7. Medical Trend
Inflation (30%)
• Increased cost of services & goods
Utilization (60%)
• Technology
• Aging Population
• Government Mandates
• Cost Shifting
Leverage (10%)
8. MidPoint
Claims Data Period
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
07 07 07 08 08 08 08 08 08 08 08 08
Plan Year Renewal
Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 10
March 2008 – January 2009 = 11 months
February 2009 – July 2009 = 7 months
Total Months of Trend is 18 months
10. Large Claims Added
Claimant deceased
Claimant no longer covered
Treatment completed
Unusual claim
Claim being covered by Medicare
11. Medical Loss Ratio
PPACA set MLR at 85%
Direct Claims Paid to Providers
Activities to Improve Healthcare Quality
• Case Management
• Care Coordination
• Chronic Disease Management
• Wellness Programs
• Supporting Health Information Technology
• Hospital Discharge Programs
• Measures to improve patient safety and reduce medical
errors
13. Credibility
(close enough for horseshoes)
To Estimate:
Number of covered employees x 20
Then take the square root of that
number
For example:
254 employees x 20 = 5080 and the square root is 71
Your claims data is approximately 71% credible
14. Other Adjustments
Underwriters have the
Power to Give
And the
Power to Take Away
15. Leigh A. Mills, AAI, CIC, GBA
Thank You! Vice President,
Senior Consultant
Compass Consulting Group
(904) 434-0822
Leigh.mills@compasscgi.com