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Hera Group business plan to 2016
Index


   Introduction                                           Annex
    Who and where we are                     page    I    Scenario                     page   13
    Hera Group business portfolio            page   II    Ebit breakdown               page   14
    10 years track record                    page   III   Share capital & Governance   page   15
    Recent news flow                         page   IV    Financial strategy           page   16
    Acegas APS merger: industrial rational   page   V     Acegas APS                   page   17
    Fondo Strategico Italiano                page   IX    AIMG                         page   19
    Energonut                                page   X     Sustainability KPI           page   20
                                                          WASTE details                page   21
   Business plan to 2016
                                                          NETWORK details              page   23
    Strategy                                 page   1
                                                          ENERGY details               page   26
    Industrial targets                       page   2
                                                          Business plan by Business    page   28
    Ebitda drivers                           page   3
    Ebitda breakdown                         page   4
    Key challenges and opportunities         page   5
    Waste                                    page   6
    Network                                  page   7
    Energy                                   page   8
    M&A strategy                             page   9
    Capex plan                               page 10
    Financial structure                      page 11
    Closing remarks                          page 12
Introduction to Hera
Hera Group


Hera reference territory

                                                               •      In 2002: consolidation of 11 companies in E-R.
                                                               •      Up to 2011: expanded by merging other
                                                                      companies in E-R and in the Northern part of
                                                                      Marche region.
                                                  Friuli

                                        Veneto
                                                 region
                                                               •      In 2012: in progress to expand (Aimag in Modena
                                        region                        Province and Acegas Aps in Padua and Trieste
                                                   Trieste            province).
                                   Padua


                                                               Ebitda Growth Drivers
                                                               (m€)


                             Bologna                                                   +14.4% Cagr            645
                                  E-R region                                                           +151
                                                             600                             +83
                                                                                +219
                                                             400
                                                                        192
                                                             200
     2002                                         Marche
                                                  region
                                                               0
     2002-2011: M&A executed
                                                                       2002     Syn. &    New plants   M&A    2011
     2012: M&A in progress
                                                                                Org. G.


              Expanding at covering 4 of the wealthiest regions of Italy
                                                                                                                        I
Well balanced portfolio




                       Market positions       2011 Group Ebitda: 645m€            Constant Ebitda growth 2002- 2011
                                                                                                             -

                                                                                   250
                                                                                                              +14% cagr                         194
                                                                           30%     200

                                                                                   15 0

               Italian leader
     WASTE                                                                         10 0
                                                                                           58
                                                                                    50
                                                 80% regulated (W. treatment)        0
                                                 20% regulated (W. collection)
                                                                                           ' 0 2 ' 0 3 ' 0 4 ' 0 5 ' 0 6 ' 0 7 ' 0 8 ' 0 9 ' 10 ' 11*
                                                                                    350
                                                                           46%                               +10% cagr                          294
                                                                                    300
                                                                                    250

               2nd Water player in Italy                                            200

   NETWORK     3rd Gas distributor in Italy
                                                                                    150 120
                                                                                    100
                                                                                     50
                                                                                      0
                                                100% regulated
                                                                                           '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11*
                                                                                     160                                                         138
                                                                                     140                       +28% cagr
                                                                           21%       120
                                                                                     100
                4th gas supplier in Italy                                             80

    ENERGY      Top 8 Elec. supplier                                                  60
                                                                                      40
                                                                                            15
                                                                                      20
                                                                                       0
                                                 100% liberalised                           '02 '03     '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11*

                                                                                     750
                                                                           100%                                 +14% cagr                        645
                                                                                     650
                                                                                     550
               Top multi- utility player                                             450

    GROUP       6,500 employees
                                                                                     350
                                                                                     250 192
                                                                                     150
                                                 48% liberalised                      50
                                                 52% regulated                       -50
                                                                                            '02 '03     '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11*




                                                                                                                                                        II
Fast and resilient growth despite difficult macro scenario


Ever growing operating results            Maintaining sustainable Debt/Ebitda
(m€)                                      (x)




                                 Ebitda
                                 Ebit




Overcoming peak in capex*                 Progressing dividend per share
(m€)                                      (€c)




  *Gross capex


                                                                                III
Recent news flow




  Jul.     2012
                      Aug.          2012
                                           Sept.              2012
                                                                       Oct.     2012




                                                                         SPA for
                         H1 2012                     FSI                Energonut
   Merger agreement    Financial results   Fondo Strategico Italiano
                                            share capital increase          &
                                                                        BP to 2016




                                                                                       IV
Merger with Acegas Aps


Just across the regional borders

                                             Friuli
                                            region
                                                                 • Nearby territories. Padua is located 40
                                   Veneto
                                   region
                                                                   km from Emilia-Romagna
                                              Trieste

      Acegas APS
      Hera
                              Padua
                                                       40 km
                                                      distance
                                                                 • Acegas Aps regional territories
                        Bologna
                                                                   have similar industrial development
                             E-R region
                                                                   as Emilia-Romagna


                                             Marche
                                                                 • Similar background and
                                             region
                                                                   shareholding printing.
Perfect match of business mix (’11 Ebitda)

                                                                 • Same business portfolio
                                                                 • Balance between regulated and
                                                                   liberalised activities

                                                                 • Strong positioning in all services
                                                                   Waste, Energy and Water




         Enlarged platform to tackle with business opportunities
                                                                                                             V
Strengthening market positions

2011 Key industrial data                                          2011 Financial Highlights
                                                                  (m€)


                                                                    2011                                Hera   Acegas   Combined

                                                                    Revenues                           4,106      585      4,691
                                                        Ranking
            Sector                                                  Ebitda                               645      119        764
                                                       combined
                                                                    Ebit                                 334       53        387
  Waste
                                                       3,713k       Net profit                           105       18        123
  Volumes                        331k         3,382k
  treatm.from 3°                   9%          91%       1st        Net financial debt                 1,987      447      2,434
  parties (Ton)
                                                                    NFP/Ebitda                          3.1x     3.8x       3.2x

  Water clients                  253k         1,184k   1,437k       Market cap.ˆ                       1,486      311      1,797
                                                                   ^ As at 19th October 2012 in million Euro
  (#)                             18%          82%       2nd
                                                                  2011 Ebitda ranking
  Gas                                                  1,374k     (m€)
  clients                        260k*        1,114k
  (#)
                                  19%          81%       3rd

  Electric clients               142k         482k      624k
  (#)                             23%          77%       7th

  Gas RAB                        ~200         ~850
  (€m)                            19%          81%
                                                       ~1,050



 * EstEnergy (51% AcegasAps, 49% Ascopiave)




                                                                                                                                   VI
Focusing on extracting synergies from merger


Synergies to 2016*
(m€)
                                                                             LEVERS
       Procurement optimization (material and services)            9-10       Procurement       •   Volume concentration
                                                                              optimisation      •   Price benchmarking
       Network management                                                2                      •   Supplier base alignment and
                                                                                  40%
       Waste operations                                             4-5                             e-procurement

       Commercial and trading activities                            4-5
                                                                                Network         •   WFM on water network operations
       Shared services and G&A                                      4-5        management       •   Remote control concentration
                                                                                   6%           •   Alignment on maintenance policies
       Total increase of Ebitda                                    ~25                          •   In-sourcing

    *on top of efficiency plan set by Acegas APS business plan
                                                                             Waste operations   •   Best practices on service
                                                                                   18%              management
Synergies timing                                                                                •   O&M policies alignment (demand
(m€)                                                                                                mgmt)
                                                                                                •   In-sourcing
                                                           +5    +25
                                                                             Commercial and
                                                                                                •   Volume concentration and
                                           +5                                                       sourcing mgmt
                                                                              energy trading
                          +8                                                       18%          •   Costing alignment (mainly back
                                                                                                    office)
                                                                                                •   Commercial development
           +7
                                                                             Shared services    •   Billing
                                                                                and G&A         •   Fleet mgmt
0                                                                                 18%           •   IT services
          2013            2014            2015            2016   Total                          •   G&A rationalisation




                                                Plus enhancement on capex spending                                                      VII
Acegas APS next steps following EGM approval (15th Oct.)



            2012                                  2013


  1    Merger into HERA of               2     Public offer to minority
       AcegasAps Holding                      AcegasAps shareholders

Swap ratio:              0.763x         Swap ratio:              4.16x
New issued Hera shares: 143.38m         New issued Hera shares: 84.83m          +228.21m new Hera shares
Cash proceeds:            3.4m€         Cash proceeds:           5.6m€          +9.0m€ cash proceeds


      62.7%        34,466,941                37.2%        20,393,006           100.0%        54,859,947
                   (AcegasAps shares)                     (AcegasAps shares)                 (AcegasAps shares)



                 HOLDING
                                                 Other
       Share capital: 188m€
                                              shareholders
                                                                                Own Shares : 118,883
       NFP 06/30/’12: 6m€




                                                                                                           VIII
FSI agreement to became Hera shareholder




 •   Fondo Strategico Italiano signed an agreement to
     enter into Hera Share capital

 •   Strategic rational: support further cash M&A to
     strengthen development strategy being long term
     shareholder

 •   Terms of the share capital increase:
       - Max 80 million new issued Hera shares (up to 5.6%-6.0%
       stake of post merger share capital)

       - Up to 100 million € investment from FSI (1.25€ p.s.)
       - Subject to a minimum stake of 2.6% in Hera
       - 1 new Board member appointed by FSI

 •   FSI partnership enhances post Acegas APS financial
     structure

 •   Condition president: Closing Acegas APS merger and
     clearance from Authorities




     Enhancing Hera financial structure and flexibility with a l/t shareholder
                                                                                 IX
Herambiente signed SPA with Veolia for 100% stake of Energonut


Description                                 WTE in Italy

                                                                                1
  • Energonut, located in Molise region,               0
                                                                       13
                                                                                            1

                                                                                    3
    owns a CIP6 WTE plant for RDF and a                    2

                                                                            8
    solar plant                                                    0


                                                                            8               1

  • Area characterized by plant                                                         0

                                                                                                0
    shortage/high waste production                                                      4               1   2

                                                                                                        1
                                                                                                                1
  • Client portfolio encompasses mid-term                      2

    and established players                                                                                         1



                                             Balanced situation
  • CIP6 will expire mid 2016                Waste emergency                                        1

                                             Waste mgmt crisis



           Opportunity to optimize Hera coverage of national market
                                                                                                                        X
Energonut key highlights

                                                                                   Financial Highlights
                                                                                   (m€)


   1                                            2                                                                     E2012
                                                        Enhance WTE                                                 normalised
              Expand market                             leadership                  Revenues                           26
       “Area short of plants”                        “National coverage”            Ebitda                             17
                                                                                    Ebit                               12
   3                                            4                                   Net Profit                          6
   Synergy potentials                                   Positive CF &
                                                                                    Net invested capital*              49
                                                        Dividend flows
   “Herambiente network &
   economies of scale”                                  “Create value”
                                                                                   *as of 31/12/2012



Energonut technical data                                                           Deal details

 WTE plant                                          Solar plant
 Power gen. capacity:           13.4MW inst         Power gen.
                                                                                    Enterprise value        49 m€
                                                                           0.5MW
                                                    capacity
 Net electricity                                                                    Closing expected
 produced/Y:
                                83.4 GWh                                                                     2012
                                                    Electricity
                                                                           1GWh
                                                                                    within:
                                                    produced/Y
 Incentive:                     Cip6
                                                                                    Cash acquisition of
 RDF treated/Y:                 93.5k ton
                                                    Incentive escl.                                         100%
                                                    PUN (€/MWh)
                                                                           320      share capital
 Personnel:                     27 people
                                                                                    Equity IRR              >15%
                                Emas,
 Certified:                     ISO1400,18001




                                            Leader in Italy with 10 WTE in 4 regions
                                                                                                                                 XI
Business plan 2012-2016
Tight to multi-utility expansion strategy



                          Multi-business mix                  Expand downstream
               1                                         2
                   Extracting synergies                      Enlarge customer base
                   leveraging on larger scale and            Cross selling
                   operating efficiency and service          Enhance service quality
                   coverage
                                                             “Tackling with tougher
                   “Deploying economies of                   competition and economic
                   scale, service enhancement”               environment””




              3                                          4
                   Evolve and complement                      Merger & Acquisition
                   asset base
                                                              Execute deal in progress
             Increase recycling/waste treatment assets
                                                              Pursue M&A selecting new
             Enhance generation from renewables
                                                              opportunities
             Deploy an integrated perspective on
             smart network
                                                              “Create value through
             “Leveraging on unique strengths”                  strategy execution”




      Creating value and sustainable dividend flows for shareholders
                                                                                         1
Remarkable step forward in business size




                                                                     2011   2016
      Sector               Key Industrial targets

                Volume of waste treated from 3°parties     (m ton)   3.4    4.8
                Urban waste collected (m ton)                        1.8    2.4
       WASTE
                Number of plants                                      79    >90
                Electricity generated from biomass (GWh)             400    600
                Water volume (m m3)                                  254    327
      NETWORK   Gas POD (m unit)                                     1.2    1.7
                Heat sold (GWht)                                     499    663
                Gas sold & traded (bcm)                              3.3    4.5
      ENERGY    Electricity sold (TWh)                               10.0   10.6
                Energy clients (m unit)                              1.6    2.5




                                                                                   2
EBITDA growth leveraging upon “all” drivers


Next 5Y Ebitda Target
(m€)



                                                                           +9% cagr                                       990
                                                                                      +25                 +54
                                                                    +152
                                 645                  +114




                                 2011              Hera syn. &   Agegas APS     Acegas APS             Hera gas         E2016
                                                     org. g.     stand alone     synergies             tenders +
                                                                                                         Aimag




      Hera syn. & org. growth Acegas APS                                         Gas tenders                         M&A: Aimag
      (m€)                                         (m€)
 27
                                                                                 Aiming at confirming                Ongoing negotiation were
 25
 23                                                                              current concessions and             interrupted due to
 21
                                                                                 gas distribution (implying          earthquake.
         25.0
 19
                              22.5    23.0                                       extensions of current territories
                     20.8
 17
                                                                                 served by Hera with 120k POD        More conservative projec-
 15
       Avg '06-'11   Old BP   2011   Avg '12-'16
                                                                                 and additional Ebitda of 14m€)      tion vs old BP (40m€)



                     EBIT CAGR expected to grow at +10% on average per annum
                                                                                                                                                 3
Overview on Ebitda growth by strategic areas


Ebitda growth drivers
(m€)




                                               4
Key challenges and opportunities




                 Challanges                        Opportunities

             • Changing business     • Evolve     asset      base      exploiting
               model in waste mgmt     recovery/recycling
    WASTE
             • Volume development    • Enhance market coverage (by territory,
                                       by technology)


             • Gas tenders           • Consolidate “in current territory”
   NETWORK   • New regulatory        • Capitalise on capex performed         and
               framework in water      efficiency achieved



             • Volume development    • Exploit peculiarity of reference territory
    ENERGY   • Gas tariff reform     • Steer “soft landing” through optimisation
                                       of costs and active customer portfolio
                                       mgmt.



                                                                                    5
WASTE: Maximize value extraction


Strategy                                                                       Ebitda breakdown
                                                                               (m€)


    Enhance Returns                        Develop Market & Asset
                                              “Focus on special waste mkt”                                +137m€
     “Pricing optimization”
     “Asset portfolio mgmt”                 “Develop asset base consistently                                              +10             331
                                                                                                        +35        +7
                                            with sorted collection increase”                  +85
                                                                                      194

     Follow regulation                       Integration synergies
 “Contribute to new regulatory setting”
 “Tackle with authorization process”              “Acegas aggregation”
 “Confirm current concessions on                  “Reduce cost base”                  2011   Syn &     Acegas   AA Syn.   Aimag         E2016
  waste collection”                                                                          Org. G.    APS




Hera waste management benchmarking                                             Extract value from 100% urban waste*
                                                                                                                                           E2016
         1             2              5     20           EU ranking

                                            37%
                     50%            48%
       67%                                               Landfill
                                            17%          WTE
                                    29%                  Other (composting,
                                                         recovery, TMB)
                      49%                   46%
       33%
              0%              1%    23%

    HOLLAND        SWEDEN           HERA   ITALY



                                                                                                                                  * Hera stand alone

                              Leveraging upon plant capacity in market shortage                                                                        6
NETWORKS: Confirm concessions and extract value from assets


 Strategy                                                                                 Ebitda breakdown
                                                                                          (m€)


        Gas & Electric. distr.                           Water services
                                                                                                                       +173m€                  +20    467
                                                         “Aiming at guaranting proper                                        +76     +9
     “Focus on upcoming tenders”
     “Electronic meter substitution”                     return on RAB”
                                                         “Focus on leakages”
                                                                                                                   +14
                                                                                                         +54

                                                                                                 294
      Smart mgmt system                                  Enhance Returns
      “Deploy intelligence to enhance                    “Asset value enhacem.”
      service quality and costing”                       “Enhance D.H. activities”               2011   Syn &       Gas     Acegas AA Syn.    Aimag   E2016
                                                                                                        Org. G.   tenders    APS



 “Smart” network management                                                               Key targets on efficiency

 •   Grid Automation                                 •    Remote control lightings
 •   Integrated mgmt of power gen.                   •    LED technology and
                                                                                                                                             2011     E2016
     sources                                              automatic flow regulation
 •                                                                                          Water net leakages                               27%       25%
     Energy Storage                                  •    Energy efficiency
 •   Smart info                                                                             Electr. Net/employee (km)                         5.3           7
                                       Smart city/
                                       Smart area                                           Gas & water net/employee (km)                    33.4        47
 •   Wireless                                                  Water
                                                               • Plant and gates            Electr. POD/employee (unit)                       138       195
 •   Monitoring                                                  automation
                                                          Gas
 •   Communication platforms                              • Roll out electr. meters         Water & Gas POD/employee (‘000 km)               1.27       1.8
                                                          • Interconnections to by pass
                                                             interruptions




Tackling with Authority’s higher efficiency requirements safeguarding returns                                                                                   7
ENERGY: Progress on down stream development


Strategy                                                                                       Ebitda breakdown
                                                                                               (m€)


         Expand market                                       Tackle with margin
                                                                                                                                          +32m€
  “Cross selling to achieve 2.5 million                        squeezing                                                                                        +9         170
                                                                                                                                      +30         +7
   customers”                                            “Manage pricing and customer
 “Complement new areas
                                                                                                       138            (14)
                                                         segments”
   with Acegas Aps”




       Upstream optimization                                  Cost control
                                                           “Synergies Acegas Aps”
      “Re-define trading scope to
                                                          “Reduce cost to serve and
      tackle margin squeeze”                                                                           2011         Syn &            Acegas   AA Syn.          Aimag      E2016
                                                          enhance virtualization”
                                                                                                                    Org. G.           APS



Gas and Electricity volumes                                                                    Key targets on efficiency
          Gas                                        Electricity
         (bcm)                                       (TWh)                                                                                             2011            E2016
                                  4.5           11           10.0            10.6
                                                                                                      Avg. contracts per client                         2.07             2.2
                                                                               1.5
                                                9
                 3.3                                                                                  Multi-service invoice (m CA)                      0.77             1,1
                                                7
                                                             6.5               6.4
                                                5
                                                                                                      Automatic payments (mln contract)                  1.9             2.3
                                                3
                        55%               49%                3.5     35%                 25%
                                                1                              2.7                    On-line customers (‘000)                          129              279
                                                -1
                                                             2011            E2016                    Cost to serve (€/POD)                              20               19

Customers         1.1             1.5                         0.5                  1.0                On-line billing (k CA)                             53              187
(m unit)
                                                      Own pro ductio n   M arket     M &A




          Enhance marketing intelligence to tackle with changing scenario
                                                                                                                                                                                  8
M&A strategy focused on “traditional core dimensions”


M&A scope and guidelines                Rational

              Multi-utility

           Similar portfolio mix

        In surroundings territories
                                           • Increase economies of scale
       Reasonably sound financials
                                           • Consolidate territorial presence
                                           • Exploit value from Hera business
               Not diluitive                 model
        Pursuing controlling stake


            Energy & Waste

            National scope                 • Strengthen competitive positioning
             Sound financials              • Leverage on leadership
         Primarily through cash            • Exploit expertice

                2013 focused on full integration of Acegas APS
                                                                                  9
Capital expenditures


2012-2016 capex plan by business                                         Capex plan by legal entity
(m€)                                                                     (m€)

                                                                                                                                  460
Total Capex: 1.94b€                                                                                                   435
                                                                                                          394                      86
                                                                                              362                                                    123
                                                                                                                                   25           75
                                                                                288                                                65
                                                                                                                                          260
                                                                                                                                                     ’12-’16
                                                                                                                                                     1.94b€
                                                                                                                                   283


                                                                                                                                                               1,480

                                                                                2012          2013        2014        2015        2016
                                                                                       Hera    Acegas APS     Aimag      Gas tenders




Capex by regulated/liberalised activities                                Development capex plan
(m€)                                                                     (m€)

                                           123                                                                     123



                            586
                                             ’12-’16                                                                  ’12-’16             934
                                             1.94b€                                                                   1.94b€
                                                                                                      881
                                                                 1,229


   Liberalised activities   Regulated activities   Gas tenders              Development capex        Maintenance capex      Gas tenders




                                                                                                                                                                       10
Enhance financial performance


EPS Cagr                                                                     Returns
(€)                                                                          (%, b€)


                                                                ~0.12                            ROI                                     ROE
                                                                                                       >10%                                        8.0%
                                                                                          8.7%                                      6.7%
              0.094




                                                                                         2011          E2016                        2011          E2016

              2011                                              E2016           NIC**     3.9            5.3               Equity      1.9          2.7

                                                                                                                                       **NIC: Net Invested Capital
E2016 Cash flows                                                             Financial ratios
(m€)

                                                                                        FFO/Debt                           Debt/Ebitda
                                                                                                                                3.1x
                                                                                                                                3.1x
             +599                     (374)                                                                                                    ~ 2.7x
                                                                                                         ~ 20%
                                                                                             15%
                                                              +225



        Operating Cash flows        Capex & Inv.*          Free Cash flows                  2011         E2016                 2011            E2016
 * Excluding Hera gas tenders extraordinary expenditures                      Convertible bond assumed re-placed by debt




                                                                                                                                                                     11
Closing remarks



      Leveraging upon well known levers to create value

                           990m€ Ebitda in 2016

          M&A: synergy exploitation and business portfolio rationalization
                   organic growth perspectives with Energonut
           Identify further opportunities matching Hera policies

          Focusing on EPS (>5%cagr) and Free Cash Flows (>200m€)


                    Sound debt structure (2.7x Debt/Ebitda)

          DPS policy: guaranteeing a floor at 9c€ per year
                            Maintaining a balance in cash flows




          Capitalizing a reliable & sound equity story


                                                                             12
ANNEX: Business plan 2012-2016
  Further Group details
Assumptions




                                                         2011    E2014   E2016
     Brent (Dollar/Barrel)                                111     106     105
     Exchange ratio $/€                                  1.39    1.35    1.35
     PUN: Avg Northern Italy elect. price (€/MWh)         70      75      80
     Inflation (%)                                        2%      2%      2%
     Italian GDP trend (%)                               +0.7%   +1.4%   +1.4%
     Green certificate (€/MWh)                            83      78      73
     CEC (Cip6 avoid cost) (€/MWh)                        118     127     126
     White certificates (€/TEP)                           94      80      81
     CO2 certificates (€/ton)                             17      12      16
     WATER services revenues* (Cagr ’11-’16)                             +2.5%
     GAS distribution revenues* (Cagr ’11-’16)                           +1.8%
     ELECTRICITY distribution revenues* (Cagr ’11-’16)                   +1.1%
     WASTE Collection revenues* (Cagr ’11-’16)                           +4.3%
   *Data refers to Hera stand alone




                                                                                 13
Change in Governance



                                         Share capital develop.                          Hera Group Board of Directors
                                                                                          2013                         2014


                                                      1,115             4 1%
                                                                                    14    18
                                                                                          Bod
                                                        m
  Hera 2011                                          shares
                                                                                         member
                                           59%
                                                                                           s              4




                                                                                                          2

                                                      1,343                                20
                                                                         4 1%
                                                                                    14    Bod
                                                        m
                                                                                         member
  Hera post Acegas                                    shares
                                                                                           s
                                                                                                          4
  Public offer                               48%




                                                                                                      2
  Hera post                                                             38%                                       12
                                                                                                                        15
                                                      1,423                                21
  FSI                                                                                     Bod                           Bod
                                                        m                           14                                 member
                                                                                         member               4
                                                     shares                                                              s
                                                                                           s                                    3

                                             46%
                                                                                                  1


 Hera municipalities   Acegas Aps municipalities   Other shareholders         FSI




                                                                                                                                    14
Consolidated Group Ebit




                               Ebit 2011                                          Ebit 2016
                                        1                                                  4
                                                  85
                                                                                                       172


 By strategic area   156
                                      334m€                                 255       543m€
                                                                                                                     By legal entity

                                                                                                                            18   9
                                                  93                                                                 81
                                                                                                 112


                 Waste         Energy       Networks      Other         Waste     Energy       Networks      Other        543m€

                                 33     1                                            35 3
                                                  85                                                                                   435
                                                                                                       172
                                                                                                                     Hera            Acegas APS
 By Business
                                   334m€                                   216
                                                                                      543m€                          Aimag           Gas tenders

                         147
                                                   69
                                                                                                 116


                     Waste       Water      Gas   Electricity   Other



                                                                                                                                                   15
Financial Strategy


         Refinancing needs to 2016                                                                Pursuing balanced interest nature
         (m€)




                                               1 6 00                               589 1.50 0
1 6 00                                  450 1.50 0
                                               1 4 00

1 4 00
                                               1 2 00

1 2 00                          230             1 000
                                                                              284
1 000
                          500                    8 00
                                                                       104
 8 00

                                                 6 00
                                                                303                                      Fixed   50%      Rates      50% Varialble
 6 00


 4 00            180                             4 00
                                                        220
 2 00     +140                                   2 00


    0                                               0



         Convert. BEI    Euro Loan Acegas Total         2012    2013   2014   2015 2016   Total
          bond           bond amort.



         Focus on Acegas Debt structure                                                            Hera Group financial strategy
                        Fixed      3%                          Mid
                                                               term
                                                               32%                                   •   Maintain financial liabilities homogeneous
                                                                           Time
                                                                                                         with investment time horizons
                                Interest
                                  rate                                    horizon                    •   Non speculative financing
                                                                                          68%        •   Optimize mix variable/fixed to stabilise
                        Variable      97%                                            Short               related cash flows
                                                                                      term




                                                                                                                                                      16
Acegas APS Deal


Deal valuation issues                             Activities in Bulgaria

 • Companies valuation based on business
   fundamentals, accounting perspective
   returns on recent investments/capex (i.e.
   40m€ RAB in Bulgaria still not                                                AcegasAPS - Rilagas
                                                                                 •Population: 324k
   contributing to ’11 Ebitda).                                                  •Cities: 7+
                                                                                 •Network completed (km): 1,020
                                                                                 •RAB: 40m€
                                                                                 •Concession: 35 years

 • The deal doesn’t affect Hera sound financial
   structure.
                                                  Multi-utility players in Veneto/Friuli
 • Almost neutral on ’11 EPS upfront,
   accretive on EPS by 8%-11% post synergies.

 • Implied 2012 Ebitda multiple ~6x (~5.5x
   net of Bulgarian assets)

 • Further upside driven by the new business
   opportunities (including potential M&A).




                                                                                                                  17
Acegas APS: Further business plan details


Acegas APS Ebitda                                                                               Ebitda growth ’12-’16
(m€)                                                                                            (m€)


  By strategic area                         By Business

                                                                                                                                    +8    +10      152
                            152   180.00
                                                                                                           119     +4       +11
                                  160.00                                     152
                                  140.00                                                 11.6
       119                                        119                        14.3
                                  120.00           8.7       1.9
                                  100.00                                     53.7
                                   80.00          49.9
                                   60.00                                     37.2
                                   40.00          34.7
                                   20.00
                                     -
                                                   24.1                         35.2
                                                                                                 0
                                                  2011                     E2016                           2011   Energy   Waste Netw ork Other   E2016
                                             Waste        Water    Gas    Electricity   Other



Capex plan                                                                                      Key Acegas APS growth drivers
(m€)

  By strategic area                         By Business
              11
                       48
                                                          10.6
                                                                                                       •   Waste: Full operation of WTE and market
                                              29.2                       48.0
                                                                                                           enlargement

             ’12-’16         21                          ’12-’16                                       •   Other: Growth relates to Bulgaria and
              260m€                                       260m€                                            public lighting
                                           98.8                               73.2

       180                                                                                             •   Tariffs of regulated businesses projected to
        Waste          Energy
                                           Waste              Water               Gas
                                                                                                           grow moderately
                                           Electricity        Other
        Networks       Other




                                                                                                                                                          18
AIMAG: Further details


Ebitda Target 2016                                                                         2011 Industrial data & Financials
(m€)

 By strategic area                     By Business                                                                                       2011

                    40
                               50.00
                                                          40                                Industrial data      2011    Revenues        243
                               45.00
                               40.00                      2.5                0.6            Gas sold (mm3)         365   Ebitda           44
                               35.00
                               30.00                      15.5
                                                                                            Gas distrib. (mm3)     290
                               25.00                                                                                     Ebit             22
                                                                                            Water sold (mm3)        15
                               20.00
                               15.00                      11.4                                                           Net Profit       12
                               10.00
                                5.00                       10.1                                                          Net invested
                                                                                                                                         231
                                 -                                                                                       capital
                                                     E2016                                                               Net Debt         85
                                         Waste    Water    Gas     Electricity     Other



Capex plan                                                                                 Key growth drivers and Deal issue
(m€)

   By strategic area                   By Business                                           •   Aimag was prudently accounted for in Hera
                         15              15.2                     15.1
                                                                                                 BP projecting steady results through out the
                                                                                                 business plan period.
               ’12-’16                           ’12-’16                                     •   Financials structure as of 31/12/’11:
                75m€                              75m€
                                                                                                    • Net financial position : 90m€
        60
                                                                     44.7
                                                                                                    • Net Equity:                146m€
                                         Waste     Water          Gas
                                                                                             •   Expected to issue 33m shares to merge
       Waste        Networks
                                                                                                 Aimag.



                   Hera owns 25% stake of Aimag (35m€ cash consideration)                                                                       19
Sustainable development


Electricity production – renewable                           CO2 emission avoided*
(GWhe)                                                       (ton)

                               ~600
                     ~575

         ~400

                                374
                      374
         220                                 WTE
                                             Digestor
          5          12         50           Biogas
          84         102        89           Idroelectric
          1           1          1                                                         Cagr. (3.1%)
          90         86         86           Biomass

         2011        E2013     E2016

Thermal energy production – renewable*                       Low emission vehicles*
(GWht)

                                                                             Cagr. +2,5%
                      189.3      194.3                                                     25.6%

         135.1         74.3          74.3                                         24.4%
                                                Geothermal

                        5.5           6.7
          74.7
                                                Biogas
                                                                     22.6%
                       109.5         113.2
          60.4                                  WTE




         2011C       2013PI     2016PI                               2011C        2013PI   2016PI


* Hera stand alone
                                                                                                          20
ANNEX: Business plan 2012-2016
  WASTE (further details by strategic area)
Hera growth strategy and waste market expansion


Market Expansion                                                  Fully integrate value chain

                                                                    Hera Treatment capacity*
          Focus on              Expand             Increase         (k ton)
        value added           geographical       “full service”
         treatments              scope             contracts                                         +1,294 Kton


                                                                                                               627     1
                                                                                                                       25       178       6,333
                                                                    5,107            147     35       14
                                                                                                       1


                     Hera sales volumes*
                     (kton)   +4.8% Cagr




                                                                     2011       WTE        Landfill Compost Che/phy.,
                                                                                                                    Selction/RDF plants E2016
                                                                                                                               3rd
                               +9.4% Cagr
                                                                                                             disidr.


                                +0.2% Cagr                           Mix of treatments*
                                                                     (kton)

                                                                              7000                             6,333
                                                                              6000
                                                                                            5,107               1398           Third p. plant
                                                                              5000

           Leverage upon domestic plant shortage                                            1216                424            Sort/RDF
                                                                                                                333            RAEE/Disidr.
                                                                              4000
           Identified key target MKT                                                         299
                                                                                              0                 1188           Che./Phy.
           Competitive commercial offers (full service)                       3000           892
                                                                                                                618            Compost
                                                                                             505
                                                                              2000                                             Landfil
                                                                                            1268                1303           WTE
           Stable urban waste volumes due to slow down in                     1000

           consumptions                                                                      923                1069
                                                                                0
           Increase sorted collection to 65%
                                                                                            2011               E2016




* Hera stand alone
                                                                                                                                                  21
Waste treatment capacity and energy generation enhancement

Green certificates*                   Waste To Energy Plants
(m€)


                                      Renewable Power generation
                     21               (GWh)

                                                                 Ton       Potenza        EE
                                                                                                  EE a CV
                                                               smaltite   Installata   prodotta

                                                 WTE Ferrara    130 k     13,1 MW      109 Gwh    38 Gwh

                                                  WTE Forlì     120 k     10,9 MW      94,6 Gwh   35 Gwh


                                                WTE Ravenna     45 k      6,3 MW       30,9 Gwh      -
                             19
                                                WTE Ravenna
                                                                45 k      4,2 MW       22,5 Gwh      -
                                                    F3

                                                 WTE Rimini     134 k     10,9 MW      122 Gwh    44 Gwh

                                                WTE Modena      154 k     18,6 MW      203 Gwh    74 Gwh

                     2011   E2016
                                                  WTE FEA       194 k     22,0 MW      145 Gwh       -


                                               ENOMONDO
                                                ENOMONDO        110 k     12,7 MW      126 Gwh    41 Gwh

       GC quantity    256    264                ENERGONUT
                                                 ENERGONUT       94 k     13,4 MW      94,6 Gwh      -
       (GWh)
       GC price       83      73                 WTE Trieste    159 k     14.9 MW      103 Gwh    10 Gwh
       (€/ MWh)

                                                 WTE Padua      173 k     17.8 MW      115 Gwh    35 Gwh




* Hera stand alone
                                                                                                            22
ANNEX: Business plan 2012-2016
  NETWORKS (further details by strategic area)
Networks internal growth drivers (1)


 Visible and safe tariff enhancement*         Benefitting from new asset base*
   Avg. revenue per m3 of water distributed      Hera heating production sources (excl. leakages)
   (€/m3)                                        (GWht)
                         +2.2% Cagr
                                                                       +5.3% Cagr



                                                                                         20%


                                                            20%        Efficient         21%
                                                                                                     519
                                                                    thermal energy
                                                 384        20%
                                                                      production         17%
                                                            12%
   Total gas revenues                                       13%
                                                                                         10%
   (m€)
                        +1.8 % Cagr
                                                            35%                          32%




                                                       Hera heating production sources

   Total electricity revenues                             Increase volume sold to new customer
   (m€)                 +0.02% Cagr
                                                          (new urbanization)
                                                          Efficient sources for heat production
                                                          Waste contribution to increase heat gen.
                                                          Increase of margins/environmental perf.

                                                    E2016 Ebitda of D.H. expected to increase
                                                        by +15m€ (from 11 m€ of 2011)
* Hera stand alone
                                                                                                           23
Networks internal growth drivers* (2)


Economies of scale in networks management

                                                           Gas
                                                           (€/POD)
                                                                     (0.2%)Cagr
    Average Cost per POD                                     44,1
    (€/POD)                                                                   43,7


                        +1.2% Cagr




                                      157

                 148
                                                            2011             E2016


                                               Electricity                        Water
                                               (€/POD)                            (€/POD)
                                                                                            +1.5% Cagr

                                                     (0.4%) Cagr                                         281
                                                                                       260

                                              140             137



                2011                 E2016




              Increase below inflation rate   2011           E2016                     2011              E2016




* Hera stand alone
                                                                                                                 24
Networks targets


Ebitda breakdown                                   RAB/NIC*
(m€)                                               (m€)




                                                                                           2,182
                                                           2500
                                                                        2,035
                                                           2000                                234
                                                                         217
         500                               467             1500                                908
                                                                         848
         450                               26.8
                                                           1000
         400                                                             307                   322
         350         294                                    500
                                                                                               708
                                           236                           663
         300
                     11.4                                     0
         250
         200         150                                                2011                E2016
                                           36
         150                                                      Gas    Electricity   Water     D.H.
         100
                      26
                                           166
          50         107                                  Gas RAB (data do not include third parties RAB under
           0                                              management of about 240m€) do not include the
                     2011              E2016              expected from Gas tenders
                                                          Water data refer to RAB of Hera property only
                                                          (excluding third parties RAB under management of
                                                          about 124m€).
                                                          Electricity network data refer to the net invested capital
                                                          District Heating data refer to the net invested capital
               Gas   Electricity   Water    D.H.




* Hera stand alone
                                                                                                                       25
ANNEX: Business plan 2012-2016
  ENERGY (further details by strategic area)
ENERGY: challenging scenario

Gas demand & Import capacity Italy                                                  Italian (PSV) vs EU (EEX) Gas Spot price
(bcm)                                                                               (€/MWh)

                                                                       113
                                             Un utilized
                                               Import
                                              capacity
                                                 44%

                                                                                                                               Gap

                                                                                                                               Closing gap due to:
                                                                                                                               Increase stocking
                                                                                                                                 capacity by +25%
                                                                                                                               “Use or loose it”
                                                                                                                               CCI will include
                                                                                                                                 increasing spot
                                                                                                                                 prices




                                                                                                                                      E2016
Elect. demand slow down & over capacity Electricity PUN national average
(bcm)                                                                               (€/MWh)




         339.9 339.5                  332.3 332.5 332.5 336.0 337.8     341.6
                        320.3 330.5
                83%
                        78%    77%    75%




                               23%    25%                                                                 Reduction in gas prices effect more
                17%     22%
                                                                                                          than Offset by increase in “A3” and
                                                                                                          potential capacity payment

        New                                                  Total demand
                                                             Renewables
        capacity +3.8   +3.1   +4.1   +1.8
                                                             Conventional sources




                                                                                                                                                     26
Keeping a balanced and effective energy upstream strategy

Ebitda breakdown
(m€)


                                                        170
         180
         160                138                           21
         140                          6                   7
         120                          4                                          Heat mgmt
         100                                                                     Cogeneration
                            85                            94
          80                                                                     Power generation
          60                                                                     Sale&Trading Gas
          40
                                                                                 Sale&Trading Electr.
          20                43                           47
           0

                         2011                        E2016
• Gas Sales and Trading          activities expected to benefit from M&A contribution, more than offsetting negative
       projections on current sales & trading margins (due to progressive alignment of commodity cost component
       – “CCI” – to gas spot prices included in retail sales prices).

• Electricity Sales and Trading activities affected by a projected reduction in volume sold to   “salvaguardia” clients.




                                                                                                                           27
ANNEX: Business Plan 2012-2016
  (by business)
Waste business


Economics                                                         Capex ’12-’16: 482m€
                                                                  (m€)




       M€                      2011            E2016      Cagr.

       Ebitda                  194,2           331,0     +11,3%



                                                                         E2012         E2013       E2014   E2015       E2016
                                                                                                   Capex


Ebitda breakdown                                                  Highlights*
(m€)


                                                         331
                                                                                               2011                E2016

        194                                                          Tariffs (€/ton)           229.1               283.4


                                                                     Volume treated

                                                                     Urban (kton)              1,809               1,823
                                                                     Special (kton)            1,573               2,461
        C2011   E2012     E2013        E2014     E2015   E2016                                 1,725               2,116
                                                                     Hera prod. (kton)
                  Collection   Treatment & Disposal




                                                                                                                               28
                                                                     * Hera stand alone
Water business

 Economics                                    Capex ’12-’16: 606m€
                                              (m€)




     M€              2011    E2016    Cagr.

     Ebitda          150,2   236,9    +9,5%

                                                        E2012        E2013      E2014   E2015      E2016
                                                                                Capex



 Volume sold                                  Highlights*


                                                                             2011               E2016
                      2011    E2016
                                                     Leakage                 26.9%              24.5%
     Volumes (mm3)    254      327
                                                     RAB (b€)                0.85                0.91

                                                     Tariff (€/m3)            1.7                2.0




* Hera stand alone
                                                                                                           29
Gas business


Economics                                                                      Capex ’12-’16: 620m€*
                                                                               (m€)




   M€                            2011            E2016       Cagr.

   Ebitda                       208,7            308,3      +8,1%


                                                                                      E2012         E2013         E2014    E2015     E2016
                                                                                                                   Capex


Ebitda breakdown
(m€)                                                                           Highlights*
                                                             308.3
                                                                 21.3
   208.7                                                                26.8                                2011                   E2016
       5.5 11.4
                                                             165.8                RAB (b€)                  0.7                     0.7
   106.6
                                                                                  Networks (kKm)            13.7                   15.6
       85.2                                                      94.4
                                                                                  Tariffs (€c/m3)           7.0                     7.4
   C2011          E2012      E2013       E2014      E2015    E2016
              Sales       Distribution    D.H.       Heat mgmt




                                                                                 * Hera stand alone                                          30
Electricity business


Economics                                                                     Capex ’12-’16: 210m€
                                                                              (m€)




  M€                              2011           E2016         Cagr.

  Ebitda                          73,2              90,5      +4,3%



                                                                                      E2012       E2013    E2014    E2015   E2016
                                                                                                            Capex


Ebitda breakdown                                                              Highlights*
(m€)

                                                                90.5
                                                                                                           2011             E2016
       73.2                                                         6.5 0.8
       4.0    1.2
                                                                                     E. sold (TWh)         10.0              9.1
                                                                36.2
       26.0
                                                                                     E. distr. (TWh)        2.3              2.4
       42.0                                                     47.0
                                                                                     E. contracts (k)      482               814

   C2011            E2012     E2013      E2014       E2015     E2016                 E. tariffs (€c/KWh)    2.3              2.2
              Sales     Distribution   Production     Microcogen.




                                                                                * Hera stand alone                                  31
Portfolio mix

Business Portfolio breakdown




* Hera stand alone             32
Disclaimer




This presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding future events (which impact the Hera
Group’s future results) that are based on current expectations, estimates and opinions of management.
These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and events that are unpredictable
and depend on circumstances that might change in future.
As a result, any expectation on Group results and estimates set out in this presentation may differ
significantly depending on changes in the unpredictable circumstances on which they are based.
Therefore, any forward -looking statement made by or on behalf of the Hera Group refer on the date
they are made.
The Hera Group shall not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in the
Group’s expectations or in the events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are
based.
Nevertheless, the Hera Group has a “profit warning policy” , in accordance with Italian laws, that shall
notify the market (under “price-sensitive” communication rules) regarding any “sensible change” that
might occur in Group expectations on future results.




                                                                                                           33

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Analyst presentation: 2012-2016 Business Plan

  • 1. Hera Group business plan to 2016
  • 2. Index Introduction Annex Who and where we are page I Scenario page 13 Hera Group business portfolio page II Ebit breakdown page 14 10 years track record page III Share capital & Governance page 15 Recent news flow page IV Financial strategy page 16 Acegas APS merger: industrial rational page V Acegas APS page 17 Fondo Strategico Italiano page IX AIMG page 19 Energonut page X Sustainability KPI page 20 WASTE details page 21 Business plan to 2016 NETWORK details page 23 Strategy page 1 ENERGY details page 26 Industrial targets page 2 Business plan by Business page 28 Ebitda drivers page 3 Ebitda breakdown page 4 Key challenges and opportunities page 5 Waste page 6 Network page 7 Energy page 8 M&A strategy page 9 Capex plan page 10 Financial structure page 11 Closing remarks page 12
  • 4. Hera Group Hera reference territory • In 2002: consolidation of 11 companies in E-R. • Up to 2011: expanded by merging other companies in E-R and in the Northern part of Marche region. Friuli Veneto region • In 2012: in progress to expand (Aimag in Modena region Province and Acegas Aps in Padua and Trieste Trieste province). Padua Ebitda Growth Drivers (m€) Bologna +14.4% Cagr 645 E-R region +151 600 +83 +219 400 192 200 2002 Marche region 0 2002-2011: M&A executed 2002 Syn. & New plants M&A 2011 2012: M&A in progress Org. G. Expanding at covering 4 of the wealthiest regions of Italy I
  • 5. Well balanced portfolio Market positions 2011 Group Ebitda: 645m€ Constant Ebitda growth 2002- 2011 - 250 +14% cagr 194 30% 200 15 0 Italian leader WASTE 10 0 58 50 80% regulated (W. treatment) 0 20% regulated (W. collection) ' 0 2 ' 0 3 ' 0 4 ' 0 5 ' 0 6 ' 0 7 ' 0 8 ' 0 9 ' 10 ' 11* 350 46% +10% cagr 294 300 250 2nd Water player in Italy 200 NETWORK 3rd Gas distributor in Italy 150 120 100 50 0 100% regulated '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11* 160 138 140 +28% cagr 21% 120 100 4th gas supplier in Italy 80 ENERGY Top 8 Elec. supplier 60 40 15 20 0 100% liberalised '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11* 750 100% +14% cagr 645 650 550 Top multi- utility player 450 GROUP 6,500 employees 350 250 192 150 48% liberalised 50 52% regulated -50 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11* II
  • 6. Fast and resilient growth despite difficult macro scenario Ever growing operating results Maintaining sustainable Debt/Ebitda (m€) (x) Ebitda Ebit Overcoming peak in capex* Progressing dividend per share (m€) (€c) *Gross capex III
  • 7. Recent news flow Jul. 2012 Aug. 2012 Sept. 2012 Oct. 2012 SPA for H1 2012 FSI Energonut Merger agreement Financial results Fondo Strategico Italiano share capital increase & BP to 2016 IV
  • 8. Merger with Acegas Aps Just across the regional borders Friuli region • Nearby territories. Padua is located 40 Veneto region km from Emilia-Romagna Trieste Acegas APS Hera Padua 40 km distance • Acegas Aps regional territories Bologna have similar industrial development E-R region as Emilia-Romagna Marche • Similar background and region shareholding printing. Perfect match of business mix (’11 Ebitda) • Same business portfolio • Balance between regulated and liberalised activities • Strong positioning in all services Waste, Energy and Water Enlarged platform to tackle with business opportunities V
  • 9. Strengthening market positions 2011 Key industrial data 2011 Financial Highlights (m€) 2011 Hera Acegas Combined Revenues 4,106 585 4,691 Ranking Sector Ebitda 645 119 764 combined Ebit 334 53 387 Waste 3,713k Net profit 105 18 123 Volumes 331k 3,382k treatm.from 3° 9% 91% 1st Net financial debt 1,987 447 2,434 parties (Ton) NFP/Ebitda 3.1x 3.8x 3.2x Water clients 253k 1,184k 1,437k Market cap.ˆ 1,486 311 1,797 ^ As at 19th October 2012 in million Euro (#) 18% 82% 2nd 2011 Ebitda ranking Gas 1,374k (m€) clients 260k* 1,114k (#) 19% 81% 3rd Electric clients 142k 482k 624k (#) 23% 77% 7th Gas RAB ~200 ~850 (€m) 19% 81% ~1,050 * EstEnergy (51% AcegasAps, 49% Ascopiave) VI
  • 10. Focusing on extracting synergies from merger Synergies to 2016* (m€) LEVERS Procurement optimization (material and services) 9-10 Procurement • Volume concentration optimisation • Price benchmarking Network management 2 • Supplier base alignment and 40% Waste operations 4-5 e-procurement Commercial and trading activities 4-5 Network • WFM on water network operations Shared services and G&A 4-5 management • Remote control concentration 6% • Alignment on maintenance policies Total increase of Ebitda ~25 • In-sourcing *on top of efficiency plan set by Acegas APS business plan Waste operations • Best practices on service 18% management Synergies timing • O&M policies alignment (demand (m€) mgmt) • In-sourcing +5 +25 Commercial and • Volume concentration and +5 sourcing mgmt energy trading +8 18% • Costing alignment (mainly back office) • Commercial development +7 Shared services • Billing and G&A • Fleet mgmt 0 18% • IT services 2013 2014 2015 2016 Total • G&A rationalisation Plus enhancement on capex spending VII
  • 11. Acegas APS next steps following EGM approval (15th Oct.) 2012 2013 1 Merger into HERA of 2 Public offer to minority AcegasAps Holding AcegasAps shareholders Swap ratio: 0.763x Swap ratio: 4.16x New issued Hera shares: 143.38m New issued Hera shares: 84.83m +228.21m new Hera shares Cash proceeds: 3.4m€ Cash proceeds: 5.6m€ +9.0m€ cash proceeds 62.7% 34,466,941 37.2% 20,393,006 100.0% 54,859,947 (AcegasAps shares) (AcegasAps shares) (AcegasAps shares) HOLDING Other Share capital: 188m€ shareholders Own Shares : 118,883 NFP 06/30/’12: 6m€ VIII
  • 12. FSI agreement to became Hera shareholder • Fondo Strategico Italiano signed an agreement to enter into Hera Share capital • Strategic rational: support further cash M&A to strengthen development strategy being long term shareholder • Terms of the share capital increase: - Max 80 million new issued Hera shares (up to 5.6%-6.0% stake of post merger share capital) - Up to 100 million € investment from FSI (1.25€ p.s.) - Subject to a minimum stake of 2.6% in Hera - 1 new Board member appointed by FSI • FSI partnership enhances post Acegas APS financial structure • Condition president: Closing Acegas APS merger and clearance from Authorities Enhancing Hera financial structure and flexibility with a l/t shareholder IX
  • 13. Herambiente signed SPA with Veolia for 100% stake of Energonut Description WTE in Italy 1 • Energonut, located in Molise region, 0 13 1 3 owns a CIP6 WTE plant for RDF and a 2 8 solar plant 0 8 1 • Area characterized by plant 0 0 shortage/high waste production 4 1 2 1 1 • Client portfolio encompasses mid-term 2 and established players 1 Balanced situation • CIP6 will expire mid 2016 Waste emergency 1 Waste mgmt crisis Opportunity to optimize Hera coverage of national market X
  • 14. Energonut key highlights Financial Highlights (m€) 1 2 E2012 Enhance WTE normalised Expand market leadership Revenues 26 “Area short of plants” “National coverage” Ebitda 17 Ebit 12 3 4 Net Profit 6 Synergy potentials Positive CF & Net invested capital* 49 Dividend flows “Herambiente network & economies of scale” “Create value” *as of 31/12/2012 Energonut technical data Deal details WTE plant Solar plant Power gen. capacity: 13.4MW inst Power gen. Enterprise value 49 m€ 0.5MW capacity Net electricity Closing expected produced/Y: 83.4 GWh 2012 Electricity 1GWh within: produced/Y Incentive: Cip6 Cash acquisition of RDF treated/Y: 93.5k ton Incentive escl. 100% PUN (€/MWh) 320 share capital Personnel: 27 people Equity IRR >15% Emas, Certified: ISO1400,18001 Leader in Italy with 10 WTE in 4 regions XI
  • 16. Tight to multi-utility expansion strategy Multi-business mix Expand downstream 1 2 Extracting synergies Enlarge customer base leveraging on larger scale and Cross selling operating efficiency and service Enhance service quality coverage “Tackling with tougher “Deploying economies of competition and economic scale, service enhancement” environment”” 3 4 Evolve and complement Merger & Acquisition asset base Execute deal in progress Increase recycling/waste treatment assets Pursue M&A selecting new Enhance generation from renewables opportunities Deploy an integrated perspective on smart network “Create value through “Leveraging on unique strengths” strategy execution” Creating value and sustainable dividend flows for shareholders 1
  • 17. Remarkable step forward in business size 2011 2016 Sector Key Industrial targets Volume of waste treated from 3°parties (m ton) 3.4 4.8 Urban waste collected (m ton) 1.8 2.4 WASTE Number of plants 79 >90 Electricity generated from biomass (GWh) 400 600 Water volume (m m3) 254 327 NETWORK Gas POD (m unit) 1.2 1.7 Heat sold (GWht) 499 663 Gas sold & traded (bcm) 3.3 4.5 ENERGY Electricity sold (TWh) 10.0 10.6 Energy clients (m unit) 1.6 2.5 2
  • 18. EBITDA growth leveraging upon “all” drivers Next 5Y Ebitda Target (m€) +9% cagr 990 +25 +54 +152 645 +114 2011 Hera syn. & Agegas APS Acegas APS Hera gas E2016 org. g. stand alone synergies tenders + Aimag Hera syn. & org. growth Acegas APS Gas tenders M&A: Aimag (m€) (m€) 27 Aiming at confirming Ongoing negotiation were 25 23 current concessions and interrupted due to 21 gas distribution (implying earthquake. 25.0 19 22.5 23.0 extensions of current territories 20.8 17 served by Hera with 120k POD More conservative projec- 15 Avg '06-'11 Old BP 2011 Avg '12-'16 and additional Ebitda of 14m€) tion vs old BP (40m€) EBIT CAGR expected to grow at +10% on average per annum 3
  • 19. Overview on Ebitda growth by strategic areas Ebitda growth drivers (m€) 4
  • 20. Key challenges and opportunities Challanges Opportunities • Changing business • Evolve asset base exploiting model in waste mgmt recovery/recycling WASTE • Volume development • Enhance market coverage (by territory, by technology) • Gas tenders • Consolidate “in current territory” NETWORK • New regulatory • Capitalise on capex performed and framework in water efficiency achieved • Volume development • Exploit peculiarity of reference territory ENERGY • Gas tariff reform • Steer “soft landing” through optimisation of costs and active customer portfolio mgmt. 5
  • 21. WASTE: Maximize value extraction Strategy Ebitda breakdown (m€) Enhance Returns Develop Market & Asset “Focus on special waste mkt” +137m€ “Pricing optimization” “Asset portfolio mgmt” “Develop asset base consistently +10 331 +35 +7 with sorted collection increase” +85 194 Follow regulation Integration synergies “Contribute to new regulatory setting” “Tackle with authorization process” “Acegas aggregation” “Confirm current concessions on “Reduce cost base” 2011 Syn & Acegas AA Syn. Aimag E2016 waste collection” Org. G. APS Hera waste management benchmarking Extract value from 100% urban waste* E2016 1 2 5 20 EU ranking 37% 50% 48% 67% Landfill 17% WTE 29% Other (composting, recovery, TMB) 49% 46% 33% 0% 1% 23% HOLLAND SWEDEN HERA ITALY * Hera stand alone Leveraging upon plant capacity in market shortage 6
  • 22. NETWORKS: Confirm concessions and extract value from assets Strategy Ebitda breakdown (m€) Gas & Electric. distr. Water services +173m€ +20 467 “Aiming at guaranting proper +76 +9 “Focus on upcoming tenders” “Electronic meter substitution” return on RAB” “Focus on leakages” +14 +54 294 Smart mgmt system Enhance Returns “Deploy intelligence to enhance “Asset value enhacem.” service quality and costing” “Enhance D.H. activities” 2011 Syn & Gas Acegas AA Syn. Aimag E2016 Org. G. tenders APS “Smart” network management Key targets on efficiency • Grid Automation • Remote control lightings • Integrated mgmt of power gen. • LED technology and 2011 E2016 sources automatic flow regulation • Water net leakages 27% 25% Energy Storage • Energy efficiency • Smart info Electr. Net/employee (km) 5.3 7 Smart city/ Smart area Gas & water net/employee (km) 33.4 47 • Wireless Water • Plant and gates Electr. POD/employee (unit) 138 195 • Monitoring automation Gas • Communication platforms • Roll out electr. meters Water & Gas POD/employee (‘000 km) 1.27 1.8 • Interconnections to by pass interruptions Tackling with Authority’s higher efficiency requirements safeguarding returns 7
  • 23. ENERGY: Progress on down stream development Strategy Ebitda breakdown (m€) Expand market Tackle with margin +32m€ “Cross selling to achieve 2.5 million squeezing +9 170 +30 +7 customers” “Manage pricing and customer “Complement new areas 138 (14) segments” with Acegas Aps” Upstream optimization Cost control “Synergies Acegas Aps” “Re-define trading scope to “Reduce cost to serve and tackle margin squeeze” 2011 Syn & Acegas AA Syn. Aimag E2016 enhance virtualization” Org. G. APS Gas and Electricity volumes Key targets on efficiency Gas Electricity (bcm) (TWh) 2011 E2016 4.5 11 10.0 10.6 Avg. contracts per client 2.07 2.2 1.5 9 3.3 Multi-service invoice (m CA) 0.77 1,1 7 6.5 6.4 5 Automatic payments (mln contract) 1.9 2.3 3 55% 49% 3.5 35% 25% 1 2.7 On-line customers (‘000) 129 279 -1 2011 E2016 Cost to serve (€/POD) 20 19 Customers 1.1 1.5 0.5 1.0 On-line billing (k CA) 53 187 (m unit) Own pro ductio n M arket M &A Enhance marketing intelligence to tackle with changing scenario 8
  • 24. M&A strategy focused on “traditional core dimensions” M&A scope and guidelines Rational Multi-utility Similar portfolio mix In surroundings territories • Increase economies of scale Reasonably sound financials • Consolidate territorial presence • Exploit value from Hera business Not diluitive model Pursuing controlling stake Energy & Waste National scope • Strengthen competitive positioning Sound financials • Leverage on leadership Primarily through cash • Exploit expertice 2013 focused on full integration of Acegas APS 9
  • 25. Capital expenditures 2012-2016 capex plan by business Capex plan by legal entity (m€) (m€) 460 Total Capex: 1.94b€ 435 394 86 362 123 25 75 288 65 260 ’12-’16 1.94b€ 283 1,480 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Hera Acegas APS Aimag Gas tenders Capex by regulated/liberalised activities Development capex plan (m€) (m€) 123 123 586 ’12-’16 ’12-’16 934 1.94b€ 1.94b€ 881 1,229 Liberalised activities Regulated activities Gas tenders Development capex Maintenance capex Gas tenders 10
  • 26. Enhance financial performance EPS Cagr Returns (€) (%, b€) ~0.12 ROI ROE >10% 8.0% 8.7% 6.7% 0.094 2011 E2016 2011 E2016 2011 E2016 NIC** 3.9 5.3 Equity 1.9 2.7 **NIC: Net Invested Capital E2016 Cash flows Financial ratios (m€) FFO/Debt Debt/Ebitda 3.1x 3.1x +599 (374) ~ 2.7x ~ 20% 15% +225 Operating Cash flows Capex & Inv.* Free Cash flows 2011 E2016 2011 E2016 * Excluding Hera gas tenders extraordinary expenditures Convertible bond assumed re-placed by debt 11
  • 27. Closing remarks Leveraging upon well known levers to create value 990m€ Ebitda in 2016 M&A: synergy exploitation and business portfolio rationalization organic growth perspectives with Energonut Identify further opportunities matching Hera policies Focusing on EPS (>5%cagr) and Free Cash Flows (>200m€) Sound debt structure (2.7x Debt/Ebitda) DPS policy: guaranteeing a floor at 9c€ per year Maintaining a balance in cash flows Capitalizing a reliable & sound equity story 12
  • 28. ANNEX: Business plan 2012-2016 Further Group details
  • 29. Assumptions 2011 E2014 E2016 Brent (Dollar/Barrel) 111 106 105 Exchange ratio $/€ 1.39 1.35 1.35 PUN: Avg Northern Italy elect. price (€/MWh) 70 75 80 Inflation (%) 2% 2% 2% Italian GDP trend (%) +0.7% +1.4% +1.4% Green certificate (€/MWh) 83 78 73 CEC (Cip6 avoid cost) (€/MWh) 118 127 126 White certificates (€/TEP) 94 80 81 CO2 certificates (€/ton) 17 12 16 WATER services revenues* (Cagr ’11-’16) +2.5% GAS distribution revenues* (Cagr ’11-’16) +1.8% ELECTRICITY distribution revenues* (Cagr ’11-’16) +1.1% WASTE Collection revenues* (Cagr ’11-’16) +4.3% *Data refers to Hera stand alone 13
  • 30. Change in Governance Share capital develop. Hera Group Board of Directors 2013 2014 1,115 4 1% 14 18 Bod m Hera 2011 shares member 59% s 4 2 1,343 20 4 1% 14 Bod m member Hera post Acegas shares s 4 Public offer 48% 2 Hera post 38% 12 15 1,423 21 FSI Bod Bod m 14 member member 4 shares s s 3 46% 1 Hera municipalities Acegas Aps municipalities Other shareholders FSI 14
  • 31. Consolidated Group Ebit Ebit 2011 Ebit 2016 1 4 85 172 By strategic area 156 334m€ 255 543m€ By legal entity 18 9 93 81 112 Waste Energy Networks Other Waste Energy Networks Other 543m€ 33 1 35 3 85 435 172 Hera Acegas APS By Business 334m€ 216 543m€ Aimag Gas tenders 147 69 116 Waste Water Gas Electricity Other 15
  • 32. Financial Strategy Refinancing needs to 2016 Pursuing balanced interest nature (m€) 1 6 00 589 1.50 0 1 6 00 450 1.50 0 1 4 00 1 4 00 1 2 00 1 2 00 230 1 000 284 1 000 500 8 00 104 8 00 6 00 303 Fixed 50% Rates 50% Varialble 6 00 4 00 180 4 00 220 2 00 +140 2 00 0 0 Convert. BEI Euro Loan Acegas Total 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Total bond bond amort. Focus on Acegas Debt structure Hera Group financial strategy Fixed 3% Mid term 32% • Maintain financial liabilities homogeneous Time with investment time horizons Interest rate horizon • Non speculative financing 68% • Optimize mix variable/fixed to stabilise Variable 97% Short related cash flows term 16
  • 33. Acegas APS Deal Deal valuation issues Activities in Bulgaria • Companies valuation based on business fundamentals, accounting perspective returns on recent investments/capex (i.e. 40m€ RAB in Bulgaria still not AcegasAPS - Rilagas •Population: 324k contributing to ’11 Ebitda). •Cities: 7+ •Network completed (km): 1,020 •RAB: 40m€ •Concession: 35 years • The deal doesn’t affect Hera sound financial structure. Multi-utility players in Veneto/Friuli • Almost neutral on ’11 EPS upfront, accretive on EPS by 8%-11% post synergies. • Implied 2012 Ebitda multiple ~6x (~5.5x net of Bulgarian assets) • Further upside driven by the new business opportunities (including potential M&A). 17
  • 34. Acegas APS: Further business plan details Acegas APS Ebitda Ebitda growth ’12-’16 (m€) (m€) By strategic area By Business +8 +10 152 152 180.00 119 +4 +11 160.00 152 140.00 11.6 119 119 14.3 120.00 8.7 1.9 100.00 53.7 80.00 49.9 60.00 37.2 40.00 34.7 20.00 - 24.1 35.2 0 2011 E2016 2011 Energy Waste Netw ork Other E2016 Waste Water Gas Electricity Other Capex plan Key Acegas APS growth drivers (m€) By strategic area By Business 11 48 10.6 • Waste: Full operation of WTE and market 29.2 48.0 enlargement ’12-’16 21 ’12-’16 • Other: Growth relates to Bulgaria and 260m€ 260m€ public lighting 98.8 73.2 180 • Tariffs of regulated businesses projected to Waste Energy Waste Water Gas grow moderately Electricity Other Networks Other 18
  • 35. AIMAG: Further details Ebitda Target 2016 2011 Industrial data & Financials (m€) By strategic area By Business 2011 40 50.00 40 Industrial data 2011 Revenues 243 45.00 40.00 2.5 0.6 Gas sold (mm3) 365 Ebitda 44 35.00 30.00 15.5 Gas distrib. (mm3) 290 25.00 Ebit 22 Water sold (mm3) 15 20.00 15.00 11.4 Net Profit 12 10.00 5.00 10.1 Net invested 231 - capital E2016 Net Debt 85 Waste Water Gas Electricity Other Capex plan Key growth drivers and Deal issue (m€) By strategic area By Business • Aimag was prudently accounted for in Hera 15 15.2 15.1 BP projecting steady results through out the business plan period. ’12-’16 ’12-’16 • Financials structure as of 31/12/’11: 75m€ 75m€ • Net financial position : 90m€ 60 44.7 • Net Equity: 146m€ Waste Water Gas • Expected to issue 33m shares to merge Waste Networks Aimag. Hera owns 25% stake of Aimag (35m€ cash consideration) 19
  • 36. Sustainable development Electricity production – renewable CO2 emission avoided* (GWhe) (ton) ~600 ~575 ~400 374 374 220 WTE Digestor 5 12 50 Biogas 84 102 89 Idroelectric 1 1 1 Cagr. (3.1%) 90 86 86 Biomass 2011 E2013 E2016 Thermal energy production – renewable* Low emission vehicles* (GWht) Cagr. +2,5% 189.3 194.3 25.6% 135.1 74.3 74.3 24.4% Geothermal 5.5 6.7 74.7 Biogas 22.6% 109.5 113.2 60.4 WTE 2011C 2013PI 2016PI 2011C 2013PI 2016PI * Hera stand alone 20
  • 37. ANNEX: Business plan 2012-2016 WASTE (further details by strategic area)
  • 38. Hera growth strategy and waste market expansion Market Expansion Fully integrate value chain Hera Treatment capacity* Focus on Expand Increase (k ton) value added geographical “full service” treatments scope contracts +1,294 Kton 627 1 25 178 6,333 5,107 147 35 14 1 Hera sales volumes* (kton) +4.8% Cagr 2011 WTE Landfill Compost Che/phy., Selction/RDF plants E2016 3rd +9.4% Cagr disidr. +0.2% Cagr Mix of treatments* (kton) 7000 6,333 6000 5,107 1398 Third p. plant 5000 Leverage upon domestic plant shortage 1216 424 Sort/RDF 333 RAEE/Disidr. 4000 Identified key target MKT 299 0 1188 Che./Phy. Competitive commercial offers (full service) 3000 892 618 Compost 505 2000 Landfil 1268 1303 WTE Stable urban waste volumes due to slow down in 1000 consumptions 923 1069 0 Increase sorted collection to 65% 2011 E2016 * Hera stand alone 21
  • 39. Waste treatment capacity and energy generation enhancement Green certificates* Waste To Energy Plants (m€) Renewable Power generation 21 (GWh) Ton Potenza EE EE a CV smaltite Installata prodotta WTE Ferrara 130 k 13,1 MW 109 Gwh 38 Gwh WTE Forlì 120 k 10,9 MW 94,6 Gwh 35 Gwh WTE Ravenna 45 k 6,3 MW 30,9 Gwh - 19 WTE Ravenna 45 k 4,2 MW 22,5 Gwh - F3 WTE Rimini 134 k 10,9 MW 122 Gwh 44 Gwh WTE Modena 154 k 18,6 MW 203 Gwh 74 Gwh 2011 E2016 WTE FEA 194 k 22,0 MW 145 Gwh - ENOMONDO ENOMONDO 110 k 12,7 MW 126 Gwh 41 Gwh GC quantity 256 264 ENERGONUT ENERGONUT 94 k 13,4 MW 94,6 Gwh - (GWh) GC price 83 73 WTE Trieste 159 k 14.9 MW 103 Gwh 10 Gwh (€/ MWh) WTE Padua 173 k 17.8 MW 115 Gwh 35 Gwh * Hera stand alone 22
  • 40. ANNEX: Business plan 2012-2016 NETWORKS (further details by strategic area)
  • 41. Networks internal growth drivers (1) Visible and safe tariff enhancement* Benefitting from new asset base* Avg. revenue per m3 of water distributed Hera heating production sources (excl. leakages) (€/m3) (GWht) +2.2% Cagr +5.3% Cagr 20% 20% Efficient 21% 519 thermal energy 384 20% production 17% 12% Total gas revenues 13% 10% (m€) +1.8 % Cagr 35% 32% Hera heating production sources Total electricity revenues Increase volume sold to new customer (m€) +0.02% Cagr (new urbanization) Efficient sources for heat production Waste contribution to increase heat gen. Increase of margins/environmental perf. E2016 Ebitda of D.H. expected to increase by +15m€ (from 11 m€ of 2011) * Hera stand alone 23
  • 42. Networks internal growth drivers* (2) Economies of scale in networks management Gas (€/POD) (0.2%)Cagr Average Cost per POD 44,1 (€/POD) 43,7 +1.2% Cagr 157 148 2011 E2016 Electricity Water (€/POD) (€/POD) +1.5% Cagr (0.4%) Cagr 281 260 140 137 2011 E2016 Increase below inflation rate 2011 E2016 2011 E2016 * Hera stand alone 24
  • 43. Networks targets Ebitda breakdown RAB/NIC* (m€) (m€) 2,182 2500 2,035 2000 234 217 500 467 1500 908 848 450 26.8 1000 400 307 322 350 294 500 708 236 663 300 11.4 0 250 200 150 2011 E2016 36 150 Gas Electricity Water D.H. 100 26 166 50 107 Gas RAB (data do not include third parties RAB under 0 management of about 240m€) do not include the 2011 E2016 expected from Gas tenders Water data refer to RAB of Hera property only (excluding third parties RAB under management of about 124m€). Electricity network data refer to the net invested capital District Heating data refer to the net invested capital Gas Electricity Water D.H. * Hera stand alone 25
  • 44. ANNEX: Business plan 2012-2016 ENERGY (further details by strategic area)
  • 45. ENERGY: challenging scenario Gas demand & Import capacity Italy Italian (PSV) vs EU (EEX) Gas Spot price (bcm) (€/MWh) 113 Un utilized Import capacity 44% Gap Closing gap due to: Increase stocking capacity by +25% “Use or loose it” CCI will include increasing spot prices E2016 Elect. demand slow down & over capacity Electricity PUN national average (bcm) (€/MWh) 339.9 339.5 332.3 332.5 332.5 336.0 337.8 341.6 320.3 330.5 83% 78% 77% 75% 23% 25% Reduction in gas prices effect more 17% 22% than Offset by increase in “A3” and potential capacity payment New Total demand Renewables capacity +3.8 +3.1 +4.1 +1.8 Conventional sources 26
  • 46. Keeping a balanced and effective energy upstream strategy Ebitda breakdown (m€) 170 180 160 138 21 140 6 7 120 4 Heat mgmt 100 Cogeneration 85 94 80 Power generation 60 Sale&Trading Gas 40 Sale&Trading Electr. 20 43 47 0 2011 E2016 • Gas Sales and Trading activities expected to benefit from M&A contribution, more than offsetting negative projections on current sales & trading margins (due to progressive alignment of commodity cost component – “CCI” – to gas spot prices included in retail sales prices). • Electricity Sales and Trading activities affected by a projected reduction in volume sold to “salvaguardia” clients. 27
  • 47. ANNEX: Business Plan 2012-2016 (by business)
  • 48. Waste business Economics Capex ’12-’16: 482m€ (m€) M€ 2011 E2016 Cagr. Ebitda 194,2 331,0 +11,3% E2012 E2013 E2014 E2015 E2016 Capex Ebitda breakdown Highlights* (m€) 331 2011 E2016 194 Tariffs (€/ton) 229.1 283.4 Volume treated Urban (kton) 1,809 1,823 Special (kton) 1,573 2,461 C2011 E2012 E2013 E2014 E2015 E2016 1,725 2,116 Hera prod. (kton) Collection Treatment & Disposal 28 * Hera stand alone
  • 49. Water business Economics Capex ’12-’16: 606m€ (m€) M€ 2011 E2016 Cagr. Ebitda 150,2 236,9 +9,5% E2012 E2013 E2014 E2015 E2016 Capex Volume sold Highlights* 2011 E2016 2011 E2016 Leakage 26.9% 24.5% Volumes (mm3) 254 327 RAB (b€) 0.85 0.91 Tariff (€/m3) 1.7 2.0 * Hera stand alone 29
  • 50. Gas business Economics Capex ’12-’16: 620m€* (m€) M€ 2011 E2016 Cagr. Ebitda 208,7 308,3 +8,1% E2012 E2013 E2014 E2015 E2016 Capex Ebitda breakdown (m€) Highlights* 308.3 21.3 208.7 26.8 2011 E2016 5.5 11.4 165.8 RAB (b€) 0.7 0.7 106.6 Networks (kKm) 13.7 15.6 85.2 94.4 Tariffs (€c/m3) 7.0 7.4 C2011 E2012 E2013 E2014 E2015 E2016 Sales Distribution D.H. Heat mgmt * Hera stand alone 30
  • 51. Electricity business Economics Capex ’12-’16: 210m€ (m€) M€ 2011 E2016 Cagr. Ebitda 73,2 90,5 +4,3% E2012 E2013 E2014 E2015 E2016 Capex Ebitda breakdown Highlights* (m€) 90.5 2011 E2016 73.2 6.5 0.8 4.0 1.2 E. sold (TWh) 10.0 9.1 36.2 26.0 E. distr. (TWh) 2.3 2.4 42.0 47.0 E. contracts (k) 482 814 C2011 E2012 E2013 E2014 E2015 E2016 E. tariffs (€c/KWh) 2.3 2.2 Sales Distribution Production Microcogen. * Hera stand alone 31
  • 52. Portfolio mix Business Portfolio breakdown * Hera stand alone 32
  • 53. Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding future events (which impact the Hera Group’s future results) that are based on current expectations, estimates and opinions of management. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and events that are unpredictable and depend on circumstances that might change in future. As a result, any expectation on Group results and estimates set out in this presentation may differ significantly depending on changes in the unpredictable circumstances on which they are based. Therefore, any forward -looking statement made by or on behalf of the Hera Group refer on the date they are made. The Hera Group shall not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in the Group’s expectations or in the events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are based. Nevertheless, the Hera Group has a “profit warning policy” , in accordance with Italian laws, that shall notify the market (under “price-sensitive” communication rules) regarding any “sensible change” that might occur in Group expectations on future results. 33