26% general tax competitiveness. London (ON) 26% • Clarify top regulatory issues facing Vancouver (BC) 25% business. Victoria (BC) 25% Source: fdi intelligence 3 LARGER LABOUR FORCE RESPONSIVE TO BUSINESS REQUIREMENTS
  • 5. TALENT ECONOMIC STRATEGY GOAL: Create a welcoming community where the world’s talent can find great opportunities, engaged employers and resources for career advancement. PROGRESS TO DATE: • Greater Halifax Partnership’s Connector Program has been expanded to include young and emerging talent. • Nova Scotia’s Workforce Strategy has been developed to address a shrinking workforce and to help Nova Scotians acquire the right skills for good jobs. • Provincial retention of immigrants has improved significantly. • Expanded foreign-credential recognition efforts are underway. ISSUES DEFINED: INTERNATIONAL IMMIGRANTS TO ATLANTIC CANADIAN CITIES • Enhancing foreign credential 3000 recognition. 2500 2011 • Creating a welcoming community. 2000 2010 2009 • Improving the HR competitive 1500 2008 advantage in small and medium- 1000 2007 sized enterprises. 500 MEASUREMENTS: Halifax St. John’s Charlottetown Fredericton Saint John Moncton Source: Citizenship and Immigration Canada Attraction and retention of immigrants and students INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS PRESENT AND • National in-migration has dropped; TRANSITIONS FROM TEMPORARY STUDENT immigrants are heading for high growth cities. TO PERMANENT RESIDENT, 2005-09 • Halifax attracts well above average numbers of 13,546 international students. • International student retention low but remains 6,504 Halifax’s biggest immigrant opportunity. 2,770 1,291 823 856 Employer attitudes 296 373 • Greater Halifax Partnership’s research shows positive Newfoundland Prince Nova New attitudes and interest in hiring skilled immigrants. and Labrador Edward Scotia Brunswick Island • Benchmarking of employer attitudes toward young and emerging talent has been completed. International Students Present Transitions from Temporary Student to Permanent Resident • Availability and quality of labour is a top business Source: Citizenship and Immigration Canada concern, but businesses are not too worried yet. Perception of Halifax as a great place to live and work SENSE OF BELONGING TO THE LOCAL COMMUNITY, SOMEWHAT OR VERY STRONG • Quality of life is very high in Halifax in comparison to benchmark cities. • Vast majority of residents feel safe and satisfied with life. • Majority feel healthy and active, with a higher share of 66.3 77.6 58.4 active residents than most benchmark cities. Halifax St. John’s Quebec City • Sense of belonging and low social capital remains a hurdle for talent attraction/retention. WHAT’S NEXT? 68.1 70.8 67.0 London Regina Victoria • Make Halifax a more welcoming community; engage with all population growth areas – young and emerging talent, Source: Statistics Canada immigrants, international students and others. SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC GROWTH/ACTIVITY (GDP) 4
  • 6. INTERNATIONAL BRAND ECONOMIC STRATEGY GOAL: Create a unique, international city brand for Halifax. PROGRESS TO DATE: • Background research has been completed, including: • A compilation of existing Halifax brand research, including an assessment of existing stakeholders and current marketers. • A review of branding best practices. • A comprehensive list of Halifax’s functional and emotional benefits. • Definitions of target audiences. • Initial benchmarking of local levels of business confidence. MEASUREMENTS: Business confidence in Halifax • Local business confidence has been benchmarked. • Halifax’s advantages include cost competitiveness for businesses, quality of life, and convenient central locations of key infrastructure/human resources/market conditions. • Comparative disadvantages identified are a lack of diversity, regulation, and high overall levels of taxation. Further indicators will be introduced as brand is developed. HALIFAX BUSINESS CONFIDENCE INDEX 100 The Business 75 Confidence Index is 50 38.5 based on a biannual 26.8 25.6 29.0 26.1 31.1 29.9 29.2 25.9 25 18.6 20.2 20.2 survey of business confidence. It is a 0 weighted average of Overall Halifax Dartmouth Other HRM New Business Established -25 local business attitudes (< 10 years) Business -50 (10+ years) about past, present and future performance. -75 April 2012 August 2011 -100 Source: GHP Business Confidence Survey WHAT’S NEXT? • Secure resources to fund brand development and benchmarking. • Continuing business confidence surveying. • Build a team of “Ambassadors” that promote the city’s new international brand. • Encourage all residents to live the brand! 5 HIGHER AVERAGE INCOME
  • 7. MAXIMIZE GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES ECONOMIC STRATEGY GOAL: Capitalize on our best opportunities for economic growth. PROGRESS TO DATE: • Successful Ships Start Here campaign to rally support for Irving bid. Economic impact analysis complete. • Identification of marine industries cluster as a major opportunity. • First Halifax Index has been completed. • In-depth analysis of growth sectors – aerospace and defence, financial services, ICT and digital technologies, oceans, transportation and logistics, and life sciences. • The Halifax Marine Research Institute has been launched. MEASUREMENTS: Increased productivity REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) PER CAPITA, 2006-2011 • Halifax trails benchmark cities in GDP per capita and R&D as $33,592 $42,707 $34,519 $34,960 $39,179 $33,879 2011 a percentage of GDP. • Business confidence is an imperative that Halifax can’t 2006 $31,922 $36,877 $33,097 $37,029 $36,865 $32,616 overlook. Halifax needs a business climate that builds Halifax St. John’s Quebec City London Regina Victoria confidence and drives more investment, hiring, R&D and Source: The Conference Board of Canada, Statistics Canada new product development. Further indicators will be developed as this area COMMERCIAL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT progresses. SPENDING AS A PERCENTAGE OF GDP Boston (MA) 6.97% Seattle (WA) 4.85% Montreal (QC) 2.61% Quebec City (QC) 2.61% Toronto (ON) 2.37% London (ON) 2.37% Raleigh (NC) 2.36% St. John’s (NL) 1.81% Halifax (NS) 1.51% Victoria (BC) 1.42% Vancouver (BC) 1.42% Regina (SK) 0.81% Saskatoon (SK) 0.81% Source: fDi intelligence WHAT’S NEXT? • Leverage shipbuilding opportunity. • Halifax Index: Create stronger economic and community partnerships; strengthen and deepen findings. • Halifax Gateway: Logistics Park and air route development. • Competitive Intelligence: Research and act on opportunities and challenges. • Further a culture of partnership and innovation, and act on opportunities and challenges based on the successful Ships Start Here model. COST COMPETITIVE AND CONTAGIOUS BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT 6
  • 8. PEOPLE HALIFAX INDEX KEY OPPORTUNITY: Grow Halifax’s population: Halifax needs more immigrants; increased retention of international students; and more high- value jobs for young professionals who want to stay in or return to Halifax. Halifax has the largest population of international students and the region’s lowest retention rate; international students are Halifax’s best immigration opportunity. INDICATORS: POPULATION ESTIMATES 761,745 • Now home to over 408,000 people, Halifax’s population growth has been strong in 496,941 comparison to benchmark cities. 408,198 360,876 196,222 218,690 • Halifax’s population is aging at comparable rates to other benchmark cities. Halifax has the second-highest proportion of people at Halifax St. John’s Quebec London Regina Victoria labour force age (15-64). City 2011 2006 Source: Statistics Canada ANNUAL MIGRATION ESTIMATES, HALIFAX • Declining international and intraprovincial migration indicate Halifax’s ability to attract 1,896 new residents has slipped compared to regional cities. 1,231 • Halifax is a Smart City. Halifax’s labour force Interprovincial education rates are comparatively higher than International Intraprovincial most of the benchmark cities. -852 • Enrolments in universities are steady and 2010-2011 showing recent signs of growth. Community 2006-2007 college enrolments increased 14% from Source: Statistics Canada 2006-2011, and graduates provide more skilled labour for the labour market. • Solid labour force and employment LABOUR FORCE AND EMPLOYMENT GROWTH, 000s growth, mixed with relatively strong participation (70.3%) and low 600 unemployment (6.2%) rates, indicate 442.2 418.6 the marketplace for talent is currently 400 in good shape. 266.6 243.0 238.1 223.3 194.3 182.3 200 128.4 122.2 112.2 104.7 Halifax St. John’s Quebec City London Regina Victoria 2011 Labour Force 2011 Employment 2006 Labour Force 2006 Employment Source: Statistics Canada 7 THEHALIFAXINDEX TELLS THE CITY’S STORY –
  • 9. ECONOMY HALIFAX INDEX KEY CHALLENGE: Improve the tax and regulatory climate. This presents barriers to business growth and individual success. The tax side is difficult to address in the short-term given the fiscal challenges faced by cash-strapped governments, but there are few excuses for poor customer service. Getting regulation and client service right needs to become a priority for all business- facing organizations. INDICATORS: REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP), 2002 $MILLIONS • Halifax has achieved strong GDP growth, and its diverse economy $26,295 weathered the recession of 2008-09 $17,373 relatively unscathed. Growth is $13,712 $12,226 $8,380 $8,568 expected to be moderate in 2012. • Halifax’s productivity continues to Halifax St. John’s Quebec London Regina Victoria City be an issue, lagging behind other benchmark cities. 2011 2006 Source: The Conference Board of Canada • Employment growth has fueled strong retail and housing markets. RETAIL SALES PER CAPITA • Both private and public investment in construction, particularly in the Regional $21,359 $18,270 $16,596 Centre, has not kept up to levels seen in $16,007 other cities. $12,376 $11,389 • Plenty of people are moving through the Halifax Gateway (air and cruise Halifax St. John’s Quebec London Regina Victoria passengers). Air, sea and land cargo City are recovering from recessionary dip in demand. 2011 2006 Source: Statistics Canada • New businesses are more confident than existing ones. Improvements in business climate will have the biggest VALUE OF BUILDING PERMITS, 000s, 2011 impact on confidence. $586,661 • Office space development is mostly $958,984 occurring outside the downtown core. Downtown office space inventories declined between 2006 and 2011 $272,940 while peripheral inventories added $158,873 $300,042 $221,167 one million sq. ft. Vacancy rates have also increased in the downtown. $522,869 $477,812 $1,087,986 $443,636 $352,954 $420,090 Halifax St. John’s Quebec London Regina Victoria City Residential Non-Residential Source: Statistics Canada THE STRENGTH OF THE ECONOMY, THE HEALTH OF THE COMMUNITY, 8
  • 10. QUALITY OF PLACE HALIFAX INDEX KEY OPPORTUNITY: Creating a culture of partnership. Halifax’s biggest challenge is simple: the community needs to nurture a culture of partnership when tackling every challenge and every opportunity. Halifax needs a community culture that deals with issues by engaging in vital business and community partnerships rather than blaming challenges on others and going it alone. Halifax has to find the tools to maximize the benefits from its natural assets like the harbour, universities, and the major projects that are coming along and to create good outcomes for as many as possible. Furthermore, a culture of partnership should extend to community development projects. Great examples already exist: Our HRM Alliance, the Halifax Marine Research Institute and others. TOTAL CRIME INDEX, CANADA AND BENCHMARK CITIES INDICATORS: • Crime and violent crime indicators 131.4 show Halifax is reducing crime levels. 96.8 101.9 Largely, residents feel safe where 82.4 83.7 they live and work and businesses are 56.1 satisfied with police services. • Halifax is a relatively healthy and Halifax St. John’s Quebec London Regina Victoria active city in comparison to its City benchmark cities. 2011 2006 Source: Statistics Canada EMPLOYMENT IN ARTS, CULTURE AND RECREATION (000s) 13.8 11.7 • Over half of Halifax residents in the Regional Centre use either public or active transportation to 8.0 get to work; this is in contrast to only 15% in the 7.6 rest of Halifax. 3.4 3.7 • Halifax is a comparatively expensive city with personal income levels in the middle of benchmark cities. Halifax St. John’s Quebec London Regina Victoria City 2011 2006 Source: Statistics Canada PERCENTAGE (12+) SATISFIED OR VERY SATISFIED WITH LIFE • Halifax has a growing arts and culture sector with wages increasing at higher-than-average rates. 93.6 91.5 95.7 • Overall life satisfaction is exceptionally high in Halifax St. John’s Quebec City Halifax, but this does not translate to a high level of community belonging. 91.3 92.4 89.3 London Regina Victoria Source: Statistics Canada 9 THE SUSTAINABILITY OF THE ENVIRONMENT,
  • 11. SUSTAINABILITY HALIFAX INDEX KEY CHALLENGE: Grow a healthy Regional Centre. While there has been plenty of commercial space development in Halifax over the last few years, 96% of new inventory between 2008 and 2010 was located outside of the urban core. At the same time, vacancy rates in the Regional Centre for office space have risen dramatically. This could be an indication that the urban core is at a tipping point. Taking action now to ensure the heart of the community is healthy is essential to the well-being of the entire city. Meeting population targets for the urban core where civic infrastructure and services already exist are vital to the long-term sustainability of Halifax. DENSITY (PERSONS PER KM2), 2006 AND 2011 495.0 INDICATORS: 244.8 228.6 • Halifax’s population density is low in 178.1 71.0 61.8 comparison to other benchmark cities; increasing density in urban areas is vital to Halifax St. John’s Quebec London Regina Victoria ensuring sustainable infrastructure spending. City 2011 2006 Source: Statistics Canada Census PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION WHO WALKED, BICYCLED OR TOOK PUBLIC TRANSIT TO WORK, 2006 16.1% 11.1% • Halifax has the second highest national 7.7% 8.7% percentage of people who use public or 7.7% active transportation to get to work; use 6.8% 7.2% of public transportation is increasing. Satisfaction with public transit has 11.0% 11.9% 2.9% 10.2% 6.7% 4.2% 10.2% decreased in the past year. Canada Halifax St. John’s Quebec London Regina Victoria City Public Transit Walked or Bicycled Source: Statistics Canada Census AIR QUALITY MEASURES, 2011 (# OF TEST SITES IN PARENTHESES) 34.37 30.27 • Halifax’s water and air are among the 20.44 highest quality of benchmark cities and 15.52 waste diversion rates are increasing. 13.12 Waste diversion (rather than disposal) 8.77 7.18 is both environmentally friendly and 3.13 2.27 cost effective. 1.36 1.05 0.00 Halifax (4) St. John’s (1) Quebec London (2) Regina (1) Victoria (7) City (6) Fine Particulate Matter (µg/m3) Ozone (parts per billion) Source: Environment Canada PROPERTY TAX AS A PERCENTAGE OF NOMINAL GDP 3.72% 3.82% 3.71% 3.74% 3.64% 3.49% • The municipality’s fiscal health is in excellent shape; an AA- bond rating 1.26% 1.28% 1.35% 1.29% 1.29% 1.25% signifies confidence on the global lending market. Commercial and overall property tax rates have grown at near economic 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 growth rates. (Proj) All Taxes + PILT over GDP Commercial + BO Tax over GDP Source: HRM Taxation and Fiscal Policy AND THE PROGRESS OF HALIFAX’S ECONOMIC STRATEGY. 10
  • 12. To download the complete Halifax Index, visit: HALIFAXINDEX .com