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Market research top-line                                      Mar 2011




       HCMC                        HA NOI                     DANANG



 HIGHLIGHTS:           How inflation affects on consumption’s behavior and
                                      consumers’ attitude
About

   Viettrack is a monthly research news-letter developed by FTA Research & Consultant,
    the representative of ESOMAR in Viet Nam. It is conducted base on a monthly
    research. It aims at delivering comment, evaluation and true feeling of research
    objects about present time’s economic situation as well as promotion campaigns or
    products to producers and marketers. It is expected to help them understand to offer
    better service to unsatisfied demand of consumers.

   Viettrack is done according to ISO 20252:2006, the international quality standard in
    market research and ESOMAR Code of Conduct.

   Viettrack Mar 2011 is conducted on general population (18-50) in 3 largest cities of
    Vietnam (Hochiminh, Hanoi, Danang) with N=600. This study aims at finding how
    inflation affects on consumption’s behavior and consumers’ attitude in 2011. Thus,
    this information will help marketers to have some suitable adjustment in their
    strategy in the current situation.
Inflation & consumer attitude
Inflation impact
    Sensitivity group                               Almost consumer in HCM, HN and Da Nang is affected by
                                                     inflation.
                                                    The group is affected more than others is:
                  Da                                   o Who live in Da Nang.
                           Location?
                 Nang
                                                       o Older age (41-50).
                                                       o Married .
   Age     41-
group?     50


                 Marri
                           Status?
                  ed

                                         Total       HCM         HN     Da Nang 18 - 30 31 - 40 41 - 50               Single     Married


                              Mean        2.48       2.41       2.46       2.56*       2.43       2.46       2.58*        2.41     2.52*

                                                                                                                                           %




                              N=           600        200        200        200        268        162        170          244      356
   Note: (*) is significant difference at 95% confidence interval / Lưu ý: (*) là khác biệt có ý nghĩa ở 95% độ tin cậy
Economic information follow up
      Ha Noi                               Almost consumers in 3 cities follow inflation information frequently. Inflation seems
26%
      (vs DN: 11%, HCM: 20%)                be one of the hottest issues right now.

                                           Just some don’t pay much attention to the economic situation. They are:
        Female
 22%                                             Ha Noi people (26%)
        (Vs Male:16%)
                                                 Female (22%)
      Class D                                    Class D (23%).
23%
      (Vs BC:17%, A 20%)




                                        Total      HCM         HN     Da Nang      Male      Female Class A Class B Class C Class D

                            Mean        3.15       3.14       3.00      3.33*       3.22       3.12       3.19       3.20    3.21   3.07

                                                                                                                                           %




                            N=            600       200        200        200        300        300        134        158    172    136
       Note: (*) is significant difference at 95% confidence interval/ Lưu ý: (*) là khác biệt có ý nghĩa ở 95% độ tin cậy
Social and economic concern

                                                                                                      Total
                                                                                                              %
   Top concern: the economic situation which impact on
                                                                         Electricity price increase
    consumer’s life directly and immediately.         They are: price
    increase in electricity, food, oil, gas, gold and economic                Food price increase
    depression.
                                                                            Economic depression
   Less concern: social situation – long term issues including
    unemployment, corruption, nature disaster, climate changing.                Oil price increase

   Not concern: safe and security problems including crime                   Gold price increase
    increasing, terrorism…) and absolute pays no worry about
                                                                                  Unemployment
    political instability in Middle East, Korean war, foreign
    currency aid cuts. Vietnamese doesn’t pay attention to world               Gas price increase
    issues, which don’t affect their life directly.
                                                                                       Corruption

                                                                                Natural disasters

                                                                        USD-VND Ex-rate increase

                                                                                Climate changing


                                                                                                      N=600
Consumer confidence

      Consumers are losing their confidence in Vietnam economy.   Almost think that it will keep the same (48%)
       or worse (36%).

       o    Pessimistic group :                               o    Optimistic group
              • Living in HCMC                                       • Living in Da Nang.
              • Older age group (31-50)                              • Younger age group (18-30).
              • Class A                                              • Single
              • Married



                                                              Optimistic          Da Nang                     %
                                                                                    18 - 30
Pessimistic
                   HCM                            %                                  Single

                 41 - 50                                                      Total average

                 31 - 40                                                            41 - 50

                 Class A                                                           Married
                Married                                                             31 - 40
           Total average                                                            Class A
                     HN                                                               HCM
                  Single                                                                HN
               Da Nang
                 18 - 30
Inflation & consumption’s behavior
Investment/Uses spare money

                              In general, almost use their spare money in bank saving service first then
                               buying gold – the low risk areas right now. However, Danang people prefer
                               buying gold (48%) to bank saving (33%).




                                    Total                                    Da Nang
                                                                                                    %
           Bank saving

              Buy gold


     Invest in business


   Invest in real estate

              Buy USD

     Invest in security

                                N=600                                     N=200
Expenditure

   As this inflation situation, activities that consumer has to cut down are traveling, luxury products, clothing, beauty care
    service, home appliance, entertainment, telecommunication (telephone, internet).

   Necessities products/ services are the group they cannot reduce including education, transportation, food & beverage,
    electric, waters, healthcare services.

   Hanoi people cut down budget across categories.




                                             Total                                      HCMC                                    HN                                    DA NANG
                Education 9              64                   27         7          57                   36        15            79               7        2          52                  46             %
            Foods&Drinks 15                  57             28           14             44              43         18            74               8         13             55                  33
               Healthcare 18                  68               15        11              65               25        23            74              4            20               64              16
            Transportation 20            42              38               21            30          50             21            67              13            20        30               51
           Electric, waters   25             42             33               22          39             39          24           61              16              31         26            44
          Communication       29                  59             12           30              58              13    23           63              14              36                  55             10
          Home appliance           44               47           10           38               50             12         47           44         10                 47                46            7
             Entertaiment          45               42           13           37              40             24          45            51         5                   54              35            11
                   Beauty           55                 37          8               52              38         10          57            39        4                   57                  34        9
                   Clothes          57                 34          9               53              29        19           56            42        3                   63                  31         6
             Luxury goods           62                   31        7               57               29        14           60              37     3                      72                    25 3
                     Travel             65               29        6               60               25        15           63               36        2                    72                  25 2
                     N=                       600                                        200                                    200                                         200
                                                                       Giảm                                  Bình thường                                  Tăng
Shopping habit

   In the inflation, consumer trends to switch shopping channel from modern trade (supermarket, hyper market,
    convenience store, etc.) into wet market. They especially shopping more when having sales promotion.




                                                      Total



                                                                                             %
                       Shopping at wet market

        Shopping when having sales promotion

                     Shopping at grocery store

                      Shopping at hypermarket

                      Shopping at supermarket

                 Shopping at convenience store

                     Shopping at fair, exhibition



                                                     N=600
Daily activities
   Consumers reduce almost entertainment activities including watching film, music, eating out and party,
    drinking.




Total/tổng cộng                                                         % Mean

                                                                             1.67
                  Using electric utilities

                          Using internet                                     1.64

                      Go out for coffee                                      1.60

                      Go out for eating                                      1.48

                    Using air condition                                      1.45

                         Party, drinking                                     1.43

           Watching film, music, play                                        1.34

                                  Laudry                                     1.21

                                                 N=600
FMCG consumption

   Confectionary, products from milk, skincare products are the categories could be hurt in the
    inflation.



                        Total
                                                                       Mean
                                         %
                    Seasoning product                                   1.92

                 Personal care product                                  1.91

                            Baby care                                   1.90

                    Cleaning products
                                                                        1.88
                    Skincare products
                                                                        1.75
                   Products from milk
                                                                        1.71
                       Confectionary/
                                                                        1.57

                                             N=600
FMCG brand choice

                   Except confectionary, almost consumers are loyal with their most often use
                    brand.




                                           Total
                                                                 Mean
                                                             %
             Baby care                                           1.96

     Seasoning product                                           1.95

     Cleaning products                                           1.93

  Personal care product                                          1.93

     Skincare products
                                                                 1.93

    Products from milk
                                                                 1.91

         Confectionary
                                                                 1.84

                                        N=600
FMCG pack size choice

   Not much change in pack size choice. consumer trends to purchase the normal or smaller pack size
    for confectionary, skincare products, products from milk and babycare product only.




         Total
        N=600                                                         % Mean
                    Cleaning products                                      2.01

                    Seasoning product                                      2.00

                 Personal care product                                     2.00

                            Baby care                                      1.95

                   Products from milk                                      1.91

                    Skincare products                                      1.84

                        Confectionary
                                                                           1.74
Conclusion
Conclusion

 In general, the high inflation rate situation at the beginning of 2011 affects all 3
   largest cities of Vietnam (HCMC, Hanoi, Danang). Their confidence in Vietnam
   economy seems be losing their confidence  people may be more careful with
   money spending in near future.



 The most concerns are the economic situation including price increase in electricity,
   food  economical fuel/ electricity consumption products could be welcome at this
   time.



 They would like to use their spare money in bank saving service first then buying
   gold those would be safe more than high profit (invest in business and real estate or
   stock).
Conclusion

 Living in the inflation, consumer has to cut down some expenditures which is not
   necessaries. FMCG seems be not affected (except confectionary) and consumers are
   loyal to FMCG brand and pack size they use most often  to survive this period,
   confectionery should be more active.



 The shopping channel is change as consumers switch from shopping at modern trade
   into wet market  should consider to focus on branding and brand activation at wet
   market and GT.
Slide 20

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How inflation affects on consumption's behavior and consumers' attitude

  • 1.
  • 2. Market research top-line Mar 2011 HCMC HA NOI DANANG HIGHLIGHTS: How inflation affects on consumption’s behavior and consumers’ attitude
  • 3. About  Viettrack is a monthly research news-letter developed by FTA Research & Consultant, the representative of ESOMAR in Viet Nam. It is conducted base on a monthly research. It aims at delivering comment, evaluation and true feeling of research objects about present time’s economic situation as well as promotion campaigns or products to producers and marketers. It is expected to help them understand to offer better service to unsatisfied demand of consumers.  Viettrack is done according to ISO 20252:2006, the international quality standard in market research and ESOMAR Code of Conduct.  Viettrack Mar 2011 is conducted on general population (18-50) in 3 largest cities of Vietnam (Hochiminh, Hanoi, Danang) with N=600. This study aims at finding how inflation affects on consumption’s behavior and consumers’ attitude in 2011. Thus, this information will help marketers to have some suitable adjustment in their strategy in the current situation.
  • 5. Inflation impact Sensitivity group  Almost consumer in HCM, HN and Da Nang is affected by inflation.  The group is affected more than others is: Da o Who live in Da Nang. Location? Nang o Older age (41-50). o Married . Age 41- group? 50 Marri Status? ed Total HCM HN Da Nang 18 - 30 31 - 40 41 - 50 Single Married Mean 2.48 2.41 2.46 2.56* 2.43 2.46 2.58* 2.41 2.52* % N= 600 200 200 200 268 162 170 244 356 Note: (*) is significant difference at 95% confidence interval / Lưu ý: (*) là khác biệt có ý nghĩa ở 95% độ tin cậy
  • 6. Economic information follow up Ha Noi  Almost consumers in 3 cities follow inflation information frequently. Inflation seems 26% (vs DN: 11%, HCM: 20%) be one of the hottest issues right now.  Just some don’t pay much attention to the economic situation. They are: Female 22%  Ha Noi people (26%) (Vs Male:16%)  Female (22%) Class D  Class D (23%). 23% (Vs BC:17%, A 20%) Total HCM HN Da Nang Male Female Class A Class B Class C Class D Mean 3.15 3.14 3.00 3.33* 3.22 3.12 3.19 3.20 3.21 3.07 % N= 600 200 200 200 300 300 134 158 172 136 Note: (*) is significant difference at 95% confidence interval/ Lưu ý: (*) là khác biệt có ý nghĩa ở 95% độ tin cậy
  • 7. Social and economic concern Total %  Top concern: the economic situation which impact on Electricity price increase consumer’s life directly and immediately. They are: price increase in electricity, food, oil, gas, gold and economic Food price increase depression. Economic depression  Less concern: social situation – long term issues including unemployment, corruption, nature disaster, climate changing. Oil price increase  Not concern: safe and security problems including crime Gold price increase increasing, terrorism…) and absolute pays no worry about Unemployment political instability in Middle East, Korean war, foreign currency aid cuts. Vietnamese doesn’t pay attention to world Gas price increase issues, which don’t affect their life directly. Corruption Natural disasters USD-VND Ex-rate increase Climate changing N=600
  • 8. Consumer confidence  Consumers are losing their confidence in Vietnam economy. Almost think that it will keep the same (48%) or worse (36%). o Pessimistic group : o Optimistic group • Living in HCMC • Living in Da Nang. • Older age group (31-50) • Younger age group (18-30). • Class A • Single • Married Optimistic Da Nang % 18 - 30 Pessimistic HCM % Single 41 - 50 Total average 31 - 40 41 - 50 Class A Married Married 31 - 40 Total average Class A HN HCM Single HN Da Nang 18 - 30
  • 10. Investment/Uses spare money  In general, almost use their spare money in bank saving service first then buying gold – the low risk areas right now. However, Danang people prefer buying gold (48%) to bank saving (33%). Total Da Nang % Bank saving Buy gold Invest in business Invest in real estate Buy USD Invest in security N=600 N=200
  • 11. Expenditure  As this inflation situation, activities that consumer has to cut down are traveling, luxury products, clothing, beauty care service, home appliance, entertainment, telecommunication (telephone, internet).  Necessities products/ services are the group they cannot reduce including education, transportation, food & beverage, electric, waters, healthcare services.  Hanoi people cut down budget across categories. Total HCMC HN DA NANG Education 9 64 27 7 57 36 15 79 7 2 52 46 % Foods&Drinks 15 57 28 14 44 43 18 74 8 13 55 33 Healthcare 18 68 15 11 65 25 23 74 4 20 64 16 Transportation 20 42 38 21 30 50 21 67 13 20 30 51 Electric, waters 25 42 33 22 39 39 24 61 16 31 26 44 Communication 29 59 12 30 58 13 23 63 14 36 55 10 Home appliance 44 47 10 38 50 12 47 44 10 47 46 7 Entertaiment 45 42 13 37 40 24 45 51 5 54 35 11 Beauty 55 37 8 52 38 10 57 39 4 57 34 9 Clothes 57 34 9 53 29 19 56 42 3 63 31 6 Luxury goods 62 31 7 57 29 14 60 37 3 72 25 3 Travel 65 29 6 60 25 15 63 36 2 72 25 2 N= 600 200 200 200 Giảm Bình thường Tăng
  • 12. Shopping habit  In the inflation, consumer trends to switch shopping channel from modern trade (supermarket, hyper market, convenience store, etc.) into wet market. They especially shopping more when having sales promotion. Total % Shopping at wet market Shopping when having sales promotion Shopping at grocery store Shopping at hypermarket Shopping at supermarket Shopping at convenience store Shopping at fair, exhibition N=600
  • 13. Daily activities  Consumers reduce almost entertainment activities including watching film, music, eating out and party, drinking. Total/tổng cộng % Mean 1.67 Using electric utilities Using internet 1.64 Go out for coffee 1.60 Go out for eating 1.48 Using air condition 1.45 Party, drinking 1.43 Watching film, music, play 1.34 Laudry 1.21 N=600
  • 14. FMCG consumption  Confectionary, products from milk, skincare products are the categories could be hurt in the inflation. Total Mean % Seasoning product 1.92 Personal care product 1.91 Baby care 1.90 Cleaning products 1.88 Skincare products 1.75 Products from milk 1.71 Confectionary/ 1.57 N=600
  • 15. FMCG brand choice  Except confectionary, almost consumers are loyal with their most often use brand. Total Mean % Baby care 1.96 Seasoning product 1.95 Cleaning products 1.93 Personal care product 1.93 Skincare products 1.93 Products from milk 1.91 Confectionary 1.84 N=600
  • 16. FMCG pack size choice  Not much change in pack size choice. consumer trends to purchase the normal or smaller pack size for confectionary, skincare products, products from milk and babycare product only. Total N=600 % Mean Cleaning products 2.01 Seasoning product 2.00 Personal care product 2.00 Baby care 1.95 Products from milk 1.91 Skincare products 1.84 Confectionary 1.74
  • 18. Conclusion  In general, the high inflation rate situation at the beginning of 2011 affects all 3 largest cities of Vietnam (HCMC, Hanoi, Danang). Their confidence in Vietnam economy seems be losing their confidence  people may be more careful with money spending in near future.  The most concerns are the economic situation including price increase in electricity, food  economical fuel/ electricity consumption products could be welcome at this time.  They would like to use their spare money in bank saving service first then buying gold those would be safe more than high profit (invest in business and real estate or stock).
  • 19. Conclusion  Living in the inflation, consumer has to cut down some expenditures which is not necessaries. FMCG seems be not affected (except confectionary) and consumers are loyal to FMCG brand and pack size they use most often  to survive this period, confectionery should be more active.  The shopping channel is change as consumers switch from shopping at modern trade into wet market  should consider to focus on branding and brand activation at wet market and GT.