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Effective Communication and the meaning of โ€˜Edutizeโ€™
www.steveharneyblog.com
Leadership in the Current Real Estate Environment Sunday, November 15 9:00am-10:30am
Reports are still looking good!! UP! Pending home sales UP! Existing home sales UP! New construction
Sources: Bubble Meter 8/22/09
Case Shiller โ€œThese four months of improvement are the first time we have seen broad increases in home prices in 34 months.โ€ - S&P index committee chairman David Blitzer Source: Micro Markets 7/28/09
Prices โ€œIt really is too soon to call this a turning point.โ€ ,[object Object],who helped create the index Sources: Wall Street Journal 8/25/2009
Source: Seeking Alpha, Tom Iacono 7/05/09
Media headlines should not alter our business plans nor our diligence.
People donโ€™t believe  what you tell them. They always believe  what they tell themselves.
Cost vs. Price
New York Times โ€œIf prices come down another 10% but interest rates increase by 1 percentage point, that would mean the same monthly payment today versus waiting.โ€ Source: New York Times 7/27/09
What will happen to house values in the  next six months?
Sales vs. Prices โ€œI expect, I hope, weโ€™ll see stabilization. While there are still great concerns, weโ€™re beginning to see the seeds of bottoming, not in prices yet, but in sales.โ€ - Alan Greenspanat the NAR Midyear Conference Sales Prices
HomeGain 3rd Quarter Realtor Survey In the next six months, do you think the  values of homes in your market will: Sources: Homegain 8/2009
Supply & Demand โ€œOne of the most vital fundamentals (in housing), the ratio between supply and demand, is still out of whack.โ€ - Newsweek Sources: Newsweek 8/31/2009
32%
How big a role  will foreclosures play?
Delinquency Rates 13.16% in the second quarter of 2009 Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association 8/09
Sources: Seeking Alpha 8/24/2009
โ€˜Cure Rateโ€™ for prime loans dropped  to 6.6% from an average  of 45% for the years 2000 through 2006.  Sources: Wall Street Journal 8/24/2009
Causes of Mortgage Foreclosures  (2nd half 2008) Source: Wall Street Journal, Stan Liebowitz 7/3/09
Wisconsin Unemployment 8.7% Source: Google 9/09/09
Mortgages Underwater Wisconsin 20% Sources: First American CoreLogic 8/09
suffering The High End is alsoโ€ฆ โ€œJumbo prime foreclosure rates up 580 percent since January 2008.โ€ - Lender Processing Services July Mortgage Monitor Report
Mortgage loan defaults as a strategy More than 25% of mortgage loan defaults are strategic. ,[object Object],Strategic Default on Mortgagesโ€™ Source: Northwestern University Kellogg School of Management, the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and the European University Institute  7/09
โ€œThe Treasury expects โ€˜millions of foreclosuresโ€™ even if the HAMP is a total success.โ€  ,[object Object],[object Object]
Todayโ€™s Price Projected  Bottom May 2010 Nov 2011 Source: CME Group 6/09
Mortgage Bankers Association โ€œThe housing market may not stabilize until the first quarter of 2011, the Mortgage Bankers Association said today, upon release of its National Delinquency Survey.โ€  2010 2009 2011 Source: Housing Wire 5/28/09
โ€œWith any luck, three years should be long enough for the U.S. economy to recover and for the nation's housing inventory to shrink to more normal levels.โ€ Source: Business Week 6/09
USA Today Wisconsin 2012 or later
Short Sales jumped 208 percent during the first quarter of this year compared with the same period in 2008. 2008 2010 Source: Office of Thrift Supervision and the Office of the Comptroller 6/09
Total Communication Total Communication Deal in person
โ€˜Courage is what it takes to stand up and speak; courage is also what it takes to sit down and listen.โ€™           -Winston Churchill
The two most important rules: You didnโ€™t hear what I just said. Listen for what the person is saying, not for what they just said.
The chicken was ready to eat. The sheriff caught the man with the gun. She tickled the baby with the stuffed animal. Mary put the candy in her mouth on the table. Letโ€™s test the rules
The facts: ,[object Object]
We can intelligently listen at 600-800  words per minute.,[object Object]
Did you hear the whole sentence? He didnโ€™t want to take the apartment because of the bugsโ€ฆ The lawyer took the big caseโ€ฆ He was afraid of Aliโ€™s punchโ€ฆ he didnโ€™t want the police listening to his conversations. he knew it could hold all his papers. he thought it might be spiked with alcohol.
โ€˜One of the hardest things to do in life is to listen without intent to reply.โ€™                              - Author Unknown
7.Watch your own emotions. 8. Be very slow to disagree, criticize or argue. 9. Ask lots of questions. 10 Steps to better listening
Quiz Think of a number from 1 to 10  Multiply that number by 9  If the number is a 2-digit number, add the digits together  Now subtract 5  Determine which letter in the alphabet corresponds to the number you ended up with (example: 1=a, 2=b, 3=c, etc.)  Think of a country that starts with that letter  Remember the last letter of the name of that country  Think of the name of an animal that starts with that letter  Remember the last letter in the name of that animal  Think of the name of a fruit that starts with that letter
How did I know? DENMARK
7.Watch your own emotions. 8. Be very slow to disagree, criticize or argue. 9. Ask lots of questions. 10. Stop talking!!! 10 Steps to better listening
Levels of listening Most Listening to feel what is being said Feelings Listening to analyze and evaluate content Thoughts and beliefs Listening to retain content Energy Listening to understand content Facts Hearing Least
10 years  from now
1 year from now
Steve harney september 2009 ppt

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Steve harney september 2009 ppt

  • 1. Effective Communication and the meaning of โ€˜Edutizeโ€™
  • 3. Leadership in the Current Real Estate Environment Sunday, November 15 9:00am-10:30am
  • 4. Reports are still looking good!! UP! Pending home sales UP! Existing home sales UP! New construction
  • 6. Case Shiller โ€œThese four months of improvement are the first time we have seen broad increases in home prices in 34 months.โ€ - S&P index committee chairman David Blitzer Source: Micro Markets 7/28/09
  • 7.
  • 8. Source: Seeking Alpha, Tom Iacono 7/05/09
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Media headlines should not alter our business plans nor our diligence.
  • 12. People donโ€™t believe what you tell them. They always believe what they tell themselves.
  • 14. New York Times โ€œIf prices come down another 10% but interest rates increase by 1 percentage point, that would mean the same monthly payment today versus waiting.โ€ Source: New York Times 7/27/09
  • 15. What will happen to house values in the next six months?
  • 16. Sales vs. Prices โ€œI expect, I hope, weโ€™ll see stabilization. While there are still great concerns, weโ€™re beginning to see the seeds of bottoming, not in prices yet, but in sales.โ€ - Alan Greenspanat the NAR Midyear Conference Sales Prices
  • 17. HomeGain 3rd Quarter Realtor Survey In the next six months, do you think the values of homes in your market will: Sources: Homegain 8/2009
  • 18. Supply & Demand โ€œOne of the most vital fundamentals (in housing), the ratio between supply and demand, is still out of whack.โ€ - Newsweek Sources: Newsweek 8/31/2009
  • 19. 32%
  • 20. How big a role will foreclosures play?
  • 21. Delinquency Rates 13.16% in the second quarter of 2009 Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association 8/09
  • 23. โ€˜Cure Rateโ€™ for prime loans dropped to 6.6% from an average of 45% for the years 2000 through 2006. Sources: Wall Street Journal 8/24/2009
  • 24. Causes of Mortgage Foreclosures (2nd half 2008) Source: Wall Street Journal, Stan Liebowitz 7/3/09
  • 25. Wisconsin Unemployment 8.7% Source: Google 9/09/09
  • 26. Mortgages Underwater Wisconsin 20% Sources: First American CoreLogic 8/09
  • 27. suffering The High End is alsoโ€ฆ โ€œJumbo prime foreclosure rates up 580 percent since January 2008.โ€ - Lender Processing Services July Mortgage Monitor Report
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30. Todayโ€™s Price Projected Bottom May 2010 Nov 2011 Source: CME Group 6/09
  • 31. Mortgage Bankers Association โ€œThe housing market may not stabilize until the first quarter of 2011, the Mortgage Bankers Association said today, upon release of its National Delinquency Survey.โ€ 2010 2009 2011 Source: Housing Wire 5/28/09
  • 32. โ€œWith any luck, three years should be long enough for the U.S. economy to recover and for the nation's housing inventory to shrink to more normal levels.โ€ Source: Business Week 6/09
  • 33. USA Today Wisconsin 2012 or later
  • 34. Short Sales jumped 208 percent during the first quarter of this year compared with the same period in 2008. 2008 2010 Source: Office of Thrift Supervision and the Office of the Comptroller 6/09
  • 35. Total Communication Total Communication Deal in person
  • 36. โ€˜Courage is what it takes to stand up and speak; courage is also what it takes to sit down and listen.โ€™ -Winston Churchill
  • 37. The two most important rules: You didnโ€™t hear what I just said. Listen for what the person is saying, not for what they just said.
  • 38. The chicken was ready to eat. The sheriff caught the man with the gun. She tickled the baby with the stuffed animal. Mary put the candy in her mouth on the table. Letโ€™s test the rules
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41. Did you hear the whole sentence? He didnโ€™t want to take the apartment because of the bugsโ€ฆ The lawyer took the big caseโ€ฆ He was afraid of Aliโ€™s punchโ€ฆ he didnโ€™t want the police listening to his conversations. he knew it could hold all his papers. he thought it might be spiked with alcohol.
  • 42. โ€˜One of the hardest things to do in life is to listen without intent to reply.โ€™ - Author Unknown
  • 43. 7.Watch your own emotions. 8. Be very slow to disagree, criticize or argue. 9. Ask lots of questions. 10 Steps to better listening
  • 44. Quiz Think of a number from 1 to 10 Multiply that number by 9 If the number is a 2-digit number, add the digits together Now subtract 5 Determine which letter in the alphabet corresponds to the number you ended up with (example: 1=a, 2=b, 3=c, etc.) Think of a country that starts with that letter Remember the last letter of the name of that country Think of the name of an animal that starts with that letter Remember the last letter in the name of that animal Think of the name of a fruit that starts with that letter
  • 45. How did I know? DENMARK
  • 46. 7.Watch your own emotions. 8. Be very slow to disagree, criticize or argue. 9. Ask lots of questions. 10. Stop talking!!! 10 Steps to better listening
  • 47. Levels of listening Most Listening to feel what is being said Feelings Listening to analyze and evaluate content Thoughts and beliefs Listening to retain content Energy Listening to understand content Facts Hearing Least
  • 48. 10 years from now
  • 49. 1 year from now